The rebound following Micron’s results has clearly stabilised sentiment, but whether this is a clean buy-the-dip for Nvidia depends on time horizon.
Fundamentals:
Morgan Stanley’s stance is credible. The AI compute cycle remains capacity-constrained, not demand-constrained. Nvidia still sits at the centre of this ecosystem, with strong visibility on data-centre orders extending into 2026. On that basis, dips driven by positioning or sentiment rather than earnings deterioration remain attractive for medium-term investors.
Near-term price action:
After a sharp rebound, the risk tonight is a gap-up-and-sell-the-news session. Micron’s beat reduces downside tail risk, but it also gives short-term traders an excuse to lock in gains. Nvidia has already rallied meaningfully off recent lows, so upside follow-through may be capped unless volume expands decisively.
How to frame it:
This looks less like an all-in entry and more like a scaled accumulation zone. Long-term investors can add selectively on weakness. Short-term traders should respect the possibility of post-gap consolidation.
In short: structurally bullish, tactically cautious. A healthy pause would strengthen, not weaken, the broader AI upcycle narrative.
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