Lanceljx
12-22 13:04

The rebound following Micron’s results has clearly stabilised sentiment, but whether this is a clean buy-the-dip for Nvidia depends on time horizon.

Fundamentals:

Morgan Stanley’s stance is credible. The AI compute cycle remains capacity-constrained, not demand-constrained. Nvidia still sits at the centre of this ecosystem, with strong visibility on data-centre orders extending into 2026. On that basis, dips driven by positioning or sentiment rather than earnings deterioration remain attractive for medium-term investors.

Near-term price action:

After a sharp rebound, the risk tonight is a gap-up-and-sell-the-news session. Micron’s beat reduces downside tail risk, but it also gives short-term traders an excuse to lock in gains. Nvidia has already rallied meaningfully off recent lows, so upside follow-through may be capped unless volume expands decisively.

How to frame it:

This looks less like an all-in entry and more like a scaled accumulation zone. Long-term investors can add selectively on weakness. Short-term traders should respect the possibility of post-gap consolidation.

In short: structurally bullish, tactically cautious. A healthy pause would strengthen, not weaken, the broader AI upcycle narrative.

Nvidia Still A Top 2026 Chip Pick: Already Hit Bottom?
Nvidia rebounds with Micron's beats. Still, Morgan Stanley remains firmly bullish on the sector, calling semiconductors one of the brightest spots in U.S. equities next year. In its “2026 Top Semiconductor Picks,” Nvidia, Broadcom, and Astera Labs rank at the top. Morgan Stanley argues that the semiconductor upcycle is far from over, driven by seemingly limitless global demand for AI compute. Is this a buy-the-dip moment for Nvidia? Do you expect a rebound tonight — or a classic gap-up-and-sell-the-news session?
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