The Sleigh Bells Are Ringing: Santa Rally Is HERE!

koolgal
05:05

🌟🌟🌟The Grinch had his run this December, trying to steal our gains with talk of interest rates and geopolitical jitters.  But the market gods and Santa Claus himself have decided - It is time for the Santa Rally!

This week the market opened with a palpable holiday cheer, spurred by good tidings from Micron $Micron Technology(MU)$  and a sense that the worst of 2025's volatility is behind us.

So the big question on the trading desk: Do we enjoy the upward sleigh ride or is it time to cautiously cut positions and lock in gains?

My 2025 Christmas Trading Plan: A Blend of Cheer and Caution 

The classic "Santa Rally" is real.  Statistically the last 5 trading days of the year and the first 2 days of the new year usually see positive returns.  I am bullish in this trend continuing for the next 2 weeks but my strategy is simple:

1.  Enjoy the Gains (A Little):  I am letting my high conviction stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  run free with tight stop losses in place.  Don't interrupt a profitable trend just because it is Christmas.

2.  Plan to Cut or Trim? I am trimming only those positions that look weak or have run up too fast (looking at you MARA, USAR  and other small caps).

3.  This Week's Strategy: I am slightly overweight in equities.  The primary direction is up but I am ready to pivot instantly if the sentiment shifts.

The True North Star: Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)

While traders may play the short term game, the real wealth builders (think Warren Buffett) are doing something much smarter: Dollar Cost Averaging into their favourite high quality ETFs.

This is the true spirit of long term investing : believing in the long term prosperity of the global economy , regardless of whether Santa brings a rally this week or not.

With my focus on the long term horizon, I will continue to DCA into my favourite index ETFs:

$SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPYM)$ : The undisputed champion of US market exposure .  I own the best 500 companies in the world .  It is simple , elegant and effective .

$STI ETF(ES3.SI)$  : My anchor as a Singapore investor .  I own the best Singapore blue chip stocks: DBS, OCBC , UOB, Singtel and top Reits like CICT, Ascendas Reit.  It is safe , stable and pays a lovely dividend twice a year .

VT (Vanguard Total World Stock ETF$Vanguard Total World Stock ETF(VT)$  :  The ultimate diversification play.  I own the entire world stock market .  It removes all anxiety about which country will win the AI race.

My Plan for 2025 and 2026:  I will continue my DCA into my core index ETFs, while enjoying the short term Santa Rally with my "play money" portfolio.

The Final Word: Peace , Blessings and Prosperity

Whether you are a short term trader hoping for green candles or a long term DCA investor, remember Christmas is about Peace, Family and Gratitude.

Santa is here to spread good cheer, peace and blessings to all who believe in the magic of Christmas.

In our safe and blessed Singapore, let's toast to Wisdom, Resilience and a Legendary 2026!

Merry Christmas and A Prosperous New YearπŸ₯°πŸ₯°πŸ₯°πŸŽ…πŸŽ…πŸŽ…πŸŽ„πŸŽ„πŸŽ„πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°πŸŒŸπŸŒŸπŸŒŸ

@Tiger_comments  @Tiger_SG  @TigerStars  @TigerClub  @CaptainTiger  

Further Breakout! S&P 500 Sprint to 7000 During Santa Rally?
The recent rally appears closely tied to technical positioning following a record-scale triple witching, with a large volume of S&P 500 options expiring between the 6,700 and 6,800 strikes. As those constraints cleared, upside momentum strengthened, shifting attention toward the 7,000 psychological level. Options data suggest positive gamma is building above 6,835, while the 6,900 area has emerged as a key near-term zone of two-way positioning. Do you see 6,900–7,000 range as a breakout zone?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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