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01-03

$Adobe(ADBE)$ $Workday(WDAY)$  $Intuit(INTU)$  πŸ“‰ Adobe Liquidity Flush, Valuation Reset, Big Money Setup πŸ“Š

I’m watching Adobe $ADBE get absolutely smacked today, now -4.5% to $334.29, and it’s dragging the software complex with it as $WDAY and $INTU slide in sympathy. This is not noise. This is volatility asserting control and forcing rotation.

On the charts, the message is unmissable. The recent rally was rejected cleanly at the 200DMA resistance. On the 4H and 30m views, price smashed through the mid Keltner, accelerated into the lower volatility bands, and printed a textbook liquidity flush. Wide ranges, heavy red candles, urgency everywhere. Flow flipped hard, structure broke fast, and weak positioning got punished.

Zooming out, the disconnect sharpens. $ADBE is now -24% y/y and nearly -30% over five years, keeping sentiment deeply compressed. Yet earnings are up almost 30%. At the same time, the stock is sitting at its lowest valuation in a decade. Price has completely detached from fundamentals, and that mismatch rarely lasts.

This move reads less like terminal damage and more like forced de-risking. Order blocks are being cleared, stops are being run, and liquidity is getting harvested into fear. The speed of the downside and the way price interacts with the lower bands raises the risk of a developing bear trap if support stabilises and momentum starts rotating back into trend.

Most traders are overlooking it because the tape looks ugly and the 200DMA rejection stings. That’s often where future leaders quietly reset. If volatility compresses, structure realigns, and flow turns constructive, $ADBE has a credible path to be one of the strongest performers into the second half of 2026.

Levels over headlines. Liquidity over emotion. πŸ“ˆ

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πŸ“ˆπŸš€πŸ€πŸ€πŸ€

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Comments

  • Hen Solo
    01-03
    Hen Solo
    Your point on valuation disconnect stands out. $Adobe(ADBE)$ earnings strength versus price compression is hard to ignore. Seen this movie in $Oracle(ORCL)$ before, momentum vanished then snapped back once flow stabilised.
  • Tui Jude
    01-03
    Tui Jude
    Reading this as classic rotation pressure. The flush below structure feels mechanical, not panic. $Intuit(INTU)$ showing similar cross asset sympathy. Watching support response more than headlines here, volatility regime still active.
  • Cool Cat Winston
    01-03
    Cool Cat Winston
    I like how your post frames this as volatility doing the work. $Adobe(ADBE)$ looks like a liquidity pocket after that 200DMA rejection. Similar vibe to $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ last year, heavy flow shift before momentum rebuilt. Structure over noise, especially with earnings holding up.
  • Queengirlypops
    01-03
    Queengirlypops
    ok but this post goes hard, $Adobe(ADBE)$ getting slammed, software bleeding, vibes ugly, but that liquidity flush you called out is screaming reset energy, everyone doom scrolling price while earnings are literally up, valuation crushed, flow flipping, structure trying to breathe again, this is the stuff that sneaks back when nobody’s watching, volatility equals opportunity fr πŸ§ƒ
  • PetS
    01-03
    PetS
    This looks like stops getting cleared into a liquidity pocket. Post nails the bear trap risk if structure firms. Reminds me of $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ during its compression phase, ugly tape before momentum flipped.
  • Kiwi Tigress
    01-03
    Kiwi Tigress
    yeah I felt this one fr. chart looks rough but your post made me slow down and actually look at structure. kinda wild earnings are strong but price is still getting hit. feels like one of those wait and watch spots πŸ‘€πŸ“‰
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