A strong opening to the year, -To The Moon - Tiger Brokers Online Investing Community - To The Moon

A strong opening to the year, and a very telling one.

Market context

Nasdaq Composite +1.3% and S&P 500 +0.6% signalled immediate risk-on sentiment.

Semiconductors led decisively. ASML and Micron Technology pushed to all-time highs, while NVIDIA and Broadcom extended their leadership.

Which stock hit a new high If I frame this from a portfolio construction perspective rather than personal holdings, ASML is the clearest example of a name that rewarded patience. Its new high reflects not momentum chasing, but structural scarcity in advanced chip manufacturing. That distinction matters. New highs driven by earnings visibility tend to persist longer than those driven purely by sentiment.

Do I believe in the January effect I believe in flows, not folklore.

January strength often reflects:

Portfolio re-risking after year-end de-leveraging

Fresh capital allocation at the start of mandates

Catch-up positioning in prior year winners

However, the January effect is unreliable in isolation. What gives this January more credibility is leadership breadth within semiconductors and confirmation from earnings-sensitive names, not just speculative beta.

In short, January can amplify an existing trend, but it rarely creates one. For 2026, the message from day one is not about seasonality, but about sustained confidence in the AI and compute capex cycle.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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ASML and Micron Technology pushed to all-time highs, while NVIDIA and Broadcom extended their leadership.</p>\n<p>Which stock hit a new high If I frame this from a portfolio construction perspective rather than personal holdings, ASML is the clearest example of a name that rewarded patience. Its new high reflects not momentum chasing, but structural scarcity in advanced chip manufacturing. That distinction matters. New highs driven by earnings visibility tend to persist longer than those driven purely by sentiment.</p>\n<p>Do I believe in the January effect I believe in flows, not folklore.</p>\n<p>January strength often reflects:</p>\n<p>Portfolio re-risking after year-end de-leveraging</p>\n<p>Fresh capital allocation at the start of mandates</p>\n<p>Catch-up positioning in prior year winners</p>\n<p>However, the January effect is unreliable in isolation. What gives this January more credibility is leadership breadth within semiconductors and confirmation from earnings-sensitive names, not just speculative beta.</p>\n<p>In short, January can amplify an existing trend, but it rarely creates one. For 2026, the message from day one is not about seasonality, but about sustained confidence in the AI and compute capex cycle.</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>A strong opening to the year, and a very telling one.</p>\n<p>Market context</p>\n<p>Nasdaq Composite +1.3% and S&amp;P 500 +0.6% signalled immediate risk-on sentiment.</p>\n<p>Semiconductors led decisively. ASML and Micron Technology pushed to all-time highs, while NVIDIA and Broadcom extended their leadership.</p>\n<p>Which stock hit a new high If I frame this from a portfolio construction perspective rather than personal holdings, ASML is the clearest example of a name that rewarded patience. Its new high reflects not momentum chasing, but structural scarcity in advanced chip manufacturing. That distinction matters. New highs driven by earnings visibility tend to persist longer than those driven purely by sentiment.</p>\n<p>Do I believe in the January effect I believe in flows, not folklore.</p>\n<p>January strength often reflects:</p>\n<p>Portfolio re-risking after year-end de-leveraging</p>\n<p>Fresh capital allocation at the start of mandates</p>\n<p>Catch-up positioning in prior year winners</p>\n<p>However, the January effect is unreliable in isolation. What gives this January more credibility is leadership breadth within semiconductors and confirmation from earnings-sensitive names, not just speculative beta.</p>\n<p>In short, January can amplify an existing trend, but it rarely creates one. For 2026, the message from day one is not about seasonality, but about sustained confidence in the AI and compute capex cycle.</p></body></html>","text":"A strong opening to the year, and a very telling one. Market context Nasdaq Composite +1.3% and S&P 500 +0.6% signalled immediate risk-on sentiment. Semiconductors led decisively. ASML and Micron Technology pushed to all-time highs, while NVIDIA and Broadcom extended their leadership. Which stock hit a new high If I frame this from a portfolio construction perspective rather than personal holdings, ASML is the clearest example of a name that rewarded patience. Its new high reflects not momentum chasing, but structural scarcity in advanced chip manufacturing. That distinction matters. New highs driven by earnings visibility tend to persist longer than those driven purely by sentiment. Do I believe in the January effect I believe in flows, not folklore. January strength often reflects: Portfolio re-risking after year-end de-leveraging Fresh capital allocation at the start of mandates Catch-up positioning in prior year winners However, the January effect is unreliable in isolation. What gives this January more credibility is leadership breadth within semiconductors and confirmation from earnings-sensitive names, not just speculative beta. In short, January can amplify an existing trend, but it rarely creates one. For 2026, the message from day one is not about seasonality, but about sustained confidence in the AI and compute capex cycle.","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/517722289439240","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":226,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":true,"length":1153,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/517722289439240"}