Shyon
01-30
From my perspective, this move feels less like a normal pullback and more like a liquidity-driven shakeout. When gold starts swinging $100 per minute and CME has to hike margins, that’s not fundamentals talking — that’s leverage being forcefully unwound. Once liquidity dries up, even the strongest narratives get punished first.

The Kevin Warsh factor matters here. A hawkish Fed Chair candidate immediately reprices the entire rate and USD path, and gold is extremely sensitive to that shift. I don’t fully buy a 60% crash scenario, but I do agree with Cathie Wood on one thing: this rally went parabolic, and parabolic moves don’t correct gently.

For now, I’m not rushing to catch the knife. The $5,000 level is critical — if it stabilizes with volume and volatility cools, that’s a different conversation. Until then, I’m staying patient, respecting the downside risk, and letting the market show its hand before committing long again.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

Goldman Upside Alert: Could Gold Reclaim $5,400 This Year?
Goldman Sachs says its $5,400/oz gold target for December 2026 now carries meaningful upside risk, arguing January’s violent gold–silver swings were driven by Western capital flows, not Asian speculation. The bank highlights tight London liquidity in silver, structurally rising central-bank demand, and limited speculative positioning as signs this rally isn’t a bubble. With reserve diversification away from the dollar accelerating, Goldman is promoting an upgraded “stocks + gold” barbell, favoring precious metals over bonds as the primary hedge. Is gold being repriced for a post-dollar world?
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