Shyon
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avatarShyon
12-18 23:45
From my perspective, $Micron Technology(MU)$ earnings donโ€™t just beat expectations โ€” they push back against the โ€œAI bubbleโ€ narrative. What stands out is earnings quality: cash flow above net income, margins far ahead of expectations, and forward EPS nearly tripling. Is this Micronโ€™s โ€œNvidia momentโ€? Not a perfect parallel, but the comparison is increasingly valid. Nvidia re-rated when AI demand proved structural, and Micron may be nearing a similar point. Managementโ€™s comments about meeting only 50โ€“66% of demand and locking in non-cancelable 2026 orders signal real scarcity and pricing power. That said, itโ€™s not risk-free or clearly โ€œtoo late.โ€ Valuations have moved, but earnings expectations may still be conservative if supply remains tight. For
avatarShyon
12-18 18:48
I see a BOJ tightening causing a temporary volatility spike rather than a sustained unwind. Much of the yen carry trade risk is already priced in, and unless we see abrupt yen strength or disorderly moves in global yields, this is more of an adjustment than a liquidity shock. Clarity from the BOJ should help stabilize markets. For a delayed Santa Rally, Iโ€™m not going fully defensive or all-cash. I prefer keeping dry powder while selectively buying dips in quality growth and AI names. In a later, narrower rally, stock selection matters more than broad exposure. BOJ-driven liquidity fears dominate near-term headlines, but earnings and Fed policy remain the real anchors. As long as corporate results hold and the Fed stays supportive, much of the BOJ pressure can be absorbed. Santa may arrive
avatarShyon
12-18 18:12
From my perspective, the BoJ rate hike itself is no longer the real story โ€” it's the expectation that matters. A 25 bps hike is widely priced in, and markets have spent weeks adjusting positioning around a "Japan normalization" narrative. When something becomes this consensus, the actual announcement often loses its shock value. That's why I see this meeting less as a trigger and more as a potential release valve for uncertainty. The "shoe dropping" argument makes sense on paper: higher Japanese rates can strengthen the yen, unwind carry trades, and tighten global liquidity, which in theory pressures US equities. But markets rarely react most violently to what everyone already expects. If the BoJ delivers a clean, predictable hike without signaling an aggressive follow-up path, that clarit
avatarShyon
12-18 18:03
From my perspective, these MA principles are about reading market structure, not predicting direction. Minor breakdowns and breakouts test conviction rather than signal immediate trend changes. What matters most is the slope of the moving average, as it reflects average holding cost and who controls price. For $NVDA, the move below the 5-day to 60-day MAs doesnโ€™t yet suggest an oversold rebound. While price has broken under multiple averages, the distance from the falling MAs isnโ€™t large enough to count as excessive negative divergence. This looks more like a minor breakdown within a weakening trend than a stretched mean-reversion setup. So I see this as neither a panic โ€œbreakdown sellโ€ nor a buy-the-dip opportunity. NVDA needs either a deeper extension to trigger oversold dynamics or a d
avatarShyon
12-18 11:36
My stock in focus today is $Micron Technology(MU)$ , following its newly released earnings that significantly exceeded expectations and highlighted its strong positioning in the AI-driven semiconductor cycle. Managementโ€™s forward guidance stood out, with profit and revenue forecasts far above Street estimates. The key catalyst remains AI-related demand, especially from data centers. As one of only a few global suppliers of high-bandwidth memory (HBM), Micron is benefiting from tight supply, stronger pricing, and improving margins. AI demand is not only boosting volumes but also enhancing profitability across its broader product portfolio. On the strategy front, Micronโ€™s shift toward AI-focused capacity and exit from lower-margin consumer channels
avatarShyon
12-18 08:42
From my perspective, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ move to new highs feels different from past rallies. The market is increasingly valuing Tesla as a real-world AI and autonomy platform, with Robotaxi at the center of the story. The technical breakout supports this shift & a move toward or above $500 is possible, though near-term volatility is likely. On Robotaxi, Iโ€™m cautiously bullish. I agree that 2026 is the key inflection point, as unsupervised rides, improving safety data, and the start of Cybercab production could reshape how Tesla is valued. Even partial execution would justify another leg higher beyond traditional auto metrics. That said, I donโ€™t expect a straight line up. ARK trimming highlights short-term risk, and FSD in China by 2026 is u
avatarShyon
12-17 15:36
Over the next 12 months, I see gold's primary driver as macro uncertainty rather than pure inflation. Slowing global growth, rising geopolitical risks, and the growing need for portfolio hedges are pushing central banks and long-term investors to hold more gold. Even if the Fed doesn't cut aggressively, the market is already pricing in a world where real rates struggle to stay restrictive for long, which remains supportive for gold. I view the recent strength in both silver and gold as fundamentally healthy, not speculative excess. Gold is acting as the anchorโ€”benefiting from safe-haven demand and central bank buyingโ€”while silver is expressing a higher-beta version of the same thesis, amplified by industrial demand tied to energy transition and electronics. This combination suggests the mo
avatarShyon
12-17 15:18
At this new all-time high, I'm not in a hurry to take profit. Tesla's share price has essentially spent a full year consolidating and digesting prior gains, and breaking into new highs is often a signal of a new trend phase, not the end of one. From a market-structure perspective, this looks more like the beginning of a re-rating rather than a terminal top. The most critical assumption behind Tesla's valuation at this level is that autonomy is no longer a distant dream but a commercially viable platform. The fact that Tesla is testing robotaxis without human safety drivers materially changes the narrative. If autonomy scales even gradually, Tesla stops being priced as just an EV manufacturer and starts being valued as a mobility + software company, which supports a much higher multiple. An
avatarShyon
12-17 10:50
I'm starting this week with a more cautious stance as U.S. equities edged lower, and the Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  once again underperformed. The ongoing sell-off in AI-related stocks is clearly weighing on sentiment, raising questions over whether the usual year-end Santa Rally can still materialize under current conditions. What stands out to me is the continued weakness in big-cap tech. Names like Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$   and Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$  extended last week's declines, dragging on the broader tech sector. Broadcom's three consecutive dow
avatarShyon
12-17 10:15
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is my stock in focus today after breaking to a new all-time high last night. The move reflects a clear shift in sentiment, with investors looking past short-term EV delivery concerns and refocusing on Teslaโ€™s long-term growth story. Momentum remains strong as the market reassesses Teslaโ€™s future potential. The key driver behind the rally is the robotaxi and full self-driving hype. Progress in driverless testing has renewed optimism that Tesla is moving closer to commercial autonomy. As a result, investors are increasingly valuing Tesla as an AI and autonomous mobility platform rather than just an EV maker. That said, expectations are rising and volatility could follow. Execution risks remain, but the breakout shows the mark
avatarShyon
12-17 08:58
Gold breaking to fresh highs is not something I take lightly. A move above $4,300+ confirms that this rally is not just a short-term squeeze, but a structural trend driven by liquidity, geopolitics, and declining real yields. When gold makes new highs, it's usually a sign that risk hedging demand is rising beneath the surfaceโ€”even if equities are still holding up. From my perspective, the first question is time horizon, not price. For long-term core holdings, I don't rush to take full profit just because gold prints a new high. Breakouts to all-time highs tend to attract trend-following capital, and historically gold often extends further than expected once price discovery begins. Trimming everything too early risks missing the strongest part of the move. That said, I do believe in partial
avatarShyon
12-17 00:24
For me, the recent U.S. employment data reinforces the โ€œbad news is good newsโ€ narrative. Some softness in the labor market increases the odds of further Fed rate cuts, which is generally supportive for equities as long as the slowdown remains orderly rather than recessionary. That said, Iโ€™m watching the BOJ closely. A hike to 0.75% would be a meaningful shift, and historically BOJ tightening has coincided with higher global volatility. With U.S. stocks at record highs, a more cautious near-term stance feels reasonable, even if history doesnโ€™t repeat perfectly. In terms of positioning, Iโ€™m neither fully in cash nor blindly all-in. I stay invested in core holdings while keeping some dry powder to deploy if macro or BOJ headlines trigger a pullback. If a Santa Claus rally arrives, I partici
avatarShyon
12-17 00:22
Quiet compounder. Holding both DBS and OCBC has been a steady and reassuring experience for me. Seeing them hit fresh intraday highs reinforces why I like Singapore banks as core positions โ€” strong wealth-management income, disciplined capital returns, and clear dividend visibility make them feel dependable even as the rate cycle turns. Between the two, I appreciate DBS for its consistency and dividend clarity, while OCBC adds value with a slightly cheaper valuation and improving fee momentum. Even with some NIM pressure ahead, the overall package still feels resilient, especially when buybacks and dividends continue to support share prices. I also use DLCs $DBS 5xLongSG280330(LQSW.SI)$ $OCBC 5xLongS
avatarShyon
12-16 17:37
From my perspective, this tech-led pullback still looks more like a healthy correction than a confirmed trend reversal. After a powerful AI-driven rally, some consolidation was almost unavoidable. The Nasdaq $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   underperforming doesn't automatically mean risk appetite is gone โ€” it more likely reflects stretched positioning being unwound and expectations cooling off. Broadcom $Broadcom(AVGO)$  and Oracle $Oracle(ORCL)$  extending last week's weakness definitely grabs attention, especially with Broadcom marking its worst three-day drop since 2020. But context matte
avatarShyon
12-16 16:51
For me, it starts with structure and confirmation. A valid breakout requires the MA to flatten and turn, supported by strong candles and firm closes above the line. If price shows rejection near the MA with weak closes or long upper wicks, I treat it as a failed rally rather than forcing a bullish view. When price pulls back to a key MA in a clear trend, I usually add with the trend, but only after a confirming candlestick signal like a bullish engulfing or strong rejection. If price cuts through the MA with momentum, I wait โ€” patience works better than averaging blindly. When technicals clash with fundamentals or news, I tend to trust price action in the short to medium term. Fundamentals guide conviction, but entries and exits are driven by real capital flow. Ultimately, price action ha
avatarShyon
12-16 11:27
My focus will be on $DBS(D05.SI)$ , following the news that DBS has been appointed as Singaporeโ€™s second RMB clearing bank. This is a meaningful strategic upgrade, as it strengthens DBSโ€™s role in cross-border RMB settlement, trade finance, and capital flows between China and Southeast Asia. In my view, this isnโ€™t just a symbolic title. RMB clearing status gives DBS deeper access to transaction volume, liquidity management, and fee-based income tied to regional trade and investment. As RMB internationalisation gradually expands, banks with official clearing capabilities stand to benefit structurally over the long term. Against the backdrop of global monetary policy divergence and investors rotating into value and financials, DBS stands out as a
avatarShyon
12-16 09:01
When I saw the footage of a Tesla Model Y driving through Austin with no one inside, it immediately reinforced my long-term bullish view on Tesla. Elon Musk later confirming that Tesla is already testing robotaxis without human safety drivers tells me this is no longer just a concept or a future promise โ€” it's an execution phase. The market often underestimates how quickly Tesla moves once the technology reaches a usable threshold. From an investment perspective, robotaxi is not just a feature upgrade, it's a business model shift. If Tesla succeeds in deploying autonomous vehicles at scale, it transforms the company from a car manufacturer into a mobility and AI platform. That kind of transition deserves a valuation re-rating, especially when software-driven margins are far higher than tra
avatarShyon
12-16 08:46
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ At current levels, I fully recognize that PLTR is no longer a low-risk opportunity. Valuation has expanded significantly, expectations around AI adoption are high, and market sentiment is already quite crowded. From a riskโ€“reward perspective, opening a brand-new position now could expose investors to sharp drawdowns if growth momentum slows or if the market re-rates AI-related stocks. However, my own situation is different because my existing cost base is relatively low. That gives me room to be patient and flexible. Instead of adding aggressively or trying to time the market, I'm choosing to dollar-cost average with small and consistent amounts. This approach allows me to stay involved without taking on unn
avatarShyon
12-15
Heading into Micron's earnings on December 17, I do think expectations are clearly elevated, but not without reason. Goldman Sachs' forecast of $13.2 billion in revenue and $4.15 in EPS suggests Micron is still benefiting from a very strong memory upcycle, especially driven by AI-related demand. When leading banks are willing to go meaningfully above consensus, it usually reflects strong visibility rather than short-term optimism alone. That said, with Micron already up more than 190% this year, the bar for a post-earnings rally is extremely high. Even if Micron beats estimates, the stock's reaction will likely depend more on forward guidance than on the headline numbers. If management signals continued tight supply, firm pricing, and sustained AI-driven demand into 2025, I think new highs
avatarShyon
12-15
This week, my focus is firmly on space-related stocks after the renewed buzz around a potential SpaceX IPO. ๐Ÿš€ The listing, if it happens, could be a major catalyst for the entire space ecosystem, lifting sentiment across launch services, satellites, and downstream space applications. That said, rather than chasing hype, Iโ€™m paying closer attention to existing listed space companies with relatively solid fundamentals and clear execution paths. Names that already have revenue, contracts, and technological moat are more interesting to me at this stage. Rocket Lab $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ is a good example โ€” proven launch capabilities, expanding into space sys

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