Shyon
ShyonCertificated Individuals
Tiger Certification: 🎓 Mechanical Engineer 📦 SCM Certification 📊 Technical Analysis 🌏 Investor 🇺🇸🇸🇬🇲🇾🇭🇰 Tesla
669Follow
4297Followers
4Topic
0Badge
avatarShyon
11:19
Today my stock in focus is $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ , after a strong 12% after-hours surge driven by preliminary Q1 results beating expectations. Revenue is projected at $505–$508 million, well above guidance, with EBITDA also coming in significantly stronger—an encouraging sign after months of weakness. The key driver here is solid performance from the Unity Vector platform and a better-than-expected Create segment, pointing to improving fundamentals. At the same time, management is exiting non-core businesses like ironSource Ads and divesting Supersonic, signaling a sharper focus on profitability. With the stock still down heavily in recent months, this could be an early turnaround signal—but the real test is whether Unity can sustain this moment
avatarShyon
09:16
From my perspective, the selloff in $Micron Technology(MU)$ $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$ $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ looks more like a knee-jerk reaction. Google Research’s TurboQuant is impressive, but the market is oversimplifying it into “less memory = less demand,” which I don’t fully agree with. The key point for me is that TurboQuant only compresses inference-side KV cache, not HBM used for training or model weights. Lower costs typically drive higher usage — meaning more queries, longer context, and larger models. That’s why I see $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ a
avatarShyon
09:02

The Escort Illusion: Why the Strait of Hormuz Remains a Strategic Deadlock

Over the past few weeks, the Strait of Hormuz has become one of the most discussed and misunderstood flashpoints in global markets. As I dug deeper into this topic, I realized it's not just a shipping lane—it's a strategic choke point with virtually no alternative. Unlike the Strait of Malacca or the Panama Canal, where detours are possible (albeit costly), Hormuz is the only maritime exit for the entire Persian Gulf. Its narrow width forces fully loaded oil tankers to move slowly for up to 10–14 hours, effectively turning them into massive, exposed targets. Add in shallow waters and mountainous coastlines იდეal for deploying mines, missiles, and drones, and you get one of the most structurally vulnerable trade routes in the world. The Choke Point At first glance, it may seem that U.S. nav
The Escort Illusion: Why the Strait of Hormuz Remains a Strategic Deadlock
avatarShyon
03-26 23:39
I see $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ rally as more than hype—it reflects a real shift from IP licensing to AI hardware. If its AGI CPU delivers meaningful efficiency gains, combined with backing from $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ . Arm is clearly aiming to move up the value chain into core AI infrastructure. That said, I wouldn’t chase here. With RSI near 90 and valuations already stretched, a pullback toward the $140s looks more attractive. At these levels, ARM Holdings needs near-perfect execution on its $15B chip ambition, leaving little room for mistakes. Long term, I don’t see it replacing NVIDIA but complementing it. CPUs
avatarShyon
03-26 20:24
From my perspective, CPF OA’s 2.5% is a strong safety net, but it’s more for capital preservation than real income growth. I treat it as my stable base, while allocating some funds into higher-yield SGX stocks to enhance returns. The trade-off with volatility is acceptable as long as I stay selective. If I had to choose one, I’d go with $DBS(D05.SI)$ . It offers a solid mix of yield and earnings strength, especially compared to REITs. That said, I still like adding exposure to names like $Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$ for diversification and structural growth. Looking ahead, I expect DBS to stay strong, though growth may normalize. That’s why I prefer a balanced approach—combining banks, REITs, and
avatarShyon
03-26 11:32
Today, my stock in focus is $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ which surged last night and outperforming peers like Microsoft Corporation, Alphabet Inc., and Palantir Technologies Inc.. What stands out is the rally despite mixed earnings, suggesting the market is looking past short-term weakness. I see the main driver as confidence in PDD’s long-term strategy. Profitability dipped due to heavy investment, but with Temu expanding globally and strong cash backing, this looks like a calculated move investors are willing to support. Analyst support and attractive valuation also seem to be reinforcing sentiment here. That said, I remain cautious short term. Technicals are still weak, and risks from regulation, competition, and softer demand remain. For me, this
avatarShyon
03-26 00:16
I’d say I used to be stuck between A and B—trying to catch the bottom while refusing to cut losses. I told myself a stock was “cheap” at every level down, adding more as it fell. In reality, I wasn’t investing—I was averaging into a mistake and hoping time would fix it. What changed for me was shifting focus from upside to risk. Once I started respecting stop-losses and accepting small losses early, everything became clearer. I stopped needing to be right on every trade and instead focused on staying in the game. Now I lean much more on discipline—waiting for trend and volume confirmation. If there’s no clean setup, I’m comfortable doing nothing. Ironically, trading less has improved my results the most. @Tiger_SG
avatarShyon
03-25 22:02
I see this SpaceX IPO as “The Frontier,” but with clear valuation risk. A $1.25–$1.75 trillion range already prices in strong execution across Starlink and future growth. The platform shift is compelling, but expectations are extremely high, so I won’t chase hype at listing. I’d rather miss the first leg than buy into peak optimism. I prefer indirect exposure over paying IPO premiums. Options like ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF $ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF(ARKX)$ or Destiny Tech100 Inc $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ offer access, but I’m cautious—especially with Fundrise Innovation Fund LLC trading far above NAV. I’d rather avoid overpaying. Valuation discipline matters more th
avatarShyon
03-25 21:54
The “TACO” strategy isn’t dead, but it’s no longer easy money. The fast reversal shows liquidity is still there, but conviction is weak. With the Cboe Volatility Index $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ staying elevated, I’m shifting to a more tactical approach—selectively buying dips but taking profits quickly instead of chasing every move. On oil, I don’t see stability yet. As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained, supply risk creates a strong floor. The $84–$100 range looks temporary, and if tensions persist after the 5-day window, I expect a quick push back toward $105–$110. Overall, I’m staying defensive. This feels like a shift from liquidity-driven rallies to macro-driven volatility. I’m treating rallies as short-term trades, not tre
avatarShyon
03-25 10:26
My stock in focus today is $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ , after an 8% overnight surge following new long-term guidance from CEO Rene Haas. The company is targeting $25 billion in revenue by 2031 versus just over $4 billion in 2025, signaling a major shift from a steady royalty model to a high-growth narrative. The key driver is Arm’s launch of its first in-house AGI CPU, expected to contribute $15 billion in revenue by 2031. This marks a strategic pivot into direct chip sales, with Meta Platforms already onboard as a customer. It’s a bold move that expands Arm’s profit potential—but also puts it in competition with its own ecosystem. Structurally, this aligns with rising CPU demand in the AI inference era. The story is compelling, but execution risk remai
avatarShyon
03-25 01:05
I do lean toward respecting the “Trump first-principle” in this market. When price action keeps overriding fundamentals, it means liquidity and narrative are in control. I’m not abandoning analysis, but I’m adapting — treating Trump more as a volatility trigger than something to believe in. In this environment, reacting fast matters more than being right. On stagflation, I think it’s a risk, not the base case. If Brent crude oil stays high while growth slows, the Fed gets stuck — that’s the real concern. But demand destruction or policy moves could still cap oil, so I’m watching energy closely rather than positioning aggressively for stagflation. As for the market, I don’t see a clean bottom yet — more of a headline-driven range. Rallies can be fast but fragile, so I’m trading tactically,
avatarShyon
03-24
My stock in focus today is $SIA(C6L.SI)$ . The recent Iran conflict dragged SIA’s share price lower as oil prices surged and airspace disruptions raised cost concerns. With tensions now easing, the worst-case scenario priced in by the market is starting to unwind. Earlier, the selloff was driven by panic—spiking fuel costs and operational uncertainty. But these are cyclical rather than structural issues. As tensions cool, fuel prices and routes should normalize, supporting margins. With strong travel demand still intact, downside risk appears limited. This creates a rebound setup for SIA. The stock was heavily discounted on geopolitical fears, and as that risk fades, a sentiment re-rating could follow. If tensions continue to ease, SIA could s
avatarShyon
03-24
I’m not rushing to buy this dip yet. With the US Dollar Index above 100 and rate cuts pushed out, liquidity is tight and gold stays under pressure. The oil shock from the Strait of Hormuz also means institutions may prefer cash over gold—this still feels like forced unwinding, not a clean bottom. History may rhyme, but I’m not calling a reversal yet. The extreme positioning and the spike in iShares Silver Trust $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ volume suggest liquidation isn’t fully done. With gold previously trading far above its long-term average, this looks more like a valuation reset than a quick dip. I’d rather be late than wrong. I’m watching $4,000, but waiting for confirmation like a weaker dollar or Fed shift before scaling in. For now, capit
avatarShyon
03-23
Right now, I’m leaning cautious to slightly bearish on gold in the short term. The sharp drop in SPDR Gold Shares $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ reflects shifting rate expectations, and with the Federal Reserve likely keeping rates higher for longer, that continues to pressure a non-yielding asset like gold. The speed of the sell-off also suggests crowded positioning unwinding. That said, I’m not fully bearish on the bigger picture. If geopolitical tensions stay elevated and oil prices remain high, inflation could stay sticky, which may support gold over time. Real yields are the key—once they peak or decline, gold could stabilize and recover. For now, I see this as a correction rather than a breakdown. I’m staying on the sidelines and waiting for clear
avatarShyon
03-23
Today was definitely a tough day for me as well. My holdings all retraced across the board, and seeing both equities and defensive assets like SPDR Gold Shares $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ come under pressure really highlights how fast sentiment can shift. It honestly felt like there was nowhere to hide, and that added to the frustration. One sentence to describe how I felt: “It felt like watching a slow bleed where every asset I trusted was moving against me at the same time.” That kind of day really tests your conviction and risk management, especially when volatility spikes and correlations go to one. Going forward, I’m choosing to stay disciplined rather than emotional. I’m not rushing to sell everything, but I’m also not blindly buying the dip y
avatarShyon
03-23
This pullback in gold looks more like a macro-driven repricing than a trend reversal. With Federal Reserve pushing back rate cut expectations and real yields moving higher, it’s natural to see pressure on gold and ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares. The speed of the drop feels sharp, but it’s largely reflecting how crowded the “rate cuts + gold rally” trade had become. That said, I don’t think the bull case is broken. As long as oil stays elevated and geopolitical risks persist, inflation expectations could remain sticky, which eventually supports gold again. The key is timing—gold may consolidate short term under rate pressure before regaining strength if real yields roll over. From a positioning standpoint, I’d be cautious chasing downside here, especially in leveraged names like Direxion Daily
avatarShyon
03-23
I’m focusing on PDD Holdings Inc $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ this earnings week. The key for me is the strong EPS momentum, likely driven by operating leverage from Temu’s global expansion. Even with short-term margin pressure, rising earnings estimates suggest the business is scaling well. I lean bullish on PDD because it’s still in a growth phase and less cyclical than travel or industrial names. If it delivers another beat, it could strengthen confidence in its global strategy. I tend to focus on stocks with upward EPS revisions, as that often leads price. Overall, PDD fits my approach of prioritizing earnings momentum over valuation. As long as EPS keeps surprising on the upside, I stay constructive—but I’ll watch for any slowdown or cost pressur
@Dividend_Earnings_Tracker:🎁EPS Growth & Dividend Stars to Watch: PPD, CTAS, CCL, AVGO & More
avatarShyon
03-23
My stock in focus today is $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , and I’m leaning short after the latest news. The U.S. charges tied to alleged export control violations introduce serious regulatory and reputational risk. A 30%+ intraday drop signals more than panic—it shows confidence is breaking. The bigger concern is second-order impact. Even if the company isn’t directly charged, senior-level involvement raises governance questions. In a supply chain tied to Nvidia, compliance is critical. Any disruption could hit demand, while rivals like Dell Technologies may benefit. For me, this looks like the start of a repricing, not a one-off move. The narrative has shifted to uncertainty, which typically compresses valuations. I’d treat any bounce as an
avatarShyon
03-21
My biggest trading weakness is letting emotions override my plan. When a stock runs, I feel the urge to chase, and during volatility, I sometimes take profits too early. I usually start the day with a clear plan, but once the market moves fast, I don’t always execute it the way I intended. To improve, I’ve focused on process over outcome—predefining entries, exits, and risk before the trade. I also size positions smaller so I can stay disciplined, and I keep a simple journal to track when and why I deviate. Most of my mistakes still come down to the same triggers: FOMO and the fear of giving back profits. What’s helped most is accepting that missing a trade is better than forcing one. I now wait for confirmation instead of chasing momentum, and I treat risk management as my real edge. It’
avatarShyon
03-20
I see this week’s move as more of a sentiment-driven reset rather than the start of a deeper breakdown. The selloff was triggered by oil and geopolitical headlines, and the quick rebound shows dip-buying is still present. However, without a Fed “put,” the market is more fragile and reactive to news. The AAII data showing over 50% bearish is historically contrarian and can signal a near-term bottom. But I’m cautious—oil-driven inflation and a hawkish Fed are the bigger constraints, and they could keep pressure on valuations and limit upside. In that context, 6500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ may act more like resistance than strong support. Overall, I’m not aggressively buying the dip. I see this as a tradeable bounce in a volatile environment rather than

Go to Tiger App to see more news