Shyon
02-04 00:36
Semiconductors have clearly shifted from last year’s AI storytelling to a hard execution phase. Capital is chasing memory names, while logic and architecture players are under intense scrutiny on real orders, margins, and guidance. This earnings week is less about vision and more about proof.

My predictions:
AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop
I expect $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ to benefit from solid AI accelerator momentum and data center demand, enough to drive a post-arnings bounce. $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ , despite past issues, could see a relief rally if management shows backlog conversion and margin stabilization.

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ still faces headwinds from a weak mobile market, with AI PC & edge AI contributions likely too early to impress. $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ , even after a sharp correction, remains, highly valued & if licensing growth doesn’t clearly exceed expectations, downside pressure may continue.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

AMD Slides 17%! 2018 Redux or Buy-the-Dip?
Advanced Micro Devices suffered its worst session since October 2018, plunging 17% intraday after a cautious outlook overshadowed an earnings beat. Shares gapped down 11.2% at the open and risk wiping out all gains made in early 2026. Some analysts argue Q4 results looked far less impressive without China demand, and near-term AI revenue failed to show a true inflection. Others see capitulation in a crowded trade—and a potential entry point if data-center momentum re-accelerates. Is this guidance-driven reset the end of AMD’s AI optimism? Or a classic overreaction before the next cycle leg?
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Comments

  • Esther_Ryan
    02-04 14:06
    Esther_Ryan
    $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ just reported its Quarterly earnings showing off a 123% jump YoY in net sales to $12.7B, vs. $10.43B est. However the company conveniently kept silent on these data because it will expose how almost all of those revenues have been fabricated via pass through vendor financing on steroids ⚠️ 🚩 Account receivables up 500% to ~11bn$ in 6 months 🚩 Inventories up 228% to ~10.6bn$ in 6 months 🚩 Account payables up 1053% in 6 months to ~13.75bn$ 🚩 Cash and Equivalents DOWN 22% in 6 months to ~4.1bn$ 🚩 Gross margins DOWN to 6.3% vs 9.3% the previous quarter
    • Shyon
      Thanks for sharing
  • 1PC
    02-04 23:22
    1PC
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