Shyon
02-04 17:49
I’m leaning toward $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ this week, as it’s clearly moving into the harvest phase of AI rather than just telling the story. Gemini 3.0 driving higher Search conversion is exactly what the market wants, and a re-acceleration in Search growth gives earnings a very direct boost.

At the same time, GCP looks structurally stronger. Self-developed TPUs are lowering costs, while large deals like Anthropic support both scale and margins. The Apple AI partnership remains a strong validation of Google’s full-stack capabilities, even if valuation concerns linger.

By comparison, I’m more cautious on $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ in the near term. Elevated inventory and expected margin pullback still pose risks, despite organizational slimming. For this week, I think the market favors clearer ROI — I believe Google can close above $340, driven by its full-stack AI edge, and it has a better chance of setting a new all-time high.

@Tiger_comments @TigerClub @TigerStars

Google Cloud +48% But CapEx Spikes! All-In AI Would Drag Stock Down Now?
Alphabet’s earnings sparked violent after-hours swings: shares first fell 7.5%, then rebounded over 4%, before turning lower again as investors digested the outlook. Alphabet reported 18% YoY revenue growth, with Search up 17% and Google Cloud revenue beating estimates by 9%. Even after a 42% jump in R&D and a $2.1B one-off Waymo charge, operating margins stayed above 30%. The sticking point: 2026 spending guidance of $180B, more than 50% above expectations, reigniting fears of AI overinvestment.
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