Kinnikt
06-08

I’m not running for the exit. I’m treating this as a watchlist moment, not an all-in moment. The AI trade was crowded, rates just got repriced higher, and expectations for semis were stretched. That combination can wipe out a trillion dollars fast. But the long-term AI infrastructure buildout has not disappeared in one session. I’d rather scale in slowly, focus on quality chip leaders, and let the market prove support before adding aggressively. Panic creates opportunity, but only if you keep dry powder.

Dow Drops 464 Points Ahead of Jobs Data — What Does Tonight's Print Need to Show?
U.S. stocks fell broadly Thursday — Dow −464 points (−0.85%), S&P 500 −0.18%, QQQ −0.37% — with Treasury yields and crude both higher. Everything points at July payrolls tonight (8:30 a.m. ET / 20:30 Beijing): consensus near 80,000 against June's 57,000, unemployment holding at 4.2%. The cooling evidence keeps stacking — ADP at 44,000, openings down, ISM services employment at 47.4. Gentle cooling with contained wages pulls yields lower and gives AI and semis valuation room; a hot print revives September hike bets. Tonight, watch the number or the wages?
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