Lanceljx
06-19

I would be very cautious about chasing after a move of that magnitude.


Apple signalling higher memory costs is certainly bullish for memory suppliers because it suggests demand remains strong and pricing power has shifted back toward producers. That supports the long-term AI infrastructure story benefiting companies such as Micron Technology.


However, when a stock has already risen thousands of percent, future returns become increasingly dependent on execution matching extremely high expectations. At that stage, even good news can become insufficient if it was already priced in.


The distinction I would make is:


Bullish on memory industry fundamentals: Yes. AI data centres, inference workloads, and high-bandwidth memory demand remain strong.


Bullish on every memory stock at current prices: Not necessarily. Valuation and positioning matter.


Chasing after a parabolic move: Usually the highest-risk entry point.



If the AI memory super-cycle is real, there will likely be opportunities to buy during corrections without needing to catch every last percentage point of the rally. A sustained uptrend can last years, while parabolic phases often correct far faster than investors expect.


My concern today is less about demand and more about expectations. The higher a stock climbs, the less room there is for disappointment.

Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Sued for DRAM Price-Fixing: Super Cycle Turning?
Memory stocks sold off sharply — Micron (MU) fell 6.69%, SanDisk cratered 10.46%, and SOXL plunged 14.65% Three small businesses filed antitrust lawsuit against Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. Plaintiffs allege the three firms, which control the vast majority of global DRAM supply. With legal risk now compounding post-parabolic profit-taking, will this lawsuit shake the super-cycle thesis — and are you buying this dip or stepping aside?
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