Hawkish June FOMC Meeting Keeps Front-End Rates Elevated; Asian Equities Gained on AI Optimism 【 CSOP SG Weekly 】

CSOP AML
06-23 16:42

【Money Market Fund】

US$ MMF Net 7-day Yield: +3.61%*

During the week, markets processed signals from the June FOMC and Chair Warsh’s debut. HSBC highlights four near-term impacts: a hawkish inflation stance may push front-end yields higher, Warsh’s focus on inflation responsibility supports curve flattening, reduced forward guidance increases front-end volatility, and while balance sheet policy is steady, further QT remains possible. Looking ahead to the week, ongoing Fedspeak and geopolitical developments remain in focus.

* Data as of 2026/06/18. 7-day net yield is calculated based on calendar days and NAVs in 5-decimal.

【REITs】

S$ SRT YTD total return: ‑3.80%

As of 19 Jun 2026 (Fri), $CSOP iEdge SREIT ETF S$(SRT.SI)$ declined 0.54% WTD in SGD, bringing YTD return to ‑3.80%. WTD declines were driven by weakness in residential, industrial and data centre by subsector, and CAREIT, KDCREIT, and FCT by individual REIT.

At current levels, S-REITs valuations appear attractive with SRT’s benchmark, the SREITLSN index’s P/B at 0.9x and index estimated dividend yield at 5.9%, which gives a yield spread of 3.9% vs the Singapore 10Y government bond yield.

Looking at the broader economy in Singapore, according to The Business Times, Singapore's non-oil domestic exports (NODX) exceeded expectations, rising 38.4% YoY in May, extending the 24.4% rise in April, driven primarily by surging AI-driven electronics domestic shipments growth.

【Fixed Income】

CYC YTD NAV: +1.54% in CNY; +4.93% in USD^

China rates were driven by softer-than-expected economic data and policy signals, with HSBC expecting authorities to rely on policy bank bond issuance to support the real economy via more loans. Looking ahead, HSBC anticipates China bond yields to drift lower this year. $ICBC CSOP CGB ETF S$(CYC.SI)$

^ Bloomberg, as of 2026/06/18. CYC/CYB/CYX USD NAV is converted based on benchmark FX, subject to rounding error.

【Equities】

Regional Equity ETFs

US$ LCU YTD return: +25.80%

·         LCU gained 3.76% WTD, bringing YTD return to +25.80%. $CSOP FTSE Asia Pacific Select Index ETF USD(LCU.SI)$

·         WTD gains were attributable to IT, industrials, and financials by sector, South Korea, Japan and Taiwan by region, and SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics and TSMC by individual firm. The rally happened amidst optimism over AI spending.

·         SK Hynix announced it has delivered samples of its next‑generation HBM4E DRAM for AI to key customers, with plans to advance toward timely mass production.

US$ SQU YTD return: ‑14.33%

·         SQU was flat WTD (0.00%), with Wipro, Sea Ltd and Grab among the top return contributors, while Delta Electronics, Infosys and Venture Corp were the main laggards. $CSOP SEA TECH ETF US$(SQU.SI)$

·         Wipro rose after announcing the launch of its Applied AI Center of Excellence for Claude models powered by Anthropic, to accelerate enterprise AI impact. Sea Ltd is rolling out its AI chatbot Migoo in markets including the US, marking its entry into consumer AI and targeting the competitive Gen‑Z segment.

A-Share Equity ETFs

S$ SHD YTD return: +4.73%; S$ SCY YTD return: +56.06%; S$ CSA500 YTD return#: +5.61%

·         During the week, Chinese tech stocks were supported by growing optimism around tech hardware and regulator’s push to ease listing rules, which could benefit AI firms and encourage dual listings. $CSOP DIV ETF S$(SHD.SI)$

# Data begins from CSA500 SP Equity’s inception date of 2026/01/20.

Source: CSOP, Bloomberg, JPM, HSBC, as of 2026/06/19, except where otherwise stated.

SCY’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/03/31)

SHD’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/03/31)

CSA500’s underlying fund’s top 10 holdings (as of 2026/03/31)

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SRT & SQQ

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CYC/CYB & LCU

The ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index ETF (the “ETF”) and CSOP FTSE Asia Pacific Select Index ETF (the “ETF”) has been developed solely by CSOP Asset Management Pte. Ltd. The ETF is not in any way connected to or sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by the London Stock Exchange Group plc and its group undertakings (collectively, the “LSE Group”). FTSE Russell is a trading name of certain of the LSE Group companies.

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SHD & CSA500

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SCY

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Fed Hawkish Repricing? More Hikes or Imminent Pivot?
The June FOMC's hawkish shock continues to reverberate: nine of 18 officials' dot plots point to a rate hike this year, and swap markets pulled forward the first hike from March 2027 to October, sending 2-year Treasury yields to their largest single-day surge since March. Goldman's Kaplan warns of two to three consecutive autumn increases. Citigroup stands alone on the other side, citing collapsing oil prices, rising jobless claims and calling for rate cuts as soon as October. Are you siding with the hawks, or betting on Citi's contrarian pivot call?
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