Tiger 123
08-11

There is no evidence yet that hyperscaler infrastructure spending is slowing materially.

The better investment opportunity continues to move toward the physical AI infrastructure chain:


REITs — today’s CPI matters considerably to this sector  

Soft CPI → lower Treasury yields → positive REIT catalyst.

Hot CPI + Brent approaching $90 → higher yields → negative REIT catalyst.

Two Rounds of Treasury Buybacks, and Long-End Yields Still Hit a New High?
The Treasury bought 20- to 30-year debt again Wednesday, capped at $6B — second round in two weeks; the first filled only $5.2B. The bid came, yields didn't fall: the 10-year closed at 5.11%, up 15bp and the highest since 2007, as was the 30-year. October Fed hike odds hit 69.7%. Stocks fell: Nasdaq -1.13% to 26,936.04, erasing Tuesday's record; QQQ -0.84% to $741.21; S&P 500 -0.75% to 7,706.03; Dow -0.68% to 51,511.59. Bulls say firm data, not weak demand, is lifting yields; bears say two buybacks and a new high prove the bid can't absorb supply. At what yield do you redo the math on stocks?
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Comments

  • zookee
    08-11
    zookee
    CPI catalyst is too crowded now. Brent near 90 matters more imo, how much juice does that really add to inflation fears?
  • JackJackson
    08-11
    JackJackson
    I added some data center REITs too. CPI is the near-term trigger, but do you think long lease duration can offset yield noise enough?
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