Puts puts puts baby
09-08

The substantial beat in August payrolls (162k vs. 56k expected) showcases economic resilience, but muted market reactions highlight that wage growth—slowing to 3.1% YoY—remains the key driver keeping rate-hike odds largely anchored and shifting focus directly to the upcoming CPI data. While mega-cap tech faces pressure as duration assets lose favor in a higher-for-longer yield environment (10-year up to 4.79%), the strong labor market acts as a fundamental economic floor rather than an immediate catalyst for aggressive tightening. Investors should adopt a balanced approach: rebalancing away from overextended mega-caps to lock in gains ahead of inflation readings, while selectively adding exposure to small-caps and value cyclical stocks (like the Russell 2000) that stand to benefit from broader macroeconomic durability.

Indexes Flat, But Where Were the Gains?
Friday was quarterly triple witching - index futures, index options and single-stock options expiring at once. The index barely moved: QQQ +0.63% to $721.45, SPY roughly flat at $761.69. Underneath, it split. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose nearly 3% while the megacaps went the other way: Meta -2.43% to $665.75 on no company news, Oracle -1.98% to $147.61, handing back a third of Thursday's 5.19%, Apple -0.26% to $336.13. On an expiry day the index print is part mechanics, not all opinion. The split underneath is what traded. Does a flat tape on triple witching tell you anything?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

We need your insight to fill this gap
Leave a comment