Prediction markets indicating a rate hike again in October. Is this going to be the trend moving towards 2027?

PawsAndProfits
09-26

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$

So various prediction markets have concluded that the fed will likely raise interest rate again on October 28, 2026. Is Warsh really playing catch up d/t the resilence to not increase rate by previous fed chairman, Jerome Powell? Or is the macro picture finally pressuring the fed to match up with it? A lot of questions, but no clear answers to them.

And with treasuries hitting 5% yield, which is a record high. Forward estimates in equities will slowly corode as investors will shift their cash cow to treasury yields, which is a safe heaven. So people who are heavily invested in growth stocks, or even leveraged on them, do take caution as we move towards the last quarter of the year.[Serious]

Stay safe, continue investing. Market only rewards patience and consistency.[Love you]

@PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options selling and Swing trading.[666]

@koolgal

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Comments

  • JeromeErnest
    09-27
    JeromeErnest
    Cash rotating into Treasuries is the part I care about most. When the safe yield starts competing with growth, tech usually gets A'd first
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