$53 bln Losses In 2Q - Buy Berkshire's Dip Or Not?

Tiger_comments
2022-08-08
Reward Tiger-CoinsReward 1000 Tiger-coins

On August 6, Warren Buffett's company - Berkshire Hathaway- announced its latest earnings:

Q2 revenue of $76.18 billion, compared to $69.11 billion last year.

Net earnings (loss) attributable to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders: -$43.755 billion, compared with earnings of $28.094 billion last year.

The loss was mainly due to investment and derivatives losses of $53.038 billion.

2Q Berkshire Investment Huge Losses: $53 billion

In the 2Q, US stocks fell into a bear market. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 16% in the second quarter, the largest quarterly decline since March 2020, the $DJIA(.DJI)$ fell 11% and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell more than 22%.

Berkshire's five largest positions- $ Apple (AAPL)$, $ Bank of America (BAC)$, $ American Express (AXP)$, $ Chevron (CVX)$ in the 2Q have fallen sharply, which might account for Berkshire's losses.

Don't Worry About Floating Losses?

According to US GAAP, long-term holdings will be accounted in the book value; for short-term investments that might be sold, the market price is accounted, and the difference is included in earnings.

In other words, the floating gain or loss of the stock is included in the net income. So, the $53bln losses are just floating losses.

In its report,

Berkshire cautions investors not to pay much attention to fluctuations in investment income.
Investment gains and losses in any single quarter are meaningless. The net earnings per share may be misleading to investors who have little or no knowledge of accounting rules.

But after June 17, $Apple(AAPL)$ began to rise sharply in a row, and several other positions, Bank of America, Chevron, and American Express also continued to rise. It meant the floating losses of Berkshire may decrease in the next quarter.

Buy the Dip or not? It’s a question.

Compared to the $51.1 billion investment in the 1Q, Buffett sold $2.3 billion of shares and spent only $6.2 billion on stock purchases (most of which was used to increase his holdings in $Occidental(OXY)$ ) in 2Q.

Some analysts expect $Occidental(OXY)$ to report net earnings of $10.7 billion this year.

Under Equity accounting principles, if Berkshire holds at least 20% of its common stock, it may bring $2 billion to Berkshire profits.

However, at the same time, Berkshire's share price has retraced more than the broader market in the last 3 months.

$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ closed at $292 on Friday amid a recent 2-week rally in the US stock market. It is still at the recent 1-year low.

Berkshire reported weak earnings on Aug. 6, which means its shares will continue to fall recently.

Would you buy Berkshire lately (and at what price)?

Do you think Berkshire can outperform the broader market this year?

Follow me and comment here to win tiger coins~

Q2 Earnings Season
A parade of earnings reports will expose how companies have contended with soaring inflation, shifts in consumer spending, and a volatile supply environment.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
Reward expired
735 tiger-coins have been distributed to 25 participants
Deadline to 08/29 13:11
Reward-post

Comments

  • koolgal
    2022-08-09
    koolgal
    Win 50 Tiger-coins

    Even though Berkshire Hathaway posted loss of USD 53 billion in 2Q, it is actually due to floating losses since accounting rules require Berkshire Hathaway to include unrealised gains and losses from its investment portfolio. 

    Actually Berkshire's operating earnings rose to USD9.3 billion from USD6.7 billion in previous year.   Earnings grew at all of its major units including railroad, utilities, energy and insurance as well.

    Berkshire Hathaway still have a significant cash pile at USD105.4 billion waiting to be deployed.  

     I will go in tranches to buy Berkshire with Target price of USD280 to USD290 as it is hard to predict the bottom. 

    The present market offers great opportunity to buy Berkshire Hathaway as it is trading at very attractive levels.  I can foresee that Berkshire Hathaway's performance will improve later this year as inflation levels will drop due to the Feds interest rates hikes and supply chain disruption easing off.

    @Tiger_chat  @TigerStars  

  • Kaixiang
    2022-08-09
    Kaixiang
    Win 30 Tiger-coins
    Berkshire’s holdings are generally quite defensive which will withstand the stress of recession. It has proven to be resilient and appreciate over time. I will look at buying at the next support leve
  • StickyRice
    2022-08-09
    StickyRice
    Win 30 Tiger-coins
    In long term aBRK.B holding is value pick and poised to run higher. So hold steady, don’t expect high return. 10-15% per year return but consistent is what BRK.B is about. I will buy at current price.
  • Alubin
    2022-08-09
    Alubin
    Win 20 Tiger-coins
    Berkshire’s holdings are defensive which will withstand the stress of recession. It has proven to be resilient and appreciate over time. I will look to buy in slowly starting now.
  • Lao Tzu Ang
    2022-08-09
    Lao Tzu Ang
    Win 15 Tiger-coins
    Stock price is too expensive for retail investors. A lot of other stocks to pick. No point betting on this.
  • Newbie Tiger
    2022-08-09
    Newbie Tiger
    Win 25 Tiger-coins
    the king of stocks underperformed or??? waiting for a strong rebound in 3Q?
Leave a comment
97