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08-14 11:53

SNDK Surges 14%, AMAT Falls Despite Beating Estimates: At Record Highs, the Market Only Rewards Posi

A mild PPI report pushed the S&P 500 to another record close, but the real story overnight was the widening gap within tech. SNDK surged 13.7% after unveiling its long-term growth targets through 2030, lifting WDC and MU with it. Meanwhile, COHR, Cisco and AMAT all delivered solid results—but their stocks were not rewarded. Investors still want AI exposure, but they are no longer paying higher prices for growth that is already widely expected. S&P 500 Hits Another Record as PPI Eases Rate-Hike Fears All three major U.S. indices closed higher overnight: The immediate catalyst was the July U.S. Producer Price Index. Headline PPI was unchanged from the previous month, easing concerns about another inflation rebound. Goods prices declined 0.7%, including a 3.1% drop in energy prices, o
SNDK Surges 14%, AMAT Falls Despite Beating Estimates: At Record Highs, the Market Only Rewards Posi
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08-13 14:46

Trump’s $3 Billion Minerals Push: Is It Time to Buy U.S. Rare-Earth and Magnet Stocks?

The U.S. critical-minerals trade is moving beyond tariffs and geopolitical headlines. Washington is now using equity investments, long-term loans, price floors and purchase guarantees to build an independent supply chain. That improves the sector’s long-term investment case—but the latest funding does not benefit every rare-earth stock equally. Where Is the Money Actually Going? On August 7, President Donald Trump met with more than 200 mining executives, investors, educators and government officials as part of his effort to make the United States a “minerals superpower.” Reuters estimated that the newly announced critical-minerals, battery and related investments totaled approximately $3 billion. The White House separately listed more than $2 billion in mining-related projects and over $1
Trump’s $3 Billion Minerals Push: Is It Time to Buy U.S. Rare-Earth and Magnet Stocks?

The $104 Billion Backlog Is Still There: CRWV Jumps 14%, SMCI Gains 7% After Hours

AI hardware stocks have suffered a sharp valuation reset, but the latest earnings show that underlying infrastructure demand remains strong. CoreWeave’s revenue backlog reached $104.2 billion, while Super Micro guided for up to $72 billion in annual revenue. The key bottlenecks are increasingly power, cooling, networking and financing—not a lack of AI orders AI Infrastructure Rebounds After Hours U.S. stocks ended the latest session lower as investors remained cautious ahead of the July CPI report: S&P 500: −0.32% Nasdaq Composite: −0.60% Dow Jones: −0.34% However, several AI infrastructure names rebounded after the close: $CoreWeave(CRWV)$: up more than 14% after hours $Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$: u
The $104 Billion Backlog Is Still There: CRWV Jumps 14%, SMCI Gains 7% After Hours

AI Optics Just Got Crushed: COHR Fell 14%. Is the “Picks-and-Shovels” Trade Peaking?

AI optical-networking stocks suffered a broad valuation reset. COHR dropped 14.2%, LITE lost 8.6%, and AXTI plunged 16.7%. So far, there is little evidence that AI-driven optical demand has suddenly weakened. The selloff looks more like aggressive de-risking ahead of Coherent’s earnings—but expectations are now so high that strong growth alone may no longer be enough. AI Optics Became the Market’s Biggest Pain Point The latest session was brutal for optical-networking stocks: $Coherent(COHR)$: −14.2% $Lumentum(LITE)$: −8.6% $AXT Inc.(AXTI)$: −16.7% $Fabrinet(FN)$: −6.3% $Applied Optoe
AI Optics Just Got Crushed: COHR Fell 14%. Is the “Picks-and-Shovels” Trade Peaking?

Wall Street Is Calling for S&P 8,000 — Is the Last 3% Worth Chasing?

Wall Street has just given the bulls another reason to celebrate. J.P. Morgan raised its 2026 year-end target for the S&P 500 from 7,800 to 8,000. Based on Friday’s close of 7,757.64, however, that leaves only about 3.1% of upside. At least seven Wall Street brokerages now expect the index to reach the 8,000 level by year-end. Reuters The headline sounds extremely bullish. But the more important question is not whether the S&P 500 can gain another 3%. It is why J.P. Morgan became more confident after the index had already reached a record high. This Rally Is Finally Getting More Earnings Support Of the 436 S&P 500 companies that had reported second-quarter results through Friday morning, 85.1% beat analyst expectations. That is well above the long-term average of 68%. J.P. Morg
Wall Street Is Calling for S&P 8,000 — Is the Last 3% Worth Chasing?
SpaceX Rallies 6% After Its Lockup Expiration: Is the Next Opportunity in Space Stocks? SpaceX has finally given the public space sector something it has long lacked: a genuine valuation anchor. On August 6, approximately 911.5 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading. Investors feared that employees and early shareholders would rush to sell, yet after plunging nearly 14% the previous day, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rebounded 6.1% to close at $114.92. This does not mean the selling pressure is over. By December 8, tradable shares could rise to roughly 40% of SpaceX’s total shares outstanding, leaving the stock exposed to further supply and volatility. Reuters But the more interesting signal came from the rest of the sector.

Tensions Ease, Yet Gold Is Back Near $4,300: What Is the Market Really Trading?

Gold is displaying a seemingly counterintuitive pattern. As signs of easing tensions emerge in the Middle East, gold has staged one of its strongest rebounds in months. On August 6, spot gold climbed as high as $4,271 per ounce, its highest level since June 18 and its fourth consecutive session of gains. U.S. gold futures traded near $4,330 after recording their largest one-day increase since February. (Reuters) Gold-mining stocks showed even greater momentum. On August 5, gold futures rose approximately 3.5% and reclaimed their 50-day moving average. The $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ jumped about 7.3%, while $Newmont(NEM)$, $Agnico Eagle Mines(AEM)$ and
Tensions Ease, Yet Gold Is Back Near $4,300: What Is the Market Really Trading?

Apple Asked CXMT for Lower Prices—and Got Turned Down. Can the Memory Supercycle Still Run?

Apple wanted to add a new DRAM supplier to lower costs. Instead, the potential supplier reportedly refused to offer a cheaper price. On August 5, South Korea’s Digital Daily reported that Apple had recently held procurement talks with Chinese memory-chip maker CXMT over LPDDR5X mobile DRAM. Apple reportedly asked for a further price reduction, but CXMT refused. Its quotes were said to be close to those of Samsung and SK Hynix—and, for some products, even higher. (Digital Daily) Neither Apple nor CXMT has publicly confirmed the talks, and no specific pricing details have been disclosed. Still, the report is not an isolated signal. Reuters reported in July that CXMT had started raising prices for major customers including Huawei, with some DDR5 server-memory products quoted above comparable
Apple Asked CXMT for Lower Prices—and Got Turned Down. Can the Memory Supercycle Still Run?

Indexes Near Record Highs, Valuations in Melt-Up Territory: Is This Rally Still Worth Chasing?

Wall Street has quickly moved from correction fears back to record-high excitement. On Monday, the Dow gained 1.32% to close at a record 53,178. The S&P 500 rose 1.48% to 7,600, while the Nasdaq climbed 2.13%. Falling oil prices and lower Treasury yields gave growth stocks another boost, while strong earnings brought capital back into technology and AI names. That leaves investors facing an uncomfortable question: Are earnings pulling the market higher, or is fear of missing out creating a high-valuation melt-up? Tonight may provide an important answer. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $Arista Networks(ANET)$ both report after the closing bell. AMD represents the computing layer of the AI buildout. Ar
Indexes Near Record Highs, Valuations in Melt-Up Territory: Is This Rally Still Worth Chasing?

Oil Pulls Back, the Yen Rebounds, and AI Earnings Improve: How Far Can the Tech Rally Run?

Global risk sentiment improved today. Oil prices continued to retreat, easing concerns about energy-driven inflation and higher interest rates. The yen strengthened sharply as intervention expectations grew, temporarily reducing the risk of disorderly currency moves. Strong earnings from Microsoft and Amazon also gave investors more confidence that some AI spending is already producing revenue. Several pressures that had weighed on technology stocks are now easing at the same time. The next test is whether this rebound can gain sustained support from earnings, cash flow and the macro environment. 1. Lower oil gives growth stocks some breathing room The earlier surge in oil prices raised concerns that energy costs would push inflation higher again and reduce the Federal Reserve’s room to ea
Oil Pulls Back, the Yen Rebounds, and AI Earnings Improve: How Far Can the Tech Rally Run?

V-Shaped Reversal or U-Shaped Recovery? What Today’s AI Rebound Is Really Telling Us

After several brutal sessions, global technology stocks finally staged a powerful rebound. The Nasdaq rose 2.8%, while Microsoft’s post-earnings surge helped lift AI chips, cloud stocks and data-center names across the board. The move became even more dramatic in Asia. South Korea’s KOSPI jumped sharply, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix surging as investors rushed back into semiconductor names. Taiwan’s market also rebounded strongly, led by TSMC. At first glance, this looks like a classic V-shaped reversal. But the more important question is: Has the correction really ended, or is the market only beginning a longer U-shaped repair process? Why did the rebound happen so quickly? The first reason is earnings. Microsoft showed that AI spending can already translate into cloud revenue, p
V-Shaped Reversal or U-Shaped Recovery? What Today’s AI Rebound Is Really Telling Us

Same AI Spending, Different Results: Why Microsoft Surged While Meta Slid

Microsoft and Meta reported earnings on the same night. Both are spending heavily on AI infrastructure, both raised or maintained aggressive investment plans, and both delivered strong revenue growth. The market still gave them opposite verdicts. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ rose more than 8% after hours as Azure growth, Copilot adoption and a strong outlook convinced investors that its AI spending is already generating measurable returns. $Meta Platforms(META)$ fell roughly 9% in premarket trading after free cash flow collapsed and capital expenditure remained close to record levels. Meta’s advertising business is still growing quickly, but investors want a clearer answer on how its enormous compute buildout will c
Same AI Spending, Different Results: Why Microsoft Surged While Meta Slid

Fed + Microsoft + Meta Tonight: Two Tests That Could Reset the AI Trade

Tonight brings two major market tests at the same time. The Federal Reserve will announce its rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by the press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET. After the U.S. market closes, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Meta Platforms(META)$ will report earnings. (联邦储备系统) One event will shape the valuation investors are willing to pay for growth stocks. The other will determine whether Big Tech’s enormous AI spending can still support those valuations. Put simply: The Fed sets the valuation ceiling. Microsoft and Meta test the AI earnings floor. Test No. 1: The Fed decision The Fed entered this meeting with its benchmark rate at 3.50%–3.75%. Holding rates steady remains the base case among economi
Fed + Microsoft + Meta Tonight: Two Tests That Could Reset the AI Trade

China’s DUV Push, Apple’s Record High, Nvidia’s 5% Drop: Is Big Tech Being Re-Ranked?

Three very different technology stories hit the market in the same session. China reportedly began producing domestically developed immersion DUV lithography machines, pressuring ASML and the broader semiconductor-equipment sector. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ fell about 5% as investors questioned how deeply the chip leader may become financially involved with the companies buying its hardware. Meanwhile, $Apple(AAPL)$ reached a record closing high and reclaimed the title of the world’s most valuable listed company. Together, these moves suggest that the market is changing the way it values technology companies. The new questions are becoming clearer: Who controls a critical bottleneck? Who is taking on the financial r
China’s DUV Push, Apple’s Record High, Nvidia’s 5% Drop: Is Big Tech Being Re-Ranked?

Oil Drops More Than 5%: Is the Market Back to a “Peace + AI Earnings” Trade?

Monday opened with a sharp reversal in the market narrative. Brent crude fell more than 6% toward $90 a barrel, while WTI dropped to around $84.5 after the United States and Iran paused attacks over the weekend. U.S. stock futures moved higher, with Nasdaq 100 futures leading the rebound as investors rotated back toward technology and other rate-sensitive assets. (Reuters) The logic is straightforward: Lower oil → less inflation pressure → lower rate anxiety → breathing room for growth stocks. But this is still a fragile relief trade. Shipping activity through the Strait of Hormuz remains subdued, and attacks linked to Yemen’s Houthis continue to threaten Saudi oil infrastructure and traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb strait. The pause in fighting has created room for diplomacy, but it has
Oil Drops More Than 5%: Is the Market Back to a “Peace + AI Earnings” Trade?

Mag 7 Loses Nearly $800 Billion: Is the Market Finally Charging AI for Its Spending?

Last night’s selloff felt like more than a normal pullback. The Nasdaq fell 2.15%, while the VIX jumped more than 12% to 18.7. $Tesla(TSLA)$ plunged 14.53%, and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ dropped 7.13%. By several market estimates, the Magnificent Seven lost close to $800 billion in market value in a single session. At the same time, Brent crude moved above $100 per barrel and Treasury yields climbed. Two pressures hit growth stocks together: AI return concerns and renewed inflation risk. A week ago, the market was still rewarding companies for spending more aggressively on AI. Now investors are asking a harder question: When will all that spending turn into profit and free cash flow? 1. The capex scare finally a
Mag 7 Loses Nearly $800 Billion: Is the Market Finally Charging AI for Its Spending?

Three Earnings, Three AI Realities: Google Monetizes, Tesla Burns Cash, IBM Gets Squeezed

Alphabet, Tesla and IBM reported earnings on the same night—and together they offered one of the clearest snapshots yet of where the AI spending cycle stands. Google showed that AI infrastructure can already drive explosive cloud growth. Tesla showed how quickly AI, robotaxi and robotics investment can consume cash before those businesses generate meaningful revenue. IBM showed another side of the cycle: corporate customers are prioritizing scarce servers, memory and storage, while some traditional IT projects are being delayed. The market is moving past a simple question—“Who is investing in AI?”—and focusing on something harder: Who can turn AI spending into revenue, margins and free cash flow? Google: AI demand is turning into cloud revenue Alphabet delivered the strongest operating gro
Three Earnings, Three AI Realities: Google Monetizes, Tesla Burns Cash, IBM Gets Squeezed

Google Earnings Countdown: Is $180 Billion of AI Spending Starting to Pay Off?

Alphabet will report its second-quarter results on Wednesday after the U.S. market closes. This earnings release matters far beyond $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ itself. TSMC and ASML have already shown that demand for advanced chips and semiconductor equipment remains strong. Google now has to answer the next question in the AI value chain: Can all that spending on chips, servers and data centers turn into cloud revenue, advertising growth and free cash flow? Wall Street currently expects roughly $116.8 billion in Q2 revenue, including about $22.2 billion from Google Cloud. Options markets are pricing in an earnings move of around 5.3%. The first test: Can Google Cloud keep growing above 60%? Google Cloud was Alphabet’s strongest business in the first quart
Google Earnings Countdown: Is $180 Billion of AI Spending Starting to Pay Off?

TSMC Profit Jumps 77%, ASML Raises Its Outlook: How Much Further Can the AI Hardware Expansion Run?

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ TSMC and ASML have delivered another strong signal for the AI semiconductor cycle. TSMC reported second-quarter revenue of $40.2 billion, a gross margin of 67.7%, and net profit growth of 77.4% year over year. ASML, meanwhile, raised its 2026 revenue outlook from €36 billion–€40 billion to €43 billion–€45 billion, while preparing to expand EUV and immersion DUV capacity again in 2027 and 2028. Together, the two earnings reports confirm that demand for AI chips, advanced process nodes, HBM and semiconductor equipment remains strong. The next question is moving downstream: Can Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazo
TSMC Profit Jumps 77%, ASML Raises Its Outlook: How Much Further Can the AI Hardware Expansion Run?

IBM Plunges 25%: Is Corporate IT Spending Moving From Software to AI Hardware?

$IBM(IBM)$ IBM delivered one of the clearest signals yet that the AI boom is reshaping corporate technology budgets. The company’s shares plunged about 25% after it released preliminary second-quarter results below Wall Street expectations. IBM expects quarterly revenue of roughly $17.2 billion, up only 1% year over year and below the $17.86 billion analysts expected. Adjusted earnings are projected at $2.93 per share, versus the $3.02 consensus estimate. (Reuters) The headline numbers were disappointing, but the explanation was even more important. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said that during the final weeks of June, corporate clients redirected part of their quarterly capital spending toward servers, storage and memory. Customers wante
IBM Plunges 25%: Is Corporate IT Spending Moving From Software to AI Hardware?

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