AWS +24%, Capex +50%: Is Amazon Overbuilding AI?
Amazon delivered Q4 revenue +14% YoY, with Amazon Web Services surging 24%, its fastest growth in over three years. The flip side: free cash flow collapsed 70%+, while full-year PPE capex jumped 59%. Amazon disclosed $10B+ annualized revenue from Trainium and Graviton chips and guided 2026 capex +50% YoY, nearly 40% above consensus—outspending even Google. Q1 revenue growth could reach 15%, but profit guidance spans +17% to −10%, partly due to $1B added LEO satellite costs. Will Amazon lose $200?
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