AMD Slides 17%! 2018 Redux or Buy-the-Dip?

Advanced Micro Devices suffered its worst session since October 2018, plunging 17% intraday after a cautious outlook overshadowed an earnings beat. Shares gapped down 11.2% at the open and risk wiping out all gains made in early 2026. Some analysts argue Q4 results looked far less impressive without China demand, and near-term AI revenue failed to show a true inflection. Others see capitulation in a crowded trade—and a potential entry point if data-center momentum re-accelerates. Is this guidance-driven reset the end of AMD’s AI optimism? Or a classic overreaction before the next cycle leg?

avatarECLC
01:17
It is normal to drop when the stock runs up too much. May be a buy-the-dip opportunity for AMD's AI growth.
avatarLanceljx
02-05 20:58
Advanced Micro Devices: reset or opportunity? This looks less like the end of the Al story and more like a valuation and expectations reset. The sell-off was driven by guidance, not execution. The earnings beat confirmed solid operations, but management did not deliver the near-term Al inflection the market had aggressively priced in. With China demand removed and MI300 ramp visibility pushed out, investors recalibrated from “immediate Al winner” to “cycle participant with timing risk”. That said, calling this the end of AMD’s Al optimism is premature. Three points matter: 1. Crowded trade unwind AMD had become a consensus Al proxy outside Nvidia. When guidance failed to accelerate, positioning, not fundamentals, did the damage. A 17 percent drawdown in one session has clear capitulation c
avatarWongers
02-05 19:57
Thoughts on this dip?
This is a pivotal moment for AMD. The 17% plunge is not just a number; it's a violent market verdict on its AI narrative. Let's break down whether this is a structural breakdown or a painful, but temporary, dislocation. 1. Is This the End of AMD's AI Optimism? No, but it's the end of the "AI optimism at any price" phase. The market has shifted from valuing AI potential to demanding AI proof. The key issues from the report that triggered the reset: "Less Impressive Without China": This is critical. A significant portion of Q4's beat was driven by one-off, lower-margin sales in China ahead of new export restrictions. Stripping that out reveals underlying demand that was good, but not "beat-and-raise" spectacular. The market hates being misled by non-recurring boosts. Lack of Near-Term Inflec
Amd was inflated lol
avatarhighhand
02-05 07:20
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  and $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  is not a comparison. Right now AMD is a buy at this levels. Can buy some and wait to see if it drops again. Earnings was an A+. This is a long term hold for 3 to 5 years. SMCI on the other hand, is not a long term stock. You can trade it of there's momentum and uptrend. 
avatarKarthik87mit
02-05 02:08
ARM to beat and Qualcomm to miss
avatarSuccess88
02-04 21:21
I go for AMD then any other company. AMD doing well in AI
avatarLanceljx
02-04 18:18
Advanced Micro Devices: Guidance in Context Guidance Summary AMD reported above-consensus revenue and EPS for its latest quarter, with data-centre revenue of around $5.4 billion.  For Q1 2026, guidance was roughly $9.5 billion to $10.1 billion (midpoint of about $9.8 billion), slightly above Street expectations but down sequentially from Q4.  Market Reaction Investors focused on the sequential decline in anticipated quarterly sales as a signal that the AI hardware build-out, while intact, might be normalising after a peak cadence of orders. The stock’s downward move reflects this recalibration rather than a fundamental earnings miss.  The guidance, though slightly below the most bullish forecasts, was nonetheless in line with analyst estimates and represented a conservative
avatarMrzorro
02-04 16:43
AMD's Reality Check: Why Strong Earnings Couldn't Prevent a Selloff Semiconductor giant $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   released its Q4 earnings after the bell, triggering a sell-off that sent shares tumbling more than 8% in after-hours trading. What exactly happened? Let's take a closer look. Three Things to Watch Q1 Guidance Misses Expectations; The Performance Unlock Awaits the MI450 in H2 At first glance, AMD's Q4 2025 metrics seem to beat market expectations significantly. However, once you strip out the revenue from the China-specific MI308, the beat is actually quite modest. Furthermore, AMD's guidance for Q1 2026 failed to show the kind of sequential surge seen in AI memory stocks like $Micron Techno
avatarTheSteadyBull
02-04 16:07
AMD: Drop | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop Expensive stocks may fall if they don’t beat expectations, while cheaper stocks with real sales may rise.
avatarL.Lim
02-04 15:06
Interesting that AMD dropped, despite decent results being announced. I guessed it gets compared to nvda, whether it wants to or not, and the most valuable company in the world puts anyone to shame. I do not believe that amd really looks at themselves to be an equal competitor to nvda though. They lack the first mover advantage, and are focusing on slightly different fields. I think amd could also look to consolidate the market for consumer facing products, specifically the pc parts where nvda looked dreadful as the days passed, before heavily pivoting towards AI. Amd could really anchor itself now and in the future as the brand that kept its focus and eke out a means of being a legitimate brand, even if the AI bubble pops.
avatarAlubin
02-04 14:12
AMD: Jump | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop Reason: I believe AMD's AI demand remains strong enough to support a stock jump; however, Qualcomm might experience a pullback due to the weak mobile market.
The recent earnings reports from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) have indeed led to a divergence in their stock performances, with AMD falling 7% and SMCI surging 7%. Let's break down the key points from their earnings reports and analyze the implications for their stocks. AMD's earnings report showed impressive 30%+ year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth and a 16% earnings per share (EPS) beat. However, the company's Q1 guidance of 9.8billionfellshortofthemostbullishexpectationsof 10 billion+, leading to a 7% decline in its stock price. Notably, AMD's data center revenue reached a record $5.4 billion, indicating strong demand for its products in this segment. On the other hand, SMCI reported a significant surge in revenue, with FY26 Q2 revenue of 12.7bi
avatarMrzorro
02-04 10:18
AMD Shares Drop 5% as First Quarter Revenue Outlook Miss Some Estimates $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   shares declined more than 5% in extended trading Tuesday after the company's revenue outlook missed some of the analysts' estimates.  Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 is forecast at about $9.8 billion, plus or minus $300 million, including about $100 million of AMD Instinct MI308 sales to China, the company said in its earnings release. Analysts' estimates range from $8.32 billion to $10.23 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  For the fourth quarter ended December, revenue rose to a record $10.3 billion, boosted by shipments to China. While that surpassed the $9.65 billion aver
avatarJackosen
02-04 09:21
AMD: Jump | SMCI: Drop | QCOM: Jump | ARM: Jump Reason: CPU server shortage may drive AMD higher
avatarSukieSP
02-04 08:47
AMD>Jump (Server dominance); SMCI>Drop (Margin pressure); QCOM>Jump (Aggressive push into Automotivr & AI is providing a nrw growth narrative that offsets a maturing mobile market) ARM>Jump (Royalty Power)
avatarECLC
02-04 07:22
AMD: Drop | SMCI: Jump | QCOM: Drop | ARM: Drop
avatarkoolgal
02-04 07:00
🌟🌟🌟AMD $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ is currently experiencing a post earnings volatility crush.  Despite reporting record revenue of USD 10.3 billion and beating EPS estimates at USD 1.53, AMD shares fell 5.75% in the after hours trading due to a projected revenue decline for Q1 2026. For those traders who believe in Lisa Su's 55% gross margin guidance and server CPU sell out through 2026 will lead to a swift rebound , a Bull Call Spread is more effective than buying outright  calls during a volatility crush. Set Up: Buy a USD 230 Call and sell a USD 250 call.  This caps your upside but significantly lowers your break even point. @Tiger_comments
avatarkoolgal
02-04 05:22
Can AMD, SMCI, QCOM & ARM strike back to outrun their Memory peers? AMD: The Measured Retreat:DROP Despite a beat & raise performance from Lisa Su, AMD faces the classic perfection problem.  After a massive runup, the bar was set so high it requires a miracle to clear it. Expect a slight pullback as AMD catches its breath. SMCI: The Volatile Rebound: JUMP After a brutal year of margin anxiety, SMCI is finally showing that Volume is King.  With AI server demand still insatiable, any sign of fiscal discipline will send SMCI back toward the stratosphere. QCOM: The Gravity Check: DROP Qualcomm is currently fighting a 2 front war: stagnating mobile phone  sales & a transition to AI PCs.  Unless QCOM reveal a surprise strategy, gravity may win this round. ARM: T