Ming-Chi Kuo published his analysis of the recent Trump administration's policy on the chip manufacturing industry and the possible game playIn the context of the U.S.-China technological tug-of-war, the U.S. government's negotiation game with TSMC reflects the strategic picture of the global semiconductor industry chain restructuring.First, the strategic demands of the U.S. governmentMaintenance of technological hegemony: by attracting TSMC to set up factories in the U.S., the U.S. government intends to rebuild the production capacity of the local advanced process, make up for the gap of the cutting-edge chip manufacturing below 5nm, and maintain the technological generation gap advantage over China.Industry chain reconstruction: In the context of the decoupling of China and the U.S., the

Amazon ( $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ ) Technical Analysis Key Observations: Previous All-Time High as Support: The green horizontal line $187 marks a previous all-time high, which could act as a strong support during this correction. Price is currently pulling back after reaching the upper boundary of the equidistant channel. Equidistant Channel Structure: The stock appears to be moving within an equidistant channel, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries.The recent rally touched the top of the channel, leading to a pullback. If price continues following this pattern, the bottom of the channel could act as support. Estimated Support Area: The lower boundary of the equidistant channel currently aligns with the $170 - $180 range. This coincides wi

$Skyworks Solutions(SWKS)$ announced its Q1 FY25 results after the bell on Feb. 5, and two big moves sent the stock tumbling 24.2%.While its Q1 results were solid, with profit metrics exceeding expectations, there was a huge change in guidance -- management announced that its largest customer ( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) would be choosing dual-sourcing for its future wireless RF suppliers, replacing its previous single-sourcing to replace the previous single-source (Skyworks) , and as a result expects a potential Mid to high teens YoY decline in sales for its largest business unit.In addition, the company announced the replacement of its interim CEO with the appointment of interim CEOPhilip Brace from Inseego (INSG)

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ earnings after the "high open low", the overall results exceeded expectations, guidance is also relatively optimistic, but the market this performance is clearly a large divergence.Investment highlightsStreaming business performance is stable, the earnings effect satisfied investors, but there are still doubts, the effect of crackdown on shared accounts is different from $Netflix(NFLX)$ too many streaming channels also reduce synergy;The same crackdown on shared accounts, Disney + local and international markets, instead, a net decrease of 700,000 YoY, the opposite of Netflix at the time, competition is one aspect, but users of Disney streaming in the consumer positioning may be differ

$Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF(VGK)$    As European stock markets reach record highs, many investors are puzzled by this performance against a backdrop of technical recession. Here's why the STOXX 600's strength might be more sustainable than it appears at first glance. 1. The "Best Recession Ever"? Europe's current economic situation defies traditional recession patterns. Despite technically being in a recession, unemployment remains remarkably low at 6.3% - down from 7.4% in March 2021. Core inflation has stabilized around 2.7%, suggesting the worst of the inflation crisis is over. This unique combination of stable employment and moderating inflation has created a goldilocks scenario for many companies, particularly in the industrial and fin

On February 3, 2025, President Trump announced new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. This caused U.S. stock futures to drop as fears of a trade war grew. Tech and semiconductor stocks, like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ , fell due to worries about higher costs and supply chain issues. Earlier I wrote an article on Nvida (article here) detailing about technical outlook for the stock. I wrote: Short-Term: The immediate focus is on the $129.51 support level. As the price hovers around this mark, its ability to hold or break will be crucial in determining short-term price action. A rebound from this level could reinforce bullish sentiment, whereas a break below could lead to a test of t

As we head into a pivotal day for the broader markets, here’s what we are dealing with… Disclaimer: The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the i

The minutes of the Fed's January 28-29 meeting, released on Wednesday, were actually pretty much what the market communicated.The short answer is:Little willingness to cut rates, need to see more inflation data.Slow down QT, or even pause it.Reduce the pace of balance sheet reduction.Will adjust with fiscal policy.Possible impact of Trump's tariff policy;Reforms undertaken by Musk's DOGE department altering the US government's cash reserves (while the Treasury re-accumulates cash reserves, bank reserves could fall rapidly)But there is one piece of information that could affect future US bond trends: The Fed may adjust the bond composition ratio of SOMA after suspending tapering, implying possible purchases of US Treasuries in the secondary market.The System Open Market Account (SOMA) is a

Disclaimer: Whatever I say or post doesn't act as financial advice, so please do your due diligence before making any decision. AAPL rose on open today, but pulled back drastically, citing the disappointing sales result from China as the main reason. It just means retail investors like us has a favorable entry point for the stock, as long as you are a long term investor.  Trump administration is giving HP obstacles to overcome in acquring Juniper networks. JNPR used to be a stock on my watchlist, but lost faith in its evaluations and business model. Perhaps this acquisition is an effort from HP to expand its business model and exposure. But certainly a space to watch closely. OpenAI valuation is going to reach 300 billion soon. Deepseek AI announcement on Monday really shaked the whol