VIX Surges 20%! Go Long on VIXY or UVXY?

Since May, the VIX has remained below 25. Today, it jumped 18% following Israel’s airstrike. Meanwhile, the Fear & Greed Index has stayed in the “Greed” zone for a month, now reaching 61. Is it time to shift gears? Is VIX a good tool to bet on a market pullback?

avatarKYHBKO
2025-08-11

News and my thoughts from the past week (11Aug25) part 4 of 5

News and my thoughts from the past week (11Aug25) China’s ton-class drone delivers supplies to offshore oil platforms 150km off the coast. A great leap in efficiency: 8 hours by ship compared to less than 1 hour by drone. China’s exports defy trade war headwinds in July as growth surges to 7.2% China’s exports beat market forecasts in July as rising shipments to Europe, Africa and Latin America offset the impact of US tariffs - SCMP Image The US economy is splitting in two. There’s a rip-roaring AI economy. And there’s a lacklustre consumer economy. - Macro: Last quarter, spending on AI outpaced the growth in consumer spending - Stocks: In the last two years, ~60% of equity returns have come from “AI-related” companies, esp the hyperscalers like Microsoft and Meta (per JPM) - Micro: Accord
News and my thoughts from the past week (11Aug25) part 4 of 5
avatarKinnikt
2025-07-21

Thematic Investing: Betting on the Future or Chasing the Hype? From AI to Clean Tech: How Thematic Investing Is Reshaping Portfolios

Thematic investing—once a niche corner of the market—is rapidly evolving into one of the most influential forces shaping portfolio construction today. Far from simply buying slices of established sectors or geographies, investors are increasingly casting their nets over big-picture megatrends: everything from artificial intelligence and clean energy to aging demographics and food security. What was once the domain of boutique managers has burst into the mainstream, with a tidal wave of exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds sponsoring portfolios built around disruptive technologies, social change, and even whimsical concepts like “pets & animal welfare.” As the global economy reorients in the post‐pandemic era, thematic investing has matured from marketing gimmick to legitimate
Thematic Investing: Betting on the Future or Chasing the Hype? From AI to Clean Tech: How Thematic Investing Is Reshaping Portfolios
avatarKYHBKO
2025-08-11

Layoffs, debts & delinquency - My Investing Muse (11Aug25) - part 5 of 5

My Investing Muse (11Aug25) Layoffs & Closure news Two years into his tenure, Bayer has reduced its headcount by more than 12,000, with little slowdown in the pace of dismissals. - FiercePharma Multiple Kentucky Whiskey Distilleries File for Bankruptcy - NewsWeek National transport and logistics company XL Express has gone into liquidation after 35 years in business. It has collapsed owing almost $42m in estimated debts, with about 200 employees to be left without jobs. - Yahoo Finance (AU) The US lost 37,000 manufacturing jobs in the last three months. Trump’s trade wars & tariffs are allegedly about bringing manufacturing jobs back to America. And US labor force participation is 62.2%. So… 37.8% of Americans are not working! - X user S.L. Kanthan From the 800,000 people who lost
Layoffs, debts & delinquency - My Investing Muse (11Aug25) - part 5 of 5
avatarKYHBKO
2025-08-11

Earnings for the week 11Aug25 - Oh Deere? (part 1 of 5)

Economic Calendar: Key Market Movers (week of 11Aug25) Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China, Singapore, America or Hong Kong. Observations Next week's key macroeconomic events will centre on the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a primary indicator of inflation. Market participants are anticipating a rise in CPI, which could raise concerns among investors hoping for a reduction in interest rates by the Federal Reserve. This outcome may even prompt the Federal Reserve to consider an interest rate hike. Additionally, the Producer Price Index (PPI) is projected to increase to 0.2%, up from the previous month. The PPI serves as an early indicator of inflationary pressures on producers, which are often subsequently passed on to consumers. Further economi
Earnings for the week 11Aug25 - Oh Deere? (part 1 of 5)