$AVGO$ earnings were the polar opposite of Oracle's. While the standard financial metrics were outstanding, the backlog fell short of expectations, and the stock still dropped.A lower-than-expected backlog could stem from various factors, but the market is leaning towards interpreting it as a slowdown in investment. The next question is why investment is slowing—AI is still figuring out its monetization path. In simple terms, because it's not yet profitable, the pace of cash burn is moderating.Considering Broadcom supplies the current U.S. AI leader, Google, if even the leader is being cautious, other players likely are too. Therefore, a market pullback seems inevitable.The consensus from put activity suggests the stock will stay above $350, but the market's sell put strike preference is a

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Anyone brave enough to write puts on $RH(RH)$ heading into earnings today? Expected move is ~13% with a very high IV of ~260%.This stock has been killed off so much from ATH. Would like to write the 75 put strike for Dec 19 expiration, but there is no premium. May take a 110/105 put credit spread instead.Image.2.Wasn't too sure how $RH(RH)$ would report for earnings, but was leaning to the downside, so wrote a conservative put credit spread instead of writing naked puts. Also wrote a naked call ... don't see RH hitting 230 on good earnings.Hindsight is obviously 20/20, but should have just written the put straight up with no hedge. Gave up lo

$ORCL$If OpenAI's commercialization capabilities were truly outstanding, Oracle's stock would likely tell a very different story with the same earnings data. That's the takeaway from this earnings report.Therefore, whether Oracle is a dip-buying candidate depends heavily on the progress of OpenAI's commercialization, or the emergence of another giant with a killer product that declares current server capacity utterly insufficient, capturing market imagination as a potential future Oracle customer replacing OpenAI.On Thursday's open, someone bought 10,000 contracts of the weekly 190 call $ORCL 20251212 190.0 PUT$ , with timing precision that is astonishing.Additionally, just before Wednesday's close, a buyer picked up 100,

$NVDA$Key News:Oracle Chairman Larry Ellison announced a "chip-agnostic" strategy, procuring chips from any supplier, leading to a decline in NVDA's stock price.ByteDance and Alibaba plan significant purchases of NVDA H200 AI chips, pending Chinese regulatory approval.Reports indicate Chinese AI firm DeepSeek obtained NVDA Blackwell chips via smuggling to develop new models.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is neutral-to-low, indicating limited expected price movement. Call activity is robust, signaling bullish sentiment, though block trades suggest institutional caution.This Week (Dec 12): Expected narrow range: $180–187.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may expand to $175–190.Key Support: $180 – the most critical defense line, formed by massive Put OI and a key battleground.Key Re

$SPY$Key News:SPY has shown strong performance recently, logging its best Thanksgiving week since 2008, with seven consecutive months of gains.JPMorgan is bullish on the S&P 500, forecasting a 20% rise by 2027.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is neutral-to-high, indicating market expectations for moderate volatility. Overall sentiment is neutral-cautious, though institutional funds are positive on the longer-term trend.This Week (Dec 12): Expected range: $680–695.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may expand to $675–700.Key Support: $680 – the most concentrated "wall" of Put OI, forming the strongest support.Key Resistance: $690–695 – a dense Call OI zone, the primary overhead resistance area.Strategy Idea: Sell Put$SPY

$BABA-W(09988)$ Key News:On Dec 10, Alibaba announced the formation of the "Qianwen Consumer Business Group," led by Group VP Jia Wu. This group merges the former Smart Information and Smart Interconnection business units and includes the Qianwen App, Quark, AI hardware, UC Browser, Shuqi, etc. Its primary goal is to build Qianwen into the super App and primary user gateway for the AI era.Options Analysis:Current Implied Volatility (IV) is low, indicating market expectations for relative price stability without sharp moves. Market sentiment is slightly positive.This Week (Dec 12): Expected narrow range: HKD 147–155.Next Week (Dec 19): Range may widen slightly to HKD 145–158.Key Support: HKD 150. This is the current price equilibrium point and a P

$NVDA$A large player positioned for the H200 news with an unusual in-the-money sell put: $NVDA 20260116 187.0 PUT$ . Premium volume was ~$10 million, with 9,483 contracts opened.Typically, selling in-the-money puts is done only with high conviction that the stock will be at or above the strike price at expiration. This aligns with the earlier judgment for the Dec-Jan period: limited upside, but also resilient downside.While the trade rationale is understandable, it's worth noting such an unconventional block doesn't necessarily come from a seasoned trader.Contradicting this flow are other put openings, which still anticipate a pullback below $180. However, this remains consistent with the overall $170–200 range view.The m

$NVDA$The answer in the headline is: the lower bound has improved significantly, and the upper bound has nudged slightly higher to 187.5.Due to the massive accumulation of open options positions in December and January, the next two months will primarily be characterized by range-bound trading—unless major positive catalysts emerge, like a breakthrough killer AI app that could lift the entire AI sector.In the absence of such a game-changing product, the expectation is for NVDA to oscillate between $160 and $200 until the January 16th expiration. The January 16th 200 call has an open interest of 159k contracts, and the January 19th 200 call has 106k. Under these conditions, the stock is unlikely to trade above $200.However, the positive news has significantly raised the strike prices for ne

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you!1. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~11% with IV above 200%. Am looking to write puts at the Dec 19 expiry 150 strike, or may ladder strikes between 130 to 150.This company has been beaten down A LOT the past few earnings. That said, looks like price action is basing, and thus building volume support at the 160 level. Could this be an opportune chance to capture highly elevated IV and not have to go far out on the DTE also?ImageFor SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.

$NVDA$The market has returned to recent highs, making the direction for the next three weeks uncertain again. In assessing market risk ahead of the FOMC, one notable signal is that 14k contracts of the long-dated 170 call $NVDA 20260220 170.0 CALL$  were reduced.It's uncommon for institutions to reduce long calls, but it doesn't necessarily imply a deep decline. It could also indicate an expectation for extended consolidation, which would erode the option's time value.Institutions selling calls this week chose the 187.5 strike $NVDA 20251212 187.5 CALL$ , hedging with the 195 call $NVDA 20251

$SPY$The whole of December gives off a "just getting by" vibe. It might not necessarily drop, but it certainly feels hard to rally.Based on SPY opening flow, the market will likely continue to churn higher into this week's FOMC, oscillating between 675 and 690.The top opening by volume was a complex bearish order: selling the Feb '27 719 call $SPY 20260227 719.0 CALL$ , buying the Feb '27 647 put $SPY 20260227 647.0 PUT$ , and selling the Feb '27 545 put $SPY 20260227 545.0 PUT$ .On the surface, it bets on SPY potentially falling below 647 by late February. However, the net cost of this c

$GOOGL$The broader market is likely to continue its rebound today, with SPY potentially reaching 688. However, not every stock will ride this wave—sector rotation is evident as year-end approaches.The rotation has turned against Google this time. Bears opened a position by buying 10,000 contracts of the Jan 9th 315 Put $GOOGL 20260109 315.0 PUT$ , with a total premium of approximately $12 million.Overall, excluding this put activity, Google's options flow still appears strong, suggesting a likely trading range between $315–325. However, following this significant bearish bet, while the stock may hold above $315 this week, the outlook beyond next week becomes less certain.$NVDA$Maintaining the view of a $180–185 trading r

$SPY$In short, tonight we'll either see a massive rally or a sharp selloff. And frankly, we might even get both within the same session.If we do bounce, consider selling calls if it reaches 670 or 675.Downside targets now point directly to 630 $SPY 20251128 630.0 PUT$ , possibly even 620. That's right – last week's 640-650 low expectations have been revised downward. Can't help it – the weekend option flow is all over these levels. Plans change; look at the bright side, a bigger dip means a better buying opportunity.Generally, I don't recommend buying weekly options, but this week the odds might justify a couple of lottery tickets. Note: the probability of a plunge has increased, not that it's guaranteed.Weekly options are

$AAPL$Key News:Apple (AAPL) continued its rally on Tuesday, hitting an all-time intraday high of $287.4 before closing up 1.09% at $284.15.Supply chain sources indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, the iPhone Fold, has made significant progress in R&D, currently in engineering verification and pre-production stages, with a potential launch by late next year.IDC forecasts Apple’s 2025 iPhone shipments will reach 247.4 million units, up 6.1% YoY, driven by strong demand for the iPhone 17 series in China.Options Analysis:Current price: $284.15. Implied Volatility (IV): 23.17% (6.4th percentile), indicating low expected volatility.Call/Put Ratio: 2.02, showing dominant bullish sentiment.This Week (Dec 5 Expiry): Expected range: $280–290. Key resistance at $285 (Put OI 8,806; Call OI 45,1