Checking the option flow today, I ran into a familiar sight — a wave of deep OUTM put sales across major chip names. Last seen on Jan 26. Flashback to Jan 22: $NVDA 20260220 175.0 PUT$  — 109.8k opened$AMD 20260220 187.5 PUT$  — 74.9k opened$ORCL 20260220 137.0 PUT$  — 56.8k opened$SMH 20260220 380.0 PUT$  — 43.4k opened$AVGO 20260220 305.0 PUT$  — 41.0k opened$MU 20260220 362.5 PUT$  —

$NVDA$ Barring any surprises, NVIDIA looks set to continue grinding between 170 and 200 through the first half of the year—a sweet spot for option sellers. I came across 10k contracts opened on the $NVDA 20260618 220.0 CALL$ . Nothing flagged as a block trade, but digging into the fills shows the orders were chopped up into tiny pieces. The screenshot says it all. Most of the flow? Sell-side. Not a coincidence—Broadcom showed the exact same footprint. $AVGO 20260618 400.0 CALL$  also saw around 10k contracts, finely sliced, same direction: sells. Why the cloak-and-dagger? Likely to avoid getting front-run. Both are ~0.35 delta. If the stock runs the wr

$NVDA$ Looking at the option flows, NVDA's upcoming earnings next week don't seem to have any substantial impact on the stock's trend. Seeing that large sell call order at the 205 strike for March 13th $NVDA 20260313 205.0 CALL$  tells me the market still expects the top to hold. The main issue is that the AI sector trend is too transparent—there are no major off-exchange catalysts to add fuel. What the market really needs is a groundbreaking use case or a significant leap forward. Anything beyond that is already priced in, just burning through valuation. That said, with earnings approaching, implied volatility is picking up, which means more premium for sellers to harvest. For now, the range holds through early March: 1

Positive news from OpenAI, with monthly growth rate recovering by 10%, directly ignited a short squeeze on Monday, crushing the bears. However, subsequent market action will likely continue with sector rotation. $NVDA$ Both large bullish and bearish single-leg orders appeared (not a spread): $NVDA 20260220 175.0 PUT$ , 64,000 contracts opened. $NVDA 20260220 207.5 CALL$ , 78,000 contracts opened. Based on the overall opening activity, the price is highly likely to continue oscillating within the large 170-190 range from this week into next. Therefore, the 207.5 call is quite intriguing; currently, it seems difficult for the price to break above 200 even

$TSLA$ Key News: Cybercab autonomous electric vehicle enters mass production at the Texas factory, aiming to increase utilization to 50-60 hours per week. Energy segment emerges as a new growth driver; Shanghai energy storage factory operational; $200 billion budgeted for AI and Energy sectors in 2026. FSD advances localized training in China, though constrained by regulations, using existing data for tuning. Options Analysis: Current Implied Volatility (IV) is relatively high, indicating market expectation for significant price movement. Overall sentiment leans bullish. This Week (2/13): Expected to swing widely within $400 - $430. Next Week (2/20): The range may widen to $395 - $440. Key Support: $400 - $405. This interval has highly concentrated put option (PUT) open interest, forming a

TRADE PLAN for Wednesday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ consolidation day today but SPX managed to hold above 6921. SPX all about that 7000 resistance this month. Once SPX can get through 7700 coming this year. BE PATIENT. Wait for it. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ had lots of relative strength today for once. As long as TSLA can hold above 414 we should see 440-450 this month. TSLA Feb 13 435C can work above 424 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ stuck in this wide range from 610-629 for now. Once QQQ reclaims 618 we'll see a push back to 622-629 again. Most likely we see another consolidation day. Good luck everyone!! 🫡

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ tried to move near 7000 today but failed and dropped 80 points from the highs. SPX still just ranging from 6900-7000 for now. WAIT for 7k. $Micron Technology(MU)$ wants to to move to 425-430 this week. MU to 500 coming this year MU Feb 13 425C is best above 415 tomorrow. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ setting up for a push back to 700 as well. If SNDK can hold 600 into the end of Friday we should see another rally higher. The S&P500 and the Nasdaq have been ranging for 3+ months. When the breakout comes the rally will be fast. Be patient for now. 🫡 Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ winding up for a 7000 test again, if it gets through 7100 comes fast. SPX Feb 13 7040C is best near 7000 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ through 680 this week can run to 690,700 next. META to 744 in play by March. META Feb 13 690C can work near 680 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ keep an eye on 618 this week if QQQ can get back through this level it will test 627-629 sometime this month. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ through 424 can run to 440 as well. Let's see if TSLA can form a new base above 414. Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

You probably remember the 300k contract VIX call orders we mentioned a couple of days ago: $VIX 20260218 35.0 CALL$  $VIX 20260318 35.0 CALL$ . Unexpectedly, the sell-off has begun so quickly. Currently, it looks like a bottom will be formed before mid-March, presenting a great buying opportunity at that time. $NVDA$ Regarding this collective pullback in the AI sector, there's not much to elaborate on. The fact that there are fewer investable assets in the market is not a good sign. Looking back to 2025, it was a vibrant market where one could pick winners with ease—that was the best environment, not just for investing but for AI development itself. Althou

Checked the 300k contract VIX 35 call position $VIX 20260318 35.0 CALL$ , it's still open, suggesting the correction is not yet over. $NVDA$ Next week continues the search for a bottom. A large bearish order opened: the weekly expiry 157.5 put $NVDA 20260213 157.5 PUT$ , with 60,000 contracts for a total notional of over $6 million. Therefore, tonight's rally is more suitable for selling calls. Consider strikes above 190: $NVDA 20260213 190.0 CALL$  I noticed institutions opened a 177.5–182.5 call spread for next week $NVDA 20

$VIX$ Another massive bullish volatility order has appeared. The March 18th expiry 35 call $VIX 20260318 35.0 CALL$  traded 300,000 contracts for a total notional value of over $20 million. Opened around the same time was the February 18th expiry 35 call $VIX 20260218 35.0 CALL$ , trading 250,000 contracts. Based on SPY's option activity, the probability of a major decline this week seems low. However, historical patterns suggest a non-negligible chance of a correction starting in late February. $GOOGL$ Google now enjoys the privilege of Monday & Wednesday weekly expiry options, though none expire on its actual earnings day. As the current undisputed l

$AAPL$ Apple has seen a large bullish call order. The May 15th expiry 285 call $AAPL 20260515 285.0 CALL$  had 69,000 contracts opened, with a total notional value of approximately $34+ million. Although I believe Apple's performance this year may still be weighed down by high memory prices, this doesn't prevent the market and large investors from perceiving a potential bottom. With earnings this week, selling the 250 put is an option: $AAPL 20260130 250.0 PUT$ . $FXI$ Regarding the large bearish China ETF orders, I discovered someone shared my analysis in a group, causing some panic. However, a massive, deep out-of-the-money bearish order like