Dead Cat Bounce vs. True Bottom: Where Are We Now?

After a series of declines, the market has become increasingly cautious about any rebound. Most people believe this is merely a dead cat bounce in a bear market, with further drops likely to come. However, some argue that with Trump softening his stance on tariffs, the impact of tariffs on the market may lessen going forward. If a recession can be avoided, the market's downside potential might be limited. Investors are divided on where we are in the current cycle. What’s your take? Is this a dead cat bounce or have we already hit the bottom?

avatarKYHBKO
05-25

S&P500 market outlook (26May25)

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 26May25 Technical observations: MACD - a top crossover should be completed soon, and this suggests a potential downtrend is coming. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend. However, the 3 lines are converging, and a trend reversal is coming. Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) shows more buying than selling momentum. The daily interval is showing a “Strong Buy" for the S&P 500 index. From 20 technical indicators, there are 14 indicators showing a “Buy” rating and 6 indicators showing a “Sell” rating. Short-Term Outlook: Bullish The Morning Doji Star and Morning Star (both emerging as of May 23) are strong bullish reversal patterns, suggesting that the current pullback may be neari
S&P500 market outlook (26May25)
avatarKYHBKO
05-25

PCE - Economic Calendar (26May25)

Public Holidays There are no public holidays in China and Singapore. America is closed on 26May25 as they celebrate Memorial Day. Hong Kong is closed on 31May25 as they celebrate Tuen Ng Day (also known as Dragonboat Festival). Economic Calendar (26May25) Notable Highlights (some are taken from Grok) Fed Chair Powell’s remarks could provide insights into monetary policy, potentially influencing markets depending on his stance on interest rates and inflation. Previous Durable Goods Orders (Apr) were at 7.5% (month-over-month). No forecast is provided, but a strong reading could signal robust economic activity, while a decline might raise concerns. CB Consumer Confidence (May) is forecasted at 88.0, up from 86.0. A drop in consumer confidence could indicate weaker consumer spe
PCE - Economic Calendar (26May25)
avatarkoolgal
04-28
🌟🌟🌟Despite the current US policies, I believe that it is important to stay calm and not panic sell.  I am still invested in the markets.  My favourite ETF is $INVESCO S&P 500 LOW VOLATILITY UCITS ETF(SPLG.UK)$ which tracks the S&P500 Index at a low entry point.  This ETF also has the lowest Expense ratio among competing ETFs at just 0.02%.  Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @TigerClub @CaptainTiger
avatarkoolgal
04-27
🌟🌟🌟Tariffs are like a Tax on consumption of goods.  Ultimately it is the US consumers who pay the high price, not the manufacturer, nor the importer. Walmart and Target have told Donald Trump that within weeks their shelves maybe bare as the taxes are too high. I believe that the current high tariff especially on China will be reduced  as it is not sustainable on the US economy. Nonetheless I am still invested in the markets.  My preferred strategy is to buy Index ETFs as they minimise my risk and offer great diversification in my portfolio. @Tiger_comments @Tiger_SG @CaptainTiger
avatarAN88
04-27
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ still bouncing when there is trump
ggjogh
avatar2024贏
04-27
ghhjj
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ I think it's a dead cat bounce [Cool]  
avatarprimal
04-26
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ its all happening because of the earnings 
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ not out of the woods yet till tariff war is ended markets can still fall.   
avatarWayneqq
04-26
I do not think it is a dead cat bounce or the bottom.. I think the market will continue to swing during trump's entire tenure.. he is known to be unpredictable.. and the market will be that.. I think the volatility will continue to stay high.. I mean look at how long he is president and how wide the swings are till date...
avatarorsiri
04-25

Dead Cat or Launchpad? Why This Market’s Bounce Might Have Claws

The question on everyone’s mind is simple, but not easy: is this a dead cat bounce or the start of a genuine recovery? Investors have grown wary of any rebound after months of declines, volatility, and whiplash-inducing headlines. Yet, beneath the caution lies a potential turning point. From cat to catalyst: is this market ready to launch? While the rhetoric on tariffs softens—especially from the Trump camp—the markets have responded in kind. Tariffs once loomed as a clear threat to earnings, margins, and sentiment. But if a recession can be sidestepped, the market’s downside from here could be more bark than bite. Three Stocks, Three Surprises Let’s anchor the debate with three heavyweight names that know a thing or two about dramatic swings: Nvidia, Amazon, and Ford.
Dead Cat or Launchpad? Why This Market’s Bounce Might Have Claws
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ there is no way to tell till it has happened and possibly written declarations on the tariff issues instead of hot air from DT. Traders just have to make shorter bets and investors not to finish with all the ammunition before the coast is clear.
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  Despite Tesla’s disappointing Q1 2025 earnings report, its stock surged over 10% due to several factors that shifted investor sentiment: 1. Elon Musk’s Renewed Focus on Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced plans to significantly reduce his involvement in political roles, particularly stepping back from his position in the White House’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Investors had been concerned that Musk’s political engagements were detracting from his leadership at Tesla. His commitment to refocus on the company reassured shareholders and contributed to the stock’s rise.  2. Optimism Around Robotaxi Launch Musk confirmed Tesla’s plans to launch fully autonomous ride services in Austin, Texas, by June 2025, with
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ real bottom 
avatarHMH
04-25

Is the Market Rebound a Trap? Decoding the Dead Cat Bounce Debate

The financial markets in 2025 are grappling with a critical question: is the recent rebound a fleeting dead cat bounce or a true bottom signalling a sustainable recovery? A dead cat bounce refers to a short-lived price recovery within a broader downtrend, often driven by temporary optimism or technical factors, while a true bottom indicates a fundamental shift toward sustained growth. With the US-China trade war escalating, economic indicators pointing to a slowdown, and investor sentiment divided, this analysis explores the current market cycle and proposes three high-probability options trading strategies to navigate the volatility. Market Context and Economic Indicators The US-China trade war, ongoing since 2018, has intensified in 2025, with the US imposing a 145% tariff on Chinese goo
Is the Market Rebound a Trap? Decoding the Dead Cat Bounce Debate
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   Dead cat bounce and very soon vackup.  
avatarkoolgal
04-24

Dead Cat Bounce Or True Bottom?

🌟🌟🌟Is the US market experiencing a Dead Cat Bounce or has it hit a true bottom?  For new investors, a dead cat bounce refers to a short lived recovery in a declining market.  It is a temporary spike before further declines resume.  In contrast, a true bottom represents the point at which a market has found sufficient support to begin a sustained recovery.  In the current environment, distinguishing between these 2 scenarios is rather challenging given mixed market signals and the Trump factor. Dead Cat Bounce: Technical indicators suggest that the recent rally in the US markets could be a Dead Cat Bounce.   While the markets have rebounded from recent lows, uncertainties which include geopolitical tensions, tariff related disruptions, continue to weigh on the
Dead Cat Bounce Or True Bottom?
In all different stages.. When the luck didn't stand at your side, you donate the money into the markets, if the luck follow you all the ways, you get your extra income from them.🤪
@LMSunshine @rL @Universe宇宙 @GoodLife99 @HelenJanet @Shyon @Aqa @SPACE ROCKET @TigerGPT @koolgal After a series of declines, the market has become increasingly cautious about any rebound. Most people believe this is merely a dead cat bounc
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