Smart People Lose Money Too? What Phase Are You in as an Investor?

Most stock market losses come from reckless trading. A veteran investor with a 90% win rate over 10 years once said: “The key to investing is to stop being clever.” What’s your trading plan right now? Or you a newbie wanna try everything? The hard-effort one who are learning about technicals, macro & micro events and everything? Or the one just holding and DCA like our smart fellow tigers?

avatarPaperclip to a million Project
2025-11-05
$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ With a beefy flavor and high smoke point due to avocado oil, the latest Beyond Burger caramelizes and sizzles to perfection. But will the share price do the same ?  They are working hard on new partnerships including the latest being Hard Rock Cafe chains in North America. They have bought themselves some time with the debt restructering. Stock have been heavily shorted with the delay of reporting the latest quarter pressuring the price down even more.  But here is the thing . This could be the rock  bottom unless the last quarter was really really bad. They have improved products and marketing. They have the ability to scale up production. Combination of another short squeeze , and improved outlook could
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avatarHMH
2025-06-23

90% Strategy Edge = No Guarantee: How to Stay Out of the Markdown Trap

A veteran investor with a 90% win rate over 10 years once remarked: “The key to investing is to stop being clever.” That statement cuts deep—especially when many investors mistakenly believe outsmarting the market is their edge. But as you're about to see, even smart people can—and do—lose money. The real question is: what phase are you in your investing journey? 🧭 The Four Phases of a Market Cycle Markets move in four distinct phases: Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown Smart money typically enters during accumulation when prices are flat—scanning for value. Retail investors often dive in during markup, driven by fear of missing out (FOMO). Yet entering at the top can lead to losses as distribution and markdown follow. 🤯 Why Even Smart Investors Lose Return-chasing behaviour:
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90% Strategy Edge = No Guarantee: How to Stay Out of the Markdown Trap
avatarSpiders
2025-06-25

The DCA (Delusional Confidence Accumulation?) Phase

Even smart people lose money in the market. Genius doesn’t always beat volatility. But me? I still want to be smart, just not the kind of “smart” that tries to outguess the market and ends up donating money to it. So… what investing phase am I currently in? Right now, I’m deep in what I like to call the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) phase or, if I’m feeling cheeky, the Delusional Confidence Accumulation phase. Every so often, I toss a bit more cash into my steady favorites like TLH (Treasury bond ETF) and PFE (Pfizer). It’s basically me telling the market, “You can’t scare me even if you try.” Pfizer (PFE) iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) Why I Keep Loving DCA Even When It Feels Like Market Madness? Smooths out the roller coaster: The market’s like a crazy roller coaster. DCA means
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The DCA (Delusional Confidence Accumulation?) Phase
avatarAh_Meng
2025-06-22
Market goes up and down. It’s true, in my case, the more I trade, the higher chance of losing [Facepalm][Spurting]. Having said that, I have different portfolios. One is simply buy with minimal trimming at a timeframe of 20+ years and counting. One is almost daily trading account. One is adding ever so slowly whenever I have some spare cash for the past 10 years, which sees occasional position adjustments. The first one, which I seldom touched, is still my leading account. It happened to contain some classic gold and silver miners, which helped to lift the overall portfolio. The frequently trading account has finally turned positive lately but it is still fluctuating between winning and losing. The third portfolio was initially a no-hoper, but after a trimming exercise a couple of years ba
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