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2020-01-08

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2020-10-24

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Last night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.

2021-02-01

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This week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!

2020-02-18

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2020-01-31

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2020-01-03

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2019-12-24

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2019-12-19

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2019-12-18

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2019-12-06

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07:09","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"This week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2107223910","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：本周市场迎来OPEC+技术会议，各国制造业PMI以及美国非农就业报告。投资者还要密切关注疫情的进一步动态和民主党最新的财政刺激计划的谈判情况。财报方面，阿里巴巴、谷歌、亚马逊、PayPal等众多","content":"<p>Abstract: This week, the market will see the OPEC+ technical meeting, manufacturing PMIs from various countries, and the US non-farm payrolls report. Investors should also closely monitor further developments in the pandemic and the negotiations on the Democratic Party's latest fiscal stimulus plan. Regarding financial reports,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>Many other star companies will release their financial reports in droves; In terms of new listings, Kuaishou and Xintong Medical will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25553c8de16bcee38bd6be13d0f1ae47\" tg-width=\"1736\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Overview of important economic data and events</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Monday, February 1st: China's manufacturing PMI, Eurozone, UK, and US manufacturing PMIs</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c86a23fdf6bca2ddc3e18140d2609da7\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At 3:00 AM, 2021 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic delivered a speech at a job market webinar held by the Federal Reserve with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>04:10 Boston Fed President Rosengren delivers a speech.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 1st, investors first focused on the opening trends of various commodities. News from the weekend may cause a gap in the opening of various commodities in the morning and exacerbate market price volatility, so investors should pay special attention. In addition to the opening performance during the Asian session, we should pay attention to some data from Australia, which will affect the short-term trend of the Australian dollar.</p><p>Of course, the most important thing is the performance of the Chinese market, which will also release the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for January. Currently, the COVID-19 vaccine is on the market, and vaccination is progressing in an orderly manner. The impact of local outbreaks on the overall economy will gradually weaken. Analysis indicates that with the gradual recovery of my country's macroeconomy, monetary policy has returned to normalization and has basically achieved its full-year target for 2020.</p><p>Currently, my country's industrial added value has further rebounded, and the production performance of high-tech manufacturing is outstanding. Since March 2020, China's manufacturing PMI index has remained above the expansion/contraction threshold, with high production enthusiasm and an increase in new orders. The overseas pandemic severely impacted production, thus providing strong support for the external demand of my country's manufacturing industry, and manufacturing investment accelerated its recovery at the end of 2020.</p><p>In December 2020, my country's manufacturing investment grew by 10.2% in a single month, down from 12.5% in November, but still at a high level. According to the assessment, there is room for further growth in my country's manufacturing investment in 2021, especially in high-tech manufacturing, which will continue to perform well. On the one hand, affected by strong overseas demand in the first half of 2021, my country's manufacturing investment will remain in a normal state of inventory replenishment, thereby maintaining a high growth rate. On the other hand, the outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan proposes that state-owned enterprises should achieve breakthroughs in institutional innovation and improve their vitality and efficiency during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to a series of manufacturing PMI data to be released by the Eurozone. Currently, the global economy has passed its darkest hour brought about by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. December 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global composite, manufacturing, and services PMI indices are all above the expansion/contraction threshold, while the Eurozone and US PMI indicators are showing a marginal improvement trend. The US manufacturing PMI new orders index, as a leading indicator, has risen to a new high of 67.90. Market participants are now awaiting preliminary Eurozone PMI readings to find some meaningful trading momentum.</p><p>Investors should also pay attention to UK manufacturing data, which is sluggish due to the impact of the mutated virus. A survey shows that concerns among British manufacturers about shortages of low-wage workers and supplies have risen to their highest level in nearly 50 years. Before the UK left the EU single market at the end of last month, companies increased their stockpiles. Nearly half of the surveyed manufacturers are concerned that the supply of raw materials or components may limit output in the coming quarter, and production is expected to record its biggest drop since June last year.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should pay close attention to US manufacturing data. Since February of last year, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused a global economic recession, and the United States has lost approximately 540,000 factory jobs. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy, has once again fallen into a slump. According to reports, Biden plans to create at least 5 million new manufacturing jobs and will require the U.S. federal government to spend $400 billion over four years to purchase U.S. goods and services, and to invest $300 billion in key U.S. technology research and development, including artificial intelligence and 5G.</p><p>In addition, the executive order signed by Biden provides for one-third (approximately $200 billion) of the U.S. federal government's annual $600 billion in procurement funding. The bill requires that at least 50% of a product's components must come from the United States to be eligible for federal government procurement. Federal agencies also need to reassess the authenticity of \"Made in America\" ingredients to prevent foreign companies from selling \"OEM\" products to the U.S. government as \"Made in America.\"</p><p>The American Manufacturing Coalition appreciated Biden's efforts and urged concrete steps. In a statement, the organization's president, Scott Paul, said loopholes must be closed, exemptions reduced, coverage expanded for more federal spending and more manufactured goods strengthened, and origin standards strengthened. Stronger domestic incentives, along with significant new investment in infrastructure and clean energy, will stimulate job creation and new investment in American factories.</p><p>Analysts believe that buying American goods is a good thing politically, but a bad thing economically, and it is not a way to create jobs. Biden's executive order will increase the cost of \"Made in America\": on the one hand, expensive products will lead to a decline in sales; On the other hand, within a certain government budget, increased costs will crowd out funds for other projects, such as building highways. Both outcomes will kill American jobs.</p><p>In the evening, investors should also pay close attention to the 2021 Federal Reserve voting member Bo...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300806\">Stick</a>In his speech, investors can find the Federal Reserve's views on the economic outlook and monetary policy prospects.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, February 2nd: Alibaba/Google/Amazon/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>Earnings report, Eurozone Q4 GDP, OPEC+ technical meeting</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports</b>：<b>Alibaba, Pfizer</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">Sony</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">ExxonMobil</a>(Pre-market US stocks);<b>Amazon, Google</b>Lufax (after-hours US stock market)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83341b019a0ce619f13ae57824344b16\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>11:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision.</p><p>To be determined, OPEC+ will begin a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>03:00 FOMC Permanent Voting Member, President of the New York Federal Reserve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Host an online conversation organized by the Economic Club of New York.</p><p>03:00 Cleveland Fed President Mester delivers opening remarks at the Fed's online job market event with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 2nd, investors should first focus on the Reserve Bank of Australia's February interest rate decision. Analysts believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to keep interest rates unchanged and its bond purchases unchanged in this decision. However, analysts point out that the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut its asset purchase program in April 2021. Although the Reserve Bank of Australia will present more optimistic economic growth, inflation and job market expectations at its February meeting, it is expected to still release a dovish stance.</p><p>Analysts point out that the rapid recovery in the job market will force the Reserve Bank of Australia to end its quantitative easing (QE) bond-buying program in April. The Reserve Bank of Australia's current bond-buying program is to purchase AU$48 billion in government bonds. If it continues to buy US$5 billion per week, it will reach the target of AU$100 billion by mid-April. Therefore, the Reserve Bank must announce whether to extend the program before its meeting on April 6. The market generally believes that the bank will reduce its weekly asset purchases from the current AU$5 billion to less than AU$2 billion starting in April. The Reserve Bank may go further and completely end its quantitative easing policy.</p><p>During the European session, investors focused on the Eurozone's fourth-quarter GDP performance. The market currently believes that although the Eurozone economy rebounded significantly in the fourth quarter after the pandemic lockdown, economic growth in the Eurozone remains weak.</p><p>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that, judging from economic data from the fourth quarter of last year, the Eurozone's economic recovery has been delayed. Lagarde stated that the Eurozone economy should not deviate from the recovery track. To this end, fiscal policy still needs to play a leading role, while an active monetary policy should be maintained to ensure favorable financing conditions to support the recovery of all economic sectors in the Eurozone.</p><p>Lagarde pointed out that 2021 is expected to be a year of recovery, but the first phase of the recovery will still be accompanied by high uncertainty, while the second phase will be the transformation to a \"new economy\" characterized by digitalization and green development. The COVID-19 pandemic has not only promoted economic transformation to some extent, but also brought challenges. On the one hand, progress has been made in digitalization and remote work, and all parties are paying more attention to addressing climate change; On the other hand, the actual unemployment rate has increased, especially the risk of unemployment among low-skilled workers has risen significantly. Meanwhile, the pandemic continues to affect both the production and non-production sectors in the Eurozone, and corporate R&D spending has also declined. Lagarde said that while maintaining strong fiscal and monetary policies, the Eurozone should make investment more targeted, thereby laying the foundation for a new economy.</p><p>In addition, during the European session, OPEC+ began a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>At the end of last year, the OPEC+ alliance of oil-producing countries decided to increase production on a limited basis starting in January of this year. However, OPEC+ is currently losing its temper. Last December, the alliance increased its daily crude oil production by 280,000 barrels. The implementation rate of production cuts hit a new low. The reasons for this lie in different difficulties. Oil revenue is an important bargaining chip in solving a series of problems, and countries are eager to increase production to meet temporary needs.</p><p>Among the countries with production reduction quotas, due to the economic crisis caused by the pandemic, some countries have actually exceeded their quotas in order to obtain funds. Iraq's crude oil production increased significantly in December, and crude oil exports from the south of the country rose sharply. Iraqi crude oil production increased by 3.85 million barrels per day in December, exceeding the quota by 50,000 barrels per day. Many non-OPEC members, led by Russia, are also eager to regain market share lost due to the pandemic and increase production.</p><p>In Russia, in particular, domestic oil companies have begun gearing up to increase production. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak recently stated that although the OPEC+ alliance allowed Russia to further increase production, the country's production cut implementation rate in December was still only 95% to 96%, representing an increase of approximately 500,000 barrels of crude oil per day. Novak also made it clear that Russia's oil production in 2021 will exceed last year's. Clearly, this will only bring more instability to the fragile international crude oil market.</p><p>During the New York session, investors primarily focused on the permanent voting members of the Federal Reserve and the President of the New York Fed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>The speech. We can find the policy tone of core figures within the Federal Reserve in his speech.</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, February 3:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>/Paypal/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUMC\">Yum China</a>Earnings reports include China Caixin Services PMI, Eurozone Composite PMI, US ADP, US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and EIA Crude Oil Inventories.</b></p><p><b>Financial reports: Qualcomm, PayPal</b>Yum China, eBay, Goodwill (after-hours)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3c629b33b21939195d4b502b959b27\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>09:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe delivers a speech.</p><p>OPEC+ is scheduled to hold a Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting.</p><p>The pending OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting on Technology and Monitoring has entered its second day.</p><p>At 02:00, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard will give a report on the U.S. economy and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>03:00 Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivers a speech at an online job market event held by the Fed with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>06:00 Chicago Fed President Evans addresses the current economic situation and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 3, investors first paid close attention to New Zealand's employment data, while those trading the Australian dollar focused on Australian building permits. Then, they focused on China's January Caixin Services PMI data, which will provide clear guidance on market risk appetite in the morning.</p><p>During the European session, investors need to pay attention to a series of Eurozone composite PMI data, as well as the UK PMI. However, since these PMI data are final values, their impact on the market is relatively limited.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should focus on the performance of the US January ADP non-farm payrolls data. The Federal Reserve acknowledges a slowdown in economic activity and employment recovery. Following a two-day policy meeting this week, the Federal Reserve said it would maintain its benchmark short-term borrowing rate at near zero and its asset purchase program, which requires the Fed to purchase at least $120 billion per month, in line with market expectations. In its monetary policy statement, the Federal Reserve noted that the pace of economic activity and employment recovery has slowed in recent months, with the weakness concentrated in the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. The statement reiterated that the COVID-19 pandemic \"is causing enormous human and economic hardship in the United States and around the world.\" The Fed cut interest rates to zero at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and has maintained that level ever since. In recent months, officials have become more aggressive in their commitment to low interest rates, promising not to start a rate hike even if inflation is close to or slightly above the central bank's 2% target.</p><p>In addition to ADP data, investors should also pay attention to the performance of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data, which has historically impacted short-term market trends.</p><p>Next, investors trading crude oil will focus on the impact of EIA crude oil inventory data on oil prices. Last week, EIA crude oil inventories plummeted by nearly 10 million barrels. Analysts say that as the refining industry continues to convert excess crude oil into refined products, the sharp decrease in crude oil inventories has driven the market up. If inventories continue to decrease this week, this will continue to support oil prices.</p><p><b>February 4 (Thursday) Keywords: Snap/Unity/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a>Awaiting earnings reports, US initial jobless claims last week, US durable goods orders, and factory orders...</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">Nokia</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNA\">Shi Naibao</a>(Pre-market US stocks); Snap, Gilead Sciences, pinterest, Unity Software Inc, Activision Blizzard (after-hours US stock market).</p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Xintong Medical-B is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c7f0684167f77535eadf82f51ef8f1\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>17:00 The European Central Bank will release its economic bulletin.</p><p>At 20:00, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and release the meeting minutes.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 4, investors trading the Australian dollar paid close attention to Australia's goods and services trade data, and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors paid close attention to the Eurozone's December retail sales month-on-month data, and then focused on the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Currently, the market generally expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates and bond purchases unchanged.</p><p>The Bank of England's Bailey previously stated that the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the UK economy into a very difficult period and may delay the eventual recovery. He stated that we are currently in a very difficult period, and there is no doubt that this is likely to delay economic recovery. However, he added that the basic shape of the recovery is likely to reflect the trajectory outlined by the Bank of England in a series of forecasts in November.</p><p>Bailey stated that he no longer believes the UK's unemployment rate will peak at around 7-8%, as the Bank of England predicted two months ago, because the government has extended the job protection program. However, he said the unemployment rate may still be higher than the latest official estimate of 4.9%. Bailey said. Our best forecast is that the national unemployment rate may be around 6.5%. He added that economic activity will be sluggish in the first quarter until vaccine rollout is sufficient to allow for the lifting of some lockdown restrictions.</p><p>In addition, the market is also hyping up the Bank of England's negative interest rates, which Bailey denied in a recent speech. He pointed out that the Bank of England is doing a lot of work with banks on whether negative interest rates are feasible, and no country uses negative interest rates on the \"retail\" side of the financial market. He does not believe that the pandemic will lead to structural changes in the UK economy.</p><p>During the New York session, investors focused on a series of economic data released by the United States, including last week's initial jobless claims data and December's industrial orders and durable goods orders.</p><p><b>February 5th (Friday) Keywords: Kuaishou IPO, US January non-farm payrolls report, Canada January jobs report</b></p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Kuaishou and Jianbei Miaomiao have officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb7134a8dbba32c4e4dc705c3b9f01fe\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>During the Asian session on February 5th, investors paid close attention to Australian retail sales data and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to economic data from Germany and France. Unfortunately, market volatility was limited during this period, and investors were awaiting US employment data for the evening.</p><p>During the New York session, the market witnessed a feast of market trends this week. In the United States, the January non-farm payrolls report will be released.</p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread, and the US job crisis continues to worsen. Previously released figures for initial jobless claims last week showed that hundreds of thousands of people were still claiming, indicating that the U.S. job market remains sluggish. Late last year, the U.S. Congress passed a second round of economic stimulus bills, significantly increasing the amount of unemployment benefits. However, due to stringent application requirements and government inefficiency, a large number of unemployed people still find it difficult to receive this \"life-saving money\".</p><p>The Beige Book report previously released by the Federal Reserve also showed that the employment situation in the United States is severe. The report shows that most jurisdictions achieved moderate economic growth, but the job market recovery slowed down. In terms of the job market, most jurisdictions have achieved employment growth, but the growth has been slow. Compared to December last year, employment levels in more jurisdictions have declined. However, some industries, including construction and transportation, have strong labor demand and are facing difficulties in recruiting workers.</p><p>Although the U.S. job market has improved significantly, with the unemployment rate dropping from 14.8% at the outbreak of the pandemic to 6.7%, it is still far higher than the pre-pandemic level, and the number of non-farm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 140,000 in December last year. The United States is still struggling with the pandemic, and its economic recovery still requires monetary policy support. Federal Reserve officials currently have differing opinions on the direction of monetary policy, with some believing it is too early and even supporting maintaining the current bond-buying scale unchanged until the end of the year. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's statement on gradually exiting QE is more about managing market expectations than implementing it now, and the room for long-term US Treasury yields to rise is still relatively limited.</p><p>Investors trading crude oil should also pay attention to the drilling rig data released tonight, as this data will have an impact on the medium- to long-term trend of oil prices.</p><p>Saturday and Sunday, February 6-7: No significant economic data or events.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-02-01 07:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: This week, the market will see the OPEC+ technical meeting, manufacturing PMIs from various countries, and the US non-farm payrolls report. Investors should also closely monitor further developments in the pandemic and the negotiations on the Democratic Party's latest fiscal stimulus plan. Regarding financial reports,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>Many other star companies will release their financial reports in droves; In terms of new listings, Kuaishou and Xintong Medical will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25553c8de16bcee38bd6be13d0f1ae47\" tg-width=\"1736\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Overview of important economic data and events</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Monday, February 1st: China's manufacturing PMI, Eurozone, UK, and US manufacturing PMIs</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c86a23fdf6bca2ddc3e18140d2609da7\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At 3:00 AM, 2021 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic delivered a speech at a job market webinar held by the Federal Reserve with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>04:10 Boston Fed President Rosengren delivers a speech.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 1st, investors first focused on the opening trends of various commodities. News from the weekend may cause a gap in the opening of various commodities in the morning and exacerbate market price volatility, so investors should pay special attention. In addition to the opening performance during the Asian session, we should pay attention to some data from Australia, which will affect the short-term trend of the Australian dollar.</p><p>Of course, the most important thing is the performance of the Chinese market, which will also release the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for January. Currently, the COVID-19 vaccine is on the market, and vaccination is progressing in an orderly manner. The impact of local outbreaks on the overall economy will gradually weaken. Analysis indicates that with the gradual recovery of my country's macroeconomy, monetary policy has returned to normalization and has basically achieved its full-year target for 2020.</p><p>Currently, my country's industrial added value has further rebounded, and the production performance of high-tech manufacturing is outstanding. Since March 2020, China's manufacturing PMI index has remained above the expansion/contraction threshold, with high production enthusiasm and an increase in new orders. The overseas pandemic severely impacted production, thus providing strong support for the external demand of my country's manufacturing industry, and manufacturing investment accelerated its recovery at the end of 2020.</p><p>In December 2020, my country's manufacturing investment grew by 10.2% in a single month, down from 12.5% in November, but still at a high level. According to the assessment, there is room for further growth in my country's manufacturing investment in 2021, especially in high-tech manufacturing, which will continue to perform well. On the one hand, affected by strong overseas demand in the first half of 2021, my country's manufacturing investment will remain in a normal state of inventory replenishment, thereby maintaining a high growth rate. On the other hand, the outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan proposes that state-owned enterprises should achieve breakthroughs in institutional innovation and improve their vitality and efficiency during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to a series of manufacturing PMI data to be released by the Eurozone. Currently, the global economy has passed its darkest hour brought about by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. December 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global composite, manufacturing, and services PMI indices are all above the expansion/contraction threshold, while the Eurozone and US PMI indicators are showing a marginal improvement trend. The US manufacturing PMI new orders index, as a leading indicator, has risen to a new high of 67.90. Market participants are now awaiting preliminary Eurozone PMI readings to find some meaningful trading momentum.</p><p>Investors should also pay attention to UK manufacturing data, which is sluggish due to the impact of the mutated virus. A survey shows that concerns among British manufacturers about shortages of low-wage workers and supplies have risen to their highest level in nearly 50 years. Before the UK left the EU single market at the end of last month, companies increased their stockpiles. Nearly half of the surveyed manufacturers are concerned that the supply of raw materials or components may limit output in the coming quarter, and production is expected to record its biggest drop since June last year.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should pay close attention to US manufacturing data. Since February of last year, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused a global economic recession, and the United States has lost approximately 540,000 factory jobs. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy, has once again fallen into a slump. According to reports, Biden plans to create at least 5 million new manufacturing jobs and will require the U.S. federal government to spend $400 billion over four years to purchase U.S. goods and services, and to invest $300 billion in key U.S. technology research and development, including artificial intelligence and 5G.</p><p>In addition, the executive order signed by Biden provides for one-third (approximately $200 billion) of the U.S. federal government's annual $600 billion in procurement funding. The bill requires that at least 50% of a product's components must come from the United States to be eligible for federal government procurement. Federal agencies also need to reassess the authenticity of \"Made in America\" ingredients to prevent foreign companies from selling \"OEM\" products to the U.S. government as \"Made in America.\"</p><p>The American Manufacturing Coalition appreciated Biden's efforts and urged concrete steps. In a statement, the organization's president, Scott Paul, said loopholes must be closed, exemptions reduced, coverage expanded for more federal spending and more manufactured goods strengthened, and origin standards strengthened. Stronger domestic incentives, along with significant new investment in infrastructure and clean energy, will stimulate job creation and new investment in American factories.</p><p>Analysts believe that buying American goods is a good thing politically, but a bad thing economically, and it is not a way to create jobs. Biden's executive order will increase the cost of \"Made in America\": on the one hand, expensive products will lead to a decline in sales; On the other hand, within a certain government budget, increased costs will crowd out funds for other projects, such as building highways. Both outcomes will kill American jobs.</p><p>In the evening, investors should also pay close attention to the 2021 Federal Reserve voting member Bo...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300806\">Stick</a>In his speech, investors can find the Federal Reserve's views on the economic outlook and monetary policy prospects.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, February 2nd: Alibaba/Google/Amazon/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>Earnings report, Eurozone Q4 GDP, OPEC+ technical meeting</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports</b>：<b>Alibaba, Pfizer</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">Sony</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">ExxonMobil</a>(Pre-market US stocks);<b>Amazon, Google</b>Lufax (after-hours US stock market)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83341b019a0ce619f13ae57824344b16\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>11:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision.</p><p>To be determined, OPEC+ will begin a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>03:00 FOMC Permanent Voting Member, President of the New York Federal Reserve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Host an online conversation organized by the Economic Club of New York.</p><p>03:00 Cleveland Fed President Mester delivers opening remarks at the Fed's online job market event with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 2nd, investors should first focus on the Reserve Bank of Australia's February interest rate decision. Analysts believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to keep interest rates unchanged and its bond purchases unchanged in this decision. However, analysts point out that the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut its asset purchase program in April 2021. Although the Reserve Bank of Australia will present more optimistic economic growth, inflation and job market expectations at its February meeting, it is expected to still release a dovish stance.</p><p>Analysts point out that the rapid recovery in the job market will force the Reserve Bank of Australia to end its quantitative easing (QE) bond-buying program in April. The Reserve Bank of Australia's current bond-buying program is to purchase AU$48 billion in government bonds. If it continues to buy US$5 billion per week, it will reach the target of AU$100 billion by mid-April. Therefore, the Reserve Bank must announce whether to extend the program before its meeting on April 6. The market generally believes that the bank will reduce its weekly asset purchases from the current AU$5 billion to less than AU$2 billion starting in April. The Reserve Bank may go further and completely end its quantitative easing policy.</p><p>During the European session, investors focused on the Eurozone's fourth-quarter GDP performance. The market currently believes that although the Eurozone economy rebounded significantly in the fourth quarter after the pandemic lockdown, economic growth in the Eurozone remains weak.</p><p>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that, judging from economic data from the fourth quarter of last year, the Eurozone's economic recovery has been delayed. Lagarde stated that the Eurozone economy should not deviate from the recovery track. To this end, fiscal policy still needs to play a leading role, while an active monetary policy should be maintained to ensure favorable financing conditions to support the recovery of all economic sectors in the Eurozone.</p><p>Lagarde pointed out that 2021 is expected to be a year of recovery, but the first phase of the recovery will still be accompanied by high uncertainty, while the second phase will be the transformation to a \"new economy\" characterized by digitalization and green development. The COVID-19 pandemic has not only promoted economic transformation to some extent, but also brought challenges. On the one hand, progress has been made in digitalization and remote work, and all parties are paying more attention to addressing climate change; On the other hand, the actual unemployment rate has increased, especially the risk of unemployment among low-skilled workers has risen significantly. Meanwhile, the pandemic continues to affect both the production and non-production sectors in the Eurozone, and corporate R&D spending has also declined. Lagarde said that while maintaining strong fiscal and monetary policies, the Eurozone should make investment more targeted, thereby laying the foundation for a new economy.</p><p>In addition, during the European session, OPEC+ began a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>At the end of last year, the OPEC+ alliance of oil-producing countries decided to increase production on a limited basis starting in January of this year. However, OPEC+ is currently losing its temper. Last December, the alliance increased its daily crude oil production by 280,000 barrels. The implementation rate of production cuts hit a new low. The reasons for this lie in different difficulties. Oil revenue is an important bargaining chip in solving a series of problems, and countries are eager to increase production to meet temporary needs.</p><p>Among the countries with production reduction quotas, due to the economic crisis caused by the pandemic, some countries have actually exceeded their quotas in order to obtain funds. Iraq's crude oil production increased significantly in December, and crude oil exports from the south of the country rose sharply. Iraqi crude oil production increased by 3.85 million barrels per day in December, exceeding the quota by 50,000 barrels per day. Many non-OPEC members, led by Russia, are also eager to regain market share lost due to the pandemic and increase production.</p><p>In Russia, in particular, domestic oil companies have begun gearing up to increase production. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak recently stated that although the OPEC+ alliance allowed Russia to further increase production, the country's production cut implementation rate in December was still only 95% to 96%, representing an increase of approximately 500,000 barrels of crude oil per day. Novak also made it clear that Russia's oil production in 2021 will exceed last year's. Clearly, this will only bring more instability to the fragile international crude oil market.</p><p>During the New York session, investors primarily focused on the permanent voting members of the Federal Reserve and the President of the New York Fed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>The speech. We can find the policy tone of core figures within the Federal Reserve in his speech.</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, February 3:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>/Paypal/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUMC\">Yum China</a>Earnings reports include China Caixin Services PMI, Eurozone Composite PMI, US ADP, US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and EIA Crude Oil Inventories.</b></p><p><b>Financial reports: Qualcomm, PayPal</b>Yum China, eBay, Goodwill (after-hours)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3c629b33b21939195d4b502b959b27\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>09:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe delivers a speech.</p><p>OPEC+ is scheduled to hold a Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting.</p><p>The pending OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting on Technology and Monitoring has entered its second day.</p><p>At 02:00, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard will give a report on the U.S. economy and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>03:00 Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivers a speech at an online job market event held by the Fed with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>06:00 Chicago Fed President Evans addresses the current economic situation and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 3, investors first paid close attention to New Zealand's employment data, while those trading the Australian dollar focused on Australian building permits. Then, they focused on China's January Caixin Services PMI data, which will provide clear guidance on market risk appetite in the morning.</p><p>During the European session, investors need to pay attention to a series of Eurozone composite PMI data, as well as the UK PMI. However, since these PMI data are final values, their impact on the market is relatively limited.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should focus on the performance of the US January ADP non-farm payrolls data. The Federal Reserve acknowledges a slowdown in economic activity and employment recovery. Following a two-day policy meeting this week, the Federal Reserve said it would maintain its benchmark short-term borrowing rate at near zero and its asset purchase program, which requires the Fed to purchase at least $120 billion per month, in line with market expectations. In its monetary policy statement, the Federal Reserve noted that the pace of economic activity and employment recovery has slowed in recent months, with the weakness concentrated in the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. The statement reiterated that the COVID-19 pandemic \"is causing enormous human and economic hardship in the United States and around the world.\" The Fed cut interest rates to zero at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and has maintained that level ever since. In recent months, officials have become more aggressive in their commitment to low interest rates, promising not to start a rate hike even if inflation is close to or slightly above the central bank's 2% target.</p><p>In addition to ADP data, investors should also pay attention to the performance of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data, which has historically impacted short-term market trends.</p><p>Next, investors trading crude oil will focus on the impact of EIA crude oil inventory data on oil prices. Last week, EIA crude oil inventories plummeted by nearly 10 million barrels. Analysts say that as the refining industry continues to convert excess crude oil into refined products, the sharp decrease in crude oil inventories has driven the market up. If inventories continue to decrease this week, this will continue to support oil prices.</p><p><b>February 4 (Thursday) Keywords: Snap/Unity/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a>Awaiting earnings reports, US initial jobless claims last week, US durable goods orders, and factory orders...</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">Nokia</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNA\">Shi Naibao</a>(Pre-market US stocks); Snap, Gilead Sciences, pinterest, Unity Software Inc, Activision Blizzard (after-hours US stock market).</p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Xintong Medical-B is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c7f0684167f77535eadf82f51ef8f1\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>17:00 The European Central Bank will release its economic bulletin.</p><p>At 20:00, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and release the meeting minutes.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 4, investors trading the Australian dollar paid close attention to Australia's goods and services trade data, and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors paid close attention to the Eurozone's December retail sales month-on-month data, and then focused on the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Currently, the market generally expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates and bond purchases unchanged.</p><p>The Bank of England's Bailey previously stated that the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the UK economy into a very difficult period and may delay the eventual recovery. He stated that we are currently in a very difficult period, and there is no doubt that this is likely to delay economic recovery. However, he added that the basic shape of the recovery is likely to reflect the trajectory outlined by the Bank of England in a series of forecasts in November.</p><p>Bailey stated that he no longer believes the UK's unemployment rate will peak at around 7-8%, as the Bank of England predicted two months ago, because the government has extended the job protection program. However, he said the unemployment rate may still be higher than the latest official estimate of 4.9%. Bailey said. Our best forecast is that the national unemployment rate may be around 6.5%. He added that economic activity will be sluggish in the first quarter until vaccine rollout is sufficient to allow for the lifting of some lockdown restrictions.</p><p>In addition, the market is also hyping up the Bank of England's negative interest rates, which Bailey denied in a recent speech. He pointed out that the Bank of England is doing a lot of work with banks on whether negative interest rates are feasible, and no country uses negative interest rates on the \"retail\" side of the financial market. He does not believe that the pandemic will lead to structural changes in the UK economy.</p><p>During the New York session, investors focused on a series of economic data released by the United States, including last week's initial jobless claims data and December's industrial orders and durable goods orders.</p><p><b>February 5th (Friday) Keywords: Kuaishou IPO, US January non-farm payrolls report, Canada January jobs report</b></p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Kuaishou and Jianbei Miaomiao have officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb7134a8dbba32c4e4dc705c3b9f01fe\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>During the Asian session on February 5th, investors paid close attention to Australian retail sales data and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to economic data from Germany and France. Unfortunately, market volatility was limited during this period, and investors were awaiting US employment data for the evening.</p><p>During the New York session, the market witnessed a feast of market trends this week. In the United States, the January non-farm payrolls report will be released.</p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread, and the US job crisis continues to worsen. Previously released figures for initial jobless claims last week showed that hundreds of thousands of people were still claiming, indicating that the U.S. job market remains sluggish. Late last year, the U.S. Congress passed a second round of economic stimulus bills, significantly increasing the amount of unemployment benefits. However, due to stringent application requirements and government inefficiency, a large number of unemployed people still find it difficult to receive this \"life-saving money\".</p><p>The Beige Book report previously released by the Federal Reserve also showed that the employment situation in the United States is severe. The report shows that most jurisdictions achieved moderate economic growth, but the job market recovery slowed down. In terms of the job market, most jurisdictions have achieved employment growth, but the growth has been slow. Compared to December last year, employment levels in more jurisdictions have declined. However, some industries, including construction and transportation, have strong labor demand and are facing difficulties in recruiting workers.</p><p>Although the U.S. job market has improved significantly, with the unemployment rate dropping from 14.8% at the outbreak of the pandemic to 6.7%, it is still far higher than the pre-pandemic level, and the number of non-farm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 140,000 in December last year. The United States is still struggling with the pandemic, and its economic recovery still requires monetary policy support. Federal Reserve officials currently have differing opinions on the direction of monetary policy, with some believing it is too early and even supporting maintaining the current bond-buying scale unchanged until the end of the year. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's statement on gradually exiting QE is more about managing market expectations than implementing it now, and the room for long-term US Treasury yields to rise is still relatively limited.</p><p>Investors trading crude oil should also pay attention to the drilling rig data released tonight, as this data will have an impact on the medium- to long-term trend of oil prices.</p><p>Saturday and Sunday, February 6-7: No significant economic data or events.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/188c3e99437d0d898330ba09634bc763","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","USO":"美国原油ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2107223910","content_text":"摘要：本周市场迎来OPEC+技术会议，各国制造业PMI以及美国非农就业报告。投资者还要密切关注疫情的进一步动态和民主党最新的财政刺激计划的谈判情况。财报方面，阿里巴巴、谷歌、亚马逊、PayPal等众多明星公司将扎堆发布财报；新股方面，快手、心通医疗将登陆港交所。重要经济数据和事件一览2月1日（周一）关键词：中国制造业PMI，欧元区、英国和美国制造业PMI03：00 2021年FOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上研讨会发表演说。04：10 波士顿联储主席罗森格伦发表讲话。2月1日亚洲时段，投资者首先关注各个品种开盘的走势情况。周末发生的消息可能会使得早间各个品种开盘出现跳空，并加剧市场价格的波动，投资者特别留意。亚洲时段除了开盘情况，接下来要关注澳大利亚的一些数据，这些数据会给澳元短线走势带来影响。当然最重要的还是中国市场的表现，中国方面也会公布1月份的财新制造业PMI。当前，新冠肺炎疫苗已经上市，并且接种正在有序推进，局部疫情爆发给经济总体带来的冲击将逐渐减弱。分析表示，随着我国宏观经济的逐渐修复，货币政策已回归常态化，并已基本实现了2020年全年目标。目前我国工业增加值进一步回升，高技术制造业生产表现亮眼。自2020年3月以来，中国制造业PMI指数一直位于荣枯线以上，生产热情高涨、新订单增加。海外疫情严峻影响生产，从而为我国制造业外需提供了有力支撑，2020年底制造业投资加速回升。2020年12月份，我国制造业投资单月增速为10.2%，较11月12.5%有所下降，但仍处于高位。根据判断，2021年我国制造业投资有进一步增长空间，尤其是高技术制造业将会持续表现良好。一方面，2021年上半年受海外强需求影响，我国制造业投资将保持正常补库存状态，从而维持较高的增速。另一方面，“十四五”规划纲要建议中提出，国有企业要在“十四五”时期实现制度创新突破、提高国有企业活力和效率的关键任务。欧洲时段，投资者要密切关注欧元区要公布的一系列制造业PMI数据，目前，全球经济已渡过了新冠疫情冲击带来的至暗时刻，2020年12月摩根大通全球综合、制造业和服务业PMI指数均在荣枯线之上，欧元区和美国的PMI指标呈现边际好转趋势，美国制造业PMI新订单指数作为领先指标已升至67.90的新高。市场参与者现在期待欧元区PMI初值，以寻找一些有意义的交易动力。同时投资者还要关注英国的制造业数据，由于受到变异病毒的影响，英国制造业低迷。有调查显示，英国制造商对低工资工人及物资短缺的担忧升至近50年来最高。而在上月底英国脱离欧盟单一市场前，企业增加囤货。近半数受访制造商担忧，原材料或零部件供应，可能限制未来1季的产出，预计产量将录得去年6月以来最大跌幅。纽约时段，投资者需要重点关注美国的制造业数据。自去年2月以来，新冠疫情暴发引起全球经济衰退，美国失去了约54万个工厂工作岗位。占美国经济约12%的制造业再次陷入低迷。据报道，拜登计划创造至少500万个新的制造业工作岗位，并将要求美国联邦政府在4年时间内，以4000亿美元的预算购买美国的商品与服务，将3000亿美元预算投资在包括人工智能和5G在内的美国重要科技研发上。此外，拜登签署的行政令对美国联邦政府每年6000亿采购经费中的三分之一（约2000亿美元）作出了规定。法案要求，一种产品至少有50%的零部件必须来自美国本土，才有资格成为联邦政府采购对象。联邦机构还需要重新评估“美国制造”成分的真实性，防止外国公司把“贴牌”产品当成“美国制造”卖给美国政府。美国制造业联盟对拜登的努力表示赞赏，并督促采取具体步骤。该组织总裁斯科特·保罗（Scott Paul）在一份声明中说，必须堵住漏洞，减少豁免，扩大对更多联邦开支和更多制成品的覆盖范围，加强原产地标准。更强有力的国产优惠政策，以及对基础设施和清洁能源的大量新投资，将刺激美国工厂创造就业机会和新投资。分析认为，买美国货政治上是好事，但在经济上却是坏事，这不是创造就业机会的方式。拜登的行政令将增加“美国制造”的成本：一方面，昂贵的产品会导致销量下滑；另一方面，在一定的政府预算内，增加的成本将挤占用于其他项目的资金，比如修建公路。而这两个结果都将扼杀美国的工作岗位。晚间，投资者还要稍加留意2021年美联储票委博斯迪克的讲话，投资者可以从他的口中找到美联储对经济前景和货币政策前景的观点。2月2日（周二）关键词：阿里巴巴/谷歌/亚马逊/辉瑞财报，欧元区四季度GDP，OPEC+技术会议财报方面：阿里巴巴、辉瑞、索尼、皇家加勒比邮轮、埃克森美孚（美股盘前）；亚马逊、谷歌、陆金所（美股盘后）11：30 澳洲联储公布利率决议。待定 OPEC+开始举行为期两天的技术、监测部长级会议。03：00 FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯主持由纽约经济俱乐部组织的线上谈话活动。03：00 克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上活动中致开幕词。2月2日亚洲时段，投资者首先要关注的是澳洲联储2月份的利率决议。分析认为，本次决议澳洲联储将继续维持利率不变，维持购债不变。不过，分析指出，澳洲联储可能会在2021年4月削减其资产购买计划，虽然澳洲联储将在2月的例会上呈现更多乐观的经济增长、通胀和就业市场预期，该联储料依旧将释放鸽派立场。分析指出，就业市场急速复苏将令该联储在4月结束量化宽松购买（QE）购债计划，澳洲联储目前的购债计划为购买480亿澳元政府债券，若继续每周购债50亿美元，到4月中旬将达到1000亿澳元的目标，因此该联储必须在4月6日的会议之前宣布是否延长该计划，市场普遍认为，该行将从4月份起将每周资产购买额从目前的50亿澳元减至不到20亿澳元，该联储可能走得更远，彻底结束量化宽松政策。欧洲时段，投资者重点关注欧元区四季度GDP的表现。目前市场认为虽然疫情封锁之后，欧元区四季度经济呈现大幅度反弹，但欧元区经济增长依然乏力。欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，从去年第四季度的经济数据判断，欧元区经济复苏进程有所延迟。拉加德表示，欧元区经济不应脱离复苏轨道。为此，财政政策仍需发挥主导作用，同时应保持积极的货币政策，确保有利融资条件，以支持欧元区所有经济部门复苏。拉加德指出，2021年有望成为复苏之年，但复苏的第一阶段仍将伴随高度不确定性，第二阶段则是向以数字化、绿色等为特征的“新经济”转型。新冠疫情既对经济转型产生了一定促进作用，也带来了挑战。一方面，数字化、远程办公等取得进展，各方也更重视应对气候变化；另一方面，实际失业水平升高，特别是低技能工人失业风险显著上升。同时，疫情持续影响欧元区生产及非生产部门，企业研发支出也出现下滑。拉加德说，欧元区在保持财政和货币政策力度的同时，应让投资更具针对性，进而为新经济奠定基础。此外，欧洲时段，OPEC+开始举行为期两天的技术、监测部长级会议。去年年末，OPEC+产油国联盟决定从今年1月起进行有限增产。然而，目前OPEC+有些按捺不住。去年12月，该联盟将原油日产量提高了28万桶。减产执行率方面创新低。究其原因，面临不同的困境，石油收入是解决一系列问题的重要筹码，各国都迫不及待地抢先增产，以应一时之需。有减产限额的国家中，由于陷入疫情带来的经济危机，部分国家实际产量超过限额，以获取资金。伊拉克12月的原油产量增加不少，该国南部的原油出口急剧上升。12月伊拉克原油产量增加了385万桶/日，比配额高出了5万桶/日。以俄罗斯为首的许多非OPEC成员国同样渴望夺回因疫情而失去的市场份额，并增产。尤其是俄罗斯，该国国内的石油公司已经开始为增加产量摩拳擦掌。俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克已经于近期表示，尽管OPEC+联盟允许俄罗斯进一步增产，该国12月的减产执行率仍只有95%~96%，约多生产50万桶/日的原油。诺瓦克也明确表示，俄罗斯2021年的石油产量将超过去年的产量。显然，这只会为脆弱的国际原油市场带来更多的不稳定因素。纽约时段，投资者主要关注美联储永久票委，纽约联储主席威廉姆斯的讲话。我们可以从他的讲话中找到美联储内部核心人士的政策基调。2月3日（周三）关键词：高通/Paypal/百胜中国等财报，中国财新服务业PMI，欧元区综合PMI，美国ADP，美国ISM非制造业PMI，EIA原油库存财报方面：高通、PayPal、百胜中国、eBay、好事达（盘后）09：30 澳洲联储主席洛威发表讲话。待定 OPEC+举行联合部长级监督委员会（JMMC）会议。待定 OPEC+技术、监测部长级会议进入第二天。02：00 圣路易斯联储主席布拉德在一场线上活动中就美国经济与货币政策进行报告。03：00 费城联储主席哈克在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上活动中发表演讲。06：00 芝加哥联储主席埃文斯在一场线上活动中就当前经济情势与货币政策发表讲话。2月3日亚洲时段，投资者首先稍加留意新西兰的就业数据，交易澳元的投资者关注澳大利亚的营建许可，然后重点关注中国的1月财新服务业PMI数据，该数据将会给早间市场风险偏好情绪带来明确的指引。欧洲时段，投资者需要关注一系列的欧元区综合PMI数据，同时也要关注英国PMI，不过由于这些PMI数据都是终值，因此数据对市场的影响就相对有限了。纽约时段，投资者应该重点关注美国小非农1月ADP数据的表现。美联储承认经济活动和就业复苏放缓。本周美联储在为期两日的政策会议后表示，将维持指标短期借款利率在接近零的水平，并维持资产购买计划，即美联储每月至少购买1200亿美元，上述决定符合市场预期。在货币政策声明中，美联储指出，近几个月经济活动和就业复苏步伐放缓，疲弱集中在受疫情影响最严重的行业，声明重申，新冠疫情“正在美国和世界各地造成巨大的人力和经济困难。”美联储在新冠肺炎大流行初期将利率降至零，此后一直保持这一水平。近几个月来，官员们对低利率的承诺更加积极，承诺即使通胀率接近或略高于央行设定的2%的目标，也不会开始加息。除了ADP数据，投资者也要关注ISM非制造业PMI数据的表现，该数据以往也能给市场短线走势带来冲击。接下来，交易原油的投资者重点关注EIA原油库存数据给油价带来的影响。上周EIA原油库存骤降接近1000万桶，分析表示，炼油行业继续将过剩的原油转化为成品油之际，原油库存大幅减少，带动市场上涨。如果本周库存继续减少，那么这将继续给油价带来支撑。2月4日（周四）关键词：Snap/Unity/动视暴雪等财报，美国上周初请失业金，美国耐用品订单和工厂订单财报方面：诺基亚、施耐宝（美股盘前）；Snap、吉利德科学、pinterest、Unity Software Inc、动视暴雪（美股盘后）。新股方面：心通医疗-B港交所上市。17：00 欧洲央行公布经济公报。20：00 英国央行公布利率决议，并公布会议记录。2月4日亚洲时段，交易澳元的投资者稍加留意澳大利亚的商品和服务贸易帐数据，然后重点关注中国市场表现。欧洲时段，投资者稍加留意欧元区12月零售销售月率数据，然后重点关注英国央行利率决议。目前，市场普遍预期英国央行将维持利率和购债规模不变。英国央行贝利此前称，最近新冠疫情复燃，使英国经济陷入非常艰难的时期，可能会延迟最终的复苏。他表示，我们目前正处于一个非常困难的时期，毫无疑问，这很可能会推迟经济复苏。不过他补充称，复苏的基本形态很可能反映英国央行在11月一系列预测中勾画的轨迹。贝利表示，他不再认为英国的失业率会像英国央行两个月前预测的那样在7-8%左右触顶，因为政府已经延长工作保护计划。但他说，失业率可能仍会高于官方最新估计的4.9%。贝利说。我们的最好预测是，全国失业率可能在6.5%左右。他补充称，在疫苗普及程度足以允许解除部分封锁限制之前，第一季度的经济活动将会低迷。此外，市场还在热炒英国央行的负利率，对此贝利在最近的讲话中予以否认，他指出，英国央行正在与银行就负利率是否切实可行进行大量的工作，没有哪个国家在金融市场的”零售“端使用负利率，不认为疫情会导致英国经济发生结构性转变。纽约时段，投资者重点关注美国公布的一系列经济数据，其中包括上周初请失业金数据和12月工业订单，耐用品订单。2月5日（周五）关键词：快手上市、美国1月非农就业报告，加拿大1月就业报告新股方面：快手、健倍苗苗正式登陆港交所。2月5日亚洲时段，投资者稍加留意澳大利亚零售销售数据，然后重点关注中国市场表现。欧洲时段，投资者稍加留意德国和法国的经济数据即可。不够料该时段市场波动有限，投资者都在等待晚间美国就业数据。纽约时段，市场迎来本周行情走势的盛宴。美国方面，将会公布1月份的非农就业报告。新冠疫情持续扩散，美国就业危机也在继续恶化。此前公布的，上周初请失业金人数就显示仍然有几十万人申领，显示美国就业市场仍然低迷。去年年末，美国国会通过了第二轮经济刺激法案，大幅提高了失业救济金的数额。然而由于申请条件苛刻、政府效率低下等原因，仍然有大批失业者难以领到这笔“救命钱”。此前美联储公布的褐皮书报告也显示，美国就业形势严峻。报告显示，多数辖区经济实现温和增长，但就业市场复苏放缓。就业市场方面，多数辖区就业实现增长但增长缓慢。与去年12月相比，更多辖区就业水平出现下滑。不过，包括建筑、运输在内的某些行业用工需求旺盛，面临招工难问题。目前美国就业市场虽有明显改善，失业率由疫情暴发时的14.8%下降至6.7%，但仍远高于疫情前的水平，且去年12月非农就业人数意外下滑14万人。美国仍未摆脱疫情困扰，经济回升仍需货币政策支持。美联储官员目前对于货币政策走向态度不一，部分官员认为为时尚早，甚至支持在年底前保持当前购债规模不变。因此，美联储关于逐步退出QE的表态更多是对市场进行预期管理，并非当下实施，长期美债收益率回升空间仍相对有限。交易原油的投资者也要关注晚间公布的钻井平台数据，该数据会对油价中长期的走势带来影响。2月6日-2月7日周六和周日：无重要经济数据和事件","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SCO":0.9,"ZNmain":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"DWTIF":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"QID":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"UCO":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"DJX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"ZBmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"DUG":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"DWT":0.9,"UBmain":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"SH":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"USO":0.9,"UWTIF":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"DDG":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"ZTmain":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"TNmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4945,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":301678085,"gmtCreate":1603497207547,"gmtModify":1705072711753,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/301678085","repostId":"1194565231","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194565231","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1603496624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194565231?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2020-10-24 07:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194565231","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：刺激方案谈判暂无进展，美股收盘涨跌不一；传奇投资人格兰瑟姆称美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭；美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周，包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。海外市场1、美股收盘涨跌不一","content":"<p>Abstract: US stocks closed mixed with no progress in stimulus package negotiations; Legendary investor Grantham said the US stock market bubble would burst in a few months at most; The US earnings season is about to begin its busiest week, with approximately 170 companies, including FAAMG, releasing their earnings reports next week. Overseas markets</p><p><b>1. US stocks closed mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It plummeted by nearly 11%! All three major stock indices recorded declines this week.</b></p><p>U.S. stocks rose and then fell on Friday, with the three major indexes closing mixed after White House economic advisor Kudlow said that there had been little progress in stimulus negotiations. The fear index VIX fell 1.99% to 27.55 points. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 28.09 points to 28,335.57, a drop of 0.1%. The Nasdaq rose 42.27 points to 11,548.28, or 0.37%. The S&P 500 rose 11.9 points to 3465.39, or 0.34%. This week, the S&P 500 fell 0.53%, ending a three-week winning streak, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.95%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.06%, ending a four-week winning streak.</p><p><b>2. Gold prices closed slightly higher, but have fallen by less than 0.1% over the past week.</b></p><p>Gold futures prices closed slightly higher on Friday, rebounding from the previous trading day's decline, as the market remained hopeful that Washington's U.S. coronavirus relief plan would be passed, which could provide a boost to gold buyers and help them avoid the impact of the growing government budget deficit. Gold futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 60 cents to settle at $1,905.20 an ounce, up 0.03%, after the contract closed down 1.3% on Thursday and briefly touched a low of $1,894.20 an ounce during the session. According to data provided by financial information provider FactSet, gold futures prices fell by less than 0.1% in overall trading this week.</p><p><b>3. U.S. crude oil futures closed down nearly 2%! Break through the $40 mark</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed lower on Friday, marking their first weekly decline in three weeks this week, due to increased crude oil production in Libya, uncertainty over whether the U.S. Congress can pass a new fiscal stimulus package, and investor concerns about the outlook for crude oil demand amid accelerating COVID-19 cases. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 79 cents to settle at $39.85 a barrel, a drop of 1.9%. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures for December delivery on the ICE Europe futures exchange in London also fell 69 cents to settle at $41.77 a barrel, a drop of 1.6%.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Experts: Economic inequality in the United States has been worsening for decades, and the COVID-19 pandemic has opened a huge gap.</b></p><p>Patrick McHugh, research manager at the nonpartisan North Carolina Center for Budget and Taxation, pointed out, “For white-collar workers with good benefits, the recession is almost over. But middle-income earners still have a long way to go before they can recover, especially for low-income workers.”</p><p><b>2. A second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has struck again, increasing the risk of a second recession for the European and American economies.</b></p><p>In recent months, Europe, a major global economy, has taken numerous steps to recover from its worst economic recession in a generation. But now, as cases of the novel coronavirus surge again in the region, that recovery progress could be reversed. According to the latest readings of the IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks manufacturing and services, business activity in Europe is falling back into decline.</p><p><b>3. A Eurobarometer poll shows that Italians' trust in the EU has dropped to 28%.</b></p><p>The European Commission's latest \"European Barometer\" poll shows that Italian public trust in EU institutions fell to 28% during the pandemic, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to the same period in 2019, making it the lowest among the 27 EU member states. The survey also showed that only 48% of Italians expressed a sense of belonging to the EU, far below the average of 70% of member states. In addition, 58% of Italians expressed \"dissatisfaction\" with the EU's measures to combat the pandemic.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1183139757\" target=\"_blank\"><b>WTO: Global trade in services shrank by 30% in the second quarter</b></a></p><p>Data released by the World Trade Organization on the 23rd showed that global trade in services fell by 30% year-on-year in the second quarter of this year, marking the largest drop since the 2008-2009 international financial crisis. Data shows that in the second quarter of this year, the volume of service trade declined across all regions of the world. In terms of service trade exports, North America declined by 32% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 29% and 26% respectively. In terms of imports, North America shrank by 36% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 32% and 29% respectively.</p><p><b>Market perspective</b></p><p><b>1. 16 Major Institutions Comment on US Stocks: The US Economic Momentum Remains Healthy, Bank Stocks Will Benefit</b></p><p>Investors are increasingly optimistic that a new round of stimulus measures will be introduced, but many believe that the chances of reaching an agreement before the election are slim. Sectors sensitive to economic outlook (such as energy and banking stocks) outperformed the broader market this week, while information technology stocks faced pressure. \"The message from the market is that fiscal stimulus is coming, which should have a positive impact on U.S. economic growth,\" said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset management at Janus Henderson Investors. He noted that Janus has profited from technology stocks and has purchased shares in regional U.S. banks that will benefit from a stronger economy.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1130139981\" target=\"_blank\"><b>JPMorgan Chase: Recommends shorting stocks like Zoom when COVID-19 vaccines are available.</b></a><b></b></p><p>American pharmaceutical companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>And Moderna executives said their COVID-19 vaccine candidate could be ready by the end of this year, at least for limited use. If the vaccine is effective enough, face-to-face communication can resume again, and there is no need to worry too much about the spread or infection of COVID-19, which will be good news for the economy. However, this is not good news for all companies in the stock market, as some companies' businesses have thrived thanks to the pandemic. JPMorgan Chase strategists have compiled a list of companies whose stock prices are at risk of a sharp decline. The JPMorgan team stated that these companies' stock prices are \"at the upper end of the momentum, in crowded positions, and their profit growth could plummet as consumer/business activity normalizes.\"</p><p><b>3. Legendary investor Grantham: The US stock market bubble will burst in a few months at most.</b></p><p>Legendary investor Grantham warned investors that the U.S. stock market bubble would officially burst within months, if not weeks. Currently, we are most optimistic about emerging market stocks, especially those in China, India, Russia, and Brazil.</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1. California Court of Appeals ruling<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>Lyft's loss may completely disrupt the ride-hailing business model.</b></p><p>A California appeals court said Thursday that Uber and Lyft must reclassify drivers as employees, not independent contractors, a statement that reaffirmed an earlier trial court ruling. Analysts say the ruling marks a significant breakthrough in the months-long legal battle between the two companies and the state of California. California sued Uber and Lyft in May, claiming they violated state law.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077523370\" target=\"_blank\"><b>86% of companies' Q3 results exceeded expectations! US earnings season is about to see its busiest week yet.</b></a></p><p>As the third-quarter earnings season for U.S.-listed companies kicks off, more companies are once again providing earnings guidance, indicating to investors that some companies are adapting to the uncertainty of the global coronavirus pandemic, which may last until late next year. According to Refinitiv data, overall, 73 companies in the S&P 500 have provided earnings guidance when releasing their earnings reports so far, up from 65 in the previous quarter, but far fewer than the 170 companies that typically provide earnings guidance. According to Refinitiv data going back to 1997, companies providing performance guidance have given the most optimistic expectations since then. Including FAAMG, approximately 170 companies will release their earnings reports next week.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077528200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Doctors questioned the FDA's approval of Gilead's COVID-19 treatment, saying its efficacy was limited.</b></a></p><p>Although a trial conducted by the World Health Organization found that the drug could not prevent patients from dying, the FDA still approved the drug. Full approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>Gilead Sciences' remdesivir has sparked widespread skepticism about this drug, which was first approved for the treatment of COVID-19. This medication may provide only limited clinical efficacy. Gilead's stock price rose 4.1% on Friday, a day after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced the approval of remdesivir as a treatment for COVID-19. This is the first drug for the treatment of COVID-19 approved by the FDA during the epidemic.</p><p><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The company will resume phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine.</b></p><p>Johnson & Johnson announced on Friday that it will resume Phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine and is currently discussing related matters with numerous regulatory authorities around the world. The company stated that there is no evidence that its vaccine candidate caused medical malpractice in its test patients. Following the news, Johnson & Johnson's stock price rose nearly 1% in after-hours trading, returning above $146. The company's shares closed up 0.11% on Friday at $145.24.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2020-10-24 07:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: US stocks closed mixed with no progress in stimulus package negotiations; Legendary investor Grantham said the US stock market bubble would burst in a few months at most; The US earnings season is about to begin its busiest week, with approximately 170 companies, including FAAMG, releasing their earnings reports next week. Overseas markets</p><p><b>1. US stocks closed mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It plummeted by nearly 11%! All three major stock indices recorded declines this week.</b></p><p>U.S. stocks rose and then fell on Friday, with the three major indexes closing mixed after White House economic advisor Kudlow said that there had been little progress in stimulus negotiations. The fear index VIX fell 1.99% to 27.55 points. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 28.09 points to 28,335.57, a drop of 0.1%. The Nasdaq rose 42.27 points to 11,548.28, or 0.37%. The S&P 500 rose 11.9 points to 3465.39, or 0.34%. This week, the S&P 500 fell 0.53%, ending a three-week winning streak, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.95%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.06%, ending a four-week winning streak.</p><p><b>2. Gold prices closed slightly higher, but have fallen by less than 0.1% over the past week.</b></p><p>Gold futures prices closed slightly higher on Friday, rebounding from the previous trading day's decline, as the market remained hopeful that Washington's U.S. coronavirus relief plan would be passed, which could provide a boost to gold buyers and help them avoid the impact of the growing government budget deficit. Gold futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 60 cents to settle at $1,905.20 an ounce, up 0.03%, after the contract closed down 1.3% on Thursday and briefly touched a low of $1,894.20 an ounce during the session. According to data provided by financial information provider FactSet, gold futures prices fell by less than 0.1% in overall trading this week.</p><p><b>3. U.S. crude oil futures closed down nearly 2%! Break through the $40 mark</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed lower on Friday, marking their first weekly decline in three weeks this week, due to increased crude oil production in Libya, uncertainty over whether the U.S. Congress can pass a new fiscal stimulus package, and investor concerns about the outlook for crude oil demand amid accelerating COVID-19 cases. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 79 cents to settle at $39.85 a barrel, a drop of 1.9%. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures for December delivery on the ICE Europe futures exchange in London also fell 69 cents to settle at $41.77 a barrel, a drop of 1.6%.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Experts: Economic inequality in the United States has been worsening for decades, and the COVID-19 pandemic has opened a huge gap.</b></p><p>Patrick McHugh, research manager at the nonpartisan North Carolina Center for Budget and Taxation, pointed out, “For white-collar workers with good benefits, the recession is almost over. But middle-income earners still have a long way to go before they can recover, especially for low-income workers.”</p><p><b>2. A second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has struck again, increasing the risk of a second recession for the European and American economies.</b></p><p>In recent months, Europe, a major global economy, has taken numerous steps to recover from its worst economic recession in a generation. But now, as cases of the novel coronavirus surge again in the region, that recovery progress could be reversed. According to the latest readings of the IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks manufacturing and services, business activity in Europe is falling back into decline.</p><p><b>3. A Eurobarometer poll shows that Italians' trust in the EU has dropped to 28%.</b></p><p>The European Commission's latest \"European Barometer\" poll shows that Italian public trust in EU institutions fell to 28% during the pandemic, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to the same period in 2019, making it the lowest among the 27 EU member states. The survey also showed that only 48% of Italians expressed a sense of belonging to the EU, far below the average of 70% of member states. In addition, 58% of Italians expressed \"dissatisfaction\" with the EU's measures to combat the pandemic.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1183139757\" target=\"_blank\"><b>WTO: Global trade in services shrank by 30% in the second quarter</b></a></p><p>Data released by the World Trade Organization on the 23rd showed that global trade in services fell by 30% year-on-year in the second quarter of this year, marking the largest drop since the 2008-2009 international financial crisis. Data shows that in the second quarter of this year, the volume of service trade declined across all regions of the world. In terms of service trade exports, North America declined by 32% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 29% and 26% respectively. In terms of imports, North America shrank by 36% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 32% and 29% respectively.</p><p><b>Market perspective</b></p><p><b>1. 16 Major Institutions Comment on US Stocks: The US Economic Momentum Remains Healthy, Bank Stocks Will Benefit</b></p><p>Investors are increasingly optimistic that a new round of stimulus measures will be introduced, but many believe that the chances of reaching an agreement before the election are slim. Sectors sensitive to economic outlook (such as energy and banking stocks) outperformed the broader market this week, while information technology stocks faced pressure. \"The message from the market is that fiscal stimulus is coming, which should have a positive impact on U.S. economic growth,\" said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset management at Janus Henderson Investors. He noted that Janus has profited from technology stocks and has purchased shares in regional U.S. banks that will benefit from a stronger economy.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1130139981\" target=\"_blank\"><b>JPMorgan Chase: Recommends shorting stocks like Zoom when COVID-19 vaccines are available.</b></a><b></b></p><p>American pharmaceutical companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>And Moderna executives said their COVID-19 vaccine candidate could be ready by the end of this year, at least for limited use. If the vaccine is effective enough, face-to-face communication can resume again, and there is no need to worry too much about the spread or infection of COVID-19, which will be good news for the economy. However, this is not good news for all companies in the stock market, as some companies' businesses have thrived thanks to the pandemic. JPMorgan Chase strategists have compiled a list of companies whose stock prices are at risk of a sharp decline. The JPMorgan team stated that these companies' stock prices are \"at the upper end of the momentum, in crowded positions, and their profit growth could plummet as consumer/business activity normalizes.\"</p><p><b>3. Legendary investor Grantham: The US stock market bubble will burst in a few months at most.</b></p><p>Legendary investor Grantham warned investors that the U.S. stock market bubble would officially burst within months, if not weeks. Currently, we are most optimistic about emerging market stocks, especially those in China, India, Russia, and Brazil.</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1. California Court of Appeals ruling<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>Lyft's loss may completely disrupt the ride-hailing business model.</b></p><p>A California appeals court said Thursday that Uber and Lyft must reclassify drivers as employees, not independent contractors, a statement that reaffirmed an earlier trial court ruling. Analysts say the ruling marks a significant breakthrough in the months-long legal battle between the two companies and the state of California. California sued Uber and Lyft in May, claiming they violated state law.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077523370\" target=\"_blank\"><b>86% of companies' Q3 results exceeded expectations! US earnings season is about to see its busiest week yet.</b></a></p><p>As the third-quarter earnings season for U.S.-listed companies kicks off, more companies are once again providing earnings guidance, indicating to investors that some companies are adapting to the uncertainty of the global coronavirus pandemic, which may last until late next year. According to Refinitiv data, overall, 73 companies in the S&P 500 have provided earnings guidance when releasing their earnings reports so far, up from 65 in the previous quarter, but far fewer than the 170 companies that typically provide earnings guidance. According to Refinitiv data going back to 1997, companies providing performance guidance have given the most optimistic expectations since then. Including FAAMG, approximately 170 companies will release their earnings reports next week.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077528200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Doctors questioned the FDA's approval of Gilead's COVID-19 treatment, saying its efficacy was limited.</b></a></p><p>Although a trial conducted by the World Health Organization found that the drug could not prevent patients from dying, the FDA still approved the drug. Full approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>Gilead Sciences' remdesivir has sparked widespread skepticism about this drug, which was first approved for the treatment of COVID-19. This medication may provide only limited clinical efficacy. Gilead's stock price rose 4.1% on Friday, a day after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced the approval of remdesivir as a treatment for COVID-19. This is the first drug for the treatment of COVID-19 approved by the FDA during the epidemic.</p><p><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The company will resume phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine.</b></p><p>Johnson & Johnson announced on Friday that it will resume Phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine and is currently discussing related matters with numerous regulatory authorities around the world. The company stated that there is no evidence that its vaccine candidate caused medical malpractice in its test patients. Following the news, Johnson & Johnson's stock price rose nearly 1% in after-hours trading, returning above $146. The company's shares closed up 0.11% on Friday at $145.24.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","JNJ":"强生","AMZN":"亚马逊","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","MSFT":"微软","GOOGL":"谷歌A",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ZM":"Zoom","AAPL":"苹果","GILD":"吉利德科学","FB":"ProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF","INTC":"英特尔"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194565231","content_text":"摘要：刺激方案谈判暂无进展，美股收盘涨跌不一；传奇投资人格兰瑟姆称美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭；美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周，包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。海外市场1、美股收盘涨跌不一，英特尔暴跌近11％！三大股指本周均录得跌幅美股周五冲高回落，三大指数收盘涨跌不一，因白宫经济顾问库德洛称，刺激方案谈判目前尚无太大进展。恐慌指数VIX跌1.99%，报27.55点。截至收盘，道指跌28.09点，报28335.57点，跌幅为0.1%；纳指涨42.27点，报11548.28点，涨幅为0.37%；标普500指数涨11.9点，报3465.39点，涨幅为0.34%；本周，标普500指数累计下跌0.53%结束之前连涨三周的表现，道指累跌0.95%，纳指累跌1.06%结束之前连涨四周的表现。2、金价收盘微幅上涨，一周来累计下跌不到0.1％黄金期货价格周五收盘微幅上涨，从此前一个交易日的下跌走势中反弹，原因是市场对华盛顿方面的美国新冠病毒纾困计划将可通过抱有希望，这项计划可能为黄金买家提供提振，帮助其免受日益增长的政府预算赤字的影响。纽约商品交易所12月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨60美分，报收于每盎司1905.20美元，涨幅为0.03%，此前该合约在周四的交易中收盘下跌1.3%，盘中则一度触及每盎司1894.20美元的低点。据财经信息供应商FactSet提供的数据显示，在本周的整体交易中，黄金期货价格累计下跌了不到0.1%。3、美国原油期货收盘大跌近2％！击穿40美元关口原油期货价格周五收盘下跌，在本周的交易中也出现了三个星期以来的首次单周下跌，原因是利比亚的原油产量增加，美国国会是否能够通过新一轮财政刺激计划的前景存在不确定性，以及在新冠肺炎感染病例加速的背景之下，投资者对原油需求前景感到担心。纽约商品交易所12月份交割的西德克萨斯轻质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌79美分，报收于每桶39.85美元，跌幅为1.9%。与此同时，伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所12月份交割的北海布伦特原油期货价格也下跌69美分，报收于每桶41.77美元，跌幅为1.6%。国际宏观1、专家：数十年来美国的经济不平等一直在加剧 新冠疫情撕开了个大口子无党派的北卡罗来纳预算和税收中心的研究经理帕特里克-麦克休(Patrick McHugh)指出，“对那些福利很白的白领工作者来说，经济衰退几乎已经结束了。但是，中等收入的人要想复苏，还有很长一段路要走，那些低收入工人更是如此。”2、第二波新冠疫情再次来袭，欧美经济陷入二次衰退风险正在增加近几个月来，欧洲这一全球重要经济体采取了诸多举措，以求从这场一代人以来最严重的经济衰退中复苏。但现在，随着该地区新型冠状病毒病例再次激增，这一复苏进展却可能会被逆转。根据追踪制造业和服务业的IHS Markit采购经理人指数(PMI)最新读数，欧洲的商业活动正重新陷入下滑。3、“欧洲晴雨表”民调显示意大利民众对欧盟信任度下降至28%欧盟委员会最新发布的“欧洲晴雨表”民意调查显示，意大利民众对欧盟机构的信任度在疫情期间下降至28%，相比2019年同期下降了10个百分点，为欧盟27个成员国中最低。调查还显示，仅有48%的意大利民众表示对欧盟有归属感，远低于70%的成员国平均水平。此外，对欧盟层面抗击疫情的举措则有58%的意大利人表示“不满意”。4、世贸组织：第二季度全球服贸缩水三成世界贸易组织23日发布的数据显示，今年第二季度全球服务贸易额同比下滑30%，创2008年至2009年国际金融危机以来最大跌幅。数据显示，今年第二季度，全球各地区服务贸易额均出现下滑。从服务贸易出口来看，北美地区同比下滑32%，亚洲和欧洲地区分别下滑29%和26%；从进口来看，北美地区同比缩水36%，亚洲和欧洲地区分别下滑32%和29%。市场观点1、16大机构点评美股：美国经济发展势头仍很健康，银行股将从中受益投资者越来越乐观地认为，新一轮刺激措施将会出台，但许多人认为在选举前达成协议的可能性很小。对经济前景敏感的板块(比如说能源和银行类股等)本周的表现强于大盘，信息技术股则面临着压力。Janus Henderson Investors的多资产部门主管保罗·奥康纳(Paul O‘Connor)表示：“市场传递出的信息是，财政刺激措施即将到来，这应该会对美国经济成长产生正面影响。”他表示，Janus已经从科技股中获利，并购买了美国地区性银行的股票，这些银行将受益于经济走强。2、摩根大通：当新冠疫苗问世时，建议做空Zoom等股票美国制药商辉瑞和Moderna的高管表示，他们的新冠肺炎候选疫苗可能会在今年年底准备好，至少用于有限的使用。如果疫苗足够有效，面对面的相互交流可以再次恢复，且不用太担心新冠肺炎的传播或感染，这对经济而言将是一个好消息。但在股市中，这并非对所有公司都是好消息，因为一些公司的业务正是通过疫情获得了蓬勃发展。摩根大通的策略师列出了一份股价面临大幅下跌风险的公司名单。摩根大通团队表示，这些公司的股价处于“势头的上层，位置拥挤，随着消费者/企业活动正常化，他们利润增长可能会出现暴跌。”3、传奇投资人格兰瑟姆：美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭传奇投资人格兰瑟姆警告投资者说，美股泡沫即使不在数周之内，也会在数月之内正式破灭。目前最看好新兴市场股票，尤其是中国，印度、俄罗斯和巴西等。公司新闻1、加州上诉法院裁定优步Lyft败诉，或将彻底颠覆网约车商业模式加州一家上诉法院周四表示，优步和Lyft必须将司机重新归类为员工，而不是独立承包商，这一表态也再次确认了初审法院早些时候的一项裁决无误。分析称，这项裁决标志着这两家公司与加利福尼亚州之间为期多月的法律战取得了重大进展。加利福尼亚州在5月份起诉了优步和Lyft，并声称它们违反了州法律。2、86％企业Q3业绩超预期！美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周随着美股企业第三季度财报季的全面展开，更多的公司再次开始提供业绩指引，这向投资者表明一些公司正在适应全球新冠病毒大流行的不确定性，这场疫情可能会持续到明年很晚时候。Refinitiv数据显示，整体而言，在标普500指数成分股公司中，迄今为止已有73家企业在公布财报时提供了业绩指引，多于上一季度的65家，但远低于通常来说会提供业绩指引的170家。从Refinitiv回溯至1997年的数据来看，提供业绩指引的公司给出了自那时起以来最乐观的预期。包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。3、医生们质疑FDA对吉利德新冠治疗药物的批准 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Sciences)的瑞德西韦(remdesivir)，这引发了人们对这种首次被批准用于新冠治疗药物的广泛质疑。这种药物可能只提供有限的临床效果。吉利德股价周五上涨4.1%，此前一天，美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)宣布批准瑞德西韦(remdesivir)作为新冠肺炎的治疗药物。这是疫情期间首次获得FDA批准的新冠肺炎治疗药物。4、强生公司将恢复新冠肺炎疫苗第三阶段临床试验美国强生公司周五宣布，将恢复新冠肺炎疫苗第三阶段临床试验，目前正与全球范围内众多监管部门讨论相关事宜。该公司表示，没有证据表明其候选疫苗造成受试病患的医疗事故。消息传出后，强生公司股价盘后上涨近1%，重返146美元上方。该公司股价周五收涨0.11%，报145.24美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"VIX":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FB":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"GILD":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":917531227,"gmtCreate":1581986381469,"gmtModify":1705427417047,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/917531227","repostId":"1169950636","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":912799707,"gmtCreate":1580430057509,"gmtModify":1705423685339,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/912799707","repostId":"1141292099","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":911576324,"gmtCreate":1578445857568,"gmtModify":1705419822147,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/911576324","repostId":"1151122239","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":911300458,"gmtCreate":1578008832074,"gmtModify":1705419124602,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/911300458","repostId":"1199986682","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5313,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":913047115,"gmtCreate":1577147924037,"gmtModify":1705417757080,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/913047115","repostId":"1195851143","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4958,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":919202019,"gmtCreate":1576713866531,"gmtModify":1705417152850,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/919202019","repostId":"1184972315","repostType":2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[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/997735597","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":911576324,"gmtCreate":1578445857568,"gmtModify":1705419822147,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/911576324","repostId":"1151122239","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":301678085,"gmtCreate":1603497207547,"gmtModify":1705072711753,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/301678085","repostId":"1194565231","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1194565231","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1603496624,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194565231?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2020-10-24 07:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194565231","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：刺激方案谈判暂无进展，美股收盘涨跌不一；传奇投资人格兰瑟姆称美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭；美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周，包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。海外市场1、美股收盘涨跌不一","content":"<p>Abstract: US stocks closed mixed with no progress in stimulus package negotiations; Legendary investor Grantham said the US stock market bubble would burst in a few months at most; The US earnings season is about to begin its busiest week, with approximately 170 companies, including FAAMG, releasing their earnings reports next week. Overseas markets</p><p><b>1. US stocks closed mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It plummeted by nearly 11%! All three major stock indices recorded declines this week.</b></p><p>U.S. stocks rose and then fell on Friday, with the three major indexes closing mixed after White House economic advisor Kudlow said that there had been little progress in stimulus negotiations. The fear index VIX fell 1.99% to 27.55 points. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 28.09 points to 28,335.57, a drop of 0.1%. The Nasdaq rose 42.27 points to 11,548.28, or 0.37%. The S&P 500 rose 11.9 points to 3465.39, or 0.34%. This week, the S&P 500 fell 0.53%, ending a three-week winning streak, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.95%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.06%, ending a four-week winning streak.</p><p><b>2. Gold prices closed slightly higher, but have fallen by less than 0.1% over the past week.</b></p><p>Gold futures prices closed slightly higher on Friday, rebounding from the previous trading day's decline, as the market remained hopeful that Washington's U.S. coronavirus relief plan would be passed, which could provide a boost to gold buyers and help them avoid the impact of the growing government budget deficit. Gold futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 60 cents to settle at $1,905.20 an ounce, up 0.03%, after the contract closed down 1.3% on Thursday and briefly touched a low of $1,894.20 an ounce during the session. According to data provided by financial information provider FactSet, gold futures prices fell by less than 0.1% in overall trading this week.</p><p><b>3. U.S. crude oil futures closed down nearly 2%! Break through the $40 mark</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed lower on Friday, marking their first weekly decline in three weeks this week, due to increased crude oil production in Libya, uncertainty over whether the U.S. Congress can pass a new fiscal stimulus package, and investor concerns about the outlook for crude oil demand amid accelerating COVID-19 cases. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 79 cents to settle at $39.85 a barrel, a drop of 1.9%. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures for December delivery on the ICE Europe futures exchange in London also fell 69 cents to settle at $41.77 a barrel, a drop of 1.6%.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Experts: Economic inequality in the United States has been worsening for decades, and the COVID-19 pandemic has opened a huge gap.</b></p><p>Patrick McHugh, research manager at the nonpartisan North Carolina Center for Budget and Taxation, pointed out, “For white-collar workers with good benefits, the recession is almost over. But middle-income earners still have a long way to go before they can recover, especially for low-income workers.”</p><p><b>2. A second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has struck again, increasing the risk of a second recession for the European and American economies.</b></p><p>In recent months, Europe, a major global economy, has taken numerous steps to recover from its worst economic recession in a generation. But now, as cases of the novel coronavirus surge again in the region, that recovery progress could be reversed. According to the latest readings of the IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks manufacturing and services, business activity in Europe is falling back into decline.</p><p><b>3. A Eurobarometer poll shows that Italians' trust in the EU has dropped to 28%.</b></p><p>The European Commission's latest \"European Barometer\" poll shows that Italian public trust in EU institutions fell to 28% during the pandemic, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to the same period in 2019, making it the lowest among the 27 EU member states. The survey also showed that only 48% of Italians expressed a sense of belonging to the EU, far below the average of 70% of member states. In addition, 58% of Italians expressed \"dissatisfaction\" with the EU's measures to combat the pandemic.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1183139757\" target=\"_blank\"><b>WTO: Global trade in services shrank by 30% in the second quarter</b></a></p><p>Data released by the World Trade Organization on the 23rd showed that global trade in services fell by 30% year-on-year in the second quarter of this year, marking the largest drop since the 2008-2009 international financial crisis. Data shows that in the second quarter of this year, the volume of service trade declined across all regions of the world. In terms of service trade exports, North America declined by 32% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 29% and 26% respectively. In terms of imports, North America shrank by 36% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 32% and 29% respectively.</p><p><b>Market perspective</b></p><p><b>1. 16 Major Institutions Comment on US Stocks: The US Economic Momentum Remains Healthy, Bank Stocks Will Benefit</b></p><p>Investors are increasingly optimistic that a new round of stimulus measures will be introduced, but many believe that the chances of reaching an agreement before the election are slim. Sectors sensitive to economic outlook (such as energy and banking stocks) outperformed the broader market this week, while information technology stocks faced pressure. \"The message from the market is that fiscal stimulus is coming, which should have a positive impact on U.S. economic growth,\" said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset management at Janus Henderson Investors. He noted that Janus has profited from technology stocks and has purchased shares in regional U.S. banks that will benefit from a stronger economy.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1130139981\" target=\"_blank\"><b>JPMorgan Chase: Recommends shorting stocks like Zoom when COVID-19 vaccines are available.</b></a><b></b></p><p>American pharmaceutical companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>And Moderna executives said their COVID-19 vaccine candidate could be ready by the end of this year, at least for limited use. If the vaccine is effective enough, face-to-face communication can resume again, and there is no need to worry too much about the spread or infection of COVID-19, which will be good news for the economy. However, this is not good news for all companies in the stock market, as some companies' businesses have thrived thanks to the pandemic. JPMorgan Chase strategists have compiled a list of companies whose stock prices are at risk of a sharp decline. The JPMorgan team stated that these companies' stock prices are \"at the upper end of the momentum, in crowded positions, and their profit growth could plummet as consumer/business activity normalizes.\"</p><p><b>3. Legendary investor Grantham: The US stock market bubble will burst in a few months at most.</b></p><p>Legendary investor Grantham warned investors that the U.S. stock market bubble would officially burst within months, if not weeks. Currently, we are most optimistic about emerging market stocks, especially those in China, India, Russia, and Brazil.</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1. California Court of Appeals ruling<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>Lyft's loss may completely disrupt the ride-hailing business model.</b></p><p>A California appeals court said Thursday that Uber and Lyft must reclassify drivers as employees, not independent contractors, a statement that reaffirmed an earlier trial court ruling. Analysts say the ruling marks a significant breakthrough in the months-long legal battle between the two companies and the state of California. California sued Uber and Lyft in May, claiming they violated state law.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077523370\" target=\"_blank\"><b>86% of companies' Q3 results exceeded expectations! US earnings season is about to see its busiest week yet.</b></a></p><p>As the third-quarter earnings season for U.S.-listed companies kicks off, more companies are once again providing earnings guidance, indicating to investors that some companies are adapting to the uncertainty of the global coronavirus pandemic, which may last until late next year. According to Refinitiv data, overall, 73 companies in the S&P 500 have provided earnings guidance when releasing their earnings reports so far, up from 65 in the previous quarter, but far fewer than the 170 companies that typically provide earnings guidance. According to Refinitiv data going back to 1997, companies providing performance guidance have given the most optimistic expectations since then. Including FAAMG, approximately 170 companies will release their earnings reports next week.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077528200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Doctors questioned the FDA's approval of Gilead's COVID-19 treatment, saying its efficacy was limited.</b></a></p><p>Although a trial conducted by the World Health Organization found that the drug could not prevent patients from dying, the FDA still approved the drug. Full approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>Gilead Sciences' remdesivir has sparked widespread skepticism about this drug, which was first approved for the treatment of COVID-19. This medication may provide only limited clinical efficacy. Gilead's stock price rose 4.1% on Friday, a day after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced the approval of remdesivir as a treatment for COVID-19. This is the first drug for the treatment of COVID-19 approved by the FDA during the epidemic.</p><p><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The company will resume phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine.</b></p><p>Johnson & Johnson announced on Friday that it will resume Phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine and is currently discussing related matters with numerous regulatory authorities around the world. The company stated that there is no evidence that its vaccine candidate caused medical malpractice in its test patients. Following the news, Johnson & Johnson's stock price rose nearly 1% in after-hours trading, returning above $146. The company's shares closed up 0.11% on Friday at $145.24.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning: US stocks mixed, heading into a crucial week of earnings season.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2020-10-24 07:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: US stocks closed mixed with no progress in stimulus package negotiations; Legendary investor Grantham said the US stock market bubble would burst in a few months at most; The US earnings season is about to begin its busiest week, with approximately 170 companies, including FAAMG, releasing their earnings reports next week. Overseas markets</p><p><b>1. US stocks closed mixed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a>It plummeted by nearly 11%! All three major stock indices recorded declines this week.</b></p><p>U.S. stocks rose and then fell on Friday, with the three major indexes closing mixed after White House economic advisor Kudlow said that there had been little progress in stimulus negotiations. The fear index VIX fell 1.99% to 27.55 points. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 28.09 points to 28,335.57, a drop of 0.1%. The Nasdaq rose 42.27 points to 11,548.28, or 0.37%. The S&P 500 rose 11.9 points to 3465.39, or 0.34%. This week, the S&P 500 fell 0.53%, ending a three-week winning streak, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.95%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.06%, ending a four-week winning streak.</p><p><b>2. Gold prices closed slightly higher, but have fallen by less than 0.1% over the past week.</b></p><p>Gold futures prices closed slightly higher on Friday, rebounding from the previous trading day's decline, as the market remained hopeful that Washington's U.S. coronavirus relief plan would be passed, which could provide a boost to gold buyers and help them avoid the impact of the growing government budget deficit. Gold futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 60 cents to settle at $1,905.20 an ounce, up 0.03%, after the contract closed down 1.3% on Thursday and briefly touched a low of $1,894.20 an ounce during the session. According to data provided by financial information provider FactSet, gold futures prices fell by less than 0.1% in overall trading this week.</p><p><b>3. U.S. crude oil futures closed down nearly 2%! Break through the $40 mark</b></p><p>Crude oil futures prices closed lower on Friday, marking their first weekly decline in three weeks this week, due to increased crude oil production in Libya, uncertainty over whether the U.S. Congress can pass a new fiscal stimulus package, and investor concerns about the outlook for crude oil demand amid accelerating COVID-19 cases. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for December delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell 79 cents to settle at $39.85 a barrel, a drop of 1.9%. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures for December delivery on the ICE Europe futures exchange in London also fell 69 cents to settle at $41.77 a barrel, a drop of 1.6%.</p><p><b>International macro</b></p><p><b>1. Experts: Economic inequality in the United States has been worsening for decades, and the COVID-19 pandemic has opened a huge gap.</b></p><p>Patrick McHugh, research manager at the nonpartisan North Carolina Center for Budget and Taxation, pointed out, “For white-collar workers with good benefits, the recession is almost over. But middle-income earners still have a long way to go before they can recover, especially for low-income workers.”</p><p><b>2. A second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has struck again, increasing the risk of a second recession for the European and American economies.</b></p><p>In recent months, Europe, a major global economy, has taken numerous steps to recover from its worst economic recession in a generation. But now, as cases of the novel coronavirus surge again in the region, that recovery progress could be reversed. According to the latest readings of the IHS Markit Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks manufacturing and services, business activity in Europe is falling back into decline.</p><p><b>3. A Eurobarometer poll shows that Italians' trust in the EU has dropped to 28%.</b></p><p>The European Commission's latest \"European Barometer\" poll shows that Italian public trust in EU institutions fell to 28% during the pandemic, a decrease of 10 percentage points compared to the same period in 2019, making it the lowest among the 27 EU member states. The survey also showed that only 48% of Italians expressed a sense of belonging to the EU, far below the average of 70% of member states. In addition, 58% of Italians expressed \"dissatisfaction\" with the EU's measures to combat the pandemic.</p><p><b>4、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1183139757\" target=\"_blank\"><b>WTO: Global trade in services shrank by 30% in the second quarter</b></a></p><p>Data released by the World Trade Organization on the 23rd showed that global trade in services fell by 30% year-on-year in the second quarter of this year, marking the largest drop since the 2008-2009 international financial crisis. Data shows that in the second quarter of this year, the volume of service trade declined across all regions of the world. In terms of service trade exports, North America declined by 32% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 29% and 26% respectively. In terms of imports, North America shrank by 36% year-on-year, while Asia and Europe declined by 32% and 29% respectively.</p><p><b>Market perspective</b></p><p><b>1. 16 Major Institutions Comment on US Stocks: The US Economic Momentum Remains Healthy, Bank Stocks Will Benefit</b></p><p>Investors are increasingly optimistic that a new round of stimulus measures will be introduced, but many believe that the chances of reaching an agreement before the election are slim. Sectors sensitive to economic outlook (such as energy and banking stocks) outperformed the broader market this week, while information technology stocks faced pressure. \"The message from the market is that fiscal stimulus is coming, which should have a positive impact on U.S. economic growth,\" said Paul O'Connor, head of multi-asset management at Janus Henderson Investors. He noted that Janus has profited from technology stocks and has purchased shares in regional U.S. banks that will benefit from a stronger economy.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/1130139981\" target=\"_blank\"><b>JPMorgan Chase: Recommends shorting stocks like Zoom when COVID-19 vaccines are available.</b></a><b></b></p><p>American pharmaceutical companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>And Moderna executives said their COVID-19 vaccine candidate could be ready by the end of this year, at least for limited use. If the vaccine is effective enough, face-to-face communication can resume again, and there is no need to worry too much about the spread or infection of COVID-19, which will be good news for the economy. However, this is not good news for all companies in the stock market, as some companies' businesses have thrived thanks to the pandemic. JPMorgan Chase strategists have compiled a list of companies whose stock prices are at risk of a sharp decline. The JPMorgan team stated that these companies' stock prices are \"at the upper end of the momentum, in crowded positions, and their profit growth could plummet as consumer/business activity normalizes.\"</p><p><b>3. Legendary investor Grantham: The US stock market bubble will burst in a few months at most.</b></p><p>Legendary investor Grantham warned investors that the U.S. stock market bubble would officially burst within months, if not weeks. Currently, we are most optimistic about emerging market stocks, especially those in China, India, Russia, and Brazil.</p><p><b>Company News</b></p><p><b>1. California Court of Appeals ruling<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a>Lyft's loss may completely disrupt the ride-hailing business model.</b></p><p>A California appeals court said Thursday that Uber and Lyft must reclassify drivers as employees, not independent contractors, a statement that reaffirmed an earlier trial court ruling. Analysts say the ruling marks a significant breakthrough in the months-long legal battle between the two companies and the state of California. California sued Uber and Lyft in May, claiming they violated state law.</p><p><b>2、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077523370\" target=\"_blank\"><b>86% of companies' Q3 results exceeded expectations! US earnings season is about to see its busiest week yet.</b></a></p><p>As the third-quarter earnings season for U.S.-listed companies kicks off, more companies are once again providing earnings guidance, indicating to investors that some companies are adapting to the uncertainty of the global coronavirus pandemic, which may last until late next year. According to Refinitiv data, overall, 73 companies in the S&P 500 have provided earnings guidance when releasing their earnings reports so far, up from 65 in the previous quarter, but far fewer than the 170 companies that typically provide earnings guidance. According to Refinitiv data going back to 1997, companies providing performance guidance have given the most optimistic expectations since then. Including FAAMG, approximately 170 companies will release their earnings reports next week.</p><p><b>3、</b><a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/news/2077528200\" target=\"_blank\"><b>Doctors questioned the FDA's approval of Gilead's COVID-19 treatment, saying its efficacy was limited.</b></a></p><p>Although a trial conducted by the World Health Organization found that the drug could not prevent patients from dying, the FDA still approved the drug. Full approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GILD\">Gilead Sciences</a>Gilead Sciences' remdesivir has sparked widespread skepticism about this drug, which was first approved for the treatment of COVID-19. This medication may provide only limited clinical efficacy. Gilead's stock price rose 4.1% on Friday, a day after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) announced the approval of remdesivir as a treatment for COVID-19. This is the first drug for the treatment of COVID-19 approved by the FDA during the epidemic.</p><p><b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson and Johnson</a>The company will resume phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine.</b></p><p>Johnson & Johnson announced on Friday that it will resume Phase III clinical trials of its COVID-19 vaccine and is currently discussing related matters with numerous regulatory authorities around the world. The company stated that there is no evidence that its vaccine candidate caused medical malpractice in its test patients. Following the news, Johnson & Johnson's stock price rose nearly 1% in after-hours trading, returning above $146. The company's shares closed up 0.11% on Friday at $145.24.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","JNJ":"强生","AMZN":"亚马逊","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","MSFT":"微软","GOOGL":"谷歌A",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","ZM":"Zoom","AAPL":"苹果","GILD":"吉利德科学","FB":"ProShares S&P 500 Dynamic Buffer ETF","INTC":"英特尔"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194565231","content_text":"摘要：刺激方案谈判暂无进展，美股收盘涨跌不一；传奇投资人格兰瑟姆称美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭；美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周，包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。海外市场1、美股收盘涨跌不一，英特尔暴跌近11％！三大股指本周均录得跌幅美股周五冲高回落，三大指数收盘涨跌不一，因白宫经济顾问库德洛称，刺激方案谈判目前尚无太大进展。恐慌指数VIX跌1.99%，报27.55点。截至收盘，道指跌28.09点，报28335.57点，跌幅为0.1%；纳指涨42.27点，报11548.28点，涨幅为0.37%；标普500指数涨11.9点，报3465.39点，涨幅为0.34%；本周，标普500指数累计下跌0.53%结束之前连涨三周的表现，道指累跌0.95%，纳指累跌1.06%结束之前连涨四周的表现。2、金价收盘微幅上涨，一周来累计下跌不到0.1％黄金期货价格周五收盘微幅上涨，从此前一个交易日的下跌走势中反弹，原因是市场对华盛顿方面的美国新冠病毒纾困计划将可通过抱有希望，这项计划可能为黄金买家提供提振，帮助其免受日益增长的政府预算赤字的影响。纽约商品交易所12月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨60美分，报收于每盎司1905.20美元，涨幅为0.03%，此前该合约在周四的交易中收盘下跌1.3%，盘中则一度触及每盎司1894.20美元的低点。据财经信息供应商FactSet提供的数据显示，在本周的整体交易中，黄金期货价格累计下跌了不到0.1%。3、美国原油期货收盘大跌近2％！击穿40美元关口原油期货价格周五收盘下跌，在本周的交易中也出现了三个星期以来的首次单周下跌，原因是利比亚的原油产量增加，美国国会是否能够通过新一轮财政刺激计划的前景存在不确定性，以及在新冠肺炎感染病例加速的背景之下，投资者对原油需求前景感到担心。纽约商品交易所12月份交割的西德克萨斯轻质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌79美分，报收于每桶39.85美元，跌幅为1.9%。与此同时，伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所12月份交割的北海布伦特原油期货价格也下跌69美分，报收于每桶41.77美元，跌幅为1.6%。国际宏观1、专家：数十年来美国的经济不平等一直在加剧 新冠疫情撕开了个大口子无党派的北卡罗来纳预算和税收中心的研究经理帕特里克-麦克休(Patrick McHugh)指出，“对那些福利很白的白领工作者来说，经济衰退几乎已经结束了。但是，中等收入的人要想复苏，还有很长一段路要走，那些低收入工人更是如此。”2、第二波新冠疫情再次来袭，欧美经济陷入二次衰退风险正在增加近几个月来，欧洲这一全球重要经济体采取了诸多举措，以求从这场一代人以来最严重的经济衰退中复苏。但现在，随着该地区新型冠状病毒病例再次激增，这一复苏进展却可能会被逆转。根据追踪制造业和服务业的IHS Markit采购经理人指数(PMI)最新读数，欧洲的商业活动正重新陷入下滑。3、“欧洲晴雨表”民调显示意大利民众对欧盟信任度下降至28%欧盟委员会最新发布的“欧洲晴雨表”民意调查显示，意大利民众对欧盟机构的信任度在疫情期间下降至28%，相比2019年同期下降了10个百分点，为欧盟27个成员国中最低。调查还显示，仅有48%的意大利民众表示对欧盟有归属感，远低于70%的成员国平均水平。此外，对欧盟层面抗击疫情的举措则有58%的意大利人表示“不满意”。4、世贸组织：第二季度全球服贸缩水三成世界贸易组织23日发布的数据显示，今年第二季度全球服务贸易额同比下滑30%，创2008年至2009年国际金融危机以来最大跌幅。数据显示，今年第二季度，全球各地区服务贸易额均出现下滑。从服务贸易出口来看，北美地区同比下滑32%，亚洲和欧洲地区分别下滑29%和26%；从进口来看，北美地区同比缩水36%，亚洲和欧洲地区分别下滑32%和29%。市场观点1、16大机构点评美股：美国经济发展势头仍很健康，银行股将从中受益投资者越来越乐观地认为，新一轮刺激措施将会出台，但许多人认为在选举前达成协议的可能性很小。对经济前景敏感的板块(比如说能源和银行类股等)本周的表现强于大盘，信息技术股则面临着压力。Janus Henderson Investors的多资产部门主管保罗·奥康纳(Paul O‘Connor)表示：“市场传递出的信息是，财政刺激措施即将到来，这应该会对美国经济成长产生正面影响。”他表示，Janus已经从科技股中获利，并购买了美国地区性银行的股票，这些银行将受益于经济走强。2、摩根大通：当新冠疫苗问世时，建议做空Zoom等股票美国制药商辉瑞和Moderna的高管表示，他们的新冠肺炎候选疫苗可能会在今年年底准备好，至少用于有限的使用。如果疫苗足够有效，面对面的相互交流可以再次恢复，且不用太担心新冠肺炎的传播或感染，这对经济而言将是一个好消息。但在股市中，这并非对所有公司都是好消息，因为一些公司的业务正是通过疫情获得了蓬勃发展。摩根大通的策略师列出了一份股价面临大幅下跌风险的公司名单。摩根大通团队表示，这些公司的股价处于“势头的上层，位置拥挤，随着消费者/企业活动正常化，他们利润增长可能会出现暴跌。”3、传奇投资人格兰瑟姆：美股泡沫最多数月就会破灭传奇投资人格兰瑟姆警告投资者说，美股泡沫即使不在数周之内，也会在数月之内正式破灭。目前最看好新兴市场股票，尤其是中国，印度、俄罗斯和巴西等。公司新闻1、加州上诉法院裁定优步Lyft败诉，或将彻底颠覆网约车商业模式加州一家上诉法院周四表示，优步和Lyft必须将司机重新归类为员工，而不是独立承包商，这一表态也再次确认了初审法院早些时候的一项裁决无误。分析称，这项裁决标志着这两家公司与加利福尼亚州之间为期多月的法律战取得了重大进展。加利福尼亚州在5月份起诉了优步和Lyft，并声称它们违反了州法律。2、86％企业Q3业绩超预期！美股财报季将迎来最繁忙一周随着美股企业第三季度财报季的全面展开，更多的公司再次开始提供业绩指引，这向投资者表明一些公司正在适应全球新冠病毒大流行的不确定性，这场疫情可能会持续到明年很晚时候。Refinitiv数据显示，整体而言，在标普500指数成分股公司中，迄今为止已有73家企业在公布财报时提供了业绩指引，多于上一季度的65家，但远低于通常来说会提供业绩指引的170家。从Refinitiv回溯至1997年的数据来看，提供业绩指引的公司给出了自那时起以来最乐观的预期。包含FAAMG在内，下周约有170家公司将发布财报。3、医生们质疑FDA对吉利德新冠治疗药物的批准 称其疗效有限尽管世界卫生组织进行的一项试验发现这种药物不能防止病人死亡，但FDA还是批准了该药物。美国食品和药物管理局(FDA)全面批准吉利德科学公司(Gilead Sciences)的瑞德西韦(remdesivir)，这引发了人们对这种首次被批准用于新冠治疗药物的广泛质疑。这种药物可能只提供有限的临床效果。吉利德股价周五上涨4.1%，此前一天，美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)宣布批准瑞德西韦(remdesivir)作为新冠肺炎的治疗药物。这是疫情期间首次获得FDA批准的新冠肺炎治疗药物。4、强生公司将恢复新冠肺炎疫苗第三阶段临床试验美国强生公司周五宣布，将恢复新冠肺炎疫苗第三阶段临床试验，目前正与全球范围内众多监管部门讨论相关事宜。该公司表示，没有证据表明其候选疫苗造成受试病患的医疗事故。消息传出后，强生公司股价盘后上涨近1%，重返146美元上方。该公司股价周五收涨0.11%，报145.24美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"VIX":0.9,"INTC":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FB":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"JNJ":0.9,"GILD":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5326,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":312637911,"gmtCreate":1612138726833,"gmtModify":1704867328854,"author":{"id":"3456357894193358","authorId":"3456357894193358","name":"Helloworldt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffe03370d6fe1e4ee627f681cd9e3428","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3456357894193358","idStr":"3456357894193358"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312637911","repostId":"2107223910","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2107223910","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1612134545,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2107223910?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-02-01 07:09","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"This week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2107223910","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：本周市场迎来OPEC+技术会议，各国制造业PMI以及美国非农就业报告。投资者还要密切关注疫情的进一步动态和民主党最新的财政刺激计划的谈判情况。财报方面，阿里巴巴、谷歌、亚马逊、PayPal等众多","content":"<p>Abstract: This week, the market will see the OPEC+ technical meeting, manufacturing PMIs from various countries, and the US non-farm payrolls report. Investors should also closely monitor further developments in the pandemic and the negotiations on the Democratic Party's latest fiscal stimulus plan. Regarding financial reports,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>Many other star companies will release their financial reports in droves; In terms of new listings, Kuaishou and Xintong Medical will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25553c8de16bcee38bd6be13d0f1ae47\" tg-width=\"1736\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Overview of important economic data and events</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Monday, February 1st: China's manufacturing PMI, Eurozone, UK, and US manufacturing PMIs</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c86a23fdf6bca2ddc3e18140d2609da7\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At 3:00 AM, 2021 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic delivered a speech at a job market webinar held by the Federal Reserve with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>04:10 Boston Fed President Rosengren delivers a speech.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 1st, investors first focused on the opening trends of various commodities. News from the weekend may cause a gap in the opening of various commodities in the morning and exacerbate market price volatility, so investors should pay special attention. In addition to the opening performance during the Asian session, we should pay attention to some data from Australia, which will affect the short-term trend of the Australian dollar.</p><p>Of course, the most important thing is the performance of the Chinese market, which will also release the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for January. Currently, the COVID-19 vaccine is on the market, and vaccination is progressing in an orderly manner. The impact of local outbreaks on the overall economy will gradually weaken. Analysis indicates that with the gradual recovery of my country's macroeconomy, monetary policy has returned to normalization and has basically achieved its full-year target for 2020.</p><p>Currently, my country's industrial added value has further rebounded, and the production performance of high-tech manufacturing is outstanding. Since March 2020, China's manufacturing PMI index has remained above the expansion/contraction threshold, with high production enthusiasm and an increase in new orders. The overseas pandemic severely impacted production, thus providing strong support for the external demand of my country's manufacturing industry, and manufacturing investment accelerated its recovery at the end of 2020.</p><p>In December 2020, my country's manufacturing investment grew by 10.2% in a single month, down from 12.5% in November, but still at a high level. According to the assessment, there is room for further growth in my country's manufacturing investment in 2021, especially in high-tech manufacturing, which will continue to perform well. On the one hand, affected by strong overseas demand in the first half of 2021, my country's manufacturing investment will remain in a normal state of inventory replenishment, thereby maintaining a high growth rate. On the other hand, the outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan proposes that state-owned enterprises should achieve breakthroughs in institutional innovation and improve their vitality and efficiency during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to a series of manufacturing PMI data to be released by the Eurozone. Currently, the global economy has passed its darkest hour brought about by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. December 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global composite, manufacturing, and services PMI indices are all above the expansion/contraction threshold, while the Eurozone and US PMI indicators are showing a marginal improvement trend. The US manufacturing PMI new orders index, as a leading indicator, has risen to a new high of 67.90. Market participants are now awaiting preliminary Eurozone PMI readings to find some meaningful trading momentum.</p><p>Investors should also pay attention to UK manufacturing data, which is sluggish due to the impact of the mutated virus. A survey shows that concerns among British manufacturers about shortages of low-wage workers and supplies have risen to their highest level in nearly 50 years. Before the UK left the EU single market at the end of last month, companies increased their stockpiles. Nearly half of the surveyed manufacturers are concerned that the supply of raw materials or components may limit output in the coming quarter, and production is expected to record its biggest drop since June last year.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should pay close attention to US manufacturing data. Since February of last year, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused a global economic recession, and the United States has lost approximately 540,000 factory jobs. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy, has once again fallen into a slump. According to reports, Biden plans to create at least 5 million new manufacturing jobs and will require the U.S. federal government to spend $400 billion over four years to purchase U.S. goods and services, and to invest $300 billion in key U.S. technology research and development, including artificial intelligence and 5G.</p><p>In addition, the executive order signed by Biden provides for one-third (approximately $200 billion) of the U.S. federal government's annual $600 billion in procurement funding. The bill requires that at least 50% of a product's components must come from the United States to be eligible for federal government procurement. Federal agencies also need to reassess the authenticity of \"Made in America\" ingredients to prevent foreign companies from selling \"OEM\" products to the U.S. government as \"Made in America.\"</p><p>The American Manufacturing Coalition appreciated Biden's efforts and urged concrete steps. In a statement, the organization's president, Scott Paul, said loopholes must be closed, exemptions reduced, coverage expanded for more federal spending and more manufactured goods strengthened, and origin standards strengthened. Stronger domestic incentives, along with significant new investment in infrastructure and clean energy, will stimulate job creation and new investment in American factories.</p><p>Analysts believe that buying American goods is a good thing politically, but a bad thing economically, and it is not a way to create jobs. Biden's executive order will increase the cost of \"Made in America\": on the one hand, expensive products will lead to a decline in sales; On the other hand, within a certain government budget, increased costs will crowd out funds for other projects, such as building highways. Both outcomes will kill American jobs.</p><p>In the evening, investors should also pay close attention to the 2021 Federal Reserve voting member Bo...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300806\">Stick</a>In his speech, investors can find the Federal Reserve's views on the economic outlook and monetary policy prospects.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, February 2nd: Alibaba/Google/Amazon/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>Earnings report, Eurozone Q4 GDP, OPEC+ technical meeting</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports</b>：<b>Alibaba, Pfizer</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">Sony</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">ExxonMobil</a>(Pre-market US stocks);<b>Amazon, Google</b>Lufax (after-hours US stock market)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83341b019a0ce619f13ae57824344b16\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>11:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision.</p><p>To be determined, OPEC+ will begin a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>03:00 FOMC Permanent Voting Member, President of the New York Federal Reserve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Host an online conversation organized by the Economic Club of New York.</p><p>03:00 Cleveland Fed President Mester delivers opening remarks at the Fed's online job market event with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 2nd, investors should first focus on the Reserve Bank of Australia's February interest rate decision. Analysts believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to keep interest rates unchanged and its bond purchases unchanged in this decision. However, analysts point out that the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut its asset purchase program in April 2021. Although the Reserve Bank of Australia will present more optimistic economic growth, inflation and job market expectations at its February meeting, it is expected to still release a dovish stance.</p><p>Analysts point out that the rapid recovery in the job market will force the Reserve Bank of Australia to end its quantitative easing (QE) bond-buying program in April. The Reserve Bank of Australia's current bond-buying program is to purchase AU$48 billion in government bonds. If it continues to buy US$5 billion per week, it will reach the target of AU$100 billion by mid-April. Therefore, the Reserve Bank must announce whether to extend the program before its meeting on April 6. The market generally believes that the bank will reduce its weekly asset purchases from the current AU$5 billion to less than AU$2 billion starting in April. The Reserve Bank may go further and completely end its quantitative easing policy.</p><p>During the European session, investors focused on the Eurozone's fourth-quarter GDP performance. The market currently believes that although the Eurozone economy rebounded significantly in the fourth quarter after the pandemic lockdown, economic growth in the Eurozone remains weak.</p><p>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that, judging from economic data from the fourth quarter of last year, the Eurozone's economic recovery has been delayed. Lagarde stated that the Eurozone economy should not deviate from the recovery track. To this end, fiscal policy still needs to play a leading role, while an active monetary policy should be maintained to ensure favorable financing conditions to support the recovery of all economic sectors in the Eurozone.</p><p>Lagarde pointed out that 2021 is expected to be a year of recovery, but the first phase of the recovery will still be accompanied by high uncertainty, while the second phase will be the transformation to a \"new economy\" characterized by digitalization and green development. The COVID-19 pandemic has not only promoted economic transformation to some extent, but also brought challenges. On the one hand, progress has been made in digitalization and remote work, and all parties are paying more attention to addressing climate change; On the other hand, the actual unemployment rate has increased, especially the risk of unemployment among low-skilled workers has risen significantly. Meanwhile, the pandemic continues to affect both the production and non-production sectors in the Eurozone, and corporate R&D spending has also declined. Lagarde said that while maintaining strong fiscal and monetary policies, the Eurozone should make investment more targeted, thereby laying the foundation for a new economy.</p><p>In addition, during the European session, OPEC+ began a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>At the end of last year, the OPEC+ alliance of oil-producing countries decided to increase production on a limited basis starting in January of this year. However, OPEC+ is currently losing its temper. Last December, the alliance increased its daily crude oil production by 280,000 barrels. The implementation rate of production cuts hit a new low. The reasons for this lie in different difficulties. Oil revenue is an important bargaining chip in solving a series of problems, and countries are eager to increase production to meet temporary needs.</p><p>Among the countries with production reduction quotas, due to the economic crisis caused by the pandemic, some countries have actually exceeded their quotas in order to obtain funds. Iraq's crude oil production increased significantly in December, and crude oil exports from the south of the country rose sharply. Iraqi crude oil production increased by 3.85 million barrels per day in December, exceeding the quota by 50,000 barrels per day. Many non-OPEC members, led by Russia, are also eager to regain market share lost due to the pandemic and increase production.</p><p>In Russia, in particular, domestic oil companies have begun gearing up to increase production. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak recently stated that although the OPEC+ alliance allowed Russia to further increase production, the country's production cut implementation rate in December was still only 95% to 96%, representing an increase of approximately 500,000 barrels of crude oil per day. Novak also made it clear that Russia's oil production in 2021 will exceed last year's. Clearly, this will only bring more instability to the fragile international crude oil market.</p><p>During the New York session, investors primarily focused on the permanent voting members of the Federal Reserve and the President of the New York Fed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>The speech. We can find the policy tone of core figures within the Federal Reserve in his speech.</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, February 3:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>/Paypal/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUMC\">Yum China</a>Earnings reports include China Caixin Services PMI, Eurozone Composite PMI, US ADP, US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and EIA Crude Oil Inventories.</b></p><p><b>Financial reports: Qualcomm, PayPal</b>Yum China, eBay, Goodwill (after-hours)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3c629b33b21939195d4b502b959b27\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>09:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe delivers a speech.</p><p>OPEC+ is scheduled to hold a Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting.</p><p>The pending OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting on Technology and Monitoring has entered its second day.</p><p>At 02:00, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard will give a report on the U.S. economy and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>03:00 Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivers a speech at an online job market event held by the Fed with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>06:00 Chicago Fed President Evans addresses the current economic situation and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 3, investors first paid close attention to New Zealand's employment data, while those trading the Australian dollar focused on Australian building permits. Then, they focused on China's January Caixin Services PMI data, which will provide clear guidance on market risk appetite in the morning.</p><p>During the European session, investors need to pay attention to a series of Eurozone composite PMI data, as well as the UK PMI. However, since these PMI data are final values, their impact on the market is relatively limited.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should focus on the performance of the US January ADP non-farm payrolls data. The Federal Reserve acknowledges a slowdown in economic activity and employment recovery. Following a two-day policy meeting this week, the Federal Reserve said it would maintain its benchmark short-term borrowing rate at near zero and its asset purchase program, which requires the Fed to purchase at least $120 billion per month, in line with market expectations. In its monetary policy statement, the Federal Reserve noted that the pace of economic activity and employment recovery has slowed in recent months, with the weakness concentrated in the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. The statement reiterated that the COVID-19 pandemic \"is causing enormous human and economic hardship in the United States and around the world.\" The Fed cut interest rates to zero at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and has maintained that level ever since. In recent months, officials have become more aggressive in their commitment to low interest rates, promising not to start a rate hike even if inflation is close to or slightly above the central bank's 2% target.</p><p>In addition to ADP data, investors should also pay attention to the performance of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data, which has historically impacted short-term market trends.</p><p>Next, investors trading crude oil will focus on the impact of EIA crude oil inventory data on oil prices. Last week, EIA crude oil inventories plummeted by nearly 10 million barrels. Analysts say that as the refining industry continues to convert excess crude oil into refined products, the sharp decrease in crude oil inventories has driven the market up. If inventories continue to decrease this week, this will continue to support oil prices.</p><p><b>February 4 (Thursday) Keywords: Snap/Unity/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a>Awaiting earnings reports, US initial jobless claims last week, US durable goods orders, and factory orders...</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">Nokia</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNA\">Shi Naibao</a>(Pre-market US stocks); Snap, Gilead Sciences, pinterest, Unity Software Inc, Activision Blizzard (after-hours US stock market).</p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Xintong Medical-B is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c7f0684167f77535eadf82f51ef8f1\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>17:00 The European Central Bank will release its economic bulletin.</p><p>At 20:00, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and release the meeting minutes.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 4, investors trading the Australian dollar paid close attention to Australia's goods and services trade data, and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors paid close attention to the Eurozone's December retail sales month-on-month data, and then focused on the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Currently, the market generally expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates and bond purchases unchanged.</p><p>The Bank of England's Bailey previously stated that the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the UK economy into a very difficult period and may delay the eventual recovery. He stated that we are currently in a very difficult period, and there is no doubt that this is likely to delay economic recovery. However, he added that the basic shape of the recovery is likely to reflect the trajectory outlined by the Bank of England in a series of forecasts in November.</p><p>Bailey stated that he no longer believes the UK's unemployment rate will peak at around 7-8%, as the Bank of England predicted two months ago, because the government has extended the job protection program. However, he said the unemployment rate may still be higher than the latest official estimate of 4.9%. Bailey said. Our best forecast is that the national unemployment rate may be around 6.5%. He added that economic activity will be sluggish in the first quarter until vaccine rollout is sufficient to allow for the lifting of some lockdown restrictions.</p><p>In addition, the market is also hyping up the Bank of England's negative interest rates, which Bailey denied in a recent speech. He pointed out that the Bank of England is doing a lot of work with banks on whether negative interest rates are feasible, and no country uses negative interest rates on the \"retail\" side of the financial market. He does not believe that the pandemic will lead to structural changes in the UK economy.</p><p>During the New York session, investors focused on a series of economic data released by the United States, including last week's initial jobless claims data and December's industrial orders and durable goods orders.</p><p><b>February 5th (Friday) Keywords: Kuaishou IPO, US January non-farm payrolls report, Canada January jobs report</b></p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Kuaishou and Jianbei Miaomiao have officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb7134a8dbba32c4e4dc705c3b9f01fe\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>During the Asian session on February 5th, investors paid close attention to Australian retail sales data and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to economic data from Germany and France. Unfortunately, market volatility was limited during this period, and investors were awaiting US employment data for the evening.</p><p>During the New York session, the market witnessed a feast of market trends this week. In the United States, the January non-farm payrolls report will be released.</p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread, and the US job crisis continues to worsen. Previously released figures for initial jobless claims last week showed that hundreds of thousands of people were still claiming, indicating that the U.S. job market remains sluggish. Late last year, the U.S. Congress passed a second round of economic stimulus bills, significantly increasing the amount of unemployment benefits. However, due to stringent application requirements and government inefficiency, a large number of unemployed people still find it difficult to receive this \"life-saving money\".</p><p>The Beige Book report previously released by the Federal Reserve also showed that the employment situation in the United States is severe. The report shows that most jurisdictions achieved moderate economic growth, but the job market recovery slowed down. In terms of the job market, most jurisdictions have achieved employment growth, but the growth has been slow. Compared to December last year, employment levels in more jurisdictions have declined. However, some industries, including construction and transportation, have strong labor demand and are facing difficulties in recruiting workers.</p><p>Although the U.S. job market has improved significantly, with the unemployment rate dropping from 14.8% at the outbreak of the pandemic to 6.7%, it is still far higher than the pre-pandemic level, and the number of non-farm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 140,000 in December last year. The United States is still struggling with the pandemic, and its economic recovery still requires monetary policy support. Federal Reserve officials currently have differing opinions on the direction of monetary policy, with some believing it is too early and even supporting maintaining the current bond-buying scale unchanged until the end of the year. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's statement on gradually exiting QE is more about managing market expectations than implementing it now, and the room for long-term US Treasury yields to rise is still relatively limited.</p><p>Investors trading crude oil should also pay attention to the drilling rig data released tonight, as this data will have an impact on the medium- to long-term trend of oil prices.</p><p>Saturday and Sunday, February 6-7: No significant economic data or events.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis week's preview: Alibaba and other major financial reports are coming, and Kuaishou's IPO is imminent!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-02-01 07:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Abstract: This week, the market will see the OPEC+ technical meeting, manufacturing PMIs from various countries, and the US non-farm payrolls report. Investors should also closely monitor further developments in the pandemic and the negotiations on the Democratic Party's latest fiscal stimulus plan. Regarding financial reports,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>Many other star companies will release their financial reports in droves; In terms of new listings, Kuaishou and Xintong Medical will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25553c8de16bcee38bd6be13d0f1ae47\" tg-width=\"1736\" tg-height=\"756\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Overview of important economic data and events</b></p><p><b>Keywords for Monday, February 1st: China's manufacturing PMI, Eurozone, UK, and US manufacturing PMIs</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c86a23fdf6bca2ddc3e18140d2609da7\" tg-width=\"616\" tg-height=\"551\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>At 3:00 AM, 2021 FOMC voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic delivered a speech at a job market webinar held by the Federal Reserve with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>04:10 Boston Fed President Rosengren delivers a speech.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 1st, investors first focused on the opening trends of various commodities. News from the weekend may cause a gap in the opening of various commodities in the morning and exacerbate market price volatility, so investors should pay special attention. In addition to the opening performance during the Asian session, we should pay attention to some data from Australia, which will affect the short-term trend of the Australian dollar.</p><p>Of course, the most important thing is the performance of the Chinese market, which will also release the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for January. Currently, the COVID-19 vaccine is on the market, and vaccination is progressing in an orderly manner. The impact of local outbreaks on the overall economy will gradually weaken. Analysis indicates that with the gradual recovery of my country's macroeconomy, monetary policy has returned to normalization and has basically achieved its full-year target for 2020.</p><p>Currently, my country's industrial added value has further rebounded, and the production performance of high-tech manufacturing is outstanding. Since March 2020, China's manufacturing PMI index has remained above the expansion/contraction threshold, with high production enthusiasm and an increase in new orders. The overseas pandemic severely impacted production, thus providing strong support for the external demand of my country's manufacturing industry, and manufacturing investment accelerated its recovery at the end of 2020.</p><p>In December 2020, my country's manufacturing investment grew by 10.2% in a single month, down from 12.5% in November, but still at a high level. According to the assessment, there is room for further growth in my country's manufacturing investment in 2021, especially in high-tech manufacturing, which will continue to perform well. On the one hand, affected by strong overseas demand in the first half of 2021, my country's manufacturing investment will remain in a normal state of inventory replenishment, thereby maintaining a high growth rate. On the other hand, the outline of the 14th Five-Year Plan proposes that state-owned enterprises should achieve breakthroughs in institutional innovation and improve their vitality and efficiency during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to a series of manufacturing PMI data to be released by the Eurozone. Currently, the global economy has passed its darkest hour brought about by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. December 2020...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a>The global composite, manufacturing, and services PMI indices are all above the expansion/contraction threshold, while the Eurozone and US PMI indicators are showing a marginal improvement trend. The US manufacturing PMI new orders index, as a leading indicator, has risen to a new high of 67.90. Market participants are now awaiting preliminary Eurozone PMI readings to find some meaningful trading momentum.</p><p>Investors should also pay attention to UK manufacturing data, which is sluggish due to the impact of the mutated virus. A survey shows that concerns among British manufacturers about shortages of low-wage workers and supplies have risen to their highest level in nearly 50 years. Before the UK left the EU single market at the end of last month, companies increased their stockpiles. Nearly half of the surveyed manufacturers are concerned that the supply of raw materials or components may limit output in the coming quarter, and production is expected to record its biggest drop since June last year.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should pay close attention to US manufacturing data. Since February of last year, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has caused a global economic recession, and the United States has lost approximately 540,000 factory jobs. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy, has once again fallen into a slump. According to reports, Biden plans to create at least 5 million new manufacturing jobs and will require the U.S. federal government to spend $400 billion over four years to purchase U.S. goods and services, and to invest $300 billion in key U.S. technology research and development, including artificial intelligence and 5G.</p><p>In addition, the executive order signed by Biden provides for one-third (approximately $200 billion) of the U.S. federal government's annual $600 billion in procurement funding. The bill requires that at least 50% of a product's components must come from the United States to be eligible for federal government procurement. Federal agencies also need to reassess the authenticity of \"Made in America\" ingredients to prevent foreign companies from selling \"OEM\" products to the U.S. government as \"Made in America.\"</p><p>The American Manufacturing Coalition appreciated Biden's efforts and urged concrete steps. In a statement, the organization's president, Scott Paul, said loopholes must be closed, exemptions reduced, coverage expanded for more federal spending and more manufactured goods strengthened, and origin standards strengthened. Stronger domestic incentives, along with significant new investment in infrastructure and clean energy, will stimulate job creation and new investment in American factories.</p><p>Analysts believe that buying American goods is a good thing politically, but a bad thing economically, and it is not a way to create jobs. Biden's executive order will increase the cost of \"Made in America\": on the one hand, expensive products will lead to a decline in sales; On the other hand, within a certain government budget, increased costs will crowd out funds for other projects, such as building highways. Both outcomes will kill American jobs.</p><p>In the evening, investors should also pay close attention to the 2021 Federal Reserve voting member Bo...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300806\">Stick</a>In his speech, investors can find the Federal Reserve's views on the economic outlook and monetary policy prospects.</p><p><b>Keywords for Tuesday, February 2nd: Alibaba/Google/Amazon/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>Earnings report, Eurozone Q4 GDP, OPEC+ technical meeting</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports</b>：<b>Alibaba, Pfizer</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNE\">Sony</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RCL\">Royal Caribbean Cruises</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">ExxonMobil</a>(Pre-market US stocks);<b>Amazon, Google</b>Lufax (after-hours US stock market)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83341b019a0ce619f13ae57824344b16\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"226\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>11:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision.</p><p>To be determined, OPEC+ will begin a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>03:00 FOMC Permanent Voting Member, President of the New York Federal Reserve<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>Host an online conversation organized by the Economic Club of New York.</p><p>03:00 Cleveland Fed President Mester delivers opening remarks at the Fed's online job market event with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 2nd, investors should first focus on the Reserve Bank of Australia's February interest rate decision. Analysts believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to keep interest rates unchanged and its bond purchases unchanged in this decision. However, analysts point out that the Reserve Bank of Australia may cut its asset purchase program in April 2021. Although the Reserve Bank of Australia will present more optimistic economic growth, inflation and job market expectations at its February meeting, it is expected to still release a dovish stance.</p><p>Analysts point out that the rapid recovery in the job market will force the Reserve Bank of Australia to end its quantitative easing (QE) bond-buying program in April. The Reserve Bank of Australia's current bond-buying program is to purchase AU$48 billion in government bonds. If it continues to buy US$5 billion per week, it will reach the target of AU$100 billion by mid-April. Therefore, the Reserve Bank must announce whether to extend the program before its meeting on April 6. The market generally believes that the bank will reduce its weekly asset purchases from the current AU$5 billion to less than AU$2 billion starting in April. The Reserve Bank may go further and completely end its quantitative easing policy.</p><p>During the European session, investors focused on the Eurozone's fourth-quarter GDP performance. The market currently believes that although the Eurozone economy rebounded significantly in the fourth quarter after the pandemic lockdown, economic growth in the Eurozone remains weak.</p><p>European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde stated that, judging from economic data from the fourth quarter of last year, the Eurozone's economic recovery has been delayed. Lagarde stated that the Eurozone economy should not deviate from the recovery track. To this end, fiscal policy still needs to play a leading role, while an active monetary policy should be maintained to ensure favorable financing conditions to support the recovery of all economic sectors in the Eurozone.</p><p>Lagarde pointed out that 2021 is expected to be a year of recovery, but the first phase of the recovery will still be accompanied by high uncertainty, while the second phase will be the transformation to a \"new economy\" characterized by digitalization and green development. The COVID-19 pandemic has not only promoted economic transformation to some extent, but also brought challenges. On the one hand, progress has been made in digitalization and remote work, and all parties are paying more attention to addressing climate change; On the other hand, the actual unemployment rate has increased, especially the risk of unemployment among low-skilled workers has risen significantly. Meanwhile, the pandemic continues to affect both the production and non-production sectors in the Eurozone, and corporate R&D spending has also declined. Lagarde said that while maintaining strong fiscal and monetary policies, the Eurozone should make investment more targeted, thereby laying the foundation for a new economy.</p><p>In addition, during the European session, OPEC+ began a two-day ministerial meeting on technology and monitoring.</p><p>At the end of last year, the OPEC+ alliance of oil-producing countries decided to increase production on a limited basis starting in January of this year. However, OPEC+ is currently losing its temper. Last December, the alliance increased its daily crude oil production by 280,000 barrels. The implementation rate of production cuts hit a new low. The reasons for this lie in different difficulties. Oil revenue is an important bargaining chip in solving a series of problems, and countries are eager to increase production to meet temporary needs.</p><p>Among the countries with production reduction quotas, due to the economic crisis caused by the pandemic, some countries have actually exceeded their quotas in order to obtain funds. Iraq's crude oil production increased significantly in December, and crude oil exports from the south of the country rose sharply. Iraqi crude oil production increased by 3.85 million barrels per day in December, exceeding the quota by 50,000 barrels per day. Many non-OPEC members, led by Russia, are also eager to regain market share lost due to the pandemic and increase production.</p><p>In Russia, in particular, domestic oil companies have begun gearing up to increase production. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak recently stated that although the OPEC+ alliance allowed Russia to further increase production, the country's production cut implementation rate in December was still only 95% to 96%, representing an increase of approximately 500,000 barrels of crude oil per day. Novak also made it clear that Russia's oil production in 2021 will exceed last year's. Clearly, this will only bring more instability to the fragile international crude oil market.</p><p>During the New York session, investors primarily focused on the permanent voting members of the Federal Reserve and the President of the New York Fed.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a>The speech. We can find the policy tone of core figures within the Federal Reserve in his speech.</p><p><b>Keywords for Wednesday, February 3:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>/Paypal/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YUMC\">Yum China</a>Earnings reports include China Caixin Services PMI, Eurozone Composite PMI, US ADP, US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, and EIA Crude Oil Inventories.</b></p><p><b>Financial reports: Qualcomm, PayPal</b>Yum China, eBay, Goodwill (after-hours)</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef3c629b33b21939195d4b502b959b27\" tg-width=\"611\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>09:30 Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe delivers a speech.</p><p>OPEC+ is scheduled to hold a Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting.</p><p>The pending OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting on Technology and Monitoring has entered its second day.</p><p>At 02:00, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Bullard will give a report on the U.S. economy and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>03:00 Philadelphia Fed President Harker delivers a speech at an online job market event held by the Fed with the Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, and Philadelphia Feds.</p><p>06:00 Chicago Fed President Evans addresses the current economic situation and monetary policy in an online event.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 3, investors first paid close attention to New Zealand's employment data, while those trading the Australian dollar focused on Australian building permits. Then, they focused on China's January Caixin Services PMI data, which will provide clear guidance on market risk appetite in the morning.</p><p>During the European session, investors need to pay attention to a series of Eurozone composite PMI data, as well as the UK PMI. However, since these PMI data are final values, their impact on the market is relatively limited.</p><p>During the New York session, investors should focus on the performance of the US January ADP non-farm payrolls data. The Federal Reserve acknowledges a slowdown in economic activity and employment recovery. Following a two-day policy meeting this week, the Federal Reserve said it would maintain its benchmark short-term borrowing rate at near zero and its asset purchase program, which requires the Fed to purchase at least $120 billion per month, in line with market expectations. In its monetary policy statement, the Federal Reserve noted that the pace of economic activity and employment recovery has slowed in recent months, with the weakness concentrated in the sectors hardest hit by the pandemic. The statement reiterated that the COVID-19 pandemic \"is causing enormous human and economic hardship in the United States and around the world.\" The Fed cut interest rates to zero at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and has maintained that level ever since. In recent months, officials have become more aggressive in their commitment to low interest rates, promising not to start a rate hike even if inflation is close to or slightly above the central bank's 2% target.</p><p>In addition to ADP data, investors should also pay attention to the performance of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data, which has historically impacted short-term market trends.</p><p>Next, investors trading crude oil will focus on the impact of EIA crude oil inventory data on oil prices. Last week, EIA crude oil inventories plummeted by nearly 10 million barrels. Analysts say that as the refining industry continues to convert excess crude oil into refined products, the sharp decrease in crude oil inventories has driven the market up. If inventories continue to decrease this week, this will continue to support oil prices.</p><p><b>February 4 (Thursday) Keywords: Snap/Unity/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATVI\">Activision Blizzard</a>Awaiting earnings reports, US initial jobless claims last week, US durable goods orders, and factory orders...</b></p><p><b>Regarding financial reports:</b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HAF.UK\">Nokia</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNA\">Shi Naibao</a>(Pre-market US stocks); Snap, Gilead Sciences, pinterest, Unity Software Inc, Activision Blizzard (after-hours US stock market).</p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Xintong Medical-B is listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40c7f0684167f77535eadf82f51ef8f1\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>17:00 The European Central Bank will release its economic bulletin.</p><p>At 20:00, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and release the meeting minutes.</p><p>During the Asian session on February 4, investors trading the Australian dollar paid close attention to Australia's goods and services trade data, and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors paid close attention to the Eurozone's December retail sales month-on-month data, and then focused on the Bank of England's interest rate decision. Currently, the market generally expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates and bond purchases unchanged.</p><p>The Bank of England's Bailey previously stated that the recent resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the UK economy into a very difficult period and may delay the eventual recovery. He stated that we are currently in a very difficult period, and there is no doubt that this is likely to delay economic recovery. However, he added that the basic shape of the recovery is likely to reflect the trajectory outlined by the Bank of England in a series of forecasts in November.</p><p>Bailey stated that he no longer believes the UK's unemployment rate will peak at around 7-8%, as the Bank of England predicted two months ago, because the government has extended the job protection program. However, he said the unemployment rate may still be higher than the latest official estimate of 4.9%. Bailey said. Our best forecast is that the national unemployment rate may be around 6.5%. He added that economic activity will be sluggish in the first quarter until vaccine rollout is sufficient to allow for the lifting of some lockdown restrictions.</p><p>In addition, the market is also hyping up the Bank of England's negative interest rates, which Bailey denied in a recent speech. He pointed out that the Bank of England is doing a lot of work with banks on whether negative interest rates are feasible, and no country uses negative interest rates on the \"retail\" side of the financial market. He does not believe that the pandemic will lead to structural changes in the UK economy.</p><p>During the New York session, investors focused on a series of economic data released by the United States, including last week's initial jobless claims data and December's industrial orders and durable goods orders.</p><p><b>February 5th (Friday) Keywords: Kuaishou IPO, US January non-farm payrolls report, Canada January jobs report</b></p><p><b>Regarding new shares:</b>Kuaishou and Jianbei Miaomiao have officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb7134a8dbba32c4e4dc705c3b9f01fe\" tg-width=\"614\" tg-height=\"596\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>During the Asian session on February 5th, investors paid close attention to Australian retail sales data and then focused on the performance of the Chinese market.</p><p>During the European session, investors should pay close attention to economic data from Germany and France. Unfortunately, market volatility was limited during this period, and investors were awaiting US employment data for the evening.</p><p>During the New York session, the market witnessed a feast of market trends this week. In the United States, the January non-farm payrolls report will be released.</p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic continues to spread, and the US job crisis continues to worsen. Previously released figures for initial jobless claims last week showed that hundreds of thousands of people were still claiming, indicating that the U.S. job market remains sluggish. Late last year, the U.S. Congress passed a second round of economic stimulus bills, significantly increasing the amount of unemployment benefits. However, due to stringent application requirements and government inefficiency, a large number of unemployed people still find it difficult to receive this \"life-saving money\".</p><p>The Beige Book report previously released by the Federal Reserve also showed that the employment situation in the United States is severe. The report shows that most jurisdictions achieved moderate economic growth, but the job market recovery slowed down. In terms of the job market, most jurisdictions have achieved employment growth, but the growth has been slow. Compared to December last year, employment levels in more jurisdictions have declined. However, some industries, including construction and transportation, have strong labor demand and are facing difficulties in recruiting workers.</p><p>Although the U.S. job market has improved significantly, with the unemployment rate dropping from 14.8% at the outbreak of the pandemic to 6.7%, it is still far higher than the pre-pandemic level, and the number of non-farm payrolls unexpectedly declined by 140,000 in December last year. The United States is still struggling with the pandemic, and its economic recovery still requires monetary policy support. Federal Reserve officials currently have differing opinions on the direction of monetary policy, with some believing it is too early and even supporting maintaining the current bond-buying scale unchanged until the end of the year. Therefore, the Federal Reserve's statement on gradually exiting QE is more about managing market expectations than implementing it now, and the room for long-term US Treasury yields to rise is still relatively limited.</p><p>Investors trading crude oil should also pay attention to the drilling rig data released tonight, as this data will have an impact on the medium- to long-term trend of oil prices.</p><p>Saturday and Sunday, February 6-7: No significant economic data or events.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/188c3e99437d0d898330ba09634bc763","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","USO":"美国原油ETF","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2107223910","content_text":"摘要：本周市场迎来OPEC+技术会议，各国制造业PMI以及美国非农就业报告。投资者还要密切关注疫情的进一步动态和民主党最新的财政刺激计划的谈判情况。财报方面，阿里巴巴、谷歌、亚马逊、PayPal等众多明星公司将扎堆发布财报；新股方面，快手、心通医疗将登陆港交所。重要经济数据和事件一览2月1日（周一）关键词：中国制造业PMI，欧元区、英国和美国制造业PMI03：00 2021年FOMC票委、亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上研讨会发表演说。04：10 波士顿联储主席罗森格伦发表讲话。2月1日亚洲时段，投资者首先关注各个品种开盘的走势情况。周末发生的消息可能会使得早间各个品种开盘出现跳空，并加剧市场价格的波动，投资者特别留意。亚洲时段除了开盘情况，接下来要关注澳大利亚的一些数据，这些数据会给澳元短线走势带来影响。当然最重要的还是中国市场的表现，中国方面也会公布1月份的财新制造业PMI。当前，新冠肺炎疫苗已经上市，并且接种正在有序推进，局部疫情爆发给经济总体带来的冲击将逐渐减弱。分析表示，随着我国宏观经济的逐渐修复，货币政策已回归常态化，并已基本实现了2020年全年目标。目前我国工业增加值进一步回升，高技术制造业生产表现亮眼。自2020年3月以来，中国制造业PMI指数一直位于荣枯线以上，生产热情高涨、新订单增加。海外疫情严峻影响生产，从而为我国制造业外需提供了有力支撑，2020年底制造业投资加速回升。2020年12月份，我国制造业投资单月增速为10.2%，较11月12.5%有所下降，但仍处于高位。根据判断，2021年我国制造业投资有进一步增长空间，尤其是高技术制造业将会持续表现良好。一方面，2021年上半年受海外强需求影响，我国制造业投资将保持正常补库存状态，从而维持较高的增速。另一方面，“十四五”规划纲要建议中提出，国有企业要在“十四五”时期实现制度创新突破、提高国有企业活力和效率的关键任务。欧洲时段，投资者要密切关注欧元区要公布的一系列制造业PMI数据，目前，全球经济已渡过了新冠疫情冲击带来的至暗时刻，2020年12月摩根大通全球综合、制造业和服务业PMI指数均在荣枯线之上，欧元区和美国的PMI指标呈现边际好转趋势，美国制造业PMI新订单指数作为领先指标已升至67.90的新高。市场参与者现在期待欧元区PMI初值，以寻找一些有意义的交易动力。同时投资者还要关注英国的制造业数据，由于受到变异病毒的影响，英国制造业低迷。有调查显示，英国制造商对低工资工人及物资短缺的担忧升至近50年来最高。而在上月底英国脱离欧盟单一市场前，企业增加囤货。近半数受访制造商担忧，原材料或零部件供应，可能限制未来1季的产出，预计产量将录得去年6月以来最大跌幅。纽约时段，投资者需要重点关注美国的制造业数据。自去年2月以来，新冠疫情暴发引起全球经济衰退，美国失去了约54万个工厂工作岗位。占美国经济约12%的制造业再次陷入低迷。据报道，拜登计划创造至少500万个新的制造业工作岗位，并将要求美国联邦政府在4年时间内，以4000亿美元的预算购买美国的商品与服务，将3000亿美元预算投资在包括人工智能和5G在内的美国重要科技研发上。此外，拜登签署的行政令对美国联邦政府每年6000亿采购经费中的三分之一（约2000亿美元）作出了规定。法案要求，一种产品至少有50%的零部件必须来自美国本土，才有资格成为联邦政府采购对象。联邦机构还需要重新评估“美国制造”成分的真实性，防止外国公司把“贴牌”产品当成“美国制造”卖给美国政府。美国制造业联盟对拜登的努力表示赞赏，并督促采取具体步骤。该组织总裁斯科特·保罗（Scott Paul）在一份声明中说，必须堵住漏洞，减少豁免，扩大对更多联邦开支和更多制成品的覆盖范围，加强原产地标准。更强有力的国产优惠政策，以及对基础设施和清洁能源的大量新投资，将刺激美国工厂创造就业机会和新投资。分析认为，买美国货政治上是好事，但在经济上却是坏事，这不是创造就业机会的方式。拜登的行政令将增加“美国制造”的成本：一方面，昂贵的产品会导致销量下滑；另一方面，在一定的政府预算内，增加的成本将挤占用于其他项目的资金，比如修建公路。而这两个结果都将扼杀美国的工作岗位。晚间，投资者还要稍加留意2021年美联储票委博斯迪克的讲话，投资者可以从他的口中找到美联储对经济前景和货币政策前景的观点。2月2日（周二）关键词：阿里巴巴/谷歌/亚马逊/辉瑞财报，欧元区四季度GDP，OPEC+技术会议财报方面：阿里巴巴、辉瑞、索尼、皇家加勒比邮轮、埃克森美孚（美股盘前）；亚马逊、谷歌、陆金所（美股盘后）11：30 澳洲联储公布利率决议。待定 OPEC+开始举行为期两天的技术、监测部长级会议。03：00 FOMC永久票委、纽约联储主席威廉姆斯主持由纽约经济俱乐部组织的线上谈话活动。03：00 克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上活动中致开幕词。2月2日亚洲时段，投资者首先要关注的是澳洲联储2月份的利率决议。分析认为，本次决议澳洲联储将继续维持利率不变，维持购债不变。不过，分析指出，澳洲联储可能会在2021年4月削减其资产购买计划，虽然澳洲联储将在2月的例会上呈现更多乐观的经济增长、通胀和就业市场预期，该联储料依旧将释放鸽派立场。分析指出，就业市场急速复苏将令该联储在4月结束量化宽松购买（QE）购债计划，澳洲联储目前的购债计划为购买480亿澳元政府债券，若继续每周购债50亿美元，到4月中旬将达到1000亿澳元的目标，因此该联储必须在4月6日的会议之前宣布是否延长该计划，市场普遍认为，该行将从4月份起将每周资产购买额从目前的50亿澳元减至不到20亿澳元，该联储可能走得更远，彻底结束量化宽松政策。欧洲时段，投资者重点关注欧元区四季度GDP的表现。目前市场认为虽然疫情封锁之后，欧元区四季度经济呈现大幅度反弹，但欧元区经济增长依然乏力。欧洲央行行长拉加德表示，从去年第四季度的经济数据判断，欧元区经济复苏进程有所延迟。拉加德表示，欧元区经济不应脱离复苏轨道。为此，财政政策仍需发挥主导作用，同时应保持积极的货币政策，确保有利融资条件，以支持欧元区所有经济部门复苏。拉加德指出，2021年有望成为复苏之年，但复苏的第一阶段仍将伴随高度不确定性，第二阶段则是向以数字化、绿色等为特征的“新经济”转型。新冠疫情既对经济转型产生了一定促进作用，也带来了挑战。一方面，数字化、远程办公等取得进展，各方也更重视应对气候变化；另一方面，实际失业水平升高，特别是低技能工人失业风险显著上升。同时，疫情持续影响欧元区生产及非生产部门，企业研发支出也出现下滑。拉加德说，欧元区在保持财政和货币政策力度的同时，应让投资更具针对性，进而为新经济奠定基础。此外，欧洲时段，OPEC+开始举行为期两天的技术、监测部长级会议。去年年末，OPEC+产油国联盟决定从今年1月起进行有限增产。然而，目前OPEC+有些按捺不住。去年12月，该联盟将原油日产量提高了28万桶。减产执行率方面创新低。究其原因，面临不同的困境，石油收入是解决一系列问题的重要筹码，各国都迫不及待地抢先增产，以应一时之需。有减产限额的国家中，由于陷入疫情带来的经济危机，部分国家实际产量超过限额，以获取资金。伊拉克12月的原油产量增加不少，该国南部的原油出口急剧上升。12月伊拉克原油产量增加了385万桶/日，比配额高出了5万桶/日。以俄罗斯为首的许多非OPEC成员国同样渴望夺回因疫情而失去的市场份额，并增产。尤其是俄罗斯，该国国内的石油公司已经开始为增加产量摩拳擦掌。俄罗斯副总理诺瓦克已经于近期表示，尽管OPEC+联盟允许俄罗斯进一步增产，该国12月的减产执行率仍只有95%~96%，约多生产50万桶/日的原油。诺瓦克也明确表示，俄罗斯2021年的石油产量将超过去年的产量。显然，这只会为脆弱的国际原油市场带来更多的不稳定因素。纽约时段，投资者主要关注美联储永久票委，纽约联储主席威廉姆斯的讲话。我们可以从他的讲话中找到美联储内部核心人士的政策基调。2月3日（周三）关键词：高通/Paypal/百胜中国等财报，中国财新服务业PMI，欧元区综合PMI，美国ADP，美国ISM非制造业PMI，EIA原油库存财报方面：高通、PayPal、百胜中国、eBay、好事达（盘后）09：30 澳洲联储主席洛威发表讲话。待定 OPEC+举行联合部长级监督委员会（JMMC）会议。待定 OPEC+技术、监测部长级会议进入第二天。02：00 圣路易斯联储主席布拉德在一场线上活动中就美国经济与货币政策进行报告。03：00 费城联储主席哈克在美联储与亚特兰大、波士顿、克利夫兰以及费城联储举行的就业市场线上活动中发表演讲。06：00 芝加哥联储主席埃文斯在一场线上活动中就当前经济情势与货币政策发表讲话。2月3日亚洲时段，投资者首先稍加留意新西兰的就业数据，交易澳元的投资者关注澳大利亚的营建许可，然后重点关注中国的1月财新服务业PMI数据，该数据将会给早间市场风险偏好情绪带来明确的指引。欧洲时段，投资者需要关注一系列的欧元区综合PMI数据，同时也要关注英国PMI，不过由于这些PMI数据都是终值，因此数据对市场的影响就相对有限了。纽约时段，投资者应该重点关注美国小非农1月ADP数据的表现。美联储承认经济活动和就业复苏放缓。本周美联储在为期两日的政策会议后表示，将维持指标短期借款利率在接近零的水平，并维持资产购买计划，即美联储每月至少购买1200亿美元，上述决定符合市场预期。在货币政策声明中，美联储指出，近几个月经济活动和就业复苏步伐放缓，疲弱集中在受疫情影响最严重的行业，声明重申，新冠疫情“正在美国和世界各地造成巨大的人力和经济困难。”美联储在新冠肺炎大流行初期将利率降至零，此后一直保持这一水平。近几个月来，官员们对低利率的承诺更加积极，承诺即使通胀率接近或略高于央行设定的2%的目标，也不会开始加息。除了ADP数据，投资者也要关注ISM非制造业PMI数据的表现，该数据以往也能给市场短线走势带来冲击。接下来，交易原油的投资者重点关注EIA原油库存数据给油价带来的影响。上周EIA原油库存骤降接近1000万桶，分析表示，炼油行业继续将过剩的原油转化为成品油之际，原油库存大幅减少，带动市场上涨。如果本周库存继续减少，那么这将继续给油价带来支撑。2月4日（周四）关键词：Snap/Unity/动视暴雪等财报，美国上周初请失业金，美国耐用品订单和工厂订单财报方面：诺基亚、施耐宝（美股盘前）；Snap、吉利德科学、pinterest、Unity Software 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