新航起飞 personal page - To The Moon

新航起飞

新航起飞

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2024-07-04

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ yes

2023-10-31

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 🥱🥱🥱🥱🥱

2023-08-29

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 🐢🐢🐢😡😡😡😡

2023-08-08

Yes

2023-08-08

Yes

2023-07-05

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 😡😡

2023-06-12

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ [喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [喷血] [喷血]

2023-06-09

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 😡😡🤮🤮

2023-06-01

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 😡😡

2023-05-25

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 😡😡😤

2023-05-22

$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ 😭😭😭

2023-03-08

$苹果(AAPL)$ 。。。。

2023-02-21

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 2. 32 to 2. 38

2023-01-11

$小米集团-W(01810)$ .... U

2023-01-11

$苹果(AAPL)$ ..

2022-12-06

$新电信(Z74.SI)$ yes, back to 2.63

2022-10-21

$新电信(Z74.SI)$2. 39 soon

2022-10-04

$丰益国际(F34.SI)$

2022-10-03

$新电信(Z74.SI)$

2022-09-28

$丰树工业信托(ME8U.SI)$

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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[喷血]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186544919404624","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2711,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185296025432080,"gmtCreate":1686277827393,"gmtModify":1686277831183,"author":{"id":"3566999773176722","authorId":"3566999773176722","name":"新航起飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70cc82561a181e1c00587b5cbc04e466","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566999773176722","authorIdStr":"3566999773176722"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$新电信(Z74.SI)$&nbsp;</a>😡😡🤮🤮","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/Z74.SI\">$新电信(Z74.SI)$&nbsp;</a>😡😡🤮🤮","text":"$新电信(Z74.SI)$ 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😡😡😤","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9970729384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9970567314,"gmtCreate":1684732981738,"gmtModify":1684732984330,"author":{"id":"3566999773176722","authorId":"3566999773176722","name":"新航起飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70cc82561a181e1c00587b5cbc04e466","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566999773176722","authorIdStr":"3566999773176722"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a>😭😭😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/C6L.SI\">$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$&nbsp;</a>😭😭😭","text":"$新加坡航空公司(C6L.SI)$ 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yes","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3ad08b86ab548ccd1c0ec4155bd43177","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9012670604","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9013261623,"gmtCreate":1648735787107,"gmtModify":1676534388335,"author":{"id":"3566999773176722","authorId":"3566999773176722","name":"新航起飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70cc82561a181e1c00587b5cbc04e466","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566999773176722","authorIdStr":"3566999773176722"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes&nbsp;","listText":"Yes&nbsp;","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9013261623","repostId":"1109157751","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1109157751","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1648692694,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1109157751?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-31 10:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Oil gods, stock gods and wolf kings under soaring oil prices","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1109157751","media":"远川投资评论","summary":"石油还是同样的石油，只是一千个基金经理眼中有一千种投资价值判断。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Another round of oil price adjustment is coming on March 31.</p><p>Previously, domestic oil prices have risen for five consecutive days due to the surge in crude oil. At the beginning of March, it was only four consecutive rises. \"92-octane gasoline is filled, and the debt is full; 95-octane gasoline is filled, and everything is lost; 98-octane gasoline is filled, and three generations of repayment!\" Before I could finish my fate of swiping the screen in the circle of friends, 95-octane gasoline officially entered the \"9 yuan era\" in the fifth round of rise.</p><p>At the moment, electric vehicle owners may be glad to buy early and enjoy it early, but if they don't buy it, they have to refuel. But the real bargain is the hedge funds that bet on rising oil prices.</p><p>U.S. foreign exchange hedge fund CFM's fund, which tracks the market signal index, has risen 15% this year, betting that rising energy prices have contributed most of its gains; The Diversified fund owned by London hedge fund Aspect Capital has risen 9% this year, mainly due to the rise in long oil and related commodity prices.</p><p>Among them, the most excited one is Pierre Andurand, the \"God of Crude Oil Trading\". According to the Financial Times, the Andurand Commodities Discretionary Enhanced Fund he manages has earned 109% in just two months. Also betting on soaring oil prices are \"Stock God\" Buffett and \"Wall Street Wolf King\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IKAN\">Icahn</a>。 This pair of sworn enemies who always meet on the narrow road, one is still against each other<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Western Petroleum</a>The latter had already earned 1 billion and sold off the market.</p><p>Two years ago, the price of WTI crude oil futures in May fell to a minimum of-US $37.63/barrel. The panic caused by negative oil prices is still fresh in my memory. The backhand oil price has broken through the high of eight years ago, exceeding US $100/barrel.</p><p>So, in this epic diamond bottom rebound, who is the sharpest one?</p><p><b>01. Oil God Anduran: The war is in full swing</b></p><p>This time, Anduran was right again.</p><p>Just over two months have passed in 2022, and the Commodity Free Trading Enhancement Fund managed by Pierre Andurand, the \"God of Crude Oil Trading\", has risen 109% due to a bet on soaring oil prices. In an interview with Bloomberg on March 24, Anduran was still bullish on oil prices, believing that it would even hit $200 by the end of this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f68e42d61df008e14b35612c7ca1d42\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Anduran believes crude oil rising to $200 a barrel is just around the corner, Bloomberg</p><p>Before 2020, Anduran had already shown his talents. He made a huge profit of nearly $300 million by shorting \"negative oil prices\". In February, when Anduran was aggressively bearish on oil prices, people at that time might not have believed that the oil price of $55 would become negative, but Anduran, who spent ten hours a day studying virus data, firmly believed that once the epidemic broke out, a large number of blockade areas would appear all over the world, which would lead to a sharp drop in demand for crude oil and a sharp drop in oil prices [3]. Sure enough, two months later, the oil price fell to-$40, and Anduran's prediction was verified.</p><p>Speaking of it, the person who won such a big victory last time he lifted oil alone was still Anduran.</p><p>The head of Andurand Capital Management, the world's largest crude oil hedge fund, became famous as early as the 2008 financial crisis for accurately predicting the plunge in oil prices. At that time, he earned 210% of the returns.</p><p>However, at that time, the hedge fund founded by Anduran was still called Blue Glod, and before he was truly named the \"Oil God\", there was still a detour to go.</p><p>In 2007, at the age of 30, Anduran left Vitol, the world's largest oil trader, and set up his own hedge fund company. When he was in Vitol Group, he was called \"one of the most profitable traders\". However, Anduran, who was unruly and loves freedom by nature, left Vitol and became his own boss.</p><p>Anduran began to become famous in the second year after founding the company, but the start was too smooth, which may not be a good thing. After Anduran's entrepreneurial journey became a blockbuster in 2008, it began to show a decline of \"opening high and going low\". In the next three years or so, the funds he managed fell all the way, and the income turned from positive to negative until April 2012, Blue Glod, which had no improvement, had to close its doors to thank customers.</p><p>Failure didn't depress Anduran. After only eight months, he chose to gamble his name again. In February 2013, he surfaced into the hedge fund world and founded Andurand Capital Management. He unabashedly named directly after his own name, showing greater determination than the last time.</p><p>And Anduran didn't disappoint investors who believed in him again. In 2014, Anduran gained a 38% yield by betting on the plunge in oil prices. In 2016, he gained a 22% yield by betting on the rebound in oil prices, wiping out the fluctuations of oil.</p><p>Anduran, who is extremely talented in crude oil trading, often makes a lot of money in the violent fluctuations of oil prices. Because of this, many people only regard him as a \"lucky man of the times\", a \"bold maniac\" who can succeed in oil and lose oil. After all, who can always predict things like God?</p><p>Anduran, however, thinks otherwise. He said that he was not a \"trade addict\" and never blindly made heavy bets. Every \"big move\" has undergone in-depth research and rigorous analysis. And Anduran's \"grasping the big and letting go of the small\", going deep into the contradiction between supply and demand of a variety of crude oil and the conversion between long and short, has indeed earned rich returns for his investors-since 2008, the cumulative income of funds managed by Anduran has increased nearly tenfold.</p><p>And this time, the heavy bet on the soaring oil price is just a reappearance of Anduran's \"betting\" trading style. He just did what he has always been best at in the circle of competence.</p><p><b>02. Warren Buffett: Comeback</b></p><p>Compared with Anduran's easy acquisition, Buffett's investment in oil is a little bumpy.</p><p>According to the data, Buffett began to re-build his position in Occidental Petroleum on March 1 this year, and increased his position twice in a row on March 4 and March 11, buying Occidental Petroleum as his ninth largest holding. The purchase cost ranged from $46.76 to $56.60 per share. As of March 21, Occidental Petroleum's share price had risen to $60.96, up 30% from Buffett's first purchase.</p><p>The reason why he said to re-open the position is mainly because he had fallen before. Judging from Buffett's historical holdings in Occidental Petroleum, his previous operations on this stock can be described as \"sold before dawn and bought after the price increase.\" So far, it is difficult for Buffett to say that he has made a lot of money in Occidental Petroleum.</p><p>As early as 2019, Occidental Petroleum wanted to acquire<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APC\">Anadarko Oil</a>The company (Anadarko Petroleum) raised funds from Buffett in the form of preferred shares. In addition to paying an annual Dividend of 8%, it also came with a call option on common stocks, and the strike price was $62.5. In other words, in addition to paying dividends to Buffett, Occidental Petroleum will also repay part of his common stock. It can be seen from the changes in Buffett's positions in 2019 that he did increase his holdings of Occidental Petroleum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bbbc39c687e488620cf82d09e84d818\" tg-width=\"789\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, what Buffett, who is full of confidence, is waiting for is the black swan of the epidemic, which caused oil prices to plummet in 2020. At that time, Occidental Petroleum was in a financial crisis due to the acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum, and its stock price fell from more than 40 US dollars at the beginning of the year to 8.8 US dollars at the end of the first quarter. Faced with such a situation, Buffett had no choice but to sell Occidental Petroleum's shares. By the second quarter of 2020, Occidental Petroleum was no longer in Buffett's holdings.</p><p>Regarding this failed investment, Buffett said in an interview that he did misjudge the trend of oil prices.</p><p>Slightly surprisingly, more than a year later, Buffett rebought Occidental Petroleum, which was originally sold for about $15, at a price of about $50, and quickly admitted his mistake.</p><p>Buffett, who has always been known for his value investing and is committed to finding good business, does not prefer the energy industry with strong cycles and high beta. As a typical cyclical stock, why does Occidental Petroleum appear in Buffett's holdings many times?</p><p>According to his past investment experience, the consumption-like logic of stable value-added may be the main reason why Buffett invests in cyclical stocks [5]. Specifically, Occidental Petroleum has a stable competitive landscape and high Dividend payments.</p><p>As the fourth largest oil and gas company in the United States, Occidental Petroleum has experienced large-scale mergers and acquisitions in the U.S. shale oil industry, and the industry competition landscape has stabilized. At the same time, Occidental Petroleum has maintained stable Dividend payments even during the financial crisis and shale revolution. Currently, with the rise in oil prices, Occidental Petroleum's financial situation has also been repaired, which can provide stable financial support for Dividend payments.</p><p>In fact, Buffett has long \"taken a fancy\" to Occidental Petroleum, and the purchase of preferred shares in 2019 is the best proof. It's just that the drastic changes in the external environment in 2020 have caused Buffett to do some operations that seem unwise now, and to stop excessive losses. But what he lost in 2020 was only the money from the decline of common stocks, and Buffett still enjoyed preferred shares's dividends.</p><p>Now that oil prices are rising, Buffett once again sees the opportunity to buy Occidental Petroleum. Even if he pays a higher cost than before, the \"stock god\" is still willing to make a comeback.</p><p><b>03. Icahn, the Wolf King: Take it as soon as you see it</b></p><p>Just as Buffett, the \"stock god\", increased his position in Occidental Petroleum, on the other hand, Icahn, the \"Wolf King of Wall Street\", had sold all the remaining shares of Occidental Petroleum and earned $1 billion.</p><p>Born in 1936 in Queens, New York, Icahn was called \"the most successful speculator on the planet\" by Fortune. After dropping out of new york University, this Jew joined the military camp, where he was a well-known poker master. After retiring from the army, Icahn became a stockbroker and began his investment career as the \"Wolf of Wall Street\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168b96e5d53577b54ee92ffaca60d1a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Close-up of Icahn, Image Credit : Icahn: The Restless Billionaire, HBO</p><p>Since he first entered the stock exchange in 1961, Icahn has led numerous \"hostile takeovers\". He often bought a large number of stocks of optimistic companies, became a strategic shareholder of the company and interfered with the company's management decisions, prompting the stock price to rise rapidly in a short period of time.</p><p>To some extent, Icahn is Buffett's \"enemy\" from the root of his investment philosophy. Icahn doesn't care about the development of enterprises. Instead of accompanying the growth of enterprises as Buffett said, he only wants to make profits by buying and selling stocks.</p><p>In 1985, Icahn, who was optimistic about the oil industry, was ready to buy Philip Oil Company. At this time, another consortium offered a higher purchase price to \"cut off\" Philip, and Icahn, who was bound to win, also increased his horsepower to raise the price, but the other party still refused to give up, and even further raised the price, pressing Icahn step by step. After many times, Icahn suddenly sold all his shares and made hundreds of millions of dollars in this round of \"pushing up\".</p><p>And his investment in the stock of Occidental Petroleum also showed his true qualities as a \"wolf king\".</p><p>Back in 2019, Icahn and Buffett both held shares of Occidental Petroleum at the same time, but when Occidental Petroleum wanted to buy Anadarko Petroleum, the two disagreed.</p><p>Because the acquisition requires a large and expensive sum of capital ($10 billion), it has to be financed by debt, which Icahn objected to. Vicki Hollub, CEO of Occidental Petroleum, insisted on the deal, eventually raising money from Buffett in the way of preferred shares, promising an 8% annual Dividend with equity call options.</p><p>Icahn was very dissatisfied with Holub's approach. He believed that this move not only \"cheaper\" Buffett, but also completely unbeneficial to Occidental Petroleum.</p><p>Not long after, in March 2020, Occidental Petroleum, which was heavily indebted, was affected by the plunge in oil prices, and its stock price fell all the way. Buffett liquidated Occidental Petroleum. This situation made Icahn furious and turned out old scores again-if Holub hadn't insisted on going his own way and Buffett had \"helped the others\", why would Occidental Petroleum have fallen to this point?</p><p>It's useless to be angry. In order to remove Holub, this \"wolf king\" has been increasing his voice in Occidental Petroleum. In just a few months, he increased his shareholding ratio from 2.5% to 10% [14]. Although his recall plan ended in a settlement agreement, objectively Icahn also successfully bought a lot of chips at the low stock price.</p><p>Now, Occidental Petroleum has finally ushered in a soaring stock price. This speculator who \"doesn't care about the development of the enterprise, but only wants to make a profit by buying and selling stocks\" has also taken advantage of the trend to liquidate this stock recently and cash in on the gains.</p><p>Icahn's arbitrage departure at this time is not so much bearish on oil prices as finally retaliating against Occidental Petroleum for failing him.</p><p>Icahn after clearance, just like those who block you and still notify you<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>Like netizens, I stated in a letter to the board of directors of Occidental Petroleum on March 6 that I have cleared my position, and the two representatives assigned to the board of directors due to the settlement agreement in 2020 will also resign and leave.</p><p>Anyway, for Icahn, there are many ways to express his views on oil prices. According to the Wall Street Journal, Icahn still holds about $500 million worth of Occidental Petroleum warrants. Besides, he also holds shares in other energy companies, such as Cheniere Energy (LNG), the largest producer of liquefied natural gas, and oil refiners<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVI\">CVR Energy</a>Corporation (CVI).</p><p>In short, Icahn, who wanted to interfere with the company's strategic decision-making by holding shares in Occidental Petroleum two years ago, didn't get what he wanted. Now, when the stock price rose, Buffett, who was \"not seeking each other\", ran into the market again. Icahn, who made a profit of 1 billion, decided to say goodbye to each other \"with the fruits of victory\", which is reasonable.</p><p>It can be said that if you don't leave at this time, when will you wait?</p><p><b>04. Epilogue</b></p><p>Oil is still the same oil, but there are a thousand investment value judgments in the eyes of a thousand fund managers.</p><p>In the first half of the game, \"Oil God\" Anduran was in full swing, \"Wolf King\" Icahn achieved fruitful results, and \"Stock God\" Buffett returned to the battlefield. One of them is a crude oil trading master who has won many battles, and the other pair is an old rival who has accumulated deep grievances against Western Petroleum. Betting, trading, holding, which one is higher and which one is lower, I'm afraid I have to extend my eyes to the second half.</p><p>After all, who can have the last laugh and not be eaten by beta in the end is the ultimate test of cyclical products for all investors.</p><p>Will oil prices continue to rise? No one knows the definitive answer. However, compared with oil, people in a relatively static closed loop may want to know more how much will the price of vegetables rise?</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"lsy1583835599575","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil gods, stock gods and wolf kings under soaring oil prices</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil gods, stock gods and wolf kings under soaring oil prices\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">远川投资评论</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-03-31 10:11</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Another round of oil price adjustment is coming on March 31.</p><p>Previously, domestic oil prices have risen for five consecutive days due to the surge in crude oil. At the beginning of March, it was only four consecutive rises. \"92-octane gasoline is filled, and the debt is full; 95-octane gasoline is filled, and everything is lost; 98-octane gasoline is filled, and three generations of repayment!\" Before I could finish my fate of swiping the screen in the circle of friends, 95-octane gasoline officially entered the \"9 yuan era\" in the fifth round of rise.</p><p>At the moment, electric vehicle owners may be glad to buy early and enjoy it early, but if they don't buy it, they have to refuel. But the real bargain is the hedge funds that bet on rising oil prices.</p><p>U.S. foreign exchange hedge fund CFM's fund, which tracks the market signal index, has risen 15% this year, betting that rising energy prices have contributed most of its gains; The Diversified fund owned by London hedge fund Aspect Capital has risen 9% this year, mainly due to the rise in long oil and related commodity prices.</p><p>Among them, the most excited one is Pierre Andurand, the \"God of Crude Oil Trading\". According to the Financial Times, the Andurand Commodities Discretionary Enhanced Fund he manages has earned 109% in just two months. Also betting on soaring oil prices are \"Stock God\" Buffett and \"Wall Street Wolf King\"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IKAN\">Icahn</a>。 This pair of sworn enemies who always meet on the narrow road, one is still against each other<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Western Petroleum</a>The latter had already earned 1 billion and sold off the market.</p><p>Two years ago, the price of WTI crude oil futures in May fell to a minimum of-US $37.63/barrel. The panic caused by negative oil prices is still fresh in my memory. The backhand oil price has broken through the high of eight years ago, exceeding US $100/barrel.</p><p>So, in this epic diamond bottom rebound, who is the sharpest one?</p><p><b>01. Oil God Anduran: The war is in full swing</b></p><p>This time, Anduran was right again.</p><p>Just over two months have passed in 2022, and the Commodity Free Trading Enhancement Fund managed by Pierre Andurand, the \"God of Crude Oil Trading\", has risen 109% due to a bet on soaring oil prices. In an interview with Bloomberg on March 24, Anduran was still bullish on oil prices, believing that it would even hit $200 by the end of this year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f68e42d61df008e14b35612c7ca1d42\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"810\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Anduran believes crude oil rising to $200 a barrel is just around the corner, Bloomberg</p><p>Before 2020, Anduran had already shown his talents. He made a huge profit of nearly $300 million by shorting \"negative oil prices\". In February, when Anduran was aggressively bearish on oil prices, people at that time might not have believed that the oil price of $55 would become negative, but Anduran, who spent ten hours a day studying virus data, firmly believed that once the epidemic broke out, a large number of blockade areas would appear all over the world, which would lead to a sharp drop in demand for crude oil and a sharp drop in oil prices [3]. Sure enough, two months later, the oil price fell to-$40, and Anduran's prediction was verified.</p><p>Speaking of it, the person who won such a big victory last time he lifted oil alone was still Anduran.</p><p>The head of Andurand Capital Management, the world's largest crude oil hedge fund, became famous as early as the 2008 financial crisis for accurately predicting the plunge in oil prices. At that time, he earned 210% of the returns.</p><p>However, at that time, the hedge fund founded by Anduran was still called Blue Glod, and before he was truly named the \"Oil God\", there was still a detour to go.</p><p>In 2007, at the age of 30, Anduran left Vitol, the world's largest oil trader, and set up his own hedge fund company. When he was in Vitol Group, he was called \"one of the most profitable traders\". However, Anduran, who was unruly and loves freedom by nature, left Vitol and became his own boss.</p><p>Anduran began to become famous in the second year after founding the company, but the start was too smooth, which may not be a good thing. After Anduran's entrepreneurial journey became a blockbuster in 2008, it began to show a decline of \"opening high and going low\". In the next three years or so, the funds he managed fell all the way, and the income turned from positive to negative until April 2012, Blue Glod, which had no improvement, had to close its doors to thank customers.</p><p>Failure didn't depress Anduran. After only eight months, he chose to gamble his name again. In February 2013, he surfaced into the hedge fund world and founded Andurand Capital Management. He unabashedly named directly after his own name, showing greater determination than the last time.</p><p>And Anduran didn't disappoint investors who believed in him again. In 2014, Anduran gained a 38% yield by betting on the plunge in oil prices. In 2016, he gained a 22% yield by betting on the rebound in oil prices, wiping out the fluctuations of oil.</p><p>Anduran, who is extremely talented in crude oil trading, often makes a lot of money in the violent fluctuations of oil prices. Because of this, many people only regard him as a \"lucky man of the times\", a \"bold maniac\" who can succeed in oil and lose oil. After all, who can always predict things like God?</p><p>Anduran, however, thinks otherwise. He said that he was not a \"trade addict\" and never blindly made heavy bets. Every \"big move\" has undergone in-depth research and rigorous analysis. And Anduran's \"grasping the big and letting go of the small\", going deep into the contradiction between supply and demand of a variety of crude oil and the conversion between long and short, has indeed earned rich returns for his investors-since 2008, the cumulative income of funds managed by Anduran has increased nearly tenfold.</p><p>And this time, the heavy bet on the soaring oil price is just a reappearance of Anduran's \"betting\" trading style. He just did what he has always been best at in the circle of competence.</p><p><b>02. Warren Buffett: Comeback</b></p><p>Compared with Anduran's easy acquisition, Buffett's investment in oil is a little bumpy.</p><p>According to the data, Buffett began to re-build his position in Occidental Petroleum on March 1 this year, and increased his position twice in a row on March 4 and March 11, buying Occidental Petroleum as his ninth largest holding. The purchase cost ranged from $46.76 to $56.60 per share. As of March 21, Occidental Petroleum's share price had risen to $60.96, up 30% from Buffett's first purchase.</p><p>The reason why he said to re-open the position is mainly because he had fallen before. Judging from Buffett's historical holdings in Occidental Petroleum, his previous operations on this stock can be described as \"sold before dawn and bought after the price increase.\" So far, it is difficult for Buffett to say that he has made a lot of money in Occidental Petroleum.</p><p>As early as 2019, Occidental Petroleum wanted to acquire<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/APC\">Anadarko Oil</a>The company (Anadarko Petroleum) raised funds from Buffett in the form of preferred shares. In addition to paying an annual Dividend of 8%, it also came with a call option on common stocks, and the strike price was $62.5. In other words, in addition to paying dividends to Buffett, Occidental Petroleum will also repay part of his common stock. It can be seen from the changes in Buffett's positions in 2019 that he did increase his holdings of Occidental Petroleum.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6bbbc39c687e488620cf82d09e84d818\" tg-width=\"789\" tg-height=\"659\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, what Buffett, who is full of confidence, is waiting for is the black swan of the epidemic, which caused oil prices to plummet in 2020. At that time, Occidental Petroleum was in a financial crisis due to the acquisition of Anadarko Petroleum, and its stock price fell from more than 40 US dollars at the beginning of the year to 8.8 US dollars at the end of the first quarter. Faced with such a situation, Buffett had no choice but to sell Occidental Petroleum's shares. By the second quarter of 2020, Occidental Petroleum was no longer in Buffett's holdings.</p><p>Regarding this failed investment, Buffett said in an interview that he did misjudge the trend of oil prices.</p><p>Slightly surprisingly, more than a year later, Buffett rebought Occidental Petroleum, which was originally sold for about $15, at a price of about $50, and quickly admitted his mistake.</p><p>Buffett, who has always been known for his value investing and is committed to finding good business, does not prefer the energy industry with strong cycles and high beta. As a typical cyclical stock, why does Occidental Petroleum appear in Buffett's holdings many times?</p><p>According to his past investment experience, the consumption-like logic of stable value-added may be the main reason why Buffett invests in cyclical stocks [5]. Specifically, Occidental Petroleum has a stable competitive landscape and high Dividend payments.</p><p>As the fourth largest oil and gas company in the United States, Occidental Petroleum has experienced large-scale mergers and acquisitions in the U.S. shale oil industry, and the industry competition landscape has stabilized. At the same time, Occidental Petroleum has maintained stable Dividend payments even during the financial crisis and shale revolution. Currently, with the rise in oil prices, Occidental Petroleum's financial situation has also been repaired, which can provide stable financial support for Dividend payments.</p><p>In fact, Buffett has long \"taken a fancy\" to Occidental Petroleum, and the purchase of preferred shares in 2019 is the best proof. It's just that the drastic changes in the external environment in 2020 have caused Buffett to do some operations that seem unwise now, and to stop excessive losses. But what he lost in 2020 was only the money from the decline of common stocks, and Buffett still enjoyed preferred shares's dividends.</p><p>Now that oil prices are rising, Buffett once again sees the opportunity to buy Occidental Petroleum. Even if he pays a higher cost than before, the \"stock god\" is still willing to make a comeback.</p><p><b>03. Icahn, the Wolf King: Take it as soon as you see it</b></p><p>Just as Buffett, the \"stock god\", increased his position in Occidental Petroleum, on the other hand, Icahn, the \"Wolf King of Wall Street\", had sold all the remaining shares of Occidental Petroleum and earned $1 billion.</p><p>Born in 1936 in Queens, New York, Icahn was called \"the most successful speculator on the planet\" by Fortune. After dropping out of new york University, this Jew joined the military camp, where he was a well-known poker master. After retiring from the army, Icahn became a stockbroker and began his investment career as the \"Wolf of Wall Street\".</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/168b96e5d53577b54ee92ffaca60d1a8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Close-up of Icahn, Image Credit : Icahn: The Restless Billionaire, HBO</p><p>Since he first entered the stock exchange in 1961, Icahn has led numerous \"hostile takeovers\". He often bought a large number of stocks of optimistic companies, became a strategic shareholder of the company and interfered with the company's management decisions, prompting the stock price to rise rapidly in a short period of time.</p><p>To some extent, Icahn is Buffett's \"enemy\" from the root of his investment philosophy. Icahn doesn't care about the development of enterprises. Instead of accompanying the growth of enterprises as Buffett said, he only wants to make profits by buying and selling stocks.</p><p>In 1985, Icahn, who was optimistic about the oil industry, was ready to buy Philip Oil Company. At this time, another consortium offered a higher purchase price to \"cut off\" Philip, and Icahn, who was bound to win, also increased his horsepower to raise the price, but the other party still refused to give up, and even further raised the price, pressing Icahn step by step. After many times, Icahn suddenly sold all his shares and made hundreds of millions of dollars in this round of \"pushing up\".</p><p>And his investment in the stock of Occidental Petroleum also showed his true qualities as a \"wolf king\".</p><p>Back in 2019, Icahn and Buffett both held shares of Occidental Petroleum at the same time, but when Occidental Petroleum wanted to buy Anadarko Petroleum, the two disagreed.</p><p>Because the acquisition requires a large and expensive sum of capital ($10 billion), it has to be financed by debt, which Icahn objected to. Vicki Hollub, CEO of Occidental Petroleum, insisted on the deal, eventually raising money from Buffett in the way of preferred shares, promising an 8% annual Dividend with equity call options.</p><p>Icahn was very dissatisfied with Holub's approach. He believed that this move not only \"cheaper\" Buffett, but also completely unbeneficial to Occidental Petroleum.</p><p>Not long after, in March 2020, Occidental Petroleum, which was heavily indebted, was affected by the plunge in oil prices, and its stock price fell all the way. Buffett liquidated Occidental Petroleum. This situation made Icahn furious and turned out old scores again-if Holub hadn't insisted on going his own way and Buffett had \"helped the others\", why would Occidental Petroleum have fallen to this point?</p><p>It's useless to be angry. In order to remove Holub, this \"wolf king\" has been increasing his voice in Occidental Petroleum. In just a few months, he increased his shareholding ratio from 2.5% to 10% [14]. Although his recall plan ended in a settlement agreement, objectively Icahn also successfully bought a lot of chips at the low stock price.</p><p>Now, Occidental Petroleum has finally ushered in a soaring stock price. This speculator who \"doesn't care about the development of the enterprise, but only wants to make a profit by buying and selling stocks\" has also taken advantage of the trend to liquidate this stock recently and cash in on the gains.</p><p>Icahn's arbitrage departure at this time is not so much bearish on oil prices as finally retaliating against Occidental Petroleum for failing him.</p><p>Icahn after clearance, just like those who block you and still notify you<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>Like netizens, I stated in a letter to the board of directors of Occidental Petroleum on March 6 that I have cleared my position, and the two representatives assigned to the board of directors due to the settlement agreement in 2020 will also resign and leave.</p><p>Anyway, for Icahn, there are many ways to express his views on oil prices. According to the Wall Street Journal, Icahn still holds about $500 million worth of Occidental Petroleum warrants. Besides, he also holds shares in other energy companies, such as Cheniere Energy (LNG), the largest producer of liquefied natural gas, and oil refiners<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVI\">CVR Energy</a>Corporation (CVI).</p><p>In short, Icahn, who wanted to interfere with the company's strategic decision-making by holding shares in Occidental Petroleum two years ago, didn't get what he wanted. Now, when the stock price rose, Buffett, who was \"not seeking each other\", ran into the market again. Icahn, who made a profit of 1 billion, decided to say goodbye to each other \"with the fruits of victory\", which is reasonable.</p><p>It can be said that if you don't leave at this time, when will you wait?</p><p><b>04. Epilogue</b></p><p>Oil is still the same oil, but there are a thousand investment value judgments in the eyes of a thousand fund managers.</p><p>In the first half of the game, \"Oil God\" Anduran was in full swing, \"Wolf King\" Icahn achieved fruitful results, and \"Stock God\" Buffett returned to the battlefield. One of them is a crude oil trading master who has won many battles, and the other pair is an old rival who has accumulated deep grievances against Western Petroleum. Betting, trading, holding, which one is higher and which one is lower, I'm afraid I have to extend my eyes to the second half.</p><p>After all, who can have the last laugh and not be eaten by beta in the end is the ultimate test of cyclical products for all investors.</p><p>Will oil prices continue to rise? No one knows the definitive answer. However, compared with oil, people in a relatively static closed loop may want to know more how much will the price of vegetables rise?</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/AI50006ms1hQjSTCoXTd6w\">远川投资评论</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef375710aa7a4298de56c8827d8139df","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/AI50006ms1hQjSTCoXTd6w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1109157751","content_text":"3月31日又一轮油价调整就要来了。此前由于原油飙升，国内油价已经五连涨。3月初还只是四连涨的时候，“92号汽油加满，负债满满；95号汽油加满，倾家荡产；98号汽油加满，三代还款！”的段子，还没来得及完成自己在朋友圈刷屏的命运，95号汽油就又在第五轮的上涨里，正式进入了“9元时代”。此刻电动车车主们，或许在庆幸早买早享受、不买要加油。但真正赚到了大便宜的，还是押注了油价上涨的对冲基金们。美国外汇对冲基金CFM旗下追踪市场信号指数的基金今年以来上涨了15%，押注能源价格上涨为其贡献了收益大头；而伦敦对冲基金 Aspect Capital 旗下的多元投资基金（Diversified fund）今年以来上涨了9%，主要原因也无外乎做多石油及其相关商品价格的上涨。这其中，最兴奋不已的莫过于“原油交易之神”皮埃尔·安杜兰（Pierre Andurand）。据《金融时报》透露，他管理的商品自由交易增强基金（Andurand Commodities Discretionary Enhanced Fund）在短短两个月时间里已经赚取了109%的收益。同样押注油价飙升的，还有“股神”巴菲特和“华尔街狼王”伊坎。这对狭路总相逢的死对头，一个还在对西方石油的疯狂加仓，后者已经狂赚10亿后抛售离场。两年前，WTI5月原油期货价格跌到最低-37.63美元/桶，负油价带来的恐慌还记忆犹新，油价反手已经突破了8年前的高点，超过100美元/桶。那么，在这波史诗级的钻石底大反弹里，谁是最敏锐的那一个呢？01、「油神」安杜兰：大战正酣这一次，安杜兰又押对了。2022年才过去两个多月，“原油交易之神” 皮埃尔·安杜兰（Pierre Andurand）管理的商品自由交易增强基金便因押中油价飙升而上涨了109%。在彭博3月24日的采访中，安杜兰依然看多油价，认为到今年年底甚至会触及200美元。安杜兰认为原油涨到200美元一桶已经近在眼前，Bloomberg此前的2020年，安杜兰已经大显身手。他因为做空“负油价”大赚近3亿美元。在安杜兰大举看空油价的2月份，当时的人们也许怎么样都不会相信55美元的油价会变成负数，但每天花十小时研究病毒资料的安杜兰则坚定地认为，一旦疫情爆发，世界各地将会出现大量封锁区，而这会导致原油的需求量骤减，油价一定会暴跌[3]。果不其然，两个月后，油价跌到了-40美元，安杜兰的预言得以验证。说起来，上一次这么单吊石油还大获全胜的人，依然还是安杜兰。这位全球最大原油对冲基金 Andurand Capital Management 的掌门人，早在2008年的金融危机中，便因精准预测油价暴跌而“一战成名”，那一次，他赚取了210%的收益。只不过，那个时候，安杜兰创办的对冲基金还叫 Blue Glod ，而在他真正被封为“油神”之前，也还有一段弯路要走。2007年，30岁的安杜兰离开了全球最大石油交易商——维多集团（Vitol），创立了属于自己的对冲基金公司。在维多集团时，他被称为是“最能赚钱的交易员之一”，不过，生性不羁爱自由的安杜兰还是离开了维多，自己给自己当老板。创立公司后的第二年安杜兰便开始名声大噪，但开局太顺利，或许不是什么好事。安杜兰的创业之路在2008年一鸣惊人后，开始呈现“高开低走”的颓势，接下来三年多的时间里，他管理的基金一路下跌，收益由正转负，直到2012年4月，毫无起色的 Blue Glod 只好关门谢客。失败没有让安杜兰消沉，仅仅过了八个月，他就选择「赌上自己的名字」再来一次。2013年2月，他浮出对冲基金界，创办了 Andurand Capital Management。他毫不掩饰地直接用自己的名字来命名，显示出比上一次更大的决心。而安杜兰也没有让再信他一次的投资者失望。2014年，安杜兰押中油价暴跌获得了38%的收益率，2016年，他又因押中油价反弹获得了22%的收益率，把石油这一个品种的波动吃干抹净。在原油交易上极具天赋的安杜兰，常常能在油价的剧烈波动中赚得盆满钵满，正因如此，不少人只把他当成一个“时代幸运儿”，一个成也石油、还会败也石油的“大胆狂徒”。毕竟，谁能永远料事如神呢？然而安杜兰却不这么认为。他说自己并不是“交易瘾君子”，也从不盲目下重注，每一次“大手笔”都经过了深入的研究和严密的分析。而安杜兰的“抓大放小”，深入原油一个品种的供需矛盾、多空转换，也的确为他的投资者们赚取了丰厚的回报——2008年至今，安杜兰管理的基金累计收益翻了近十倍。而这一次对油价飙升的重押，也不过是安杜兰“下赌注式”交易风格的再现，他只是在能力圈里又做了一直以来最擅长的事。02、「股神」巴菲特：卷土重来比起安杜兰的信手拈来，巴菲特在石油上的投资就稍显坎坷了。资料显示，巴菲特今年3月1日开始重新建仓西方石油，并在3月4日、3月11日连续两次加仓，将西方石油买成了自己的第九大重仓股，买入成本从每股46.76美元到56.60美元不等。截至3月21日，西方石油的股价已经涨到了60.96美元，距巴菲特第一次买入时上涨了30%。之所以说「重新建仓」，主要是因为他之前曾经摔过一跤。从巴菲特对西方石油的历史持仓来看，他此前在这只股票上的操作可谓是“卖在了黎明前，买在了涨价后”，到目前为止，巴菲特在西方石油上很难说赚到了大钱。早在2019年，西方石油要收购阿纳达科石油公司（Anadarko Petroleum），便以优先股的形式向巴菲特募资，除了支付8%的年股息，还附带有普通股的认购期权，执行价格为62.5美元。也就是说，西方石油除了要对巴菲特分红派息外还会偿还他一部分的普通股。而从巴菲特2019年的持仓变化中可以看出，他的确对西方石油进行了增持。然而，信心十足的巴菲特等来的却是疫情这只黑天鹅，让油价在2020年遭遇了暴跌。彼时的西方石油又因收购阿纳达科石油而陷入财务危机，股价从年初的40多美元一路跌到了一季度末的8.8美元。面对如此状况，巴菲特只好卖掉了西方石油的股票，到2020年二季度，巴菲特的持仓中便已不见西方石油的身影。对于这笔失败的投资，巴菲特在接受采访时表示，自己的确是误判了油价走势。稍显意外的是，一年多后，巴菲特却又以50美元左右的价格重新买入了当初15美元左右卖出的西方石油，迅速认错。向来以价值投资著称、致力于寻找好生意的巴菲特，按理说并不偏好强周期、高beta的能源行业，而西方石油作为典型的周期股，为什么屡次出现在巴菲特的持仓中呢？根据其过往的投资经历推断，稳定增值的类消费逻辑或许是巴菲特投资周期股的主要原因[5]。具体放在西方石油身上，是它拥有稳定的竞争格局和较高的股息支付。西方石油作为美国第四大石油和天然气公司，在经历了美页岩油行业大规模并购重组后，行业竞争格局趋于稳定，同时，西方石油即使在金融危机和页岩革命期间也维持了稳定的股息支付，而当前，伴随着油价上涨，西方石油的财务状况也得以修复，更能为股息支付提供稳定的资金支持。其实，巴菲特早就“看中了”西方石油，2019年买入优先股便是最好的证明。只是2020年外部环境的剧烈变化让巴菲特做了一些现在看来并不明智的操作，还止过损。但是2020年亏的只是普通股下跌的钱，而巴菲特仍享受了优先股的分红派息。如今油价上涨，巴菲特再次看到了西方石油的买入时机，就算付出比之前更高的成本，“股神”依然愿意卷土重来。03、「狼王」伊坎：见好就收就在“股神”巴菲特加仓西方石油之际，另一边，“华尔街狼王”伊坎已全部抛售西方石油剩余股票，赚取了10亿美元。1936年出生于纽约皇后区的伊坎，被《财富》称为“这个星球上最成功的投机者”。这位犹太人从纽约大学辍学后便加入了军营，在那里，他是小有名气的扑克牌高手。退伍后，伊坎便成为了一名股票经纪人，开始了他“华尔街之狼”的投资生涯。伊坎的特写，图片来源：Icahn: The Restless Billionaire，HBO从1961年第一次走进证券交易所至今，伊坎主导了无数次“恶意收购”事件，他经常大量买入看好企业的股票，成为该公司的战略股东并干涉公司的管理决策，促使股价在短期内快速上涨。某种程度上，伊坎从投资理念的根源上，就是巴菲特的“敌人”。伊坎并不关心企业发展，与其像巴菲特说的那样陪伴企业成长，他只想通过买卖股票获利。1985年，看好石油行业的伊坎准备收购菲力浦石油公司，此时，另一家财团开出了更高的收购价格想要“截胡”菲力浦，而势在必得的伊坎也加大马力进行提价，但对方依然不肯放弃，甚至又进一步抬高了价格，对伊坎步步紧逼，就在这样多次来回之后，伊坎猛然将手上的股票全部卖出，在这轮股价“推涨”中赚了上亿美元。而他在西方石油这只股票的投资上，也尽显“狼王”本色。早在2019年，伊坎和巴菲特罕见地同时都持有了西方石油的股票，但当西方石油想要收购阿纳达科石油公司（Anadarko Petroleum）时，两人却出现了分歧。由于收购需要一大笔昂贵的资金（100亿美元）就得进行债务融资，伊坎对此提出了反对意见。西方石油的首席执行官薇姬·霍鲁布（Vicki Hollub）执意要达成这笔交易，最终以优先股的方式向巴菲特募资，承诺8%的年股息并附带股权认购期权。对于霍鲁布的这个做法，伊坎十分不满，他认为此举不但“便宜了”巴菲特，对西方石油来说也完全没有好处。不久之后的2020年3月，负债累累的西方石油又受到油价暴跌的影响，股价一路下跌，巴菲特清仓了西方石油。此情此景让伊坎愤怒不已，再次翻出旧账——要不是霍鲁布一意孤行，巴菲特“助纣为虐”，西方石油何至于沦落至此？生气没用，为了能够罢免霍鲁布，这位“狼王”一路提高自己在西方石油上的话语权，在短短几个月里，就把持股比例从2.5%提升到了10%[14]。虽然他的罢免计划最后以和解协议告终，但客观上伊坎也成功地在股价低位抄底了一大堆筹码。如今，西方石油终于迎来股价飙涨，这位“不关心企业发展，只想通过买卖股票获利”的投机派也顺势在近期清仓了这只股票，兑现收益。伊坎此时的套利离场，与其说是看空油价，倒不如说是终于报复了西方石油曾经辜负了他。清仓后的伊坎，就像那些拉黑你还要通知你的微博网友一样，在3月6日致西方石油董事会的信中表示，我清仓了，而且2020年因为和解协议而安排到董事会里的两位代表，也会辞职离开。反正对于伊坎来说，表达他对油价看法的方式也很多。据《华尔街日报》的报道，伊坎目前仍持有约5亿美元价值的西方石油公司认股权证。除此之外，他还拿着其它能源公司的股票，比如液化天然气最大生产商Cheniere能源公司(LNG)，以及炼油商CVR能源公司(CVI)。总之，两年前想通过持股西方石油干涉该公司战略决策的伊坎并没有如愿以偿，如今好不容易等到股价上涨，“不相为谋”的巴菲特又跑步进场，获利10亿的伊坎决定“揣着胜利的果实”互道一声拜拜，也就在情理之中了。正可谓，此时不走，更待何时？04、尾声石油还是同样的石油，只是一千个基金经理眼中有一千种投资价值判断。在游戏的上半场，“油神”安杜兰激战正酣，“狼王”伊坎硕果累累，“股神”巴菲特则重回战场。他们一个是屡战屡胜的原油交易大神，另一对则是在西方石油上「积怨已深」的老对手。押注、交易、持有，孰高孰低，恐怕还要再把眼光拉长到下半场。毕竟谁能笑到最后，最终不被贝塔反噬，是周期品对所有投资者的终极考验。油价还会继续上涨吗？没人知道确定的答案。不过，相比石油，处在相对静止闭环中的人或许更想知道的，菜价还会涨多少？","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CLmain":0.9,"BZmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9030064731,"gmtCreate":1645581801174,"gmtModify":1676534042570,"author":{"id":"3566999773176722","authorId":"3566999773176722","name":"新航起飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70cc82561a181e1c00587b5cbc04e466","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3566999773176722","authorIdStr":"3566999773176722"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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