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HCBICE
2024-03-18
$SOUN 20240322 8.0 PUT$
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2023-01-06
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2022-12-31
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HCBICE
2022-12-18
新能源汽车股走高,Nikola涨超10%,特斯拉下跌
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2022-12-05
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2022-12-01
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2022-11-29
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2022-11-27
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2022-11-27
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2022-11-13
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2022-11-07
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2022-11-06
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2022-11-06
加息后首度发声!美联储四高官:更多加息,峰值可能超过5%
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2022-11-02
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2022-11-02
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2022-11-02
高盛CEO:未来几个季度内全球市场将更加平衡,明年交易或复苏
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2022-11-01
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2022-10-29
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2022-10-27
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2022-10-26
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","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9984448638","repostId":"1179800507","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179800507","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667704167,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1179800507?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-11-06 11:09","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"加息后首度发声!美联储四高官:更多加息,峰值可能超过5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179800507","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"加息步伐放缓,但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后,美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告,必须继续加息才能遏制通胀,明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote>加息步伐放缓,但利率峰值更高。</blockquote><p>在美联储11月升息后,美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告,必须继续加息才能遏制通胀,明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。</p><p>里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示,<b>为了将通胀降至目标水平,美联储需要采取一切必要措施,这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上</b>:</p><blockquote>我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5%,但对我来说,这不是一个既定的计划,而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。</blockquote><p>明尼阿波利斯联储行长Neel Kashkari则表示,最新的就业报告显示招聘情况“非常强劲”,这可能导致利率峰值“更高”:</p><blockquote>我们还有更多工作要做,希望能够给经济降温,使需求和供应达到平衡。</blockquote><blockquote>今年3、4月时我预测利率会在今年9月见顶,最终峰值在4.9%左右。鉴于目前所掌握的信息,我预计利率会升到更高,至于会高多少,我也没有答案。</blockquote><p>芝加哥联储行长Charles Evans也持类似观点,<b>其预计美联储利率峰值水平“将略高于” 9月的点阵图预测。</b></p><p>波士顿联储主席Susan Collins则警告,现在判断利率应该达到多高还为时尚早,不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性:</p><blockquote><b>由于利率目前处于可能导致经济增长减速的限制性水平,所以货币政策正在进入一个新的阶段,可能只需要进行较小幅度的利率调整。</b></blockquote><blockquote>但不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性。</blockquote><p>美联储本周连续第四次加息75个基点,将联邦基准利率上调至3.75%—4%。</p><p>美联储主席鲍威尔在随后的记者会上表示,美联储将“有目的性地”调整利率至有效的限制性,最快将在12月放慢加息步伐,但是终端利率可能会高于9月时美联储的预期(4.6%)。</p><p>由于鲍威尔没有给出具体预测数据,市场目前对美联储利率峰值存在争议。在FOMC会议前,华尔街对于美联储利率峰值的预测水平为5%左右。投资者押注美联储将在12月加息50个基点,利率则将在2023年年中达到5.1%左右的峰值。</p><p>约翰霍普金斯大学经济学教授Jonathan Wright总结认为,<b>考虑到美国实际利率依然接近于零,甚至仍为负值,美联储实现控制通胀所需的限制性立场还有很长的路要走。</b></p><p>在FOMC会议后,华尔街也对美联储升息路径进行了调整,以反映“更慢但更高”的升息预期。</p><p>野村现在预计美联储12月加息50个基点(此前为75个基点),明年2月加息50个基点,3月加息50个基点(此前为25个基点),5月加息25个基点(此前没有做出预期)。利率峰值将比之前的预测高出25个基点,<b>上调至了5.50-5.75%。</b></p><p>在野村看来,美联储的通胀斗争远未结束,可能还会有更多的大幅加息。鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的言论十分明确地指向鹰派立场,<b>重中之重是美联储仍然打算继续加息,只是步伐有所放缓。</b>因此,野村认为此轮加息周期将持续更长时间,利率峰值将处于更高水平。</p><p>美国前财政部长、哈佛大学名誉校长Lawrence Summers则认为,鉴于美国经济依然强劲,美联储可能需要将利率提高至6%或更高,以控制通胀。</p></body></html>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>加息后首度发声!美联储四高官:更多加息,峰值可能超过5%</title>\n<style 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c7529fdbb41cb6b3c19bcb2904f4970","relate_stocks":{"BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500ETF","DXD":"道指两倍做空ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SDOW":"道指三倍做空ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500指数ETF","QID":"纳指两倍做空ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","PSQ":"纳指反向ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4581":"高盛持仓","UDOW":"道指三倍做多ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3674217","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1179800507","content_text":"加息步伐放缓,但利率峰值更高。在美联储11月升息后,美联储官员密集发声。官员们警告,必须继续加息才能遏制通胀,明年利率峰值有可能达到5%以上。里士满联储主席Thomas Barkin周五在接受采访时表示,为了将通胀降至目标水平,美联储需要采取一切必要措施,这可能将利率峰值推高至5%以上:我完全可以想象利率最终会超过5%,但对我来说,这不是一个既定的计划,而是我们为抗通胀所做努力的结果。明尼阿波利斯联储行长Neel Kashkari则表示,最新的就业报告显示招聘情况“非常强劲”,这可能导致利率峰值“更高”:我们还有更多工作要做,希望能够给经济降温,使需求和供应达到平衡。今年3、4月时我预测利率会在今年9月见顶,最终峰值在4.9%左右。鉴于目前所掌握的信息,我预计利率会升到更高,至于会高多少,我也没有答案。芝加哥联储行长Charles Evans也持类似观点,其预计美联储利率峰值水平“将略高于” 9月的点阵图预测。波士顿联储主席Susan Collins则警告,现在判断利率应该达到多高还为时尚早,不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性:由于利率目前处于可能导致经济增长减速的限制性水平,所以货币政策正在进入一个新的阶段,可能只需要进行较小幅度的利率调整。但不能排除再进行一次大幅加息的可能性。美联储本周连续第四次加息75个基点,将联邦基准利率上调至3.75%—4%。美联储主席鲍威尔在随后的记者会上表示,美联储将“有目的性地”调整利率至有效的限制性,最快将在12月放慢加息步伐,但是终端利率可能会高于9月时美联储的预期(4.6%)。由于鲍威尔没有给出具体预测数据,市场目前对美联储利率峰值存在争议。在FOMC会议前,华尔街对于美联储利率峰值的预测水平为5%左右。投资者押注美联储将在12月加息50个基点,利率则将在2023年年中达到5.1%左右的峰值。约翰霍普金斯大学经济学教授Jonathan Wright总结认为,考虑到美国实际利率依然接近于零,甚至仍为负值,美联储实现控制通胀所需的限制性立场还有很长的路要走。在FOMC会议后,华尔街也对美联储升息路径进行了调整,以反映“更慢但更高”的升息预期。野村现在预计美联储12月加息50个基点(此前为75个基点),明年2月加息50个基点,3月加息50个基点(此前为25个基点),5月加息25个基点(此前没有做出预期)。利率峰值将比之前的预测高出25个基点,上调至了5.50-5.75%。在野村看来,美联储的通胀斗争远未结束,可能还会有更多的大幅加息。鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的言论十分明确地指向鹰派立场,重中之重是美联储仍然打算继续加息,只是步伐有所放缓。因此,野村认为此轮加息周期将持续更长时间,利率峰值将处于更高水平。美国前财政部长、哈佛大学名誉校长Lawrence 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Solomon表示,随着公司证券产品发行者和投资者逐渐适应更为严峻的环境,明年的交易活动可能会反弹。Solomon周三表示,资本市场“高度依赖信心”,市场参与者和资产配置者需要时间来适应高利率、流动性收紧和增长放缓的“新现实”。Solomon称,这种情况可能会持续“两到四个季度,也有可能是六个季度”。</p><p>Solomon表示:“我们正处于这一过程中,我预计未来几个季度将更加平衡。”今年以来,各大央行的紧缩政策给金融市场带来了沉重打击,促使投资银行客户推迟了股票和债券的销售,等待投资者表现出更积极的态度。</p><p>他表示:“随着我们进入2023年,我们将开始对资本市场的轨迹有一个清晰的理解。尽管发行者和投资者的估值和资本成本不同,但它们将‘再次相遇’。”</p><p>瑞银董事长Colm Kelleher在同一场活动上称,美国市场市盈率修正后的估值变得更具吸引力,特别是在消费医疗保健和某些大宗商品领域。他称:“如果你看一下未来9个月的情况,你会发现预期回报率实际上相当诱人。”</p><p>Kelleher表示,尽管央行官员们正努力在利率和经济增长之间找到合适的平衡点,但他们将控制住通胀,投资领域也会有亮点。他指出,人们在等待市场走向的确定性,而不是“投降交易”。Kelleher称:“我们的全球财富管理账户中有创纪录水平的现金。”</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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Solomon表示,随着公司证券产品发行者和投资者逐渐适应更为严峻的环境,明年的交易活动可能会反弹。Solomon周三表示,资本市场“高度依赖信心”,市场参与者和资产配置者需要时间来适应高利率、流动性收紧和增长放缓的“新现实”。Solomon称,这种情况可能会持续“两到四个季度,也有可能是六个季度”。Solomon表示:“我们正处于这一过程中,我预计未来几个季度将更加平衡...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/822088.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b6684517506a0b0f4c4c5a1c4889261","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/822088.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2280016933","content_text":"高盛首席执行官David Solomon表示,随着公司证券产品发行者和投资者逐渐适应更为严峻的环境,明年的交易活动可能会反弹。Solomon周三表示,资本市场“高度依赖信心”,市场参与者和资产配置者需要时间来适应高利率、流动性收紧和增长放缓的“新现实”。Solomon称,这种情况可能会持续“两到四个季度,也有可能是六个季度”。Solomon表示:“我们正处于这一过程中,我预计未来几个季度将更加平衡。”今年以来,各大央行的紧缩政策给金融市场带来了沉重打击,促使投资银行客户推迟了股票和债券的销售,等待投资者表现出更积极的态度。他表示:“随着我们进入2023年,我们将开始对资本市场的轨迹有一个清晰的理解。尽管发行者和投资者的估值和资本成本不同,但它们将‘再次相遇’。”瑞银董事长Colm 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","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9986706447","repostId":"1164149013","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164149013","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667006208,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164149013?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-10-29 09:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"公募三季报透露调仓动向,哪些布局将先于市场转暖","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164149013","media":"第一财经","summary":"三季度基金经理们都买了啥?2022年公募基金三季报已基本披露完毕,多位明星基金经理的调仓布局情况和投资展望也浮出水面。对于A股震荡下跌的分化行情,基金经理做出了哪些调整?在市场迷茫之际,又有哪些板块具","content":"<div>\n<p>三季度基金经理们都买了啥?2022年公募基金三季报已基本披露完毕,多位明星基金经理的调仓布局情况和投资展望也浮出水面。对于A股震荡下跌的分化行情,基金经理做出了哪些调整?在市场迷茫之际,又有哪些板块具有投资吸引力?与此同时,记者梳理多份三季报数据后发现,或许受业绩拖累,多位权益类基金经理的管理规模大幅缩水。例如中欧基金葛兰、易方达基金张坤、景顺长城刘彦春的三季度末管理规模均下滑超过100亿元。不过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101577160.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"dyvj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n公募三季报透露调仓动向,哪些布局将先于市场转暖\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-29 09:16 北京时间 <a href=https://www.yicai.com/news/101577160.html><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>三季度基金经理们都买了啥?2022年公募基金三季报已基本披露完毕,多位明星基金经理的调仓布局情况和投资展望也浮出水面。对于A股震荡下跌的分化行情,基金经理做出了哪些调整?在市场迷茫之际,又有哪些板块具有投资吸引力?与此同时,记者梳理多份三季报数据后发现,或许受业绩拖累,多位权益类基金经理的管理规模大幅缩水。例如中欧基金葛兰、易方达基金张坤、景顺长城刘彦春的三季度末管理规模均下滑超过100亿元。不过...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.yicai.com/news/101577160.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41a3265725dba67c0660b26a189585aa","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.yicai.com/news/101577160.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164149013","content_text":"三季度基金经理们都买了啥?2022年公募基金三季报已基本披露完毕,多位明星基金经理的调仓布局情况和投资展望也浮出水面。对于A股震荡下跌的分化行情,基金经理做出了哪些调整?在市场迷茫之际,又有哪些板块具有投资吸引力?与此同时,记者梳理多份三季报数据后发现,或许受业绩拖累,多位权益类基金经理的管理规模大幅缩水。例如中欧基金葛兰、易方达基金张坤、景顺长城刘彦春的三季度末管理规模均下滑超过100亿元。不过,站在当前时点,有多位基金经理表示,A股市场虽然受各种负面因素冲击呈现反复寻底的态势,但市场经历大幅下跌后,提供了对长期投资者有吸引力的出价,当前环境下价值股的性价比较高。贵州茅台蝉联第一大重仓股数据显示,截至10月28日,公募基金2022年三季报披露已经基本落下帷幕,9月末市场前十大基金重仓股也随之揭晓。其中,贵州茅台仍以1769亿元的的基金持股总市值,为公募基金头号重仓股;宁德时代则以1097亿元紧随其后。从基金配置情况来看,三季度末将上述2只个股纳入重仓持股范畴的基金数量分别为2067只、1542只。与二季报数据不同的是,泸州老窖取代隆基绿能,成为公募基金第三大重仓股,迈瑞医疗、亿纬锂能分别被增持1264万股、2268万股,晋升十大基金重仓股行列。而药明康德在二季度被减持1.04亿股后,三季度继续被减持9742万股后,基金持仓排位从前十大落至第13位;东方财富则被减持5.89亿股,基金持仓从二季度的第八位降至三季度的第19位。从行业角度而言,白酒类个股依旧占据重要地位,在前十大重仓股中占比最高,获得四个席位。除了贵州茅台稳居首位、泸州老窖为第三位,五粮液、山西汾酒分列第四、第六位。不过,值得注意的是,上述四只白酒股在三季度被重仓基金合计减持1711万股。Wind资讯数据显示,与此前二季度末相比,三季度末持股数增加逾1亿股的基金重仓股共有36只,其中有色金属及银行板块是加仓的重点,分别被加仓10亿股、8亿股;被减持超过1亿股的个股数量为21只,其中,汽车行业个股遭遇明显减持,例如,长城汽车、吉利汽车、长安汽车分别被减持1.89亿股、1.32亿股、1.06亿股。整体而言,截至三季度末,以申万一级行业为基准,在公募基金重仓股中,电力设备、食品饮料、医药生物、电子、有色金属等五大行业的基金持股总市值最高,被重仓的个股数量分别为193只、73只、281只、98只。从前五十大重仓股来看,食品饮料、电力设备、医药生物等行业个股是重仓的主要标的。另一方面,三季度以来,陆股通资金最为青睐的三大行业是电力设备、医药生物、有色金属,分别净流入55.25亿元、50.3亿元、49.66亿元;主要净流出银行、建筑材料和家用电器,分别净流出218.61亿元、68.98亿元、50.34亿元。另据数据显示,截至2022年三季度末,北向资金持股市值占陆股通总持股比例最高的三个行业是食品饮料、电力设备及新能源、医药,分别为15.59%、14.32%、8.36%。医药板块仍具吸引力三季度,A股市场重回震荡走势,医药生物板块出现了较大调整,相关主题基金也“损失惨重”。作为业内知名的医药基金经理之一,中欧基金明星基金经理葛兰管理的产品净值明显受到不利影响。基金三季度调仓轨迹显示,葛兰在三季度对股票仓位进行了小幅减仓动作。例如,她管理的中欧医疗创新、中欧医疗健康三季度末的股票仓位环比分别调低了2.98和2.37个百分点,但仍保持85%以上的仓位。以规模最大的中欧医疗健康A为例,据该基金的前十大重仓股数据显示,葛兰在三季度分别加仓爱尔眼科32.07%、凯莱英39.69%、恒瑞医药97.52%,小幅减持了迈瑞医疗、通策医疗和片仔癀。另一位公募医药行业明星基金经理赵蓓也有同样举动。以其管理规模最大的工银瑞信前沿医疗A为例,她在三季度小幅下调了该产品的股票仓位至85.93%。其重仓股数据显示,赵蓓在三季度加仓了爱尔眼科100%、凯莱英37.31%,同时还增持了同仁堂30.68%、九洲药业13.7%。与此同时,在三季度重仓股中加大对医药等行业配置的还有多位明星基金经理。例如,易方达基金的张坤在其管理规模最大的易方达蓝筹精选中就加仓了药明生物100.74%;景顺长城基金的刘彦春则在景顺长城鼎益中加仓爱尔眼科29.92%。“三季度,受内外部环境影响,市场情绪较为脆弱,医药生物板块整体出现了较大调整。”葛兰在季报中表示,从基本面角度来看,尽管面临着疫情的扰动,但总体来看医药生物板块延续了二季度末的恢复趋势。在葛兰看来,宏观环境短期仍有不确定性,但行业面对相关不确定性扰动的准备也更加充分,预计四季度仍将是震荡恢复的趋势。长期来看,医药行业的增长逻辑没有发生根本性的变化。创新是行业成长最为重要的驱动力。“整体而言,我们依然看好医药生物板块的中长期投资机会,但短期市场波动难以避免”。葛兰如是说。赵蓓认为,今年以来医药行业也经历了港股和美股创新药板块的下跌引起投资者对一级市场投融资进而对创新药企研发投入和CXO行业订单的担忧,经历了地缘政治因素影响CXO企业海外订单的担忧,经历了疫情对消费行业景气度负面冲击的担忧,总体也呈现了巨大的波动性。在具体的投资方向上,赵蓓表示,会选择顺应产业发展方向的细分领域。“三季度我们在细分领域的布局上做了一些均衡,四季度会延续均衡的思路,依然布局在估值相对合理的中药、消费医疗、CXO、器械等方向。”新能源热度不减在经历前期的大幅反弹后,新能源行业在三季度跟随市场指数大幅回调。在今年第三季度,中证新能源指数下跌20.07%,大幅跑输上证指数9.06%,也跑输创业板综指4.28%。作为最为热门的行业之一,新能源在三季报的调仓换股中多有体现。例如,睿远基金的傅鹏博管理的睿远成长价值A季报数据显示,其在三季度对于跌幅较大的新能源和光伏板块,逆势增加了布局。数据显示,该基金对宁德时代、金博股份、通威股份等电池和光伏个股进行增持,增持幅度分别为302.71%、86.44%、13.46%。其中,宁德时代首次跃升进该基金前十大重仓股行列,成为其第二大重仓股。而中欧基金的周蔚文三季度降低了电子、医药的配置。他管理的中欧时代先锋A三季报数据显示,其对宁德时代、晶澳科技、隆基绿能进行了小幅减仓。而上述三只个股在二季度均被其加仓。建信基金的陶灿则把建信新能源A的股票仓位由92.39%下调至86.39%,维持中性仓位期间,其超配能源金属、海上风电、大储和锂电制造板块,增持中矿资源、TCL中环、中天科技、亨通光电。“展望四季度,海外加息所依据的数据能否出现拐点,国内疫情和经济冲击的边际变化是我们关注的焦点。”傅鹏博表示。对于新能源板块出现的技术迭代、竞争格局变化、公司核心壁垒的消长,傅鹏博表示会保持紧密跟踪,“今年传统能源的表现突出,这是短暂的‘复兴’还是较长时间的‘景气’,也会进行动态评估。”他表示。安信新能源主题A基金经理陈思表示,仍然对新能源行业的长期发展抱有信心,当前估值下不必再过度悲观。“站在长期的产业视角,电动车在全球仍处于加速渗透的阶段,中国企业在全球具备明显的竞争优势,很多优秀公司的估值已经进入值得重点布局的区间。”陈思表示,储能是新能源板块内景气度最高的细分领域。在能源转型和能源通胀的大背景下,中、美、欧三地同时面临可再生能源占比提升及能源价格居高不下的困境,储能是解决新能源发电不稳定的必要手段。但她也认为,储能行业内公司的竞争优势和竞争格局尚未清晰,需要仔细地筛选。对于光伏行业,陶灿表示,海外需求受益于能源紧张维持高景气,原材料成本压力尚未根本缓解,后续随着硅料产能释放,国内地面电站需求有望得到改善;风电行业招标量超预期,但装机需求疲软,海上风电地方政府出台的政策力度较大,发展趋势较为乐观。“以买房的心态来投资股票”三季度的市场持续震荡下跌,沪深300指数下跌15.16%,上证指数下跌11.01%,创业板指数下跌18.56%。香港市场同样下跌,恒生指数下跌21.21%,恒生中国企业指数下跌22.86%。市场表现不佳,相关基金产品的业绩自然也深受影响。或受业绩连累,多位知名基金经理的管理规模有所下滑。例如,葛兰在三季度末的管理规模为875.46亿元,较之二季度末缩水了142亿元。另外,易方达基金张坤、景顺长城刘彦春、兴证全球基金谢治宇均在三季度缩水超过100亿元。对于三季度行情表现,张坤表示,市场充斥着各种各样的担忧:各地疫情反复、地产销售的下滑、人民币汇率等等,似乎每个因素都会对企业的近期经营业绩产生影响。然而,对于中远期(比如三五年后)企业的经营情况,投资者似乎不太关心。在他看来,从现金流折现角度,企业的最大部分价值通常来自远期的永续部分。长期来看,国人的勤奋和智慧毋庸多言,只要走出疫情的阴霾,市场经济充分发挥作用,各行各业都会产生优秀企业家领导的优秀企业,助力中国经济的崛起。张坤直言,投资者如果以买房的心态来投资股票,包括细致的基本面分析(大量调研楼盘)、重仓买入(投入大量资金)、长期持有(不因为短期房价波动而进行交易),可能效果会好得多。“在理性的世界中,股票交易量是不会很高的,在实际世界中,股票投资者却经常对短暂且无关紧要的日常信息做出反应。但实际上,市场先生是来服务投资者的,而不是来指导投资者的。”张坤说。刘彦春同样认为,短期事件冲击带来的更多是投资机会。他表示,“近几年,短期因素对市场干扰较多。疫情反复,国际关系错综复杂,实体经济和股票市场都受到了较大影响。我们始终认为决定公司市值的是企业全生命周期可以为股东创造的价值。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":599,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9986186374,"gmtCreate":1666913704899,"gmtModify":1676537828473,"author":{"id":"3568697814695599","authorId":"3568697814695599","name":"HCBICE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4851c4a27e84de19dd126ece72f2e29","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568697814695599","idStr":"3568697814695599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] 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","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914593960","repostId":"1130433742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130433742","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1665298148,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1130433742?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-10-09 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content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>三部门集体约谈部分光伏企业及行业机构:要求不搞囤积居奇等行为</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-09 14:49</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>财联社10月9日电,工业和信息化部、市场监管总局、国家能源局三部门有关业务司局在组织开展光伏产业链供应链合作对接的基础上,近期集体约谈了部分多晶硅骨干企业及行业机构,引导相关单位加强自律自查和规范管理。三部门对相关单位提出工作要求:一是要着眼大局和长远利益,坚持上下游合作共赢,促进光伏产业高质量发展;二是要切实加强企业自律,深入开展自查自纠,自觉规范销售行为,不搞囤积居奇、借机炒作等哄抬价格行为;三是要统筹推进光伏存量项目建设,合理释放已建产能,适度加快在建合规项目建设步伐,同时对后续新建产能大规模投产要提前研判、防范风险。下一步,有关部门将进一步加强工作协同、强化监督管理,针对行业出现的哄抬价格、垄断制售假冒伪劣产品等违法行为加强查处、严厉打击。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7856e2d5360420401d8e3695a58fbba\" tg-width=\"1155\" tg-height=\"714\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbfb47d15ad26fbfac1d13076ecbeedf","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130433742","content_text":"财联社10月9日电,工业和信息化部、市场监管总局、国家能源局三部门有关业务司局在组织开展光伏产业链供应链合作对接的基础上,近期集体约谈了部分多晶硅骨干企业及行业机构,引导相关单位加强自律自查和规范管理。三部门对相关单位提出工作要求:一是要着眼大局和长远利益,坚持上下游合作共赢,促进光伏产业高质量发展;二是要切实加强企业自律,深入开展自查自纠,自觉规范销售行为,不搞囤积居奇、借机炒作等哄抬价格行为;三是要统筹推进光伏存量项目建设,合理释放已建产能,适度加快在建合规项目建设步伐,同时对后续新建产能大规模投产要提前研判、防范风险。下一步,有关部门将进一步加强工作协同、强化监督管理,针对行业出现的哄抬价格、垄断制售假冒伪劣产品等违法行为加强查处、严厉打击。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9915717790,"gmtCreate":1665108983410,"gmtModify":1676537558869,"author":{"id":"3568697814695599","authorId":"3568697814695599","name":"HCBICE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4851c4a27e84de19dd126ece72f2e29","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568697814695599","idStr":"3568697814695599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9915717790","repostId":"2273403333","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273403333","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665104174,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273403333?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-10-07 08:56","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"法国将苹果反垄断罚款降至3.66亿美元,削减三分之二","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273403333","media":"新浪科技","summary":"新浪科技讯 北京时间10月7日消息,由于存在反竞争行为,之前法国向苹果开出11亿欧元罚单,现在法国法院将罚金降至3.72亿欧元 。2020年法国反垄断机构向苹果开出巨额罚单,因为苹果的分销零售网络存在反竞争垄断行为。知情者称,上诉法官认同反垄断机构的部分指控,比如销售商在经济上依赖苹果公司,苹果滥用这种依赖关系,至于强制固定价格这一指控,法官并不支持。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>新浪科技讯 北京时间10月7日消息,由于存在反竞争行为,之前法国向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>开出11亿欧元罚单,现在法国法院将罚金降至3.72亿欧元(3.66亿美元)。</p><p>2020年法国反垄断机构向苹果开出巨额罚单,因为苹果的分销零售网络存在反竞争垄断行为。</p><p>苹果强制销售商服从价格安排,它们的定价必须与苹果专卖店或者苹果网店保持一致。知情者称,上诉法官认同反垄断机构的部分指控,比如销售商在经济上依赖苹果公司,苹果滥用这种依赖关系,至于强制固定价格这一指控,法官并不支持。</p><p>还有,反垄断机构计算整体罚金时选取的数字比较高,法院降低了费率。</p><p>苹果公司回应称:“虽然法院推翻了法国竞争管理局(French Competition Authority)的部分决定,这无疑是正确的,但苹果认为应该全部推翻,所以我们会继续上诉。”苹果还说监管机构给出的结论与十多年前的行为有关,这些行为连监管机构本身也承认现在已不再存在。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>法国将苹果反垄断罚款降至3.66亿美元,削减三分之二</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n法国将苹果反垄断罚款降至3.66亿美元,削减三分之二\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-07 08:56 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.sina.cn/2022-10-07/detail-imqqsmrp1699392.d.html?vt=4><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>新浪科技讯 北京时间10月7日消息,由于存在反竞争行为,之前法国向苹果开出11亿欧元罚单,现在法国法院将罚金降至3.72亿欧元(3.66亿美元)。2020年法国反垄断机构向苹果开出巨额罚单,因为苹果的分销零售网络存在反竞争垄断行为。苹果强制销售商服从价格安排,它们的定价必须与苹果专卖店或者苹果网店保持一致。知情者称,上诉法官认同反垄断机构的部分指控,比如销售商在经济上依赖苹果公司,苹果滥用这种依赖...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/2022-10-07/detail-imqqsmrp1699392.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/785e1d8b0ba0e9ca532cc028042f1eec","relate_stocks":{"BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4571":"数字音乐概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4576":"AR","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/2022-10-07/detail-imqqsmrp1699392.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273403333","content_text":"新浪科技讯 北京时间10月7日消息,由于存在反竞争行为,之前法国向苹果开出11亿欧元罚单,现在法国法院将罚金降至3.72亿欧元(3.66亿美元)。2020年法国反垄断机构向苹果开出巨额罚单,因为苹果的分销零售网络存在反竞争垄断行为。苹果强制销售商服从价格安排,它们的定价必须与苹果专卖店或者苹果网店保持一致。知情者称,上诉法官认同反垄断机构的部分指控,比如销售商在经济上依赖苹果公司,苹果滥用这种依赖关系,至于强制固定价格这一指控,法官并不支持。还有,反垄断机构计算整体罚金时选取的数字比较高,法院降低了费率。苹果公司回应称:“虽然法院推翻了法国竞争管理局(French Competition Authority)的部分决定,这无疑是正确的,但苹果认为应该全部推翻,所以我们会继续上诉。”苹果还说监管机构给出的结论与十多年前的行为有关,这些行为连监管机构本身也承认现在已不再存在。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":510,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918282146,"gmtCreate":1664407601985,"gmtModify":1676537447240,"author":{"id":"3568697814695599","authorId":"3568697814695599","name":"HCBICE","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4851c4a27e84de19dd126ece72f2e29","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568697814695599","idStr":"3568697814695599"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[财迷] ","listText":"[财迷] ","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918282146","repostId":"2270733865","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2270733865","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664406983,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2270733865?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-29 07:16","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"“争议”摩尔定律,英特尔反驳英伟达“结束论”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2270733865","media":"第一财经","summary":"作为计算机行业的黄金定律,摩尔定律一直指导着芯片开发。但是随着芯片工艺升级速度的放缓,围绕在这一定律身上的争议也在不断扩大。 9月28日凌晨,面对摩尔定律的“信任危机”,英特尔CEO帕特·基辛格表示,至少在未来十年里,摩尔定律“依然有效”。“摩尔定律结束了。” 两大芯片巨头对于摩尔定律的分歧展现了当下芯片企业对于技术演进方向的不确定性。此外,摩尔定律质疑声中最大的“噪音”来自于技术与成本的平衡。","content":"<div>\n<p>作为计算机行业的黄金定律,摩尔定律一直指导着芯片开发。但是随着芯片工艺升级速度的放缓,围绕在这一定律身上的争议也在不断扩大。9月28日凌晨,面对摩尔定律的“信任危机”,英特尔CEO帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)表示,至少在未来十年里,摩尔定律“依然有效”。然而在一周前,英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋却表达了截然相反的观点。黄仁勋在一场采访中表示,以类似成本实现两倍业绩预期对于芯片行业来说已...</p>\n\n<a 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“争议”摩尔定律,英特尔反驳英伟达“结束论”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-29 07:16 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-09-28/doc-imqmmtha9131682.shtml><strong>第一财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>作为计算机行业的黄金定律,摩尔定律一直指导着芯片开发。但是随着芯片工艺升级速度的放缓,围绕在这一定律身上的争议也在不断扩大。9月28日凌晨,面对摩尔定律的“信任危机”,英特尔CEO帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)表示,至少在未来十年里,摩尔定律“依然有效”。然而在一周前,英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋却表达了截然相反的观点。黄仁勋在一场采访中表示,以类似成本实现两倍业绩预期对于芯片行业来说已...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-09-28/doc-imqmmtha9131682.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","INTC":"英特尔","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4549":"软银资本持仓","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","NVDA":"英伟达","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4543":"AI","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4575":"芯片概念"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2022-09-28/doc-imqmmtha9131682.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2270733865","content_text":"作为计算机行业的黄金定律,摩尔定律一直指导着芯片开发。但是随着芯片工艺升级速度的放缓,围绕在这一定律身上的争议也在不断扩大。9月28日凌晨,面对摩尔定律的“信任危机”,英特尔CEO帕特·基辛格(Pat Gelsinger)表示,至少在未来十年里,摩尔定律“依然有效”。然而在一周前,英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋却表达了截然相反的观点。黄仁勋在一场采访中表示,以类似成本实现两倍业绩预期对于芯片行业来说已成为过去。“摩尔定律结束了。”两大芯片巨头对于摩尔定律的分歧展现了当下芯片企业对于技术演进方向的不确定性。即便实现了晶体管堆积数量的增加,但是成本的飙升开始让越来越多的企业停下对先进制程的追逐,思考摩尔定律本身的合理性。英伟达VS英特尔:摩尔定律过时了吗?摩尔定律由英特尔联合创始人戈登·摩尔(Gordon Moore)在上世纪60年代提出,逐渐演变对芯片行业的技术预言:集成电路上可以容纳的晶体管数目在大约每经过18个月到24个月便会增加一倍。换言之,处理器的性能大约每两年翻一倍,计算成本呈指数型下降。从行业角度来看,业界一直遵循这一定律,并按前一代制程的0.7倍对新制程节点命名,这种线性升级正好带来晶体管集成密度翻番。因此,出现了90纳米、65纳米、45纳米、32纳米——每一代制程节点都能在给定面积上,容纳比前一代多一倍的晶体管。这种对先进制程的追逐也极大推动了计算产业的发展,从而孕育出了高速度的互联网、智能手机和现在的车联网、智能冰箱和自动调温器等。但随着技术的发展,随着工艺从微米级到纳米级,同样小的空间里集成越来越多的硅电路,产生的热量却越来越大,摩尔定律所推崇的“两年处理能力加倍”的实现开始变得乏力。在业内看来,不断逼近物理极限的晶体管加工早已让现有的光刻技术“不堪重负”,CPU晶体管和能量大幅上升导致应用性能只有小幅增长,Dennard(登纳德)缩放效应遇到了元件物理的瓶颈。此外,摩尔定律质疑声中最大的“噪音”来自于技术与成本的平衡。英伟达认为,随着芯片架构变得更加复杂,硅晶片变得更加昂贵。黄仁勋此前在接受包括第一财经在内的记者采访时表示,“今天12英寸的晶圆要贵得多,不是贵了一点点,是贵了非常非常多。技术越来越贵,所以我们必须使用更多办法,像RTX、DLSS、SCR、Tensor Cores这样的发明,使我们能够继续克服成本的增加。”以晶圆代工成本为例,根据美国乔治敦大学沃尔什外交学院安全与新兴技术中心(CSET)发布的研究数据显示,台积电一片采用3nm制程的12英寸晶圆,代工制造费用约为3万美元,约为5nm的1.75倍。在裸片(die)面积不变(即升级架构,不增加晶体管数量)、良率不变的情况下,未来苹果A17处理器如果采用3nm制程,成本将上涨到154美元/颗,成为iPhone第一大成本零部件,而5nm的A15处理器原来只是iPhone的第三大成本零部件。“成本的增加对于一些芯片企业来说确实带来了压力。”Counterpoint分析师Brady对第一财经记者表示,英伟达的部分产品从三星的8纳米转到台积电的4纳米时,成本多了一倍有余,芯片代工成本的上升让企业选择的技术路径也会发生改变。但在英特尔看来,摩尔定律不会因为无用而结束,也不会因为经济效益不足而受阻。目前,英特尔仍在积极尝试在单个芯片上塞入更多晶体管。基辛格在28日的讲话中提到,英特尔正在推进制造工艺的进步,例如采用新的光刻技术和RibbonFET架构,这能够让公司在每个芯片上继续塞进更多的晶体管,即使它们变得足够小,小到可以用埃(0.1纳米)单位来测量。“我们希望从今天的单个封装上容纳大约1000亿个晶体管开始,到这个十年结束时实现在单个封装中加入一万亿个晶体管。”基辛格表示,摩尔定律至少在未来的十年里依然有效。谁来拯救“摩尔定律”“摩尔定律并非自然规律,而是对集成电路性能发展的观测或预测。过去半个多世纪以来,半导体行业大致按照摩尔定律发展,单个芯片上集成的晶体管数量从几千个增加到十几亿个。”CIC灼识咨询合伙人赵晓马对记者表示,现在看来摩尔定律逐渐遭遇瓶颈。受制于芯片尺寸的物理极限、光刻技术、隧道效应、功耗和散热、供电能力等问题,从5nm到3nm再到2nm,其间隔都超过了2年时间。赵晓马认为,现在半导体行业更像是进入了后摩尔时代,需要拓展新的技术路线来延续摩尔定律。新集成、新材料、新架构逐渐成为颠覆创新的焦点。新集成包括Chiplet、先进封装等,Chiplet由于其高性能、低功耗、高面积使用率以及低成本受到广泛关注,在FPGA、GPU等高性能计算市场具备很高潜力。”以Chiplet为例,这一技术通常被翻译为“粒芯”或“小芯片”。单从字面意义上可以理解为更为“粒度更小的芯片”。它是一种在先进制程下提升芯片的集成度,从而在不改变制程的前提下提升算力,并保证芯片制造良品率的一种手段。举例来说,在一颗7nm工艺制程的芯片中,一些次要的模块可以用如22nm的较低的工艺制程做成Chiplet,再“拼装”至7nm芯片上,原理如同搭积木一样,这样可以减少对7nm工艺制程的依赖。Chiplet模式也是在摩尔定律趋缓下的半导体工艺发展方向之一。截至目前,包括英特尔、AMD在内的多家芯片巨头企业都曾表明或已经在产品中导入Chiplet设计。华为曾在2019年推出了基于Chiplet技术的7nm鲲鹏920处理器。AMD今年3月推出了基于台积电3D Chiplet封装技术的第三代服务器处理芯片。苹果则推出了采用台积电CoWos-S桥接工艺的M1 Ultra芯片。此外,赵晓马表示,先进封装技术也是英特尔、台积电等巨头的重点投入方向之一,从而缓解摩尔定律的消逝。“目前行业内主要有倒装封装、晶圆级封装、2.5D/3D封装以及SiP系统级封装等。新材料主要是以SiC、GaN、GaAs为主的第三代半导体材料,具有高频、高功率、耐高压高温等特性,在5G、光伏等领域广泛应用。而新架构是指突破冯诺依曼架构的新芯片架构,例如异构计算、RISC-V精简指令集架构等。英伟达重点投入新架构来推动加速计算,新推出的Hopper GPU架构使AI计算性能显著提升。”“摩尔定律带来的不是一场竞赛。”英特尔高级院士Mark Bohr此前曾在一场制造大会上表示,诚然有一天可能会达到物理极限,但像1990年,当晶圆上的晶体管大小达到用以印刷它们的光的波长(193纳米)时,物理学界明确指出不能再向前推进了,但计算型光刻技术和多重曝光跨越了那个挑战。在英特尔看来,摩尔定律已经“失效”了很多次,但每一次都能在关键技术上实现突破,得以延续。“现在这个时候,需要整个产业链一起配合,微缩工艺要提升,需要光刻机,需要把它提升到能更精细地刻画这些特征尺寸的层级。”英特尔中国研究院院长宋继强表示,摩尔定律的进展不是一家之力,但是如果大家都相信摩尔定律,它仍然能够以一定的节奏延续下去,仍然是会不断有新的技术涌现出来。即使在现在CMOS工艺下,也还是可以推进到2nm以下。Brady则对记者表示,从行业发展趋势来看,未来5年内摩尔定律仍然会持续。“但现在最大的问题在于需求部分的增长,未来市场是否仍然存在这么多小而快的产品需求,手机需求下降时,汽车、物联网设备能否成为新技术的出海口,这是最紧迫的问题,也是企业投入先进技术的最大动力。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"INTC":1,"NVDA":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}