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2022-12-16

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Stocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in "Quadruple Witching"

2022-10-08

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2022-08-06

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Dow Edges Into Positive Territory As Stocks Erase Early Losses

2023-01-23

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Microsoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016

2022-09-18

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Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know

2022-07-03

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Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems

2022-09-25

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If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”

2022-08-13

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U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%

2022-04-20

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U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Gained More than 1.5%

2022-11-07

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The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets

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style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-27 18:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\"><head><title>BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX Says</title></head><body><p><span>May 27 (Reuters)</span><span> - </span>HKEX:</p><ul><li><p>JPMORGAN CHASE &amp; CO INITIATES LONG POSITION IN H SHARES OF CATL<span>3750.HK</span> AT 14.23% ON MAY 20</p></li></ul><p>Further company coverage: <span>3750.HK</span></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代","LU0828237510.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF BIC (BRAZ IN CH)\"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE 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style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4567337cbdf294b657b1fa87c5488b48);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-05-27 18:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\"><head><title>BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX Says</title></head><body><p><span>May 27 (Reuters)</span><span> - </span>HKEX:</p><ul><li><p>JPMORGAN CHASE &amp; CO INITIATES LONG POSITION IN H SHARES OF CATL<span>3750.HK</span> AT 14.23% ON MAY 20</p></li></ul><p>Further company coverage: <span>3750.HK</span></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代","LU0828237510.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF BIC (BRAZ IN CH)\"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE 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xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\"><head><title>BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX Says</title></head><body><p><span>May 27 (Reuters)</span><span> - </span>HKEX:</p><ul><li><p>JPMORGAN CHASE &amp; CO INITIATES LONG POSITION IN H SHARES OF CATL<span>3750.HK</span> AT 14.23% ON MAY 20</p></li></ul><p>Further company coverage: <span>3750.HK</span></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase & Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX Says</title>\n<style 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18:29</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\"><head><title>BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX Says</title></head><body><p><span>May 27 (Reuters)</span><span> - </span>HKEX:</p><ul><li><p>JPMORGAN CHASE &amp; CO INITIATES LONG POSITION IN H SHARES OF CATL<span>3750.HK</span> AT 14.23% ON MAY 20</p></li></ul><p>Further company coverage: <span>3750.HK</span></p><p> ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"300750":"宁德时代","LU0828237510.HKD":"SCHRODER ISF BIC (BRAZ IN CH)\"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0302445910.USD":"SCHRODER ISF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE EQUITY \"A\" ACC","LU0449515922.USD":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"PC\" (USD)ACC","LU1820825898.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard SICAV I - China A Share Equity A Acc SGD-H","IE00B8HQ1Z84.USD":"BNY MELLON GLOBAL EMERGING MARKETS 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Innovation A-ACC-SGD"},"source_url":"https://api.refinitiv.com/data/news/v1/stories/urn:newsml:reuters.com:20250527:nFWN3RY0RH:1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2538506404","content_text":"BRIEF-JPMorgan Chase & Co Initiates Long Position In H Shares Of CATL At 14.23% On May 20, HKEX SaysMay 27 (Reuters) - HKEX:JPMORGAN CHASE & CO INITIATES LONG POSITION IN H SHARES OF CATL3750.HK AT 14.23% ON MAY 20Further company coverage: 3750.HK ((Reuters.Briefs@thomsonreuters.com;))","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"300750":0.9,"EVS.SI":0.6,"03750":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":272394880499872,"gmtCreate":1707540448851,"gmtModify":1707540452174,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌","listText":"👌","text":"👌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/272394880499872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2528,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952624785,"gmtCreate":1674699466548,"gmtModify":1676538953777,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952624785","repostId":"1127263431","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1127263431","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1674696500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1127263431?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-26 09:28","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"US Natural Gas Falls Below $3 for First Time Since May 2021","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127263431","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US natural gas futures fell below $3 for the first time in 19 months amid an abnormally mild winter ","content":"<div>\n<p>US natural gas futures fell below $3 for the first time in 19 months amid an abnormally mild winter that’s helped spark the worst selloff among the country’s commodities.Doomsday fears that suppliers ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-25/us-natural-gas-falls-below-3-for-first-time-since-may-2021?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US Natural Gas Falls Below $3 for First Time Since May 2021</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS Natural Gas Falls Below $3 for First Time Since May 2021\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-26 09:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-25/us-natural-gas-falls-below-3-for-first-time-since-may-2021?srnd=markets-vp><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US natural gas futures fell below $3 for the first time in 19 months amid an abnormally mild winter that’s helped spark the worst selloff among the country’s commodities.Doomsday fears that suppliers ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-25/us-natural-gas-falls-below-3-for-first-time-since-may-2021?srnd=markets-vp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BOIL":"两倍做多彭博天然气ETF-ProShares","GAZ":"天然气ETN-iPath","NGAS.UK":"天然气ETF","UNG":"美国天然气基金"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-25/us-natural-gas-falls-below-3-for-first-time-since-may-2021?srnd=markets-vp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127263431","content_text":"US natural gas futures fell below $3 for the first time in 19 months amid an abnormally mild winter that’s helped spark the worst selloff among the country’s commodities.Doomsday fears that suppliers wouldn’t be able to meet wintertime demand have been erased by a confluence of factors, leading gas prices to plunge after hitting a 14-year high of $10.03 in August.Key reasons for the fall: The US and Europe managed to refill their buffer inventories ahead of winter, and relatively balmy seasonal temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere have so far dampened demand for heating. And a longer-than-expected shutdown at a big Texas liquefaction terminal has constrained gas exports and thus boosted domestic supplies, contributing to the lower prices.Natural gas had been one of the most bullish commodity stories in recent years. Prices hit the August high amid a global supply crunch that was aggravated last year by Ukraine war.But hedge funds have turned the most bearish on US gas prices in almost three years, according to data released by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday. Gas for February delivery traded as low as $2.992 per million British thermal units on Wednesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest since May 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QGmain":0.9,"NGmain":0.9,"NGAS.UK":0.9,"GAZ":0.9,"NG2302":0.9,"UNG":0.9,"NG2303":0.9,"BOIL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2614,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952973769,"gmtCreate":1674408471252,"gmtModify":1676538939560,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌ok","listText":"👌ok","text":"👌ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952973769","repostId":"2305911458","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2305911458","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1674381147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2305911458?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-22 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2305911458","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimat","content":"<div>\n<p>Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-22 17:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MSFT":"微软","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305911458","content_text":"Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when earnings season for the most influential segment of the S&P 500 Index gets underway in the coming week: vanishing profits.The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Stock Index enters this crucial stretch amid a darkening backdrop that short-circuited a strong start to the year. Underscoring the risks ahead, Microsoft Corp., which kicks off the group’s reporting Tuesday, joined Amazon.com Inc. in starting to cut thousands of jobs this week as sales slow. Google parent Alphabet Inc. followed with plans of its own to shrink its workforce.Wall Street has been slashing earnings estimates for months for the tech sector, which is projected to be the biggest drag on S&P 500 profits in the fourth quarter, data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence show. The danger for investors, however, is that analysts still prove too optimistic, with demand for the industry’s products crumbling as the economy cools.“Tech is driving a lot of the overall earnings recession that we’re seeing in the S&P,” said Michael Casper, an equity strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. “While there’s a lot baked in, depending on if this recession does emerge and how badly it occurs, there is certainly some negative revision risk for the sector still.”Firms including Texas Instruments Inc., Lam Research Corp. and Intel Corp. also report next week. Apple Inc., Alphabet and other behemoths announce the week after. The group has huge sway over the path of the overall market, with info-tech accounting for more than 25% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization.Fourth-quarter earnings for tech firms in the benchmark are projected to drop 9.2% from the same period a year earlier, the steepest slide since 2016, data compiled by BI show. The speed of the deterioration in sentiment is notable: Three months ago, Wall Street merely saw profits coming in flat.Revenue growth for these companies is fading relative to the past couple of years, when the pandemic and ensuing lockdowns supercharged sales for everything from digital services to personal computers and the components that power them. Higher costs are also squeezing profits.Valuation ConcernsThe concern, however, is that valuations are still far from cheap despite last year’s 33% tumble in the Nasdaq 100. The gauge is priced at about 21 times profits projected over the next 12 months, compared with an average of 20.5 for the past decade, and further estimate cuts would only make it look more expensive. The multiple bottomed at 17.7 in 2020 and at 11.3 in 2011, in the wake of the recession that ended in 2009.Still, for Sameer Bhasin, principal at Value Point Capital, most of the bad news has been priced in. He anticipates that first-quarter profit estimates may have further to fall, but says some of the fears are overblown.“Tech isn’t suffering from an industry demand issue, it’s suffering more from a digestion of the excesses that were built in during the pandemic,” he said. “There’s money on the sidelines that is waiting to be put back into the sector.”Analysts anticipate that tech profits will return to growth in the second half of the year, data compiled by BI show. That will make executives’ outlooks for the full year all the more critical for stocks.As earnings roll in over the next few weeks, investors will have plenty of risks to monitor.Among them are the possibility that inflation proves to be more entrenched than many expect, as well as the effect of higher rates on profits, says Nick Getaz, a portfolio manager of the Franklin Rising Dividends Fund.“Monetary policy has a lag and we’re likely still in the window of that,” he said. “We haven’t seen the earnings impact you’d expect to see from rate hikes.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"MSFT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9928080494,"gmtCreate":1671150361819,"gmtModify":1676538499053,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928080494","repostId":"2291168016","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2291168016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1671148936,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2291168016?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-16 08:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291168016","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar co","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate up</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f364b30b0ddc76e531ee4f6d1228eedb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over and a abundance of disinterestedness options and futures are set to expire.</span></p><p>Stocks have been on a agrarian ride this week, and altitude could still get weirder as traders brace for “quadruple witching” on Friday, while a flurry of disinterestedness options and futures affairs expire.</p><p>In particular, options affairs angry to $4 abundance in stocks, stock-index futures and exchange-traded payments are set to expire, authoritative Friday potentially the busiest day for options traders this year, in accordance to abstracts aggregate by Rocky Fishman, the arch of basis animation analysis at Goldman Sachs.</p><p>The term “quadruple witching” refers to days when a group of equity-linked options and futures contracts expire, such as tradestation telling. This only happens four times a year, once every quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ca827ef2d73c594ab99cd494f07b72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Additionally, the biggest slug of equity options expires in December, and this year is no exception, Fishman said, as the $4 trillion expiring Friday is the largest option exposure since at least the beginning of the year.</p><p>Reliance on options by both retail and institutional traders has increased this year as traders turn to short-term contracts to try to profit from large, last-minute swings, according to Callie Cox, US. Investment Analyst at eToro.</p><p>“We’ve seen a lot of retail clients look to options at the end of the year to think about hedging and speculating,” Cox said, adding that on Friday “there was going to be a huge option expiration.”</p><p>Options involving $2.4 trillion in S&amp;P 500 index futures are expected to be the main event on Friday, with hundreds of thousands of contracts with strike prices centered around the 4,000 level set to expire, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of options analytical service Spotgama.</p><p>Puts and calls on the large-cap index are “very focused on the 4,000 strike,” Kochuba said in emailed comments to MarketWatch, adding that the recent turbulence in the markets suggests that traders may be underestimating That’s how volatile markets can be at the end of the year.</p><p>The low level of liquidity, which is typical during the latter half of December, could weigh on stocks further as options dealers scramble to adjust their positions accordingly, said Garrett DeSimone, principal quant at Options Metrics.</p><p>“Large hypothetical expirations can cause turbulence, especially during periods of increased volatility or constrained liquidity. When large amounts are flushed through gamma expirations, it is important for market makers to adjust their delta hedges. Rebalancing has to go through. This can lead to short-term volatility in the markets, which can lead to higher volatility,” DeSimone said.</p><p>US stocks declined on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling over 750 points to book its worst day in three months. S&amp;P 500 recorded its worst day in more than two months, while the Nasdaq Composite, It recorded its biggest decline since the beginning of November.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-16 08:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291168016","content_text":"Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over and a abundance of disinterestedness options and futures are set to expire.Stocks have been on a agrarian ride this week, and altitude could still get weirder as traders brace for “quadruple witching” on Friday, while a flurry of disinterestedness options and futures affairs expire.In particular, options affairs angry to $4 abundance in stocks, stock-index futures and exchange-traded payments are set to expire, authoritative Friday potentially the busiest day for options traders this year, in accordance to abstracts aggregate by Rocky Fishman, the arch of basis animation analysis at Goldman Sachs.The term “quadruple witching” refers to days when a group of equity-linked options and futures contracts expire, such as tradestation telling. This only happens four times a year, once every quarter.Additionally, the biggest slug of equity options expires in December, and this year is no exception, Fishman said, as the $4 trillion expiring Friday is the largest option exposure since at least the beginning of the year.Reliance on options by both retail and institutional traders has increased this year as traders turn to short-term contracts to try to profit from large, last-minute swings, according to Callie Cox, US. Investment Analyst at eToro.“We’ve seen a lot of retail clients look to options at the end of the year to think about hedging and speculating,” Cox said, adding that on Friday “there was going to be a huge option expiration.”Options involving $2.4 trillion in S&P 500 index futures are expected to be the main event on Friday, with hundreds of thousands of contracts with strike prices centered around the 4,000 level set to expire, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of options analytical service Spotgama.Puts and calls on the large-cap index are “very focused on the 4,000 strike,” Kochuba said in emailed comments to MarketWatch, adding that the recent turbulence in the markets suggests that traders may be underestimating That’s how volatile markets can be at the end of the year.The low level of liquidity, which is typical during the latter half of December, could weigh on stocks further as options dealers scramble to adjust their positions accordingly, said Garrett DeSimone, principal quant at Options Metrics.“Large hypothetical expirations can cause turbulence, especially during periods of increased volatility or constrained liquidity. When large amounts are flushed through gamma expirations, it is important for market makers to adjust their delta hedges. Rebalancing has to go through. This can lead to short-term volatility in the markets, which can lead to higher volatility,” DeSimone said.US stocks declined on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling over 750 points to book its worst day in three months. S&P 500 recorded its worst day in more than two months, while the Nasdaq Composite, It recorded its biggest decline since the beginning of November.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920187661,"gmtCreate":1670456583053,"gmtModify":1676538370466,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920187661","repostId":"2280358367","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2966,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987943073,"gmtCreate":1667801248492,"gmtModify":1676537965752,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987943073","repostId":"2281610820","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2281610820","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667807101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281610820?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-07 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281610820","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a h","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.</li><li>That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.</li><li>That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cc42f1e635803106456c259f171cff8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nonnie192</span></p><p>With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.</p><h2>Estimates MayBe Too Low</h2><p>Consensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September&#39;s reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September&#39;s 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4688576daa932d914779de59158c90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts&#39; consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac2f0dc543236e7ac4387176c853c7c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months&#39; headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34974181aab4ed5c801839bab47acdca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>So if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed&#39;s estimates.</p><p>Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680999db70541d03d341c9074f1a2a8e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><h2>Markets Appear Under-Hedged</h2><p>So another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month&#39;s CPI reading and last month&#39;s reading is that the market doesn&#39;t seem as hedged going into this month&#39;s inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month&#39;s more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a &#34;flash rally&#34; due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.</p><p>Going into last month&#39;s CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn&#39;t for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3da64ebd4e74bb6dcf4dddf886a4f609\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Following the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d064e948d4a633e9434c5251626603d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>However, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.</p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn&#39;t see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/538a1e63e167d56ab3086a446dae2147\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>That would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&amp;P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date.</p><p>Implied volatility for the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.</p><p>It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a91b7d0316f0ed9a2c0b6df36a775367\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Should investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.</p><p>At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-07 15:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281610820","content_text":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.nonnie192With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.Estimates MayBe Too LowConsensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September's reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September's 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.BloombergThe Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts' consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.BloombergThe problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months' headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.BloombergSo if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed's estimates.Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.BloombergMarkets Appear Under-HedgedSo another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month's CPI reading and last month's reading is that the market doesn't seem as hedged going into this month's inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month's more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a \"flash rally\" due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.Going into last month's CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn't for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.BloombergFollowing the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.BloombergHowever, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn't see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.BloombergThat would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date.Implied volatility for the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.BloombergShould investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIX":0.9,"VIXmain":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,"VIXY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9980629375,"gmtCreate":1665718498397,"gmtModify":1676537654865,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Can sunstain rally?","listText":"Can sunstain rally?","text":"Can sunstain rally?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9980629375","repostId":"1167309755","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167309755","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1665699849,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167309755?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-14 06:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167309755","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up","content":"<div>\n<p>What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That's exactly what happened this morning. But by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"wsj_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Did the U.S. Stock Market Move Higher?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-14 06:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That's exactly what happened this morning. But by ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-2022-10-13-cpi-report/card/some-reasons-why-stocks-are-higher-again-5UKdXNWEM7rsrCnqR39N?page=1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167309755","content_text":"What's driving the market's move higher? It's a puzzle.A hot inflation report would normally push up long-term interest rates and pull down stocks. That's exactly what happened this morning. But by midday stocks were powering higher, which continued into the afternoon.Some ideas:Stocks have been down a lot recently; maybe it was too much. The S&P 500 fell six consecutive trading days through Wednesday. If the index fell again today, it would have logged its longest losing streak since February 2020, according to Dow Jones Market Data. CappThesis' Frank Cappelleri notes that the market's six-day losing streak in July was the precursor to stocks' big summer rally. Collectively, traders may have decided positioning against the markets had gone too far.Enough bad news could be good news? Interest rates are the Federal Reserve's tool for changing the course of the economy, but it's a crude tool. Inflation was high, but no one was expecting it to be low. If inflation causes the Fed to tighten monetary policy too much, it would correct course by loosening monetary policy again. That would, in theory, be good news for stocks. (Although these interventions aren't necessarily straightforward or easy to pull off, as the Bank of England's recent interventions in British markets show.)Rent inflation may not be as bad as the CPI report showed. Rents are factored into the CPI on a lagging basis, Edward Jones senior investment strategist Mona Mahajan pointed out. That means the trend for shelter inflation might actually look better than it did in today's report, since rent prices are moderating in real time. \"The trends for inflation are moving in the right direction. There's a bit of sentiment that we're perhaps at peak inflation,\" Ms. Mahajan said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914153543,"gmtCreate":1665207024083,"gmtModify":1676537573616,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"😲 omg","listText":"😲 omg","text":"😲 omg","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914153543","repostId":"2273842318","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2273842318","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1665188829,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273842318?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-08 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rivian Is Recalling Nearly All of Its Vehicles","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273842318","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Rivian Automotive Inc. is recalling nearly all of its vehicles to repair a potential problem that could cause customers to lose steering control, the company said Friday.The electric truck and SUV maker said the recall was made after it discovered a fastener connecting the upper control arm and steering knuckle may have been improperly installed, the company said. In rare cases, the problem could lead to a loss of steering control, the company said.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Rivian Automotive Inc. is recalling nearly all of its vehicles to repair a potential problem that could cause customers to lose steering control, the company said Friday.</p><p>The electric truck and SUV maker said the recall was made after it discovered a fastener connecting the upper control arm and steering knuckle may have been improperly installed, the company said. In rare cases, the problem could lead to a loss of steering control, the company said.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rivian Is Recalling Nearly All of Its Vehicles</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRivian Is Recalling Nearly All of Its Vehicles\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-10-08 08:27</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Rivian Automotive Inc. is recalling nearly all of its vehicles to repair a potential problem that could cause customers to lose steering control, the company said Friday.</p><p>The electric truck and SUV maker said the recall was made after it discovered a fastener connecting the upper control arm and steering knuckle may have been improperly installed, the company said. In rare cases, the problem could lead to a loss of steering control, the company said.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4555":"新能源车","BK4099":"汽车制造商","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273842318","content_text":"Rivian Automotive Inc. is recalling nearly all of its vehicles to repair a potential problem that could cause customers to lose steering control, the company said Friday.The electric truck and SUV maker said the recall was made after it discovered a fastener connecting the upper control arm and steering knuckle may have been improperly installed, the company said. In rare cases, the problem could lead to a loss of steering control, the company said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIVN":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1748,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914153686,"gmtCreate":1665206967745,"gmtModify":1676537573612,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Good sharing&nbsp;","text":"Good sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914153686","repostId":"2273397323","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911004170,"gmtCreate":1664080380991,"gmtModify":1676537387936,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911004170","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937538666,"gmtCreate":1663465428356,"gmtModify":1676537273798,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937538666","repostId":"2268672370","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2268672370","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663460267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268672370?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-18 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268672370","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hike</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b4166c0ac7b0bdf7caa1837ef618a67\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Fed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.</span></p><p>The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.</p><p>“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.</p><p>U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&amp;P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&amp;P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.</p><p>A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.</p><p>Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.</p><p>Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.</p><p>The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.</p><p>Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.</p><p>William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”</p><p>Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.</p><p>“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.</p><p>The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&amp;P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.</p><p>“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.</p><p>“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-18 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268672370","content_text":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937538364,"gmtCreate":1663465399258,"gmtModify":1676537273790,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Cry]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;","listText":"[Cry]&nbsp;[Cry]&nbsp;","text":"[Cry] [Cry]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937538364","repostId":"2268605272","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1220,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933599990,"gmtCreate":1662311572010,"gmtModify":1676537034484,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933599990","repostId":"1174731052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174731052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662259842,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174731052?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-04 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174731052","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>SQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.</li><li>Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.</li><li>Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.</li></ul><p>Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.</p><p>In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility &#34;decay&#34; from daily rebalancings.</p><p><b>Fund Overview</b></p><p>As the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fff5d9cf3e686a0cfbbc881e341b99f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time Horizons</b></p><p>Investors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:</p><blockquote><i>Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares&#39; returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.</i></blockquote><p>What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.</p><p>For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.</p><p>Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.</p><p>Levered ETFs provide holders with &#34;<b><i>positive convexity&#34;</i></b>in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile Markets</b></p><p>The biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund&#39;s exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.</p><p>Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in &#34;value&#34; will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the &#34;decay.&#34;</p><p><b>Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-Term</b></p><p>Volatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.</p><p>Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799c3972388654e161203372280ae578\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)</p><p>Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>If investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility &#34;decay&#34; from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-04 10:50 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174731052","content_text":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancings.Fund OverviewAs the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time HorizonsInvestors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares' returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.Levered ETFs provide holders with \"positive convexity\"in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile MarketsThe biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund's exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in \"value\" will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the \"decay.\"Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-TermVolatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.ConclusionIf investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":747,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997610061,"gmtCreate":1661796436656,"gmtModify":1676536579557,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oil n gas still need for the world in the future","listText":"Oil n gas still need for the world in the future","text":"Oil n gas still need for the world in the future","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997610061","repostId":"2263399107","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1063,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990883650,"gmtCreate":1660328871773,"gmtModify":1676533451442,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575017486528287","idStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990883650","repostId":"1164969868","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164969868","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660317942,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164969868?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-12 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164969868","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-12 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164969868","content_text":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9928080494,"gmtCreate":1671150361819,"gmtModify":1676538499053,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9928080494","repostId":"2291168016","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2291168016","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1671148936,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2291168016?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-16 08:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291168016","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar co","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate up</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f364b30b0ddc76e531ee4f6d1228eedb\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"640\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over and a abundance of disinterestedness options and futures are set to expire.</span></p><p>Stocks have been on a agrarian ride this week, and altitude could still get weirder as traders brace for “quadruple witching” on Friday, while a flurry of disinterestedness options and futures affairs expire.</p><p>In particular, options affairs angry to $4 abundance in stocks, stock-index futures and exchange-traded payments are set to expire, authoritative Friday potentially the busiest day for options traders this year, in accordance to abstracts aggregate by Rocky Fishman, the arch of basis animation analysis at Goldman Sachs.</p><p>The term “quadruple witching” refers to days when a group of equity-linked options and futures contracts expire, such as tradestation telling. This only happens four times a year, once every quarter.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61ca827ef2d73c594ab99cd494f07b72\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Additionally, the biggest slug of equity options expires in December, and this year is no exception, Fishman said, as the $4 trillion expiring Friday is the largest option exposure since at least the beginning of the year.</p><p>Reliance on options by both retail and institutional traders has increased this year as traders turn to short-term contracts to try to profit from large, last-minute swings, according to Callie Cox, US. Investment Analyst at eToro.</p><p>“We’ve seen a lot of retail clients look to options at the end of the year to think about hedging and speculating,” Cox said, adding that on Friday “there was going to be a huge option expiration.”</p><p>Options involving $2.4 trillion in S&amp;P 500 index futures are expected to be the main event on Friday, with hundreds of thousands of contracts with strike prices centered around the 4,000 level set to expire, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of options analytical service Spotgama.</p><p>Puts and calls on the large-cap index are “very focused on the 4,000 strike,” Kochuba said in emailed comments to MarketWatch, adding that the recent turbulence in the markets suggests that traders may be underestimating That’s how volatile markets can be at the end of the year.</p><p>The low level of liquidity, which is typical during the latter half of December, could weigh on stocks further as options dealers scramble to adjust their positions accordingly, said Garrett DeSimone, principal quant at Options Metrics.</p><p>“Large hypothetical expirations can cause turbulence, especially during periods of increased volatility or constrained liquidity. When large amounts are flushed through gamma expirations, it is important for market makers to adjust their delta hedges. Rebalancing has to go through. This can lead to short-term volatility in the markets, which can lead to higher volatility,” DeSimone said.</p><p>US stocks declined on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling over 750 points to book its worst day in three months. S&amp;P 500 recorded its worst day in more than two months, while the Nasdaq Composite, It recorded its biggest decline since the beginning of November.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStocks Could Face Another Explosion of Volatility Friday As $4 Trillion of Options Expire in \"Quadruple Witching\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-16 08:02 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stocks-could-face-another-explosion-of-volatility-friday-as-4-trillion-of-options-expire-in-quadruple-witching-11671142359?mod=dist_amp_social&link=sfmw_tw&redirect=amp","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291168016","content_text":"Dow books affliction day in 3 month Thursday as recession fears rear alternate upThe banal bazaar could really-feel a little grumpier than accepted on Friday while “quadruple witching” rolls all over and a abundance of disinterestedness options and futures are set to expire.Stocks have been on a agrarian ride this week, and altitude could still get weirder as traders brace for “quadruple witching” on Friday, while a flurry of disinterestedness options and futures affairs expire.In particular, options affairs angry to $4 abundance in stocks, stock-index futures and exchange-traded payments are set to expire, authoritative Friday potentially the busiest day for options traders this year, in accordance to abstracts aggregate by Rocky Fishman, the arch of basis animation analysis at Goldman Sachs.The term “quadruple witching” refers to days when a group of equity-linked options and futures contracts expire, such as tradestation telling. This only happens four times a year, once every quarter.Additionally, the biggest slug of equity options expires in December, and this year is no exception, Fishman said, as the $4 trillion expiring Friday is the largest option exposure since at least the beginning of the year.Reliance on options by both retail and institutional traders has increased this year as traders turn to short-term contracts to try to profit from large, last-minute swings, according to Callie Cox, US. Investment Analyst at eToro.“We’ve seen a lot of retail clients look to options at the end of the year to think about hedging and speculating,” Cox said, adding that on Friday “there was going to be a huge option expiration.”Options involving $2.4 trillion in S&P 500 index futures are expected to be the main event on Friday, with hundreds of thousands of contracts with strike prices centered around the 4,000 level set to expire, according to Brent Kochuba, founder of options analytical service Spotgama.Puts and calls on the large-cap index are “very focused on the 4,000 strike,” Kochuba said in emailed comments to MarketWatch, adding that the recent turbulence in the markets suggests that traders may be underestimating That’s how volatile markets can be at the end of the year.The low level of liquidity, which is typical during the latter half of December, could weigh on stocks further as options dealers scramble to adjust their positions accordingly, said Garrett DeSimone, principal quant at Options Metrics.“Large hypothetical expirations can cause turbulence, especially during periods of increased volatility or constrained liquidity. When large amounts are flushed through gamma expirations, it is important for market makers to adjust their delta hedges. Rebalancing has to go through. This can lead to short-term volatility in the markets, which can lead to higher volatility,” DeSimone said.US stocks declined on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling over 750 points to book its worst day in three months. S&P 500 recorded its worst day in more than two months, while the Nasdaq Composite, It recorded its biggest decline since the beginning of November.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3398,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914153686,"gmtCreate":1665206967745,"gmtModify":1676537573612,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good sharing&nbsp;","listText":"Good sharing&nbsp;","text":"Good sharing","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914153686","repostId":"2273397323","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1952,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9902595088,"gmtCreate":1659718826649,"gmtModify":1704271850402,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going to moon","listText":"Going to moon","text":"Going to moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9902595088","repostId":"1149987383","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149987383","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1659711444,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149987383?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-05 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow Edges Into Positive Territory As Stocks Erase Early Losses","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149987383","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded following an earlier loss in the wake of a July jobs repo","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded following an earlier loss in the wake of a July jobs report that was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed just 3 points after being down more than 200 points. Bank stocks led the intraday comeback as rates surged from the strong jobs report. The S&amp;P 500 was flat after earlier losing about 1%. The Nasdaq Composite was down about 0.1%.</p><p>The labor market added 528,000 jobs in July,easily beating a Dow Jones estimate of a 258,000 increase. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, below the 3.6% estimate. Wage growth also ticked up more than estimated, up 0.5% for the month and 5.2% higher than a year ago, signaling that high inflation is likely still a problem.</p><p>Stocks opened lower following the report, even as it seemed to indicate the economy was not currently in a recession.</p><p>“Anybody that jumped on the ‘Fed is going to pivot next year and start cutting rates’ is going to have to get off at the next station, because that’s not in the cards,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. “It is clearly a situation where the economy is not screeching or heading into a recession here and now.”</p><p>Job growth was expected to slow as the Fed continues to hike interest rates to tame surging inflation, but this report shows a labor market still running hot. The report is a crucial one as it’s one of two the central bank will see before it decides how much to raise rates at its September meeting.</p><p>Major averages posted their best month since 2020 in July on the hope the Fed would slow the pace of its hikes. The S&amp;P 500 added 9.1% last month.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow Edges Into Positive Territory As Stocks Erase Early Losses</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow Edges Into Positive Territory As Stocks Erase Early Losses\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-05 22:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded following an earlier loss in the wake of a July jobs report that was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed just 3 points after being down more than 200 points. Bank stocks led the intraday comeback as rates surged from the strong jobs report. The S&amp;P 500 was flat after earlier losing about 1%. The Nasdaq Composite was down about 0.1%.</p><p>The labor market added 528,000 jobs in July,easily beating a Dow Jones estimate of a 258,000 increase. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, below the 3.6% estimate. Wage growth also ticked up more than estimated, up 0.5% for the month and 5.2% higher than a year ago, signaling that high inflation is likely still a problem.</p><p>Stocks opened lower following the report, even as it seemed to indicate the economy was not currently in a recession.</p><p>“Anybody that jumped on the ‘Fed is going to pivot next year and start cutting rates’ is going to have to get off at the next station, because that’s not in the cards,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. “It is clearly a situation where the economy is not screeching or heading into a recession here and now.”</p><p>Job growth was expected to slow as the Fed continues to hike interest rates to tame surging inflation, but this report shows a labor market still running hot. The report is a crucial one as it’s one of two the central bank will see before it decides how much to raise rates at its September meeting.</p><p>Major averages posted their best month since 2020 in July on the hope the Fed would slow the pace of its hikes. The S&amp;P 500 added 9.1% last month.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149987383","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded following an earlier loss in the wake of a July jobs report that was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed just 3 points after being down more than 200 points. Bank stocks led the intraday comeback as rates surged from the strong jobs report. The S&P 500 was flat after earlier losing about 1%. The Nasdaq Composite was down about 0.1%.The labor market added 528,000 jobs in July,easily beating a Dow Jones estimate of a 258,000 increase. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5%, below the 3.6% estimate. Wage growth also ticked up more than estimated, up 0.5% for the month and 5.2% higher than a year ago, signaling that high inflation is likely still a problem.Stocks opened lower following the report, even as it seemed to indicate the economy was not currently in a recession.“Anybody that jumped on the ‘Fed is going to pivot next year and start cutting rates’ is going to have to get off at the next station, because that’s not in the cards,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. “It is clearly a situation where the economy is not screeching or heading into a recession here and now.”Job growth was expected to slow as the Fed continues to hike interest rates to tame surging inflation, but this report shows a labor market still running hot. The report is a crucial one as it’s one of two the central bank will see before it decides how much to raise rates at its September meeting.Major averages posted their best month since 2020 in July on the hope the Fed would slow the pace of its hikes. The S&P 500 added 9.1% last month.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1481,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9952973769,"gmtCreate":1674408471252,"gmtModify":1676538939560,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌ok","listText":"👌ok","text":"👌ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9952973769","repostId":"2305911458","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2305911458","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1674381147,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2305911458?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-22 17:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Microsoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2305911458","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimat","content":"<div>\n<p>Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Microsoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicrosoft Kicks Off Tech Earnings Set to Slump Most Since 2016\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-01-22 17:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","MSFT":"微软","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/microsoft-kicks-off-tech-earnings-153000956.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2305911458","content_text":"Tech companies are cutting costs into crucial reporting seasonAnalysts have slashed earnings estimates on sector for months(Bloomberg) -- US technology stocks are about to hit their next hurdle when earnings season for the most influential segment of the S&P 500 Index gets underway in the coming week: vanishing profits.The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Stock Index enters this crucial stretch amid a darkening backdrop that short-circuited a strong start to the year. Underscoring the risks ahead, Microsoft Corp., which kicks off the group’s reporting Tuesday, joined Amazon.com Inc. in starting to cut thousands of jobs this week as sales slow. Google parent Alphabet Inc. followed with plans of its own to shrink its workforce.Wall Street has been slashing earnings estimates for months for the tech sector, which is projected to be the biggest drag on S&P 500 profits in the fourth quarter, data compiled by Bloomberg Intelligence show. The danger for investors, however, is that analysts still prove too optimistic, with demand for the industry’s products crumbling as the economy cools.“Tech is driving a lot of the overall earnings recession that we’re seeing in the S&P,” said Michael Casper, an equity strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. “While there’s a lot baked in, depending on if this recession does emerge and how badly it occurs, there is certainly some negative revision risk for the sector still.”Firms including Texas Instruments Inc., Lam Research Corp. and Intel Corp. also report next week. Apple Inc., Alphabet and other behemoths announce the week after. The group has huge sway over the path of the overall market, with info-tech accounting for more than 25% of the S&P 500’s market capitalization.Fourth-quarter earnings for tech firms in the benchmark are projected to drop 9.2% from the same period a year earlier, the steepest slide since 2016, data compiled by BI show. The speed of the deterioration in sentiment is notable: Three months ago, Wall Street merely saw profits coming in flat.Revenue growth for these companies is fading relative to the past couple of years, when the pandemic and ensuing lockdowns supercharged sales for everything from digital services to personal computers and the components that power them. Higher costs are also squeezing profits.Valuation ConcernsThe concern, however, is that valuations are still far from cheap despite last year’s 33% tumble in the Nasdaq 100. The gauge is priced at about 21 times profits projected over the next 12 months, compared with an average of 20.5 for the past decade, and further estimate cuts would only make it look more expensive. The multiple bottomed at 17.7 in 2020 and at 11.3 in 2011, in the wake of the recession that ended in 2009.Still, for Sameer Bhasin, principal at Value Point Capital, most of the bad news has been priced in. He anticipates that first-quarter profit estimates may have further to fall, but says some of the fears are overblown.“Tech isn’t suffering from an industry demand issue, it’s suffering more from a digestion of the excesses that were built in during the pandemic,” he said. “There’s money on the sidelines that is waiting to be put back into the sector.”Analysts anticipate that tech profits will return to growth in the second half of the year, data compiled by BI show. That will make executives’ outlooks for the full year all the more critical for stocks.As earnings roll in over the next few weeks, investors will have plenty of risks to monitor.Among them are the possibility that inflation proves to be more entrenched than many expect, as well as the effect of higher rates on profits, says Nick Getaz, a portfolio manager of the Franklin Rising Dividends Fund.“Monetary policy has a lag and we’re likely still in the window of that,” he said. “We haven’t seen the earnings impact you’d expect to see from rate hikes.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"MSFT":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9937538666,"gmtCreate":1663465428356,"gmtModify":1676537273798,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok&nbsp;","listText":"Ok&nbsp;","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9937538666","repostId":"2268672370","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2268672370","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1663460267,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2268672370?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-18 08:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2268672370","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hike</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5b4166c0ac7b0bdf7caa1837ef618a67\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"487\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Fed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.</span></p><p>The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.</p><p>“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.</p><p>U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&amp;P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&amp;P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.</p><p>A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.</p><p>Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.</p><p>Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.</p><p>The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.</p><p>Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.</p><p>William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”</p><p>Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.</p><p>“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.</p><p>The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.</p><p>The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&amp;P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p>Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.</p><p>“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”</p><p>Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.</p><p>“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan the Fed Tame Inflation Without Further Crushing the Stock Market? What Investors Need to Know\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-18 08:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-isnt-trying-to-wreck-the-stock-market-as-it-wrestles-with-inflation-but-it-isnt-going-to-ride-to-the-rescue-11663366540?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2268672370","content_text":"Investors should brace for more volatility with policy makers expected to deliver another jumbo rate hikeFed Chair Jerome Powell says bringing down inflation will cause pain for households and businesses.The Federal Reserve isn’t trying to slam the stock market as it rapidly raises interest rates in its bid to slow inflation still running red hot — but investors need to be prepared for more pain and volatility because policy makers aren’t going to be cowed by a deepening selloff, investors and strategists said.“I don’t think they’re necessarily trying to drive inflation down by destroying stock prices or bond prices, but it is having that effect.” said Tim Courtney, chief investment officer at Exencial Wealth Advisors, in an interview.U.S. stocks fell sharply in the past week after hopes for a pronounced cooling in inflation were dashed by a hotter-than-expected August inflation reading. The data cemented expectations among fed-funds futures traders for a rate hike of at least 75 basis points when the Fed concludes its policy meeting on Sept. 21, with some traders and analysts looking for an increase of 100 basis points, or a full percentage point.The Dow Jones Industrial Average logged a 4.1% weekly fall, while the S&P 500 dropped 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite suffered a 5.5% decline. The S&P 500 ended Friday below the 3,900 level viewed as an important area of technical support, with some chart watchers eyeing the potential for a test of the large-cap benchmark’s 2022 low at 3,666.77 set on June 16.A profit warning from global shipping giant and economic bellwether FedEx Corp. further stoked recession fears, contributing to stock-market losses on Friday.Treasurys also fell, with yield on the 2-year Treasury note soaring to a nearly 15-year high above 3.85% on expectations the Fed will continue pushing rates higher in coming months. Yields rise as prices fall.Investors are operating in an environment where the central bank’s need to rein in stubborn inflation is widely seen having eliminated the notion of a figurative “Fed put” on the stock market.The concept of a Fed put has been around since at least the October 1987 stock-market crash prompted the Alan Greenspan-led central bank to lower interest rates. An actual put option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying asset at a set level, known as the strike price, serving as an insurance policy against a market decline.Some economists and analysts have even suggested the Fed should welcome or even aim for market losses, which could serve to tighten financial conditions as investors scale back spending.William Dudley, the former president of the New York Fed, argued earlier this year that the central bank won’t get a handle on inflation that’s running near a 40-year high unless they make investors suffer. “It’s hard to know how much the Federal Reserve will need to do to get inflation under control,” wrote Dudley in a Bloomberg column in April. “But one thing is certain: to be effective, it’ll have to inflict more losses on stock and bond investors than it has so far.”Some market participants aren’t convinced. Aoifinn Devitt, chief investment officer at Moneta,said the Fed likely sees stock-market volatility as a byproduct of its efforts to tighten monetary policy, not an objective.“They recognize that stocks can be collateral damage in a tightening cycle,” but that doesn’t mean that stocks “have to collapse,” Devitt said.The Fed, however, is prepared to tolerate seeing markets decline and the economy slow and even tip into recession as it focuses on taming inflation, she said.The Federal Reserve held the fed funds target rate at a range of 0% to 0.25% between 2008 and 2015, as it dealt with the financial crisis and its aftermath. The Fed also cut rates to near zero again in March 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. With a rock-bottom interest rate, the Dow skyrocketed over 40%, while the large-cap index S&P 500 jumped over 60% between March 2020 and December 2021, according to Dow Jones Market Data.Investors got used to “the tailwind for over a decade with falling interest rates” while looking for the Fed to step in with its “put” should the going get rocky, said Courtney at Exencial Wealth Advisors.“I think (now) the Fed message is ‘you’re not gonna get this tailwind anymore’,” Courtney told MarketWatch on Thursday. “I think markets can grow, but they’re gonna have to grow on their own because the markets are like a greenhouse where the temperatures have to be kept at a certain level all day and all night, and I think that’s the message that markets can and should grow on their own without the greenhouse effect.”Meanwhile, the Fed’s aggressive stance means investors should be prepared for what may be a “few more daily stabs downward” that could eventually prove to be a “final big flush,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, in a Thursday note.“This may sound odd, but if that happens swiftly, meaning within the next couple months, that actually becomes the bull case in my view,” she said. “It could be a quick and painful drop, resulting in a renewed move higher later in the year that’s more durable, as inflation falls more notably.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9044797401,"gmtCreate":1656814285103,"gmtModify":1676535898293,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌ok","listText":"👌ok","text":"👌ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044797401","repostId":"2248980919","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2248980919","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1656848586,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2248980919?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-03 19:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2248980919","media":"Reuters","summary":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second q","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Q2 Deliveries Slump To 254,695 Amid Supply Chain, Pandemic Problems\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-07-03 19:43</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.</p><p>In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.</p><p>Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China&#39;s prolonged lockdown.</p><p>Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.</p><p>Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla&#39;s history, the company said in a news release.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b06a0b120caa4763851aba5807bfe85b\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2248980919","content_text":"July 2 (Reuters) - Tesla Inc said on Saturday its vehicle deliveries fell to 254,695 in the second quarter, as a COVID-related shutdown in Shanghai hit its production and supply chain.In the preceding quarter, the U.S. electric car maker delivered 310,048 vehicles globally.Analysts had expected Tesla to report deliveries of 295,078 vehicles for the April to June period, according to Refinitiv data. Several analysts had slashed their estimates further to about 250,000 due to China's prolonged lockdown.Tesla said it delivered 238,533 Model 3 compact cars and Model Y sport-utility vehicles, as well as 16,162 of its Model S and Model X vehicles to customers in the quarter.Total production fell 15.3% to 258,580 vehicles from the first quarter. June 2022 was the highest vehicle production month in Tesla's history, the company said in a news release.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":826,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9911004170,"gmtCreate":1664080380991,"gmtModify":1676537387936,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9911004170","repostId":"2269490734","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2269490734","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1664066508,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2269490734?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-25 08:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2269490734","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>If You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIf You're Selling Stocks Because the Fed Is Hiking Interest Rates, You May Be Suffering From “Inflation Illusion”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-25 08:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.</p><p>Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.</p><p>It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market&#39;s decline this past week following the Federal Reserve&#39;s most recent interest-rate hike announcement.</p><p>To show why higher interest rates aren&#39;t necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:</p><p>If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model&#39;s track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.</p><p>It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market&#39;s subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University&#39;s finance professor Robert Shiller.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64984acf0f40a1a5e886ef773747472a\" tg-width=\"939\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>In other words, the ability to predict the stock market&#39;s five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.</p><h3>Money illusion</h3><p>These results are so surprising that it&#39;s important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years&#39; corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it&#39;s only half the story.</p><p>The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as &#34;inflation illusion&#34; -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.</p><p>According to research conducted by Warr, inflation&#39;s impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.</p><p>Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed&#39;s latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.</p><p>None of this means that the bear market shouldn&#39;t continue, or that equities aren&#39;t overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2269490734","content_text":"Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market.Forget everything you think you know about the relationship between interest rates and the stock market. Take the notion that higher interest rates are bad for the stock market, which is almost universally believed on Wall Street. Plausible as this is, it is surprisingly difficult to support it empirically.It would be important to challenge this notion at any time, but especially in light of the U.S. market's decline this past week following the Federal Reserve's most recent interest-rate hike announcement.To show why higher interest rates aren't necessarily bad for equities, I compared the predictive power of the following two valuation indicators:If higher interest rates were always bad for stocks, then the Fed Model's track record would be superior to that of the earnings yield.It is not, as you can see from the table below. The table reports a statistic known as the r-squared, which reflects the degree to which one data series (in this case, the earnings yield or the Fed Model) predicts changes in a second series (in this case, the stock market's subsequent inflation-adjusted real return). The table reflects the U.S. stock market back to 1871, courtesy of data provided by Yale University's finance professor Robert Shiller.In other words, the ability to predict the stock market's five- and 10-year returns goes down when taking interest rates into account.Money illusionThese results are so surprising that it's important to explore why the conventional wisdom is wrong. That wisdom is based on the eminently plausible argument that higher interest rates mean that future years' corporate earnings must be discounted at a higher rate when calculating their present value. While that argument is not wrong, Richard Warr,  a finance professor at North Carolina State University, told me, it's only half the story.The other half of this story is that interest rates tend to be higher when inflation is higher, and average nominal earnings tend to grow faster in higher-inflation environments. Failing to appreciate this other half of the story is a fundamental mistake in economics known as \"inflation illusion\" -- confusing nominal with real, or inflation-adjusted, values.According to research conducted by Warr, inflation's impact on nominal earnings and the discount rate largely cancel each other out over time. While earnings tend to grow faster when inflation is higher, they must be more heavily discounted when calculating their present value.Investors were guilty of inflation illusion when they reacted to the Fed's latest interest rate announcement by selling stocks.None of this means that the bear market shouldn't continue, or that equities aren't overvalued. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are still overvalued, despite the much cheaper prices wrought by the bear market. The point of this discussion is that higher interest rates are not an additional reason, above and beyond the other factors affecting the stock market, why the market should fall.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990883650,"gmtCreate":1660328871773,"gmtModify":1676533451442,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990883650","repostId":"1164969868","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164969868","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1660317942,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164969868?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-12 23:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164969868","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stocks Cheered up in Morning Trading; Nasdaq Surged Over 1% While Dow Jones Rose Over 0.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-12 23:25</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&amp;P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68625f63d63d5cc6fbbc9a17a1d26290\" tg-width=\"625\" tg-height=\"120\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164969868","content_text":"U.S. stocks cheered up in morning trading. Nasdaq surged 1.29%; S&P500 jumped 0.89% while Dow Jones rose 0.56%.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088772623,"gmtCreate":1650388817017,"gmtModify":1676534711859,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[Smug]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","listText":"[Smug]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;[Smug]&nbsp;","text":"[Smug] [Smug] [Smug]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088772623","repostId":"1196160940","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196160940","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1650381182,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196160940?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-19 23:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Gained More than 1.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196160940","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading. Nasdaq gained 1.64% while Dow Jones and S&P500 gained ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading. Nasdaq gained 1.64% while Dow Jones and S&amp;P500 gained 1.06%,1.24% separately.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e442b8b8c8099f5b7fbd65511edb02d\" tg-width=\"526\" tg-height=\"116\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Gained More than 1.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading, Nasdaq Gained More than 1.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-04-19 23:13</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading. Nasdaq gained 1.64% while Dow Jones and S&amp;P500 gained 1.06%,1.24% separately.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e442b8b8c8099f5b7fbd65511edb02d\" tg-width=\"526\" tg-height=\"116\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196160940","content_text":"U.S. Stock Jumped Over 1% in Morning Trading. Nasdaq gained 1.64% while Dow Jones and S&P500 gained 1.06%,1.24% separately.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":668,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987943073,"gmtCreate":1667801248492,"gmtModify":1676537965752,"author":{"id":"3575017486528287","authorId":"3575017486528287","name":"Heokbt","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e4a32658a9c53e0c3578d1dc37b1d6a","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575017486528287","authorIdStr":"3575017486528287"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 ok","listText":"👍 ok","text":"👍 ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987943073","repostId":"2281610820","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2281610820","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1667807101,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2281610820?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-07 15:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2281610820","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a h","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>The stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.</li><li>That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.</li><li>That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0cc42f1e635803106456c259f171cff8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>nonnie192</span></p><p>With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.</p><h2>Estimates MayBe Too Low</h2><p>Consensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September&#39;s reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September&#39;s 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd4688576daa932d914779de59158c90\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts&#39; consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac2f0dc543236e7ac4387176c853c7c5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months&#39; headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34974181aab4ed5c801839bab47acdca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>So if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed&#39;s estimates.</p><p>Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/680999db70541d03d341c9074f1a2a8e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><h2>Markets Appear Under-Hedged</h2><p>So another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month&#39;s CPI reading and last month&#39;s reading is that the market doesn&#39;t seem as hedged going into this month&#39;s inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month&#39;s more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a &#34;flash rally&#34; due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.</p><p>Going into last month&#39;s CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn&#39;t for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3da64ebd4e74bb6dcf4dddf886a4f609\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"362\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Following the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d064e948d4a633e9434c5251626603d9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>However, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.</p><p>The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn&#39;t see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/538a1e63e167d56ab3086a446dae2147\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"251\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>That would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&amp;P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date.</p><p>Implied volatility for the November 10 S&amp;P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.</p><p>It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a91b7d0316f0ed9a2c0b6df36a775367\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"372\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Bloomberg</span></p><p>Should investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.</p><p>At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe U.S. CPI Report Could Deliver A Massive Shock To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-07 15:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","VIX":"标普500波动率指数","VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4553867-cpi-report-massive-shock-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2281610820","content_text":"SummaryThe stock market appears to be hedging only for the CPI day of risk.That may be a problem because the CPI estimates appear to be too low.That means stocks may be vulnerable to a big drop on a hot CPI report this week.nonnie192With the consumer price index on deck, it will be another big week for markets. The CPI report has been a market-moving event for the last few months, and the October report comes Thursday, November 10.Estimates MayBe Too LowConsensus estimates may prove too low again for both headline and core CPI. For October, CPI is estimated to have risen by 7.9%, down from September's reading of 8.2%. Meanwhile, core CPI is estimated to have increased by 6.5%, down from September's 6.6%. The problem is that CPI and core CPI have met or beaten estimates in 10 out of the last 12 months.BloombergThe Cleveland Fed is forecasting much higher inflation than current consensus estimates. For headline CPI, the Cleveland Fed indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.1%; for core CPI, it estimates 6.6%. If the Cleveland Fed is correct, analysts' consensus estimates may prove too low and by as much as 0.2% for CPI and 0.1% for core CPI.BloombergThe problem is that the Cleveland Fed has historically underestimated the actual CPI results. Over the last 19 months' headline, CPI has beaten the Cleveland Fed estimates 16 times, and core CPI has come hotter than the Cleveland Fed estimates 14 times.BloombergSo if the consensus estimates for headline inflation are 7.9% and the Cleveland Fed is at 8.1%, there is a good chance that headline CPI could come in significantly higher than the consensus and may even be higher than the Cleveland Fed's estimates.Meanwhile, consensus estimates for core CPI are 6.5%, and the Cleveland Fed estimates 6.6%; there is a good chance that core also beats.BloombergMarkets Appear Under-HedgedSo another hotter-than-expected CPI would undoubtedly be a shocker to markets and could create a lot of volatility. The difference between this month's CPI reading and last month's reading is that the market doesn't seem as hedged going into this month's inflation readout. So a hotter-than-expected CPI could have a much different outcome than last month's more than 2% decline at the open, followed by a \"flash rally\" due to melting implied volatility and short-covering; in that case, the market appears to have been over-hedged.Going into last month's CPI reading, the VIX was trading well above 30. This month the VIX is trading around 25. The only time this value was lower since April was heading into the August CPI report when it was trading around 20. Perhaps because the market feels that the next FOMC meeting isn't for a month, there is no need to worry about monetary policy impacts. However, a hotter-than-expected CPI will likely ramp up the hawkish rhetoric and could even put a 75 bps rate hike for December back on the table.BloombergFollowing the hotter-than-expected September reading, the market started to price in odds for a 75 bps rate hike at the December meeting. But that expectation began to cool around October 20.BloombergHowever, a hotter-than-expected print would likely put the discussion for a 75 bps rate back on the table. Because the next FOMC meeting is scheduled for December 13 and 14, and the next CPI release date is scheduledfor December 13.The problem is that the Cleveland Fed doesn't see CPI for November coming down. Currently, the estimates for November are 8.1%. This means that a reading that comes in below expectations for November is unlikely to have much influence at that point because the Fed will want to see consecutive months of falling inflation rates before thinking differently about monetary policy.BloombergThat would suggest that following a hotter-than-expected October CPI, investors are likely to scramble to buy longer-dated hedges than what they have done currently. Based on the S&P 500 current implied volatility term structure, it would appear that investors are hedging for the risk of a hotter-than-expected inflation reading but doing so using the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date.Implied volatility for the November 10 S&P 500 expiration date for an at-the-money option is elevated relative to the volatility of the dates before and after the CPI report. The market is currently thinking only about the actual CPI print but not thinking about the potential impacts of what comes after the report.It is also potentially why the VIX is depressed, as investors hedge for the day of risk but not after the fact risk. This means if the next CPI report and the FOMC are at the same time, investors may scramble to buy that protection 30 days from now, pushing the VIX index up.BloombergShould investors scramble to put hedges in place after a hotter-than-expected CPI report, it is a potential headwind for stocks, as rising implied volatility pushes equity prices lower.At this point, the market may be overlooking the risk of this October CPI report this Thursday. And should it come in hotter than expected, the downside risk to equity markets is significant, and the VIX would likely surge much higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"VIX":0.9,"VIXmain":0.6,".IXIC":0.9,"VIXY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}