迷恋者 personal page - To The Moon

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2021-09-18

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2021-09-08

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Multiple indicators in the United States are sounding the alarm!

2021-09-03

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A dramatic change in the currency market: there are so many US dollars that the market doesn't want them.

2021-08-16

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2021-07-15

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2021-07-12

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2022-12-23

4mrmrmrm

2022-03-09

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2022-01-30

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US stocks plummeted at the start of the year; should we take the plunge? Wall Street bigwigs are very divided.

2021-09-19

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Go to Tiger App to see more news

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15:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Multiple indicators in the United States are sounding the alarm!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2165994363","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美国人曾憧憬，这个夏天经济能回归常态，上班族回到办公室，孩子们重返校园，街角的咖啡店再次开业。但一切事与愿违，随着疫情复燃，复苏在8月踩下了急刹车。\n上周五，让人大跌眼镜的非农就业数据带来了最直接的报","content":"<p>Americans had hoped that this summer the economy would return to normal, with office workers returning to the office, children returning to school, and street corner coffee shops reopening. But things didn't go as planned. With the resurgence of the epidemic, the recovery came to a sudden halt in August.</p><p><b>Last Friday, the surprising non-farm payrolls data provided the most direct warning signal.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by only 235,000 in August, a significant miss the market expectation of 733,000, down from about 1 million in June and July, marking the smallest increase since January 2021.</p><p>In August, the University of Michigan consumer confidence index also fell to its lowest level in 10 years, as the spreading Delta variant of the virus and rising inflation worried Americans.</p><p>According to data released by Johns Hopkins University, as of 6 p.m. Eastern Time on September 7, 2021, the United States had reported 40,238,083 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 650,345 deaths.</p><p><b>Over the past week, the United States has averaged more than 161,000 new cases per day, 1,560 new deaths, and an average of more than 102,000 hospitalizations per day, only slightly lower than the peak of last winter.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c5b880f937edae73659acd8fa2e181\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Image source: Worldometers)</p><p><h2>\"Uncertainty and anxiety are back.\"</h2>Amid the resurgence of the pandemic, offices and schools in the United States have postponed their reopening, and travel and performance plans have been canceled.</p><p><b>Starting in August, including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Companies of all sizes have abandoned plans to reopen their offices, with some even postponing the return date until 2022.</b></p><p>Official data shows that by mid-July, the number of tourists visiting Hawaii had recovered to near pre-pandemic levels, down only about 10% from the same period in 2019. However, the pace slowed down starting in August, and in the last seven days of August, the average number of daily tourist arrivals decreased by 34% compared to 2019.</p><p>Data from market research firm TOP shows that cinema attendance dropped by more than half at the end of August compared to the peak of the pandemic in mid-July. Paramount Pictures has delayed the release of Top Gun: Makeover and Mission: Impossible 7.</p><p>Meanwhile, many schools in the United States have closed or resumed online classes.</p><p>The Wall Street Journal quoted Columbia Business School economist Stephan Meier as saying that the reopening of schools should have been an important moment for the economy. With about a quarter of households having school-aged children, reliable childcare can get many Americans, especially women, back into the workforce. But for now, the Delta variant and the lack of a vaccine for children under 12 may make some parents reluctant to leave home to work.</p><p><b>Meier stated, \"The uncertainty and anxiety we experienced last year are back, and this uncertainty is enough to suppress labor supply.\"</b></p><p><h2>Institutions have lowered their US economic growth forecasts.</h2>Economists believe the Delta variant will not push the United States back into recession, but the loss of growth momentum could prolong the recovery of millions of jobs lost during the pandemic, keep many job markets on the sidelines, and discourage businesses from investing amid new uncertainties.</p><p>In the report released this Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP growth forecast for this year to 5.7% and raised its unemployment rate forecast from 4.1% to 4.2%. This marks the third time in less than three months that Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP forecast for this year.</p><p>In explaining why they lowered their forecasts this week, Goldman Sachs economists cited several key factors.<b>It is expected that due to the spread of the Delta variant of the virus, weakening government fiscal support, and a shift in demand from goods to services, U.S. consumers may reduce spending, resulting in a more severe consumption situation than previously anticipated.</b></p><p>\"There appear to be far more obstacles to strong consumption growth in the future: the Delta variant is already putting pressure on growth in the third quarter, fiscal stimulus is decreasing, and the recovery in the service sector is slowing down. These will all be negative factors in the medium term.\" Earlier this month,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It also significantly lowered its third-quarter US GDP forecast, from 6.5% to only 2.9%, while maintaining its fourth-quarter GDP forecast at 6.7%. After lowering its third-quarter GDP forecast, Morgan Stanley's full-year U.S. GDP growth forecast for this year is 5.6%, which is lower than Goldman Sachs' lowered full-year growth forecast this week.</p><p>Morgan Stanley said at the time,<b>The downward expectation is mainly due to the fact that the momentum of economic growth has been released ahead of schedule, the government's stimulus spending has reduced its economic impact, and supply chain bottlenecks continue to drag down the economy, resulting in a decrease in consumer spending on large durable goods such as automobiles.</b></p><p><h2>US stocks have fallen for two consecutive days; a bigger test lies ahead.</h2>On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 200 points, hitting a new closing low since August 19 and its biggest closing drop since August 18. The S&P 500 closed down 0.34% at 4520.03 points, a new low since August 27.</p><p>This marks the second consecutive day of declines for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500, following the release of last Friday's far-below-expected non-farm payroll report. Even the three-day long weekend, including Monday, failed to mitigate the decline in most US stock sectors. Both US stock and Treasury prices fell during the session, Treasury Bond yields rose, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since mid-July.</p><p>Analysts point out that amid the rampant Delta variant virus, the market is reassessing the prospects for U.S. economic growth and its impact on corporate profits.</p><p><b>As U.S. fiscal stimulus measures gradually withdraw, the U.S. economic recovery will face further tests.</b></p><p>This week, more than 7.5 million Americans will lose an additional $300 a week in unemployment benefits during the pandemic.<b>In addition to the cessation of pandemic subsidies, risk factors such as tax increases and debt increases have also brought additional challenges to the US economy.</b></p><p>Wall Street Insights previously mentioned that although the U.S. Congress seems likely to pass an infrastructure bill this fall, the economic impact of the recent stimulus package is relatively limited compared to the multiple rounds of stimulus plans launched since March 2020.</p><p>The U.S. Congress may vote to raise taxes on businesses and high-income individuals, which would offset the boost from spending—another short-term risk facing the market.</p><p>Meanwhile, US stocks may also be affected by the debt ceiling increase this fall. The U.S. Congress needs to raise government funds later this month by raising the debt ceiling, as well as a temporary spending bill to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Multiple indicators in the United States are sounding the alarm!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMultiple indicators in the United States are sounding the alarm!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-08 15:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Americans had hoped that this summer the economy would return to normal, with office workers returning to the office, children returning to school, and street corner coffee shops reopening. But things didn't go as planned. With the resurgence of the epidemic, the recovery came to a sudden halt in August.</p><p><b>Last Friday, the surprising non-farm payrolls data provided the most direct warning signal.</b>U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by only 235,000 in August, a significant miss the market expectation of 733,000, down from about 1 million in June and July, marking the smallest increase since January 2021.</p><p>In August, the University of Michigan consumer confidence index also fell to its lowest level in 10 years, as the spreading Delta variant of the virus and rising inflation worried Americans.</p><p>According to data released by Johns Hopkins University, as of 6 p.m. Eastern Time on September 7, 2021, the United States had reported 40,238,083 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 650,345 deaths.</p><p><b>Over the past week, the United States has averaged more than 161,000 new cases per day, 1,560 new deaths, and an average of more than 102,000 hospitalizations per day, only slightly lower than the peak of last winter.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7c5b880f937edae73659acd8fa2e181\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>(Image source: Worldometers)</p><p><h2>\"Uncertainty and anxiety are back.\"</h2>Amid the resurgence of the pandemic, offices and schools in the United States have postponed their reopening, and travel and performance plans have been canceled.</p><p><b>Starting in August, including<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Companies of all sizes have abandoned plans to reopen their offices, with some even postponing the return date until 2022.</b></p><p>Official data shows that by mid-July, the number of tourists visiting Hawaii had recovered to near pre-pandemic levels, down only about 10% from the same period in 2019. However, the pace slowed down starting in August, and in the last seven days of August, the average number of daily tourist arrivals decreased by 34% compared to 2019.</p><p>Data from market research firm TOP shows that cinema attendance dropped by more than half at the end of August compared to the peak of the pandemic in mid-July. Paramount Pictures has delayed the release of Top Gun: Makeover and Mission: Impossible 7.</p><p>Meanwhile, many schools in the United States have closed or resumed online classes.</p><p>The Wall Street Journal quoted Columbia Business School economist Stephan Meier as saying that the reopening of schools should have been an important moment for the economy. With about a quarter of households having school-aged children, reliable childcare can get many Americans, especially women, back into the workforce. But for now, the Delta variant and the lack of a vaccine for children under 12 may make some parents reluctant to leave home to work.</p><p><b>Meier stated, \"The uncertainty and anxiety we experienced last year are back, and this uncertainty is enough to suppress labor supply.\"</b></p><p><h2>Institutions have lowered their US economic growth forecasts.</h2>Economists believe the Delta variant will not push the United States back into recession, but the loss of growth momentum could prolong the recovery of millions of jobs lost during the pandemic, keep many job markets on the sidelines, and discourage businesses from investing amid new uncertainties.</p><p>In the report released this Monday,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP growth forecast for this year to 5.7% and raised its unemployment rate forecast from 4.1% to 4.2%. This marks the third time in less than three months that Goldman Sachs has lowered its U.S. GDP forecast for this year.</p><p>In explaining why they lowered their forecasts this week, Goldman Sachs economists cited several key factors.<b>It is expected that due to the spread of the Delta variant of the virus, weakening government fiscal support, and a shift in demand from goods to services, U.S. consumers may reduce spending, resulting in a more severe consumption situation than previously anticipated.</b></p><p>\"There appear to be far more obstacles to strong consumption growth in the future: the Delta variant is already putting pressure on growth in the third quarter, fiscal stimulus is decreasing, and the recovery in the service sector is slowing down. These will all be negative factors in the medium term.\" Earlier this month,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It also significantly lowered its third-quarter US GDP forecast, from 6.5% to only 2.9%, while maintaining its fourth-quarter GDP forecast at 6.7%. After lowering its third-quarter GDP forecast, Morgan Stanley's full-year U.S. GDP growth forecast for this year is 5.6%, which is lower than Goldman Sachs' lowered full-year growth forecast this week.</p><p>Morgan Stanley said at the time,<b>The downward expectation is mainly due to the fact that the momentum of economic growth has been released ahead of schedule, the government's stimulus spending has reduced its economic impact, and supply chain bottlenecks continue to drag down the economy, resulting in a decrease in consumer spending on large durable goods such as automobiles.</b></p><p><h2>US stocks have fallen for two consecutive days; a bigger test lies ahead.</h2>On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 200 points, hitting a new closing low since August 19 and its biggest closing drop since August 18. The S&P 500 closed down 0.34% at 4520.03 points, a new low since August 27.</p><p>This marks the second consecutive day of declines for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500, following the release of last Friday's far-below-expected non-farm payroll report. Even the three-day long weekend, including Monday, failed to mitigate the decline in most US stock sectors. Both US stock and Treasury prices fell during the session, Treasury Bond yields rose, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since mid-July.</p><p>Analysts point out that amid the rampant Delta variant virus, the market is reassessing the prospects for U.S. economic growth and its impact on corporate profits.</p><p><b>As U.S. fiscal stimulus measures gradually withdraw, the U.S. economic recovery will face further tests.</b></p><p>This week, more than 7.5 million Americans will lose an additional $300 a week in unemployment benefits during the pandemic.<b>In addition to the cessation of pandemic subsidies, risk factors such as tax increases and debt increases have also brought additional challenges to the US economy.</b></p><p>Wall Street Insights previously mentioned that although the U.S. Congress seems likely to pass an infrastructure bill this fall, the economic impact of the recent stimulus package is relatively limited compared to the multiple rounds of stimulus plans launched since March 2020.</p><p>The U.S. Congress may vote to raise taxes on businesses and high-income individuals, which would offset the boost from spending—another short-term risk facing the market.</p><p>Meanwhile, US stocks may also be affected by the debt ceiling increase this fall. The U.S. Congress needs to raise government funds later this month by raising the debt ceiling, as well as a temporary spending bill to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3639891\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/627bc890436e46f74a0fe8143398a725","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3639891","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2165994363","content_text":"美国人曾憧憬，这个夏天经济能回归常态，上班族回到办公室，孩子们重返校园，街角的咖啡店再次开业。但一切事与愿违，随着疫情复燃，复苏在8月踩下了急刹车。\n上周五，让人大跌眼镜的非农就业数据带来了最直接的报警信号。美国8月非农就业人口仅增加23.5万人，大幅不及市场预期的73.3万人，低于6月和7月的约100万个，创2021年1月以来最小增幅。\n8月，密歇根大学消费者信心指数也跌至10年来的最低水平，不断蔓延的Delta变种病毒和持续上升的通胀令美国人感到担忧。\n据美国约翰斯·霍普金斯大学发布的数据，截至美国东部时间2021年9月7日下午6点，全美共报告新冠肺炎确诊40238083例，死亡650345例。\n过去一周，美国平均每天新增病例超过 161000 例，新增死亡病例高达 1560 例，平均每天住院人数超过 102000 人，仅比去年冬天的峰值略低。\n\n(图片来源：Worldometers)\n“不确定性和焦虑感又回来了”\n疫情复燃之下，美国办公室和学校推迟开放，旅行和演出计划纷纷取消。\n从8月份开始，包括苹果、亚马逊在内的大小的公司都放弃了重新开放办公室的计划，一些公司甚至将返回日期推迟到2022年。\n官方数据显示，7月中旬，前往夏威夷的游客人数已经恢复至接近疫情前的水平，仅比2019年同期下降了约10%。但从8月开始，速度有所放缓，在8月的最后7天，日均游客抵达数量比2019年下降了34%。\n市场研究公司TOP的数据显示，与7月中旬的疫情高峰相比，8月底的影院客流量下降了一半以上。派拉蒙影业公司推迟了《壮志凌云:特立独行》和《碟中谍7》的上映。\n与此同时，美国许多学校已经关闭或恢复线上授课。\n华尔街日报援引哥伦比亚商学院经济学家Stephan Meier表示，学校重新开学本应是经济的一个重要时刻。大约四分之一的家庭有学龄儿童，可靠的儿童看护可以让许多美国人，尤其是女性重返工作岗位。但目前，Delta变种和缺乏针对12岁以下儿童的疫苗可能会让一些父母不愿离家工作。\nMeier称：“我们去年的不确定性和焦虑感又回来了，这种不确定性足以抑制劳动力供应。”\n机构纷纷下调美国经济增长预期\n经济学家认为，Delta变种病毒不会将美国推回衰退，但失去增长动力可能延长疫情期间失去的数百万就业岗位的复苏，令许多就业市场处于观望状态，并阻碍企业在新的不确定性下投资。\n本周一发布的报告中，高盛将今年的美国GDP预期增速降至5.7%，今年失业率预期从4.1%升至4.2%，这是不到三个月里，高盛第三次下调今年美国GDP预期。\n在本周解释为何下调预期时，高盛经济学家提到几大影响因素，预计由于变种病毒Delta肆虐、政府的财政支持在减弱，加之需求从商品转换到服务，美国消费者可能减少支出，消费形势比之前预期的更严峻：\n\n “未来消费强劲增长的阻碍看来多得多：Delta变异病毒已经在施压三季度增长，财政刺激在减少，服务业复苏放缓，这些都将是中期内的负面因素。”\n\n本月初，摩根士丹利也大幅下调了三季度美国GDP预期，从6.5%猛砍至仅2.9%，四季度GDP预期维持在6.7%。下修三季度GDP预期后，摩根士丹利的美国今年全年GDP增速预期为5.6%，比高盛本周调降后的全年预期增速还低。\n摩根士丹利当时称，调降预期主要由于经济增长的动力已提前释放，政府刺激性支出对经济的推动减少，加之供应链瓶颈持续拖累经济，汽车等大件耐用品的消费者支出由此减少。\n美股两连跌，更大的考验在后面\n周二，道指跌超200点，创8月19日以来收盘新低以及8月18日以来最大收盘跌幅。标普收跌0.34%，报4520.03点，创8月27日以来新低。\n这是上周五远逊预期的非农就业报告公布后，道指、标普连续两日收跌。即使是包括周一在内的三日长周末也没能缓和美股多数板块的跌势，美股和美债价格盘中齐跌，国债收益率上行，基准10年期美债收益率刷新7月中旬以来高位。\n分析指出，Delta变种病毒肆虐之下，市场正在重新评估美国经济增长前景，以及其对企业盈利的影响。\n随着美国财政刺激措施逐渐退场，美国经济复苏将面临进一步的考验。\n本周，超过750万的美国人将失去疫情时期每周300美元的额外失业救济。除了停止疫情补贴外，增税、债务上调等风险因素也给美国经济带来了额外的考验。\n华尔街见闻此前提及，尽管美国国会似乎有可能在今年秋季通过一项基础设施法案，但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激计划相比，近期的刺激计划经济影响相对有限。\n美国国会可能会投票决定提高对企业和高收入个人的税收，这将抵消支出带来的提振——这是市场面临的另一个短期风险。\n与此同时，美股今秋还可能受到债务上限上调的影响。美国国会需要在本月晚些时候通过提高债务上限以筹集政府资金，以及一项临时开支法案，以避免华盛顿在10月份关闭。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,"NUGT":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"DUST":0.9,"IAU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812499360,"gmtCreate":1630599006150,"gmtModify":1676530353970,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812499360","repostId":"2164546845","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2164546845","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630569124,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2164546845?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-09-02 15:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"A dramatic change in the currency market: there are so many US dollars that the market doesn't want them.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2164546845","media":"智通财经","summary":"货币市场正在发生翻天覆地的变化。","content":"<p>The money market is undergoing tremendous changes.</p><p>For many years, the premium of the US dollar over currencies such as the euro and yen has been negative in cross-currency markets, indicating that demand for the US dollar is very strong. Now, these so-called cross-currency basis swaps</p><p>basis swap) is about to turn positive.</p><p>\"Something that has never happened before is happening now,”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>Strategist Zoltan Pozsar said. He pointed out that people have become accustomed to thinking that cross-currency basis swaps are negative.</p><p>\"There was always an excessive demand for the US dollar, and that excessive demand has disappeared.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>The unconventional measures taken, including the Federal Reserve's provision of massive liquidity in the form of dollar swap lines and new repurchase agreement instruments, mean that the financial system has essentially been flooded with cash.</p><p>In 2015, the Federal Reserve withdrew dollar liquidity from the market, when the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank were increasing their quantitative easing programs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c51bd3b468c4ca66d6b3f834bb6ad88\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>“Some of the most experienced short-term interest rate traders will tell you that the trading volume between 2015 and 2019 was unprecedented,” Pozsar said.</p><p>\"So fast forward to today, we have so much liquidity now, especially the US dollar. The Federal Reserve's quantitative easing is faster than the Bank of Japan's or the European Central Bank's. So the dollar supply is ample. Regulation hasn't become stricter.\"</p><p>If there is any difference, it is that they are becoming more and more relaxed. The Fed has become the dealer of last resort. \"</p><p>Even longer-term cross-currency basis swaps, such as the 10-year swap between the yen and the dollar, are about to turn positive. This premium is currently -34 basis points, the smallest difference in more than 10 years.</p><p>This swap indicator is a way to measure the difference in the cost of borrowing dollars in Japan compared to borrowing dollars in the United States. If the indicator is negative, it indicates that borrowing dollars in yen is more expensive.</p><p>In theory, this difference should not exist because participants eliminate it through arbitrage, but regulations introduced after the financial crisis may limit their ability to do so.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d705e196ca793c3ad2f3e4e987cbf869\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Most of the world's surplus dollars are currently held in the Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase facility, which this week absorbed a record $1.19 trillion from banks, money market funds, and other financial rivals.</p><p>Meanwhile, the new repurchase agreement tool launched at the end of July should provide the Federal Reserve with another way to absorb excess liquidity from the financial system.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's liquidity measures have driven down short-term interest rates in many countries.</p><p>In particular, the spread between the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) and overnight index swaps (OIS), a measure of banks' dollar funding costs, is close to negative.</p><p>This is different from 2008, when turmoil in the repo market and concerns about counterparties pushed the indicator to a record high.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8441795a323461ec45740acebe20200a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Pozsar stated, \"This reflects that there is too much cash in the system relative to demand.\" \"For a considerable period of time, the situation will be very different from the past five years.\"</p><p>I think short-term interest rate traders have experienced a golden age over the past five years because we've had far too many spreads in the money market.</p>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>A dramatic change in the currency market: there are so many US dollars that the market doesn't want them.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nA dramatic change in the currency market: there are so many US dollars that the market doesn't want them.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">智通财经</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-02 15:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The money market is undergoing tremendous changes.</p><p>For many years, the premium of the US dollar over currencies such as the euro and yen has been negative in cross-currency markets, indicating that demand for the US dollar is very strong. Now, these so-called cross-currency basis swaps</p><p>basis swap) is about to turn positive.</p><p>\"Something that has never happened before is happening now,”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>Strategist Zoltan Pozsar said. He pointed out that people have become accustomed to thinking that cross-currency basis swaps are negative.</p><p>\"There was always an excessive demand for the US dollar, and that excessive demand has disappeared.\"</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>The unconventional measures taken, including the Federal Reserve's provision of massive liquidity in the form of dollar swap lines and new repurchase agreement instruments, mean that the financial system has essentially been flooded with cash.</p><p>In 2015, the Federal Reserve withdrew dollar liquidity from the market, when the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank were increasing their quantitative easing programs.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c51bd3b468c4ca66d6b3f834bb6ad88\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>“Some of the most experienced short-term interest rate traders will tell you that the trading volume between 2015 and 2019 was unprecedented,” Pozsar said.</p><p>\"So fast forward to today, we have so much liquidity now, especially the US dollar. The Federal Reserve's quantitative easing is faster than the Bank of Japan's or the European Central Bank's. So the dollar supply is ample. Regulation hasn't become stricter.\"</p><p>If there is any difference, it is that they are becoming more and more relaxed. The Fed has become the dealer of last resort. \"</p><p>Even longer-term cross-currency basis swaps, such as the 10-year swap between the yen and the dollar, are about to turn positive. This premium is currently -34 basis points, the smallest difference in more than 10 years.</p><p>This swap indicator is a way to measure the difference in the cost of borrowing dollars in Japan compared to borrowing dollars in the United States. If the indicator is negative, it indicates that borrowing dollars in yen is more expensive.</p><p>In theory, this difference should not exist because participants eliminate it through arbitrage, but regulations introduced after the financial crisis may limit their ability to do so.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d705e196ca793c3ad2f3e4e987cbf869\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Most of the world's surplus dollars are currently held in the Federal Reserve's reverse repurchase facility, which this week absorbed a record $1.19 trillion from banks, money market funds, and other financial rivals.</p><p>Meanwhile, the new repurchase agreement tool launched at the end of July should provide the Federal Reserve with another way to absorb excess liquidity from the financial system.</p><p>The Federal Reserve's liquidity measures have driven down short-term interest rates in many countries.</p><p>In particular, the spread between the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) and overnight index swaps (OIS), a measure of banks' dollar funding costs, is close to negative.</p><p>This is different from 2008, when turmoil in the repo market and concerns about counterparties pushed the indicator to a record high.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8441795a323461ec45740acebe20200a\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p>Pozsar stated, \"This reflects that there is too much cash in the system relative to demand.\" \"For a considerable period of time, the situation will be very different from the past five years.\"</p><p>I think short-term interest rate traders have experienced a golden age over the past five years because we've had far too many spreads in the money market.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/553010.html\">智通财经</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c685480ed37cb27252b8611b704480cc","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/553010.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2164546845","content_text":"货币市场正在发生翻天覆地的变化。\n多年来，在交叉货币市场上，美元相对于欧元、日元等货币的溢价一直为负，这表明对美元的需求非常旺盛。现在，这些所谓的交叉货币基差互换(cross-currency \nbasis swap)即将转为正值。\n“以前从未发生过的事情现在正在发生，”瑞士信贷策略师Zoltan Pozsar表示。 他指出，人们已经习惯认为交叉货币基差互换是负值。 \n“对美元的过度需求总是存在的，而这种过度需求已经消失了。”\n中央银行采取的非常规措施，包括美联储以美元互换额度和新回购协议工具的形式提供大量流动性，意味着金融体系实质上已经被现金淹没。\n2015年，美联储从市场撤出美元流动性，当时日本央行和欧洲央行正在加大量化宽松计划。\n\n“一些经验最丰富的短期利率交易员会告诉你，2015年到2019年期间的交易量是前所未有的，” Pozsar表示。 \n“所以快进到今天，我们现在有这么多的流动性，特别是美元，美联储量化宽松的速度比日本央行或欧洲央行都快。 所以美元供应充足。 监管并没有变得更加严格。 \n如果说有什么不同的话，那就是它们变得越来越宽松了。 美联储已成为最后的交易商。 ”\n甚至较长期限的交叉货币基差互换，例如日元和美元之间的 10 年期互换，也即将转为正值。 目前这一溢价为-34个基点，为10多年来最小的差值。\n这种互换指标是衡量在日本借入美元与在美国借入美元成本差异的一种方法，如果指标为负，则表明用日元借入美元的成本更高。 \n理论上，这种差异不应该存在，因为参与者通过套利来消除差异，但金融危机后出台的监管规定可能限制了他们这样做的能力。\n\n全球大部分过剩美元目前都存放在美联储的逆回购工具中，本周美联储从银行、货币市场基金和其他金融对手那里吸纳了创纪录的1.19万亿美元。 \n与此同时，7月底推出的新回购协议工具应该会为美联储提供另一种从金融体系吸收过剩流动性的途径。\n美联储的流动性措施推动了多个国家的短期利率下降。 \n特别是，伦敦银行同业拆借利率(Libor)与隔夜指数掉期(OIS)之间的息差(衡量银行的美元融资成本的指标)接近于负值。 \n这与2008年的情况不同，当时回购市场的动荡和对交易对手的担忧将该指标推至创纪录高点。\n\nPozsar表示：“这反映出，相对于需求，系统中的现金太多了。”“在相当长的一段时间内，情况将与过去5年截然不同。 \n我认为在过去的5年里，短期利率交易员经历了一个黄金时代，因为我们在货币市场上发生了太多太多的价差波动。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":830279296,"gmtCreate":1629078226515,"gmtModify":1676529922341,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/830279296","repostId":"1152652931","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147514946,"gmtCreate":1626363656485,"gmtModify":1703758812039,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/147514946","repostId":"1182732821","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1769,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142023805,"gmtCreate":1626105169307,"gmtModify":1703753583776,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/142023805","repostId":"1144018470","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1363,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9922810263,"gmtCreate":1671729486553,"gmtModify":1676538584506,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"4mrmrmrm","listText":"4mrmrmrm","text":"4mrmrmrm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9922810263","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9038683916,"gmtCreate":1646815093102,"gmtModify":1676534165517,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":".&nbsp;","listText":".&nbsp;","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9038683916","repostId":"1135205184","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2882,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9093198064,"gmtCreate":1643545569571,"gmtModify":1676533829965,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":".&nbsp;","listText":".&nbsp;","text":".","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9093198064","repostId":"2207780287","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2207780287","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1643520899,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2207780287?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-30 13:34","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"US stocks plummeted at the start of the year; should we take the plunge? Wall Street bigwigs are very divided.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2207780287","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"2022美国市场开局艰难，高估值的科技股和亏损但炙手可热的股票遭受暴击，尽管周五尾盘出现反弹，但今年以来以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数已下跌近13%，美国蓝筹股为主的标普500指数下跌7.6%，这是自","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The U.S. market got off to a tough start in 2022, with overvalued tech stocks and loss-making but hot stocks taking a hit. Despite a rebound late Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has fallen nearly 13% year-to-date, and the blue-chip S&P 500 Index has fallen 7.6%.<b>This was the worst January performance since 2009.</b></p><p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hinted at its first rate hike in March, while Powell indicated that the possibility of a series of large-scale rate hike this year could not be ruled out. The U.S. stock market has experienced significant volatility, and investors are struggling to cope with trends in U.S. interest rates.</p><p><b>At this juncture, Wall Street bigwigs are divided on whether or not to buy on dips.</b></p><p>Buying stocks on dips or increasing holdings during economic downturns has proven to be a profitable strategy since the start of the pandemic.<b>At the time, monetary and fiscal policies kept interest rates near zero and injected large amounts of money into the economy, causing the market to rebound higher and faster.</b></p><p><b>But this time is different. The Federal Reserve is preparing to take tightening measures to curb high inflation, and investors are seriously divided on the effectiveness of the market rebound.</b></p><p><b>Rob Sharp, the new CEO of Puxin Group, one of the world's largest fund managers with assets of $1.7 trillion, warned:</b></p><p>In the economic environment we face in 2022, we should resist the strategy of buying on every pullback. In particular, once loose monetary policy is reversed, it is more difficult to predict whether returns will be strong. A $2.2 trillion fund management company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Founder of Investment Management Company (Pimco),<b>Bill Gross, known in the industry as the \"King of Bonds\"</b>In an interview with the Financial Times, he stated:</p><p>The market has eliminated the mentality of buying on dips. As the Federal Reserve tightens policy, investors, especially new investors who have just experienced a bull market, will avoid buying declining stocks during \"the bear market we are starting to see.\"<b>At the same time</b>HSBC warned investors that there were few signs that Powell would intervene to boost the declining market;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jeffrey</a>This indicates that the more the Federal Reserve tightens policy, the faster market optimism will fade.</p><p><b>However, there will always be different voices in the market, and some people have seized the pullback/retracement of the market.</b></p><p><b>Bill, founder of Pershing Plaza Capital Management and \"God of War\" during the pandemic</b><b>·</b><b>Ackerman said this week</b>In streaming companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>After the stock price plummeted, his company bought more than 3.1 million Netflix shares.</p><p>In an announcement released Wednesday, Ackerman said:</p><p>Many of our best investments occur when other short-term investors sell off high-performing stocks, whose prices are particularly attractive for long-term investments.<b>Managing $881 billion in assets, the world's largest alternative asset manager<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>President Jonathan</b><b>·</b><b>Gray</b>It was also pointed out earlier this week:</p><p>Market volatility and the Nasdaq average share price falling by more than 40% from last year's all-time high are creating opportunities for companies.<b>Sister Mutou, head of Ark Investment, spoke out this week.</b>Asset prices are falling, innovative stocks are being sold, and investors can buy them at lower prices. Since the beginning of 2022, Sister Wood's flagship fund, ARKK, has fallen by 27%.</p><p>Furthermore, analysts pointed out that this month's sell-off was driven not only by concerns about interest rates but also by fundamental factors, as higher-valued companies appear more volatile.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US stocks plummeted at the start of the year; should we take the plunge? Wall Street bigwigs are very divided.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS stocks plummeted at the start of the year; should we take the plunge? Wall Street bigwigs are very divided.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-01-30 13:34</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The U.S. market got off to a tough start in 2022, with overvalued tech stocks and loss-making but hot stocks taking a hit. Despite a rebound late Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has fallen nearly 13% year-to-date, and the blue-chip S&P 500 Index has fallen 7.6%.<b>This was the worst January performance since 2009.</b></p><p>On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve hinted at its first rate hike in March, while Powell indicated that the possibility of a series of large-scale rate hike this year could not be ruled out. The U.S. stock market has experienced significant volatility, and investors are struggling to cope with trends in U.S. interest rates.</p><p><b>At this juncture, Wall Street bigwigs are divided on whether or not to buy on dips.</b></p><p>Buying stocks on dips or increasing holdings during economic downturns has proven to be a profitable strategy since the start of the pandemic.<b>At the time, monetary and fiscal policies kept interest rates near zero and injected large amounts of money into the economy, causing the market to rebound higher and faster.</b></p><p><b>But this time is different. The Federal Reserve is preparing to take tightening measures to curb high inflation, and investors are seriously divided on the effectiveness of the market rebound.</b></p><p><b>Rob Sharp, the new CEO of Puxin Group, one of the world's largest fund managers with assets of $1.7 trillion, warned:</b></p><p>In the economic environment we face in 2022, we should resist the strategy of buying on every pullback. In particular, once loose monetary policy is reversed, it is more difficult to predict whether returns will be strong. A $2.2 trillion fund management company<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601099\">Pacific Ocean</a>Founder of Investment Management Company (Pimco),<b>Bill Gross, known in the industry as the \"King of Bonds\"</b>In an interview with the Financial Times, he stated:</p><p>The market has eliminated the mentality of buying on dips. As the Federal Reserve tightens policy, investors, especially new investors who have just experienced a bull market, will avoid buying declining stocks during \"the bear market we are starting to see.\"<b>At the same time</b>HSBC warned investors that there were few signs that Powell would intervene to boost the declining market;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">Jeffrey</a>This indicates that the more the Federal Reserve tightens policy, the faster market optimism will fade.</p><p><b>However, there will always be different voices in the market, and some people have seized the pullback/retracement of the market.</b></p><p><b>Bill, founder of Pershing Plaza Capital Management and \"God of War\" during the pandemic</b><b>·</b><b>Ackerman said this week</b>In streaming companies<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">Netflix</a>After the stock price plummeted, his company bought more than 3.1 million Netflix shares.</p><p>In an announcement released Wednesday, Ackerman said:</p><p>Many of our best investments occur when other short-term investors sell off high-performing stocks, whose prices are particularly attractive for long-term investments.<b>Managing $881 billion in assets, the world's largest alternative asset manager<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">Blackstone</a>President Jonathan</b><b>·</b><b>Gray</b>It was also pointed out earlier this week:</p><p>Market volatility and the Nasdaq average share price falling by more than 40% from last year's all-time high are creating opportunities for companies.<b>Sister Mutou, head of Ark Investment, spoke out this week.</b>Asset prices are falling, innovative stocks are being sold, and investors can buy them at lower prices. Since the beginning of 2022, Sister Wood's flagship fund, ARKK, has fallen by 27%.</p><p>Furthermore, analysts pointed out that this month's sell-off was driven not only by concerns about interest rates but also by fundamental factors, as higher-valued companies appear more volatile.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651035\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50f0a252f951b7accc03d40bda92a3b2","relate_stocks":{"ARTL":"Artelo Biosciences, Inc.","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4007":"制药","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","NDX":"纳斯达克100指数","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","03086":"华夏纳指","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3651035","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2207780287","content_text":"2022美国市场开局艰难，高估值的科技股和亏损但炙手可热的股票遭受暴击，尽管周五尾盘出现反弹，但今年以来以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数已下跌近13%，美国蓝筹股为主的标普500指数下跌7.6%，这是自2009年以来最糟糕的一月表现。本周三，美联储暗示，3月份进行首次加息，同时鲍威尔指出不排除在今年内连续大举加息的可能性。美国股市出现剧烈动荡，投资者也在艰难应对美国利率走势。在此之际，要不要逢低买入，华尔街大佬们意见不一。事实证明，自疫情开始以来，逢低买入或在经济低迷时增持股票是一种有利可图的策略。当时货币和财政政策将利率维持在接近于零的水平，并向经济注入大量资金，市场反弹得更高、更快。但这次不同，美联储准备采取紧缩政策抑制高通胀，投资者对于市场反弹的效果产生严重的分歧。全球最大的基金管理公司之一、资产达1.7万亿美元的普信集团新任首席执行官罗布·夏普警告称：在2022年面临的经济环境中，我们应该抵制每次回调都买进的策略。尤其是宽松的货币政策一旦出现逆转，就更难预测回报是否会强劲。规模达2.2万亿美元的基金管理公司太平洋投资管理公司(Pimco)的创始人、被业界称作“债券之王”的比尔·格罗斯在接受英国《金融时报》采访时表示：市场上已经消除了逢低买入的心态。随着美联储收紧政策，投资者，尤其是刚刚经历过牛市的新投资者，将会避免在“我们开始看到的熊市”中买入下跌的股票。与此同时，汇丰银行警告投资者，几乎没有迹象表明鲍威尔会出手提振正在下跌的市场；杰富瑞则表示，美联储越收紧政策，市场的乐观情绪就会越消退越快。然而，市场上总会有不同的声音，有一些人抓住了市场的回撤。潘兴广场资本管理公司创始人、疫情期间“战神”比尔·阿克曼本周表示，在流媒体公司奈飞股价暴跌后，他的公司买入了逾310万股奈飞股票。阿克曼在周三发布的公告中表示：我们的许多最佳投资，都是在其他短线投资者抛售绩优股时出现的，绩优股的价格在长期投资时显得格外诱人。管理8810亿美元资产、全球最大的另类资产管理机构黑石的总裁乔纳森·格雷本周早些时候也指出：市场波动和纳斯达克平均股价从去年的历史高点下跌逾40%，正在为公司创造机会。方舟投资Ark Investment掌门人木头姐本周发声，资产价格正在下跌，创新股正在被卖出，投资者可以以更低的价格买入。自2022年初以来，木头姐的旗舰基金ARKK已累计下跌27%。此外，分析师们指出，本月的抛售不仅是由对利率的担忧驱动的，也是由基本面因素驱动的，因为估值较高的公司显得更加不稳定。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UBmain":0.9,"TNmain":0.9,"ZFmain":0.9,"NFLX":0.6,"ARTL":0.69,"ZNmain":0.9,"NDX":0.69,"TTTN":0.86,"ZBmain":0.9,".IXIC":0.6,"QNETCN":0.69,"NQmain":0.77,".DJI":0.6,"ZTmain":0.9,"03086":0.9,"SPY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1744,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887299933,"gmtCreate":1632038552522,"gmtModify":1676530691264,"author":{"id":"3575846264530485","authorId":"3575846264530485","name":"迷恋者","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575846264530485","authorIdStr":"3575846264530485"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/887299933","repostId":"1194076700","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3115,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}