$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Jensen's troubles escalated. Another affair revealed and it is increasingly looking like he will have to leave Nvidia. The impact for Nvidia is obvious. But what anout all these other companies which was relying on Nvidia for their circular financing? I cannot imagine the Board and The new CEO will allow this to continue? There will be too much scrutiny and attention on all the activities of Jensen.
We are not out of the woods. The reasons for the plunge last week is still there. High CAPEX and cash drain. Astronomical finance cost, negative cash conversions (for most of the AI stocks). The only thing that changed is due to one Quarterly results announcement from CRWV which sounded positive but needs careful reasing between the lines. Fact for CRWV is they are still needing fundings. But the CFO is now saying their funding costs is at a "lower" 7+%!!! 7+% is positive? Nuts. Expect the unexpected. Study the numbers but always expect the market to act purely on emotions. But when things settle down, the water finds the real level.
It's about time! MSCI is not a viable business. It's a ponzi relying on just the value of their holdings of BTC. How is it that the SEC has nit dien anything at all?
MSCI to Drop Strategy from Global Indexes, Putting Billions in Fund Inflows at Risk
$Tradr 2X Short NBIS Daily ETF(NBIZ)$ Ooh. Interesting actions going on right now at post-market. Seems EBIS and by reverse, EBIZ is making sharp course changes.
Frankly, amongst all the AI plays, CRWV is the weakest on fundamentals. As the previous commentator said, "Debt is Debt". And to use future orders as collateral reminds of companies which have gone bust doing the same and eventually losing value as either the orders gets delayed or cancelled. Not just that, the forward guidance on the interest charged for debt, whilst showing an inprovement, is still less desirable than a forward guidance on say profit margins or astronomical revenue growth. CRWV is still a promise play. Not a fundamental play. I prefer to stake in other companies which has better foundations like Apple or Google. Or even Nvidia (which is still in the dog-house). Then again, no risk no gain.
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ CRWV, NBIS, IREN, MRVL. All rallying fiercely right now. after everyone was calling for doom and gloom on AI stocks last week. Always expect the unexpected. Just as I said before, whenever I hear the crowds calling one way or another, it usually mean the movement will be in the other direction. Now what do I see? MRVL is up 3.5%. NBIS is up 10%. CRWV is up 12.3%!!! CRWV was supposed to be bankrupt!!! To me, MRVL is lagging. Only up 3.5%? Room to go higher?
Always expect the unexpected. Just as I said before, whenever I hear the crowds calling one way or another, it usually mean the movement will be in the other direction.
MRVL, CRWV, NBIS Always expect the unexpected. Just as I said before, whenever I hear the crowds calling one way or another, it usually mean the movement will be in the other direction. MRVL is now up 2.4% in the after market. NBIS up 10%. CRWV, which many called to be in danger of going bankrupt, now up 10.3%. Like I said, best clue on position to take is, hear what everyone else is calling for. More often than not, go the other way is a good move.....
The world did not end. The AI apocalypse may have been grossly over exaggerated. Now, post-Mid Term white wash and Nethanyahu defeat, Trump is eating humble pie and agreeing to ceasefire with Iran. And Iran too now making overture to sue for peace. We may (or not) see a massive rally this week. Keep watch and only act when you see firm confirmation.
Always expect the unexpected. Just as I said before, whenever I hear the crowds calling one way or another, it usually mean the movement will be in the other direction. MRVL is now up 2.4% in the after market.
Movement Alert|Marvell Technology Falls 3.7% in Regular Trading, Merger Risk Concerns Continue to Weigh on Sentiment
The world did not end. The AI apocalypse may have been grossly over exaggerated. Now, post-Mid Term white wash and Nethanyahu defeat, Trump is eating humble pie and agreeing to ceasefire with Iran. And Iran too now making overture to sue for peace. We may (or not) see a massive rally this week. Keep watch and only act when you see firm confirmation.
Like I said earlier, expect the unexpected. When ever you one is calling for a total collapse, it usually goes the other way. My personal rile of thumb is if I see 90% of calls one way or theither, that's when I start taking the opposite position. Tomorrow you will see all the "gurus" syaing why they fell the next super rally is happening. Same old, same old.....
NeoCloud Concept Stocks Rise Broadly: Nebius Up Over 7%, CoreWeave Up Over 6%
Rule number one. Always expect the unexpected. What seems the most obvious, usually goes the other way. Not financial advice. But spoken from past experience.
Movement Alert|NEBIUS Intraday Rise 9.1% in Regular Trading, Rebound in US Cloud New Listings Drives Sentiment Recovery
Rule number one. Always expect the unexpected. What seems the most obvious, usually goes the other way. Not financial advice. But spoken from past experience.
Premarket Movers | Chip Stocks Mixed: ASML Up Over 2%, ARM, Intel, and Qualcomm Down Over 1%
AI Bluewave Route. The long expected correction may have started. Triggered by the fear that the Democrats will make it difficult for the fat cat tech oligarchs. But don't rush in with shorts is my advice. I did short the techs two days ago before the election. But I have taken profit of these. My reason is, these days, trends are very fast changing. Partly due to argo formula, mostly due to tradinb strategies of the big players. We saw this again immediately after it became clear the Trump gang lost. First market fell. Then it rebounded sharply. Now, a day later, it is collapsing. I will not be surprised if after another day of two, it rebounds up again. Be careful. Be nimble. Don't be greedy.
$Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ The blue wave panic has gone into full stampede mode. With Marvell share price now down so much from a week ago, one has to wonder if the deal with Lumentum will go ahead. Lumentum shareholders will be asking if they are willing to take the 4.5 MRVL shares at such a low valuation.
Mid-Term whitewash of the Republican Party. As expected, after an early market drop, there was a reversal jump. But it was not across all stocks. Mainly staple, Dow, etc. Tech AI's went down further at overnight trading. But I will caution against using one brush to sweep all stocks. For sure, Datacentres linked stocks will be seeing some value correction. But look at those which are essential to the AI ecology. Especially those with reasonable capex commitments supported by solid cash growth. I actually like the MRVL/Lumenon story. I think it has challenges but it is also presenting an opportunity at an early stage to get into a future state for the AI core.
Blue Sweep at the US Election. US midterms: AI data centre boom is set for upheaval after US election rout. The Democrats having a landslide victory at the mid-term election bodes a bad scenario for all the companies supporting the roll out of infrastructures. And alongside, all the chip and neocloud companies as well. Get ready for a red wave at the market today when it opens.