Is the market already priced in a recession? Or there will be steeper fall soon? Very little anyone is aware that the market is on a brink of recession!
yes but rewarding a company that missed estimates for Q1 -already its shares are by over 100x valuation -seems too eager to see results coming from him who was already seeing the decline while managing TSLA even before joining DOGE; wishful thinking and unrealistic amid economic conditions that are by far getting worse: GDP negative (exports not matched by extraordinary imports due to fear of tariffs), jobless claims high, consumer confidence at thr lowest, ISM drops unexpectedly.. all these spell troubles ahead!
Jobless claims hence rises; GDP in the negative as more companies like walmart stocked up before tariffs implemented but consumers sentiment was dampened that prices slightly went down; interest rates are still at a high and notso soon the need to cut. To make the situation worse, ISM is down. Mac and Starbucks, both a good indicator of consumers spending is not performing well, so something is brewing, US treasury is hurrying the Fed to cut rates, so what's happening? Like a Tsunami, it looks like everyrhing is ok for now but everyone may be shocked amd awed when hit with extreme turbulence! Brace for impact! Except for those in thr cloud: Meta and Microsft, carry on!
Why need to as the market is performing so well, unless something is brewing!! Jobless claims rises, consumer confidence drops, ISM drops and what else? Hm...
Jobless claims up, rises ISM 2nd lowest Confidence level drops TSLA sales and margin falls; all regions drop: France, Germany and even US Ships are holding back at ports for fear of tariffs But shares are up because of yet to be deluvered robotaxi and optimus (only in 2026) and TSLA reaching 290? Feels like GME And Newsmax!! Hope sure not for TSLA!!
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ I said before: bloodbath after the report? Well, still depends how die hard fans digest and interpret the report! One thing for sure both macro and micro encironment dont look too good-decreasing...
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ oops TSLA dropping now! Could it be an insider that caused it to dip? Sales bad, earnings per share low? Either way, it will have to go further down before the announcement.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Once again a reminder that its share price is overvalued by a crazy multiple so even if it goes below $200 it is still within its potential! I think it is just cyclical and not fundamental based when comes to TSLA! The slowdown effect can only be felt another month or so from now assuming tariffs remain!!
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Too much hope in TSLA has never failed investors to continue pouring in money into it despite all the eminent fall of the earning report in terms of revenue, earning per share... die hard fans will just wanna hear whats coming up in the coming months. If that appeals, its share price will rise. Seen this in the last deliveries despite prrforming badly, investors just keep on loading their money in until when realisation comes or when the rubber meets the road, its share will fall drastically.. understandably so because a lot of hopes are placed with TSLA..
Whether with trade deals or not, TSLA will be reporting on its earnings next week! With decreasing sales even with the most favoured car in China, will be something investors will be shocked at after the bell! There will be some painful results to absorb before seeing higher profit margins-hopefully by then tariffs are resolved but it is not as easy as it seems. There will be bloodbath.
Lawsuit claims Tesla deliberately inflated odometer readings in its cars
Regardless how you look at it, do you think paying more taxes like tariffs will have a shrink on your discretionary spending and what happen then? The whole economy will suffer whether some industries are better or not. TSLA and auto manufacturers will also not spared! Consumers will tighten their pockets for a season. So stock market naturally drops, unless Trump once again pulls back tariffs at the last minute!
If it is to cut deficits, tariffs are good but trade wise, it eventually will stall active trades among countries impacted by tariffs and China being the highest hit by tariffs will flood the market with its products much faster, leaving US out of the game that can be disadvantaged by it
Apparently, on Sunday after tariffs exempltion announcement: Trump says there will be NO tariff exemptions in dramatic move!! Tariffs still apply... 10% still...?
It will definitely have drastic inpact on the world economy, will likely move into the recessionary era. Tougher companies will survive while others may fall out due to increased inflation and higher cost to all commodities. Even with the interest rate cut it will not help much unless countries are willing to compromise on tariffs. Instability will arise: geopolitical tensions, and others will follow. Remember, drastic measures in any form will cause turbulences with equal measure before settling down. This will take another 4 months or more to get the dust settled unless a drastic reverse course is in place, all will be cooked!
Trump to go ahead with 104% tariffs on China?!!!! Big news, guess what Blackrock CEO mentioned may happen: drop by another 20% of the stock is possible!!
Going to Be tough! TSLA if given relief will signal bias Trump has for EM which may not be effective against all other businesses. What of they both fallout? Market will drop tremendously but i doubt so. Looks like market or TSLA will have to suffer for now. I suspect it may drop to 180 in another week or more
Musk made direct appeals to Trump to reverse new tariffs, Washington Post reports
Tariffs will continue to haunt investors, but if stock market rises, this tells the Fed that it can hold off reducing rates, which together with tariffs and trade wars economy may suffer and lesser discretionary spending! Until tariffs are resolved which i dont think it will be solved that soon, companies will suffer for at least for the next three months!
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Back to fundamentals: has its deliveries show there is a turnaround or dropped qoq yoy? What do you think its earnings will be come this quarter in relative to its deliveries? any new plans or products like robotaxi or optimus that are out in the market that shows imminent earnings other than batteries? what about tariffs? Will it impact TSLA and by how much? So the answer will clear for you to decide where do you think TSLA share price will be this month despite already priced in.