Holidaymood personal page - To The Moon

Holidaymood

Holidaymood

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2023-04-08

Got the 0.5 Disney share on day 1. Hopefully can get the remaining 0.5 share today

2022-12-13

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-12-12

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-12-07

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-12-06

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-12-03

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-28

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-27

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-26

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-19

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-18

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

2022-11-17

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-14

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

2022-11-05

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$

2022-10-25

$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$

2022-10-16

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$

2022-10-08

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$Good value now

2022-09-28

$Ascott Trust(HMN.SI)$Buy!

2022-09-19

Ok

Intel's 4.99% Yield And 11x P/E Make It A Value Investor's Favorite

2022-09-14

Ok

Cathie Wood Goes on Biggest Dip-Buying Binge Since February

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9989107632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914840119,"gmtCreate":1665243748931,"gmtModify":1676537577613,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a>Good value now","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FB\">$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$</a>Good value now","text":"$Meta Platforms, Inc.(FB)$Good value now","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eaa4f626ae2e4040cf4ea560f1237c3c","width":"1125","height":"2240"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914840119","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":567,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9918603283,"gmtCreate":1664371120643,"gmtModify":1676537442122,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HMN.SI\">$Ascott Trust(HMN.SI)$</a>Buy!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/HMN.SI\">$Ascott Trust(HMN.SI)$</a>Buy!","text":"$Ascott Trust(HMN.SI)$Buy!","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/eb5fc84d29ea2138892d9dab92623f77","width":"1242","height":"2472"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9918603283","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":431,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9910239221,"gmtCreate":1663631370463,"gmtModify":1676537303470,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9910239221","repostId":"1198768648","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198768648","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663581809,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1198768648?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-19 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Intel's 4.99% Yield And 11x P/E Make It A Value Investor's Favorite","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198768648","media":"Barchart","summary":"Intel Corp is in the middle of a massive capital spending boom. This has been depressing its earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel Corp</a> is in the middle of a massive capital spending boom. This has been depressing its earnings and margins and negatively impacting the semiconductor&#39;s free cash flow. But the dividend yield is also now high at 4.99%, making INTC stock a favorite of value investors.</p><p>Intel&#39;s huge capital spending also gives the stock a low price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, trading at 11.2x forecast for the year ending Dec. 2023. It is quickly becoming a favorite of value investors.</p><p>In fact, the CEO, Pat Gelsinger, projects that Intel will make a negative $2.0 billion in free cash flow during 2023. There are several reasons for this. One major reason is a 10% decline in PC sales forecast for the year. As long as the US and the world face a prolonged recession, the company&#39;s revenue and cash flow face huge pressures.</p><h3>Dividend Appears Secure</h3><p>So far the company is not talking about cutting the dividend. In fact, here is what David Zinser, Intel&#39;s CFO, said in the Q2 earnings release:</p><p>“We remain fully committed to our business strategy, the long-term financial model communicated at our investor meeting and a strong and growing dividend.”</p><p>This shows that Intel may consider raising the dividend. For example, the company has hiked its dividend annually for the past 7 years. On Sept. 16 it declared its fourth qu8arterly dividend of 36.5 cents per share. That implies that its next dividend could be higher.</p><p>This also puts the dividend at an annualized rate of $1.46 per share, before any dividend hike. So, at $29.24 per share as of Friday, Sept. 16, INTC has a 4.99% dividend yield. This is significantly higher than its average yield of 2.61% over the past 4 years, according to Seeking Alpha.</p><p>It is also well covered by the company&#39;s cash flow from operations (CFFO). In the past year ending June 30, the dividend cost Intel $5.8 billion, but its CFFO was much higher at $22.54 billion.</p><p>As a result, investors can probably depend on this dividend as being secure.</p><h3>Where This Leaves Investors In INTC Stock</h3><p>So far INTC is down over 18.5% in the past month and off 45% year-to-date. This provides value investors the ability to buy in at a bargain price. For example, the theory here is that the stock already reflects a huge downturn in the company&#39;s fortunes going forward. After all, the market tends to discount 6 to 9 months forward.</p><p>On the other hand, there is little that could prevent the stock from falling further. The high dividend yield is one factor that could slow this down, especially if the dividend stays secure.</p><p>Moreover, cash-secured put investors can make additional income here by shorting out-of-the-money puts. For example, look at the Barchart options chain below.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b408db5b435908a0e9d950480bca1ce\" tg-width=\"1098\" tg-height=\"292\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>This shows that an investor can short the $27.50 strike price for puts expiring on Oct. 21 and receive 69 cents per put contract. That works out to an immediate gain of 2.50% for a purchase price that is 6% below today&#39;s price of $29.24 (i.e., $69 per contract/$2,750 per 100 shares purchased at $27.50 upon exercise).</p><p>For more conservative investors, the $26.00 strike price which is 11% below today&#39;s price, offers a 1.46% yield at 38 cents (i.e., $0.38/$26.00).</p><p>This shows that there are additional ways for value investors to play Intel, which is deeply undervalued.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Intel's 4.99% Yield And 11x P/E Make It A Value Investor's Favorite</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIntel's 4.99% Yield And 11x P/E Make It A Value Investor's Favorite\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-19 18:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barchart.com/story/news/10259501/intel-s-4-99-yield-and-11x-p-e-make-it-a-value-investor-s-favorite><strong>Barchart</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Intel Corp is in the middle of a massive capital spending boom. This has been depressing its earnings and margins and negatively impacting the semiconductor's free cash flow. But the dividend yield is...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/10259501/intel-s-4-99-yield-and-11x-p-e-make-it-a-value-investor-s-favorite\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"INTC":"英特尔"},"source_url":"https://www.barchart.com/story/news/10259501/intel-s-4-99-yield-and-11x-p-e-make-it-a-value-investor-s-favorite","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198768648","content_text":"Intel Corp is in the middle of a massive capital spending boom. This has been depressing its earnings and margins and negatively impacting the semiconductor's free cash flow. But the dividend yield is also now high at 4.99%, making INTC stock a favorite of value investors.Intel's huge capital spending also gives the stock a low price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, trading at 11.2x forecast for the year ending Dec. 2023. It is quickly becoming a favorite of value investors.In fact, the CEO, Pat Gelsinger, projects that Intel will make a negative $2.0 billion in free cash flow during 2023. There are several reasons for this. One major reason is a 10% decline in PC sales forecast for the year. As long as the US and the world face a prolonged recession, the company's revenue and cash flow face huge pressures.Dividend Appears SecureSo far the company is not talking about cutting the dividend. In fact, here is what David Zinser, Intel's CFO, said in the Q2 earnings release:“We remain fully committed to our business strategy, the long-term financial model communicated at our investor meeting and a strong and growing dividend.”This shows that Intel may consider raising the dividend. For example, the company has hiked its dividend annually for the past 7 years. On Sept. 16 it declared its fourth qu8arterly dividend of 36.5 cents per share. That implies that its next dividend could be higher.This also puts the dividend at an annualized rate of $1.46 per share, before any dividend hike. So, at $29.24 per share as of Friday, Sept. 16, INTC has a 4.99% dividend yield. This is significantly higher than its average yield of 2.61% over the past 4 years, according to Seeking Alpha.It is also well covered by the company's cash flow from operations (CFFO). In the past year ending June 30, the dividend cost Intel $5.8 billion, but its CFFO was much higher at $22.54 billion.As a result, investors can probably depend on this dividend as being secure.Where This Leaves Investors In INTC StockSo far INTC is down over 18.5% in the past month and off 45% year-to-date. This provides value investors the ability to buy in at a bargain price. For example, the theory here is that the stock already reflects a huge downturn in the company's fortunes going forward. After all, the market tends to discount 6 to 9 months forward.On the other hand, there is little that could prevent the stock from falling further. The high dividend yield is one factor that could slow this down, especially if the dividend stays secure.Moreover, cash-secured put investors can make additional income here by shorting out-of-the-money puts. For example, look at the Barchart options chain below.This shows that an investor can short the $27.50 strike price for puts expiring on Oct. 21 and receive 69 cents per put contract. That works out to an immediate gain of 2.50% for a purchase price that is 6% below today's price of $29.24 (i.e., $69 per contract/$2,750 per 100 shares purchased at $27.50 upon exercise).For more conservative investors, the $26.00 strike price which is 11% below today's price, offers a 1.46% yield at 38 cents (i.e., $0.38/$26.00).This shows that there are additional ways for value investors to play Intel, which is deeply undervalued.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":635,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9934077523,"gmtCreate":1663167847162,"gmtModify":1676537218725,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9934077523","repostId":"1184746636","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184746636","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663166626,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184746636?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-09-14 22:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cathie Wood Goes on Biggest Dip-Buying Binge Since February","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184746636","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Ark funds buy shares of 27 stocks on Tuesday amid selloffPaired with deflation tweets, Wood is ‘walk","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Ark funds buy shares of 27 stocks on Tuesday amid selloff</li><li>Paired with deflation tweets, Wood is ‘walking the walk’: BI</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2632bd90c13293afab4259755343771e\" tg-width=\"800\" tg-height=\"533\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Tuesday’s brutal selloff in the aftermath of August’s hotter-than-expected inflation print looked like opportunity to Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management.</p><p>The firm bought 27 stocks across its eight exchange-traded funds on Tuesday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Thelargest buywas Roku Inc., which is already the third biggest holding in the firm’s flagship $8 billion ARK Innovation ETF (tickerARKK).</p><p>The purchases came on a day when the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 posted its worst one-day drop since March 2020, fueled by building bets that the Federal Reserve will unleash a historically large rate hike next week to stamp out price pressures. But while inflation is front-and-center for policy makers, Ark founder Wood tweeted on Monday that deflation is “in the pipeline” -- and Tuesday’s purchases suggest the firm is positioning for that.</p><p>“Her buys have gone down quite a bit after January but are starting moving up last few days. It just seems like her conviction is higher now,” said Athanasios Psarofagis. Paired with Wood’s tweets Tuesday, “It seems like she is just walking the walk.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a7f1330da74a0d61d18d271a3186343\" tg-width=\"657\" tg-height=\"382\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Ark’s ETF lineup has come under immense pressure in 2022 at the hands of a historically aggressive Fed. A series of jumbo rate hikes has battered the market’s speculative corners, dragging ARKK more than 55% lower in 2022.</p><p>Amid the drawdown, Wood has stuck to her strategy of doubling-down on losers and offloading winners. Roku is nearly 71% lower this year, while Butterfly Network Inc and Zoom Video Communications Inc., Tuesday’s second and third largest buys, have dropped about 14% and 58% in 2022, respectively.</p><p>The purchases were paired with the sale of roughly 1.5 million shares of Signify Health, which has seen its stock price soar about 160% since mid-June amid a bidding war for the company.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood Goes on Biggest Dip-Buying Binge Since February</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood Goes on Biggest Dip-Buying Binge Since February\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-14 22:43 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/cathie-wood-goes-on-biggest-dip-buying-binge-since-february><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Ark funds buy shares of 27 stocks on Tuesday amid selloffPaired with deflation tweets, Wood is ‘walking the walk’: BITuesday’s brutal selloff in the aftermath of August’s hotter-than-expected ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/cathie-wood-goes-on-biggest-dip-buying-binge-since-february\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","ARKQ":"ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF","ARKF":"ARK Fintech Innovation ETF","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-14/cathie-wood-goes-on-biggest-dip-buying-binge-since-february","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184746636","content_text":"Ark funds buy shares of 27 stocks on Tuesday amid selloffPaired with deflation tweets, Wood is ‘walking the walk’: BITuesday’s brutal selloff in the aftermath of August’s hotter-than-expected inflation print looked like opportunity to Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management.The firm bought 27 stocks across its eight exchange-traded funds on Tuesday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Thelargest buywas Roku Inc., which is already the third biggest holding in the firm’s flagship $8 billion ARK Innovation ETF (tickerARKK).The purchases came on a day when the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 posted its worst one-day drop since March 2020, fueled by building bets that the Federal Reserve will unleash a historically large rate hike next week to stamp out price pressures. But while inflation is front-and-center for policy makers, Ark founder Wood tweeted on Monday that deflation is “in the pipeline” -- and Tuesday’s purchases suggest the firm is positioning for that.“Her buys have gone down quite a bit after January but are starting moving up last few days. It just seems like her conviction is higher now,” said Athanasios Psarofagis. Paired with Wood’s tweets Tuesday, “It seems like she is just walking the walk.”Ark’s ETF lineup has come under immense pressure in 2022 at the hands of a historically aggressive Fed. A series of jumbo rate hikes has battered the market’s speculative corners, dragging ARKK more than 55% lower in 2022.Amid the drawdown, Wood has stuck to her strategy of doubling-down on losers and offloading winners. Roku is nearly 71% lower this year, while Butterfly Network Inc and Zoom Video Communications Inc., Tuesday’s second and third largest buys, have dropped about 14% and 58% in 2022, respectively.The purchases were paired with the sale of roughly 1.5 million shares of Signify Health, which has seen its stock price soar about 160% since mid-June amid a bidding war for the company.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":583,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":193143766,"gmtCreate":1620777247655,"gmtModify":1704348115545,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193143766","repostId":"2134350698","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":374,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839607157,"gmtCreate":1629154945279,"gmtModify":1676529944976,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Finally some good news&nbsp;","listText":"Finally some good news&nbsp;","text":"Finally some good news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839607157","repostId":"1132782904","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3571345352614779","authorId":"3571345352614779","name":"xiaobaii","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3571345352614779","authorIdStr":"3571345352614779"},"content":"like & comment please, thank you very much","text":"like & comment please, thank you very much","html":"like & comment please, thank you very much"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107064692,"gmtCreate":1620434270116,"gmtModify":1704343590825,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/107064692","repostId":"1120904578","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":172,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581925901111171","authorId":"3581925901111171","name":"Lyra83","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b396c4c95db8804f8ad92ee4531907ba","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581925901111171","authorIdStr":"3581925901111171"},"content":"Done. Pls do likewise. Thks","text":"Done. Pls do likewise. Thks","html":"Done. Pls do likewise. Thks"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129777384,"gmtCreate":1624401613848,"gmtModify":1703835374971,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Dollar cost average down? [Thinking]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>Dollar cost average down? [Thinking]&nbsp;","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$Dollar cost average down? [Thinking]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2805dd7025ebc3fbed9dedf4b5795753","width":"1242","height":"2151"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/129777384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":435,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106969752,"gmtCreate":1620084712176,"gmtModify":1704338287708,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/106969752","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":165,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3576138559006730","authorId":"3576138559006730","name":"投资不是一两天","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36e77b5b6d744959b49fda03e290c69b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3576138559006730","authorIdStr":"3576138559006730"},"content":"pls reply to this","text":"pls reply to this","html":"pls reply to this"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9047807023,"gmtCreate":1656894961062,"gmtModify":1676535910725,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9047807023","repostId":"1184947522","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184947522","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1656889883,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184947522?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2022-07-04 07:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184947522","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturns</li><li>But Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation mission</li></ul><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021a26498981299d3d83215f432685b8\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"667\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>Recessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.</p><p>And the next one -- which economists see as increasingly possible by the end of next year -- will probably bear that out. A US downturn may well be modest, but it might also be long.</p><p>Many observers expect any decline to be a lot less wrenching than the 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis and the back-to-back downturns seen in the 1980s, when inflation was last this high. The economy is simply not as far out of whack as it was in those earlier periods, they say.</p><h2>America&#39;s Post-WWII Recessions</h2><p>Sources: National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Economic Analysis</p><p>Note: Dates denote starts of recessions. BEA lists 2001 as 0.5% rise in GDP.</p><p>While the recession may be moderate, it could end up lasting longer than the abbreviated, eight-month contractions of 1990-91 and 2001. That’s because elevated inflation may hold the Federal Reserve back from rushing to reverse the downturn.</p><p>“The good news is there’s a limit to how severe it’s going to be,” said Nomura Securities senior US economist Robert Dent. “The bad news is it’s going to be prolonged.” The former New York Fed analyst sees a roughly 2% contraction that begins in the fourth quarter and lasts through next year.</p><p>No matter what shape the pullback takes, one thing seems certain: There will be a lot of hurt when it comes. In the dozen recessions since World War II, on average the economy contracted by 2.5%, unemployment rose about 3.8 percentage points and corporate profits fell some 15%. The average length was 10 months.</p><p>Even a downturn on the shallower end of the spectrum would likely see hundreds of thousands of Americans -- at least -- lose their jobs. The batteredstock marketmay suffer a further fall as earnings drop. And President Joe Biden’s already poor pollratingscould take another hit.</p><p>“This would be the sixth or seventh recession, I think, since I started doing this,” private-equity veteran Scott Sperling said. “Every one of them is somewhat different, and every one of them feels equally painful.”</p><p>Signs of economic weakness are multiplying, with personalspendingfalling in May for the first time this year, after accounting for inflation, and a US manufacturing gauge hitting atwo-year lowin June. JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. chief US economist Michael Feroli responded to the latest data by cutting his mid-year growth forecasts “perilously closeto a recession.”</p><p>The depth and length of the recession will largely be determined by how persistent inflation proves to be, and by how much pain the Fed is willing to inflict on the economy to bring it down to levels it deems acceptable.</p><h2>Inflation Genie</h2><p>Allianz SE chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian said he’s worried about a stop-go scenario akin to the 1970s, where the Fed prematurely eases policy in response to economic weakness before it has eradicated inflation from the system.</p><p>Such a strategy would set the stage for a deeper economic decline down the road, and even greater inequality, the Bloomberg Opinion columnist said. El-Erian was out front in warning last year the Fed was making a big blunder by playing down the inflationary threat.</p><blockquote>“The Fed is not going to pause until they see that inflation has convincingly come down. That means that this Fed will be hiking well into economic weakness, likely prolonging the duration of the recession.”</blockquote><blockquote>-- Anna Wong, chief US economist</blockquote><p>For his part, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hasarguedthat while there’s a risk of a recession, the economy is still in good enough shape to withstand the Fed’s interest-rate hikes and dodge a downturn.</p><p>A growing number of private economists aren’t convinced.</p><p>“A faltering economy is all but inevitable,” said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel Nicolaus &amp; Co. “The question has moved beyond if we are going to see a recession to what’s the depth and duration of a downturn.”</p><p>Just as happened some 40 years ago, the decline in gross domestic product will be driven by a central bank determined to rein in runaway consumer prices. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge is more than triple its 2% objective.</p><p>But there are good reasons to expect the outcome won’t be nearly as bad as the early 1980s, or the 2007-09 financial crisis -- episodes when unemployment soared to double-digit levels.</p><p>As Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jan Hatzius has noted, inflation isn’t as embedded in the economy or in Americans’ psyche as it was when Paul Volcker took the helm of the Fed in 1979 after a decade of persistently powerful price pressures. So it won’t take nearly as big of a slump for today’s Fed to bring price rises down to more acceptable levels.</p><p>Prominent academic economist Robert Gordonreckonsthe Fed’s task today requires about half the amount of disinflation that Volcker had to put the economy through.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3898720ca3ef960db90583d02e46e080\" tg-width=\"1000\" tg-height=\"724\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>What’s more, consumers, banks and the housing market are all better placed to weather economic turbulence than they were ahead of the 2007-09 recession.</p><p>“Private-sector balance sheets are in good shape,” said Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. chief US economist Matthew Luzzetti. “We haven’t seen leverage taken out to the extent that we saw” ahead of the financial crisis.</p><p>Thanks in part to hefty government handouts that boosted savings, household debt obligations amounted to just 9.5% of disposable personal income in the first quarter, according to Feddata. That’s well below the 13.2% seen in late 2007.</p><p>Banks, for their part, recentlyacedthe Fed’s latest stress test, proving they have the wherewithal to withstand a nasty combination of surging unemployment, collapsing real-estate prices and a plunge in stocks.</p><h2>Housing Market</h2><p>And while housing has been battered of late by the Fed-engineered surge in mortgage rates, it too is in a better place than 2006-07, when it was awash with supply due to a speculative building boom.</p><p>Today the US is about 2 million housing units “short of what our demographic profile would suggest at this point,” said Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae. “That puts a floor to some degree under how big a recession could be.”</p><p>Duncan’s base case is for a sharp depreciation in home-price increases, but not an outright decline.</p><p>In the labor market, an underlying shortage of workers -- thanks to baby boomers retiring and immigration lagging -- is likely to make companies more cautious about shedding staff in a downturn, especially if it’s a mild one.</p><p>“The story of the past two years has been businesses struggling to find workers,” said Jay Bryson, chief economist for Wells Fargo’s Corporate and Investment Bank. “We don’t think you’re going to see mass layoffs.”</p><p>Some economists say the next recession will prove long-lived, however, if the Fed holds back from riding to the economy’s rescue -- as it’s signaled it might if inflation stays stubbornly high.</p><p>Powelltolda central banking conference last week that failing to restore price stability would be a “bigger mistake” than pushing the US into a recession.</p><p>Fiscal policy will also be hamstrung -- and could well turn contractionary -- if Republicans win back power in Congress, as looks likely in November midterm elections. In an echo of what happened after the financial crisis, GOP lawmakers might use debt-limit standoffs to push for cuts in government spending.</p><p>While not predicting a downturn, JPMorgan’s Feroli agreed a recession may be lengthy if one occurred. That would particularly be true if the Fed is again hampered from providing the economy with help by not being able to cut interest rates below zero.</p><p>“We don’t think it will be a severe one but it could be a long one,” he said.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Long, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLong, Moderate and Painful: What Next US Recession May Look Like\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-04 07:11 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation missionRecessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.And the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-03/long-moderate-and-painful-what-next-us-recession-may-look-like","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184947522","content_text":"US lacks buildup of leverage that preceded past deep downturnsBut Fed may not ride to rescue, given its inflation missionRecessions, like unhappy families, are each painful in their own way.And the next one -- which economists see as increasingly possible by the end of next year -- will probably bear that out. A US downturn may well be modest, but it might also be long.Many observers expect any decline to be a lot less wrenching than the 2007-09 Great Financial Crisis and the back-to-back downturns seen in the 1980s, when inflation was last this high. The economy is simply not as far out of whack as it was in those earlier periods, they say.America's Post-WWII RecessionsSources: National Bureau of Economic Research, Bureau of Economic AnalysisNote: Dates denote starts of recessions. BEA lists 2001 as 0.5% rise in GDP.While the recession may be moderate, it could end up lasting longer than the abbreviated, eight-month contractions of 1990-91 and 2001. That’s because elevated inflation may hold the Federal Reserve back from rushing to reverse the downturn.“The good news is there’s a limit to how severe it’s going to be,” said Nomura Securities senior US economist Robert Dent. “The bad news is it’s going to be prolonged.” The former New York Fed analyst sees a roughly 2% contraction that begins in the fourth quarter and lasts through next year.No matter what shape the pullback takes, one thing seems certain: There will be a lot of hurt when it comes. In the dozen recessions since World War II, on average the economy contracted by 2.5%, unemployment rose about 3.8 percentage points and corporate profits fell some 15%. The average length was 10 months.Even a downturn on the shallower end of the spectrum would likely see hundreds of thousands of Americans -- at least -- lose their jobs. The batteredstock marketmay suffer a further fall as earnings drop. And President Joe Biden’s already poor pollratingscould take another hit.“This would be the sixth or seventh recession, I think, since I started doing this,” private-equity veteran Scott Sperling said. “Every one of them is somewhat different, and every one of them feels equally painful.”Signs of economic weakness are multiplying, with personalspendingfalling in May for the first time this year, after accounting for inflation, and a US manufacturing gauge hitting atwo-year lowin June. JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief US economist Michael Feroli responded to the latest data by cutting his mid-year growth forecasts “perilously closeto a recession.”The depth and length of the recession will largely be determined by how persistent inflation proves to be, and by how much pain the Fed is willing to inflict on the economy to bring it down to levels it deems acceptable.Inflation GenieAllianz SE chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian said he’s worried about a stop-go scenario akin to the 1970s, where the Fed prematurely eases policy in response to economic weakness before it has eradicated inflation from the system.Such a strategy would set the stage for a deeper economic decline down the road, and even greater inequality, the Bloomberg Opinion columnist said. El-Erian was out front in warning last year the Fed was making a big blunder by playing down the inflationary threat.“The Fed is not going to pause until they see that inflation has convincingly come down. That means that this Fed will be hiking well into economic weakness, likely prolonging the duration of the recession.”-- Anna Wong, chief US economistFor his part, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hasarguedthat while there’s a risk of a recession, the economy is still in good enough shape to withstand the Fed’s interest-rate hikes and dodge a downturn.A growing number of private economists aren’t convinced.“A faltering economy is all but inevitable,” said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel Nicolaus & Co. “The question has moved beyond if we are going to see a recession to what’s the depth and duration of a downturn.”Just as happened some 40 years ago, the decline in gross domestic product will be driven by a central bank determined to rein in runaway consumer prices. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge is more than triple its 2% objective.But there are good reasons to expect the outcome won’t be nearly as bad as the early 1980s, or the 2007-09 financial crisis -- episodes when unemployment soared to double-digit levels.As Goldman Sachs Group Inc. chief economist Jan Hatzius has noted, inflation isn’t as embedded in the economy or in Americans’ psyche as it was when Paul Volcker took the helm of the Fed in 1979 after a decade of persistently powerful price pressures. So it won’t take nearly as big of a slump for today’s Fed to bring price rises down to more acceptable levels.Prominent academic economist Robert Gordonreckonsthe Fed’s task today requires about half the amount of disinflation that Volcker had to put the economy through.What’s more, consumers, banks and the housing market are all better placed to weather economic turbulence than they were ahead of the 2007-09 recession.“Private-sector balance sheets are in good shape,” said Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. chief US economist Matthew Luzzetti. “We haven’t seen leverage taken out to the extent that we saw” ahead of the financial crisis.Thanks in part to hefty government handouts that boosted savings, household debt obligations amounted to just 9.5% of disposable personal income in the first quarter, according to Feddata. That’s well below the 13.2% seen in late 2007.Banks, for their part, recentlyacedthe Fed’s latest stress test, proving they have the wherewithal to withstand a nasty combination of surging unemployment, collapsing real-estate prices and a plunge in stocks.Housing MarketAnd while housing has been battered of late by the Fed-engineered surge in mortgage rates, it too is in a better place than 2006-07, when it was awash with supply due to a speculative building boom.Today the US is about 2 million housing units “short of what our demographic profile would suggest at this point,” said Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae. “That puts a floor to some degree under how big a recession could be.”Duncan’s base case is for a sharp depreciation in home-price increases, but not an outright decline.In the labor market, an underlying shortage of workers -- thanks to baby boomers retiring and immigration lagging -- is likely to make companies more cautious about shedding staff in a downturn, especially if it’s a mild one.“The story of the past two years has been businesses struggling to find workers,” said Jay Bryson, chief economist for Wells Fargo’s Corporate and Investment Bank. “We don’t think you’re going to see mass layoffs.”Some economists say the next recession will prove long-lived, however, if the Fed holds back from riding to the economy’s rescue -- as it’s signaled it might if inflation stays stubbornly high.Powelltolda central banking conference last week that failing to restore price stability would be a “bigger mistake” than pushing the US into a recession.Fiscal policy will also be hamstrung -- and could well turn contractionary -- if Republicans win back power in Congress, as looks likely in November midterm elections. In an echo of what happened after the financial crisis, GOP lawmakers might use debt-limit standoffs to push for cuts in government spending.While not predicting a downturn, JPMorgan’s Feroli agreed a recession may be lengthy if one occurred. That would particularly be true if the Fed is again hampered from providing the economy with help by not being able to cut interest rates below zero.“We don’t think it will be a severe one but it could be a long one,” he said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":590,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120819930,"gmtCreate":1624318568720,"gmtModify":1703833162067,"author":{"id":"3577917989847586","authorId":"3577917989847586","name":"Holidaymood","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2f7be8cd64ecb0e1182c0d9afae636f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3577917989847586","authorIdStr":"3577917989847586"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Preparing to buy the dip [Grin]&nbsp;","listText":"Preparing to buy the dip [Grin]&nbsp;","text":"Preparing to buy the dip 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