Kevin29 personal page - To The Moon

Kevin29

Kevin29

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2021-06-04

Win win

Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO

2023-04-11

[财迷]

Big Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is "very embarrassed"

2023-04-07

[财迷]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-03-31

[微笑]

The market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!

2023-03-30

[呆住]

Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%

2023-11-02

[财迷]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-09-05

[财迷]

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-04-25

[财迷]

DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to "Hold" As It Sees "Limited Catalysts for Now"

2023-04-19

[财迷]

Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%

2023-04-14

[财迷]

The CPI report blows the final whistle! The Fed is going to win?

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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16:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market changes | One China concept stocks rose 12%, Ctrip, Li Auto fell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1195776321","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5th, the futures of the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively fell in the pre-market session. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July as more Americans joined the workforce, the Labor Department said last Friday (September 1).</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab rose nearly 12% before the market, and H shares closed up more than 5% today. On the news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China. The approved indication this time is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to the data of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Xiaomo increased its holdings of 983,479 H shares of Zai Lab on August 29th, with a total amount of about HK$17,831,500.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Miniso rose by more than 8% before the market. The recently announced overall performance of fiscal year 2023 reached a new high, and both revenue and profit achieved historic breakthroughs. In addition, the revenue of the fourth fiscal quarter reached a record high of 3.25 billion yuan.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% before the market. Ctrip's net operating income in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, up 180% year-on-year. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the company was 631 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, it was significantly lower than 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter by more than 81%.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market. As of press time, Li Auto fell by more than 4%, Shell by more than 3%, Bilibili by 2.89%, Alibaba,JD.COM and Pinduoduo by more than 1%, Nio by 0.91% and XPeng by 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone, Airbnb advanced premarket. On the news, S&P Dow Jones Index Company announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 Index, replacing Lincoln National and Neway Brands, and the changes will take effect before the start of trading on September 18th.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle maker VinFast fell nearly 8% premarket after falling for four straight trading sessions, with a cumulative drop of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Thu Shui said a few days ago that it is not worried about the company's share price volatility following its Nasdaq listing, saying it believes in VinFast's potential, especially given the rapid expansion of the Southeast Asian EV ecosystem.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market changes | One China concept stocks rose 12%, Ctrip, Li Auto fell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market changes | One China concept stocks rose 12%, Ctrip, Li Auto fell\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-09-05 16:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Tuesday, September 5th, the futures of the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively fell in the pre-market session. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% from 3.5% in July as more Americans joined the workforce, the Labor Department said last Friday (September 1).</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ce3291f7d4cb88236ebd6267ab6df3\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"871\" tg-height=\"318\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Zai Lab rose nearly 12% before the market, and H shares closed up more than 5% today. On the news, the magituximab injection declared by Zai Lab has been approved for marketing in China. The approved indication this time is for the third-line and above treatment of patients with metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer. In addition, according to the data of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Xiaomo increased its holdings of 983,479 H shares of Zai Lab on August 29th, with a total amount of about HK$17,831,500.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/077a9a804a1742bce663dc11bd7ef215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Miniso rose by more than 8% before the market. The recently announced overall performance of fiscal year 2023 reached a new high, and both revenue and profit achieved historic breakthroughs. In addition, the revenue of the fourth fiscal quarter reached a record high of 3.25 billion yuan.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b192e14e55261af07125eea8177fe8e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"133\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Ctrip fell nearly 4% before the market. Ctrip's net operating income in the second quarter was 11.2 billion yuan, up 180% year-on-year. In the second quarter, the net profit attributable to shareholders of the company was 631 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 814.49%. However, it was significantly lower than 3.4 billion yuan in the first quarter by more than 81%.</p><p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1caa13befef2026dcb3582da3d05c6fc\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market. As of press time, Li Auto fell by more than 4%, Shell by more than 3%, Bilibili by 2.89%, Alibaba,JD.COM and Pinduoduo by more than 1%, Nio by 0.91% and XPeng by 0.11%.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/446be267f7985be73050a10af713e8e2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Blackstone, Airbnb advanced premarket. On the news, S&P Dow Jones Index Company announced that Blackstone and Airbnb will join the S&P 500 Index, replacing Lincoln National and Neway Brands, and the changes will take effect before the start of trading on September 18th.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30f525e0372bc04ad017e4d7b038db\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"128\"/></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f777fccc9cf2127b605998921751471\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p><ul style=\"\"><li>Vietnamese electric vehicle maker VinFast fell nearly 8% premarket after falling for four straight trading sessions, with a cumulative drop of more than 64%. VinFast CEO Le Thi Thu Shui said a few days ago that it is not worried about the company's share price volatility following its Nasdaq listing, saying it believes in VinFast's potential, especially given the rapid expansion of the Southeast Asian EV ecosystem.</p><p></li></ul></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94707d514394a5d5375ca6f211bbc635\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"LI":"理想汽车","ZLAB":"再鼎医药"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1195776321","content_text":"9月5日周二，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段集体走低。美国劳工部上周五(9月1日)表示，随着越来越多的美国人加入劳动力队伍，失业率从7月份的3.5%上升至3.8%。再鼎医药盘前大涨近12%，H股今日收涨超5%。消息面上，再鼎医药申报的马吉妥昔单抗注射液已在中国获批上市，本次获批的适应症为用于转移性HER2阳性乳腺癌患者三线及以上治疗。此外，港交所资料显示，小摩于8月29日增持再鼎医药H股98.3479万股，总金额约为1783.15万港元。名创优品盘前涨超8%。日前公布的2023财年整体业绩表现再创新高，营收及盈利双双取得历史性突破。另外，第四财季营收32.5亿元创下历史新高。携程网盘前跌近4%。携程二季度净营业收入为112亿元，同比增长180%。二季度归属公司股东净利润6.31亿元，同比大增814.49%。但较一季度的34亿元大幅减少逾81%。热门中概股盘前普跌。截至发稿，理想汽车跌超4%，贝壳跌超3%，哔哩哔哩2.89%，阿里巴巴、京东、拼多多跌超1%，蔚来跌0.91%，小鹏汽车跌0.11%。黑石、爱彼迎盘前上涨。消息面上，标准普尔道琼斯指数公司宣布，黑石和爱彼迎将加入标准普尔500指数，取代林肯国民公司和纽威品牌公司，变动将于9月18日交易开始前生效。越南电动汽车制造商VinFast盘前跌近8%，此前已连跌四个交易日，累计下跌超64%。VinFast首席执行官黎氏秋水日前表示，对公司在纳斯达克上市后的股价波动并不担忧，称其相信VinFast的潜力，尤其是考虑到东南亚电动汽车生态系统正在迅速扩张。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LI":1.1,"ZLAB":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947027408,"gmtCreate":1682389872205,"gmtModify":1682389876940,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947027408","repostId":"1175829315","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175829315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682329507,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175829315?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-24 17:45","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175829315","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overall</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.</p><p>The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.</p><p>“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”</p><p>“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOB</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-24 17:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"O39.SI":"华侨银行","U11.SI":"大华银行"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175829315","content_text":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overallIn an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOBIn a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"U11.SI":0.9,"O39.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944518029,"gmtCreate":1681912768761,"gmtModify":1681912773182,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944518029","repostId":"1142957366","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142957366","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681911035,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142957366?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-19 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142957366","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, with the Dow falling by 0.36%, the Nasdaq falling by 0.74% and the S&P 500 falling by 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It fell by more than 3%, Q1 net profit fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and Q1 total deposits were 347.52 billion USD, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">ASM</a>It fell by nearly 3%, with net bookings of 3.8 billion euros in Q1, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 40.6%.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks fell generally, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain falling more than 6%, and Coinbase falling more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks fell collectively,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>fell by more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Aleans Western Bank</a>From March 31 to April 14, deposits increased by $2 billion, and the total insured deposits accounted for 73% of the total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-19 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, with the Dow falling by 0.36%, the Nasdaq falling by 0.74% and the S&P 500 falling by 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It fell by more than 3%, Q1 net profit fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and Q1 total deposits were 347.52 billion USD, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">ASM</a>It fell by nearly 3%, with net bookings of 3.8 billion euros in Q1, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 40.6%.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks fell generally, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain falling more than 6%, and Coinbase falling more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks fell collectively,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>fell by more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Aleans Western Bank</a>From March 31 to April 14, deposits increased by $2 billion, and the total insured deposits accounted for 73% of the total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4589":"SVB概念",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142957366","content_text":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌近3%，Q1净预订额38亿欧元，环比减少约40.6%。区块链概念股普跌，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain跌超6%，Coinbase跌超4%。新能源车股集体下跌，小鹏汽车跌超7%，理想汽车跌近4%，特斯拉、蔚来跌超3%。阿莱恩斯西部银行涨20%，自3月31日至4月14日，存款增加20亿美元，受保险存款总额占存款总额的73%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WAL":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945832437,"gmtCreate":1681425549429,"gmtModify":1681425551876,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945832437","repostId":"2327422131","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327422131","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1681388403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2327422131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-13 20:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The CPI report blows the final whistle! The Fed is going to win?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327422131","media":"金十数据","summary":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and Americans' wallets, and more importantly, it also sends an important signal... Things look to be improving for the Fed and Americans' wallets.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>Inflation, as measured by CPI, fell by a full percentage point</strong>。 As one of the measures of inflation, the annual CPI rate plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to get there, the latest economic data shows that the Fed's ongoing rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) price index is another inflation measure that the Fed is watching closely,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 The index's lower month-over-month growth in February compared to January, and the year-over-year growth also shows that this measure of inflation has largely been declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen it too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even as growth slows, the labor market is moving rapidly.\"<strong>It is clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Fed Chair Powell faces criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the potential for such a move to trigger job losses and an eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren said publicly:</p><p>\"Powell made the mistake of not suspending his extreme rate hike. I have been warning for months that the Fed's current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March that he would not back down in meeting his inflation reduction goal, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know it's the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed isn't planning to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of suspending its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said Tuesday at the Chicago Economic Club that \"proper monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial pressures\" brought on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high level of uncertainty as to where these financial headwinds are headed, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much headwinds can help in bringing down inflation.\" Calls for a rate hike moratorium were heightened by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which raised uncertainty in the economy. While Powell's claim that the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of the collapse could be \"the equivalent of rate hike, and possibly more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at high speed</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data needed to support a potential rate hike pause, so,<strong>It looks more likely that the U.S. will avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The CPI report blows the final whistle! The Fed is going to win?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe CPI report blows the final whistle! The Fed is going to win?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-13 20:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and Americans' wallets, and more importantly, it also sends an important signal... Things look to be improving for the Fed and Americans' wallets.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>Inflation, as measured by CPI, fell by a full percentage point</strong>。 As one of the measures of inflation, the annual CPI rate plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to get there, the latest economic data shows that the Fed's ongoing rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) price index is another inflation measure that the Fed is watching closely,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 The index's lower month-over-month growth in February compared to January, and the year-over-year growth also shows that this measure of inflation has largely been declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen it too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even as growth slows, the labor market is moving rapidly.\"<strong>It is clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Fed Chair Powell faces criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the potential for such a move to trigger job losses and an eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren said publicly:</p><p>\"Powell made the mistake of not suspending his extreme rate hike. I have been warning for months that the Fed's current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March that he would not back down in meeting his inflation reduction goal, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know it's the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed isn't planning to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of suspending its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said Tuesday at the Chicago Economic Club that \"proper monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial pressures\" brought on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high level of uncertainty as to where these financial headwinds are headed, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much headwinds can help in bringing down inflation.\" Calls for a rate hike moratorium were heightened by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which raised uncertainty in the economy. While Powell's claim that the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of the collapse could be \"the equivalent of rate hike, and possibly more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at high speed</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data needed to support a potential rate hike pause, so,<strong>It looks more likely that the U.S. will avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d9a839d3b8f535281b72db3c3cfd0","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2327422131","content_text":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的目标水平。尽管美国要实现这一目标还有很长的路要走，但最新的经济数据显示，美联储的持续加息正在发挥作用，美联储正赢得通胀战争。PCE（个人消费支出）价格指数是美联储密切关注的另一个通胀指标，该指标也显示出令人鼓舞的迹象。与1月份相比，该指数2月份的环比增速较低，同比增速也显示出，这一通胀指标在很大程度上一直在下降。美联储也一直在寻找劳动力市场收紧的迹象，它可能也看到了。美国3月份新增就业岗位23.6万个，增幅低于前几个月，就业市场增速放缓至依然强劲但未过热的水平，正是美联储一直在寻求的结果。Indeed Hiring Lab北美地区经济研究主管邦克（Nick Bunker）表示：“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）公开表示：“鲍威尔犯了一个错误，他没有暂停其极端的加息。几个月来，我一直警告说，美联储目前的做法可能会让数百万美国人失去工作。我们有很多工具来对抗通胀，同时又不会把经济推下悬崖。”但鲍威尔在今年3月的新闻发布会上表示，在实现降低通胀目标方面他不会退缩，他声称：“因为我们知道，从长远来看，这是最有利于人民的事情。”尽管美联储今年不打算降息，但最新的经济数据暗示美联储可能即将暂停加息。芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周二在芝加哥经济俱乐部表示，在硅谷银行倒闭带来的“金融压力”之后，“正确的货币政策需要谨慎和耐心”。他表示：“鉴于这些金融逆风走向的不确定性很大，我认为我们需要保持谨慎。我们应该收集进一步的数据，并且在我们看到逆风在降低通胀方面起到多大帮助之前，对过于激进的加息应持谨慎态度。”硅谷银行的崩溃加剧了对暂停加息的呼吁，因为这一崩溃引发了经济的不确定性。虽然鲍威尔声称银行体系“稳健而有弹性”，但崩溃的后果可能是“相当于加息，甚至可能还不止于此”，因为企业和家庭的信贷条件可能会收紧。可以肯定的是，虽然3月份整体CPI走低是好消息，但房价和公寓租金仍在高速上涨。与此同时，3月份剔除食品和能源的核心CPI同比涨幅略高于2月份，这在很大程度上是受住房价格上涨的推动。不确定性仍存在。硅谷银行的倒闭可能会使金融状况变得更加严峻，企业和消费者的借贷和支出可能减缓，但过高的核心通胀可能会迫使美联储继续加息，这意味着经济衰退的可能性依然存在。不过，美联储仍在寻找支持潜在暂停加息所需的数据，因此，看起来美国更有可能避免严重的经济衰退。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".IXIC":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".DJI":1,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"CPI":1,"SPY":1,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"DXD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942645516,"gmtCreate":1681221043535,"gmtModify":1681221048475,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942645516","repostId":"1166375973","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942607760,"gmtCreate":1681199761151,"gmtModify":1681199765186,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942607760","repostId":"1178187404","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178187404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681186000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178187404?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 12:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Big Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178187404","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the total trading volume of the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%; Chip stock binge,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options jumped.</strong><strong>Market Overview</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the market was waiting for inflation data and financial report, and U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday. By the close, the Dow was up 0.30%, the Nasdaq was down 0.03% and the S&P 500 was up 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe the March nonfarm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Fed to continue its rate hike, putting rate hike at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focused on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as earnings reports from several large banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the options market had a total volume of 28,333,960 contracts, of which calls accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>S&P ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>TOP10 Total Option Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% at $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 55% of all options traded. Exercise price of $162.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 72,686 trades.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>On the news: Demand is sluggish, and Apple's PC shipments fell 40% in the first quarter. According to IDC's latest report, the shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, it dropped by 29% from the previous quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plunged by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenues hit a \"record high\",<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinema</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% to $5.24 on Monday. 675,700 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 53% of all options traded. Exercise price of $5.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 62,392 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% at $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 47% of all options traded. Exercise price of $280 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high in volume, with 32,872 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>3. Movement observation</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It jumped 8% on Monday, the biggest gain in more than a year, at $63.27. Exercise price of $67 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>Of was particularly high in volume, with 20,216 trades.<strong>This means that in the options market, investors have continued to be bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>On the news side,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>It plans to cut memory chip production in the near future, and the news boosts Micron Technology. Analysts believe this move may accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative \"synchronization\" strikes, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% to $2.74 on Monday. However, the stock fell 5% after hours, so investors need to pay attention! Tilray$3 Exercise Price Expiring April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of, with a particularly high volume of 23,207.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In the news: Tilray announces acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's third quarter fiscal 2023 revenue missed estimates.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. Exercise price of $24 due April 21, 2023<strong>Put Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 22,226 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-11 12:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the total trading volume of the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%; Chip stock binge,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options jumped.</strong><strong>Market Overview</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the market was waiting for inflation data and financial report, and U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday. By the close, the Dow was up 0.30%, the Nasdaq was down 0.03% and the S&P 500 was up 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe the March nonfarm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Fed to continue its rate hike, putting rate hike at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focused on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as earnings reports from several large banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the options market had a total volume of 28,333,960 contracts, of which calls accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>S&P ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>TOP10 Total Option Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% at $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 55% of all options traded. Exercise price of $162.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 72,686 trades.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>On the news: Demand is sluggish, and Apple's PC shipments fell 40% in the first quarter. According to IDC's latest report, the shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, it dropped by 29% from the previous quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plunged by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenues hit a \"record high\",<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinema</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% to $5.24 on Monday. 675,700 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 53% of all options traded. Exercise price of $5.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 62,392 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% at $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 47% of all options traded. Exercise price of $280 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high in volume, with 32,872 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>3. Movement observation</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It jumped 8% on Monday, the biggest gain in more than a year, at $63.27. Exercise price of $67 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>Of was particularly high in volume, with 20,216 trades.<strong>This means that in the options market, investors have continued to be bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>On the news side,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>It plans to cut memory chip production in the near future, and the news boosts Micron Technology. Analysts believe this move may accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative \"synchronization\" strikes, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% to $2.74 on Monday. However, the stock fell 5% after hours, so investors need to pay attention! Tilray$3 Exercise Price Expiring April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of, with a particularly high volume of 23,207.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In the news: Tilray announces acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's third quarter fiscal 2023 revenue missed estimates.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. Exercise price of $24 due April 21, 2023<strong>Put Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 22,226 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","BK4007":"制药","NVDA":"英伟达","MU":"美光科技","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","ALLY":"Ally Financial Inc.","BK4141":"半导体产品","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4557":"大麻股","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4579":"人工智能"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178187404","content_text":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀数据和财报，美股周一收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，道琼斯指数涨0.30%，纳斯达克指数跌0.03%，标普500指数涨0.10%。交易员普遍认为上周末公布的3月非农就业数据将促使美联储继续加息，在5月会议上至少将加息四分之一个基点。本周投资者关注重要的CPI与PPI通胀数据，以及多家大型银行的财报。数据来源：老虎国际周一，期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%。数据来源：Market Chameleon标普指数ETF-SPY期权成交689.5万张合约，其中，看跌期权占比53%。数据来源：Market Chameleon二、期权成交总量TOP10数据来源：老虎国际苹果周一下跌1.6%，报162.03美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的55%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为162.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为72,686张。消息方面：需求低迷，苹果公司一季度PC出货量下降40%。根据IDC的最新报告显示，今年一季度全球前5大电脑制造商的出货量均出现不同程度的下降，总体来看，环比下降29%至5690万台，明显低于2019一季度的5920万台及2018年一季度的6060万台。其中，苹果2023年一季度PC出货量暴跌超40%。复活节周末的收入创下“历史新高”，AMC院线周一涨近7%，报5.24美元。期权合约成交67.57万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的53%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为5.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为62,392张。数据来源：Market Chameleon英伟达周一上涨2%，报275.79美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的47%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为280美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为32,872张。数据来源：Market Chameleon三、异动观察数据来源：Market Chameleon美光科技周一大涨8%创逾一年来最大涨幅，报63.27美元。2023年4月14日到期行权价为67美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为20,216张。这意味着在期权市场中，投资者本周继续看多该股。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息面上，三星计划近期削减内存芯片产量，消息提振美光科技，分析师认为此举可能会加速内存芯片行业的复苏。利好利空“同步”来袭，Tilray周一涨超5%，报2.74美元。但该股盘后下挫5%，投资者需要留意！Tilray2023年4月14日到期行权价为3美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为23,207张。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息方面：Tilray宣布了与Hexo Corp.的收购协议；公司2023财年第三季度收入低于预期。Ally周一涨近1%，报26.30美元。2023年4月21日到期行权价为24美元看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为22,226张。数据来源：Market Chameleon","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159813":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"MU":0.9,"ALLY":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942860330,"gmtCreate":1681181393420,"gmtModify":1681181397631,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942860330","repostId":"2326628537","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942337934,"gmtCreate":1681132877328,"gmtModify":1681132881522,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942337934","repostId":"1136504426","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1136504426","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680835719,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1136504426?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-07 10:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Earnings Preview | U.S. Bank Stocks Are Under Heavy Pressure, How Will Q1 Earnings Perform?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136504426","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"鉴于最近的银行业危机，美股银行板块可谓是走势惨淡，美股银行指数在一季度下跌了近18%，录得2020年以来最差季度表现。有分析师认为，美国银行业一季度利润势将重挫，股价前景雪上加霜。美股新一轮财报季下周","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In view of the recent banking crisis, the U.S. stock banking sector can be described as a dismal trend. The U.S. stock banking index fell nearly 18% in the first quarter, recording the worst quarterly performance since 2020. Some analysts believe that the profit of the U.S. banking industry in the first quarter is bound to plummet, and the stock price outlook is worse. A new round of earnings season in U.S. stocks will kick off next week, and many banking giants will take the lead in releasing their results. Since March, the crisis of SVB and Credit Suisse has triggered worries in the industry about the possible sharp outflow of bank deposits in the United States, which has dealt a heavy blow to the already faltering banking industry.</p><p><strong>Review of last quarter's results:</strong></p><p>According to the financial report, the performance of the six major banks on Wall Street in the fourth quarter of last year was obviously differentiated. Affected by the expectation that the US economy will fall into recession, banks generally increased their credit loss reserves, which obviously dragged down their performance. Moreover, due to the possible weakening of the macro-economic economy, several major banks have increased their credit loss reserves, and their profits have been significantly dragged down.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9a0a8af20843a1e2274fc85120e796\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"1124\"/></p><p><strong>Highlights of this quarter's results:</strong></p><p><strong>Dual reduction of deposits and loans</strong></p><p>In this upcoming financial report, first of all, deposit outflow is the key issue that needs attention here. Without deposits, banks cannot make loans, and as a result, banks with fewer deposits are struggling, while those with stable deposits or increased deposits are likely to continue to perform well.</p><p>According to the data, in the week ending March 22nd, the deposits of all commercial banks in the United States decreased by $125.7 billion, the ninth consecutive week of decline; Deposits at the 25 largest banks fell to $10.65 trillion from $10.74 trillion the previous week.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be47973c55a00d0164ee0caa7c7f80dc\" alt=\"美国所有商业银行的存款规模\" title=\"美国所有商业银行的存款规模\" tg-width=\"1709\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>Deposit size of all commercial banks in the United States</span></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b428a1f3fcacb15781b83438caee4215\" alt=\"美国25家最大银行存款规模\" title=\"美国25家最大银行存款规模\" tg-width=\"1707\" tg-height=\"452\"/><span>The size of deposits in the 25 largest U.S. banks</span></p><p>In addition to the decrease in the size of deposits, bank loans also recorded the biggest decline in nearly two years. According to the latest H.8 report released by the Federal Reserve, the current banking crisis is also affecting commercial lending. Overall lending to U.S. commercial banks fell $20.4 billion in the week ending March 22, the biggest decline since June 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b5b59f32f5105e26d0310cbb7435e06\" alt=\"美国商业银行整体贷款规模\" title=\"美国商业银行整体贷款规模\" tg-width=\"1709\" tg-height=\"313\"/><span>Overall loan size of U.S. commercial banks</span></p><p>Analysts pointed out that the overall sharp decline in bank lending was mainly due to the tightening of credit by big banks. The lessons learned by Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, the 25 largest banks in the United States, are making these banks more cautious about lending.</p><p><strong>Increase in provision for loan losses</strong></p><p>Secondly, some analysts believe that the profit of the banking industry in the first quarter is expected to be affected by the increase of loan loss reserves. According to Bloomberg's consensus estimate data, the overall loan loss reserve of the six major banks on Wall Street is expected to reach more than $7 billion in the first quarter, compared with less than $2.7 billion in the same period last year.</p><p>Ed Yardeni, chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said that given the recent banking crisis, even if bank management isn't so worried about loan losses, they may still want to show banking regulators that they are cautious. They may prefer to downplay the impact of the banking crisis on their profitability to calm investor nerves, or at least not overexaggerate it.</p><p><strong>How Will Bank Stock Prices Behave?</strong></p><p>In view of the recent banking crisis, the U.S. stock banking sector can be described as a dismal trend. The U.S. stock banking index fell nearly 18% in the first quarter, recording the worst quarterly performance since 2020. Some analysts believe that the profit of the U.S. banking industry in the first quarter is bound to plummet, and the stock price outlook is worse.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56edaf1b2907cd01b846b9520c29c91b\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>Analysts said that the banking industry may become the hardest hit area of performance decline. Once so, the stock prices of banking stocks will start a new round of decline after experiencing the devastation caused by the crisis of small and medium-sized banks last month. Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo, recently lowered the target stock prices and profit expectations of many listed banking companies, saying that they are under pressure in areas such as liquidity, capital flow and interest spread income. Although big banks survived last month's turmoil, they still can't escape the twin pressures of slowing business growth and falling credit demand triggered by the Federal Reserve's rate hike. Under such circumstances, it is inevitable that bank profits will plummet, with investment banking revenues more likely to record a year-on-year decline of as much as 40%.</p><p><strong>Performance Forecast</strong></p><p>According to Bloomberg consensus data, the sector's performance will continue to diverge, with JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo reporting significant earnings growth, while Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citi are expected to come under pressure:</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d94c68723565181c6498893d350cb08b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1224\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Earnings Preview | U.S. Bank Stocks Are Under Heavy Pressure, How Will Q1 Earnings Perform?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEarnings Preview | U.S. Bank Stocks Are Under Heavy Pressure, How Will Q1 Earnings Perform?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-07 10:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In view of the recent banking crisis, the U.S. stock banking sector can be described as a dismal trend. The U.S. stock banking index fell nearly 18% in the first quarter, recording the worst quarterly performance since 2020. Some analysts believe that the profit of the U.S. banking industry in the first quarter is bound to plummet, and the stock price outlook is worse. A new round of earnings season in U.S. stocks will kick off next week, and many banking giants will take the lead in releasing their results. Since March, the crisis of SVB and Credit Suisse has triggered worries in the industry about the possible sharp outflow of bank deposits in the United States, which has dealt a heavy blow to the already faltering banking industry.</p><p><strong>Review of last quarter's results:</strong></p><p>According to the financial report, the performance of the six major banks on Wall Street in the fourth quarter of last year was obviously differentiated. Affected by the expectation that the US economy will fall into recession, banks generally increased their credit loss reserves, which obviously dragged down their performance. Moreover, due to the possible weakening of the macro-economic economy, several major banks have increased their credit loss reserves, and their profits have been significantly dragged down.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee9a0a8af20843a1e2274fc85120e796\" tg-width=\"1078\" tg-height=\"1124\"/></p><p><strong>Highlights of this quarter's results:</strong></p><p><strong>Dual reduction of deposits and loans</strong></p><p>In this upcoming financial report, first of all, deposit outflow is the key issue that needs attention here. Without deposits, banks cannot make loans, and as a result, banks with fewer deposits are struggling, while those with stable deposits or increased deposits are likely to continue to perform well.</p><p>According to the data, in the week ending March 22nd, the deposits of all commercial banks in the United States decreased by $125.7 billion, the ninth consecutive week of decline; Deposits at the 25 largest banks fell to $10.65 trillion from $10.74 trillion the previous week.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be47973c55a00d0164ee0caa7c7f80dc\" alt=\"美国所有商业银行的存款规模\" title=\"美国所有商业银行的存款规模\" tg-width=\"1709\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>Deposit size of all commercial banks in the United States</span></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b428a1f3fcacb15781b83438caee4215\" alt=\"美国25家最大银行存款规模\" title=\"美国25家最大银行存款规模\" tg-width=\"1707\" tg-height=\"452\"/><span>The size of deposits in the 25 largest U.S. banks</span></p><p>In addition to the decrease in the size of deposits, bank loans also recorded the biggest decline in nearly two years. According to the latest H.8 report released by the Federal Reserve, the current banking crisis is also affecting commercial lending. Overall lending to U.S. commercial banks fell $20.4 billion in the week ending March 22, the biggest decline since June 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b5b59f32f5105e26d0310cbb7435e06\" alt=\"美国商业银行整体贷款规模\" title=\"美国商业银行整体贷款规模\" tg-width=\"1709\" tg-height=\"313\"/><span>Overall loan size of U.S. commercial banks</span></p><p>Analysts pointed out that the overall sharp decline in bank lending was mainly due to the tightening of credit by big banks. The lessons learned by Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse, the 25 largest banks in the United States, are making these banks more cautious about lending.</p><p><strong>Increase in provision for loan losses</strong></p><p>Secondly, some analysts believe that the profit of the banking industry in the first quarter is expected to be affected by the increase of loan loss reserves. According to Bloomberg's consensus estimate data, the overall loan loss reserve of the six major banks on Wall Street is expected to reach more than $7 billion in the first quarter, compared with less than $2.7 billion in the same period last year.</p><p>Ed Yardeni, chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said that given the recent banking crisis, even if bank management isn't so worried about loan losses, they may still want to show banking regulators that they are cautious. They may prefer to downplay the impact of the banking crisis on their profitability to calm investor nerves, or at least not overexaggerate it.</p><p><strong>How Will Bank Stock Prices Behave?</strong></p><p>In view of the recent banking crisis, the U.S. stock banking sector can be described as a dismal trend. The U.S. stock banking index fell nearly 18% in the first quarter, recording the worst quarterly performance since 2020. Some analysts believe that the profit of the U.S. banking industry in the first quarter is bound to plummet, and the stock price outlook is worse.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56edaf1b2907cd01b846b9520c29c91b\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>Analysts said that the banking industry may become the hardest hit area of performance decline. Once so, the stock prices of banking stocks will start a new round of decline after experiencing the devastation caused by the crisis of small and medium-sized banks last month. Mike Mayo, an analyst at Wells Fargo, recently lowered the target stock prices and profit expectations of many listed banking companies, saying that they are under pressure in areas such as liquidity, capital flow and interest spread income. Although big banks survived last month's turmoil, they still can't escape the twin pressures of slowing business growth and falling credit demand triggered by the Federal Reserve's rate hike. Under such circumstances, it is inevitable that bank profits will plummet, with investment banking revenues more likely to record a year-on-year decline of as much as 40%.</p><p><strong>Performance Forecast</strong></p><p>According to Bloomberg consensus data, the sector's performance will continue to diverge, with JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo reporting significant earnings growth, while Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citi are expected to come under pressure:</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d94c68723565181c6498893d350cb08b\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1224\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52e95f8d8c314466bbcd01bdb562ed3f","relate_stocks":{"WFC":"富国银行","BAC":"美国银行","JPM":"摩根大通","C":"花旗","MS":"摩根士丹利","GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136504426","content_text":"鉴于最近的银行业危机，美股银行板块可谓是走势惨淡，美股银行指数在一季度下跌了近18%，录得2020年以来最差季度表现。有分析师认为，美国银行业一季度利润势将重挫，股价前景雪上加霜。美股新一轮财报季下周将拉开帷幕，多家银行巨头将率先发布业绩。3月以来，受SVB与瑞信危机影响，引发了业内对美国银行存款可能大幅外流的担忧，这对原本就已步履蹒跚的银行业来说，构成沉重打击。上季度业绩回顾：财报显示，华尔街六大银行去年四季度业绩出现明显分化，受美国经济将陷入衰退预期的影响，银行普遍增加信贷损失准备金，明显拖累业绩。且由于宏观经经济可能走弱，几家主要银行均增加了信贷损失准备金，盈利受到明显拖累。本季度业绩看点：存贷双降在本次即将披露的财报中，首先，存款外流是这里需要关注的关键问题。没有存款，银行就无法发放贷款，因此，存款减少的银行陷入困境，而存款保持稳定或存款增加的银行可能会继续表现良好。数据显示，截至3月22日的一周内，美国所有商业银行的存款规模减少了1257亿美元，为连续第九周下滑；25家最大银行的存款从上一周的10.74万亿美元降至10.65万亿美元。美国所有商业银行的存款规模美国25家最大银行存款规模除了存款规模减少以外，银行贷款也创下近两年最大降幅。据美联储最新公布的H.8报告还显示，当前的这场银行业危机也正在影响商业贷款。截至3月22日当周，美国商业银行的整体贷款下降204亿美元，为2021年6月以来最大降幅。美国商业银行整体贷款规模分析人士指出，银行贷款规模的整体大幅下降，主要是因为大银行的信贷收紧．美国25家最大的银行发放了全美约六成的贷款，硅谷银行和瑞信的前车之鉴，正令这些银行在放贷上趋向谨慎。贷款损失准备金增加其次，有分析人士认为，预计银行业一季度利润将受到贷款损失准备金增加的影响。据彭博一致预期数据显示，华尔街六大行一季度整体预计贷款损失准备金达到逾70亿美元，而去年同期六大行整体贷款损失准备金不到27亿美元。Yardeni Research首席投资策略师Ed Yardeni表示，鉴于最近的银行业危机，即使银行管理层并不那么担心贷款损失，他们可能仍想向银行业监管机构表明他们是谨慎的。他们可能更愿意淡化银行业危机对其盈利能力的影响，以安抚投资者的紧张情绪，或者至少不会过度夸大它。银行股股价会有何表现？鉴于最近的银行业危机，美股银行板块可谓是走势惨淡，美股银行指数在一季度下跌了近18%，录得2020年以来最差季度表现。有分析师认为，美国银行业一季度利润势将重挫，股价前景雪上加霜。分析师表示，银行业可能成为业绩滑坡的重灾区，一旦如此，银行股的股价经历了上月中小银行危机带来的摧残之后，势将开启新一轮跌势，富国银行分析师Mike Mayo近期就下调了多家银行业上市公司的目标股价和盈利预期，称其在流动性、资金流向以及息差收入等领域都面临压力。虽然大银行在上月的风波中幸免于难，但是其仍难逃脱业务增长放缓和美联储加息引发信贷需求下降带来的双重压力。在此状况下，银行利润重挫在所难免，其中投资银行收入更可能录得高达40%的同比降幅。业绩预测根据彭博一致预期数据显示，该行业业绩表现将持续出现分化，摩根大通和富国银行的盈利将大幅增长，而摩根士丹利、高盛、花旗预计将面临压力：","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MS":0.9,"WFC":0.9,"BAC":0.9,"JPM":0.9,"GS":0.9,"C":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4643,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942958279,"gmtCreate":1681117013292,"gmtModify":1681117018003,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942958279","repostId":"1163154040","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1163154040","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681116108,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1163154040?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-10 16:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Change | US stock index futures weakly fluctuated, Micron Technology rose more than 4% before the market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163154040","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月10日，美股指期货弱势震荡，截止发稿，道指期货跌0.01%，纳指期货跌0.28%，标普500指数期货跌0.05%。美股区块链概念股盘前普涨，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockc","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On April 10th, the US stock index futures fluctuated weakly. As of press time, the Dow futures fell by 0.01%, the Nasdaq futures fell by 0.28%, and the S&P 500 futures fell by 0.05%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3186f7b63a523e6e4775bb4ab9c2b2a9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"198\"/></p><p>U.S. blockchain concept stocks rose before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>rose by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>rose by more than 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>Up nearly 1%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>It rose more than 4% before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>Reiterated a Buy rating on Micron with a $75 price target.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Change | US stock index futures weakly fluctuated, Micron Technology rose more than 4% before the market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChange | US stock index futures weakly fluctuated, Micron Technology rose more than 4% before the market\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-10 16:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On April 10th, the US stock index futures fluctuated weakly. As of press time, the Dow futures fell by 0.01%, the Nasdaq futures fell by 0.28%, and the S&P 500 futures fell by 0.05%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3186f7b63a523e6e4775bb4ab9c2b2a9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"401\" tg-height=\"198\"/></p><p>U.S. blockchain concept stocks rose before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MARA\">Marathon Digital</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RIOT\">Riot Blockchain</a>rose by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BTBT\">Bit Digital</a>rose by more than 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase</a>Up nearly 1%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>It rose more than 4% before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citigroup</a>Reiterated a Buy rating on Micron with a $75 price target.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d1fe578ee46cbe0d24c33435ff25ae5","relate_stocks":{"IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4539":"次新股","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","MU":"美光科技","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","MARA":"MARA Holdings","BTBT":"Bit Digital, Inc.","BK4575":"芯片概念","C":"花旗","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","RIOT":"Riot Platforms","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163154040","content_text":"4月10日，美股指期货弱势震荡，截止发稿，道指期货跌0.01%，纳指期货跌0.28%，标普500指数期货跌0.05%。美股区块链概念股盘前普涨，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain涨超2%，Bit Digital涨超1%，Coinbase涨近1%；美光科技盘前涨超4%，花旗重申了对美光的买入评级，目标价为75美元。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RIOT":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"MARA":0.9,"BTBT":0.9,"C":0.9,"MU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946073301,"gmtCreate":1680827392004,"gmtModify":1680827394609,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946073301","repostId":"1124955777","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124955777","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680826244,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124955777?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-07 08:10","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Last night and this morning | The market focused on the non-farm payrolls report, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, and AI concept stocks began to rebound","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124955777","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：①美股三大指数均录得上涨，纳指本周累跌1.1%；②美国最严排放新规即将出台；③AI股普遍反弹，BigBear.ai涨超14%。海外行情1、美股三大指数齐收涨 市场聚焦非农就业报告周四美股低开高走","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded gains, and the Nasdaq fell by 1.1% this week; ② The strictest new emission regulations in the United States are about to be introduced; ③AI stocks generally rebounded, with BigBear.ai rising by more than 14%.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e0fdd8fb6ae7cd33c558aba33e669\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Overseas Quotes</strong></p><p><strong>1. The three major indexes of U.S. stocks closed higher together, and the market focused on the non-farm employment report</strong></p><p>On Thursday, the open low of U.S. stocks went higher, and all three major indexes closed slightly higher. It is worth noting that Thursday is the last trading day of U.S. stocks this week. Because of Good Friday, U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on Friday, but a heavy non-farm payrolls report will be released on the same day, and investors will once again learn about the health of the U.S. economy.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 2.57 points, or 0.01%, to 33,485.29 points; The Nasdaq rose 91.09 points, or 0.76%, to 12087.96 points; The S&P 500 rose 14.64 points, or 0.36%, to 4,105.02. The Dow is up 0.6% this week, the S&P 500 is down 0.1% and the Nasdaq is down 1.1%.</p><p>Big-cap tech stocks mostly rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>up 3.77%, a new closing high since September 2022; Meta,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Up more than 2%. AI concept stocks generally rebounded, with SoundHound AI rising more than 15%, BigBear.ai rising more than 14%, and C3.ai rising more than 8%.</p><p><strong>2. Most popular Chinese stocks rose on Thursday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up more than 4%</strong></p><p>Most popular Chinese stocks closed higher, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising 1.47% and falling 3.20% this week.</p><p>Alibaba rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">iQIYI</a>rose by more than 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>, rose slightly.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Down slightly.</p><p><strong>3. European stocks collectively closed higher, Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%</strong></p><p>Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index rose 1%, France's CAC40 rose 0.12% and Europe's Stoxx 50 rose 0.27%.</p><p><strong>4. New York gold futures closed down 0.5% on Thursday, rising for the sixth consecutive week</strong></p><p>Gold futures for June delivery fell $9.20, or nearly 0.5%, to close at $2,026.40 an ounce on Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In terms of most active contracts, gold futures contracts rose 2% this week, recording a sixth consecutive weekly gain, as fears of a potential recession gave gold support.</p><p><strong>5. U.S. WTI crude oil futures closed 0.1% higher on Thursday, up 6.7% this week</strong></p><p>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery rose 9 cents, or 0.1%, to close at $80.70 a barrel on Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Based on the most active contracts, WTI crude oil futures have risen by nearly 6.7% this week.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Macro News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded expectations last week</strong></p><p>Data released Thursday by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that initial jobless claims fell by 18,000 to 228,000 in the week ending April 1. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had a median estimate of 200,000. The previous week's figures were revised upward by 48,000 to 246,000.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor had to change the way it adjusted seasonal factors during the pandemic because the distortion was too great. Today's report maintains the first year of the pandemic approach, but follows the traditional approach for data before March 2020 and after June 2021. That means jobless claims have largely surpassed 200,000 this year, compared with previously reported figures well below that level.</p><p><strong>2. The strictest new emission regulations in the United States are about to be introduced</strong></p><p>The Biden administration will next Wednesday propose the toughest car pollution curbs the U.S. has ever seen, helping to spur EV sales but not mandating light passenger EVs or banning the sale of traditional gasoline-powered models, according to people familiar with the matter. The new regulations will involve emission standards for automobiles and light trucks, and stricter control of emissions of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides that can form smoke, and other pollutants from vehicles produced from 2027 to 2032.</p><p>Environmental groups and some automakers believe that the proposed new regulations will not only promote vehicle emission reduction and encourage car companies to significantly expand electric vehicle sales, but also make at least 50% of new vehicles in the United States electric or plug-in hybrid models by 2030, which is consistent with the vision put forward by Biden at the beginning of his tenure in 2021.</p><p><strong>3. The WTO raises its global trade growth forecast this year</strong></p><p>On April 5, local time, the latest Global Trade Data and Outlook report released by the World Trade Organization predicted that the global trade in goods will increase by 1.7% in 2023, up from the 1% forecast in October last year.</p><p>At the same time, the report pointed out that due to multiple risks such as geopolitical tension, high inflation, monetary policy tightening and rising debt level, the trade growth prospect is still facing high uncertainty. The WTO calls on governments to avoid fragmentation of trade, maintain free trade flow, strengthen multilateral trade cooperation and jointly promote global economic recovery.</p><p><strong>4. Hawkish officials of the Federal Reserve downplayed the risk of credit tightening, saying that it is a \"good time\" for rate hike</strong></p><p>James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said the measures taken by the Federal Reserve to ease financial pressures are working and that rate hike should continue to curb high inflation next.</p><p>He believes that the tightening of credit conditions triggered by the recent banking turmoil will not plunge the US economy into recession, and that demand for loans remains strong for now.</p><p><strong>5. Global central banks continued to grab gold in February and bought net for 11 consecutive months</strong></p><p>Global central banks increased their Gold reserves by 52 tonnes in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net Gold purchases by central banks, according to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council.</p><p>Looking at the previous two months, global central bank net gold purchases stood at 125 tonnes, the strongest start to the year since 2010.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>: First-quarter U.S. stock earnings report may become the worst since the epidemic</strong></p><p>The first quarter results of U.S. stocks are about to be released. Goldman Sachs believes that the profits of listed companies in the United States will drop the biggest since the COVID-19 epidemic, and the profit margins of only three industries may rise.</p><p>Strategists such as Lily Calcagnini and David Kostin of Goldman Sachs expect that in the first quarter, the earnings per share of companies in the S&P 500 index will fall by 7% compared with the same period of a year earlier, the biggest decline since the third quarter of 2020, and will put U.S. stocks at the low of the profit cycle.</p><p><strong>7. ChatGPT remedy plan is coming Italian authorities: no intention of hindering the development of AI</strong></p><p>Italian data watchdog says chat<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, plans to submit remedial measures to Italian authorities on Thursday local time to address concerns from regulators.</p><p>In a video conference late Wednesday local time, OpenAI promised to be more transparent in how it handles users and verifies their age. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was among those in attendance.</p><p><strong>8. Sweden confirms that \"Nord Stream\" was deliberately sabotaged but the perpetrator is difficult to determine</strong></p><p>Swedish prosecutors issued a communique on Thursday saying they reconfirmed that the Nord Stream gas pipeline had been sabotaged, but said it was difficult to identify the perpetrators of the sabotage at present.</p><p>The Swedish prosecutor said in the communique that \"an analysis of the items seized during the investigation at the scene revealed explosive traces on several items, and it has been confirmed that this is a case of deliberate vandalism\". However, the communique also said that this complicated case is still being investigated. \"The explosion occurred at a depth of 80 meters underwater, and it is still difficult to determine who is the perpetrator behind it\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Company News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Microsoft has integrated the \"text-to-picture\" function into the browser</strong></p><p>On Wednesday local time, executives of technology giant Microsoft said the company had integrated the functionality of the trial version of Bing Image Creator into the sidebar of Microsoft Edge browser.</p><p>Mikhail Parakhin, CEO of the company's advertising and web services division, said on social media that with the help of the new feature, \"users can insert the generated picture directly into whatever content they are editing.\" On the sidebar of the Edge browser, there is an icon similar to \"Drawing\". After typing \"Vinyage\" (old-fashioned) and \"Computer\" (Computer), four very old Computer pictures are displayed that users can insert into the content of the message.</p><p><strong>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Is working with diamond giant De Beers to develop artificial diamonds for quantum computing</strong></p><p>On April 6th, some media reported that Amazon was cooperating with a division of De Beers Group, a global diamond giant, to develop and grow artificial diamonds, betting that customized gems could help revolutionize computer networks.</p><p>De Beers' Element Six division, which will work on the project in partnership with Amazon Web Services' Quantum Networks, is looking for the next generation of ways to securely transfer data over long distances. Quantum networks use subatomic matter to transmit data in ways that go beyond today's fiber optic systems. The diamond will be part of a component that allows data to travel further without interruption.</p><p><strong>3. Meta's entry into the game is surging, and \"generative AI\" has triggered technical controversy</strong></p><p>On April 5, Meta announced for the first time that it will launch AIGC's commercial landing products at the end of 2023, which is expected to compete with OpenAI's big language model. On the same day, the company released Segment Anything, an \"AI cutting\" model, and users exclaimed that it would increase the generation of \"metaverse\" content. Meta joins the AIGC wave with a surge of momentum. Its \"tit-for-tat\" with the big language model and its continuous investment in the \"metaverse\" all make this AI player unique.</p><p><strong>4. Google officially challenges! Chatbots are about to join search engines</strong></p><p>Every percentage point gained in the search engine market share will correspond to $2 billion in revenue, which is the calculation data given by Microsoft. After integrating ChatGPT into Bing, the number of Bing users soared rapidly, and Microsoft CEO even shouted that he would challenge Google in the search field.</p><p>And Google, the \"big brother\" of the search industry, is finally ready to fight directly. According to media reports, Google CEO Sundar Pichai revealed that Google plans to add AI conversation function to its flagship search engine to cope with the competition and business pressure brought by chatbots such as ChatGPT.</p><p><strong>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>Accelerate the cross-border construction of electric vehicle charging network, and add thousands of charging stations in stores across the United States</strong></p><p>On Thursday, April 6, Walmart announced plans to set up new electric vehicle (EV) fast charging stations at Walmart stores and Sam's Clubs across the United States, allowing Walmart's EV fast charging network to reach thousands of stores across the United States by 2030.</p><p>This will be a substantial expansion of Walmart's EV charging grid. Because Walmart pointed out in a statement on Thursday that it currently has nearly 1,300 EV fast charging stations in more than 280 stores. The following is the rendering of charging stations in stores displayed in the statement.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a>Talcum powder cancer-causing storm has not stopped</strong></p><p>On April 4th, local time, Johnson & Johnson said that it plans to pay 8.9 billion US dollars (about 61.2 billion yuan) in compensation in the next 25 years to settle related claims against its baby talcum powder and other products containing talc powder that are suspected of causing cancer.</p><p>But Johnson & Johnson still denies allegations that talc-containing products cause cancer. At the same time, although Johnson & Johnson has discontinued production of this product, years of claims and litigation have raised public distrust and concerns about the safety of more products containing this ingredient.</p><p><strong>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Will ramp up production of 737-series aircraft to increase cash flow</strong></p><p>Boeing plans to ramp up production of its 737 series to 38 aircraft per month by mid-year, months earlier than analysts had predicted, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The U.S. aircraft maker has been briefing its customers on plans to ramp up production of its 737-series aircraft in the coming months, while also hiring and training staff to speed up production, the person said. People familiar with the matter spoke on condition of anonymity for confidentiality.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Last night and this morning | The market focused on the non-farm payrolls report, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, and AI concept stocks began to rebound</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nLast night and this morning | The market focused on the non-farm payrolls report, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, and AI concept stocks began to rebound\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-07 08:10</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Abstract: ① The three major U.S. stock indexes all recorded gains, and the Nasdaq fell by 1.1% this week; ② The strictest new emission regulations in the United States are about to be introduced; ③AI stocks generally rebounded, with BigBear.ai rising by more than 14%.<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/037e0fdd8fb6ae7cd33c558aba33e669\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1920\"/></p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Overseas Quotes</strong></p><p><strong>1. The three major indexes of U.S. stocks closed higher together, and the market focused on the non-farm employment report</strong></p><p>On Thursday, the open low of U.S. stocks went higher, and all three major indexes closed slightly higher. It is worth noting that Thursday is the last trading day of U.S. stocks this week. Because of Good Friday, U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on Friday, but a heavy non-farm payrolls report will be released on the same day, and investors will once again learn about the health of the U.S. economy.</p><p>As of the close, the Dow rose 2.57 points, or 0.01%, to 33,485.29 points; The Nasdaq rose 91.09 points, or 0.76%, to 12087.96 points; The S&P 500 rose 14.64 points, or 0.36%, to 4,105.02. The Dow is up 0.6% this week, the S&P 500 is down 0.1% and the Nasdaq is down 1.1%.</p><p>Big-cap tech stocks mostly rose,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Google</a>up 3.77%, a new closing high since September 2022; Meta,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a>Up more than 2%. AI concept stocks generally rebounded, with SoundHound AI rising more than 15%, BigBear.ai rising more than 14%, and C3.ai rising more than 8%.</p><p><strong>2. Most popular Chinese stocks rose on Thursday<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>Up more than 4%</strong></p><p>Most popular Chinese stocks closed higher, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rising 1.47% and falling 3.20% this week.</p><p>Alibaba rose more than 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VIPS\">Vipshop</a>rose by more than 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>rose by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">Netease</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">iQIYI</a>rose by more than 1%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">Weibo</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">Baidu</a>, rose slightly.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">Pinduoduo</a>Down slightly.</p><p><strong>3. European stocks collectively closed higher, Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%</strong></p><p>Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>The index rose 1%, France's CAC40 rose 0.12% and Europe's Stoxx 50 rose 0.27%.</p><p><strong>4. New York gold futures closed down 0.5% on Thursday, rising for the sixth consecutive week</strong></p><p>Gold futures for June delivery fell $9.20, or nearly 0.5%, to close at $2,026.40 an ounce on Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In terms of most active contracts, gold futures contracts rose 2% this week, recording a sixth consecutive weekly gain, as fears of a potential recession gave gold support.</p><p><strong>5. U.S. WTI crude oil futures closed 0.1% higher on Thursday, up 6.7% this week</strong></p><p>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures for May delivery rose 9 cents, or 0.1%, to close at $80.70 a barrel on Thursday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Based on the most active contracts, WTI crude oil futures have risen by nearly 6.7% this week.</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Macro News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Initial jobless claims in the United States exceeded expectations last week</strong></p><p>Data released Thursday by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that initial jobless claims fell by 18,000 to 228,000 in the week ending April 1. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had a median estimate of 200,000. The previous week's figures were revised upward by 48,000 to 246,000.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor had to change the way it adjusted seasonal factors during the pandemic because the distortion was too great. Today's report maintains the first year of the pandemic approach, but follows the traditional approach for data before March 2020 and after June 2021. That means jobless claims have largely surpassed 200,000 this year, compared with previously reported figures well below that level.</p><p><strong>2. The strictest new emission regulations in the United States are about to be introduced</strong></p><p>The Biden administration will next Wednesday propose the toughest car pollution curbs the U.S. has ever seen, helping to spur EV sales but not mandating light passenger EVs or banning the sale of traditional gasoline-powered models, according to people familiar with the matter. The new regulations will involve emission standards for automobiles and light trucks, and stricter control of emissions of carbon dioxide, nitrogen oxides that can form smoke, and other pollutants from vehicles produced from 2027 to 2032.</p><p>Environmental groups and some automakers believe that the proposed new regulations will not only promote vehicle emission reduction and encourage car companies to significantly expand electric vehicle sales, but also make at least 50% of new vehicles in the United States electric or plug-in hybrid models by 2030, which is consistent with the vision put forward by Biden at the beginning of his tenure in 2021.</p><p><strong>3. The WTO raises its global trade growth forecast this year</strong></p><p>On April 5, local time, the latest Global Trade Data and Outlook report released by the World Trade Organization predicted that the global trade in goods will increase by 1.7% in 2023, up from the 1% forecast in October last year.</p><p>At the same time, the report pointed out that due to multiple risks such as geopolitical tension, high inflation, monetary policy tightening and rising debt level, the trade growth prospect is still facing high uncertainty. The WTO calls on governments to avoid fragmentation of trade, maintain free trade flow, strengthen multilateral trade cooperation and jointly promote global economic recovery.</p><p><strong>4. Hawkish officials of the Federal Reserve downplayed the risk of credit tightening, saying that it is a \"good time\" for rate hike</strong></p><p>James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said the measures taken by the Federal Reserve to ease financial pressures are working and that rate hike should continue to curb high inflation next.</p><p>He believes that the tightening of credit conditions triggered by the recent banking turmoil will not plunge the US economy into recession, and that demand for loans remains strong for now.</p><p><strong>5. Global central banks continued to grab gold in February and bought net for 11 consecutive months</strong></p><p>Global central banks increased their Gold reserves by 52 tonnes in February, marking the 11th consecutive month of net Gold purchases by central banks, according to the latest data compiled by the World Gold Council.</p><p>Looking at the previous two months, global central bank net gold purchases stood at 125 tonnes, the strongest start to the year since 2010.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">Goldman Sachs</a>: First-quarter U.S. stock earnings report may become the worst since the epidemic</strong></p><p>The first quarter results of U.S. stocks are about to be released. Goldman Sachs believes that the profits of listed companies in the United States will drop the biggest since the COVID-19 epidemic, and the profit margins of only three industries may rise.</p><p>Strategists such as Lily Calcagnini and David Kostin of Goldman Sachs expect that in the first quarter, the earnings per share of companies in the S&P 500 index will fall by 7% compared with the same period of a year earlier, the biggest decline since the third quarter of 2020, and will put U.S. stocks at the low of the profit cycle.</p><p><strong>7. ChatGPT remedy plan is coming Italian authorities: no intention of hindering the development of AI</strong></p><p>Italian data watchdog says chat<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">Robot</a>OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, plans to submit remedial measures to Italian authorities on Thursday local time to address concerns from regulators.</p><p>In a video conference late Wednesday local time, OpenAI promised to be more transparent in how it handles users and verifies their age. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was among those in attendance.</p><p><strong>8. Sweden confirms that \"Nord Stream\" was deliberately sabotaged but the perpetrator is difficult to determine</strong></p><p>Swedish prosecutors issued a communique on Thursday saying they reconfirmed that the Nord Stream gas pipeline had been sabotaged, but said it was difficult to identify the perpetrators of the sabotage at present.</p><p>The Swedish prosecutor said in the communique that \"an analysis of the items seized during the investigation at the scene revealed explosive traces on several items, and it has been confirmed that this is a case of deliberate vandalism\". However, the communique also said that this complicated case is still being investigated. \"The explosion occurred at a depth of 80 meters underwater, and it is still difficult to determine who is the perpetrator behind it\".</p><p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Company News</strong></p><p><strong>1. Microsoft has integrated the \"text-to-picture\" function into the browser</strong></p><p>On Wednesday local time, executives of technology giant Microsoft said the company had integrated the functionality of the trial version of Bing Image Creator into the sidebar of Microsoft Edge browser.</p><p>Mikhail Parakhin, CEO of the company's advertising and web services division, said on social media that with the help of the new feature, \"users can insert the generated picture directly into whatever content they are editing.\" On the sidebar of the Edge browser, there is an icon similar to \"Drawing\". After typing \"Vinyage\" (old-fashioned) and \"Computer\" (Computer), four very old Computer pictures are displayed that users can insert into the content of the message.</p><p><strong>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon</a>Is working with diamond giant De Beers to develop artificial diamonds for quantum computing</strong></p><p>On April 6th, some media reported that Amazon was cooperating with a division of De Beers Group, a global diamond giant, to develop and grow artificial diamonds, betting that customized gems could help revolutionize computer networks.</p><p>De Beers' Element Six division, which will work on the project in partnership with Amazon Web Services' Quantum Networks, is looking for the next generation of ways to securely transfer data over long distances. Quantum networks use subatomic matter to transmit data in ways that go beyond today's fiber optic systems. The diamond will be part of a component that allows data to travel further without interruption.</p><p><strong>3. Meta's entry into the game is surging, and \"generative AI\" has triggered technical controversy</strong></p><p>On April 5, Meta announced for the first time that it will launch AIGC's commercial landing products at the end of 2023, which is expected to compete with OpenAI's big language model. On the same day, the company released Segment Anything, an \"AI cutting\" model, and users exclaimed that it would increase the generation of \"metaverse\" content. Meta joins the AIGC wave with a surge of momentum. Its \"tit-for-tat\" with the big language model and its continuous investment in the \"metaverse\" all make this AI player unique.</p><p><strong>4. Google officially challenges! Chatbots are about to join search engines</strong></p><p>Every percentage point gained in the search engine market share will correspond to $2 billion in revenue, which is the calculation data given by Microsoft. After integrating ChatGPT into Bing, the number of Bing users soared rapidly, and Microsoft CEO even shouted that he would challenge Google in the search field.</p><p>And Google, the \"big brother\" of the search industry, is finally ready to fight directly. According to media reports, Google CEO Sundar Pichai revealed that Google plans to add AI conversation function to its flagship search engine to cope with the competition and business pressure brought by chatbots such as ChatGPT.</p><p><strong>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">Walmart</a>Accelerate the cross-border construction of electric vehicle charging network, and add thousands of charging stations in stores across the United States</strong></p><p>On Thursday, April 6, Walmart announced plans to set up new electric vehicle (EV) fast charging stations at Walmart stores and Sam's Clubs across the United States, allowing Walmart's EV fast charging network to reach thousands of stores across the United States by 2030.</p><p>This will be a substantial expansion of Walmart's EV charging grid. Because Walmart pointed out in a statement on Thursday that it currently has nearly 1,300 EV fast charging stations in more than 280 stores. The following is the rendering of charging stations in stores displayed in the statement.</p><p><strong>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JNJ\">Johnson & Johnson</a>Talcum powder cancer-causing storm has not stopped</strong></p><p>On April 4th, local time, Johnson & Johnson said that it plans to pay 8.9 billion US dollars (about 61.2 billion yuan) in compensation in the next 25 years to settle related claims against its baby talcum powder and other products containing talc powder that are suspected of causing cancer.</p><p>But Johnson & Johnson still denies allegations that talc-containing products cause cancer. At the same time, although Johnson & Johnson has discontinued production of this product, years of claims and litigation have raised public distrust and concerns about the safety of more products containing this ingredient.</p><p><strong>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">boeing</a>Will ramp up production of 737-series aircraft to increase cash flow</strong></p><p>Boeing plans to ramp up production of its 737 series to 38 aircraft per month by mid-year, months earlier than analysts had predicted, according to people familiar with the matter.</p><p>The U.S. aircraft maker has been briefing its customers on plans to ramp up production of its 737-series aircraft in the coming months, while also hiring and training staff to speed up production, the person said. People familiar with the matter spoke on condition of anonymity for confidentiality.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","BK4543":"AI",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4528":"SaaS概念","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4023":"应用软件","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124955777","content_text":"摘要：①美股三大指数均录得上涨，纳指本周累跌1.1%；②美国最严排放新规即将出台；③AI股普遍反弹，BigBear.ai涨超14%。海外行情1、美股三大指数齐收涨 市场聚焦非农就业报告周四美股低开高走，三大指数均小幅收涨。值得注意的是，周四是本周美股的最后一个交易日，因耶稣受难日，美股周五休市一日，但当天将会发布重磅的非农就业报告，投资者将再次了解美国经济的健康状况。截至收盘，道指涨2.57点，涨幅为0.01%，报33485.29点；纳指涨91.09点，涨幅为0.76%，报12087.96点；标普500指数涨14.64点，涨幅为0.36%，报4105.02点。本周道指上涨0.6%，标普500指数下跌0.1%，纳指下跌1.1%。大型科技股多数上涨，谷歌涨3.77%，创2022年9月份以来收盘新高；Meta、微软涨逾2%。AI概念股普遍反弹，SoundHound AI涨超15%，BigBear.ai涨逾14%，C3.ai涨超8%。2、周四热门中概股多数上涨 阿里巴巴涨超4%热门中概股大部分收涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数涨1.47%，本周累跌3.20%。阿里巴巴涨超4%，唯品会涨超3%，理想汽车、小鹏汽车涨超2%，哔哩哔哩、网易、爱奇艺涨超1%，京东、微博、蔚来、百度、小幅上涨。拼多多小幅下跌。3、欧股集体收高 德国DAX30指数涨0.5%德国DAX30指数涨0.5%，英国富时100指数涨1%，法国CAC40指数涨0.12%，欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.27%。4、纽约黄金期货周四收跌0.5% 连续第六周上涨周四，纽约商品交易所6月交割的黄金期货价格下跌9.20美元，跌幅近0.5%，收于每盎司2026.40美元。按照最活跃合约计算，本周黄金期货合约上涨了2%，录得连续第六周上涨，因为对潜在经济衰退的担忧使金价获得支撑。5、美国WTI原油期货周四收高0.1% 本周上涨6.7%周四，纽约商品交易所5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）期货价格上涨9美分，涨幅为0.1%，收于每桶80.70美元。按照最活跃合约计算，本周WTI原油期货累计上涨近6.7%。宏观新闻1、 美国上周首次申领失业救济人数超出预期美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，截至4月1日当周，首次申领失业救济人数减少1.8万人，至22.8万人。接受彭博调查的经济学家的预估中值为20万人。之前一周的数据上修4.8万人，至24.6万人。美国劳工部不得不在疫情期间改变调整季节性因素的方式，因扭曲程度太大。今天的报告维持了疫情第一年的方法，但对于2020年3月之前和2021年6月之后的数据则沿用了传统方法。这意味着今年的申请失业救济人数基本超过20万人，而此前报道的数字远低于该水平。2、美国最严排放新规即将出台据知情人士透露，拜登政府将于下周三提出美国有史以来最严厉的汽车污染遏制措施，有助于刺激电动汽车销售，但不会强制推广轻型乘用电动汽车或禁止销售传统的汽油动力车型。新规将涉及汽车和轻型卡车的尾气排放标准，更严格管理2027至2032年生产车型的车辆二氧化碳、能形成烟雾的氮氧化物，以及其他污染物的尾气排放。环保组织和一些汽车制造商认为，上述拟议新规除了可以推动车辆减排、促使车企显著扩大电动汽车销量之外，还会令美国到2030年至少有50%的新车为电动汽车或插电式混合动力车型，这与拜登在2021年上任伊始提出的愿景相一致。3、世贸组织上调今年全球贸易增速预期当地时间4月5日，世界贸易组织发布的最新一期《全球贸易数据与展望》报告预测，2023年全球货物贸易量将增长1.7%，高于去年10月预测的1%。报告同时指出，受地缘政治局势紧张、通胀高企、货币政策紧缩、债务水平上升等多重风险影响，贸易增长前景仍面临较高不确定性。世贸组织呼吁，各国政府避免贸易碎片化，保持贸易自由流动，加强多边贸易合作，共同促进全球经济恢复。4、美联储鹰派官员淡化信贷紧缩风险 称目前正是加息“好时机”圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长James Bullard表示，美联储为缓解金融压力而采取的措施正在奏效，接下来应该继续加息以遏制高通胀。他认为，近期银行业动荡引发的信贷条件收紧不会使美国经济陷入衰退，目前贷款需求仍然强劲。5、全球央行2月继续抢黄金 连续11个月净买入根据世界黄金协会（World Gold Council）汇编的最新数据，今年2月，全球央行的黄金储备增加了52吨，为央行连续第11个月净买入黄金。从前两个月来看，全球央行黄金净购买量为125吨，为2010年以来最强劲的年度开局。6、高盛：一季度美股财报或成为疫情以来最差美股一季度业绩即将出炉，高盛认为，美国上市公司的利润将出现新冠疫情以来的最大幅度下降，可能仅有三个行业的利润率上升。高盛Lily Calcagnini和David Kostin等策略师预期，一季度，标准普尔500指数成份股公司每股收益将较上年同期下降7%，创下2020年第三季度以来的最大跌幅，并将令美股处于利润周期的低点。7、ChatGPT补救方案将至 意大利当局：无意阻碍AI发展意大利数据监管机构表示，聊天机器人ChatGPT的开发公司OpenAI计划在当地时间周四向意大利当局提交补救措施，以解决监管机构的担忧。在当地时间周三晚些时候的视频会议上，OpenAI承诺将在处理用户和验证用户年龄的方式上更加透明。OpenAI首席执行官Sam Altman是与会者之一。8、瑞典确认“北溪”遭到蓄意破坏 但犯案人员难以确定瑞典检方周四发布公报称，再次确认“北溪”天然气管道遭到蓄意破坏，但表示目前难以确定实施破坏的犯案人员。瑞典检方在公报中称，“对在现场调查期间查获的物品进行分析显示，几件物品上有爆炸物痕迹，已确认这是一起蓄意破坏案”。但公报同时表示，目前还在对这一复杂案件进行调查，“爆炸发生在水下80米的海底深处，背后肇事者究竟是谁仍难以确定”。公司新闻1、微软已将“文本生成图片”功能整合进浏览器当地时间周三，科技巨头微软高管表示，公司已将“必应映像创建器”（Bing Image Creator）试用版的功能整合到微软Edge浏览器的侧边栏上。公司广告和网络服务部门的首席执行官Mikhail Parakhin在社交媒体上表示，在新功能的帮助下，“用户可以将生成的图片直接插入到任何正在编辑的内容中。”在Edge浏览器的侧边栏上，有一个类似于“绘图”的图标。在输入“Vinyage”（老式的）和“Computer”（电脑）后，显示了四张非常古老的电脑图片，用户可以将图片插入到邮件内容中。2、亚马逊正与钻石巨头戴比尔斯合作，开发用于量子计算的人造钻石4月6日，有媒体报道称，亚马逊正在与全球钻石巨头戴比尔斯集团的一个部门合作研发种植人造钻石，押注定制宝石可以帮助革新计算机网络。戴比尔斯的元素六部门将与亚马逊网络服务中心的量子网络合作开展该项目，该部门正在寻找下一代安全地远距离传输数据的方式。量子网络使用亚原子物质以超越当今光纤系统的方式传输数据。钻石将成为一个组件的一部分，该组件可以让数据在不中断的情况下传输得更远。3、Meta入局来势汹涌 “生成式AI”引发技术争鸣4月5日，Meta首次对外宣称，将在2023年年底推出AIGC的商业化落地产品，预计将与OpenAI的大语言模型形成竞争。同日，该公司又发布了“AI抠图”模型Segment Anything，用户惊呼其将加码“元宇宙”内容的生成。Meta加入AIGC浪潮，来势汹涌。它和大语言模型的“针锋相对”、在“元宇宙”上的持续投入，都令这个AI玩家独树一帜。4、谷歌正式应战！聊天机器人即将加入搜索引擎在搜索引擎市场占有率每获得一个百分点，就会对应20亿美元的收入进账，这是微软给出的测算数据。将ChatGPT整合进Bing之后，Bing用户数量迅速飙升，微软CEO甚至喊话将在搜索领域挑战谷歌。而谷歌这位搜索界“老大哥”终于准备直接应战。据媒体报道，谷歌CEO Sundar Pichai透露，谷歌计划在自家旗舰搜索引擎中添加AI对话功能，以应对ChatGPT等聊天机器人带来的竞争及商业压力。5、沃尔玛加速跨界打造电动车充电网，要在全美门店增设数千充电站4月6日周四，沃尔玛宣布，计划在美国全国的沃尔玛门店和山姆会员店设置新的电动汽车（EV）快速充电站，到2030年，让沃尔玛的EV快速充电网覆盖全美数千家门店。这将是沃尔玛EV充电网的一次大幅扩张。因为沃尔玛在周四的声明中指出，目前已在280多家门店设有将近1300个EV快充站。以下为声明展示的门店设充电站效果图。6、强生爽身粉致癌风波未停当地时间4月4日，美国强生公司表示，计划在未来25年内支付89亿美元（约612亿元人民币）赔款，以解决针对其婴儿爽身粉及其他含有滑石粉产品涉嫌致癌的相关索赔。但强生公司仍然否认有关含滑石粉产品致癌的指控。同时，虽然强生已经停产这款产品，但多年来的索赔诉讼引发了公众的不信任，以及对更多含该成分产品安全性的担忧。7、波音将提高737系列飞机产量以增加现金流据知情人士透露，波音公司计划在年中前将其737系列飞机的产量提高到每月38架，比分析师预测的要早几个月。这位知情人士称，这家美国飞机制造商一直在向其客户介绍未来几个月增产737系列飞机的计划，同时还雇佣和培训员工来提高生产速度。知情人士出于保密要求匿名。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"IAU":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"SImain":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"DUST":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"NUGT":0.9,"GLD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941425855,"gmtCreate":1680559247077,"gmtModify":1680559251922,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941425855","repostId":"1192741388","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192741388","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680528590,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1192741388?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-03 21:29","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | Three major indexes were mixed, oil stocks broadly rose, Tesla fell more than 3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192741388","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"道琼斯指数开盘上涨110.80点，涨幅0.33%，报33384.95点。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, April 3rd, U.S. stocks opened with mixed gains and losses, with the Dow Jones index opening up 110.80 points, or 0.33%, to 33,384.95 points; The S&P 500 opened down 5.11 points, or 0.12%, at 4,104.20; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 78.08 points, or 0.64%, at 12,143.82.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076f2f190fe8e9e01c8416f4768be3af\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>The oil sector rose, with Shell and BP rising about 5% and Chevron rising about 4%, after many OPEC + countries announced voluntary oil production cuts and international oil prices soared.</p><p>Tesla drops more than 3%, Q1 deliveries hit record highs, and analysts remain cautious on margins.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc2c5d30e14e21c43503feac7061de35\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>New energy vehicle stocks in China were mixed, with XPeng Motors rising nearly 3%, Li Auto falling 0.5% and Nio falling more than 2%.</p><p>China education stocks strengthened, with TAL rising by more than 4%, Youdao rising by nearly 3% and New Oriental rising by more than 2%.</p><p>UBS fell nearly 3% and Credit Suisse fell nearly 1% on reports that Swiss federal prosecutors have launched an investigation into the government-backed takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS.</p><p>The U.S. department store sector rose, with Macy's rising by more than 8%, Coles and Nordstrom rising by more than 3%.</p><p>Blackstone Group fell nearly 2%, and Blackstone Real Estate Investment Trust (BREIT) had $4.5 billion in redemption requests in March.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | Three major indexes were mixed, oil stocks broadly rose, Tesla fell more than 3%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-03 21:29</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On Monday, April 3rd, U.S. stocks opened with mixed gains and losses, with the Dow Jones index opening up 110.80 points, or 0.33%, to 33,384.95 points; The S&P 500 opened down 5.11 points, or 0.12%, at 4,104.20; The Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 78.08 points, or 0.64%, at 12,143.82.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076f2f190fe8e9e01c8416f4768be3af\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>The oil sector rose, with Shell and BP rising about 5% and Chevron rising about 4%, after many OPEC + countries announced voluntary oil production cuts and international oil prices soared.</p><p>Tesla drops more than 3%, Q1 deliveries hit record highs, and analysts remain cautious on margins.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc2c5d30e14e21c43503feac7061de35\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>New energy vehicle stocks in China were mixed, with XPeng Motors rising nearly 3%, Li Auto falling 0.5% and Nio falling more than 2%.</p><p>China education stocks strengthened, with TAL rising by more than 4%, Youdao rising by nearly 3% and New Oriental rising by more than 2%.</p><p>UBS fell nearly 3% and Credit Suisse fell nearly 1% on reports that Swiss federal prosecutors have launched an investigation into the government-backed takeover of Credit Suisse by UBS.</p><p>The U.S. department store sector rose, with Macy's rising by more than 8%, Coles and Nordstrom rising by more than 3%.</p><p>Blackstone Group fell nearly 2%, and Blackstone Real Estate Investment Trust (BREIT) had $4.5 billion in redemption requests in March.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192741388","content_text":"4月3日周一，美股开盘涨跌不一，道琼斯指数开盘上涨110.80点，涨幅0.33%，报33384.95点；标普500指数开盘下跌5.11点，跌幅0.12%，报4104.20点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘下跌78.08点，跌幅0.64%，报12143.82点。石油板块走高，壳牌、英国石油涨约5%，雪佛龙涨约4%，此前欧佩克+多国宣布自愿石油减产，国际油价飙升。特斯拉跌超3%，Q1交付量创新高，分析师仍对利润率保持谨慎。中概新能源车股涨跌不一，小鹏汽车涨近3%，理想汽车跌0.5%，蔚来跌超2%。中概教育股走强，好未来涨超4%，有道涨近3%，新东方涨超2%。瑞银跌近3%，瑞士信贷跌近1%，报道称瑞士联邦检察官已对瑞信在政府支持下被瑞银收购一事展开调查。美股百货商店板块走高，梅西百货涨超8%，科尔士百货、诺德斯特龙涨超3%。黑石集团跌近2%，黑石房地产投资信托基金（BREIT）在3月份出现45亿美元的赎回请求。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2018,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941626695,"gmtCreate":1680215240218,"gmtModify":1680215243916,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941626695","repostId":"2323678027","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2323678027","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1680170043,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2323678027?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 17:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2323678027","media":"金十数据","summary":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on the Fed's interest rate cut, but taking history as a mirror, the Fed's interest rate cut may be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"Just because the Fed cut interest rates doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Robertwitz said.<strong>Equity investors betting on the Fed's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>An emergency sale at a steep discount has investors betting that the Fed will pivot. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, while the Fed remains determined to keep interest rates \"higher for longer\" despite the unfolding crisis.</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell in a critical moment.<strong>If history is any guide, investor conditioning can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts are always \"mourning everywhere\"</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve has slashed its Federal Funds rate nine times since 1970.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement of the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market trough is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines have all exceeded average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 one saw a worse-than-average decline.</p><p>So,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been worse than before 1990?</strong>Because before 1990, the Federal Reserve was more active. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>The Fed has dominated the low interest rate environment for the past 20 years</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been trending downward for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began its rate hike in March 2022, 10-year real yields were often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to prevail.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Fed's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 has led conservative bankers and activist hedge funds to take on huge risks. Because without investing in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is bad for profits.</p><p><strong>Fed rate cuts could trigger the next plunge</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced considerable declines in the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Has most of the pullback/retracement associated with interest rate cuts already happened?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement from the start of the rate hike cycle,<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle is 11.50%</strong>, but has fallen nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>In judging how the Fed's next pivot will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two more factors to consider</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the biggest pullback/retracement during the rate cut and the one-year return after the cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, a year after the last rate cut, the S&P 500 rose more than 50%.<strong>This percentage is three times the average return of 16% over the previous 8 cycles. So it's no surprise that the biggest drop in the current rate hike cycle is larger than average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Second, valuations help explain why the recent stock market declines during the Fed's policy pivot have been worse than before the dot-com bubble burst. The figure below shows that,<strong>The last three rate cuts all started when CAPE10's valuation was above its historical average</strong>, in contrast, previous examples have all occurred at below-average valuations.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E (Shiller P/E) or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as price divided by inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>Current CAPE valuations, while not as high as they were at the end of 2021, are about 50% above average. Although the market has made some corrections,<strong>Valuations could still be back to or below average</strong>, as they did in 2003 and 2009. Robertwitz said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies have played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Considering inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market goes down more seriously now, it is unlikely that Fed members or politicians will increase the stimulus of fiscal and monetary policy.\"<strong>Market Expectations for Rate Cuts Are Unrealistic</strong></p><p>The Fed remained outspoken last week that it wanted inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and aggressively as the market predicts, something must be wrong</strong>。 For now, only in seriously unfavourable circumstances of a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy is there a reason to adopt the kind of rate cuts that markets suggest. Please note,<strong>Whether it's a crisis or a recession, it's not good for company earnings and share prices.</strong></p><p>There's one more thing to consider about the Fed's policy shift. If the Fed cuts interest rates, the yield curve could return to normal. Historically, the inversion of the yield curve has only been a warning of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two closely watched U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. The steepening of both curves was accompanied by a recession in the four scenarios mentioned above (i.e., greater-than-average pullback/retracement) and others prior to 1990. While<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-30 17:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on the Fed's interest rate cut, but taking history as a mirror, the Fed's interest rate cut may be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"Just because the Fed cut interest rates doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Robertwitz said.<strong>Equity investors betting on the Fed's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>An emergency sale at a steep discount has investors betting that the Fed will pivot. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, while the Fed remains determined to keep interest rates \"higher for longer\" despite the unfolding crisis.</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell in a critical moment.<strong>If history is any guide, investor conditioning can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts are always \"mourning everywhere\"</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve has slashed its Federal Funds rate nine times since 1970.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement of the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market trough is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines have all exceeded average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 one saw a worse-than-average decline.</p><p>So,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been worse than before 1990?</strong>Because before 1990, the Federal Reserve was more active. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>The Fed has dominated the low interest rate environment for the past 20 years</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been trending downward for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began its rate hike in March 2022, 10-year real yields were often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to prevail.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Fed's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 has led conservative bankers and activist hedge funds to take on huge risks. Because without investing in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is bad for profits.</p><p><strong>Fed rate cuts could trigger the next plunge</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced considerable declines in the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Has most of the pullback/retracement associated with interest rate cuts already happened?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement from the start of the rate hike cycle,<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle is 11.50%</strong>, but has fallen nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>In judging how the Fed's next pivot will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two more factors to consider</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the biggest pullback/retracement during the rate cut and the one-year return after the cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, a year after the last rate cut, the S&P 500 rose more than 50%.<strong>This percentage is three times the average return of 16% over the previous 8 cycles. So it's no surprise that the biggest drop in the current rate hike cycle is larger than average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Second, valuations help explain why the recent stock market declines during the Fed's policy pivot have been worse than before the dot-com bubble burst. The figure below shows that,<strong>The last three rate cuts all started when CAPE10's valuation was above its historical average</strong>, in contrast, previous examples have all occurred at below-average valuations.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E (Shiller P/E) or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as price divided by inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>Current CAPE valuations, while not as high as they were at the end of 2021, are about 50% above average. Although the market has made some corrections,<strong>Valuations could still be back to or below average</strong>, as they did in 2003 and 2009. Robertwitz said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies have played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Considering inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market goes down more seriously now, it is unlikely that Fed members or politicians will increase the stimulus of fiscal and monetary policy.\"<strong>Market Expectations for Rate Cuts Are Unrealistic</strong></p><p>The Fed remained outspoken last week that it wanted inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and aggressively as the market predicts, something must be wrong</strong>。 For now, only in seriously unfavourable circumstances of a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy is there a reason to adopt the kind of rate cuts that markets suggest. Please note,<strong>Whether it's a crisis or a recession, it's not good for company earnings and share prices.</strong></p><p>There's one more thing to consider about the Fed's policy shift. If the Fed cuts interest rates, the yield curve could return to normal. Historically, the inversion of the yield curve has only been a warning of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two closely watched U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. The steepening of both curves was accompanied by a recession in the four scenarios mentioned above (i.e., greater-than-average pullback/retracement) and others prior to 1990. While<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2323678027","content_text":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！RIA Advisors的投资分析师和投资组合经理罗伯维兹（Michael Lebowitz）撰文表示：“美联储降息并不代表牛市来了。”罗伯维兹称，押注美联储调整政策的股票投资者可能需要重新思考他们的逻辑。美国史上第二大银行倒闭案以及瑞士信贷大幅折价紧急出售，令投资者押注美联储将转向。他们似乎并不关心通胀的热度和粘性，而尽管危机不断发展，美联储仍然决心将利率“更长时间地保持在较高水平”。就像巴甫洛夫的狗一样，投资者在听到关键时刻的铃声时买入。如果以史为鉴，投资者的条件反射可能是有害的。降息总是“哀鸿遍野”自1970年以来，美联储曾9次大幅下调联邦基金利率。标普500指数从每个降息周期开始到市场低谷的平均最大回撤为27.25%。最近三次的跌幅都超过了平均水平，而在其他六次经历中，只有1974-1977年那次出现了比平均水平更糟的下降。那么，为什么最近几次的回撤都比1990年以前更严重呢？因为在1990年之前，美联储更为活跃。因此，他们不允许利率大幅高于或低于经济的自然增速。例外就是，上世纪70年代和80年代初的高通胀曾迫使美联储保持警惕。不管是什么原因，高利率有助于抑制投机泡沫。在过去20年里，美联储主导了低利率环境。下图显示，实际收益率（名义收益率减去通胀预期）40年来一直呈下降趋势。从疫情到美联储于2022年3月开始加息，10年期实际收益率经常为负数。当利率处于可预见的低水平时，投机活动往往盛行。正如我们所看到的，美联储在2020年和2021年的宽松政策所产生的投机行为，导致保守的银行家和激进的对冲基金承担了巨大的风险。因为如果不投资风险更高的产品，他们就必须接受负的实际回报，这对利润不利。美联储降息恐引发下一轮暴跌鉴于市场在2022年3月开始的加息周期中经历了相当大的下跌，与降息相关的大部分回撤是否已经发生了呢？下图显示了标普500指数从加息周期开始的最大回撤，加息周期的平均降幅为11.50%，但在本轮周期中却下跌了近25%。在判断美联储下一次转向会如何影响股市预期时，还有两个需要考虑的因素。首先，下图显示了降息期间的最大回撤以及降息结束后的一年回报率。从2020年5月到2021年5月，也就是上次降息后的一年时间里，标普500指数上涨了50%以上。这一比例是前8个周期平均回报率16%的三倍。因此，当前加息周期的最大降幅大于平均水平也就不足为奇了。其次，估值有助于解释为什么最近几次在美联储政策转向期间的股市下跌比互联网泡沫破裂前的更严重。下图显示，最近三次降息都是在CAPE10估值高于历史平均水平时开始的，相比之下，此前的例子都发生在低于平均估值的情况下。注：CAPE(周期性调整市盈率)又称希勒市盈率(Shiller P/E)或P/E 10比率，是一种通常用于美国标普500指数股市的估值指标。它的定义是价格除以经过通货膨胀调整的10年平均收入(移动平均)。目前的CAPE估值虽然没有2021年底那么高，但比平均水平高出约50%。尽管市场已经进行了一些调整，但估值仍可能回到平均水平或低于平均水平，就像2003年和2009年那样。罗伯维兹称：“很难对2020年的回撤做出结论。史无前例的财政和货币政策在提振股市方面发挥了突出作用。考虑到通胀和政治分歧，我们认为，现在就算市场出现更严重的下跌，美联储成员或政界人士都不太可能加大财政和货币政策的刺激。”市场对降息的预期并不现实美联储上周仍直言不讳地表示，希望通胀率回到2%的目标。如果他们要像市场预测的那样迅速且大幅降息，那一定是出了问题。目前，只有在银行业危机或经济迅速恶化的严重不利形势下，才有理由采取市场暗示的那种降息。请注意，无论是危机还是衰退，对公司收益和股价来说都不是好事。关于美联储的政策转向，还有一点值得考虑。如果美联储降息，收益率曲线可能会恢复正常。从历史上看，收益率曲线的倒挂只是衰退的警告。下图显示了两条备受关注的美国国债收益率曲线。在上述四种情况（即回撤幅度大于平均水平）和1990年之前的其他情况中，两条曲线变陡都伴随着经济衰退。而过去两周，2-10年期美债收益率曲线变陡了60个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPY":1,"DJX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".DJI":1,"MNQmain":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SH":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941639195,"gmtCreate":1680183290218,"gmtModify":1680183294088,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941639195","repostId":"1146780615","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1146780615","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680183015,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146780615?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146780615","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30th, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, and the Dow Jones index opened up 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36 points; The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4,052.52; The Nasdaq Composite opened up 84.21 points, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>Up more than 12%, the company officially announced the start of production of FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>up nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Proposed spin-off<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Sanfa and JD Industrial are separately listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>It fell 8% after saying it planned to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted to the parliament an increase of 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquisition of Credit Suisse's plan to provide a guarantee of 109 billion Swiss francs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>up 5%, and is expected to reach a settlement this year on its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-30 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30th, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, and the Dow Jones index opened up 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36 points; The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4,052.52; The Nasdaq Composite opened up 84.21 points, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>Up more than 12%, the company officially announced the start of production of FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>up nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Proposed spin-off<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Sanfa and JD Industrial are separately listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>It fell 8% after saying it planned to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted to the parliament an increase of 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquisition of Credit Suisse's plan to provide a guarantee of 109 billion Swiss francs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>up 5%, and is expected to reach a settlement this year on its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"LU0048580855.USD":"富达大中华区A","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PHG":"飞利浦","LU0868486357.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Opportunities A (acc) SGD-H","LU0588545904.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income ASDM SGD","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU1880383366.USD":"东方汇理中国股票基金 A2 (C)",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0588545730.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"ADM\" (USD) INC","LU0359202008.SGD":"Blackrock China Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0650527681.SGD":"Fidelity China Consumer A-SGD","LU1044876610.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) ASIAN CONTRARIAN EQUITY \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","LU1366334578.USD":"ALLSPRING EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) 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Plus Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU0084288322.USD":"Natixis Asia Equity RD USD","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","IE00BGV7N243.SGD":"FSSA Global Emerging Markets Focus I Acc SGD","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","BK4579":"人工智能","JD":"京东","BK4588":"碎股","LU0315178854.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"A\" ACC","BK1142":"互联网与直销零售","UBS":"瑞银","SG9999001226.SGD":"UNITED SUSTAINABLE ASIA TOP 50 \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK1588":"回港中概股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146780615","content_text":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨84.21点，涨幅0.71%，报12010.45点。法拉第未来涨逾12%，公司官宣FF 91 Futurist开始生产。京东上涨近6%，京东拟分拆京东产发、京东工业于香港联交所主板独立上市。3B家居跌8%，此前称计划出售价值3亿美元的股票。瑞银涨3%，瑞士信贷涨2%，瑞士政府已向议会提交为瑞银收购瑞信提供1090亿瑞郎担保的计划。飞利浦涨5%，预计今年将就其全球召回的呼吸系统设备达成和解。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FFIE":0.9,"CS":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UBS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PHG":0.9,"USB":0.9,"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9,"BBBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943508600,"gmtCreate":1679529863201,"gmtModify":1679529865489,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943508600","repostId":"2321891580","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2321891580","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679526139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321891580?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-23 07:02","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"Foreign media headlines | 9 times in a row! Fed rate hike Another 25 Percentage Points","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321891580","media":"环球市场播报","summary":"　　美联储周三宣布加息25个基点，表达了对近期银行业危机的谨慎态度，并暗示加息即将结束。　　FOMC会后声明称：“委员会将密切监控新传来的信息，并评估其对货币政策的影响。”　　美联储下调美国2023年GDP增长预期至0.4%，12月料增0.5%。　　美联储主席鲍威尔表示，在本月美国有三家银行倒闭后，美联储准备“使用我们所有的工具”来保持银行系统安全、稳固和高效。当时美联储还制定了一项针对银行的新贷款计划，并引发了激烈政治争议。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The Federal Reserve rate hike 25 basis points and lowered the U.S. GDP forecast for the next two years</b><b>2. Powell: The Fed will 'use all its tools' to protect the banking system</b><b>3. US Treasury Secretary Yellen will emphasize that bank owners and bondholders are not protected by the government</b><b>4. UBS will buy back euro-denominated \"self-help\" bonds to give investors a stop-loss opportunity</b><b>5. Analysts say that the Federal Reserve is the \"culprit\" of the banking crisis. A large number of banks may cease to exist in the next 1-2 years</b><b>6. Wall Street believes the Fed's rate hike has been as hawkish as possible at a time when banking is in trouble</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436ce60db439214505de766a8ff983d8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Fed rate hike 25 basis points, cuts U.S. GDP forecast for next two years</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of 25 basis points on Wednesday, expressing caution about the recent banking crisis and hinting that the rate hike is coming to an end.</p><p>In the ninth rate hike since March 2022, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which sets interest rates, noted that future rate hike is uncertain and will depend heavily on future data.</p><p>\"The committee will closely monitor new incoming information and assess its impact on monetary policy,\" the FOMC's post-meeting statement said. \"The committee anticipates that some additional policy tightening may be appropriate to reach a monetary policy stance that is stringent enough to bring inflation back to 2% over time.\"</p><p>The Federal Reserve lowered its U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 0.4%, with a 0.5% increase expected in December. Cut U.S. 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%, with a 1.6% increase expected in December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a58a35f86e69d1d10b9bc345a43c52e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Powell: Fed will 'use all its tools' to protect banking system</b></p><p>Fed Chair Powell said the Fed is prepared to \"use all our tools\" to keep the banking system safe, solid and efficient after three U.S. banks failed this month.</p><p>Powell told a news conference Wednesday that continued monitoring is necessary to better alleviate the \"serious difficulties of a small number of banks.\"</p><p>\"The banking system is solid and resilient,\" Powell said in response to a question about the outflow of deposits from various mid-sized banks. The financial system is well capitalized and liquid, he added.</p><p>Powell highlighted extraordinary steps regulators took earlier this month to calm concerns. At the time, the Federal Reserve also created a new lending program for banks, which sparked bitter political controversy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/659aa2eccb8583113b463096f49f4dc2\" tg-width=\"490\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>US Treasury Secretary Yellen will emphasize that bank owners and bondholders are not protected by the government</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen plans to uphold the Biden administration's actions aimed at boosting confidence in the U.S. banking industry before Congress on Wednesday, stressing that no bailouts have been provided to owners or investors of any failed banks.</p><p>Yellen said, \"It's important to be clear: Shareholders and debt holders of failed banks are not protected by the government.\"</p><p>\"The loss resulting from the disposal procedures of these banks is not borne by the taxpayer,\" she added. \"Protection of deposits is provided by the Deposit Insurance Fund, which is funded by premiums from the insured bank.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/004ce7c27bb2d85c1cb3d340b3ad1c4b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>UBS will buy back euro-denominated 'self-help' bonds to give investors a stop-loss opportunity</b></p><p>UBS plans to buy back \"bail-in\" bonds it issued just days before agreeing to buy Credit Suisse.</p><p>In order to alleviate market concerns about the risks of the acquisition transaction, UBS made a repurchase request to creditors holding $3 billion of senior bonds. While shareholders cheered that UBS could buy Credit Suisse at a very low price, the price of UBS's bonds has continued to fall in recent days, and credit ratings companies have downgraded their outlook for the bank's bonds.</p><p>UBS, whose share price has risen steadily in the past two years, will spend years completing a complex integration and restructuring with Credit Suisse, cutting costs by at least $8 billion. But the bank thinks the price is worth it because it helps the wealth management business further grow, and the negative goodwill of the merger and acquisition transaction is 56 billion Swiss francs, and the Swiss government also provides guarantees for some losses.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dfeb9620496bf9cdfb56406901a6f9a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Analysts say the Federal Reserve is the \"culprit\" of the banking crisis A large number of banks may cease to exist in the next 1-2 years</b></p><p>Many executives from the asset management and finance industries gathered at an investment conference in London on Wednesday to discuss a number of topics, including the current crisis.</p><p>\"It's true that we're not on the verge of a massive run on banks, but there will be very, very significant consequences,\" Daniel Pinto, CEO of Stanhope Capital, said in an interview. 'That will include mergers, especially in the US, and more banking focus,' he said.</p><p>\"The culprit, I'd say, is the Federal Reserve,\" Pinto said. \"It is irresponsible and unnecessary to raise rates from zero to 4.75% and most likely to 5% in eight months.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3445f0cfc38858e09a782eef374382c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Wall Street sees Fed's rate hike as hawkish as it can be as banking struggles</b></p><p>Wall Street generally expected the Fed to rate hike 25 basis points, and it did. But stock market investors disputed conflicting messages: policy guidance went from a \"sustained\" rate hike to \"some additional\" policy tightening, even as Chairman Powell said the Fed was not tied.</p><p>The stock market then rose first and then fell. The U.S. Treasury Bond and the U.S. dollar fell. With the Fed's estimates for unemployment and inflation largely unchanged, the summary of the Fed's economic forecasts is of little use to investors.</p><p>While Powell said at the press conference that policymakers considered suspending the rate hike before the meeting, the Fed remained focused on the risk of high inflation while watching the development of the banking system. \"If we need to raise rates higher, we'll do it,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Foreign media headlines | 9 times in a row! Fed rate hike Another 25 Percentage Points</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nForeign media headlines | 9 times in a row! Fed rate hike Another 25 Percentage Points\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">环球市场播报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-23 07:02</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>The headlines that the global financial media paid common attention to last night and this morning mainly include:</b></p><p><b>1. The Federal Reserve rate hike 25 basis points and lowered the U.S. GDP forecast for the next two years</b><b>2. Powell: The Fed will 'use all its tools' to protect the banking system</b><b>3. US Treasury Secretary Yellen will emphasize that bank owners and bondholders are not protected by the government</b><b>4. UBS will buy back euro-denominated \"self-help\" bonds to give investors a stop-loss opportunity</b><b>5. Analysts say that the Federal Reserve is the \"culprit\" of the banking crisis. A large number of banks may cease to exist in the next 1-2 years</b><b>6. Wall Street believes the Fed's rate hike has been as hawkish as possible at a time when banking is in trouble</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436ce60db439214505de766a8ff983d8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Fed rate hike 25 basis points, cuts U.S. GDP forecast for next two years</b></p><p>The Federal Reserve announced a rate hike of 25 basis points on Wednesday, expressing caution about the recent banking crisis and hinting that the rate hike is coming to an end.</p><p>In the ninth rate hike since March 2022, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which sets interest rates, noted that future rate hike is uncertain and will depend heavily on future data.</p><p>\"The committee will closely monitor new incoming information and assess its impact on monetary policy,\" the FOMC's post-meeting statement said. \"The committee anticipates that some additional policy tightening may be appropriate to reach a monetary policy stance that is stringent enough to bring inflation back to 2% over time.\"</p><p>The Federal Reserve lowered its U.S. GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 0.4%, with a 0.5% increase expected in December. Cut U.S. 2024 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%, with a 1.6% increase expected in December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a58a35f86e69d1d10b9bc345a43c52e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Powell: Fed will 'use all its tools' to protect banking system</b></p><p>Fed Chair Powell said the Fed is prepared to \"use all our tools\" to keep the banking system safe, solid and efficient after three U.S. banks failed this month.</p><p>Powell told a news conference Wednesday that continued monitoring is necessary to better alleviate the \"serious difficulties of a small number of banks.\"</p><p>\"The banking system is solid and resilient,\" Powell said in response to a question about the outflow of deposits from various mid-sized banks. The financial system is well capitalized and liquid, he added.</p><p>Powell highlighted extraordinary steps regulators took earlier this month to calm concerns. At the time, the Federal Reserve also created a new lending program for banks, which sparked bitter political controversy.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/659aa2eccb8583113b463096f49f4dc2\" tg-width=\"490\" tg-height=\"336\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>US Treasury Secretary Yellen will emphasize that bank owners and bondholders are not protected by the government</b></p><p>U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen plans to uphold the Biden administration's actions aimed at boosting confidence in the U.S. banking industry before Congress on Wednesday, stressing that no bailouts have been provided to owners or investors of any failed banks.</p><p>Yellen said, \"It's important to be clear: Shareholders and debt holders of failed banks are not protected by the government.\"</p><p>\"The loss resulting from the disposal procedures of these banks is not borne by the taxpayer,\" she added. \"Protection of deposits is provided by the Deposit Insurance Fund, which is funded by premiums from the insured bank.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/004ce7c27bb2d85c1cb3d340b3ad1c4b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>UBS will buy back euro-denominated 'self-help' bonds to give investors a stop-loss opportunity</b></p><p>UBS plans to buy back \"bail-in\" bonds it issued just days before agreeing to buy Credit Suisse.</p><p>In order to alleviate market concerns about the risks of the acquisition transaction, UBS made a repurchase request to creditors holding $3 billion of senior bonds. While shareholders cheered that UBS could buy Credit Suisse at a very low price, the price of UBS's bonds has continued to fall in recent days, and credit ratings companies have downgraded their outlook for the bank's bonds.</p><p>UBS, whose share price has risen steadily in the past two years, will spend years completing a complex integration and restructuring with Credit Suisse, cutting costs by at least $8 billion. But the bank thinks the price is worth it because it helps the wealth management business further grow, and the negative goodwill of the merger and acquisition transaction is 56 billion Swiss francs, and the Swiss government also provides guarantees for some losses.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7dfeb9620496bf9cdfb56406901a6f9a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Analysts say the Federal Reserve is the \"culprit\" of the banking crisis A large number of banks may cease to exist in the next 1-2 years</b></p><p>Many executives from the asset management and finance industries gathered at an investment conference in London on Wednesday to discuss a number of topics, including the current crisis.</p><p>\"It's true that we're not on the verge of a massive run on banks, but there will be very, very significant consequences,\" Daniel Pinto, CEO of Stanhope Capital, said in an interview. 'That will include mergers, especially in the US, and more banking focus,' he said.</p><p>\"The culprit, I'd say, is the Federal Reserve,\" Pinto said. \"It is irresponsible and unnecessary to raise rates from zero to 4.75% and most likely to 5% in eight months.\"</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3445f0cfc38858e09a782eef374382c\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"350\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Wall Street sees Fed's rate hike as hawkish as it can be as banking struggles</b></p><p>Wall Street generally expected the Fed to rate hike 25 basis points, and it did. But stock market investors disputed conflicting messages: policy guidance went from a \"sustained\" rate hike to \"some additional\" policy tightening, even as Chairman Powell said the Fed was not tied.</p><p>The stock market then rose first and then fell. The U.S. Treasury Bond and the U.S. dollar fell. With the Fed's estimates for unemployment and inflation largely unchanged, the summary of the Fed's economic forecasts is of little use to investors.</p><p>While Powell said at the press conference that policymakers considered suspending the rate hike before the meeting, the Fed remained focused on the risk of high inflation while watching the development of the banking system. \"If we need to raise rates higher, we'll do it,\" he said.</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-23/doc-imymuxpn9749588.shtml\">环球市场播报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436ce60db439214505de766a8ff983d8","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4504":"桥水持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4588":"碎股","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2023-03-23/doc-imymuxpn9749588.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2321891580","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、美联储加息25个基点，下调未来两年美国GDP预期2、鲍威尔：美联储将“使用所有工具”来保护银行体系3、美财长耶伦将强调银行所有者和债券持有人不受政府保护4、瑞银将回购欧元计价“自救”债券 给投资者一个止损机会5、分析师称美联储是银行业危机“祸首” 未来1-2年恐有大量银行不复存在6、华尔街认为银行业陷入困境之际 美联储的加息已尽可能鹰派美联储加息25个基点，下调未来两年美国GDP预期美联储周三宣布加息25个基点，表达了对近期银行业危机的谨慎态度，并暗示加息即将结束。这是自2022年3月以来的第九次加息，制定利率的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）指出，未来的加息并不确定，将在很大程度上取决于未来的数据。FOMC会后声明称：“委员会将密切监控新传来的信息，并评估其对货币政策的影响。”“委员会预计，一些额外的政策收紧可能是适当的，以达到一种足够严格的货币政策立场，随着时间的推移，使通胀恢复到2%。”美联储下调美国2023年GDP增长预期至0.4%，12月料增0.5%。下调美国2024年GDP增长预期至1.2%，12月料增1.6%。鲍威尔：美联储将“使用所有工具”来保护银行体系美联储主席鲍威尔表示，在本月美国有三家银行倒闭后，美联储准备“使用我们所有的工具”来保持银行系统安全、稳固和高效。鲍威尔周三在新闻发布会上表示，有必要继续监控，以更好地缓解“少数银行的严重困难”。“银行系统稳固且有韧性，”鲍威尔在回答有关存款从各种中型银行外流的问题时表示。他补充说，金融系统资本金和流动性充足。鲍威尔强调了监管机构本月早些时候为平息担忧而采取的非常措施。当时美联储还制定了一项针对银行的新贷款计划，并引发了激烈政治争议。美财长耶伦将强调银行所有者和债券持有人不受政府保护美国财政部长耶伦计划周三在国会维护拜登政府旨在增强对美国银行业信心的行动，并强调并未向任何倒闭的银行的所有者或投资者提供救助。耶伦表示，“重要的是要明确：倒闭银行的股东和债务持有人不受政府的保护。”“这些银行的处置程序所造成的损失不由纳税人承担，”她补充说，“对存款的保护由存款保险基金提供，而该基金的资金来源是受保银行的保费。”瑞银将回购欧元计价“自救”债券 给投资者一个止损机会瑞银集团计划回购其在同意收购瑞信的前几天所发行“自救”（bail-in）债券。为了缓解市场对收购交易风险的担忧，瑞银向持有30亿美元优先债的债权人提出了回购请求。虽然股东们为瑞银能以极低价购得瑞信欢呼雀跃，但瑞银的债券价格最近几天持续下跌，信用评级公司也下调了对该行债券的评级展望。过去两年股价稳步上涨的瑞银将花数年时间完成与瑞信复杂的整合重组，削减至少80亿美元成本。但该行认为这个代价值得，因为有助于财富管理业务进一步壮大，而且并购交易的负商誉有560亿瑞郎，瑞士政府还对部分损失提供担保。分析师称美联储是银行业危机“祸首” 未来1-2年恐有大量银行不复存在银行业危机当前，资产管理和金融业众多高管周三齐聚伦敦的投资会议，探讨包括当前危机在内的诸多议题。“的确，我们并不处在银行大规模挤兑的边缘，但会有非常非常重大的后果，”Stanhope Capital首席执行官Daniel Pinto在接受采访时表示。他说道，这将会包括合并，尤其是在美国，以及银行业务更为专注。“我得说，罪魁祸首是美联储，”Pinto说道。“八个月内将利率从零提高到4.75%，很可能还会到5%，是不负责任的，也没有必要。”华尔街认为银行业陷入困境之际 美联储的加息已尽可能鹰派华尔街普遍预期美联储将加息25个基点，而事实也的确如此。但股市投资者对相互矛盾的信息有争议：政策指引从“持续”加息变成“一些额外的”政策紧缩，尽管主席鲍威尔称美联储并未束手束脚。股市随之先涨后跌。美国国债和美元下跌。由于美联储对失业率和通胀的预期基本不变，美联储的经济预测摘要对投资者没多大用处。虽然鲍威尔在新闻发布会上表示，决策者会前考虑过暂停加息，但美联储在关注银行体系形势发展的同时仍把重点放在高通胀风险上。 “如果我们需要把利率提得更高，我们就会做，”他说。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"DXD":0.6,".DJI":1,"IVV":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"SPY":1,"OEF":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,".IXIC":1,"QID":0.6,"OEX":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949997950,"gmtCreate":1678286840270,"gmtModify":1678286844025,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949997950","repostId":"1176864701","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176864701","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678277738,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1176864701?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 20:15","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Pre-market | Three major stock index futures turned down, and two major risk events hit tonight","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176864701","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月8日，美股指期货转跌，截止发稿，道指期货跌0.04%，纳指期货跌0.01%，标普500指数期货跌0.03%。小非农驾到、鲍威尔将再度登场！北京时间周三21:15，美国2月ADP就业数据将出炉。据调","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 8th, the US stock index futures turned down. As of press time, the Dow futures fell by 0.04%, the Nasdaq futures fell by 0.01%, and the S&P 500 futures fell by 0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55a370e74eedfc06039cb97ca2fdfbdc\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Small non-agricultural driving, Powell will appear again!</b></p><p>At 21:15 Beijing time on Wednesday, the U.S. February ADP employment data will be released. According to the survey, the number of ADP employees in the United States is expected to increase by 200,000 in February, after an increase of 106,000 in January. It is understood that ADP data is known as \"small non-agricultural\" and has great influence on the market. Analysts pointed out that if ADP's employment data exceeds expectations, the US dollar may see a new wave of gains, thus pushing other non-US currencies and gold down. FXStreet analyst Matías Salord noted that if the ADP shows private sector employment growth of more than 200,000, it would reaffirm the prospect of \"longer periods of high interest rates\" by the Fed, providing support for the dollar. Moreover, Fed Chair Powell's first day of testimony is crucial for the gold market, but his hearing before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday will be closely watched for new clues on the policy outlook.</p><p><b>Premarket Quotes</b></p><p>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell more than 5%, Weibo fell nearly 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL</a>It fell by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>fell by more than 1%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike</a>It rose by more than 6% before the market, and the company's Q4 performance exceeded market expectations, of which the revenue increased by 48% year-on-year;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a>It rose by more than 3% before the market, and Buffett took another shot, spending about 360 million dollars to further increase his holdings, holding 21.6%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WE\">WeWork</a>It rose more than 6% before the market and is negotiating on debt restructuring;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXN.US\">Maxeon Solar Technologies</a>It rose by more than 14% before the market, and the company's revenue in the fourth quarter exceeded market expectations;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell 1.5% premarket as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration launched an investigation into the falling steering wheel of the Model Y.</p><p><b>European market</b></p><p>Most major European stock indexes rose. As of press time, Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.37%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>up 0.01%, while French CAC40 fell 0.01%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d2f1e2260d786e8cfb6cbbc9d9d2363\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>crude oil</b></p><p>Crude oil futures fluctuated slightly. As of press time, WTI crude oil fell 0.17% to $77.45/barrel; Brent crude oil rose 0.05% to $83.33/barrel.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7675819fa6ccfcb3503a58a9abd2cb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"832\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97f0607d3bff327b1f5eb65ebf6d164e\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"834\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Gold</b></p><p>Gold futures fluctuated slightly, up 0.02% to $1,820.3/oz as of press time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bfe1bf702c3cd1a9740f38860e7b2e1\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"832\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-market | Three major stock index futures turned down, and two major risk events hit tonight</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-market | Three major stock index futures turned down, and two major risk events hit tonight\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-08 20:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 8th, the US stock index futures turned down. As of press time, the Dow futures fell by 0.04%, the Nasdaq futures fell by 0.01%, and the S&P 500 futures fell by 0.03%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55a370e74eedfc06039cb97ca2fdfbdc\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"198\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Small non-agricultural driving, Powell will appear again!</b></p><p>At 21:15 Beijing time on Wednesday, the U.S. February ADP employment data will be released. According to the survey, the number of ADP employees in the United States is expected to increase by 200,000 in February, after an increase of 106,000 in January. It is understood that ADP data is known as \"small non-agricultural\" and has great influence on the market. Analysts pointed out that if ADP's employment data exceeds expectations, the US dollar may see a new wave of gains, thus pushing other non-US currencies and gold down. FXStreet analyst Matías Salord noted that if the ADP shows private sector employment growth of more than 200,000, it would reaffirm the prospect of \"longer periods of high interest rates\" by the Fed, providing support for the dollar. Moreover, Fed Chair Powell's first day of testimony is crucial for the gold market, but his hearing before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday will be closely watched for new clues on the policy outlook.</p><p><b>Premarket Quotes</b></p><p>Popular Chinese stocks fell before the market,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell more than 5%, Weibo fell nearly 5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL</a>It fell by more than 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">Bilibili</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">Alibaba</a>fell by more than 1%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWD\">CrowdStrike</a>It rose by more than 6% before the market, and the company's Q4 performance exceeded market expectations, of which the revenue increased by 48% year-on-year;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental Petroleum</a>It rose by more than 3% before the market, and Buffett took another shot, spending about 360 million dollars to further increase his holdings, holding 21.6%;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WE\">WeWork</a>It rose more than 6% before the market and is negotiating on debt restructuring;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MAXN.US\">Maxeon Solar Technologies</a>It rose by more than 14% before the market, and the company's revenue in the fourth quarter exceeded market expectations;</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>It fell 1.5% premarket as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration launched an investigation into the falling steering wheel of the Model Y.</p><p><b>European market</b></p><p>Most major European stock indexes rose. As of press time, Germany's DAX30 index rose 0.37%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">FTSE 100 UK</a>up 0.01%, while French CAC40 fell 0.01%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d2f1e2260d786e8cfb6cbbc9d9d2363\" tg-width=\"814\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>crude oil</b></p><p>Crude oil futures fluctuated slightly. As of press time, WTI crude oil fell 0.17% to $77.45/barrel; Brent crude oil rose 0.05% to $83.33/barrel.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa7675819fa6ccfcb3503a58a9abd2cb\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"832\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97f0607d3bff327b1f5eb65ebf6d164e\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"834\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Gold</b></p><p>Gold futures fluctuated slightly, up 0.02% to $1,820.3/oz as of press time.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0bfe1bf702c3cd1a9740f38860e7b2e1\" tg-width=\"856\" tg-height=\"832\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","EDU.AU":"EDU HOLDINGS LTD","TAL":"好未来","EDU":"新东方","VUKE.UK":"英国富时100","OXY":"西方石油","GOTU":"高途","USO":"美国原油ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BABA":"阿里巴巴","LI":"理想汽车","BILI":"哔哩哔哩","JD":"京东","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176864701","content_text":"3月8日，美股指期货转跌，截止发稿，道指期货跌0.04%，纳指期货跌0.01%，标普500指数期货跌0.03%。小非农驾到、鲍威尔将再度登场！北京时间周三21:15，美国2月ADP就业数据将出炉。据调查显示，美国2月ADP就业人数预计增加20万，此前1月为增加10.6万。据了解，ADP数据素有“小非农”之称，对于市场具有较大影响力。分析师指出，若ADP就业数据超出预期，美元可能出现新一波涨势，从而推动其它非美货币和黄金下跌。FXStreet分析师Matías Salord指出，如果ADP显示私营部门就业人数增长超过20万，这将重申美联储“更长时间的高利率”的前景，为美元提供支撑。此外，美联储主席鲍威尔第一天的证词对黄金市场至关重要，但他周三在众议院金融服务委员会举行的听证会将受到密切关注，以寻找政策前景的新线索。盘前行情热门中概股盘前普跌，新东方跌超5%，微博跌近5%，理想汽车、高途、好未来跌超2%，京东、哔哩哔哩、阿里巴巴跌超1%；CrowdStrike盘前涨超6%，该公司Q4业绩超市场预期，其中营收同比增长48%；西方石油盘前涨超3%，巴菲特再出手，耗资约3.6亿美元进一步增持，持股达21.6％；WeWork盘前涨超6%，正在就债务重组进行谈判；Maxeon Solar Technologies盘前涨超14%，公司四季度营收超市场预期；特斯拉盘前跌1.5%，美国国家公路交通安全管理局对Model Y方向盘脱落事件展开调查。欧洲市场欧洲主要股指多数上涨，截至发稿，德国DAX30指数涨0.37%，英国富时100涨0.01%，法国CAC40跌0.01%。原油原油期货小幅震荡，截止发稿，WTI原油跌0.17%，报77.45美元/桶；布伦特原油涨0.05%，报83.33美元/桶。黄金黄金期货小幅震荡，截止发稿，涨0.02%，报1820.3美元/盎司。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"EDU":0.9,"SImain":0.9,"JD":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"OXY":0.9,"WE":0.9,"VUKE.UK":0.9,"LI":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"GOTU":0.9,"USO":0.9,"EDU.AU":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"TAL":0.9,"BILI":0.9,"CRWD":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1888,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949997052,"gmtCreate":1678286822777,"gmtModify":1678286826891,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","listText":"[流泪]&nbsp;","text":"[流泪]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949997052","repostId":"1167447308","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167447308","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1678281312,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167447308?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 21:15","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"U.S. ADP employment in February was 242,000, exceeding market expectations","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167447308","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月8日，美国2月ADP就业人数24.2万人，预期20万人，前值10.6万人。2月建筑业就业人数减少1.6万人，1月减少2.4万人；2月制造业就业人数增加4.3万人，1月增加2.3万人；2月贸易/运输","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 8, the number of ADP employed in February in the United States was 242,000, compared with the expected 200,000, and the previous value was 106,000.</p><p>Employment in the construction industry decreased by 16,000 in February and 24,000 in January; Manufacturing employment increased by 43,000 in February and 23,000 in January; Trade/Transportation/Utilities employment increased by 3,000 in February and decreased by 41,000 in January; Employment in the financial services industry increased by 62,000 in February and 30,000 in January; Professional/business services employment decreased by 36,000 in February and increased by 8,000 in January.</p><p>ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson: There is a \"dilemma\" in the labour market right now. We're seeing buoyant hiring, which is good for the economy and workers, but wage growth is still fast. A modest slowdown in wage growth itself is unlikely to bring down inflation quickly in the short term.</p><p>After the release of ADP data, U.S. stock futures fell slightly in the short term; the US Dollar Index was about 10 points higher in the short term at 105.71; Spot gold has changed little in the short term, and it is now quoted at $1,813.78/oz.</p><p>After the data was released, the Fed's swap trade showed that the odds of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March rose to 75%; According to CME's \"Fed Watch\", the probability that the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00%-5.25% in March is as high as 77.9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71cd25a9c91978cea7cb661e7f125ff3\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This week, Fed Governor Waller said that the strong economic indicators in February were only a flash in the pan, and price pressures will resume a downward trend from next month. In contrast, Fed Chairman Powell has been extremely hawkish on interest rate guidance. Financial website Fxstreet previously said employment data such as ADP data would provide clearer interest rate guidance. Strong ADP jobs data will support the Federal Reserve to ramp up the pace of rate hike at its March meeting.</p><p>In addition, analysts at Fxstreet, a financial website, also said that it will not matter if ADP is close to expectations, and negative growth can affect rate hike. Analysts said:</p><p>\"If the ADP report shows private sector employment growth of more than 200,000, it will reaffirm the prospect of 'interest rates remaining at a high platform for a longer period of time', supporting the US dollar and suppressing US debt. But the data will only put pressure on expectations if it falls to the shrinking range. Negative employment growth may be beneficial to the stock market and emerging market currencies. Wednesday's close-to-expectations data could be overlooked by market participants, who may still be digesting Powell's remarks and watching the non-farm payrolls data, waiting to see the February data and January data revisions. \" Analyst Matías Salord likewise believes that the \"small non-farm\" ADP employment data is released sandwiched between Powell's congressional testimony and non-farm data, and its influence is weakened by both, even if the data is unexpected and may have limited impact.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. ADP employment in February was 242,000, exceeding market expectations</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. ADP employment in February was 242,000, exceeding market expectations\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-08 21:15</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 8, the number of ADP employed in February in the United States was 242,000, compared with the expected 200,000, and the previous value was 106,000.</p><p>Employment in the construction industry decreased by 16,000 in February and 24,000 in January; Manufacturing employment increased by 43,000 in February and 23,000 in January; Trade/Transportation/Utilities employment increased by 3,000 in February and decreased by 41,000 in January; Employment in the financial services industry increased by 62,000 in February and 30,000 in January; Professional/business services employment decreased by 36,000 in February and increased by 8,000 in January.</p><p>ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson: There is a \"dilemma\" in the labour market right now. We're seeing buoyant hiring, which is good for the economy and workers, but wage growth is still fast. A modest slowdown in wage growth itself is unlikely to bring down inflation quickly in the short term.</p><p>After the release of ADP data, U.S. stock futures fell slightly in the short term; the US Dollar Index was about 10 points higher in the short term at 105.71; Spot gold has changed little in the short term, and it is now quoted at $1,813.78/oz.</p><p>After the data was released, the Fed's swap trade showed that the odds of raising interest rates by 50 basis points in March rose to 75%; According to CME's \"Fed Watch\", the probability that the Fed will raise interest rates by 50 basis points to the range of 5.00%-5.25% in March is as high as 77.9%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71cd25a9c91978cea7cb661e7f125ff3\" tg-width=\"415\" tg-height=\"199\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>This week, Fed Governor Waller said that the strong economic indicators in February were only a flash in the pan, and price pressures will resume a downward trend from next month. In contrast, Fed Chairman Powell has been extremely hawkish on interest rate guidance. Financial website Fxstreet previously said employment data such as ADP data would provide clearer interest rate guidance. Strong ADP jobs data will support the Federal Reserve to ramp up the pace of rate hike at its March meeting.</p><p>In addition, analysts at Fxstreet, a financial website, also said that it will not matter if ADP is close to expectations, and negative growth can affect rate hike. Analysts said:</p><p>\"If the ADP report shows private sector employment growth of more than 200,000, it will reaffirm the prospect of 'interest rates remaining at a high platform for a longer period of time', supporting the US dollar and suppressing US debt. But the data will only put pressure on expectations if it falls to the shrinking range. Negative employment growth may be beneficial to the stock market and emerging market currencies. Wednesday's close-to-expectations data could be overlooked by market participants, who may still be digesting Powell's remarks and watching the non-farm payrolls data, waiting to see the February data and January data revisions. \" Analyst Matías Salord likewise believes that the \"small non-farm\" ADP employment data is released sandwiched between Powell's congressional testimony and non-farm data, and its influence is weakened by both, even if the data is unexpected and may have limited impact.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15e20574f8fb568333181d61bb200086","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167447308","content_text":"3月8日，美国2月ADP就业人数24.2万人，预期20万人，前值10.6万人。2月建筑业就业人数减少1.6万人，1月减少2.4万人；2月制造业就业人数增加4.3万人，1月增加2.3万人；2月贸易/运输/公用事业就业人数增加3000人，1月减少4.1万人；2月金融服务业就业人数增加6.2万人，1月增加3万人；2月专业/商业服务就业人数减少3.6万人，1月增加8000人。ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson：目前劳动力市场出现“两难境地”。我们看到招聘活跃，这对经济和工人都是好事，但工资增长速度仍然很快。工资增长的适度放缓本身不太可能在短期内迅速降低通胀。ADP数据公布后，美股期货短线小幅走低；美元指数短线走高约10点，报105.71；现货黄金短线变动不大，现报1813.78美元/盎司。数据公布后，美联储掉期交易显示，3月加息50个基点的几率提升至75%；而据CME“美联储观察”，美联储3月加息50个基点至5.00%-5.25%区间的概率高达77.9%。本周美联储理事沃勒曾表示，2月份强劲的经济指标只是昙花一现，物价压力将从下个月开始恢复下行趋势。与此相反，美联储主席鲍威尔在利率指引方面表现得极其鹰派。财经网站Fxstreet此前表示，ADP数据等就业数据将提供更清晰的利率指引。强劲的ADP就业数据将支持美联储在3月会议上加大加息步伐。另外，财经网站Fxstreet分析师还表示，ADP接近预期将无关紧要，负增长才可以影响加息。分析师称：“如果ADP报告显示私营部门就业增长超过20万，这将重申‘利率在较长一段时间内维持在高平台’的前景，支撑美元，打压美债。但数据只有降至萎缩范围，才会对预期造成压力。就业负增长可能对股市、新兴市场货币有利。周三公布的接近预期的数据可能会被市场参与者忽略，他们可能仍在消化鲍威尔的讲话，并关注非农就业数据，等着看2月数据和1月数据的修正。”分析师Matías Salord同样认为，“小非农”ADP就业数据夹在鲍威尔国会证词和非农数据中间公布，影响力被这两者弱化，即使数据出乎意料，可能影响有限。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9949994737,"gmtCreate":1678286806929,"gmtModify":1678286811958,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9949994737","repostId":"2317283696","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2317283696","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1678281914,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2317283696?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-08 21:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"\"New Federal Reserve News Agency\" hinted: The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by 50 basis points in March!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2317283696","media":"金十数据","summary":"Timiraos援引德银经济学家的观点表示，鲍威尔的言论似乎不仅仅为50个基点打开了大门，而是可能成为了一种“事实”......","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>Timiraos quoted Deutsche Bank economists as saying that Powell's remarks don't just seem to open the door to 50 basis points, but may have become a \"fact\"... The latest article by \"New Federal Reserve News Agency\" and Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos said,<b>The Fed will consider a rate hike of 50 basis points this month and could raise interest rates this year to levels previously anticipated, cooling an economy that has shown surprising strength.</b></p><p>Timiraos said Powell's remarks to members of Congress on Tuesday set the stage for a major strategic shift by the Fed to reduce price pressure. He said,<b>Rising inflation and increased employment could lead officials to change their recent strategy of a small rate hike of 25 basis points</b>。 Powell told the Senate Banking Committee:</p><p>\"The latest economic data is stronger than expected, which indicates that terminal interest rates may be higher than previously expected, and if all data indicates that faster tightening is necessary, we will be prepared to accelerate the pace of rate hike,\" analysts said,<b>Powell's comments reflect declining confidence in the Fed's ability to bring inflation down to its 2% target without a recession in the coming years</b>。 Tim Duy, chief US economist at research firm SGH Macro Advisors, said:</p><p>\"The Fed is getting closer to accepting the fact that in any reasonable timeframe, they will not return inflation to 2% without causing a hard landing.\" Fed officials slowed the pace of their rate hike last month, raising their benchmark Federal Funds rate by 25 basis points to between 4.5% and 4.75%. Prior to this, the Federal Reserve rate hike 75 basis points and 50 basis points in November and December, respectively, last year.</p><p>Officials said last month that taking smaller steps would better allow them to assess the impact of last year's rapid rate hike and reduce the risk of excessive rate hike.</p><p>In December, most of them thought they would raise rates to between 5% and 5.5% this year and keep that level until 2024. Fed officials will present new forecasts at the interest rate meeting in March.</p><p>Powell said,<b>Officials' decision on the size of the next rate hike will also be influenced by the government's non-farm payrolls report for February on Friday and inflation next week</b>。 But<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">Deutsche Bank</a>Chief U.S. economist Matthew Luzzetti said,<b>His overall rhetoric \"seems to have not just opened the door to 50 basis points\" but has become a \"fact\" that now only staggeringly weak data can prevent</b>。</p><p>Since Fed officials met Feb. 1, several economic reports have shown stronger-than-expected hiring, spending and inflation in January. More importantly, the revised data shows that,<b>Inflation and labor demand are not as weak as initially reported late last year</b>。 Powell said:</p><p>\"In a way, we're really seeing a reversal of what we think we are seeing.\" Last month, Powell had also said that slowing down rate hike would better ensure the Fed doesn't have too much rate hike, Timiraos said. But he instead \"turned\" on Tuesday and said:</p><p>\"In my opinion, there's nothing in the data that suggests we're tightening too tightly.\" Powell said the recent rally may in part reflect the unusually warm weather in January, which could interfere with the seasonal adjustment of economic data. But he added that the magnitude of this reversal, and the correction to previous data \"<b>Indicate higher inflationary pressures than we expected at our last interest rate meeting</b>。”</p><p>Luzzetti said Powell's emphasis on revised data acknowledges that,<b>Recent strength in the U.S. economy may not be limited to just one month</b>。 He said:</p><p>\"The months of data that we have since the February meeting are almost all pushing the Fed in a more hawkish direction.\" Timiraos also said that during the hearing<b>A bipartisan majority of lawmakers applauded Powell's approach to interest rate management over the past year, or offered only mild criticism.</b></p><p>During the hearing, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a Massachusetts Democrat, challenged him over concerns that the Fed's efforts to curb inflation could lead to greater levels of job losses than Fed officials say. Warren said nearly 2 million workers could lose their jobs as the Federal Reserve tries to slow economic growth.</p><p>Inflation, Powell said, is \"very high, and it's seriously hurting all the working people in this country.\"</p><p>Does that mean unemployed workers will \"just have to live with it,\" Warren asks?<b>Powell's answer may reflect the Fed's resolve</b>He said:</p><p>\"If we give up our jobs and inflation stays at 5% or 6%, will life be better for the working class?\" Powell returns to Capitol Hill Wednesday for a second day of hearings before a House committee.<b>It will be its last public speech ahead of the March interest rate meeting and its last chance to influence market expectations ahead of the Fed's next meeting</b>。 Officials will begin their pre-meeting silence period on Saturday.</p><p><b>Recent strong economic data has changed investors' interest rate expectations</b>。 When the Fed last met, investors in the interest rate futures market expected officials to raise their Federal Funds rate only once more this year, to a high of 4.9%, and begin cutting rates this fall.</p><p>Ahead of Tuesday's hearing, investors expected rates to rise to around 5.5% by the middle of the year and stay there until the end of 2023, according to CME group'\"Fed Watch Tool.\" After the hearing, investors expect Federal Funds rate to rise to between 5.5% and 5.75% this year, with the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike this month rising to 72% from 32% before the hearing, and just under 30% two weeks ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2017c0e818e1617d6e16ec6757cf64\" tg-width=\"1292\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"New Federal Reserve News Agency\" hinted: The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by 50 basis points in March!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"New Federal Reserve News Agency\" hinted: The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates by 50 basis points in March!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-08 21:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>Timiraos quoted Deutsche Bank economists as saying that Powell's remarks don't just seem to open the door to 50 basis points, but may have become a \"fact\"... The latest article by \"New Federal Reserve News Agency\" and Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos said,<b>The Fed will consider a rate hike of 50 basis points this month and could raise interest rates this year to levels previously anticipated, cooling an economy that has shown surprising strength.</b></p><p>Timiraos said Powell's remarks to members of Congress on Tuesday set the stage for a major strategic shift by the Fed to reduce price pressure. He said,<b>Rising inflation and increased employment could lead officials to change their recent strategy of a small rate hike of 25 basis points</b>。 Powell told the Senate Banking Committee:</p><p>\"The latest economic data is stronger than expected, which indicates that terminal interest rates may be higher than previously expected, and if all data indicates that faster tightening is necessary, we will be prepared to accelerate the pace of rate hike,\" analysts said,<b>Powell's comments reflect declining confidence in the Fed's ability to bring inflation down to its 2% target without a recession in the coming years</b>。 Tim Duy, chief US economist at research firm SGH Macro Advisors, said:</p><p>\"The Fed is getting closer to accepting the fact that in any reasonable timeframe, they will not return inflation to 2% without causing a hard landing.\" Fed officials slowed the pace of their rate hike last month, raising their benchmark Federal Funds rate by 25 basis points to between 4.5% and 4.75%. Prior to this, the Federal Reserve rate hike 75 basis points and 50 basis points in November and December, respectively, last year.</p><p>Officials said last month that taking smaller steps would better allow them to assess the impact of last year's rapid rate hike and reduce the risk of excessive rate hike.</p><p>In December, most of them thought they would raise rates to between 5% and 5.5% this year and keep that level until 2024. Fed officials will present new forecasts at the interest rate meeting in March.</p><p>Powell said,<b>Officials' decision on the size of the next rate hike will also be influenced by the government's non-farm payrolls report for February on Friday and inflation next week</b>。 But<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">Deutsche Bank</a>Chief U.S. economist Matthew Luzzetti said,<b>His overall rhetoric \"seems to have not just opened the door to 50 basis points\" but has become a \"fact\" that now only staggeringly weak data can prevent</b>。</p><p>Since Fed officials met Feb. 1, several economic reports have shown stronger-than-expected hiring, spending and inflation in January. More importantly, the revised data shows that,<b>Inflation and labor demand are not as weak as initially reported late last year</b>。 Powell said:</p><p>\"In a way, we're really seeing a reversal of what we think we are seeing.\" Last month, Powell had also said that slowing down rate hike would better ensure the Fed doesn't have too much rate hike, Timiraos said. But he instead \"turned\" on Tuesday and said:</p><p>\"In my opinion, there's nothing in the data that suggests we're tightening too tightly.\" Powell said the recent rally may in part reflect the unusually warm weather in January, which could interfere with the seasonal adjustment of economic data. But he added that the magnitude of this reversal, and the correction to previous data \"<b>Indicate higher inflationary pressures than we expected at our last interest rate meeting</b>。”</p><p>Luzzetti said Powell's emphasis on revised data acknowledges that,<b>Recent strength in the U.S. economy may not be limited to just one month</b>。 He said:</p><p>\"The months of data that we have since the February meeting are almost all pushing the Fed in a more hawkish direction.\" Timiraos also said that during the hearing<b>A bipartisan majority of lawmakers applauded Powell's approach to interest rate management over the past year, or offered only mild criticism.</b></p><p>During the hearing, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, a Massachusetts Democrat, challenged him over concerns that the Fed's efforts to curb inflation could lead to greater levels of job losses than Fed officials say. Warren said nearly 2 million workers could lose their jobs as the Federal Reserve tries to slow economic growth.</p><p>Inflation, Powell said, is \"very high, and it's seriously hurting all the working people in this country.\"</p><p>Does that mean unemployed workers will \"just have to live with it,\" Warren asks?<b>Powell's answer may reflect the Fed's resolve</b>He said:</p><p>\"If we give up our jobs and inflation stays at 5% or 6%, will life be better for the working class?\" Powell returns to Capitol Hill Wednesday for a second day of hearings before a House committee.<b>It will be its last public speech ahead of the March interest rate meeting and its last chance to influence market expectations ahead of the Fed's next meeting</b>。 Officials will begin their pre-meeting silence period on Saturday.</p><p><b>Recent strong economic data has changed investors' interest rate expectations</b>。 When the Fed last met, investors in the interest rate futures market expected officials to raise their Federal Funds rate only once more this year, to a high of 4.9%, and begin cutting rates this fall.</p><p>Ahead of Tuesday's hearing, investors expected rates to rise to around 5.5% by the middle of the year and stay there until the end of 2023, according to CME group'\"Fed Watch Tool.\" After the hearing, investors expect Federal Funds rate to rise to between 5.5% and 5.75% this year, with the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike this month rising to 72% from 32% before the hearing, and just under 30% two weeks ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2017c0e818e1617d6e16ec6757cf64\" tg-width=\"1292\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107997&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e827672d2816b0c7bda740b158b322d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=107997&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2317283696","content_text":"Timiraos援引德银经济学家的观点表示，鲍威尔的言论似乎不仅仅为50个基点打开了大门，而是可能成为了一种“事实”......“新美联储通讯社”、华尔街日报记者Nick Timiraos最新撰文称，美联储将考虑本月加息50个基点，并可能在今年将利率上调至此前预期的水平，为表现出惊人强劲势头的经济降温。Timiraos表示，鲍威尔周二对国会议员的讲话为美联储降低价格压力的重大策略转变奠定了基础。他说，通胀上升和就业增加可能导致官员们改变最近采取的小幅加息25个基点的策略。鲍威尔对参议院银行委员会说：“最新的经济数据强于预期，这表明终端利率可能高于此前的预期，如果所有数据都表明加快紧缩是有必要的，我们将准备加快加息步伐。”分析人士说，鲍威尔的言论反映出，人们对美联储在未来几年不发生经济衰退的情况下将通胀率降至2%目标的能力信心下降。研究公司SGH Macro Advisors的首席美国经济学家Tim Duy说：“美联储越来越接近于接受这样一个事实：在任何合理的时间框架内，他们都不会在不导致硬着陆的情况下将通胀率恢复到2%。”美联储官员上个月放慢了加息步伐，将基准联邦基金利率上调了25个基点，至4.5%至4.75%之间。在此之前，美联储在去年11月、12月分别加息75个基点和50个基点。官员们上个月表示，采取较小的步伐将更好地让他们评估去年快速加息的影响，并降低过度加息的风险。去年12月，他们中的大多数人认为，今年他们将把利率提高到5%至5.5%之间，并将这一水平维持到2024年。美联储官员将在3月的议息会议上提交新的预测。鲍威尔说，官员们对下次加息规模的决定也将受到政府周五公布的2月份非农就业报告和下周公布的通胀报告的影响。但德意志银行首席美国经济学家Matthew Luzzetti表示，他的总体言论“似乎不仅仅为50个基点打开了大门”，而是成为了一种“事实”，现在只有惊人的疲弱数据才能阻止出现这种结果。自美联储官员2月1日召开会议以来，几份经济报告显示，1月份的招聘、支出和通胀都强于预期。更重要的是，修正后的数据显示，通胀和劳动力需求并没有像去年底最初报道的那样疲软。鲍威尔说：“在某种程度上，我们真的看到了我们认为正在看到的情况的逆转。”Timiraos表示，上个月，鲍威尔也曾表示，放慢加息速度将更好地确保美联储不会过多加息。但他却在周二“转向”，并说：“在我看来，数据中没有任何迹象表明我们收紧得太紧了。”鲍威尔说，近期的上涨在一定程度上可能反映了1月份异常温暖的天气，这可能会干扰经济数据的季节性调整。但他补充称，这种逆转的幅度，以及对之前数据的修正“表明通胀压力高于我们上次议息会议时的预期。”Luzzetti说，鲍威尔对修正数据的强调承认，美国经济最近的强劲势头可能并不仅限于一个月。他说：“我们从2月会议以来得到的几个月的数据几乎都在推动美联储向更鹰派的方向推进。”Timiraos还说，在听证会中，两党多数议员对鲍威尔过去一年的利率管理方式表示赞赏，或只是提出了温和的批评。在听证会中，马萨诸塞州民主党参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦对他提出了质疑，因为她担心美联储遏制通胀的努力可能导致比美联储官员所说的更大程度的失业。沃伦称，随着美联储试图减缓经济增长，近200万的工人可能会失业。鲍威尔说，通货膨胀“非常高，它严重伤害了这个国家所有的劳动人民。”沃伦问道，这是否意味着失业工人将“只能忍受”？鲍威尔的回答可能反应出了美联储的坚决，他说：“如果我们放弃工作，通胀保持在5%或6%，工人阶级的生活会更好吗?”鲍威尔星期三将重登国会山，参加众议院一个委员会举行的第二天听证会。这将是其在3月议息会议前发表的最后一次公开讲话，也是美联储下次会议前影响市场预期的最后一次机会。官员们将于周六开始他们的会前静默期。近期强劲的经济数据改变了投资者的利率预期。美联储上次开会时，利率期货市场的投资者预计，官员们今年只会将联邦基金利率再上调一次，升至4.9%的高点，并于今年秋季开始降息。根据芝商所的“美联储观察工具”，在周二的听证会之前，投资者预计利率将在年中升至5.5%左右，并一直保持到2023年底。在听证会后，投资者预计联邦基金利率今年将升至5.5%至5.75%之间，本月加息50个基点的概率从听证会前的32%升至72%，而在两周前，这一几率仅不到30%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163969809,"gmtCreate":1623856979301,"gmtModify":1703821663901,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"SOHO","listText":"SOHO","text":"SOHO","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/163969809","repostId":"1143726677","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143726677","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623852581,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1143726677?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-16 22:09","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Cash out 19.5 billion! Pan Shiyi, who fell in love with programming, dumped the company's equity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143726677","media":"每日经济新闻","summary":"6月16日傍晚，SOHO中国公告称，黑石已发出全面收购要约，交易代价236.58亿港元（约合人民币195亿元）取得SOHO中国的控股权。交易完成后，SOHO中国现有控股股东将保留9%的股权。\n6月16","content":"<p><div>On the evening of June 16th, SOHO China announced that Blackstone had issued a comprehensive takeover offer for the transaction consideration of HK$23.658 billion (about RMB 19.5 billion) to obtain the controlling stake in SOHO China. Upon completion of the transaction, the existing controlling shareholders of SOHO China will retain 9% equity interest. During the day of June 16th, news from the market said that Blackstone was close to reaching an agreement to acquire SOHO China, which will be Blackstone's largest real estate investment in China with a market value of 425.4 billion yuan. Source: Visual China Data Map Pan Shiyi's sale of SOHO China's equity has long been rumored. From 2019 to present,...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/44H-ADud6vsJDL8GvuwmhA\">Web link</a></div></p>","source":"mrjjxw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cash out 19.5 billion! Pan Shiyi, who fell in love with programming, dumped the company's equity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCash out 19.5 billion! Pan Shiyi, who fell in love with programming, dumped the company's equity\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">每日经济新闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-16 22:09</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div>On the evening of June 16th, SOHO China announced that Blackstone had issued a comprehensive takeover offer for the transaction consideration of HK$23.658 billion (about RMB 19.5 billion) to obtain the controlling stake in SOHO China. Upon completion of the transaction, the existing controlling shareholders of SOHO China will retain 9% equity interest. During the day of June 16th, news from the market said that Blackstone was close to reaching an agreement to acquire SOHO China, which will be Blackstone's largest real estate investment in China with a market value of 425.4 billion yuan. Source: Visual China Data Map Pan Shiyi's sale of SOHO China's equity has long been rumored. From 2019 to present,...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/44H-ADud6vsJDL8GvuwmhA\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/44H-ADud6vsJDL8GvuwmhA\">每日经济新闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dea1b053707935efa556da6b24b1287","relate_stocks":{"00410":"SOHO中国"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/44H-ADud6vsJDL8GvuwmhA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143726677","content_text":"6月16日傍晚，SOHO中国公告称，黑石已发出全面收购要约，交易代价236.58亿港元（约合人民币195亿元）取得SOHO中国的控股权。交易完成后，SOHO中国现有控股股东将保留9%的股权。\n6月16日白天，来自市场消息称，黑石接近达成收购SOHO中国的协议，这将是市值4254亿黑石在中国最大的一笔房地产投资。\n\n图片来源：视觉中国 资料图\n潘石屹出售SOHO中国股权早有传闻。2019年至今，SOHO中国三度传出要被收购的消息，如今终于落地。截至6月11日收盘，SOHO中国股价报3.8港元/股，总市值198亿港元，创下近一年来股价新高。在停牌之前，SOHO中国股价连续9个交易日上涨，涨幅高达59.66%。\n另据胡润百富榜2020年数据显示，潘石屹夫妇身家目前共计235亿。\n黑石向SOHO中国发出收购要约\n潘石屹夫妇套现236亿港元\nSOHO中国与黑石传了一年多的绯闻终于官宣了。\n6月16日晚，SOHO中国发布公告，黑石发出全面收购要约，投资SOHO中国，以取得SOHO中国的控股权。交易完成后，SOHO中国现有控股股东将保留9%的股权，将继续在香港证券交易所上市。\n\n根据SOHO中国公告，由潘石屹夫妇全资控股的SOHO中国控股股东Boyce Limited及Capevale Limited (BVI)向要约方黑石集团不可撤回地承诺，将在10个工作日内向黑石转让28.56亿股股份，占公司已发行股本约54.93%。此后，潘石屹夫妇将保留已发行股本约9.00%。\n公告称，假设要约以每股股份5港元的要约价转让，要约的最高现金代价约为236.58亿港元，约合人民币194.97亿元，即 30.47亿美元，与此前传闻相符。\n\n6月15日，SOHO中国突然发布停牌公告，表示“以待刊发有关内幕消息及根据《香港收购及合并守则》”。停牌前，SOHO中国涨幅超过15%，报收3.8港元，股价创下年内新高。今日，SOHO中国继续停牌，但市场传闻已经再现黑石身影，称其拟以30亿美元收购SOHO中国，该交易最早于本周宣布。\n\nSOHO中国公告截图\n三次“狼来了”\n自与黑石传出“绯闻”以来，SOHO中国股价已经三度暴涨。\n据《每日经济新闻》记者统计，2019年10月30日，SOHO中国盘中涨幅一度高至27.07%。当日有报道称，SOHO中国正考虑以80亿美元（约627亿港元）出售其在中国的办公大楼，接盘方正是黑石及相关财团。\n2020年3月10日早间，黑石集团被传提出以每股6港元的价格私有化SOHO中国，交易价值40亿美元，报价较上日收市价2.98元高逾一倍。SOHO中国亦公告停牌。临停前，SOHO中国股价报4.1港元，涨幅高达37.58%。\n2020年5月4日，彭博社援引知情人士称，由于新冠肺炎疫情影响导致公司前景充满不确定性，黑石集团关于SOHO中国私有化的洽谈陷入停滞状态。\n2020年8月13日，SOHO中国表示，公司与投资者就潜在交易所进行的讨论已终止，并未在交易的条款达成共识。\n但关于SOHO中国的私有化传言并没有就此终结。\n2020年11月13日，距离SOHO中国表态“终止”仅3个月，又有消息称高瓴资本与SOHO中国进行了初步谈判，拟将其私有化，对价可能超过20亿美元。受此消息影响，SOHO中国股价一度飙升超40％。不过高瓴资本其后火速回应“无意将SOHO中国私有化”，致其尾盘跳水，股价涨幅缩小至6.99%，当日报收2.45元。\n值得注意的是，2018年4月，SOHO中国前总裁阎岩加入黑石集团亚洲房地产部，出任董事总经理一职。\n阎岩1996加入SOHO中国，此前曾是恒基（中国）助理市场总监。入职SOHO中国的22年里，她历任首席运营官、财务总裁和总裁，负责项目拓展、成本预算控制及全面管理等，是高管里少有的老臣。\n2020年3月，坊间就有传言，黑石与SOHO中国的交易，很有可能是由阎岩促成的。\n根据公告，此次要约完成后，黑石计划保持公司的现有主营业务和管理团队。黑石和现有控股股东将结合优势资源和专业知识，支持和加强公司的业务发展。\n爱上编程的潘石屹不想做开发商了？\n潘石屹“卖卖卖”早已不是新鲜事。\n2019年6月28日，SOHO中国宣布以78亿元出售位于北京和上海的13个办公物业项目。对于销售原因，潘石屹当时在发布会现场表示，“持有量太大了”“没有任何资金原因”。\n当时，潘石屹还向外界传递了这样一个信息——有钱了，SOHO中国又要开始拿地了。“下一步可能考虑拿地，还是集中在大城市，一线城市，还有一线城市最繁华的地段。我做这个房地产就认一条，地段是最重要的。如果没有好的地，就把银行贷款还一还。还一点好，对公司来说压力小一点。”\n据《每日经济新闻》记者不完全统计，自2012年宣布转型以来，SOHO中国在过去几年中均有不同程度的大宗交易动作，金额较大的包括84.93亿元将外滩“地王”股权转让给复星，52.3亿元出售上海SOHO海伦广场和静安广场，50.08亿元出售凌空SOHO等，金额合计近300亿元。\n不过，卖资产属实，拿地恐怕是遥遥无期了，毕竟财务报表的数字实在不是太好看。\n据Wind，SOHO中国转型前曾在2012年拿下了近106亿元净利润，但此后便开始走下坡路。总营收则更是走出了一条下降曲线。2013~2020年，SOHO中国的总营收分别是149.24亿元、63.60亿元、14.04亿元、19.62亿元、22.82亿元、20.89亿元，18.47亿，21.92亿。\n2020年1月，潘石屹发微博：“要开始学Python了”，作为给自己的人生礼物。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"00410":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1913,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116527258,"gmtCreate":1622813231774,"gmtModify":1704191669395,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Win win","listText":"Win win","text":"Win win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116527258","repostId":"1110641032","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110641032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1622812967,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110641032?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110641032","media":"Reuters","summary":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial off","content":"<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-04 21:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110641032","content_text":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.\nHardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"BYND":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":116527258,"gmtCreate":1622813231774,"gmtModify":1704191669395,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Win win","listText":"Win win","text":"Win win","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/116527258","repostId":"1110641032","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1110641032","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1622812967,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1110641032?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110641032","media":"Reuters","summary":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial off","content":"<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeyond Meat names Amazon VP as CFO\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-04 21:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Beyond Meat Inc&nbsp;on Friday named Amazon.com Inc&nbsp;Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.</p>\n<p>Hardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110641032","content_text":"Beyond Meat Inc on Friday named Amazon.com Inc Vice President Phil Hardin as its chief financial officer.\nHardin will join the plant based meat maker in July 2021.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9,"BYND":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9942607760,"gmtCreate":1681199761151,"gmtModify":1681199765186,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9942607760","repostId":"1178187404","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1178187404","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681186000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1178187404?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-11 12:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Big Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178187404","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the total trading volume of the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%; Chip stock binge,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options jumped.</strong><strong>Market Overview</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the market was waiting for inflation data and financial report, and U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday. By the close, the Dow was up 0.30%, the Nasdaq was down 0.03% and the S&P 500 was up 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe the March nonfarm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Fed to continue its rate hike, putting rate hike at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focused on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as earnings reports from several large banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the options market had a total volume of 28,333,960 contracts, of which calls accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>S&P ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>TOP10 Total Option Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% at $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 55% of all options traded. Exercise price of $162.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 72,686 trades.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>On the news: Demand is sluggish, and Apple's PC shipments fell 40% in the first quarter. According to IDC's latest report, the shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, it dropped by 29% from the previous quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plunged by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenues hit a \"record high\",<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinema</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% to $5.24 on Monday. 675,700 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 53% of all options traded. Exercise price of $5.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 62,392 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% at $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 47% of all options traded. Exercise price of $280 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high in volume, with 32,872 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>3. Movement observation</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It jumped 8% on Monday, the biggest gain in more than a year, at $63.27. Exercise price of $67 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>Of was particularly high in volume, with 20,216 trades.<strong>This means that in the options market, investors have continued to be bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>On the news side,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>It plans to cut memory chip production in the near future, and the news boosts Micron Technology. Analysts believe this move may accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative \"synchronization\" strikes, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% to $2.74 on Monday. However, the stock fell 5% after hours, so investors need to pay attention! Tilray$3 Exercise Price Expiring April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of, with a particularly high volume of 23,207.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In the news: Tilray announces acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's third quarter fiscal 2023 revenue missed estimates.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. Exercise price of $24 due April 21, 2023<strong>Put Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 22,226 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Option Order | Chip Stocks Carnival, Micron Technology's Call Options Increased! The good and the bad come together, Tilray is \"very embarrassed\"\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-11 12:06</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><strong>Abstract: On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the total trading volume of the options market reached 28,333,960 contracts, of which call options accounted for 54%; Chip stock binge,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Call options jumped.</strong><strong>Market Overview</strong></p><p>On Monday (April 10th), Eastern Time, the market was waiting for inflation data and financial report, and U.S. stocks closed mixed on Monday. By the close, the Dow was up 0.30%, the Nasdaq was down 0.03% and the S&P 500 was up 0.10%.</p><p>Traders generally believe the March nonfarm payrolls data released last weekend will prompt the Fed to continue its rate hike, putting rate hike at least a quarter of a basis point at its May meeting. This week, investors are focused on important CPI and PPI inflation data, as well as earnings reports from several large banks.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c718b662f07f55771820b650c1150\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"152\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p>On Monday, the options market had a total volume of 28,333,960 contracts, of which calls accounted for 54%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87dc35490e7d5db4ad913cf923509ffb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1801\" tg-height=\"390\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>S&P ETF-SPY options traded 6.895 million contracts, of which put options accounted for 53%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da827f856828e5e0eb532cb6fee64850\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1592\" tg-height=\"407\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>TOP10 Total Option Trading Volume</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94ddde414eca14656867ca471640f973\" title=\"数据来源：老虎国际\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"1409\"/><span>Source: Tiger International</span></p><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></strong>It fell 1.6% at $162.03 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 55% of all options traded. Exercise price of $162.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 72,686 trades.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55fa663853f1fe229d27ec4a642313d6\" alt=\"\"/></p><p>On the news: Demand is sluggish, and Apple's PC shipments fell 40% in the first quarter. According to IDC's latest report, the shipments of the world's top five computer manufacturers all declined to varying degrees in the first quarter of this year. Overall, it dropped by 29% from the previous quarter to 56.9 million units, significantly lower than 59.2 million units in the first quarter of 2019 and 60.6 million units in the first quarter of 2018. Among them, Apple's PC shipments plunged by more than 40% in the first quarter of 2023.<strong>Easter weekend revenues hit a \"record high\",<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinema</a></strong>It rose nearly 7% to $5.24 on Monday. 675,700 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 53% of all options traded. Exercise price of $5.50 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 62,392 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7ae9b819ff27590f6a1a596126023cb\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1647\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>NVIDIA</strong>It rose 2% at $275.79 on Monday. 731,100 options contracts were traded, and call options accounted for 47% of all options traded. Exercise price of $280 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of was particularly high in volume, with 32,872 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e9e34138a5d04ed6d0d51206a0bc634\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1649\" tg-height=\"273\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>3. Movement observation</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b8dbdf353210dc56d9ddf9f256efafa\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1715\" tg-height=\"494\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p><strong>Micron Technology</strong>It jumped 8% on Monday, the biggest gain in more than a year, at $63.27. Exercise price of $67 due April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>Of was particularly high in volume, with 20,216 trades.<strong>This means that in the options market, investors have continued to be bullish on the stock this week.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24ea774aabfbcac23ab22bb4b3aca6fd\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"275\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>On the news side,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMSN.UK\">Samsung</a>It plans to cut memory chip production in the near future, and the news boosts Micron Technology. Analysts believe this move may accelerate the recovery of the memory chip industry.<strong>Positive and negative \"synchronization\" strikes, Tilray</strong>It rose more than 5% to $2.74 on Monday. However, the stock fell 5% after hours, so investors need to pay attention! Tilray$3 Exercise Price Expiring April 14, 2023<strong>Call Option</strong>of, with a particularly high volume of 23,207.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db510f4099bfaee73d0e2046bf3b378f\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1641\" tg-height=\"272\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p>In the news: Tilray announces acquisition agreement with Hexo Corp.; The company's third quarter fiscal 2023 revenue missed estimates.<strong>Ally</strong>It rose nearly 1% to $26.30 on Monday. Exercise price of $24 due April 21, 2023<strong>Put Option</strong>of was particularly high, with 22,226 trades.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc8232c52ef471f6846ebee841c3c71b\" title=\"数据来源：Market Chameleon\" tg-width=\"1643\" tg-height=\"269\"/><span>Data Source : Market Chameleon</span></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f6ec6e99c0c8b9feb7f296b78c65a54","relate_stocks":{"159813":"芯片","BK4007":"制药","NVDA":"英伟达","MU":"美光科技","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","AAPL":"苹果","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","ALLY":"Ally Financial Inc.","BK4141":"半导体产品","AMC":"AMC院线","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4575":"芯片概念","BK4566":"资本集团","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4557":"大麻股","TLRY":"Tilray Inc.","LU2286300806.USD":"Allianz Cyber Security AT Acc USD","BK4588":"碎股","BK4579":"人工智能"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178187404","content_text":"摘要：美东时间周一（4月10日），期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%；芯片股狂欢，美光科技、英伟达看涨期权大增。一、市场概览美东时间周一（4月10日），市场等待通胀数据和财报，美股周一收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，道琼斯指数涨0.30%，纳斯达克指数跌0.03%，标普500指数涨0.10%。交易员普遍认为上周末公布的3月非农就业数据将促使美联储继续加息，在5月会议上至少将加息四分之一个基点。本周投资者关注重要的CPI与PPI通胀数据，以及多家大型银行的财报。数据来源：老虎国际周一，期权市场总成交量达28,333,960张合约，其中，看涨期权占比54%。数据来源：Market Chameleon标普指数ETF-SPY期权成交689.5万张合约，其中，看跌期权占比53%。数据来源：Market Chameleon二、期权成交总量TOP10数据来源：老虎国际苹果周一下跌1.6%，报162.03美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的55%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为162.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为72,686张。消息方面：需求低迷，苹果公司一季度PC出货量下降40%。根据IDC的最新报告显示，今年一季度全球前5大电脑制造商的出货量均出现不同程度的下降，总体来看，环比下降29%至5690万台，明显低于2019一季度的5920万台及2018年一季度的6060万台。其中，苹果2023年一季度PC出货量暴跌超40%。复活节周末的收入创下“历史新高”，AMC院线周一涨近7%，报5.24美元。期权合约成交67.57万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的53%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为5.50美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为62,392张。数据来源：Market Chameleon英伟达周一上涨2%，报275.79美元。期权合约成交73.11万张，看涨期权占全部期权交易的47%。2023年4月14日到期行权价为280美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为32,872张。数据来源：Market Chameleon三、异动观察数据来源：Market Chameleon美光科技周一大涨8%创逾一年来最大涨幅，报63.27美元。2023年4月14日到期行权价为67美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为20,216张。这意味着在期权市场中，投资者本周继续看多该股。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息面上，三星计划近期削减内存芯片产量，消息提振美光科技，分析师认为此举可能会加速内存芯片行业的复苏。利好利空“同步”来袭，Tilray周一涨超5%，报2.74美元。但该股盘后下挫5%，投资者需要留意！Tilray2023年4月14日到期行权价为3美元看涨期权的成交量特别高，成交量为23,207张。数据来源：Market Chameleon消息方面：Tilray宣布了与Hexo Corp.的收购协议；公司2023财年第三季度收入低于预期。Ally周一涨近1%，报26.30美元。2023年4月21日到期行权价为24美元看跌期权的成交量特别高，成交量为22,226张。数据来源：Market Chameleon","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159813":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"MU":0.9,"ALLY":0.9,"TLRY":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9946073301,"gmtCreate":1680827392004,"gmtModify":1680827394609,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9946073301","repostId":"1124955777","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1695,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941626695,"gmtCreate":1680215240218,"gmtModify":1680215243916,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941626695","repostId":"2323678027","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2323678027","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1680170043,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2323678027?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 17:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2323678027","media":"金十数据","summary":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on the Fed's interest rate cut, but taking history as a mirror, the Fed's interest rate cut may be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"Just because the Fed cut interest rates doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Robertwitz said.<strong>Equity investors betting on the Fed's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>An emergency sale at a steep discount has investors betting that the Fed will pivot. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, while the Fed remains determined to keep interest rates \"higher for longer\" despite the unfolding crisis.</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell in a critical moment.<strong>If history is any guide, investor conditioning can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts are always \"mourning everywhere\"</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve has slashed its Federal Funds rate nine times since 1970.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement of the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market trough is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines have all exceeded average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 one saw a worse-than-average decline.</p><p>So,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been worse than before 1990?</strong>Because before 1990, the Federal Reserve was more active. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>The Fed has dominated the low interest rate environment for the past 20 years</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been trending downward for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began its rate hike in March 2022, 10-year real yields were often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to prevail.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Fed's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 has led conservative bankers and activist hedge funds to take on huge risks. Because without investing in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is bad for profits.</p><p><strong>Fed rate cuts could trigger the next plunge</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced considerable declines in the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Has most of the pullback/retracement associated with interest rate cuts already happened?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement from the start of the rate hike cycle,<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle is 11.50%</strong>, but has fallen nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>In judging how the Fed's next pivot will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two more factors to consider</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the biggest pullback/retracement during the rate cut and the one-year return after the cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, a year after the last rate cut, the S&P 500 rose more than 50%.<strong>This percentage is three times the average return of 16% over the previous 8 cycles. So it's no surprise that the biggest drop in the current rate hike cycle is larger than average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Second, valuations help explain why the recent stock market declines during the Fed's policy pivot have been worse than before the dot-com bubble burst. The figure below shows that,<strong>The last three rate cuts all started when CAPE10's valuation was above its historical average</strong>, in contrast, previous examples have all occurred at below-average valuations.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E (Shiller P/E) or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as price divided by inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>Current CAPE valuations, while not as high as they were at the end of 2021, are about 50% above average. Although the market has made some corrections,<strong>Valuations could still be back to or below average</strong>, as they did in 2003 and 2009. Robertwitz said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies have played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Considering inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market goes down more seriously now, it is unlikely that Fed members or politicians will increase the stimulus of fiscal and monetary policy.\"<strong>Market Expectations for Rate Cuts Are Unrealistic</strong></p><p>The Fed remained outspoken last week that it wanted inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and aggressively as the market predicts, something must be wrong</strong>。 For now, only in seriously unfavourable circumstances of a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy is there a reason to adopt the kind of rate cuts that markets suggest. Please note,<strong>Whether it's a crisis or a recession, it's not good for company earnings and share prices.</strong></p><p>There's one more thing to consider about the Fed's policy shift. If the Fed cuts interest rates, the yield curve could return to normal. Historically, the inversion of the yield curve has only been a warning of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two closely watched U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. The steepening of both curves was accompanied by a recession in the four scenarios mentioned above (i.e., greater-than-average pullback/retracement) and others prior to 1990. While<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe market will be in for a catastrophe? Take History as a Guide: Fed Rate Cuts Are Not Good!\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-03-30 17:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The market is betting on the Fed's interest rate cut, but taking history as a mirror, the Fed's interest rate cut may be another catastrophe for the market! Michael Lebowitz, an investment analyst and portfolio manager at RIA Advisors, wrote:</p><p>\"Just because the Fed cut interest rates doesn't mean a bull market is coming,\" Robertwitz said.<strong>Equity investors betting on the Fed's policy adjustments may need to rethink their logic.</strong></p><p>The second-largest bank failure in U.S. history and<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>An emergency sale at a steep discount has investors betting that the Fed will pivot. They don't seem to care about the heat and stickiness of inflation, while the Fed remains determined to keep interest rates \"higher for longer\" despite the unfolding crisis.</p><p>Like Pavlov's dog, investors buy when they hear the bell in a critical moment.<strong>If history is any guide, investor conditioning can be harmful.</strong></p><p><strong>Interest rate cuts are always \"mourning everywhere\"</strong></p><p>The Federal Reserve has slashed its Federal Funds rate nine times since 1970.<strong>The average maximum pullback/retracement of the S&P 500 from the start of each rate cut cycle to the market trough is 27.25%.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f03a5178e50b7a4dce343ded734f8f37\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"417\"/></p><p>The last three declines have all exceeded average, and of the other six experiences, only the 1974-1977 one saw a worse-than-average decline.</p><p>So,<strong>Why have recent pullback/retracement been worse than before 1990?</strong>Because before 1990, the Federal Reserve was more active. Therefore, they do not allow interest rates to be significantly higher or lower than the natural growth rate of the economy. The exception is that high inflation in the 1970s and early 1980s forced the Federal Reserve to remain vigilant. Whatever the reason, high interest rates help curb speculative bubbles.</p><p><strong>The Fed has dominated the low interest rate environment for the past 20 years</strong>。 The chart below shows that real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations) have been trending downward for 40 years. From the pandemic until the Federal Reserve began its rate hike in March 2022, 10-year real yields were often negative.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f0eeae55291adb1bc75e929c0c8da3\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"534\"/></p><p><strong>When interest rates are at predictably low levels, speculative activity tends to prevail.</strong>As we have seen, the speculative behavior generated by the Fed's easing policies in 2020 and 2021 has led conservative bankers and activist hedge funds to take on huge risks. Because without investing in riskier products, they have to accept negative real returns, which is bad for profits.</p><p><strong>Fed rate cuts could trigger the next plunge</strong></p><p>Given that the market experienced considerable declines in the rate hike cycle that began in March 2022,<strong>Has most of the pullback/retracement associated with interest rate cuts already happened?</strong></p><p>The chart below shows the S&P 500's largest pullback/retracement from the start of the rate hike cycle,<strong>The average decline in the rate hike cycle is 11.50%</strong>, but has fallen nearly 25% in this cycle.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46b1c2dfa074f9f1ebff7f403c4a0ffa\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>In judging how the Fed's next pivot will affect stock market expectations,<strong>There are two more factors to consider</strong>。</p><p>First, the chart below shows the biggest pullback/retracement during the rate cut and the one-year return after the cut ends. From May 2020 to May 2021, a year after the last rate cut, the S&P 500 rose more than 50%.<strong>This percentage is three times the average return of 16% over the previous 8 cycles. So it's no surprise that the biggest drop in the current rate hike cycle is larger than average.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f50898eeee026c0a6ffd62ae6458b47\" tg-width=\"622\" tg-height=\"419\"/></p><p>Second, valuations help explain why the recent stock market declines during the Fed's policy pivot have been worse than before the dot-com bubble burst. The figure below shows that,<strong>The last three rate cuts all started when CAPE10's valuation was above its historical average</strong>, in contrast, previous examples have all occurred at below-average valuations.</p><p><em>Note: CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted P/E), also known as Shiller P/E (Shiller P/E) or P/E 10 ratio, is a valuation indicator commonly used in the U.S. S&P 500 stock market. It is defined as price divided by inflation-adjusted 10-year average income (moving average).</em></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c2d76a2c5ad5be94c5856d8b792390a\" tg-width=\"798\" tg-height=\"536\"/></p><p>Current CAPE valuations, while not as high as they were at the end of 2021, are about 50% above average. Although the market has made some corrections,<strong>Valuations could still be back to or below average</strong>, as they did in 2003 and 2009. Robertwitz said:</p><p>\"It is difficult to draw conclusions about the pullback/retracement in 2020. Unprecedented fiscal and monetary policies have played a prominent role in boosting the stock market. Considering inflation and political divisions, we believe that even if the market goes down more seriously now, it is unlikely that Fed members or politicians will increase the stimulus of fiscal and monetary policy.\"<strong>Market Expectations for Rate Cuts Are Unrealistic</strong></p><p>The Fed remained outspoken last week that it wanted inflation to return to its 2% target.<strong>If they are going to cut interest rates as quickly and aggressively as the market predicts, something must be wrong</strong>。 For now, only in seriously unfavourable circumstances of a banking crisis or a rapidly deteriorating economy is there a reason to adopt the kind of rate cuts that markets suggest. Please note,<strong>Whether it's a crisis or a recession, it's not good for company earnings and share prices.</strong></p><p>There's one more thing to consider about the Fed's policy shift. If the Fed cuts interest rates, the yield curve could return to normal. Historically, the inversion of the yield curve has only been a warning of a recession.</p><p>The chart below shows two closely watched U.S. Treasury Bond yield curves. The steepening of both curves was accompanied by a recession in the four scenarios mentioned above (i.e., greater-than-average pullback/retracement) and others prior to 1990. While<strong>Over the past two weeks, the 2-10-year U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened by 60 basis points.</strong></p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/361e1e203de45df7c9ee78346425ff90\" tg-width=\"799\" tg-height=\"538\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","BK4588":"碎股","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=109346&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2323678027","content_text":"市场都在押注美联储降息，但是以史为鉴，美联储降息对市场来说恐又是一场浩劫！RIA Advisors的投资分析师和投资组合经理罗伯维兹（Michael Lebowitz）撰文表示：“美联储降息并不代表牛市来了。”罗伯维兹称，押注美联储调整政策的股票投资者可能需要重新思考他们的逻辑。美国史上第二大银行倒闭案以及瑞士信贷大幅折价紧急出售，令投资者押注美联储将转向。他们似乎并不关心通胀的热度和粘性，而尽管危机不断发展，美联储仍然决心将利率“更长时间地保持在较高水平”。就像巴甫洛夫的狗一样，投资者在听到关键时刻的铃声时买入。如果以史为鉴，投资者的条件反射可能是有害的。降息总是“哀鸿遍野”自1970年以来，美联储曾9次大幅下调联邦基金利率。标普500指数从每个降息周期开始到市场低谷的平均最大回撤为27.25%。最近三次的跌幅都超过了平均水平，而在其他六次经历中，只有1974-1977年那次出现了比平均水平更糟的下降。那么，为什么最近几次的回撤都比1990年以前更严重呢？因为在1990年之前，美联储更为活跃。因此，他们不允许利率大幅高于或低于经济的自然增速。例外就是，上世纪70年代和80年代初的高通胀曾迫使美联储保持警惕。不管是什么原因，高利率有助于抑制投机泡沫。在过去20年里，美联储主导了低利率环境。下图显示，实际收益率（名义收益率减去通胀预期）40年来一直呈下降趋势。从疫情到美联储于2022年3月开始加息，10年期实际收益率经常为负数。当利率处于可预见的低水平时，投机活动往往盛行。正如我们所看到的，美联储在2020年和2021年的宽松政策所产生的投机行为，导致保守的银行家和激进的对冲基金承担了巨大的风险。因为如果不投资风险更高的产品，他们就必须接受负的实际回报，这对利润不利。美联储降息恐引发下一轮暴跌鉴于市场在2022年3月开始的加息周期中经历了相当大的下跌，与降息相关的大部分回撤是否已经发生了呢？下图显示了标普500指数从加息周期开始的最大回撤，加息周期的平均降幅为11.50%，但在本轮周期中却下跌了近25%。在判断美联储下一次转向会如何影响股市预期时，还有两个需要考虑的因素。首先，下图显示了降息期间的最大回撤以及降息结束后的一年回报率。从2020年5月到2021年5月，也就是上次降息后的一年时间里，标普500指数上涨了50%以上。这一比例是前8个周期平均回报率16%的三倍。因此，当前加息周期的最大降幅大于平均水平也就不足为奇了。其次，估值有助于解释为什么最近几次在美联储政策转向期间的股市下跌比互联网泡沫破裂前的更严重。下图显示，最近三次降息都是在CAPE10估值高于历史平均水平时开始的，相比之下，此前的例子都发生在低于平均估值的情况下。注：CAPE(周期性调整市盈率)又称希勒市盈率(Shiller P/E)或P/E 10比率，是一种通常用于美国标普500指数股市的估值指标。它的定义是价格除以经过通货膨胀调整的10年平均收入(移动平均)。目前的CAPE估值虽然没有2021年底那么高，但比平均水平高出约50%。尽管市场已经进行了一些调整，但估值仍可能回到平均水平或低于平均水平，就像2003年和2009年那样。罗伯维兹称：“很难对2020年的回撤做出结论。史无前例的财政和货币政策在提振股市方面发挥了突出作用。考虑到通胀和政治分歧，我们认为，现在就算市场出现更严重的下跌，美联储成员或政界人士都不太可能加大财政和货币政策的刺激。”市场对降息的预期并不现实美联储上周仍直言不讳地表示，希望通胀率回到2%的目标。如果他们要像市场预测的那样迅速且大幅降息，那一定是出了问题。目前，只有在银行业危机或经济迅速恶化的严重不利形势下，才有理由采取市场暗示的那种降息。请注意，无论是危机还是衰退，对公司收益和股价来说都不是好事。关于美联储的政策转向，还有一点值得考虑。如果美联储降息，收益率曲线可能会恢复正常。从历史上看，收益率曲线的倒挂只是衰退的警告。下图显示了两条备受关注的美国国债收益率曲线。在上述四种情况（即回撤幅度大于平均水平）和1990年之前的其他情况中，两条曲线变陡都伴随着经济衰退。而过去两周，2-10年期美债收益率曲线变陡了60个基点。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"OEX":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"SPY":1,"DJX":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,".DJI":1,"MNQmain":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".SPX":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,".IXIC":1,"SH":0.6,"OEF":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9941639195,"gmtCreate":1680183290218,"gmtModify":1680183294088,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","listText":"[呆住]&nbsp;","text":"[呆住]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9941639195","repostId":"1146780615","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1146780615","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1680183015,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146780615?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-30 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146780615","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30th, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, and the Dow Jones index opened up 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36 points; The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4,052.52; The Nasdaq Composite opened up 84.21 points, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>Up more than 12%, the company officially announced the start of production of FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>up nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Proposed spin-off<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Sanfa and JD Industrial are separately listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>It fell 8% after saying it planned to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted to the parliament an increase of 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquisition of Credit Suisse's plan to provide a guarantee of 109 billion Swiss francs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>up 5%, and is expected to reach a settlement this year on its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | The three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, with Faraday Future rising more than 12%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-03-30 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On March 30th, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened higher collectively, and the Dow Jones index opened up 170.76 points, or 0.52%, to 32,888.36 points; The S&P 500 opened up 24.71 points, or 0.61%, at 4,052.52; The Nasdaq Composite opened up 84.21 points, or 0.71%, at 12010.45.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a>Up more than 12%, the company officially announced the start of production of FF 91 Futurist.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>up nearly 6%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Proposed spin-off<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">Jingdong</a>Sanfa and JD Industrial are separately listed on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home Furnishing</a>It fell 8% after saying it planned to sell $300 million worth of shares.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Up 3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">Credit Suisse</a>The Swiss government has submitted to the parliament an increase of 2%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Acquisition of Credit Suisse's plan to provide a guarantee of 109 billion Swiss francs.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PHG\">Philips</a>up 5%, and is expected to reach a settlement this year on its global recall of respiratory equipment.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{"LU0048580855.USD":"富达大中华区A","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","PHG":"飞利浦","LU0868486357.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Opportunities A (acc) SGD-H","LU0588545904.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income ASDM SGD","LU0228659784.USD":"施罗德金砖四国基金","LU1880383366.USD":"东方汇理中国股票基金 A2 (C)",".DJI":"道琼斯","LU0588545730.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"ADM\" (USD) INC","LU0359202008.SGD":"Blackrock China Fund A2 SGD-H","LU0051755006.USD":"摩根大通中国A (dist)",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","LU0650527681.SGD":"Fidelity China Consumer A-SGD","LU1044876610.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) ASIAN CONTRARIAN EQUITY \"ZU\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0572944931.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon China Opportunities A2 SGD","LU1366334578.USD":"ALLSPRING EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","BK1591":"就地过年概念","IE00B3M56506.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN EMERGING MARKETS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","LU0456827905.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - China A (acc) SGD","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","LU0456842615.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Emerging Markets Equity A (acc) SGD","BK4118":"综合性资本市场","LU0417516902.SGD":"Allianz China Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0588545490.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Asian Equity Income AS SGD","LU0791590937.USD":"ALLSPRING  EMERGING MARKTES EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD)","LU0320764755.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Asian Growth A Acc SGD","USB":"美国合众银行","LU1044874839.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) ASIAN CONTRARIAN EQUITY \"AGH\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0791591158.USD":"ALLSPRING  EMERGING MARKTES EQUITY INCOME \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","09618":"京东集团-SW","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","LU0488056044.USD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AM DIS USD","BK1502":"双十一","LU1794554557.SGD":"Allianz All China Equity AT Acc H2-SGD","LU1282649810.SGD":"Allianz Asian Multi Income Plus Cl AMg DIS H2-SGD","LU0084288322.USD":"Natixis Asia Equity RD USD","BBBY":"Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.","IE00BGV7N243.SGD":"FSSA Global Emerging Markets Focus I Acc SGD","BK4178":"家庭装饰零售","BK4579":"人工智能","JD":"京东","BK4588":"碎股","LU0315178854.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS ASIAN EQUITY INCOME \"A\" ACC","BK1142":"互联网与直销零售","UBS":"瑞银","SG9999001226.SGD":"UNITED SUSTAINABLE ASIA TOP 50 \"A\" (SGD) ACC","BK1588":"回港中概股"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146780615","content_text":"3月30日，美股三大指数集体高开，道琼斯指数开盘上涨170.76点，涨幅0.52%，报32888.36点；标普500指数开盘上涨24.71点，涨幅0.61%，报4052.52点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨84.21点，涨幅0.71%，报12010.45点。法拉第未来涨逾12%，公司官宣FF 91 Futurist开始生产。京东上涨近6%，京东拟分拆京东产发、京东工业于香港联交所主板独立上市。3B家居跌8%，此前称计划出售价值3亿美元的股票。瑞银涨3%，瑞士信贷涨2%，瑞士政府已向议会提交为瑞银收购瑞信提供1090亿瑞郎担保的计划。飞利浦涨5%，预计今年将就其全球召回的呼吸系统设备达成和解。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"FFIE":0.9,"CS":0.9,"QNETCN":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UBS":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PHG":0.9,"USB":0.9,"JD":0.9,"09618":0.9,"BBBY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":236955656736800,"gmtCreate":1698886184151,"gmtModify":1698886189036,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/236955656736800","repostId":"2380626437","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4514,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":216626060411088,"gmtCreate":1693905626613,"gmtModify":1693905630636,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/216626060411088","repostId":"1195776321","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4411,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947027408,"gmtCreate":1682389872205,"gmtModify":1682389876940,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947027408","repostId":"1175829315","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1175829315","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682329507,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175829315?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-24 17:45","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175829315","media":"The Edge Singapore","summary":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overall</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.</p><p>The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.</p><p>“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”</p><p>“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\"><strong>‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOB</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1655096814160","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDBS Downgrades OCBC and UOB to \"Hold\" As It Sees \"Limited Catalysts for Now\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-24 17:45 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now><strong>The Edge Singapore</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"O39.SI":"华侨银行","U11.SI":"大华银行"},"source_url":"https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/brokers-calls/dbs-downgrades-ocbc-and-uob-hold-it-sees-limited-catalysts-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175829315","content_text":"DBS Group Research analyst Lim Rui Wen has downgraded both Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) and United Overseas Bank (UOB) to “hold” as she sees limited catalysts for both banks for now.Lim has also lowered her target price estimates. OCBC’s target price is now at $13 from $14 previously while UOB’s target price is at $30.30, down from $34.20 previously.Higher downside risks for Singapore banking sector overallIn an overall report on the Singapore banking sector dated April 20, Lim notes several higher downside risks ahead such as limited upside for net interest margins (NIMs).“As [the] US Federal Reserve (US Fed) comes close to a peak in this interest rate cycle, we believe there are limited upside for NIMs going forward for Singapore banks, especially as pressures from funding costs continue,” she writes.Economists from DBS Group Research expect the US Fed to hike rates once more during the 2Q2023 to 5.25%, which is the terminal rate for the current rate hike cycle.The analyst also sees increasing downside risks from potential rate cuts in FY2023 should a recession force the Fed to cut rates.“Singapore Banks have seen strong q-o-q NIM expansion since 1QFY2022, with 4QFY2022 NIMs hitting a decade high as interest rates soared. However, stronger deposit pressures seen during 1QFY2023 will likely lead to an even more muted q-o-q NIM expansion ahead, and possibly deterioration across the banks,” she says.Amid a more uncertain macroeconomic environment, the analyst sees loan growth and recovery in non-interest income may be “weaker than hoped for”.“Industry loan growth continues to be weak as system loans contracted by -1.1% year-to-date (ytd) as of end-February,” she writes.“We expect Singapore banks to see muted loan growth of 0% to 1% q-o-q during 1QFY2023. While the banks have largely seen an improvement in wealth management activities during January and February 2023, March 2023 saw volatile and risk-off markets as Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse troubles hit the markets,” she adds.In addition, Lim believes that market activities are unlikely to rebound back to its FY2021 levels in the near future, in part due to the increasing global economic uncertainties.Furthermore, asset quality risks continue to be on the rise through FY2023 as recession risks become more imminent and geopolitical tensions continue to increase alongside an inflationary environment.As it is, Singapore’s economy has already begun to see a sharper-than-expected slowdown during the 1Q2023 alongside US banks, which are increasingly starting to price a recession in the 2H2023 in their outlook.“We believe there is further downside from higher specific provisions as the economy starts to slow, though banks may reverse some general provisions to buffer credit costs,” says Lim.That said, all three banks began the current cycle with strong provisions buffers and now have non-performing asset (NPA) coverage ratios of 98% to 122%. “[This is] a key support to valuations in our view which limits downside.”“As Fed comes close to a peak in this cycle with potential rate cuts looming in 2HFY2024, with limited NIM upside, a more muted loan growth and non-interest income on the cards, amidst increasing asset quality risks, we cut FY2023-FY2024 earnings by 3%-4% for the banks,” says Lim.“We believe Singapore banks’ strong provisions buffer, strong dividend yield of [over] 5% and excess capital (room for dividend upside) will limit downside in the near term, lest a global recession or banking crisis happen,” she adds.‘Hold’ for OCBC and UOBIn a separate report for OCBC also dated April 20, the analyst feels OCBC’s earnings may have peaked after the bank benefitted “significantly” from the enhancement of its franchise value after it acquired Wing Hang Bank in 2014.“[This is] given that Greater China continues to be management’s focus as a key market outside Singapore, contributing close to 15% of the group’s income in FY2022,” she says.“The bank aims to capture rising Asian wealth and support increasing Mainland China-Hong Kong and Asean-Greater China flows to deepen its regional presence and drive sustainable growth,” she adds.As the Fed rate comes close to its peak in this cycle, Lim sees limited upside for OCBC’s NIMs especially as pressure from funding costs continues to grow.“While OCBC’s 4QFY2022 NIM improved 25 basis points (bps) q-o-q to 2.31%, management has guided for FY2023 NIM of [around] 2.0% - 2.1%.“OCBC is likely to see muted loan growth in 1QFY2023, having seen a 3% q-o-q decline during 4QFY2022. With wealth management and card fees seeing a rebound in January and February 2023, this is likely to be partially offset by Great Eastern Holdings’ (GEH) performance,” says Lim.“Recall that 4QFY2022 saw unrealised losses at GEH due to the yield curve inversion, which was still the case as of end-March. While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.Lim has lowered her earnings estimates for OCBC by 3% to 4% for FY2023 to FY2024, which she recognises as being lower than the consensus. The lowered earnings come after she cuts her NIM estimates for FY2023 and FY2024.“Our target price represents [around 1x FY2024, below -0.5 standard deviation (s.d.) of OCBC’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple, which we believe is a fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for OCBC’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks,” she says.“We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114% and potential excess capital of [over] $5 billion during FY2023. We believe the downside to OCBC’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 114%,” she adds.Lim also sees limited upside for UOB’s NIMs as the Fed rate cycle nears its peak with pressure from funding costs.UOB’s offering of higher fixed deposit interest rates on top of higher interest rates for its flagship current account savings accounts (CASA) compared to its peers in 2HFY2022 will weigh on its upcoming NIMs during the 1QFY2023, notes Lim.“[This is] as an increase in the cost of deposits offsets an increase in asset yields. While we anticipate a stronger q-o-q improvement in fee income from wealth and card fees and stronger treasury and investment income q-o-q, we believe there are still downside risks to management’s guidance for double-digit fee income growth through FY2023 in a more uncertain macroeconomic environment,” she writes.“While asset quality remains benign in 1QFY2023, we believe management will top up general provisions as it guides for a more normalized credit costs of 20 bps - 25bps in FY2023 in a more uncertain environment,” she adds.That said, UOB’s acquisition of Citi’s consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam will allow the bank to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its Asean franchise.Her new target price for UOB represents around 1x FY2024, near -0.5 s.d. of UOB’s 12-year forward P/BV multiple.In her report, Lim believes this is a “fair valuation, as we see limited catalysts ahead for UOB’s share price, given more downside risks arising from NIM, loan growth, a more uncertain macroeconomic environment for non-interest income growth, as well as rising asset quality risks.”“We believe the downside to UOB’s share price will be supported by its strong provisions buffer of 98%,” she says.UOB and OCBC will be releasing their 1QFY2023 results on April 27 and May 10 respectively. DBS will release its results on May 2.Shares in OCBC and UOB closed at $12.82 and $29.58 respectively.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"U11.SI":0.9,"O39.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9944518029,"gmtCreate":1681912768761,"gmtModify":1681912773182,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9944518029","repostId":"1142957366","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142957366","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1681911035,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1142957366?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-19 21:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142957366","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, with the Dow falling by 0.36%, the Nasdaq falling by 0.74% and the S&P 500 falling by 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It fell by more than 3%, Q1 net profit fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and Q1 total deposits were 347.52 billion USD, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">ASM</a>It fell by nearly 3%, with net bookings of 3.8 billion euros in Q1, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 40.6%.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks fell generally, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain falling more than 6%, and Coinbase falling more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks fell collectively,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>fell by more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Aleans Western Bank</a>From March 31 to April 14, deposits increased by $2 billion, and the total insured deposits accounted for 73% of the total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening | The three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, Alyans Western Bank rose 20%\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-04-19 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>On April 19th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively open low, with the Dow falling by 0.36%, the Nasdaq falling by 0.74% and the S&P 500 falling by 0.47%.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8098d21c1981423d0f3cca989675c419\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a>It fell by more than 3%, Q1 net profit fell by nearly 20% year-on-year, and Q1 total deposits were 347.52 billion USD, lower than market expectations.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASML\">ASM</a>It fell by nearly 3%, with net bookings of 3.8 billion euros in Q1, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of about 40.6%.</p><p>Blockchain concept stocks fell generally, with Marathon Digital and Riot Blockchain falling more than 6%, and Coinbase falling more than 4%.</p><p>New energy vehicle stocks fell collectively,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Motors</a>fell by more than 7%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">Li Auto</a>Down nearly 4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>It fell by more than 3%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">Aleans Western Bank</a>From March 31 to April 14, deposits increased by $2 billion, and the total insured deposits accounted for 73% of the total deposits.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","BK4211":"区域性银行","BK4589":"SVB概念",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142957366","content_text":"4月19日，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.36%，纳指跌0.74%，标普500指数跌0.47%。摩根士丹利跌超3%，Q1净利润同比下滑近20%，Q1总存款为3475.2亿美元，低于市场预期。阿斯麦跌近3%，Q1净预订额38亿欧元，环比减少约40.6%。区块链概念股普跌，Marathon Digital、Riot Blockchain跌超6%，Coinbase跌超4%。新能源车股集体下跌，小鹏汽车跌超7%，理想汽车跌近4%，特斯拉、蔚来跌超3%。阿莱恩斯西部银行涨20%，自3月31日至4月14日，存款增加20亿美元，受保险存款总额占存款总额的73%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WAL":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4920,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9945832437,"gmtCreate":1681425549429,"gmtModify":1681425551876,"author":{"id":"3579135726453814","authorId":"3579135726453814","name":"Kevin29","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bcf91fefd04d4906409e47143e582b0","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579135726453814","authorIdStr":"3579135726453814"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","listText":"[财迷]&nbsp;","text":"[财迷]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9945832437","repostId":"2327422131","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2327422131","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1681388403,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2327422131?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-13 20:20","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The CPI report blows the final whistle! The Fed is going to win?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2327422131","media":"金十数据","summary":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and Americans' wallets, and more importantly, it also sends an important signal... Things look to be improving for the Fed and Americans' wallets.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>Inflation, as measured by CPI, fell by a full percentage point</strong>。 As one of the measures of inflation, the annual CPI rate plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to get there, the latest economic data shows that the Fed's ongoing rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) price index is another inflation measure that the Fed is watching closely,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 The index's lower month-over-month growth in February compared to January, and the year-over-year growth also shows that this measure of inflation has largely been declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen it too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even as growth slows, the labor market is moving rapidly.\"<strong>It is clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Fed Chair Powell faces criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the potential for such a move to trigger job losses and an eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren said publicly:</p><p>\"Powell made the mistake of not suspending his extreme rate hike. I have been warning for months that the Fed's current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March that he would not back down in meeting his inflation reduction goal, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know it's the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed isn't planning to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of suspending its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said Tuesday at the Chicago Economic Club that \"proper monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial pressures\" brought on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high level of uncertainty as to where these financial headwinds are headed, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much headwinds can help in bringing down inflation.\" Calls for a rate hike moratorium were heightened by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which raised uncertainty in the economy. While Powell's claim that the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of the collapse could be \"the equivalent of rate hike, and possibly more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at high speed</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data needed to support a potential rate hike pause, so,<strong>It looks more likely that the U.S. will avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The CPI report blows the final whistle! 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The Fed is going to win?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2023-04-13 20:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>The latest CPI report is undoubtedly good news for the Fed and Americans' wallets, and more importantly, it also sends an important signal... Things look to be improving for the Fed and Americans' wallets.</p><p>On Wednesday, the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed<strong>Inflation, as measured by CPI, fell by a full percentage point</strong>。 As one of the measures of inflation, the annual CPI rate plunged from 6.0% in February to 5.0% in March, the lowest level since May 2021.</p><p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01f4a22ef1c92ac98482b9f1298cb957\" tg-width=\"1104\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>That's good news for the Fed as it continues to work to get inflation back to its 2% target.<strong>While the U.S. still has a long way to go to get there, the latest economic data shows that the Fed's ongoing rate hike is working, and the Fed is winning the war on inflation.</strong></p><p>The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) price index is another inflation measure that the Fed is watching closely,<strong>The indicator also shows encouraging signs</strong>。 The index's lower month-over-month growth in February compared to January, and the year-over-year growth also shows that this measure of inflation has largely been declining.</p><p>The Fed has also been looking for signs of a tightening labor market, and it may have seen it too. The U.S. added 236,000 new jobs in March, a slower increase than in previous months,<strong>The slowdown in job market growth to levels that are still strong but not overheated is exactly what the Fed has been seeking.</strong></p><p>Nick Bunker, head of economic research for North America at Indeed Hiring Lab, said:</p><p>\"Even as growth slows, the labor market is moving rapidly.\"<strong>It is clear that the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction</strong>, even as Fed Chair Powell faces criticism from Democratic lawmakers over his ongoing rate hike and the potential for such a move to trigger job losses and an eventual recession. For example, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in March, Senator Elizabeth Warren said publicly:</p><p>\"Powell made the mistake of not suspending his extreme rate hike. I have been warning for months that the Fed's current approach could cost millions of Americans their jobs. We have a lot of tools to fight inflation without pushing the economy off a cliff.\" But Powell said at a press conference in March that he would not back down in meeting his inflation reduction goal, claiming:</p><p>\"Because we know it's the best thing for the people in the long run.\" Although the Fed isn't planning to cut interest rates this year,<strong>The latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve may be on the verge of suspending its rate hike.</strong>Chicago Fed President Goolsby said Tuesday at the Chicago Economic Club that \"proper monetary policy requires caution and patience\" in the wake of the \"financial pressures\" brought on by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. He said:</p><p>\"Given the high level of uncertainty as to where these financial headwinds are headed, I think we need to be cautious. We should gather further data and be cautious about an overly aggressive rate hike until we see how much headwinds can help in bringing down inflation.\" Calls for a rate hike moratorium were heightened by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which raised uncertainty in the economy. While Powell's claim that the banking system is \"robust and resilient,\" the consequences of the collapse could be \"the equivalent of rate hike, and possibly more than that,\" as credit conditions for businesses and households could tighten.</p><p>To be sure,<strong>While lower overall CPI in March is good news, house prices and apartment rents are still rising at high speed</strong>。 Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose slightly more year-over-year in March than in February, driven in large part by higher housing prices.</p><p>Uncertainty remains. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank could make financial conditions tougher, with corporate and consumer borrowing and spending likely to slow, but excessively high core inflation could force the Fed to continue its rate hike,<strong>That means the possibility of a recession remains</strong>。</p><p>However, the Fed is still looking for the data needed to support a potential rate hike pause, so,<strong>It looks more likely that the U.S. will avoid a severe recession</strong>。</p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87d9a839d3b8f535281b72db3c3cfd0","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","BK4504":"桥水持仓","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","CPI":"IQ Real Return ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110312&type=news&data_type=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2327422131","content_text":"最新公布的CPI报告对于美联储和美国人的钱包来说，无疑是个好消息，更重要的是，这还释放出一个重要信号……对美联储和美国人的钱包来说，情况看起来正在好转。周三，美国劳工统计局的最新报告显示，CPI衡量的通胀率下降了整整一个百分点。作为衡量通胀的指标之一，CPI年率从2月份的6.0%暴跌至3月份的5.0%，这是自2021年5月以来的最低水平。对美联储来说这是个好消息，因为它正在继续努力让通胀回到2%的目标水平。尽管美国要实现这一目标还有很长的路要走，但最新的经济数据显示，美联储的持续加息正在发挥作用，美联储正赢得通胀战争。PCE（个人消费支出）价格指数是美联储密切关注的另一个通胀指标，该指标也显示出令人鼓舞的迹象。与1月份相比，该指数2月份的环比增速较低，同比增速也显示出，这一通胀指标在很大程度上一直在下降。美联储也一直在寻找劳动力市场收紧的迹象，它可能也看到了。美国3月份新增就业岗位23.6万个，增幅低于前几个月，就业市场增速放缓至依然强劲但未过热的水平，正是美联储一直在寻求的结果。Indeed Hiring Lab北美地区经济研究主管邦克（Nick Bunker）表示：“即使增长放缓，劳动力市场仍在快速发展。”很明显，美国经济正在朝着正确的方向前进，尽管美联储主席鲍威尔因其持续加息以及此举可能引发失业和最终的经济衰退而面临民主党议员的批评。例如在美联储3月加息后，参议员沃伦（Elizabeth Warren）公开表示：“鲍威尔犯了一个错误，他没有暂停其极端的加息。几个月来，我一直警告说，美联储目前的做法可能会让数百万美国人失去工作。我们有很多工具来对抗通胀，同时又不会把经济推下悬崖。”但鲍威尔在今年3月的新闻发布会上表示，在实现降低通胀目标方面他不会退缩，他声称：“因为我们知道，从长远来看，这是最有利于人民的事情。”尽管美联储今年不打算降息，但最新的经济数据暗示美联储可能即将暂停加息。芝加哥联储主席古尔斯比周二在芝加哥经济俱乐部表示，在硅谷银行倒闭带来的“金融压力”之后，“正确的货币政策需要谨慎和耐心”。他表示：“鉴于这些金融逆风走向的不确定性很大，我认为我们需要保持谨慎。我们应该收集进一步的数据，并且在我们看到逆风在降低通胀方面起到多大帮助之前，对过于激进的加息应持谨慎态度。”硅谷银行的崩溃加剧了对暂停加息的呼吁，因为这一崩溃引发了经济的不确定性。虽然鲍威尔声称银行体系“稳健而有弹性”，但崩溃的后果可能是“相当于加息，甚至可能还不止于此”，因为企业和家庭的信贷条件可能会收紧。可以肯定的是，虽然3月份整体CPI走低是好消息，但房价和公寓租金仍在高速上涨。与此同时，3月份剔除食品和能源的核心CPI同比涨幅略高于2月份，这在很大程度上是受住房价格上涨的推动。不确定性仍存在。硅谷银行的倒闭可能会使金融状况变得更加严峻，企业和消费者的借贷和支出可能减缓，但过高的核心通胀可能会迫使美联储继续加息，这意味着经济衰退的可能性依然存在。不过，美联储仍在寻找支持潜在暂停加息所需的数据，因此，看起来美国更有可能避免严重的经济衰退。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.6,"513500":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,".IXIC":1,"QQQ":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,"OEF":0.6,".DJI":1,"OEX":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"MNQmain":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"NQmain":0.6,"DDM":0.6,"CPI":1,"SPY":1,".SPX":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"QID":0.6,"DJX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"DXD":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}