BabokSong personal page - To The Moon

BabokSong

BabokSong

hello 😁

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2023-04-04

Ok

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2024-04-16

$KERRY PPT(00683)$ hope for HK rebound

2025-05-05

$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best HK stock I own.

2025-03-11

$KERRY PPT(00683)$ Hold for long term.

2025-03-24

$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best stock I own so far.

2025-04-09

$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best HK stock I own

2022-12-29

Drop

2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?

2022-12-14

I expect 0.75

Fed to Downshift to Half-Point Hike But Point to Higher Peak

2024-02-03

Looks like bubble forming

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2023-01-18

Ok

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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PPT(00683)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e40dc9a908d820ad0c8f756fdb8b85c3","width":"874","height":"1737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/486109513278048","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":891,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9948070838,"gmtCreate":1680613293224,"gmtModify":1680613297018,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":30,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9948070838","repostId":"2324205188","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":295790304505912,"gmtCreate":1713224452640,"gmtModify":1713234285042,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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Congratulations! Fantastic result 👏👏👏🍾🍾🍾","text":"Wow!!! Congratulations! Fantastic result 👏👏👏🍾🍾🍾","html":"Wow!!! Congratulations! Fantastic result 👏👏👏🍾🍾🍾"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":431581543829800,"gmtCreate":1746389678934,"gmtModify":1746499655467,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best HK stock I own.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best HK stock I own.","text":"$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best HK stock I own.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b67eb152810e6284932e0cbf15034e1","width":"874","height":"1737"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":17,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/431581543829800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1751,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"10000000000010968","authorId":"10000000000010968","name":"Tiger_CashBoostAccount","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ae2d4002ef9664aba005cb3020f416f5","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010968","idStr":"10000000000010968"},"content":"Congratulations on your succeed trades. Your portfolio is a shining example of what smart investing looks like. Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","text":"Congratulations on your succeed trades. Your portfolio is a shining example of what smart investing looks like. Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.","html":"Congratulations on your succeed trades. Your portfolio is a shining example of what smart investing looks like. Congratulations on your achievements! Trade with Tiger Cash Boost Account and use contra trading to enhance your strategies. Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here. Other helpful links: How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website."}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":412090053689840,"gmtCreate":1741628215679,"gmtModify":1741677968203,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> Hold for long term.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> Hold for long term.","text":"$KERRY PPT(00683)$ Hold for long term.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/62514f8d6a4bbe22a702a506c856331f","width":"890","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":13,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/412090053689840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":416840103133224,"gmtCreate":1742775862109,"gmtModify":1742801493105,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best stock I own so far.","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best stock I own so far.","text":"$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best stock I own so far.","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5b26221d04658b44d2e3a64205f0aa33","width":"890","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/416840103133224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1499,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":422314096504912,"gmtCreate":1744128987942,"gmtModify":1744168171112,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best HK stock I own","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/00683\">$KERRY PPT(00683)$ </a> best HK stock I own","text":"$KERRY PPT(00683)$ best HK stock I own","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/4deb9b34c5d639bd59ecf7f5f76cc6bd","width":"890","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/422314096504912","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1011,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924562240,"gmtCreate":1672285022380,"gmtModify":1676538666045,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Drop","listText":"Drop","text":"Drop","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924562240","repostId":"1183312159","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1183312159","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1672282689,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1183312159?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-29 10:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183312159","media":"TipRanks","summary":"Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertain","content":"<div>\n<p>Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1606183248679","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2023 U.S. Stock Market Predictions: What Will Happen?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-29 10:58 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen><strong>TipRanks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/2023-stock-market-predictions-what-will-happen","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1183312159","content_text":"Story Highlights2022 was bad for stocks; we are entering the new year with a high level of uncertainty. Investors should consider preparing their portfolios for different scenarios, differentiating their holdings across segments that could maximize their returns against downside and upside factors.2022 will go down in history as one of the worst years for stocks in the last few decades; what will 2023 bring to the markets?Price history of the S&P 500 (SPX) IndexWhich Scenario Looks Right to You?It’s impossible to forecast the near-term path of the markets, but we can try and distinguish trends and upside and downside risks to these trends:Base Case: a mild recession in the first half of 2023, which brings down inflation, letting the Fed ease in the second half; the S&P 500 (SPX) rallies 10%-20%.Bear Case: the Fed over-tightens, sending the economy into a “hard landing,” sending stocks down for the year.Bull Case: the Fed succeeds in bringing down inflation without causing a recession, and stocks rally as they did in 2021.It would be reasonable to work according to the base-case outlook while hedging against different scenarios that might affect some stocks more than others.Base Case: Mild Recession Followed by an UpturnIn the base-case scenario, it would be a no-brainer to buy tech stocks. The decades-long trend of technology entering every layer of human life will continue, and tech stocks will likely shine again.According to Morningstar (NASDAQ: MORN) analysts, large-cap growth stocks are now one of the cheapest segments in the market, having suffered some of the biggest declines. Shares of Meta (NASDAQ: META), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) have suffered staggering losses in 2022 and look strongly undervalued. There’s no doubt that many of the Big Tech companies will see their stock performances improve as the economy mends and sentiment picks up, making their current prices look like decent entry points.Make sure to look beyond the price at the fundamentals, though. After the crazy rally and its bust, investors will be much more skeptical of bombastic growth promises that aren’t underpinned by solid numbers. When optimism returns, it will be much more realistic, at least for a while. So, it’d be a good idea to choose stocks of companies with robust earnings, ample cash, and strong growth prospects.In addition, have a look at another dirt-cheap equity segment: small caps. These stocks suffer in downturns but tend to outperform when the economy improves. Small-cap P/E ratios have reached their lowest levels in two decades, and the recession looks already priced into their valuations.To take advantage of this, you might want to have a look at the shares of Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ: SRPT), Shockwave Medical (NASDAQ: SWAV), Lattice Semiconductor (NASDAQ: LSCC), Pure Storage (NYSE: PSTG), Tetra Tech (NASDAQ: TTEK), or WillScot Mobile Mini Holdings (NASDAQ: WSC), as they look promising.Bear Case: Bad Recession or High Rates for LongerIf you believe that 2023 may turn out to be another “risk-off” year but still want to remain invested, consider picking stocks of companies that don’t depend on cheap funding and are supported by ample cash, strong business models, and dominance in their markets. Dividend-paying companies are preferred; value stocks will likely outperform in this setting. Pay attention to the industries: discretionary products and services take a much bigger hit in recessions than those supplying the necessities.For example, Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC) is a leader in the packaged food market. It has substantial pricing power and pays stable dividends, which could help hedge against an economic downturn. Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) has been a great inflation hedge, trading ata P/E ratio of 5.2. Target (NYSE: TGT) is a dividend king with a strong market cap and solid profitability. Another high-dividend stock is Danaher (NYSE: DHR), a stable, diversified conglomerate. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) has plenty of cash, a high dividend yield, and vast market share. Top this list with Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B), the best-run financial conglomerate in the U.S., and you should be well-equipped for a recession.Bull Case: No Recession, Markets RallyIf you believe the U.S. economy will avoid a recession, you’d think that one should just buy everything at these prices, right? Well, no: it will take time for another broad “buy-all” rally to emerge; investors will be very selective for a while, putting money only on those companies that have established business models and resilient financials.Go with the “base-case” portfolio, adding to it some stocks from sectors that benefit from higher growth, basing your choice on reasonable stock pricing and good fundamentals. Considering adding tech anddiscretionary stocksto the portfolio, such as Sally Beauty (NYSE: SBH), trading at a P/E ratio of 7.5, Century Communities (NYSE: CCS) at 2.8, Green Brick Partners (NYSE: GRBK) at 3.99, Western Digital (NASDAQ: WDC) at 10.5, Stride (NYSE: LRN) at 15.0, Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) at 12.8, and ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ON) at 16.2.The Takeaway: Just Hold OnWhatever happens in 2023, remember: every bear market has ended with a new bull market. Hedge your portfolio to ride out the turbulence, and don’t lose calm.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":644,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9921135032,"gmtCreate":1670991993427,"gmtModify":1676538472759,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I expect 0.75","listText":"I expect 0.75","text":"I expect 0.75","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9921135032","repostId":"1139883493","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1139883493","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1670980450,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1139883493?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-14 09:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed to Downshift to Half-Point Hike But Point to Higher Peak","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1139883493","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed officials are expected to raise rates by 50 basis pointsFresh projections could shed light on ho","content":"<div>\n<p>Fed officials are expected to raise rates by 50 basis pointsFresh projections could shed light on how high rates may goThe Federal Reserve is poised to moderate its aggressive tightening on Wednesday ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/fed-decision-day-guide-officials-to-downshift-rate-hikes-aim-for-higher-peak\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed to Downshift to Half-Point Hike But Point to Higher Peak\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-14 09:14 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/fed-decision-day-guide-officials-to-downshift-rate-hikes-aim-for-higher-peak><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed officials are expected to raise rates by 50 basis pointsFresh projections could shed light on how high rates may goThe Federal Reserve is poised to moderate its aggressive tightening on Wednesday ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/fed-decision-day-guide-officials-to-downshift-rate-hikes-aim-for-higher-peak\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-14/fed-decision-day-guide-officials-to-downshift-rate-hikes-aim-for-higher-peak","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1139883493","content_text":"Fed officials are expected to raise rates by 50 basis pointsFresh projections could shed light on how high rates may goThe Federal Reserve is poised to moderate its aggressive tightening on Wednesday while signaling that interest rates will ultimately go higher than previously forecast.The tricky part for Chair Jerome Powell will be convincing investors that this isn’t a dovish pivot and that officials won’t prematurely end their assault against inflation that’s running three times higher than their 2% goal.The Federal Open Market Committee is widely expected to raise rates by 50 basis points and bring its benchmark target rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, the highest since 2007. Fresh quarterly economic projections released after the meeting will also shed light on how much further policymakers expect rates to go.Economists surveyed by Bloomberg see that median estimate peaking at 4.9% after Powell said they will need to lift rates higher than previously anticipated. That implies the FOMC stepping down to 25 basis-point moves in February and March and then putting policy on pause. Investors see things the same way, according to current pricing in interest-rate futures markets.The decision, as well as the forecasts, will be announced at 2 p.m. in Washington. Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.Consumer-price data released Tuesday suggest the worst of US inflation may have passed, making it easier for officials to downshift to a smaller rate increase this week. But Powell could use his press conference to remind the public that officials are not going to let up until inflation is clearly on a path back down to 2%.“All eyes will be on the dot plot and the conference and what Fed Chair Powell will be telling us in terms of the path for interest rates going forward,” said Lydia Boussour, senior economist for EY Parthenon, referring to the quarterly projections for rates displayed as a chart of anonymous dots though 2025 and in the longer run.Future Rate PathAt their September meeting, Fed officials saw rates reaching 4.6% by the end of next year. But policymakers say those expectations have since moved up following economic data showing that while inflation is easing, it remains stubbornly high.Officials also say the labor market is still out of balance, with demand for workers exceeding labor supply and wage growth not letting up.The projections will offer insight on policymakers’ latest views for where they expect rates to go. But the Fed chief is unlikely to commit to a specific path, preferring to keep his options open, said Michael Pugliese, an economist at Wells Fargo & Co.“I think they’ll preserve flexibility,” he said.Conditions for PauseThe rate projections could offer clues on how soon officials expect to pause the rate increases. For example, a more modest increase in the terminal rate may suggest that officials could stop hiking rates as soon as March, while a higher peak may suggest that rate increases could continue further into next year, said Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist for SGH Macro Advisors.But he said it will also be important to hear from Powell about how officials will know that it’s time to pause the rate increases or if they should keep hiking.“They’ve been edging closer to something that they think is a terminal rate and that appears to be something near 5%,” said Duy. “What conditions would sort of reinforce that?”‘Ongoing’ Increases?One key phrase to watch for in the FOMC statement is whether officials continue to say that “ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate” to bring rates to a level that is sufficiently restrictive to reduce inflation.Removing the word “ongoing” could send a dovish signal and suggest that the Fed is likely to pause rate increases in March, sooner than expected, according to Roberto Perli and Benson Durham of Piper Sandler & Co.However, Fed officials could also decide to keep the “ongoing increases” wording in the statement for the remainder of the hiking cycle to avoid sending a signal that could ease financial conditions, said Derek Tang, an economist with LH Meyer.“There’s little cost to them to keep ‘ongoing increases’ in there until the first meeting with no hike,” Tang wrote in an email note.Economic PainThe projections will also reveal what officials expect to see from the US economy in terms of growth, the unemployment rate and inflation. Forecasts showing that officials now expect it to take longer for inflation to come down to their target could help to justify their higher interest-rate projections, said James Knightley, chief international economist for ING.Policymakers could downgrade their outlook for next year, projecting lower economic growth that is closer to zero and a higher unemployment rate that is approaching 5%, up from the current rate of 3.7%, said EY Parthenon’s Boussour.“I think there will be that idea coming out of the new projections that the Fed is ready to tolerate some more economic pain in order to restore price stability,” she said.Soft Landing OddsEven if officials present a base case that avoids a recession, the direction of where those indicators are headed can offer insight on how officials view recession risks, said Pugliese.Powell could use the press conference to tell the public that officials believe there is still a path, albeit a narrower one, for a achieving a soft landing, where they succeed in bringing inflation down while minimizing the pain for households, said Knightley.“I think the Fed will be saying, ‘well recession is a possibility, but it’s not our base case,’” he said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":594,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":269958912626928,"gmtCreate":1706916903456,"gmtModify":1706916908979,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Looks like bubble forming&nbsp;","listText":"Looks like bubble forming&nbsp;","text":"Looks like bubble forming","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/269958912626928","repostId":"1171052856","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1827,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956643566,"gmtCreate":1674000070356,"gmtModify":1676538913971,"author":{"id":"3581922804763831","authorId":"3581922804763831","name":"BabokSong","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c3327c0ff892b3f4e674bcc63808be59","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581922804763831","idStr":"3581922804763831"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9956643566","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":936,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}