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2022-12-14
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2022-12-10
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2022-12-05
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2021-09-14
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Oil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf
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2021-09-13
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday
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2021-09-10
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2021-09-10
Talking about Mordena, it is suddenly become household name already.
3 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks Expected to Increase Sales 559% to 809% by 2024
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2021-09-06
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2021-08-31
Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now
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2021-08-26
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Apple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era
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2021-08-26
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2021-08-24
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“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with
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2021-08-24
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2021-08-24
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2021-08-23
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Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week
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2021-08-22
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2021-08-21
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Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul
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2021-08-18
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Big Oil’s Next Merger Mania Has an Eye on Its Demise
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2021-08-17
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2021-08-16
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While you enjoy your football carnival, don't forget to join in Tiger's Football Season on Tiger Trade App, and share the prizes worth up to USD 200,000!Play the \"Perfect Goals\" game with us, and feel the score moment by only pressing the button.Keep completing the daily tasks and play the game, win more points to redeem stock vouchers worth up to USD 2,000 or AFF tickets, and the top prize - the free journey of watching the AFF finals!You can also predict a football match of the World Cup or AFF Championship, and cheer for your home team.Besides, you may obtain the Tiger Football Card by participating in the campaign every day.Goalke","listText":"This year is the year of football, the Qatar World Cup, AFF championship, make the following days a big carnival for football fans all around the world! 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U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.</p>\n<p>Both contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.</p>\n<p>Nicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.</p>\n<p>Evacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.</p>\n<p>\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.</p>\n<p>About 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).</p>\n<p>After three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Overall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.</p>\n<p>These forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ba4244bcfced72374dc299b8621a17c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Reuters Graphics</span></p>\n<p>Protesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.</p>\n<p>Details on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>China's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-14 22:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened into a tropical storm, bringing the threat of widespread floods and power outages to Texas and Louisiana, and as the International Energy Agency forecast a big demand rebound for the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>Brent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $74.06 a barrel by 1334 GMT after hitting a session high of $74.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.</p>\n<p>Both contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.</p>\n<p>Nicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.</p>\n<p>Evacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.</p>\n<p>\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.</p>\n<p>About 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).</p>\n<p>After three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Overall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.</p>\n<p>These forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ba4244bcfced72374dc299b8621a17c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Reuters Graphics</span></p>\n<p>Protesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.</p>\n<p>Details on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>China's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128474511","content_text":"LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened into a tropical storm, bringing the threat of widespread floods and power outages to Texas and Louisiana, and as the International Energy Agency forecast a big demand rebound for the rest of the year.\nBrent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $74.06 a barrel by 1334 GMT after hitting a session high of $74.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.\nBoth contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.\nNicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.\nEvacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.\n\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.\nAbout 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).\nAfter three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.\nThe IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.\nOverall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.\nThese forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.\nReuters Graphics\nProtesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.\nDetails on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.\nChina's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886089370,"gmtCreate":1631538811390,"gmtModify":1676530569312,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/886089370","repostId":"1129341543","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129341543","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631534652,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129341543?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-13 20:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129341543","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two mon","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.</p>\n<p>S&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d51dd22d532e1b98f0ecae05c1f7a3e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Apple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Dell Technologies(DELL) </b>– Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.</p>\n<p><b>TransUnion(TRU)</b> – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Viacom(VIAC) </b>– Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Kansas City Southern(KSU)</b> – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Walt Disney(DIS)</b> – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.</p>\n<p><b>Carlyle Group(CG)</b> – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.</p>\n<p><b>MGM Resorts(MGM)</b> – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.</p>\n<p><b>Pfizer(PFE) </b>– Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-13 20:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.</p>\n<p>S&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d51dd22d532e1b98f0ecae05c1f7a3e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Apple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Dell Technologies(DELL) </b>– Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.</p>\n<p><b>TransUnion(TRU)</b> – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Viacom(VIAC) </b>– Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Kansas City Southern(KSU)</b> – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Walt Disney(DIS)</b> – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.</p>\n<p><b>Carlyle Group(CG)</b> – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.</p>\n<p><b>MGM Resorts(MGM)</b> – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.</p>\n<p><b>Pfizer(PFE) </b>– Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","CG":"凯雷",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KSU":"堪萨斯南方铁路","TRU":"TransUnion","AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DIS":"迪士尼","BABA":"阿里巴巴","MGM":"美高梅",".DJI":"道琼斯","PFE":"辉瑞","DELL":"戴尔","SPCE":"维珍银河"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129341543","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.\nS&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.\n\nApple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nVirgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.\nDell Technologies(DELL) – Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.\nTransUnion(TRU) – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.\nViacom(VIAC) – Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.\nKansas City Southern(KSU) – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.\nWalt Disney(DIS) – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.\nAlibaba(BABA) – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.\nApple(AAPL) – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.\nCarlyle Group(CG) – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.\nMGM Resorts(MGM) – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.\nPfizer(PFE) – Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"CG":0.9,"DELL":0.9,"DIS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"KSU":0.9,"MGM":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"SPCE":0.9,"TRU":0.9,"VIAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883775107,"gmtCreate":1631278132209,"gmtModify":1676530516789,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/883775107","repostId":"2166378110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1548,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883772092,"gmtCreate":1631277914416,"gmtModify":1676530516758,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Talking about Mordena, it is suddenly become household name already.","listText":"Talking about Mordena, it is suddenly become household name already.","text":"Talking about Mordena, it is suddenly become household name already.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/883772092","repostId":"2166327584","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2166327584","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1631277360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2166327584?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-10 20:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks Expected to Increase Sales 559% to 809% by 2024","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2166327584","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These widely owned stocks could be some of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years.","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>These widely owned stocks could be some of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Sales growth alone doesn't often tell the full story behind a company's outlook.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Things couldn't be any better for growth stocks. Historically low lending rates, ongoing quantitative easing measures from the Federal Reserve, and a free-spending Congress have rolled out the red carpet for fast-growing companies. Access to cheap capital is abundant, and growth stocks have deployed their cash to hire, innovate, and even acquire other businesses.</p>\n<p>Over the next couple of years, a handful of ultra-popular growth stocks are really expected to put the pedal to the metal. The following three growth stocks are projected by Wall Street to deliver aggregate sales increases ranging from 559% to 809% by 2024.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee55796575e48ba3143c099af095e386\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"535\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>Moderna: 809% implied sales growth by 2024</h3>\n<p>Perhaps it comes as little shock that <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the most successful coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine developers, <b>Moderna</b> (NASDAQ:MRNA), is expected to be one of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years. After reporting $803 million in 2020 sales, Wall Street's consensus currently has it pegged for $7.3 billion in revenue by 2024. Interestingly, this is down significantly from the $20 billion in net product sales Moderna is forecasting for 2021.</p>\n<p>As you're probably aware, there are around a half-dozen global COVID-19 vaccines, but few have offered the initial efficacy that mRNA-1273 brings to the table. Moderna's November-released trial data showed a vaccine efficacy (VE) of 94.1%, which is only rivaled by the 95% initial VE reported by <b>Pfizer</b>/<b>BioNTech</b> for their vaccine. Moderna has become one of the two core vaccination options in developed markets. The company anticipates producing between 800 million and 1 billion doses this year, and following up with between 2 billion and 3 billion doses in 2022.</p>\n<p>While there is no shortage of question marks surrounding COVID-19, the biggest looming uncertainty for vaccine developers is whether booster shots or recurring annual vaccines will become necessary. Though we still don't know the answer to that question, the data has begun to point to the need for a third booster shot for vaccinated individuals. In other words, Moderna could be looking at its one-time bump in sales becoming something of a recurring revenue stream.</p>\n<p>So, why the drop-off from $20 billion in net product sales in 2021 to Wall Street's estimate of $7.3 billion by 2024? One reason is likely to be competition. We'll almost certainly see a handful of new vaccines enter the market in the coming year(s), which'll reduce Moderna's potential patient pool. There's also the aforementioned uncertainty as to whether or not COVID-19 vaccines will be ongoing for years to come, or if a three-shot course will prove effective.</p>\n<p>Maybe the biggest concern of all is that mRNA-1273 is the company's only revenue-generation product. With a $168 billion market cap, things would have to be perfect from here on out for Moderna to justify this valuation -- and that's unlikely.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96d1687ba107475c062f0147fa401ff2\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>The all-electric Nio EC6 crossover hit showrooms last year. Image source: Nio.</p>\n<h3>Nio: 562% implied sales growth by 2024</h3>\n<p>Speaking of pedal-to-the-metal growth, electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer <b>Nio</b> (NYSE:NIO) is projected to lay down some serious rubber from a sales perspective. After reporting $2.55 billion in sales last year, Wall Street is counting on Nio to reach nearly $16.9 billion in full-year revenue by 2024.</p>\n<p>Nio finds itself in the right place at the right time in multiple respects. The battle against climate change is driving businesses and consumers to act. One of the more logical shifts we're witnessing is a push toward the electrification of consumer vehicles and enterprise fleets. This'll be a multi-decade replacement cycle, providing ample opportunity for multiple EV makers to shine. And Nio is headquartered in China, which happens to be the largest auto market in the world. As I said, right place and right time.</p>\n<p>Nio would love nothing more than to expand its production capacity at the moment, but supply chain issues concerning the chips used in new automobile production are hurting capacity throughout the entire industry. Nio delivered 5,880 vehicles in August, but had delivered around 8,000 vehicles in each of the previous two months. Once these supply issues ease, Nio should push for an annual delivery run-rate of 150,000 EVs.</p>\n<p>What's equally exciting is the innovation we're seeing on all fronts from Nio. In addition to introducing a new vehicle each year, management rolled out a battery-as-a-service subscription program last year. This program will reduce the upfront cost of Nio's EVs in exchange for enrolling buyers into a fee-based monthly program that'll allow them to swap out or upgrade their batteries in the future. Effectively, Nio is exchanging some near-term sales for steadier long-term cash flow, higher margins, and improved customer loyalty.</p>\n<p>Nio isn't cheap by any means, but Wall Street's lofty sales projections are achievable.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6055c9ae2e82ded9736a78b024919efc\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</p>\n<h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNOW\">Snowflake</a>: 559% implied sales growth by 2024</h3>\n<p>Another ultra-popular growth stock that's expected to move the revenue needle in a big way through 2024 is cloud data-warehousing company <b>Snowflake</b> (NYSE:SNOW). Taking into account that Snowflake's fiscal year doesn't coincide with a normal calendar year, we're looking at revenue growing from $592 million in fiscal 2021 to about $3.9 billion in fiscal 2025. That's a projected increase of 559%.</p>\n<p>Prior to the pandemic, we were witnessing a pretty steady shift by businesses to create an online presence and move data into the cloud. But with the pandemic ongoing, this shift sped up considerably. With hybrid workplaces now a common theme and more data than ever stored in the cloud, demand for cloud infrastructure services couldn't be more robust.</p>\n<p>What makes Snowflake so intriguing is the company's unique operating approach. For instance, its infrastructure is built atop many of the most popular cloud services, such as S3, Azure, and Google Cloud. Normally, sharing data between these competing services isn't easy. However, it's a piece of cake for Snowflake members since its infrastructure is layered on top of these services.</p>\n<p>Snowflake is also different in the way it charges its clients. Instead of pushing its customers toward a subscription-based service, Snowflake charges customers based on the amount of data stored and Snowflake Compute Credits used. In doing so, it's created a more transparent pricing model that's clearly resonating with its customers. After all, existing clients spent 69% more in the most recent quarter than they did in the prior-year period.</p>\n<p>In June, the company's management team outlined their goal of reaching $10 billion in annual product sales by fiscal 2029. It's a lofty target, but one that's achievable considering how much data is being shifted into the cloud.</p>\n<p>The bigger question that remains unanswered is whether Snowflake can offer meaningful upside at a whopping multiple of 50 times Wall Street's fiscal 2023 sales forecast. My inclination is to say no, but we also haven't seen another company offer the data-warehousing scale that Snowflake can deliver.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks Expected to Increase Sales 559% to 809% by 2024</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Ultra-Popular Growth Stocks Expected to Increase Sales 559% to 809% by 2024\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-10 20:36 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-growth-stocks-increase-sales-559-to-809-by-2024/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These widely owned stocks could be some of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years.\n\nKey Points\n\nSales growth alone doesn't often tell the full story behind a company's ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-growth-stocks-increase-sales-559-to-809-by-2024/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","NIO":"蔚来","SNOW":"Snowflake"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/09/10/3-growth-stocks-increase-sales-559-to-809-by-2024/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2166327584","content_text":"These widely owned stocks could be some of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years.\n\nKey Points\n\nSales growth alone doesn't often tell the full story behind a company's outlook.\n\nThings couldn't be any better for growth stocks. Historically low lending rates, ongoing quantitative easing measures from the Federal Reserve, and a free-spending Congress have rolled out the red carpet for fast-growing companies. Access to cheap capital is abundant, and growth stocks have deployed their cash to hire, innovate, and even acquire other businesses.\nOver the next couple of years, a handful of ultra-popular growth stocks are really expected to put the pedal to the metal. The following three growth stocks are projected by Wall Street to deliver aggregate sales increases ranging from 559% to 809% by 2024.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\nModerna: 809% implied sales growth by 2024\nPerhaps it comes as little shock that one of the most successful coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine developers, Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), is expected to be one of the fastest-growing companies on the planet over the next four years. After reporting $803 million in 2020 sales, Wall Street's consensus currently has it pegged for $7.3 billion in revenue by 2024. Interestingly, this is down significantly from the $20 billion in net product sales Moderna is forecasting for 2021.\nAs you're probably aware, there are around a half-dozen global COVID-19 vaccines, but few have offered the initial efficacy that mRNA-1273 brings to the table. Moderna's November-released trial data showed a vaccine efficacy (VE) of 94.1%, which is only rivaled by the 95% initial VE reported by Pfizer/BioNTech for their vaccine. Moderna has become one of the two core vaccination options in developed markets. The company anticipates producing between 800 million and 1 billion doses this year, and following up with between 2 billion and 3 billion doses in 2022.\nWhile there is no shortage of question marks surrounding COVID-19, the biggest looming uncertainty for vaccine developers is whether booster shots or recurring annual vaccines will become necessary. Though we still don't know the answer to that question, the data has begun to point to the need for a third booster shot for vaccinated individuals. In other words, Moderna could be looking at its one-time bump in sales becoming something of a recurring revenue stream.\nSo, why the drop-off from $20 billion in net product sales in 2021 to Wall Street's estimate of $7.3 billion by 2024? One reason is likely to be competition. We'll almost certainly see a handful of new vaccines enter the market in the coming year(s), which'll reduce Moderna's potential patient pool. There's also the aforementioned uncertainty as to whether or not COVID-19 vaccines will be ongoing for years to come, or if a three-shot course will prove effective.\nMaybe the biggest concern of all is that mRNA-1273 is the company's only revenue-generation product. With a $168 billion market cap, things would have to be perfect from here on out for Moderna to justify this valuation -- and that's unlikely.\n\nThe all-electric Nio EC6 crossover hit showrooms last year. Image source: Nio.\nNio: 562% implied sales growth by 2024\nSpeaking of pedal-to-the-metal growth, electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer Nio (NYSE:NIO) is projected to lay down some serious rubber from a sales perspective. After reporting $2.55 billion in sales last year, Wall Street is counting on Nio to reach nearly $16.9 billion in full-year revenue by 2024.\nNio finds itself in the right place at the right time in multiple respects. The battle against climate change is driving businesses and consumers to act. One of the more logical shifts we're witnessing is a push toward the electrification of consumer vehicles and enterprise fleets. This'll be a multi-decade replacement cycle, providing ample opportunity for multiple EV makers to shine. And Nio is headquartered in China, which happens to be the largest auto market in the world. As I said, right place and right time.\nNio would love nothing more than to expand its production capacity at the moment, but supply chain issues concerning the chips used in new automobile production are hurting capacity throughout the entire industry. Nio delivered 5,880 vehicles in August, but had delivered around 8,000 vehicles in each of the previous two months. Once these supply issues ease, Nio should push for an annual delivery run-rate of 150,000 EVs.\nWhat's equally exciting is the innovation we're seeing on all fronts from Nio. In addition to introducing a new vehicle each year, management rolled out a battery-as-a-service subscription program last year. This program will reduce the upfront cost of Nio's EVs in exchange for enrolling buyers into a fee-based monthly program that'll allow them to swap out or upgrade their batteries in the future. Effectively, Nio is exchanging some near-term sales for steadier long-term cash flow, higher margins, and improved customer loyalty.\nNio isn't cheap by any means, but Wall Street's lofty sales projections are achievable.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nSnowflake: 559% implied sales growth by 2024\nAnother ultra-popular growth stock that's expected to move the revenue needle in a big way through 2024 is cloud data-warehousing company Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW). Taking into account that Snowflake's fiscal year doesn't coincide with a normal calendar year, we're looking at revenue growing from $592 million in fiscal 2021 to about $3.9 billion in fiscal 2025. That's a projected increase of 559%.\nPrior to the pandemic, we were witnessing a pretty steady shift by businesses to create an online presence and move data into the cloud. But with the pandemic ongoing, this shift sped up considerably. With hybrid workplaces now a common theme and more data than ever stored in the cloud, demand for cloud infrastructure services couldn't be more robust.\nWhat makes Snowflake so intriguing is the company's unique operating approach. For instance, its infrastructure is built atop many of the most popular cloud services, such as S3, Azure, and Google Cloud. Normally, sharing data between these competing services isn't easy. However, it's a piece of cake for Snowflake members since its infrastructure is layered on top of these services.\nSnowflake is also different in the way it charges its clients. Instead of pushing its customers toward a subscription-based service, Snowflake charges customers based on the amount of data stored and Snowflake Compute Credits used. In doing so, it's created a more transparent pricing model that's clearly resonating with its customers. After all, existing clients spent 69% more in the most recent quarter than they did in the prior-year period.\nIn June, the company's management team outlined their goal of reaching $10 billion in annual product sales by fiscal 2029. It's a lofty target, but one that's achievable considering how much data is being shifted into the cloud.\nThe bigger question that remains unanswered is whether Snowflake can offer meaningful upside at a whopping multiple of 50 times Wall Street's fiscal 2023 sales forecast. My inclination is to say no, but we also haven't seen another company offer the data-warehousing scale that Snowflake can deliver.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"SNOW":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817600487,"gmtCreate":1630936831949,"gmtModify":1676530424461,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like thanks ? ","listText":"Please like thanks ? ","text":"Please like thanks ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817600487","repostId":"1121396906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818544748,"gmtCreate":1630422090584,"gmtModify":1676530300129,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","listText":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","text":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/818544748","repostId":"1173998132","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810572255,"gmtCreate":1629989110377,"gmtModify":1676530194926,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810572255","repostId":"1168256001","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168256001","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629988691,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168256001?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-26 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168256001","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>My last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.</li>\n <li>And this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. The analysis attempts to shed insights into the timing when Buffett pulled the trigger on his elephant gun.</li>\n <li>The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs’ era and Tim Cook’s era and provide useful insights for value investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a28673a5b20078b3787241b02c6c9d4\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The investment thesis</b></p>\n<p>If you are reading this, chances are that you already know that Apple Inc. (AAPL) is the largest position in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. My last article on AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.</p>\n<p>And this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017: a total of 661M shares, about 4% of the total shares currently outstanding. However, as to be seen in the remainder of this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.</p>\n<p>The analysis shares my attempts to answer my own question using a so-called DuPont analysis. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. As to be seen by the results later, as a person, I love and even idolize Steve Jobs for his vision and relentless innovation-first style. His vision and innovation - when worked - created an astronomical level of profitability, but is difficult to sustain. But as an investor, especially a long-term and value-driven investor, I feel more comfortable with Tim Cook with his focus on operation and existing products. As to be seen by the results, profitability seemed to be lower on the surface, but upon a closer look, the quality of the earnings is actually improved and became more sustainable. I hope these results provide useful insights not only for AAPL investors but also for investors interested in other stocks.</p>\n<p><b>Overview and recap</b></p>\n<p>Here, I will first provide a brief recap of my last article to facilitate the new discussion today. If you're a devout Buffett cultist like this author, you must have noticed or heard that the grandmaster paid ~10x pretax earnings for many of his largest and best deals. The list is a really long one, ranging from Coca-Cola, American Express, Wells Fargo, Walmart, Burlington Northern, and of course the more recent AAPL purchase and his recent $25B repurchases of BRK shares as analyzed in my earlier article.</p>\n<p>The following chart shows the price history of AAPL and its 10x pretax earnings since 2010. Pretax earnings are also referred to as \"EBT\", Earnings Before Taxes, in this article. As seen, Buffett made his purchases during 2016-2017 when the price is below or near 10x EBT. I was lucky enough to have made the AAPL purchases at that time myself too.</p>\n<p>And the thesis was that if we paid 10x pretax and bought a business that stagnates forever, it is an investment that offers a 10% pretax return already, equivalent to a 10% bond. Not the best investment ever, but not that bad either. If we get a business that offers<i>any</i>growth like AAPL, then we will be buying an above-average business at an average price. It is now equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And we will have a large chance of a double-digit return compounding for a long time (if you hold onto it long enough like Buffett).</p>\n<p>And AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing as to be elaborated next.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eec812a3eda60f950a1890eebc7dd34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p>\n<p>So are there any reasons fundamental to this 10x pretax rule, or is it only a bunch of pure coincidences? I think it is the former and there are indeed many good reasons for this rule, as listed below.</p>\n<p><b>ROCE and perpetual autonomous growth potential</b></p>\n<p>When we think like a long-term business owner, not a stock trader, a key metric (the most important metric in my opinion) is the return on capital employed (ROCE). ROCE measures the return of capital<i>actually</i>employed in a business. And it, therefore, provides fundamental insights into profitability. ROCE is fundamentally important in many ways. A consistent and high ROCE is the hallmark of a business with a sustainable moat. A consistent and high ROCE also shows how effectively the reinvested income can be used to fuel further earnings growth because, in the long term, the growth rate is given by:</p>\n<p>Long term growth rate = ROCE * Reinvestment Rate</p>\n<p>Thus a higher ROCE allows a business to reinvest less of its earnings and grow more at the same time. A key combination for a long-term compounder. To estimate the ROCE of businesses like AAPL, I consider the following items capital actually employed:</p>\n<p>1. Working capital, including payables, receivables, inventory. These are the capitals required for the daily operation of their businesses.</p>\n<p>2. Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment. These are the capitals required to actually conduct business and manufacture their products.</p>\n<p>3. Research and development expenses (an essential expense for a business like AAPL).</p>\n<p>Based on the above considerations, the ROCE of AAPL over the past decade is shown below. As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE at the beginning of the decade, when Steve Jobs left the CEO position. The average ROCE between 2010 to 2012 was near a level of around 443%. Every $1 reinvested in the business can generate more than $4 of additional earning! Since Tim Cook took over, the profitability gradually lowered to the current level of 183%.</p>\n<p>To help put things under perspective, the next chart shows the ROCE of a few other Buffett-style stocks. The ROCE data are directly pulled from my previous analyses. And in case you want to see the details of how I got these numbers, you can look up my recent articles under these tickers.</p>\n<p>As seen, the profitability during Jobs' era was truly astronomical, thanks to all the innovations that profoundly changed the world. And the current level of 183%, the \"declined\" level, is still very competitive relative to other high-quality businesses.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb073458b1726a64be72be41af90a7b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/773b42d84964aa81732fe7e60ce2e815\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p><b>Why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability?</b></p>\n<p>With the above results, the question that puzzled me was why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability? As seen from the results above, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017, when Buffett bought the majority of his shares. The following analysis shares my attempts to answer this question using a so-called DuPont framework. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era.</p>\n<p>The DuPont framework is a tool for analyzing profitability at a fundamental level. It was a general tool and by no means specific to the DuPont business. However, it was popularized by the DuPont Corporation and the name stuck. The DuPont was originally developed to pinpoint issues to improve return on equity (\"ROE\"). In the application here, I made a few modifications to suit the unique situation of AAPL (and modern corporations in general). I will detail the modifications as we go.</p>\n<p>The first modification is that I will use the framework to analyze ROCE instead of ROE. The reasons are aforementioned. And to recap, the first main reason is that ROCE is more fundamentally important than ROE. And secondly, the ROE concept is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative, because more and more corporations have decided to return all share equity to shareholders as they rely more and more on their intangible assets to make a profit.</p>\n<p>Under the DuPont framework, there are three knobs that management can turn to drive up ROCE: profit margin (\"PM\"), asset turnover ratio (\"ATR\"), and leverage. Through simple math, we can show that ROCE is just the product of these three things, i.e.,</p>\n<p>ROCE = PM x ATR x leverage.</p>\n<p>Where PM here is defined as operating income divided by total revenue, ATR is defined as total revenue divided by total asset, and leverage is defined as total asset divided by total capital employed. And here is the second modification that I made to the original DuPont method. I defined leverage as the ratio between total asset divided and total capital employed, instead of the total asset divided by share equity. And again, the reason is that the original definition is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative. The new definition could be understood as effective leverage. It's leverage against the business' working capital (payables, receivables, and inventory), gross property, plant, equipment, et al. If these things represent the share equity in an accounting sense, then the effective leverage will be the same as the original definition. If not, then the effective leverage makes more sense to me. No matter what is the share equity in the accounting sense, a corporation always requires capital to make a profit.</p>\n<p><b>AAPL's profitability drivers</b></p>\n<p>Based on the above discussions, the following three charts show the three knobs for AAPL over the past decade. As can be seen from the first chart, the profit margin has declined from about 32.9% at the beginning of the decade to the current level of 26.7% - a 20.9% decrease. On average, the profit margin for the overall economy fluctuates around 8% and rarely goes above 10%. Of course, this is an average across all business sectors. Nonetheless, as a rule of thumb, 10% is a very healthy profit margin and 20% is a very high margin. AAPL's 32.9% margin at the beginning of the decade was due to the innovations that profoundly changed the world and their near-monopoly status. It is difficult to sustain. You cannot expect to invent a new earthshaking product like the iPhone before 2011 every a few years. And the current level of 26.7% is still very high.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62fc5d093753a57ae672d3726f14afec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p>The second chart shows the ATR driver. The ATR measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate revenue. The higher the ATR, the better the company is performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is generating more revenue per dollar of assets. As seen, AAPL's ATR started around 0.88 at the beginning of the decade, declined to about 0.6 in the mid, and bounced back to the current level of 0.94. Overall, the ATR has improved 6.4% over the decade. Unlike innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook, with his tremendous experiences and insights as the former Chief Operating Officer, certainly has done an excellent job. A notable example was his decision to replace Apple's own factories and warehouses with contractors, a decision that led to a reduction of the company's inventory from months to days.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbba3d838ca6ffb8b0e4574e2908eed\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p>This third and last chart shows the biggest driver for the profitability change. It shows that Tim Cook reduced the effective leverage from an average level of ~15x at the beginning of the decade, to the current level of 7.3, a 74% decrease. So the ROCE declined from 443% in the Jobs' era to the current level of 183% was largely due to the decrease in leverage. As a result, the decline of ROCE is not as bad as it seemed on the surface. The quality of the profit has been improved and became more sustainable.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1c7f2ce039418c7258342046a887042\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p><b>Putting it all together</b></p>\n<p>The following table summarizes the above profitability drivers. And for more visual-oriented readers, the chart below it visualizes the numbers in a waterfall plot. Note that all the changes quoted here are the so-called logarithm changes. For readers who are not familiar with logarithm changes, it is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring changes when there are multiple factors involved - more scientific than the simple arithmetic changes we routinely quote.</p>\n<p>Let's use a simple example to illustrate. Let's consider the calculation of dividend yield for a stock. The dividend yield depends on two things - the dividend and the price, so it will illustrate why the logarithm change is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring change when multiple factors are involved. Consider an example when a stock's dividend increases by 10% and price drops by 10% - in the arithmetic sense we talked about. The dividend yield would increase, but it will<i>not</i>increase by 20%. It would actually increase by 22.22%. In other words, the dividend yield change is not equal to the sum of the arithmetic change in the dividend and the price.</p>\n<p>Now in logarithm terms, things become simpler and more intuitive in a certain way. The logarithm changes involved in this example are: 9.52% for the dividend (logarithm of 110% = 9.52%), -10.54% for the price (logarithm of 90% = -10.54%), and 20.06% for the dividend yield (logarithm of 122.22% = 20.06%). So as you can see, the change of dividend yield is now equal to the sum of the changes in the dividend and the price (20.06% = 9.52% + 10.54%).</p>\n<p>With this digression, now the summary of the profitability drivers for AAPL. As seen from the table and the chart, the ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade (again we are talking in the logarithm terms here and hereafter). It seems pretty bad until we look at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. The next biggest contributor came from the decrease in PM, a 20.9% decrease. It is unfortunate, never a good thing to see profit margin decrease. But I would like to argue the level of PM enjoyed by AAPL (or any business) during a period of technological monopoly is not really sustainable. And lastly, the ATR has contributed a positive 6.4% to the change. As aforementioned, unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook certainly is an operation master (not implying that he is not fantastic in other ways).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8ab37ef43d6df7e215214aaf8e33eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03243108e67063bf027112a201a0cac9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion and final thought</b></p>\n<p>Mylast articleon AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power. The thesis was that when Buffett bought AAPL during 2016~2017 at a price around 10x pretax earnings, it was equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond even if the business stagnates forever. If he gets ANY growth, then he will be buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And as shown in my last article, AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing due to its high ROCE and capital allocation flexibility.</p>\n<p>This article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017. However, as seen in this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.</p>\n<p>Using the so-called DuPont analysis (with some modifications), the results show that the profitability drivers of AAPL have changed substantially from Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. The ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade, which seems pretty bad until we look closer at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. Tim Cook also stabilized (slightly improved) the asset turnover rate, which contributed a positive 6.4% to the change of ROCE. Unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. The decreased leverage and improved ATR have actually improved ROCE in a way and made it more sustainable. I think this is in line with Buffett's philosophy of buying businesses that can be run by a fool one day - or at least buying business that does not require a once-in-a-generation genius to run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 22:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168256001","content_text":"Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. The analysis attempts to shed insights into the timing when Buffett pulled the trigger on his elephant gun.\nThe results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs’ era and Tim Cook’s era and provide useful insights for value investors.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe investment thesis\nIf you are reading this, chances are that you already know that Apple Inc. (AAPL) is the largest position in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. My last article on AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017: a total of 661M shares, about 4% of the total shares currently outstanding. However, as to be seen in the remainder of this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.\nThe analysis shares my attempts to answer my own question using a so-called DuPont analysis. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. As to be seen by the results later, as a person, I love and even idolize Steve Jobs for his vision and relentless innovation-first style. His vision and innovation - when worked - created an astronomical level of profitability, but is difficult to sustain. But as an investor, especially a long-term and value-driven investor, I feel more comfortable with Tim Cook with his focus on operation and existing products. As to be seen by the results, profitability seemed to be lower on the surface, but upon a closer look, the quality of the earnings is actually improved and became more sustainable. I hope these results provide useful insights not only for AAPL investors but also for investors interested in other stocks.\nOverview and recap\nHere, I will first provide a brief recap of my last article to facilitate the new discussion today. If you're a devout Buffett cultist like this author, you must have noticed or heard that the grandmaster paid ~10x pretax earnings for many of his largest and best deals. The list is a really long one, ranging from Coca-Cola, American Express, Wells Fargo, Walmart, Burlington Northern, and of course the more recent AAPL purchase and his recent $25B repurchases of BRK shares as analyzed in my earlier article.\nThe following chart shows the price history of AAPL and its 10x pretax earnings since 2010. Pretax earnings are also referred to as \"EBT\", Earnings Before Taxes, in this article. As seen, Buffett made his purchases during 2016-2017 when the price is below or near 10x EBT. I was lucky enough to have made the AAPL purchases at that time myself too.\nAnd the thesis was that if we paid 10x pretax and bought a business that stagnates forever, it is an investment that offers a 10% pretax return already, equivalent to a 10% bond. Not the best investment ever, but not that bad either. If we get a business that offersanygrowth like AAPL, then we will be buying an above-average business at an average price. It is now equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And we will have a large chance of a double-digit return compounding for a long time (if you hold onto it long enough like Buffett).\nAnd AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing as to be elaborated next.\nSource: Author based on Seeking Alpha data\nSo are there any reasons fundamental to this 10x pretax rule, or is it only a bunch of pure coincidences? I think it is the former and there are indeed many good reasons for this rule, as listed below.\nROCE and perpetual autonomous growth potential\nWhen we think like a long-term business owner, not a stock trader, a key metric (the most important metric in my opinion) is the return on capital employed (ROCE). ROCE measures the return of capitalactuallyemployed in a business. And it, therefore, provides fundamental insights into profitability. ROCE is fundamentally important in many ways. A consistent and high ROCE is the hallmark of a business with a sustainable moat. A consistent and high ROCE also shows how effectively the reinvested income can be used to fuel further earnings growth because, in the long term, the growth rate is given by:\nLong term growth rate = ROCE * Reinvestment Rate\nThus a higher ROCE allows a business to reinvest less of its earnings and grow more at the same time. A key combination for a long-term compounder. To estimate the ROCE of businesses like AAPL, I consider the following items capital actually employed:\n1. Working capital, including payables, receivables, inventory. These are the capitals required for the daily operation of their businesses.\n2. Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment. These are the capitals required to actually conduct business and manufacture their products.\n3. Research and development expenses (an essential expense for a business like AAPL).\nBased on the above considerations, the ROCE of AAPL over the past decade is shown below. As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE at the beginning of the decade, when Steve Jobs left the CEO position. The average ROCE between 2010 to 2012 was near a level of around 443%. Every $1 reinvested in the business can generate more than $4 of additional earning! Since Tim Cook took over, the profitability gradually lowered to the current level of 183%.\nTo help put things under perspective, the next chart shows the ROCE of a few other Buffett-style stocks. The ROCE data are directly pulled from my previous analyses. And in case you want to see the details of how I got these numbers, you can look up my recent articles under these tickers.\nAs seen, the profitability during Jobs' era was truly astronomical, thanks to all the innovations that profoundly changed the world. And the current level of 183%, the \"declined\" level, is still very competitive relative to other high-quality businesses.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha.\nWhy Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability?\nWith the above results, the question that puzzled me was why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability? As seen from the results above, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017, when Buffett bought the majority of his shares. The following analysis shares my attempts to answer this question using a so-called DuPont framework. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era.\nThe DuPont framework is a tool for analyzing profitability at a fundamental level. It was a general tool and by no means specific to the DuPont business. However, it was popularized by the DuPont Corporation and the name stuck. The DuPont was originally developed to pinpoint issues to improve return on equity (\"ROE\"). In the application here, I made a few modifications to suit the unique situation of AAPL (and modern corporations in general). I will detail the modifications as we go.\nThe first modification is that I will use the framework to analyze ROCE instead of ROE. The reasons are aforementioned. And to recap, the first main reason is that ROCE is more fundamentally important than ROE. And secondly, the ROE concept is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative, because more and more corporations have decided to return all share equity to shareholders as they rely more and more on their intangible assets to make a profit.\nUnder the DuPont framework, there are three knobs that management can turn to drive up ROCE: profit margin (\"PM\"), asset turnover ratio (\"ATR\"), and leverage. Through simple math, we can show that ROCE is just the product of these three things, i.e.,\nROCE = PM x ATR x leverage.\nWhere PM here is defined as operating income divided by total revenue, ATR is defined as total revenue divided by total asset, and leverage is defined as total asset divided by total capital employed. And here is the second modification that I made to the original DuPont method. I defined leverage as the ratio between total asset divided and total capital employed, instead of the total asset divided by share equity. And again, the reason is that the original definition is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative. The new definition could be understood as effective leverage. It's leverage against the business' working capital (payables, receivables, and inventory), gross property, plant, equipment, et al. If these things represent the share equity in an accounting sense, then the effective leverage will be the same as the original definition. If not, then the effective leverage makes more sense to me. No matter what is the share equity in the accounting sense, a corporation always requires capital to make a profit.\nAAPL's profitability drivers\nBased on the above discussions, the following three charts show the three knobs for AAPL over the past decade. As can be seen from the first chart, the profit margin has declined from about 32.9% at the beginning of the decade to the current level of 26.7% - a 20.9% decrease. On average, the profit margin for the overall economy fluctuates around 8% and rarely goes above 10%. Of course, this is an average across all business sectors. Nonetheless, as a rule of thumb, 10% is a very healthy profit margin and 20% is a very high margin. AAPL's 32.9% margin at the beginning of the decade was due to the innovations that profoundly changed the world and their near-monopoly status. It is difficult to sustain. You cannot expect to invent a new earthshaking product like the iPhone before 2011 every a few years. And the current level of 26.7% is still very high.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nThe second chart shows the ATR driver. The ATR measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate revenue. The higher the ATR, the better the company is performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is generating more revenue per dollar of assets. As seen, AAPL's ATR started around 0.88 at the beginning of the decade, declined to about 0.6 in the mid, and bounced back to the current level of 0.94. Overall, the ATR has improved 6.4% over the decade. Unlike innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook, with his tremendous experiences and insights as the former Chief Operating Officer, certainly has done an excellent job. A notable example was his decision to replace Apple's own factories and warehouses with contractors, a decision that led to a reduction of the company's inventory from months to days.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nThis third and last chart shows the biggest driver for the profitability change. It shows that Tim Cook reduced the effective leverage from an average level of ~15x at the beginning of the decade, to the current level of 7.3, a 74% decrease. So the ROCE declined from 443% in the Jobs' era to the current level of 183% was largely due to the decrease in leverage. As a result, the decline of ROCE is not as bad as it seemed on the surface. The quality of the profit has been improved and became more sustainable.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nPutting it all together\nThe following table summarizes the above profitability drivers. And for more visual-oriented readers, the chart below it visualizes the numbers in a waterfall plot. Note that all the changes quoted here are the so-called logarithm changes. For readers who are not familiar with logarithm changes, it is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring changes when there are multiple factors involved - more scientific than the simple arithmetic changes we routinely quote.\nLet's use a simple example to illustrate. Let's consider the calculation of dividend yield for a stock. The dividend yield depends on two things - the dividend and the price, so it will illustrate why the logarithm change is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring change when multiple factors are involved. Consider an example when a stock's dividend increases by 10% and price drops by 10% - in the arithmetic sense we talked about. The dividend yield would increase, but it willnotincrease by 20%. It would actually increase by 22.22%. In other words, the dividend yield change is not equal to the sum of the arithmetic change in the dividend and the price.\nNow in logarithm terms, things become simpler and more intuitive in a certain way. The logarithm changes involved in this example are: 9.52% for the dividend (logarithm of 110% = 9.52%), -10.54% for the price (logarithm of 90% = -10.54%), and 20.06% for the dividend yield (logarithm of 122.22% = 20.06%). So as you can see, the change of dividend yield is now equal to the sum of the changes in the dividend and the price (20.06% = 9.52% + 10.54%).\nWith this digression, now the summary of the profitability drivers for AAPL. As seen from the table and the chart, the ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade (again we are talking in the logarithm terms here and hereafter). It seems pretty bad until we look at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. The next biggest contributor came from the decrease in PM, a 20.9% decrease. It is unfortunate, never a good thing to see profit margin decrease. But I would like to argue the level of PM enjoyed by AAPL (or any business) during a period of technological monopoly is not really sustainable. And lastly, the ATR has contributed a positive 6.4% to the change. As aforementioned, unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook certainly is an operation master (not implying that he is not fantastic in other ways).\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nConclusion and final thought\nMylast articleon AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power. The thesis was that when Buffett bought AAPL during 2016~2017 at a price around 10x pretax earnings, it was equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond even if the business stagnates forever. If he gets ANY growth, then he will be buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And as shown in my last article, AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing due to its high ROCE and capital allocation flexibility.\nThis article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017. However, as seen in this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.\nUsing the so-called DuPont analysis (with some modifications), the results show that the profitability drivers of AAPL have changed substantially from Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. The ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade, which seems pretty bad until we look closer at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. Tim Cook also stabilized (slightly improved) the asset turnover rate, which contributed a positive 6.4% to the change of ROCE. Unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. The decreased leverage and improved ATR have actually improved ROCE in a way and made it more sustainable. I think this is in line with Buffett's philosophy of buying businesses that can be run by a fool one day - or at least buying business that does not require a once-in-a-generation genius to run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810578503,"gmtCreate":1629989019002,"gmtModify":1676530194888,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for tips","listText":"Thanks for tips","text":"Thanks for tips","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810578503","repostId":"2162097742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2162097742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629988500,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2162097742?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-26 22:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) a Great Growth Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162097742","media":"Zacks","summary":"Growth stocks can be some of the most exciting picks in the market, as these high-flyers can captiva","content":"<p>Growth stocks can be some of the most exciting picks in the market, as these high-flyers can captivate investors’ attention, and produce big gains as well. However, they can also lead on the downside when the growth story is over, so it is important to find companies which are still seeing strong growth prospects in their businesses.</p>\n<p>One such company that might be well-positioned for future earnings growth is <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WST\">West Pharmaceutical</a></b>. This firm, which is in the Medical - Dental Supplies industry, saw EPS growth of 46.91% last year, and is looking great for this year too.</p>\n<p>In fact, the current growth estimate for this year calls for earnings-per-share growth of 68.11%. Furthermore, the long-term growth rate is currently an impressive 28.41%, suggesting pretty good prospects for the long haul.</p>\n<p><b>West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Price and Consensus</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9dfa1c4c13875e55ec57bca35247994\" tg-width=\"546\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. price-consensus-chart | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Quote</p>\n<p>And if this wasn’t enough, the stock has actually seen estimates rise over the past month for the current fiscal year by about 11.7%. Thanks to this rise in earnings estimates, WST has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which further underscores the potential for outperformance in this company.</p>\n<p>So if you are looking for a fast growing stock that is still seeing plenty of opportunities on the horizon, make sure to consider WST. Not only does it have double-digit earnings growth prospects, but its impressive Zacks Rank suggests that analysts believe better days are ahead for WST as well.</p>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) a Great Growth Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs West Pharmaceutical Services (WST) a Great Growth Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 22:35 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/west-pharmaceutical-services-wst-great-125212074.html><strong>Zacks</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Growth stocks can be some of the most exciting picks in the market, as these high-flyers can captivate investors’ attention, and produce big gains as well. However, they can also lead on the downside ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/west-pharmaceutical-services-wst-great-125212074.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"WST":"West Pharmaceutical Services Inc"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/west-pharmaceutical-services-wst-great-125212074.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2162097742","content_text":"Growth stocks can be some of the most exciting picks in the market, as these high-flyers can captivate investors’ attention, and produce big gains as well. However, they can also lead on the downside when the growth story is over, so it is important to find companies which are still seeing strong growth prospects in their businesses.\nOne such company that might be well-positioned for future earnings growth is West Pharmaceutical. This firm, which is in the Medical - Dental Supplies industry, saw EPS growth of 46.91% last year, and is looking great for this year too.\nIn fact, the current growth estimate for this year calls for earnings-per-share growth of 68.11%. Furthermore, the long-term growth rate is currently an impressive 28.41%, suggesting pretty good prospects for the long haul.\nWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Price and Consensus\n\nWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. price-consensus-chart | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Quote\nAnd if this wasn’t enough, the stock has actually seen estimates rise over the past month for the current fiscal year by about 11.7%. Thanks to this rise in earnings estimates, WST has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which further underscores the potential for outperformance in this company.\nSo if you are looking for a fast growing stock that is still seeing plenty of opportunities on the horizon, make sure to consider WST. Not only does it have double-digit earnings growth prospects, but its impressive Zacks Rank suggests that analysts believe better days are ahead for WST as well.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"WST":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":670,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834553237,"gmtCreate":1629815021529,"gmtModify":1676530140530,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834553237","repostId":"1123156655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123156655","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629814580,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123156655?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-24 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123156655","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as ","content":"<p>The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p>\n<p>The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p>\n<p>According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p>\n<p>At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p>\n<p>It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p>\n<p>Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p>\n<p>In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p>\n<p>To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p>\n<p><b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p>\n<p>1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p>\n<p>2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p>\n<p>3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p>\n<p>The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p>\n<p>If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-24 22:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p>\n<p>The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p>\n<p>According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p>\n<p>At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p>\n<p>It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p>\n<p>Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p>\n<p>In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p>\n<p>To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p>\n<p><b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p>\n<p>1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p>\n<p>2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p>\n<p>3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p>\n<p>The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p>\n<p>If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123156655","content_text":"The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"\nThe withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.\nAccording to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.\nAt a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.\nIt is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.\nBiden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.\nIn terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.\nTo pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.\nNow, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:\n1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;\n2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;\n3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.\nThe third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.\nIf necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570656625926041","authorId":"3570656625926041","name":"Alfred1007","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81d8406380cbc0525927f00a9510f2fa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3570656625926041","idStr":"3570656625926041"},"content":"here you go","text":"here you go","html":"here you go"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834559606,"gmtCreate":1629814976205,"gmtModify":1676530140499,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Travelling is back","listText":"Travelling is back","text":"Travelling is back","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834559606","repostId":"1127577175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834550093,"gmtCreate":1629814886912,"gmtModify":1676530140466,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Travelling is back this year!","listText":"Travelling is back this year!","text":"Travelling is back this year!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834550093","repostId":"1127577175","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835570827,"gmtCreate":1629729054669,"gmtModify":1676530114721,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/835570827","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161747692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629673828,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161747692?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161747692","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at","content":"<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.</p>\n<p>The event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>This asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.</p>\n<p>\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.</p>\n<p>But as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.</p>\n<p>\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"</p>\n<p>\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd135dd0d8cdc399e0982d54e39f5bd\" tg-width=\"6000\" tg-height=\"4000\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS</span></p>\n<p>As for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.</p>\n<p>\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"</p>\n<p>\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"</p>\n<h2>Personal spending, income</h2>\n<p>New economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.</p>\n<p>Just last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.</p>\n<p>Other data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.</p>\n<p>\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.</p>\n<p>Friday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.</p>\n<p>Even with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.</p>\n<p>\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Best Buy (BBY) before market open; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 07:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛","BBY":"百思买",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2161747692","content_text":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.\nThis asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.\nLast week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.\n\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.\nBut as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.\n\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"\n\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"\nFederal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAs for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.\n\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"\n\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"\nPersonal spending, income\nNew economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.\nConsensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.\nJust last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.\nOther data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.\n\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.\nFriday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.\nEven with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.\n\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)\nTuesday: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)\nFriday: Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close\nWednesday: Best Buy (BBY) before market open; Salesforce (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nThursday: The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"BBY":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9,"TGT":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"XRT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832890436,"gmtCreate":1629603153125,"gmtModify":1676530077839,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832890436","repostId":"2161744379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836770583,"gmtCreate":1629530813642,"gmtModify":1676530066842,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe not for zoom","listText":"Maybe not for zoom","text":"Maybe not for zoom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836770583","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151608193?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p>\n<p>In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p>\n<p>Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p>\n<p>A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p>\n<p>Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p>\n<p>You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p>\n<p><b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p>\n<p>“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p>\n<p>“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p>\n<p>He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p>\n<p>All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p>\n<p><b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p>\n<p>All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p>\n<p>In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p>\n<p>These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p>\n<p><b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p>\n<p>This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p>\n<p>This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p>\n<p><b>The stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p>\n<p><b>New management plays</b></p>\n<p>Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p>\n<p>Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p>\n<p><b>A data center and gaming play</b></p>\n<p>Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p>\n<p><b>Design tool companies</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p>\n<p>Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p>\n<p><b>An EUV play</b></p>\n<p>To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p>\n<p>In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Oversupply</b></p>\n<p>Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p>\n<p>The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p>\n<p>Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p>\n<p>Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p>\n<p><b>A disturbing signal</b></p>\n<p>A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p>\n<p>Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p>\n<p>Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p>\n<p>Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 22:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CDNS":"铿腾电子","QCOM":"高通","SSNLF":"三星电子","SNPS":"新思科技","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","ON":"安森美半导体","TSM":"台积电","AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":831839635,"gmtCreate":1629298812327,"gmtModify":1676529996954,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/831839635","repostId":"1133857963","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133857963","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629296546,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133857963?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-18 22:22","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Big Oil’s Next Merger Mania Has an Eye on Its Demise","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133857963","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"With an over-heated planet and the move to renewables, it looks like this market’s best years are be","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>With an over-heated planet and the move to renewables, it looks like this market’s best years are behind it.</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Is a barren year for oil industry deal activity finally coming to an end?</p>\n<p>So far there’s been $86 billion of takeovers announced, pending or completed, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. If things continue at those rates through December, it will be one of the most lackluster years for energy deal-making in two decades.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7fa761efa3f1ecf3a7f5f44c08c5eae\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"374\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Hope is on the horizon. Saudi Arabian Oil Co. isfinally growing close to an equity swapwith Reliance Industries Ltd. after years of gestation, people with knowledge of the matter told Bloomberg this week. Meanwhile, BHP Group announced plans Tuesday to merge its oil and gas business with Woodside Petroleum Ltd. in a share-based deal that would see the mining company quit the petroleum sector and roughly double Woodside’s output. With the first valued at an estimated $20 billion to $25 billion and the latter worth about $15 billion at Woodside’s current share price, that would instantly increase the year’s tally by almost half.</p>\n<p>Don’t take that for a sign that animal spirits are picking up in the industry. Although crude prices touched a three-year high last month and cash is once again flowing freely, this wave of deal activity doesn’t suggest an industry gearing up for a rally in demand.</p>\n<p>With the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last week saying global warming is advancing faster than previously expected — likely exceeding the threshold of 2°C during the 21st century without deep emissions cuts — and the International Energy Agency forecasting thatrenewable power investment will exceed that in oil and gasproduction for the second year running, this merger boom has a distinctly end-of-an-era feel about it.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a296aa735ae6759180946fb37a3118ff\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"375\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Take the Reliance-Aramco deal, which is expected to see the world’s largest oil company swap between 1% and 2% of its equity for a 20% share in the largest refinery. This is hardly the sort of transaction that Saudi Arabia might have made in the past, when it was able to reach into its bottomless cash pile to buy assets at a keen price from needy, low-margin refiners. Instead, Asia’s richest man, Mukesh Ambani, holds all the cards.</p>\n<p>The estimated deal value would be double the $10 billion that Reliance reportedly expected for a 25% stake when it was first being offered around in 2019, although the balance-sheet value of the Jamnagar refinery and its earnings haven’t really improved since then. Meanwhile, a Saudi Inc. that was once so cash-rich that it thought little of splashing greenbacks onsoccer teams and Leonardo da Vinci paintings is instead having to part with equity so precious that it wasn’t even offered to the kingdom’s own subjects until two years ago.</p>\n<p>As a financial transaction, the deal does little for either party. Shares in Indian and Saudi companies aren’t much use as an alternative form of cash, since they’re locked up on illiquid local exchanges. Strategically, though, Aramco gets itself a seat at the table of a company that’s made no secret of its planned turn away from petroleum and toward renewables and a fast-growing telecoms unit. Jamnagar isn’t going to stop buying crude any time soon, but Aramco’s enthusiasm for a tie-up at any price suggests it’s keen to keep an eye on the situation before it starts to cause problems.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea5325e1b31268104aa3d09c739b3d96\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The BHP-Woodside deal isn’t happening on quite such a grand scale. While a combined company would have produced about 649,000 oil-equivalent barrels a day in 2019 — enough to put it in the top 30 listed oil producers by volume — Aramco pumps about that amount every hour.</p>\n<p>It makes a different sort of sense for the players, though. Every company with assets less spectacular and owners less involved than Aramco has to care about the views of its shareholders and lenders. For BHP, that’s become a problem as the cost of capital for fossil fuel businesses rises and shareholders look to decarbonize their portfolios.</p>\n<p>Arch-rival Rio Tinto Group quit its last fossil-fuel assets several years ago and Anglo American Plcsold out of its last thermal coal businessin June. While the coking coal used in steelmaking is still a core business for BHP (not to mention iron ore, which can’t be turned into steel using existing commercial technology unless some coal-derived coke is thrown into the mix), selling out of a petroleum business that was always an odd fit for a mining company is a good way to project a cleaner image.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa61eb902253fdd850be7e0ed34d5c25\" tg-width=\"646\" tg-height=\"391\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Woodside gets a different sort of benefit. At present it sits toward the lower end of investment grade at major ratings companies, an uncomfortable position at a time when the interest costs on junk energy debt are at a higher premium relative to higher quality bonds than they’ve been in years. By roughly doubling in size, it will get the cashflows and balance sheet to become more self-sufficient in its spending, an important consideration in a market where lenders are increasingly being asked to scrutinize the climate impact of their loan books.</p>\n<p>For energy dealmakers looking to expand the fee pool, the signs of green shoots in the energy M&A market will be welcome after a year of drought. Just don’t mistake it for the start of a harvest. With its best years in the past, this field is looking more and more barren.</p>\n<p><i>(Updates with IPC report detail in 5th paragraph. A previous version corrected the figure in 9th paragraph to 649,000 oil-equivalent barrels a day in 2019 from 649 million.)</i></p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Big Oil’s Next Merger Mania Has an Eye on Its Demise</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBig Oil’s Next Merger Mania Has an Eye on Its Demise\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 22:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-17/from-woodside-to-aramco-big-oil-s-next-merger-mania-has-an-eye-on-its-demise?srnd=opinion><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>With an over-heated planet and the move to renewables, it looks like this market’s best years are behind it.\n\nIs a barren year for oil industry deal activity finally coming to an end?\nSo far there’s ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-17/from-woodside-to-aramco-big-oil-s-next-merger-mania-has-an-eye-on-its-demise?srnd=opinion\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-17/from-woodside-to-aramco-big-oil-s-next-merger-mania-has-an-eye-on-its-demise?srnd=opinion","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133857963","content_text":"With an over-heated planet and the move to renewables, it looks like this market’s best years are behind it.\n\nIs a barren year for oil industry deal activity finally coming to an end?\nSo far there’s been $86 billion of takeovers announced, pending or completed, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. If things continue at those rates through December, it will be one of the most lackluster years for energy deal-making in two decades.\nHope is on the horizon. Saudi Arabian Oil Co. isfinally growing close to an equity swapwith Reliance Industries Ltd. after years of gestation, people with knowledge of the matter told Bloomberg this week. Meanwhile, BHP Group announced plans Tuesday to merge its oil and gas business with Woodside Petroleum Ltd. in a share-based deal that would see the mining company quit the petroleum sector and roughly double Woodside’s output. With the first valued at an estimated $20 billion to $25 billion and the latter worth about $15 billion at Woodside’s current share price, that would instantly increase the year’s tally by almost half.\nDon’t take that for a sign that animal spirits are picking up in the industry. Although crude prices touched a three-year high last month and cash is once again flowing freely, this wave of deal activity doesn’t suggest an industry gearing up for a rally in demand.\nWith the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last week saying global warming is advancing faster than previously expected — likely exceeding the threshold of 2°C during the 21st century without deep emissions cuts — and the International Energy Agency forecasting thatrenewable power investment will exceed that in oil and gasproduction for the second year running, this merger boom has a distinctly end-of-an-era feel about it.\nTake the Reliance-Aramco deal, which is expected to see the world’s largest oil company swap between 1% and 2% of its equity for a 20% share in the largest refinery. This is hardly the sort of transaction that Saudi Arabia might have made in the past, when it was able to reach into its bottomless cash pile to buy assets at a keen price from needy, low-margin refiners. Instead, Asia’s richest man, Mukesh Ambani, holds all the cards.\nThe estimated deal value would be double the $10 billion that Reliance reportedly expected for a 25% stake when it was first being offered around in 2019, although the balance-sheet value of the Jamnagar refinery and its earnings haven’t really improved since then. Meanwhile, a Saudi Inc. that was once so cash-rich that it thought little of splashing greenbacks onsoccer teams and Leonardo da Vinci paintings is instead having to part with equity so precious that it wasn’t even offered to the kingdom’s own subjects until two years ago.\nAs a financial transaction, the deal does little for either party. Shares in Indian and Saudi companies aren’t much use as an alternative form of cash, since they’re locked up on illiquid local exchanges. Strategically, though, Aramco gets itself a seat at the table of a company that’s made no secret of its planned turn away from petroleum and toward renewables and a fast-growing telecoms unit. Jamnagar isn’t going to stop buying crude any time soon, but Aramco’s enthusiasm for a tie-up at any price suggests it’s keen to keep an eye on the situation before it starts to cause problems.\nThe BHP-Woodside deal isn’t happening on quite such a grand scale. While a combined company would have produced about 649,000 oil-equivalent barrels a day in 2019 — enough to put it in the top 30 listed oil producers by volume — Aramco pumps about that amount every hour.\nIt makes a different sort of sense for the players, though. Every company with assets less spectacular and owners less involved than Aramco has to care about the views of its shareholders and lenders. For BHP, that’s become a problem as the cost of capital for fossil fuel businesses rises and shareholders look to decarbonize their portfolios.\nArch-rival Rio Tinto Group quit its last fossil-fuel assets several years ago and Anglo American Plcsold out of its last thermal coal businessin June. While the coking coal used in steelmaking is still a core business for BHP (not to mention iron ore, which can’t be turned into steel using existing commercial technology unless some coal-derived coke is thrown into the mix), selling out of a petroleum business that was always an odd fit for a mining company is a good way to project a cleaner image.\nWoodside gets a different sort of benefit. At present it sits toward the lower end of investment grade at major ratings companies, an uncomfortable position at a time when the interest costs on junk energy debt are at a higher premium relative to higher quality bonds than they’ve been in years. By roughly doubling in size, it will get the cashflows and balance sheet to become more self-sufficient in its spending, an important consideration in a market where lenders are increasingly being asked to scrutinize the climate impact of their loan books.\nFor energy dealmakers looking to expand the fee pool, the signs of green shoots in the energy M&A market will be welcome after a year of drought. Just don’t mistake it for the start of a harvest. With its best years in the past, this field is looking more and more barren.\n(Updates with IPC report detail in 5th paragraph. A previous version corrected the figure in 9th paragraph to 649,000 oil-equivalent barrels a day in 2019 from 649 million.)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1214,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833918140,"gmtCreate":1629196410980,"gmtModify":1676529961999,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833918140","repostId":"1122046470","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122046470","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1629191708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122046470?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-17 17:15","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122046470","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in","content":"<p>SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.</p>\n<p>Sharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.</p>\n<p>China’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.</p>\n<p>“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.</p>\n<p>Video platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.</p>\n<p>Denting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.</p>\n<p>China Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.</p>\n<p>Healthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-17 17:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.</p>\n<p>Sharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.</p>\n<p>China’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.</p>\n<p>“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.</p>\n<p>Video platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.</p>\n<p>Denting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.</p>\n<p>China Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.</p>\n<p>Healthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122046470","content_text":"SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.\nThe Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.\nSharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.\nChina’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.\n“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”\nThe Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.\nVideo platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.\nDenting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.\nChina Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.\nHealthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839191859,"gmtCreate":1629125178971,"gmtModify":1676529939730,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581933145667506","idStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839191859","repostId":"2159248377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":839191859,"gmtCreate":1629125178971,"gmtModify":1676529939730,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839191859","repostId":"2159248377","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1130,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834553237,"gmtCreate":1629815021529,"gmtModify":1676530140530,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/834553237","repostId":"1123156655","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123156655","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629814580,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1123156655?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-24 22:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123156655","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as ","content":"<p>The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p>\n<p>The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p>\n<p>According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p>\n<p>At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p>\n<p>It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p>\n<p>Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p>\n<p>In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p>\n<p>To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p>\n<p><b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p>\n<p>1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p>\n<p>2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p>\n<p>3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p>\n<p>The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p>\n<p>If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“Infrastructure Plan and Welfare Plan” - The Second “Trouble” That Biden Has to Deal with\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-24 22:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"</p>\n<p>The withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.</p>\n<p>According to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.</p>\n<p>At a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.</p>\n<p>It is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.</p>\n<p>Biden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.</p>\n<p>In terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.</p>\n<p>To pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.</p>\n<p><b>Now, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:</b></p>\n<p>1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;</p>\n<p>2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;</p>\n<p>3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.</p>\n<p>The third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.</p>\n<p>If necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123156655","content_text":"The crises hidden behind the Kabul airport have formed the first trouble that Biden has to face, as we discussed in the article posted on August 23. And what's the second problem? The answer is \"infrastructure plan & welfare plan.\"\nThe withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan has made the whole world feel the weakening of US military forces. In the meantime, the troop withdrawal has also given the Democratic Party a reason for infighting. Biden's infrastructure plan has been promoted in a high-profile manner since the first day he took office. However, the infrastructure plan encountered obstacles.\nAccording to the statement made by major investment banks in the United States yesterday, it is impossible for these 9 Democratic centrists to kick against the pricks. One reason is that none of these 9 Democratic congressmen are well-known enough. The second reason is that the bills promoted by the White House in the past 40 years have never been successfully \"kidnapped\" by the Democratic centrists. If the 9 Democratic centrists work together, it is indeed possible to prevent both plans from being passed together. If so, the likelihood that the infrastructure plan will not be passed is going to be thicker. Failure to pass the infrastructure plan will not only lead to the collapse of Biden's advantages but also the breakdown of the Democratic Party's mid-term elections next year. Therefore, the market judges that the $4.5 trillion plan will be launched as scheduled.\nAt a superficial level, the struggle is followed by the incompatibility between infrastructure plan and welfare plan; but from a deeper perspective, it is the disharmony between the Democratic centrist and the extreme left-wing.\nIt is pretty easy for the infrastructure plan to be approved by Congress and the White House alone. But the extreme left-wing realizes that once the $1 trillion infrastructure plan is passed alone, the $3.5 trillion welfare plan will completely come to nothing. So, the left-wing in the House of Representatives got the drop on the issue, indicating that either the two plans are passed together, or none of them are passed. It is said that there are 50 people in the extreme left-wing under the House of Representatives, which makes it hard to offend them.\nBiden's taking the crown in the White House benefited from his identity of Democratic centrist to a large extent. Not only is he a centrist, but the leaders of both houses of the Democratic Party are holding a background of a centrist. However, after Biden came to power, he was unconsciously coerced by the extreme left-wing in the middle of the policy agenda, and the leaders of the two houses of the Democratic Party were kidnapped in thoughts even more severely.\nIn terms of the infrastructure plan and welfare plan, the two congressional leaders of the Democratic Party were very active in tying up the two plans, which finally dragged Biden into the mire. However, the statement made by Biden is still vague, suggesting that he is swaying precariously between the approval of the infrastructure plan and the support for both plans. As a result, both the centrists and the extreme left-wing say that their voice represents Biden's opinion.\nTo pass the vote on Monday night, the leaders made great efforts on these 9 people during the weekend. Disappointedly, not only did the efforts beat a dead horse, but more Democrats were willing to join the group of these 9 people, including the 18-member Democratic Party group Blue Dog. The two Democrats in the Senate also supported the loosening of two plans. It should be noted that the support of these two people is necessary for the implementation of the $3.5 trillion plan. Like the predicament of Kabul Airport, if Biden cannot resolve the battle quickly in this fight, the division will inevitably spread.\nNow, there are 3 choices that Biden can make:\n1. Persuading these 9 people and other centrists to support the bundling of two plans, with the difficulty factor marking 70 points;\n2. Persuading the extreme left-wing to give up the bundling, with the difficulty factor marking 90 points;\n3. Abandoning the support from the extreme left-wing and trying his best to be endorsed by some Republican congressmen to support the infrastructure plan, with the difficulty factor marking 50 points.\nThe third choice is the easiest for the president to make. Biden and Democratic leaders are afraid to mention it now because it will make the left-wing feel \"betrayed,\" which may affect the result of the next election. The first choice is relatively easy, with little impact on the later stage. But, as time goes on, the forces of centrists will grow, too.\nIf necessary, the decision on the predicament of Kabul Airport will be pended. But for Biden, the implementation of the infrastructure plan is imperative.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3570656625926041","authorId":"3570656625926041","name":"Alfred1007","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/81d8406380cbc0525927f00a9510f2fa","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3570656625926041","authorIdStr":"3570656625926041"},"content":"here you go","text":"here you go","html":"here you go"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832890436,"gmtCreate":1629603153125,"gmtModify":1676530077839,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832890436","repostId":"2161744379","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":804677027,"gmtCreate":1627956306669,"gmtModify":1703498533769,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/804677027","repostId":"2156114224","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":810572255,"gmtCreate":1629989110377,"gmtModify":1676530194926,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/810572255","repostId":"1168256001","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168256001","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629988691,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168256001?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-26 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168256001","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>My last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.</li>\n <li>And this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. The analysis attempts to shed insights into the timing when Buffett pulled the trigger on his elephant gun.</li>\n <li>The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs’ era and Tim Cook’s era and provide useful insights for value investors.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a28673a5b20078b3787241b02c6c9d4\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The investment thesis</b></p>\n<p>If you are reading this, chances are that you already know that Apple Inc. (AAPL) is the largest position in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. My last article on AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.</p>\n<p>And this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017: a total of 661M shares, about 4% of the total shares currently outstanding. However, as to be seen in the remainder of this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.</p>\n<p>The analysis shares my attempts to answer my own question using a so-called DuPont analysis. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. As to be seen by the results later, as a person, I love and even idolize Steve Jobs for his vision and relentless innovation-first style. His vision and innovation - when worked - created an astronomical level of profitability, but is difficult to sustain. But as an investor, especially a long-term and value-driven investor, I feel more comfortable with Tim Cook with his focus on operation and existing products. As to be seen by the results, profitability seemed to be lower on the surface, but upon a closer look, the quality of the earnings is actually improved and became more sustainable. I hope these results provide useful insights not only for AAPL investors but also for investors interested in other stocks.</p>\n<p><b>Overview and recap</b></p>\n<p>Here, I will first provide a brief recap of my last article to facilitate the new discussion today. If you're a devout Buffett cultist like this author, you must have noticed or heard that the grandmaster paid ~10x pretax earnings for many of his largest and best deals. The list is a really long one, ranging from Coca-Cola, American Express, Wells Fargo, Walmart, Burlington Northern, and of course the more recent AAPL purchase and his recent $25B repurchases of BRK shares as analyzed in my earlier article.</p>\n<p>The following chart shows the price history of AAPL and its 10x pretax earnings since 2010. Pretax earnings are also referred to as \"EBT\", Earnings Before Taxes, in this article. As seen, Buffett made his purchases during 2016-2017 when the price is below or near 10x EBT. I was lucky enough to have made the AAPL purchases at that time myself too.</p>\n<p>And the thesis was that if we paid 10x pretax and bought a business that stagnates forever, it is an investment that offers a 10% pretax return already, equivalent to a 10% bond. Not the best investment ever, but not that bad either. If we get a business that offers<i>any</i>growth like AAPL, then we will be buying an above-average business at an average price. It is now equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And we will have a large chance of a double-digit return compounding for a long time (if you hold onto it long enough like Buffett).</p>\n<p>And AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing as to be elaborated next.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9eec812a3eda60f950a1890eebc7dd34\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"359\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author based on Seeking Alpha data</span></p>\n<p>So are there any reasons fundamental to this 10x pretax rule, or is it only a bunch of pure coincidences? I think it is the former and there are indeed many good reasons for this rule, as listed below.</p>\n<p><b>ROCE and perpetual autonomous growth potential</b></p>\n<p>When we think like a long-term business owner, not a stock trader, a key metric (the most important metric in my opinion) is the return on capital employed (ROCE). ROCE measures the return of capital<i>actually</i>employed in a business. And it, therefore, provides fundamental insights into profitability. ROCE is fundamentally important in many ways. A consistent and high ROCE is the hallmark of a business with a sustainable moat. A consistent and high ROCE also shows how effectively the reinvested income can be used to fuel further earnings growth because, in the long term, the growth rate is given by:</p>\n<p>Long term growth rate = ROCE * Reinvestment Rate</p>\n<p>Thus a higher ROCE allows a business to reinvest less of its earnings and grow more at the same time. A key combination for a long-term compounder. To estimate the ROCE of businesses like AAPL, I consider the following items capital actually employed:</p>\n<p>1. Working capital, including payables, receivables, inventory. These are the capitals required for the daily operation of their businesses.</p>\n<p>2. Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment. These are the capitals required to actually conduct business and manufacture their products.</p>\n<p>3. Research and development expenses (an essential expense for a business like AAPL).</p>\n<p>Based on the above considerations, the ROCE of AAPL over the past decade is shown below. As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE at the beginning of the decade, when Steve Jobs left the CEO position. The average ROCE between 2010 to 2012 was near a level of around 443%. Every $1 reinvested in the business can generate more than $4 of additional earning! Since Tim Cook took over, the profitability gradually lowered to the current level of 183%.</p>\n<p>To help put things under perspective, the next chart shows the ROCE of a few other Buffett-style stocks. The ROCE data are directly pulled from my previous analyses. And in case you want to see the details of how I got these numbers, you can look up my recent articles under these tickers.</p>\n<p>As seen, the profitability during Jobs' era was truly astronomical, thanks to all the innovations that profoundly changed the world. And the current level of 183%, the \"declined\" level, is still very competitive relative to other high-quality businesses.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb073458b1726a64be72be41af90a7b6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/773b42d84964aa81732fe7e60ce2e815\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha.</span></p>\n<p><b>Why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability?</b></p>\n<p>With the above results, the question that puzzled me was why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability? As seen from the results above, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017, when Buffett bought the majority of his shares. The following analysis shares my attempts to answer this question using a so-called DuPont framework. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era.</p>\n<p>The DuPont framework is a tool for analyzing profitability at a fundamental level. It was a general tool and by no means specific to the DuPont business. However, it was popularized by the DuPont Corporation and the name stuck. The DuPont was originally developed to pinpoint issues to improve return on equity (\"ROE\"). In the application here, I made a few modifications to suit the unique situation of AAPL (and modern corporations in general). I will detail the modifications as we go.</p>\n<p>The first modification is that I will use the framework to analyze ROCE instead of ROE. The reasons are aforementioned. And to recap, the first main reason is that ROCE is more fundamentally important than ROE. And secondly, the ROE concept is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative, because more and more corporations have decided to return all share equity to shareholders as they rely more and more on their intangible assets to make a profit.</p>\n<p>Under the DuPont framework, there are three knobs that management can turn to drive up ROCE: profit margin (\"PM\"), asset turnover ratio (\"ATR\"), and leverage. Through simple math, we can show that ROCE is just the product of these three things, i.e.,</p>\n<p>ROCE = PM x ATR x leverage.</p>\n<p>Where PM here is defined as operating income divided by total revenue, ATR is defined as total revenue divided by total asset, and leverage is defined as total asset divided by total capital employed. And here is the second modification that I made to the original DuPont method. I defined leverage as the ratio between total asset divided and total capital employed, instead of the total asset divided by share equity. And again, the reason is that the original definition is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative. The new definition could be understood as effective leverage. It's leverage against the business' working capital (payables, receivables, and inventory), gross property, plant, equipment, et al. If these things represent the share equity in an accounting sense, then the effective leverage will be the same as the original definition. If not, then the effective leverage makes more sense to me. No matter what is the share equity in the accounting sense, a corporation always requires capital to make a profit.</p>\n<p><b>AAPL's profitability drivers</b></p>\n<p>Based on the above discussions, the following three charts show the three knobs for AAPL over the past decade. As can be seen from the first chart, the profit margin has declined from about 32.9% at the beginning of the decade to the current level of 26.7% - a 20.9% decrease. On average, the profit margin for the overall economy fluctuates around 8% and rarely goes above 10%. Of course, this is an average across all business sectors. Nonetheless, as a rule of thumb, 10% is a very healthy profit margin and 20% is a very high margin. AAPL's 32.9% margin at the beginning of the decade was due to the innovations that profoundly changed the world and their near-monopoly status. It is difficult to sustain. You cannot expect to invent a new earthshaking product like the iPhone before 2011 every a few years. And the current level of 26.7% is still very high.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62fc5d093753a57ae672d3726f14afec\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p>The second chart shows the ATR driver. The ATR measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate revenue. The higher the ATR, the better the company is performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is generating more revenue per dollar of assets. As seen, AAPL's ATR started around 0.88 at the beginning of the decade, declined to about 0.6 in the mid, and bounced back to the current level of 0.94. Overall, the ATR has improved 6.4% over the decade. Unlike innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook, with his tremendous experiences and insights as the former Chief Operating Officer, certainly has done an excellent job. A notable example was his decision to replace Apple's own factories and warehouses with contractors, a decision that led to a reduction of the company's inventory from months to days.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ccbba3d838ca6ffb8b0e4574e2908eed\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"345\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p>This third and last chart shows the biggest driver for the profitability change. It shows that Tim Cook reduced the effective leverage from an average level of ~15x at the beginning of the decade, to the current level of 7.3, a 74% decrease. So the ROCE declined from 443% in the Jobs' era to the current level of 183% was largely due to the decrease in leverage. As a result, the decline of ROCE is not as bad as it seemed on the surface. The quality of the profit has been improved and became more sustainable.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1c7f2ce039418c7258342046a887042\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"331\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p><b>Putting it all together</b></p>\n<p>The following table summarizes the above profitability drivers. And for more visual-oriented readers, the chart below it visualizes the numbers in a waterfall plot. Note that all the changes quoted here are the so-called logarithm changes. For readers who are not familiar with logarithm changes, it is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring changes when there are multiple factors involved - more scientific than the simple arithmetic changes we routinely quote.</p>\n<p>Let's use a simple example to illustrate. Let's consider the calculation of dividend yield for a stock. The dividend yield depends on two things - the dividend and the price, so it will illustrate why the logarithm change is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring change when multiple factors are involved. Consider an example when a stock's dividend increases by 10% and price drops by 10% - in the arithmetic sense we talked about. The dividend yield would increase, but it will<i>not</i>increase by 20%. It would actually increase by 22.22%. In other words, the dividend yield change is not equal to the sum of the arithmetic change in the dividend and the price.</p>\n<p>Now in logarithm terms, things become simpler and more intuitive in a certain way. The logarithm changes involved in this example are: 9.52% for the dividend (logarithm of 110% = 9.52%), -10.54% for the price (logarithm of 90% = -10.54%), and 20.06% for the dividend yield (logarithm of 122.22% = 20.06%). So as you can see, the change of dividend yield is now equal to the sum of the changes in the dividend and the price (20.06% = 9.52% + 10.54%).</p>\n<p>With this digression, now the summary of the profitability drivers for AAPL. As seen from the table and the chart, the ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade (again we are talking in the logarithm terms here and hereafter). It seems pretty bad until we look at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. The next biggest contributor came from the decrease in PM, a 20.9% decrease. It is unfortunate, never a good thing to see profit margin decrease. But I would like to argue the level of PM enjoyed by AAPL (or any business) during a period of technological monopoly is not really sustainable. And lastly, the ATR has contributed a positive 6.4% to the change. As aforementioned, unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook certainly is an operation master (not implying that he is not fantastic in other ways).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c8ab37ef43d6df7e215214aaf8e33eb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03243108e67063bf027112a201a0cac9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Author and Seeking Alpha data.</span></p>\n<p><b>Conclusion and final thought</b></p>\n<p>Mylast articleon AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power. The thesis was that when Buffett bought AAPL during 2016~2017 at a price around 10x pretax earnings, it was equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond even if the business stagnates forever. If he gets ANY growth, then he will be buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And as shown in my last article, AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing due to its high ROCE and capital allocation flexibility.</p>\n<p>This article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017. However, as seen in this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.</p>\n<p>Using the so-called DuPont analysis (with some modifications), the results show that the profitability drivers of AAPL have changed substantially from Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. The ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade, which seems pretty bad until we look closer at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. Tim Cook also stabilized (slightly improved) the asset turnover rate, which contributed a positive 6.4% to the change of ROCE. Unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. The decreased leverage and improved ATR have actually improved ROCE in a way and made it more sustainable. I think this is in line with Buffett's philosophy of buying businesses that can be run by a fool one day - or at least buying business that does not require a once-in-a-generation genius to run.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Inc.: Jobs' Era Vs. Cook's Era\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-26 22:38 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4451809-apple-inc-jobs-era-vs-cooks-era","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168256001","content_text":"Summary\n\nMy last article on Apple Inc. was performed under a framework that I call the Buffett’s 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. The analysis attempts to shed insights into the timing when Buffett pulled the trigger on his elephant gun.\nThe results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs’ era and Tim Cook’s era and provide useful insights for value investors.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe investment thesis\nIf you are reading this, chances are that you already know that Apple Inc. (AAPL) is the largest position in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio. My last article on AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power.\nAnd this article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017: a total of 661M shares, about 4% of the total shares currently outstanding. However, as to be seen in the remainder of this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.\nThe analysis shares my attempts to answer my own question using a so-called DuPont analysis. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. As to be seen by the results later, as a person, I love and even idolize Steve Jobs for his vision and relentless innovation-first style. His vision and innovation - when worked - created an astronomical level of profitability, but is difficult to sustain. But as an investor, especially a long-term and value-driven investor, I feel more comfortable with Tim Cook with his focus on operation and existing products. As to be seen by the results, profitability seemed to be lower on the surface, but upon a closer look, the quality of the earnings is actually improved and became more sustainable. I hope these results provide useful insights not only for AAPL investors but also for investors interested in other stocks.\nOverview and recap\nHere, I will first provide a brief recap of my last article to facilitate the new discussion today. If you're a devout Buffett cultist like this author, you must have noticed or heard that the grandmaster paid ~10x pretax earnings for many of his largest and best deals. The list is a really long one, ranging from Coca-Cola, American Express, Wells Fargo, Walmart, Burlington Northern, and of course the more recent AAPL purchase and his recent $25B repurchases of BRK shares as analyzed in my earlier article.\nThe following chart shows the price history of AAPL and its 10x pretax earnings since 2010. Pretax earnings are also referred to as \"EBT\", Earnings Before Taxes, in this article. As seen, Buffett made his purchases during 2016-2017 when the price is below or near 10x EBT. I was lucky enough to have made the AAPL purchases at that time myself too.\nAnd the thesis was that if we paid 10x pretax and bought a business that stagnates forever, it is an investment that offers a 10% pretax return already, equivalent to a 10% bond. Not the best investment ever, but not that bad either. If we get a business that offersanygrowth like AAPL, then we will be buying an above-average business at an average price. It is now equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And we will have a large chance of a double-digit return compounding for a long time (if you hold onto it long enough like Buffett).\nAnd AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing as to be elaborated next.\nSource: Author based on Seeking Alpha data\nSo are there any reasons fundamental to this 10x pretax rule, or is it only a bunch of pure coincidences? I think it is the former and there are indeed many good reasons for this rule, as listed below.\nROCE and perpetual autonomous growth potential\nWhen we think like a long-term business owner, not a stock trader, a key metric (the most important metric in my opinion) is the return on capital employed (ROCE). ROCE measures the return of capitalactuallyemployed in a business. And it, therefore, provides fundamental insights into profitability. ROCE is fundamentally important in many ways. A consistent and high ROCE is the hallmark of a business with a sustainable moat. A consistent and high ROCE also shows how effectively the reinvested income can be used to fuel further earnings growth because, in the long term, the growth rate is given by:\nLong term growth rate = ROCE * Reinvestment Rate\nThus a higher ROCE allows a business to reinvest less of its earnings and grow more at the same time. A key combination for a long-term compounder. To estimate the ROCE of businesses like AAPL, I consider the following items capital actually employed:\n1. Working capital, including payables, receivables, inventory. These are the capitals required for the daily operation of their businesses.\n2. Gross Property, Plant, and Equipment. These are the capitals required to actually conduct business and manufacture their products.\n3. Research and development expenses (an essential expense for a business like AAPL).\nBased on the above considerations, the ROCE of AAPL over the past decade is shown below. As seen, it was able to maintain an astronomical level of ROCE at the beginning of the decade, when Steve Jobs left the CEO position. The average ROCE between 2010 to 2012 was near a level of around 443%. Every $1 reinvested in the business can generate more than $4 of additional earning! Since Tim Cook took over, the profitability gradually lowered to the current level of 183%.\nTo help put things under perspective, the next chart shows the ROCE of a few other Buffett-style stocks. The ROCE data are directly pulled from my previous analyses. And in case you want to see the details of how I got these numbers, you can look up my recent articles under these tickers.\nAs seen, the profitability during Jobs' era was truly astronomical, thanks to all the innovations that profoundly changed the world. And the current level of 183%, the \"declined\" level, is still very competitive relative to other high-quality businesses.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha.\nWhy Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability?\nWith the above results, the question that puzzled me was why Buffett bought at a time with rapidly declining profitability? As seen from the results above, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017, when Buffett bought the majority of his shares. The following analysis shares my attempts to answer this question using a so-called DuPont framework. The results show the different profitability drivers of AAPL during Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era.\nThe DuPont framework is a tool for analyzing profitability at a fundamental level. It was a general tool and by no means specific to the DuPont business. However, it was popularized by the DuPont Corporation and the name stuck. The DuPont was originally developed to pinpoint issues to improve return on equity (\"ROE\"). In the application here, I made a few modifications to suit the unique situation of AAPL (and modern corporations in general). I will detail the modifications as we go.\nThe first modification is that I will use the framework to analyze ROCE instead of ROE. The reasons are aforementioned. And to recap, the first main reason is that ROCE is more fundamentally important than ROE. And secondly, the ROE concept is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative, because more and more corporations have decided to return all share equity to shareholders as they rely more and more on their intangible assets to make a profit.\nUnder the DuPont framework, there are three knobs that management can turn to drive up ROCE: profit margin (\"PM\"), asset turnover ratio (\"ATR\"), and leverage. Through simple math, we can show that ROCE is just the product of these three things, i.e.,\nROCE = PM x ATR x leverage.\nWhere PM here is defined as operating income divided by total revenue, ATR is defined as total revenue divided by total asset, and leverage is defined as total asset divided by total capital employed. And here is the second modification that I made to the original DuPont method. I defined leverage as the ratio between total asset divided and total capital employed, instead of the total asset divided by share equity. And again, the reason is that the original definition is not even applicable at all to many modern corporations where their share equity is very small or even negative. The new definition could be understood as effective leverage. It's leverage against the business' working capital (payables, receivables, and inventory), gross property, plant, equipment, et al. If these things represent the share equity in an accounting sense, then the effective leverage will be the same as the original definition. If not, then the effective leverage makes more sense to me. No matter what is the share equity in the accounting sense, a corporation always requires capital to make a profit.\nAAPL's profitability drivers\nBased on the above discussions, the following three charts show the three knobs for AAPL over the past decade. As can be seen from the first chart, the profit margin has declined from about 32.9% at the beginning of the decade to the current level of 26.7% - a 20.9% decrease. On average, the profit margin for the overall economy fluctuates around 8% and rarely goes above 10%. Of course, this is an average across all business sectors. Nonetheless, as a rule of thumb, 10% is a very healthy profit margin and 20% is a very high margin. AAPL's 32.9% margin at the beginning of the decade was due to the innovations that profoundly changed the world and their near-monopoly status. It is difficult to sustain. You cannot expect to invent a new earthshaking product like the iPhone before 2011 every a few years. And the current level of 26.7% is still very high.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nThe second chart shows the ATR driver. The ATR measures how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate revenue. The higher the ATR, the better the company is performing, since higher ratios imply that the company is generating more revenue per dollar of assets. As seen, AAPL's ATR started around 0.88 at the beginning of the decade, declined to about 0.6 in the mid, and bounced back to the current level of 0.94. Overall, the ATR has improved 6.4% over the decade. Unlike innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook, with his tremendous experiences and insights as the former Chief Operating Officer, certainly has done an excellent job. A notable example was his decision to replace Apple's own factories and warehouses with contractors, a decision that led to a reduction of the company's inventory from months to days.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nThis third and last chart shows the biggest driver for the profitability change. It shows that Tim Cook reduced the effective leverage from an average level of ~15x at the beginning of the decade, to the current level of 7.3, a 74% decrease. So the ROCE declined from 443% in the Jobs' era to the current level of 183% was largely due to the decrease in leverage. As a result, the decline of ROCE is not as bad as it seemed on the surface. The quality of the profit has been improved and became more sustainable.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nPutting it all together\nThe following table summarizes the above profitability drivers. And for more visual-oriented readers, the chart below it visualizes the numbers in a waterfall plot. Note that all the changes quoted here are the so-called logarithm changes. For readers who are not familiar with logarithm changes, it is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring changes when there are multiple factors involved - more scientific than the simple arithmetic changes we routinely quote.\nLet's use a simple example to illustrate. Let's consider the calculation of dividend yield for a stock. The dividend yield depends on two things - the dividend and the price, so it will illustrate why the logarithm change is the \"more scientific\" way of measuring change when multiple factors are involved. Consider an example when a stock's dividend increases by 10% and price drops by 10% - in the arithmetic sense we talked about. The dividend yield would increase, but it willnotincrease by 20%. It would actually increase by 22.22%. In other words, the dividend yield change is not equal to the sum of the arithmetic change in the dividend and the price.\nNow in logarithm terms, things become simpler and more intuitive in a certain way. The logarithm changes involved in this example are: 9.52% for the dividend (logarithm of 110% = 9.52%), -10.54% for the price (logarithm of 90% = -10.54%), and 20.06% for the dividend yield (logarithm of 122.22% = 20.06%). So as you can see, the change of dividend yield is now equal to the sum of the changes in the dividend and the price (20.06% = 9.52% + 10.54%).\nWith this digression, now the summary of the profitability drivers for AAPL. As seen from the table and the chart, the ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade (again we are talking in the logarithm terms here and hereafter). It seems pretty bad until we look at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. The next biggest contributor came from the decrease in PM, a 20.9% decrease. It is unfortunate, never a good thing to see profit margin decrease. But I would like to argue the level of PM enjoyed by AAPL (or any business) during a period of technological monopoly is not really sustainable. And lastly, the ATR has contributed a positive 6.4% to the change. As aforementioned, unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. And Tim Cook certainly is an operation master (not implying that he is not fantastic in other ways).\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nSource: Author and Seeking Alpha data.\nConclusion and final thought\nMylast articleon AAPL was performed under a framework that I call Buffett's 10x Pretax Rule, with a particular focus on its valuation and compounding power. The thesis was that when Buffett bought AAPL during 2016~2017 at a price around 10x pretax earnings, it was equivalent to buying a 10% yield bond even if the business stagnates forever. If he gets ANY growth, then he will be buying a 10% yield bond with a built-in growth of coupon payments. And as shown in my last article, AAPL is a business that is very like to keep growing due to its high ROCE and capital allocation flexibility.\nThis article analyzes a different aspect: the timing. Buffett bought the majority of his APPL shares during 2016 and 2017. However, as seen in this article, the profitability of the business was in rapid decline during 2016 and 2017 as measured by the return on capital employed (\"ROCE\"). So I was intrigued by the timing of Buffett's purchase.\nUsing the so-called DuPont analysis (with some modifications), the results show that the profitability drivers of AAPL have changed substantially from Steve Jobs' era and Tim Cook's era. The ROCE has decreased by 88.4% over the decade, which seems pretty bad until we look closer at the knobs that Cook turned. Out of the 88.4% decrease, 74% of it came from the decreased leverage, which is actually a good thing to me. Tim Cook also stabilized (slightly improved) the asset turnover rate, which contributed a positive 6.4% to the change of ROCE. Unlike technological innovations, ATR is a knob that management can consistently tweak and improve. The decreased leverage and improved ATR have actually improved ROCE in a way and made it more sustainable. I think this is in line with Buffett's philosophy of buying businesses that can be run by a fool one day - or at least buying business that does not require a once-in-a-generation genius to run.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2040,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893263712,"gmtCreate":1628265094336,"gmtModify":1703504326717,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice ?? ","listText":"Nice ?? ","text":"Nice ??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/893263712","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892099309,"gmtCreate":1628608629301,"gmtModify":1676529797028,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892099309","repostId":"2158477242","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882017519,"gmtCreate":1631630889431,"gmtModify":1676530595491,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/882017519","repostId":"1128474511","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128474511","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1631630480,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1128474511?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-14 22:41","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"Oil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128474511","media":"Reuters","summary":"LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened","content":"<p>LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened into a tropical storm, bringing the threat of widespread floods and power outages to Texas and Louisiana, and as the International Energy Agency forecast a big demand rebound for the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>Brent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $74.06 a barrel by 1334 GMT after hitting a session high of $74.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.</p>\n<p>Both contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.</p>\n<p>Nicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.</p>\n<p>Evacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.</p>\n<p>\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.</p>\n<p>About 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).</p>\n<p>After three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Overall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.</p>\n<p>These forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ba4244bcfced72374dc299b8621a17c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Reuters Graphics</span></p>\n<p>Protesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.</p>\n<p>Details on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>China's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Oil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOil scales six-week high as Storm Nicholas hits U.S. Gulf\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-14 22:41</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened into a tropical storm, bringing the threat of widespread floods and power outages to Texas and Louisiana, and as the International Energy Agency forecast a big demand rebound for the rest of the year.</p>\n<p>Brent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $74.06 a barrel by 1334 GMT after hitting a session high of $74.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.</p>\n<p>Both contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.</p>\n<p>Nicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.</p>\n<p>Evacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.</p>\n<p>\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.</p>\n<p>About 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).</p>\n<p>After three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>The IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.</p>\n<p>Overall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.</p>\n<p>These forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ba4244bcfced72374dc299b8621a17c\" tg-width=\"960\" tg-height=\"582\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Reuters Graphics</span></p>\n<p>Protesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.</p>\n<p>Details on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.</p>\n<p>China's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128474511","content_text":"LONDON, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit a six-week high on Tuesday as Hurricane Nicholas weakened into a tropical storm, bringing the threat of widespread floods and power outages to Texas and Louisiana, and as the International Energy Agency forecast a big demand rebound for the rest of the year.\nBrent crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8%, at $74.06 a barrel by 1334 GMT after hitting a session high of $74.28. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 51 cents, or 0.7%, to $70.96 after touching a high of $71.22.\nBoth contracts have risen for three consecutive sessions and were trading at their highest since early August.\nNicholas is the second major storm to threaten the U.S. Gulf region in recent weeks. Hurricane Ida killed more than two dozen people in August.\nEvacuations were under way on Monday from offshore oil platforms in the area while onshore oil refiners also prepared for Nicholas.\n\"The substantial production outages in the Gulf of Mexico remain one of the factors driving prices,\" Commerzbank said.\nAbout 794,000 barrels per day (bpd), or more than 40% of the U.S. Gulf's oil and gas output, remained offline on Monday, two weeks after Ida slammed into the Louisiana coast, according to offshore regulator Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE).\nAfter three months of decline in global oil demand, rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines are set to rekindle appetite for oil that was suppressed by pandemic restrictions, especially in Asia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.\nThe IEA sees a 1.6 million bpd demand rebound in October and continued grwoth until the end of the year.\nOverall, the agency lowered its 2021 global oil demand growth forecast by 105,000 bpd to 5.2 million bpd but raised its 2022 figure by 85,000 bpd to 3.2 million bpd.\nThese forecasts are well below those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which expects demand to grow by about 5.96 million bpd this year and 4.15 million bpd next year.\nReuters Graphics\nProtesters blocked an oil tanker from loading at the Libyan terminal of Es Sider on Tuesday, the National Oil Corporation (NOC) media office and an engineer at the port said.\nDetails on China's plans to sell crude from its strategic reserves served to dampen price gains on Tuesday.\nChina's state reserves administration said it would auction about 7.38 million barrels of crude on Sept. 24, marking the first batch of sales in a rare release of strategic inventories.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886089370,"gmtCreate":1631538811390,"gmtModify":1676530569312,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like","listText":"Please like","text":"Please like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/886089370","repostId":"1129341543","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129341543","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631534652,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129341543?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-09-13 20:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129341543","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two mon","content":"<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.</p>\n<p>S&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d51dd22d532e1b98f0ecae05c1f7a3e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Apple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Dell Technologies(DELL) </b>– Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.</p>\n<p><b>TransUnion(TRU)</b> – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Viacom(VIAC) </b>– Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Kansas City Southern(KSU)</b> – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Walt Disney(DIS)</b> – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.</p>\n<p><b>Carlyle Group(CG)</b> – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.</p>\n<p><b>MGM Resorts(MGM)</b> – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.</p>\n<p><b>Pfizer(PFE) </b>– Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Monday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Monday\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-13 20:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.</p>\n<p>S&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2d51dd22d532e1b98f0ecae05c1f7a3e\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"416\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Apple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.</p>\n<p><b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p>\n<p><b>Virgin Galactic(SPCE)</b> – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Dell Technologies(DELL) </b>– Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.</p>\n<p><b>TransUnion(TRU)</b> – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.</p>\n<p><b>Viacom(VIAC) </b>– Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.</p>\n<p><b>Kansas City Southern(KSU)</b> – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.</p>\n<p><b>Walt Disney(DIS)</b> – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.</p>\n<p><b>Alibaba(BABA)</b> – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.</p>\n<p><b>Apple(AAPL)</b> – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.</p>\n<p><b>Carlyle Group(CG)</b> – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.</p>\n<p><b>MGM Resorts(MGM)</b> – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.</p>\n<p><b>Pfizer(PFE) </b>– Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BNTX":"BioNTech SE","CG":"凯雷",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","KSU":"堪萨斯南方铁路","TRU":"TransUnion","AAPL":"苹果",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","DIS":"迪士尼","BABA":"阿里巴巴","MGM":"美高梅",".DJI":"道琼斯","PFE":"辉瑞","DELL":"戴尔","SPCE":"维珍银河"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129341543","content_text":"U.S. stock index futures rose on Monday after the S&P 500 logged its worst week in more than two months, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation as well as monetary and tax policies.\nS&P 500 E-minis were up 23.25 points, or 0.52% at 08:00 am ET. Dow E-minis were up 183 points, or 0.53%, while Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75 points, or 0.49%.\n\nApple Inc rose 0.9% in premarket trading after a mixed court ruling in Epic Games’ antitrust case against the iPhone maker knocked nearly $90 billion off its market value on Friday.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nVirgin Galactic(SPCE) – Virgin Galactic is delaying its first commercial research space mission after a third-party supplier warned of a potential defect in a component of the flight control system. Virgin Galactic shares slid 3.3% in the premarket.\nDell Technologies(DELL) – Dell added 1.9% in premarket action after Goldman Sachs added the computer maker’s stock to its “Conviction Buy” list. Goldman cited strong cash flow generation and debt paydown plans, among other factors.\nTransUnion(TRU) – TransUnion announced a deal to buy closely held information services company Neustar for $3.1 billion in cash. The credit reporting agency expects the deal to close during the fourth quarter.\nViacom(VIAC) – Viacom is planning a revamp of its Paramount Pictures unit, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The revamp, which would separate the TV and film operations, could be announced as soon as today. Viacom rose 1% in the premarket.\nKansas City Southern(KSU) – Kansas City Southern said the latest takeover bid from Canadian Pacific Railway(CP) is superior to the one it previously agreed to with Canadian National Railway(CNI). Canadian National now has five days to improve its offer, should it choose to do so. Canadian Pacific rallied 0.9% in premarket trading.\nWalt Disney(DIS) – Disney will show the remainder of its 2021 movie releases exclusively in theaters, rather than making them simultaneously available on its Disney+ streaming service. Disney’s “Shang-Chi and the Legend of the 10 Rings” topped the weekend box office once again following its record Labor Day weekend performance, with that movie showing exclusively in theaters.\nAlibaba(BABA) – Alibaba fell 1.7% in premarket action.\nApple(AAPL) – Epic Games will appeal Friday’s ruling that Apple’s app store was not an illegal monopoly. Epic did win a partial victory in the case, with the judge ruling that Apple must allow developers to include external payment links.\nCarlyle Group(CG) – Carlyle is considering a $6 billion sale or initial public offering for packaging company Novolex, according to a Bloomberg report. The private-equity firm bought Novolex for an undisclosed amount in November 2016.\nMGM Resorts(MGM) – MGM rose 1.5% in the premarket after Bernstein upgraded the resort operator’s stock to “outperform” from “market perform,” citing its strong presence in the gaming and sports betting industry as well as moves to divest the company’s real estate portfolio.\nPfizer(PFE) – Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine – developed in conjunction with German partner BioNTech(BNTX) – could be authorized for use in children aged 5-11 as soon as next month, according to two sources familiar with the situation who spoke to Reuters. Pfizer is expected to have enough study data by then to submit an application for emergency use authorization to the Food and Drug Administration. BioNTech added 1.1% in premarket trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"AAPL":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"CG":0.9,"DELL":0.9,"DIS":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"YMmain":0.9,"KSU":0.9,"MGM":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"SPCE":0.9,"TRU":0.9,"VIAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":817600487,"gmtCreate":1630936831949,"gmtModify":1676530424461,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like thanks ? ","listText":"Please like thanks ? ","text":"Please like thanks ?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/817600487","repostId":"1121396906","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2208,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":892007493,"gmtCreate":1628608543712,"gmtModify":1676529797004,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/892007493","repostId":"1155695860","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818544748,"gmtCreate":1630422090584,"gmtModify":1676530300129,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","listText":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","text":"Maybe the end of the empire. So many players now","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/818544748","repostId":"1173998132","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1982,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836770583,"gmtCreate":1629530813642,"gmtModify":1676530066842,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Maybe not for zoom","listText":"Maybe not for zoom","text":"Maybe not for zoom","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836770583","repostId":"1151608193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151608193","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629728324,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151608193?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151608193","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correcti","content":"<p><b>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b24e4a76a5d1cd0ff030cf1b0eeac0f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>ISTOCKPHOTO</span></p>\n<p>In the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.</p>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.</p>\n<p>Does that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.</p>\n<p>A lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”</p>\n<p>Those are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.</p>\n<p>You’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.</p>\n<p><b>1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead</b></p>\n<p>“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FBNC\">First</a> PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.</p>\n<p>“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”</p>\n<p>He’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.</p>\n<p>All of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> confirmed by a majority of large customers.”</p>\n<p><b>2. The players have consolidated</b></p>\n<p>All up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.</p>\n<p>In chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.</p>\n<p>These companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.</p>\n<p><b>3. Profitability has improved</b></p>\n<p>This more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.</p>\n<p>This has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”</p>\n<p><b>The stocks to buy</b></p>\n<p>Here are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.</p>\n<p><b>New management plays</b></p>\n<p>Though Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.</p>\n<p>Both have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ON\">ON Semiconductor</a> is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.</p>\n<p><b>A data center and gaming play</b></p>\n<p>Karazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.</p>\n<p><b>Design tool companies</b></p>\n<p>Speaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNPS\">Synopsys</a>.</p>\n<p>Their software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.</p>\n<p><b>An EUV play</b></p>\n<p>To put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.</p>\n<p>In other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.</p>\n<p><b>Risks</b></p>\n<p>Here are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.</p>\n<p><b>Oversupply</b></p>\n<p>Chip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a> wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.</p>\n<p>The upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.</p>\n<p>Next, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.</p>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QTM\">Quantum</a> computing</b></p>\n<p>Computers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”</p>\n<p><b>A disturbing signal</b></p>\n<p>A blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.</p>\n<p>Another cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.</p>\n<p>But it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.</p>\n<p>Ford,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.</p>\n<p>Paulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford</a> cars.</p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Buy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBuy the pullback in chip stocks — and focus on these 6 companies for the long haul\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 22:18 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CDNS":"铿腾电子","QCOM":"高通","SSNLF":"三星电子","SNPS":"新思科技","GOOG":"谷歌","ASML":"阿斯麦","ON":"安森美半导体","TSM":"台积电","AAPL":"苹果","GOOGL":"谷歌A","AMZN":"亚马逊","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-pullback-in-chip-stocks-and-focus-on-these-6-companies-for-the-long-haul-11629468380?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151608193","content_text":"The iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs.\nISTOCKPHOTO\nIn the rolling correction that’s running through the stock market, chip makers have been hit harder than most.\nThe iShares Semiconductor ETF is down over 6% from recent highs, compared to declines of 2% or less for the S&P 500,Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\nDoes that make chip stocks a buy? Or is this historically cyclical sector up to its old tricks and headed into a sustained downtrend that will rip your face off.\nA lot depends on your timeline but if you like to own stocks for years rather than rent them for days, the group is a buy. The chief reason: “It’s different this time.”\nThose are admittedly among the scariest words in investing. But the chip sector has changed so much it really is different now – in ways that suggest it is less likely to crush you.\nYou’d be a fool to think there are no risks. I’ll go over those. But first, here are the three main reasons why the group is “safer” now – and six names favored by the half-dozen sector experts I’ve talked with over the past several days.\n1. The wicked witch of cyclicality is dead\n“Demand in the chip sector was always boom and bust, driven by product cycles,” says David Winborne, a portfolio manager at Impax Asset Management. “First PCs, then servers, then phones.” But now demand for chips has broadened across the economy so the secular growth story is more predictable, he says.\nJust look around you. Because of the increased “digitalization” of our lives and work, there’s greater diversity of end market demand from all angles. Think remote office services like Zoom, online shopping, cloud services, electric vehicles, 5G phones, smart factories, big data computing and even washing machines, points out Hendi Susanto, a portfolio manager and tech analyst at Gabelli Funds who is bullish on the group.\n“There is no aspect of the modern digital economy that can function without semiconductors,” says Motley Fool chip sector analyst John Rotonti. “That means more chips going into everything. The long-term demand is there.”\nHe’s not kidding. Chip sector revenue will double by 2030 to $1 trillion from $465 billion in 2020, predicts William Blair analyst Greg Scolaro.\nAll of this means the widespread supply shortages you’ve been hearing about “likely won’t be cured until sometime late next year,” says Bank of America chip sector analyst Vivek Arya. “That’s not just our view, but one confirmed by a majority of large customers.”\n2. The players have consolidated\nAll up and down the production chain, from design through the various types of equipment producers to manufacturing, industry players have consolidated down into what Rotonti calls “earned” duopolies or monopolies.\nIn chip design software, you have Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.In production equipment, companies dominate specialized niches like ASML in extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). Manufacturing is dominated by Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics.\nThese companies earned their niche or duopoly status by being the best at what they do. This makes them interesting for investors. The consolidation also means players behave more rationally in terms of pricing and production capacity, says Rotonti.\n3. Profitability has improved\nThis more rational behavior, combined with cost cutting, means profitability is now much higher than it was historically. “The economics of chip making has improved massively over past few years,” says Winbourne. Cash flow or EBITDA margins are often now over 30% whereas a decade ago they were in the 20% range.\nThis has implications for valuation. Though chip stocks trade at about a market multiple, they appear cheap because they are better companies, points out Lamar Villere, portfolio manager with Villere & Co. “They are not trading at a frothy multiple.”\nThe stocks to buy\nHere are six names favored by chip experts I recently checked in with.\nNew management plays\nThough Peter Karazeris, a senior equity research analyst at Thrivent, has reasons to be cautious on the group (see below), he singles out two companies whose performance may get a boost because they are under new management: Qualcomm and ON Semiconductor.\nBoth have solid profitability. Qualcomm was recently hit by one-off issues like bad weather in Texas that disrupted production, but the company has good exposure to the 5G phone trend. ON Semiconductor is expanding beyond phones into new areas like autos, industrial and the Internet of Things connected-device space.\nA data center and gaming play\nKarazeris also singles out Nvidia,which gets a continuing boost from its exposure to data center and gaming device chip demand — because of its superior design prowess.\nDesign tool companies\nSpeaking of design, when companies like Qualcomm and NVIDIA want to design chips, they turn to the design tools supplied by Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys.\nTheir software-based design tools help chip innovators create the blueprint for their chips, explains Rotonti at Motley Fool, who singles out these names. “They are not the fastest growers in the world, but they have good profit margins.” They also dominate the space.\nAn EUV play\nTo put those blueprints onto silicon in the early stages of chip production, companies like Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung turn to ASML. Its machines use tiny bursts of light to stencil chip designs onto silicon wafers, in a process called extreme ultraviolet lithography. “No one else has figured out how to do it,” says Rotonti.\nIn other words, it has a monopoly position in supplying machines that do this – which are necessary for any company that wants to make leading edge chips.\nRisks\nHere are some of the chief risks for chip sector investors to watch.\nOversupply\nChip production has become politicized. The U.S. wants more production at home so it is not vulnerable to disruptions in Chinese supply chains. China wants to make 70% of the chips it uses by 2025, up from 5% now, says Winborne.\nThe upshot here is that there’s lots of government support to boost manufacturing – so there will be much more of it. The risk is oversupply at some point in the future. This might also create a pull forward in chip equipment purchases — leading to a lull down the road which could hurt sales and margin trends at equipment makers.\nNext, big tech companies like Alphabet,Apple and Ammazon.com are all doing their own chip design, which threatens specialized chip companies that do the same thing.\nQuantum computing\nComputers using chip designs based on quantum physics instead of traditional semiconductor architectures have superior performance, points out Scolaro at William Blair. “While it probably won’t become mainstream for at least another five years, quantum computing has the potential to transform everything from technology to healthcare.”\nA disturbing signal\nA blend of global purchasing managers (PMI) indexes peaked in April and then decelerated for three months. Meanwhile chip sales growth continued. Normally the two follow the same trend, points out Karazeris, who tracks this indicator at Thrivent. He chalks the divergence up to inventory building which is less sustainable than true end-market demand. So, he takes the divergence as a bearish signal for the chip sector.\nAnother cautionary sign comes from the forecasted weakness in pricing for dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) chips. “These are typically things you see at tops of cycles not the bottoms,” says Karazeris.\nBut it’s also possible the slowdown in the global PMI is more a reflection of chip shortages than a sign that the shortages aren’t real (and are just inventory building). “The divergence doesn’t necessarily mean that chip orders are going to roll over and die. It means chip manufacturing has to catch up,” says Leuthold economist and strategist Jim Paulsen.\nFord,for example, just announced it had to curtail production because of chip shortages, not a shortfall in underlying demand.\nPaulsen predicts decent economic growth is sustainable because of factors like high savings rates, the rebound in employment and incomes as well as pent-up demand for big ticket items. If he’s right, the continued economic strength would support demand for all the products that use chips – including Ford cars.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"ASML":0.9,"CDNS":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"GOOGL":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"ON":0.9,"QCOM":0.9,"SNPS":0.9,"SOXX":0.9,"SSNLF":0.9,"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1034,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":897037381,"gmtCreate":1628862489643,"gmtModify":1676529878528,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/897037381","repostId":"1114512346","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":318,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164933775,"gmtCreate":1624164654097,"gmtModify":1703829961214,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing!","listText":"Thanks for sharing!","text":"Thanks for sharing!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164933775","repostId":"1126454279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":430,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186376355,"gmtCreate":1623475988877,"gmtModify":1704204721808,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186376355","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":835570827,"gmtCreate":1629729054669,"gmtModify":1676530114721,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/835570827","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2161747692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629673828,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2161747692?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-23 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2161747692","media":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at","content":"<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.</p>\n<p>The event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>This asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.</p>\n<p>Last week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.</p>\n<p>\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.</p>\n<p>But as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.</p>\n<p>\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"</p>\n<p>\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ffd135dd0d8cdc399e0982d54e39f5bd\" tg-width=\"6000\" tg-height=\"4000\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS</span></p>\n<p>As for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.</p>\n<p>\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"</p>\n<p>\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"</p>\n<h2>Personal spending, income</h2>\n<p>New economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.</p>\n<p>Consensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.</p>\n<p>Just last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.</p>\n<p>Other data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.</p>\n<p>\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.</p>\n<p>Friday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.</p>\n<p>Even with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.</p>\n<p>\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.</p>\n<h2>Economic calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b>Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRKT\">Markit</a> U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b>Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)</p></li>\n</ul>\n<h2>Earnings calendar</h2>\n<ul>\n <li><p><b>Monday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release</i></p></li>\n <li><p><b>Tuesday: </b>Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Wednesday: </b>Best Buy (BBY) before market open; <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRM\">Salesforce</a> (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Thursday: </b>The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close</p></li>\n <li><p><b>Friday: </b><i>No notable reports scheduled for release </i></p></li>\n</ul>","source":"yahoofinance","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed's Jackson Hole Symposium, personal income and spending: What to know this week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-23 07:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html><strong>Yahoo Finance</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TGT":"塔吉特","WMT":"沃尔玛","BBY":"百思买",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","XRT":"零售指数ETF-SPDR标普",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY.AU":"SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-heads-to-jackson-hole-personal-income-and-spending-what-to-know-this-week-150228513.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5f26f4a48f9cb3e29be4d71d3ba8c038","article_id":"2161747692","content_text":"Traders this week are poised to focus closely on Federal Reserve policymakers' virtual appearance at the bank's annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium.\nThe event, which takes place from Thursday to Saturday this week, is set to serve as a forum for more discussions around Fed policymakers' plans to announce and implement a shift in the central bank's monetary policy stance. Namely, investors have been closely watching for months to hear when officials will begin tapering their purchases of Treasury and mortgage securities, which have been taking place at a pace of $120 billion per month for more than a year during the pandemic.\nThis asset purchase program had been a major policy underpinning U.S. equity markets this year, providing liquidity throughout the economic crisis induced by the virus. But as the economy makes headway in recovering, Fed officials' talk around pulling in the reins on this program has started to increase.\nLast week, Federal Reserve officials signaled the announcement of the start of tapering was edging closer. According to the meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting, most monetary policymakers believed the economy will have made enough progress toward recovering to warrant tapering.\n\"Most participants noted that, provided that the economy were to evolve broadly as they anticipated, they judged that it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year because they saw the Committee’s 'substantial further progress' criterion as satisfied with respect to the price-stability goal and as close to being satisfied with respect to the maximum employment goal,\" according to the FOMC minutes.\nBut as many pundits have noted, the central bank still has a host of meetings left in 2021 to serve as a platform for further discussing or announcing tapering. As a result, Jackson Hole this week may cause few ripples, with policymakers like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sticking to their previously telegraphed language about waiting to see further improvements in the labor market before escalating talk of tapering further.\n\"Jackson Hole next week is certainly a target for when we might hear some actual firm language around taper. I'm not really expecting much out of Jackson Hole,\" Garrett Melson, Natixis Investment Managers Solutions portfolio strategist, told Yahoo Finance last week. \"We're more in the camp that we probably start to hear something around the November meeting. Perhaps they're as quick as December to start actually implementing the taper. But I'm still more in the camp that January is probably when we begin to see a slow taper, probably in the ballpark of $15 billion per month.\"\n\"They're still very, very dovish. They're slightly less dovish,\" he added. \"But that's a little semantics at this point. Taper is very well documented and well known. We know it's coming. It's just a matter of timing and really shouldn't surprise many investors out there.\"\nFederal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell testifies before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs hearing to examine the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, July 15, 2021, on Capitol Hill. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, file)ASSOCIATED PRESS\nAs for the ultimate market impact of tapering, if the outcome is anything like the response from the last announcement of tapering in 2023, investors might brace for a momentary bout of volatility and some sector rotation beneath the surface.\n\"In 2013, Fed Chair Bernanke's comments about tapering catalyzed a five-day, 40 bp backup in 10-year yields and a 5% drop in the S&P 500,\" said David Kostin, Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. equity strategist, in a note last week. \"The initial signal from the taper tantrum ultimately proved fleeting during a year with extremely strong returns for equities.\"\n\"The S&P 500 rebounded 5% in the roughly two months following the tantrum, led higher by the materials, consumer discretionary, and health care sectors,\" he added. \"By December, the S&P 500 had posted a full-year return of 32%. As the Fed reiterated its commitment to accommodative policy, growth outperformed value and cyclical stocks outperformed defensives.\"\nPersonal spending, income\nNew economic data on consumer spending and income will also be in focus later this week, with reports on both metrics due for release on Friday.\nConsensus economists expect to see personal spending slow to just a 0.4% monthly clip in July, decelerating from June's 1.0% increase.\nJust last week, the Commerce Department's data showed retail sales fell more than expected in July, dipping by 1.1%. The print pointed to more moderation in spending as the impact of stimulus checks earlier this year waned further, and lowered the bar for the Bureau of Economic Analysis' monthly personal spending data.\nOther data has also underscored the slowdown in consumer spending, especially given the recent spread of the Delta variant starting in the middle of summer.\n\"Although services spending started strong in July boosted by the holiday, our aggregated BAC credit and debit card data suggest services spending, particularly for travel and leisure, slowed down noticeably in the second half of the month, potentially due to rising Delta concerns,\" Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer wrote in a note Friday.\nFriday's consumer spending report will also come with data on personal income, which is also expected to have ticked up only slightly on a monthly basis. Economists look for a 0.1% increase in July, which would match the pace from the prior month.\nEven with the deceleration in income, however, the personal savings rate may have increased as an early round of child tax credit payments helped offset a slowing pace of income growth, some economists noted.\n\"The advance child tax credit payments delivered this month translated into a lower tax burden and therefore a 1% month-over-month boost to disposable income, consequently leading to a rise in the savings rate to 10.0% from 9.4% in June,\" Meyer predicted.\nEconomic calendar\n\nMonday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index, July (0.09 in June); Markit U.S. Manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (62.8 expected, 63.4 in July); Markit U.S. Services PMI, August preliminary (59.0 expected, 59.9 in July); Markit U.S. Composite PMI, August preliminary (59.9 in July); Existing home sales, month-on-month, July (-0.3% expected, 1.4% in June)\nTuesday: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, August (25 expected, 27 in July); New home sales, month-on-month, July (3.6% expected, -6.6% in June)\nWednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, week ended August 20 (-3.9% during prior week); Durable goods orders, July preliminary (-0.2% expected, 0.9% in June); Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.5% expected, 0.7% in June); Non-defense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft, July preliminary (0.6% in June)\nThursday: Initial jobless claims, week ended August 21 (352,000 expected, 348,000 during prior week); Continuing claims, week ended August 14 (2.780 million expected, 2.820 million during prior week); GDP annualized quarter-over-quarter, Q2 second estimate (6.6% expected, 6.5% in prior print); Personal consumption, Q2 second estimate (12.3% expected, 11.8% in prior print); Core PCE quarter-over-quarter Q2 second estimate (6.1% expected, 6.1% in prior print); Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index, August (30 in prior print)\nFriday: Advanced goods trade balance, July (-$90.9 billion expected, -$91.2 billion in June); Wholesale inventories, month-over-month, July preliminary (1.0% expected, 1.1% in June); Personal income, July (0.2% expected, 0.1% in June); Personal spending, July (0.4% expected, 1.0% in June); PCE core deflator, month-on-month, July (0.3% expected, 0.4% in June); PCE core deflator, year-on-year, July (3.6% expected, 3.5% in June); University of Michigan Sentiment, August final (71.0 expected, 70.2 in prior print)\n\nEarnings calendar\n\nMonday: No notable reports scheduled for release\nTuesday: Advance Auto Parts (AAP) before market open; Intuit (INTU) after market close\nWednesday: Best Buy (BBY) before market open; Salesforce (CRM), Autodesk (ADSK), Ulta Beauty (ULTA) after market close\nThursday: The JM Smucker Co. (SJM), Dollar General (DG), Dollar Tree (DLTR) before market open; The Gap (GPS), HP Inc. (HPQ) after market close\nFriday: No notable reports scheduled for release","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"BBY":0.9,"SPY.AU":0.9,"TGT":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"XRT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126148397,"gmtCreate":1624548843019,"gmtModify":1703840169215,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/126148397","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188340887,"gmtCreate":1623422476049,"gmtModify":1704203339547,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/188340887","repostId":"2142022769","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":362,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833918140,"gmtCreate":1629196410980,"gmtModify":1676529961999,"author":{"id":"3581933145667506","authorId":"3581933145667506","name":"Success9999","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581933145667506","authorIdStr":"3581933145667506"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833918140","repostId":"1122046470","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122046470","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1629191708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1122046470?lang=&edition=full_marsco","pubTime":"2021-08-17 17:15","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Hong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122046470","media":"Reuters","summary":"SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in","content":"<p>SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.</p>\n<p>Sharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.</p>\n<p>China’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.</p>\n<p>“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.</p>\n<p>Video platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.</p>\n<p>Denting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.</p>\n<p>China Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.</p>\n<p>Healthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong stocks see worst day in 3 weeks on China economy worries\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-08-17 17:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.</p>\n<p>Sharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.</p>\n<p>China’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.</p>\n<p>“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”</p>\n<p>The Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.</p>\n<p>Video platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.</p>\n<p>Denting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.</p>\n<p>China Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.</p>\n<p>Healthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122046470","content_text":"SHANGHAI, Aug 17 (Reuters) - Hong Kong stocks closed lower on Tuesday, marking their biggest fall in three weeks, as sentiment took a hit due to a gloomy economic outlook for China, Beijing’s tighter control of the tech sector, and rising geopolitical tensions.\nThe Hang Seng index fell 1.7% to 25,745.87, while the China Enterprises Index lost 2.2% to 9,057.88. Both the indexes had their worst day since July 27.\nSharp deceleration in China’s factory output and retail sales in July dented investors’ confidence, dragging cyclical stocks lower.\nChina’s “July activity data deteriorated across the board, significantly below market expectations,” Nomura said in a note.\n“We expect major activity indicators to deteriorate further in August.”\nThe Hang Seng Tech Index tumbled 3.1%, after China tightened control of its technology sector further, publishing detailed rules on Tuesday that aimed at tackling unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data.\nVideo platform Bilibili Inc, social media company Tencent Holdings, e-commerce giant Alibaba and food-delivery service Meituan plunged.\nDenting the mood further, China carried out assault drills near Taiwan, with warships and fighter jets exercising off the southwest and southeast of the island, in what the country’s armed forces said was a response to “external interference” and “provocations”.\nChina Evergrande Group dropped 4.3%, after news that chairman Hui Ka Yan has stepped down as chairman of flagship unit Hengda Real Estate Group, fuelling expectations of a possible restructuring.\nHealthcare and material shares also dropped sharply, with indexes tracking the sectors falling 3.1% and 4.3% respectively. (Reporting by the Shanghai Newsroom; editing by Uttaresh.V)","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1061,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}