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Amy99
2023-03-16
Market down is a good opportunity [Miser]
Amy99
2023-01-26
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
good
Amy99
2023-01-26
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
58 soon
Amy99
2023-01-19
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
View on Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)BullishBearish
Amy99
2023-01-15
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$
Good
Amy99
2023-01-15
$Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$
View on Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)BullishBearish
Amy99
2022-10-07
$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2212(YMmain)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-10-07
Good
Bond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon
Amy99
2022-10-06
$FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST(J69U.SI)$
Good
Amy99
2022-10-06
Good
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Amy99
2022-10-06
Good
Sorry, the original content has been removed
Amy99
2022-10-06
$Cassava Sciences Inc(SAVA)$
ok
Amy99
2022-09-18
$PubMatic, Inc.(PUBM)$
Bullish
Amy99
2022-09-18
$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-17
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-17
$Metaverse & AR(BK4554)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO)$
Good
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Ok
Amy99
2022-09-12
$Illumina(ILMN)$
Ok
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2212(YMmain)$</a>Ok","text":"$E-mini Dow Jones - main 2212(YMmain)$Ok","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/0ffe9d5ef2bef120c233886bdd378b23","width":"750","height":"1284"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914032823","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2657,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9914032961,"gmtCreate":1665126092954,"gmtModify":1676537561858,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582630518502280","idStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9914032961","repostId":"2273314573","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2273314573","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1665099838,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2273314573?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-07 07:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Bond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273314573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。","content":"<p><html><body>Can the Fed continue its aggressive rate hike line?</p><p>In the view of \"debt king\" Gross, the current policy stance of the Federal Reserve is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross said that the current high leverage of the U.S. economy and the macro environment of global economic slowdown mean that the yield of 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates have reached a \"temporary\" peak across the board.</strong>He said that while inflation is the only focus of the Fed at present, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further said that the chief culprit that limits the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the rising leverage ratio, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was as high as 4.256%; The 10-year Treasury Bond yields 3.828%. In mid-2020, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was once lower than 0.2%, and the ten-year Treasury Bond yield was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the ultra-low interest rate in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors and residents borrowed a lot of money, and the leverage ratio rose sharply. The leverage ratio of the U.S. government exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also used low interest rates to borrow money.</p><p>Gross also holds similar views by billionaire and legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>At the heart of our concerns is that the U.S. economy will have a hard landing in 2023. I'd be shocked if it hadn't happened. I don't know exactly when the hard landing will happen, but it must be before the end of next year, and it's not ordinary<span>Economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have created asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that caused the bull market, they are not only stopping, they are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>Risk warning and disclaimer clause</div><div>The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the special investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, opinions or conclusions in this article are appropriate for their particular circumstances. Invest accordingly at your own responsibility.</div></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-07 07:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Can the Fed continue its aggressive rate hike line?</p><p>In the view of \"debt king\" Gross, the current policy stance of the Federal Reserve is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross said that the current high leverage of the U.S. economy and the macro environment of global economic slowdown mean that the yield of 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates have reached a \"temporary\" peak across the board.</strong>He said that while inflation is the only focus of the Fed at present, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further said that the chief culprit that limits the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the rising leverage ratio, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was as high as 4.256%; The 10-year Treasury Bond yields 3.828%. In mid-2020, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was once lower than 0.2%, and the ten-year Treasury Bond yield was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the ultra-low interest rate in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors and residents borrowed a lot of money, and the leverage ratio rose sharply. The leverage ratio of the U.S. government exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also used low interest rates to borrow money.</p><p>Gross also holds similar views by billionaire and legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>At the heart of our concerns is that the U.S. economy will have a hard landing in 2023. I'd be shocked if it hadn't happened. I don't know exactly when the hard landing will happen, but it must be before the end of next year, and it's not ordinary<span>Economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have created asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that caused the bull market, they are not only stopping, they are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>Risk warning and disclaimer clause</div><div>The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the special investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, opinions or conclusions in this article are appropriate for their particular circumstances. Invest accordingly at your own responsibility.</div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b77d8302-2361-413d-805e-f8373b0877ee.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEX":"标普100","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273314573","content_text":"在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。\n他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。\n10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。\n\n\n在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。\n和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:\n\n我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的经济危机。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。\n\nDruckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:\n\n所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。\n风险提示及免责条款\n\n 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","listText":"Market down is a good opportunity [Miser] ","text":"Market down is a good opportunity [Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943006518","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9956434171,"gmtCreate":1674118031993,"gmtModify":1676538924771,"author":{"id":"3582630518502280","authorId":"3582630518502280","name":"Amy99","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/30a6e8bf6181e6e692bf171d7eae4528","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3582630518502280","idStr":"3582630518502280"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>View on Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)BullishBearish","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SQQQ\">$Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ </a>View on 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07:43","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Bond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2273314573","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"格罗斯认为,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。","content":"<p><html><body>Can the Fed continue its aggressive rate hike line?</p><p>In the view of \"debt king\" Gross, the current policy stance of the Federal Reserve is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross said that the current high leverage of the U.S. economy and the macro environment of global economic slowdown mean that the yield of 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates have reached a \"temporary\" peak across the board.</strong>He said that while inflation is the only focus of the Fed at present, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further said that the chief culprit that limits the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the rising leverage ratio, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was as high as 4.256%; The 10-year Treasury Bond yields 3.828%. In mid-2020, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was once lower than 0.2%, and the ten-year Treasury Bond yield was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the ultra-low interest rate in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors and residents borrowed a lot of money, and the leverage ratio rose sharply. The leverage ratio of the U.S. government exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also used low interest rates to borrow money.</p><p>Gross also holds similar views by billionaire and legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>At the heart of our concerns is that the U.S. economy will have a hard landing in 2023. I'd be shocked if it hadn't happened. I don't know exactly when the hard landing will happen, but it must be before the end of next year, and it's not ordinary<span>Economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have created asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that caused the bull market, they are not only stopping, they are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>Risk warning and disclaimer clause</div><div>The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the special investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, opinions or conclusions in this article are appropriate for their particular circumstances. Invest accordingly at your own responsibility.</div></body></html></p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond King Gross: It is difficult for the Fed to rate hike more vigorously, and U.S. bond yields may have peaked soon\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-10-07 07:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body>Can the Fed continue its aggressive rate hike line?</p><p>In the view of \"debt king\" Gross, the current policy stance of the Federal Reserve is unsustainable. On Thursday, October 6, Gross pointed out that the Federal Reserve cannot continue to rely on continuous rate hike to control inflation because the U.S. economy is now much more leveraged than it was in the 1980s and the global economy is slowing down.</p><p><strong>Gross said that the current high leverage of the U.S. economy and the macro environment of global economic slowdown mean that the yield of 2-year U.S. Treasury Bond is too high, and interest rates have reached a \"temporary\" peak across the board.</strong>He said that while inflation is the only focus of the Fed at present, economic growth and financial stability may soon receive equal attention from the Fed.</p><p>He further said that the chief culprit that limits the policy tools of central banks such as the Federal Reserve is the rising leverage ratio, and the United States and other economies cannot afford more rate hike.</p><p>On October 6, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was as high as 4.256%; The 10-year Treasury Bond yields 3.828%. In mid-2020, the two-year Treasury Bond yield in the United States was once lower than 0.2%, and the ten-year Treasury Bond yield was once less than 0.7%.</p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/4f2440a7-af4d-41a7-b754-4f45a5b2960c.png\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b851d8ac-c676-4d1d-86cf-d1607a240bf9.png\"/></p><p>After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, due to the ultra-low interest rate in the United States, the U.S. government, non-financial sectors and residents borrowed a lot of money, and the leverage ratio rose sharply. The leverage ratio of the U.S. government exceeded 110%, while non-financial sectors and residents also used low interest rates to borrow money.</p><p>Gross also holds similar views by billionaire and legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller. He said at the end of last month:</p><p>At the heart of our concerns is that the U.S. economy will have a hard landing in 2023. I'd be shocked if it hadn't happened. I don't know exactly when the hard landing will happen, but it must be before the end of next year, and it's not ordinary<span>Economic crisis</span>。 I don't rule out something really bad happening.</p><p>Druckenmiller believes that the extraordinary quantitative easing and ultra-low interest rates of the past decade have created asset bubbles:</p><p>All the factors that caused the bull market, they are not only stopping, they are reversing. We're in big trouble.</p><p><div>Risk warning and disclaimer clause</div><div>The market is risky, so investment needs to be cautious. This article does not constitute personal investment advice, nor does it take into account the special investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual users. Users should consider whether any opinions, opinions or conclusions in this article are appropriate for their particular circumstances. Invest accordingly at your own responsibility.</div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://wpimg-wscn.awtmt.com/b77d8302-2361-413d-805e-f8373b0877ee.jpg?imageView2/1/w/340/h/340","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","BK4581":"高盛持仓","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","OEX":"标普100","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DJX":"1/100道琼斯",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3671836","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2273314573","content_text":"在美联储能继续激进加息路线吗?\n在“债王”格罗斯看来,美联储当前的政策立场是不可持续的。10月6日周四,格罗斯指出,美联储无法继续依靠不断加息来控制通胀,因为美国经济现在的杠杆率比上世纪80年代要高得多,而且全球经济正在放缓。\n格罗斯称,当前美国经济的高杠杆和全球经济放缓的宏观环境,意味着2年期美国国债收益率太高,利率全线已经达到“临时”峰值。他表示,虽然通胀是美联储目前明面上唯一的关注焦点,但经济增长和金融稳定可能很快就会获得美联储的同等关注。\n他进一步称,令美联储等央行政策工具受限的罪魁祸首是不断上升的杠杆率,美国和其他经济体无法承受更多的加息。\n10月6日,美国两年期国债收益率高达4.256%;十年期国债收益率达3.828%。而在2020年中,美国两年期国债收益率一度低于0.2%,十年期国债收益率一度不足0.7%。\n\n\n在新冠疫情爆发后,由于美国处于超低利率状态,美国政府、非金融部门和居民大量举债,杠杆率大幅攀升,美国政府杠杆率超过110%,而非金融部门和居民也利用低利率来借贷。\n和格罗斯持类似观点的还有亿万富翁、传奇投资者Stanley Druckenmiller。他在上个月底曾表示:\n\n我们担忧的核心是,2023年美国经济将硬着陆。如果这件事儿没发生,我会感到震惊。我不知道硬着陆发生的具体时间,但是肯定是明年年底之前,而且不是普通的经济危机。我不排除真的很糟糕的事情会发生。\n\nDruckenmiller认为,过去十年非同寻常的量化宽松和超低利率造成了资产泡沫:\n\n所有导致牛市的因素,它们不仅在停止,而且正在逆转。我们陷入了大麻烦。\n风险提示及免责条款\n\n 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