A Reliable Warning Sign Points to an Approaching US Economic Downturn After a prolonged period of inversion, the US Treasury yield curve is normalizing to its classic upward slope. This transition has historically preceded nearly every recession on record, making it one of the most reliable economic indicators available to market observers. For those unfamiliar with yield curves, when short-term bonds yield more than long-term ones, it creates an "inverted" curve, suggesting market pessimism about long-term economic prospects. The current normalization process, where long-term yields are again rising above short-term ones, typically signals the final phase before economic contraction begins. Financial markets are now carefully monitoring this development alongside other leading indicators.

Here's a wild thought: What if I told you your investment portfolio has more in common with Candy Crush than actual wealth? 🤔 Like many of you, I've caught myself checking my portfolio multiple times daily, celebrating green numbers, and agonizing over red ones. Sound familiar? We've turned wealth building into a never-ending video game where the score keeps climbing, but we never actually hit cash out. Let's get real about what being a retail investor truly means. Beyond the money we put in, we're investing a massive amount of our lives into this pursuit. The hundreds of hours spent learning. The daily consumption of financial news. The endless emotional energy processing market moves. The family time sacrificed for research and analysis. We've essentially taken on an unpaid part-tim

Look, I know everyone’s freaking out about the ~20% drop in U.S. stocks. Your feed is probably full of people either panicking or shouting “Buy the dip!” But here’s something interesting I’ve been doing instead and it might be right up your alley. Instead of trying to guess if we’ve hit the bottom (spoiler: nobody knows), I’m actually getting paid to wait for better prices. Here’s what I mean… Right now, market fear is through the roof. In fact, volatility is sitting at some of the highest levels we’ve seen in years (95th percentile). This means something fascinating: you can get paid really well for agreeing to buy stocks at lower prices through put options. Let me give you a real example I’m looking at: say you’re interested in the ‌$SPDR S&P 500

$IREN CUSTOM 250321 CALL 9.0/CALL 10.0$  Zero Entristic Value Backward Ratio strategy delivers

We should not underestimate existential aspect of AI development. Who knows, maybe bitcoin was invented by AI to exploit our greed towards infrastructure imrovements and consciousness replication. First as prerietory models, and later as open-source tamagochi devices connected to a destributed network

$IREN CUSTOM 250321 CALL 9.0/CALL 10.0$  🦓 Opened another position in $IREN as a part of Zero Extrinsic Value Back Ratio Spread (ZEBRA). Technicals look promising in terms of mean reversion dynamics. Fingers crossed!

$IREN CUSTOM 250207 CALL 11.0/CALL 11.5$  It Finally Happened For the first time ever, I made a profit—like hitting the jackpot in the stock market. Eight long years of investing in bonds, stocks of local banks, indices, and crypto -all of it would crash the very next day. No matter what I bought, it felt like everything was falling into a bottomless pit. The deeper I dove into the world of finance, the bigger the hole in my pocket grew. But then, a sophisticated options strategy finally worked. It felt like pulling a joker card from the deck- an electrifying moment of triumph. How long did it take you to catch your first win? Are you still searching for that perfect strategyy?

$CGC 20250221 4.0 CALL$  Spectacular loss! Selected the stock based on IV and technicals but...failed 🫠

Attached Barclays report sheds light on an intriguing transformation in the options market, particularly focusing on how the introduction of zero-commission trading has reshaped market dynamics. According to their findings, the influx of retail investors has fundamentally changed how short-term call options are traded, effectively turning them into lottery-like instruments. The research highlights a critical observation: When retail traders purchase Out-of-the-Money (OTM) call options at low premiums, they're essentially making a speculative bet with theoretically unlimited upside potential. However, Barclays notes that such scenarios rarely materialize in practice. A key insight from their analysis points to the relationship between implied and realized volatility. Option prices are signi

Learn something new every day. Got my first option executed yesterday. Learned a lot and earned few bucks

$Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$   Such a loss! Why 20y bonds not affected by rate cuts? Confusing  🤷

When price goes up - you buy!