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China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously

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The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in July was 50.3, compared with the previous value of 51.3.</p><p>The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for July 2021, released on August 2, fell 1 percentage point to 50.3, the lowest since May 2020.</p><p>This trend is in line with the NBS Manufacturing PMI. The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135fb5b6f21d9ee05edcb64a0736f62f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1171357110","content_text":"中国7月财新制造业PMI 50.3，前值51.3。\n8月2日公布的2021年7月财新中国制造业PMI（采购经理指数）下降1百分点至50.3，为2020年5月以来最低。\n这一走势与国家统计局制造业PMI一致。统计局公布的7月制造业PMI录得50.4，较6月下降0.5个百分点，为2020年3月以来最低。\n7月制造业供给继续扩张，但扩长速度仅为微弱，需求则出现一年多来首次收缩。7月制造业生产指数和新订单指数分别录得16个月和15个月以来新低。部分受访企业反映，客户需求相对疲弱；另有企业反映，产品出厂价格上扬抑制了销售。分类别数据显示，投资品类新订单增长强劲，但消费品和中间品类新订单减少。\n外需总体维持稳定，7月制造业新出口订单指数略高于荣枯线，海外不同地区疫情形势分化，对出口影响此消彼长。\n就业市场变化不大，7月制造业就业指数略高于荣枯线，连续第四个月位于扩张区间。部分企业增加劳动力使用以扩大产能，另一部分企业则相对谨慎。伴随着就业市场的稳定，积压工作数量略有增加。\n制造业购进价格指数和出厂价格指数双双下降，显示通胀压力在7月略有缓解。不过，购进价格指数已连续八个月高于荣枯线5个百分点以上，受访企业表示原材料价格居高不下，尤其是工业金属价格高企。相比之下，出厂价格指数仅略高于荣枯线，录得2020年10月以来新低，表明市场需求对产品价格较为敏感，限制了企业定价能力。\n受局部区域洪涝、疫情以及芯片等产品短缺影响，物流交付时间继续延长，7月供应商供应时间指数继续位于收缩区间。由于原材料价格依然处于高位，制造业企业采购量仅略有增加，原材料库存指数在收缩区间下降。企业继续动用产成品库存交付订单，产成品库存指数继续处于收缩区间，但幅度略有收窄。\n中国制造业界对未来一年的增长前景普遍感到乐观，但乐观度下滑至15个月低点。企业忧虑全球疫情未知何时才能受控，担心供应链继续受阻扰。\n财新智库高级经济学家王喆表示，7月制造业扩张势头边际放缓，市场供给继续扩张，需求开始承压，企业在增加雇员和原材料采购方面态度谨慎。通胀压力部分得到缓解，制造业企业家对未来依旧保持乐观，但已低于长期均值。7月财新中国制造业PMI相关数据显示，目前国民经济恢复基础并不稳固，经济下行压力依然较大，企业家信心亦需呵护。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805815627,"gmtCreate":1627869690769,"gmtModify":1703496854035,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805815627","repostId":"1171357110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171357110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627869360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171357110?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:56","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171357110","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"中国7月财新制造业PMI 50.3，前值51.3。\n8月2日公布的2021年7月财新中国制造业PMI（采购经理指数）下降1百分点至50.3，为2020年5月以来最低。\n这一走势与国家统计局制造业PMI","content":"<p>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in July was 50.3, compared with the previous value of 51.3.</p><p>The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for July 2021, released on August 2, fell 1 percentage point to 50.3, the lowest since May 2020.</p><p>This trend is in line with the NBS Manufacturing PMI. The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in July was 50.3, compared with the previous value of 51.3.</p><p>The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for July 2021, released on August 2, fell 1 percentage point to 50.3, the lowest since May 2020.</p><p>This trend is in line with the NBS Manufacturing PMI. The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135fb5b6f21d9ee05edcb64a0736f62f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1171357110","content_text":"中国7月财新制造业PMI 50.3，前值51.3。\n8月2日公布的2021年7月财新中国制造业PMI（采购经理指数）下降1百分点至50.3，为2020年5月以来最低。\n这一走势与国家统计局制造业PMI一致。统计局公布的7月制造业PMI录得50.4，较6月下降0.5个百分点，为2020年3月以来最低。\n7月制造业供给继续扩张，但扩长速度仅为微弱，需求则出现一年多来首次收缩。7月制造业生产指数和新订单指数分别录得16个月和15个月以来新低。部分受访企业反映，客户需求相对疲弱；另有企业反映，产品出厂价格上扬抑制了销售。分类别数据显示，投资品类新订单增长强劲，但消费品和中间品类新订单减少。\n外需总体维持稳定，7月制造业新出口订单指数略高于荣枯线，海外不同地区疫情形势分化，对出口影响此消彼长。\n就业市场变化不大，7月制造业就业指数略高于荣枯线，连续第四个月位于扩张区间。部分企业增加劳动力使用以扩大产能，另一部分企业则相对谨慎。伴随着就业市场的稳定，积压工作数量略有增加。\n制造业购进价格指数和出厂价格指数双双下降，显示通胀压力在7月略有缓解。不过，购进价格指数已连续八个月高于荣枯线5个百分点以上，受访企业表示原材料价格居高不下，尤其是工业金属价格高企。相比之下，出厂价格指数仅略高于荣枯线，录得2020年10月以来新低，表明市场需求对产品价格较为敏感，限制了企业定价能力。\n受局部区域洪涝、疫情以及芯片等产品短缺影响，物流交付时间继续延长，7月供应商供应时间指数继续位于收缩区间。由于原材料价格依然处于高位，制造业企业采购量仅略有增加，原材料库存指数在收缩区间下降。企业继续动用产成品库存交付订单，产成品库存指数继续处于收缩区间，但幅度略有收窄。\n中国制造业界对未来一年的增长前景普遍感到乐观，但乐观度下滑至15个月低点。企业忧虑全球疫情未知何时才能受控，担心供应链继续受阻扰。\n财新智库高级经济学家王喆表示，7月制造业扩张势头边际放缓，市场供给继续扩张，需求开始承压，企业在增加雇员和原材料采购方面态度谨慎。通胀压力部分得到缓解，制造业企业家对未来依旧保持乐观，但已低于长期均值。7月财新中国制造业PMI相关数据显示，目前国民经济恢复基础并不稳固，经济下行压力依然较大，企业家信心亦需呵护。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140414095,"gmtCreate":1625668609817,"gmtModify":1703746118238,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140414095","repostId":"1151513622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151513622","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625663183,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151513622?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 21:06","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151513622","media":"金十数据","summary":"苦难指数是通货膨胀率和失业率的总和，一直跟美国股票与黄金价格的比率高度相关。","content":"<p>Stuart Allsopp Follow, a former head of financial markets at Fitch Solutions with 15 years of global market analysis experience, said:</p><p>\"According to the suffering index, inflation levels are rising right now, as well as the unemployment rate, but the S&P 500 is still at a multi-year high relative to gold. This is very similar to the precursors of previous recessions in the United States, so I expect the Great Depression history to repeat itself.\" What is the suffering index?</p><p>The suffering index is the sum of inflation and unemployment, and has historically been highly correlated with the ratio of U.S. stocks to the price of gold. The suffering index is calculated by adding the inflation rate to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to produce a measure of how stagflating the economy is.</p><p>Relative to the S&P 500,<b>High inflation and high unemployment are good for gold prices.</b></p><p>The chart below shows the correlation between the suffering index and the S&P 500/gold ratio, with data dating back to the 1950s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1104d2bb96784e45c39ad4557045384a\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The current S&P 500/gold ratio is nearly double what people expected. Stuart Allsopp Follow Represents:</p><p>\"We also saw such a big difference between the two indexes in the data of 1971, 1975 and 2000, far above the 'reasonable' level of the suffering index.\" The chart below shows the extent to which the S&P 500/Gold ratio is overvalued relative to the Suffering Index, compared to the subsequent 10-year annual return ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9258bfad74b1199cac2e171b3dccfa9d\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Stuart Allsopp Follow said that the relationship between stock and gold ratio is a tool often used to make investment decisions. He found a conclusion by studying trends:</p><p>\"There is a lot of evidence that U.S. stocks will be long-term losses relative to the future trend of precious metals, especially with the suffering index likely to continue to rise. The only good news is that I expect gold to perform very well.\" Separately, analysts expect the United States to continue to pursue loose policy. A previous assumption of the policy was that there was an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. That is, if unemployment is high, it reflects economic weakness, and loose monetary policy can reduce this weakness, but at the cost of enduring rising inflation.</p><p>Analysts believe that based on the current performance of the U.S. government, it can be expected that increasingly aggressive monetary and fiscal policies seem highly likely to continue before more bad news arrives, such as further worsening inflation.<b>But it could be a ticking time bomb that can be detonated at any time.</b></p><p>It is worth mentioning that recently, Wells Fargo Securities also issued a warning that the day of liquidation of technology stocks is expected to come soon, and U.S. stocks are expected to plummet by 12%, urging investors to take profits.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 21:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stuart Allsopp Follow, a former head of financial markets at Fitch Solutions with 15 years of global market analysis experience, said:</p><p>\"According to the suffering index, inflation levels are rising right now, as well as the unemployment rate, but the S&P 500 is still at a multi-year high relative to gold. This is very similar to the precursors of previous recessions in the United States, so I expect the Great Depression history to repeat itself.\" What is the suffering index?</p><p>The suffering index is the sum of inflation and unemployment, and has historically been highly correlated with the ratio of U.S. stocks to the price of gold. The suffering index is calculated by adding the inflation rate to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to produce a measure of how stagflating the economy is.</p><p>Relative to the S&P 500,<b>High inflation and high unemployment are good for gold prices.</b></p><p>The chart below shows the correlation between the suffering index and the S&P 500/gold ratio, with data dating back to the 1950s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1104d2bb96784e45c39ad4557045384a\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The current S&P 500/gold ratio is nearly double what people expected. Stuart Allsopp Follow Represents:</p><p>\"We also saw such a big difference between the two indexes in the data of 1971, 1975 and 2000, far above the 'reasonable' level of the suffering index.\" The chart below shows the extent to which the S&P 500/Gold ratio is overvalued relative to the Suffering Index, compared to the subsequent 10-year annual return ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9258bfad74b1199cac2e171b3dccfa9d\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Stuart Allsopp Follow said that the relationship between stock and gold ratio is a tool often used to make investment decisions. He found a conclusion by studying trends:</p><p>\"There is a lot of evidence that U.S. stocks will be long-term losses relative to the future trend of precious metals, especially with the suffering index likely to continue to rise. The only good news is that I expect gold to perform very well.\" Separately, analysts expect the United States to continue to pursue loose policy. A previous assumption of the policy was that there was an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. That is, if unemployment is high, it reflects economic weakness, and loose monetary policy can reduce this weakness, but at the cost of enduring rising inflation.</p><p>Analysts believe that based on the current performance of the U.S. government, it can be expected that increasingly aggressive monetary and fiscal policies seem highly likely to continue before more bad news arrives, such as further worsening inflation.<b>But it could be a ticking time bomb that can be detonated at any time.</b></p><p>It is worth mentioning that recently, Wells Fargo Securities also issued a warning that the day of liquidation of technology stocks is expected to come soon, and U.S. stocks are expected to plummet by 12%, urging investors to take profits.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/77333\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9ac23bac84c629134c18540a11264a","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/77333","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151513622","content_text":"曾担任Fitch Solutions金融市场主管，拥有15年的全球市场分析经验的Stuart Allsopp Follow表示：\n\n “根据苦难指数来看，目前通胀水平以及失业率都在上升，但标准普尔500指数相对于黄金仍处于多年高位。这与美国前几次经济衰退的前兆非常相似，因此我预计经济大萧条历史会重演。”\n\n什么是苦难指数？\n苦难指数是通货膨胀率和失业率的总和，历史上一直跟美国股票与黄金价格的比率高度相关。苦难指数的计算方法是将通胀率与季节性调整的失业率相加，得出一个衡量经济滞胀程度的指标。\n相对于标准普尔500指数而言，高通胀和高失业率有利于黄金价格。\n下图显示了苦难指数与标准普尔500指数/黄金比率之间的相关性，数据可追溯到1950年代。\n\n目前的标准普尔500指数/黄金比率，已经接近人们所预期的两倍。Stuart Allsopp Follow表示：\n\n “我们在1971、1975和2000年的数据里，也曾看到两个指数之间存在如此大的差异，远高于苦难指数‘合理’的水平。”\n\n下图显示了标准普尔500指数/黄金比率相对于苦难指数的高估程度，与随后的10年年度回报比率。\n\nStuart Allsopp Follow表示，股票与黄金比率之间的关系是经常用来作投资决策的工具，他通过研究趋势发现一个结论：\n\n “有很多证据表明美国股票相对于贵金属的未来走势来说，将是长期亏损的，特别是在苦难指数可能会继续上升的情况下。唯一的好消息是，我预计黄金的表现将十分出色。”\n\n另外，分析师预计美国将继续推行宽松的政策。此前该政策的一个假设是，通货膨胀与失业率之间存在反比关系。即如果失业率很高，反映了经济的疲软，而宽松的货币政策可以降低这种疲软，但代价是得忍受持续上升的通胀率。\n分析师认为，根据美国政府目前的表现，可以预计在更多的坏消息到来前（例如通胀进一步恶化），越来越激进的货币和财政政策似乎极有可能继续下去。但这可能是一颗随时被引爆的定时炸弹。\n值得一提的是，近日富国证券也发出警告，称科技股清算的日子预计很快将到来，预计美股将大跌12%，敦促投资者获利了结。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GCmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154410083,"gmtCreate":1625538148942,"gmtModify":1703743280219,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154410083","repostId":"1165762531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165762531","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625527248,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165762531?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 07:20","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Chaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165762531","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月6日，朝聚眼科发布公告，公司全球发售1.7093亿股股份，其中香港发售股份8546.5万股，国际发售股份8546.5万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份10.60港元，每手买卖单","content":"<p>On July 6,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02219\">Chaoju Ophthalmology</a>Announced that the company offered 170.93 million shares globally, including 85.465 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 85.465 million shares offered internationally, and 15% over-allotment option; The Offer Price has been determined at HK$10.60 per Offer Share for board lot of 500 Shares;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>and Huatai International as a joint sponsor, it is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 7 July 2021.</p><p><b>The relevant data of Tiger Information are as follows:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6441c511f91e6e84af7887855b0edc92\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 5.67%, and 18 subscriptions are stable.</p><p>Group B had 500,000 shares (1,000 lots) and was allocated 23,000 shares (46 lots).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d46a2302cf5f5cd13d74bd999ba571\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d1f538f9c2dfe684d9be93e828fe18\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b32d1999086d04329dfb7fa00773ce\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The Offer Shares initially offered under the International Offering have been significantly over-subscribed by approximately 17.83 times. The Offer Shares initially offered under the Hong Kong Public Offering have been very substantially over-subscribed. A total of 153,275 valid applications were received for a total of 1,948 million Shares, representing approximately 113.97 times the total number of Hong Kong Offer Shares initially available under the Hong Kong Public Offering.</p><p>Based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, pursuant to the Cornerstone Investment Agreement, the Cornerstone Investors have subscribed for a total of 74,674,500 Offer Shares, representing in aggregate approximately 10.86% of the issued share capital of the Company immediately following the completion of the Global Offering; and approximately 43.69% of the number of Offer Shares under the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised).</p><p>Based on the latest estimates, based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, the net proceeds received by the Company from the Global Offering are estimated to be approximately HK$1,357.1 million (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised). Among them, the company intends to use approximately 35.8% of the net proceeds for the establishment of new hospitals and the relocation, upgrading and decoration of existing hospitals; Approximately 44.8% will be used to acquire hospitals in new markets with large populations and relatively high demand for ophthalmic medical services when appropriate opportunities arise; About 9.4% will be used to upgrade the company's information technology systems; And approximately 10.0% will be used for working capital and other general corporate purposes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-06 07:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On July 6,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02219\">Chaoju Ophthalmology</a>Announced that the company offered 170.93 million shares globally, including 85.465 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 85.465 million shares offered internationally, and 15% over-allotment option; The Offer Price has been determined at HK$10.60 per Offer Share for board lot of 500 Shares;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>and Huatai International as a joint sponsor, it is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 7 July 2021.</p><p><b>The relevant data of Tiger Information are as follows:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6441c511f91e6e84af7887855b0edc92\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 5.67%, and 18 subscriptions are stable.</p><p>Group B had 500,000 shares (1,000 lots) and was allocated 23,000 shares (46 lots).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d46a2302cf5f5cd13d74bd999ba571\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d1f538f9c2dfe684d9be93e828fe18\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b32d1999086d04329dfb7fa00773ce\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The Offer Shares initially offered under the International Offering have been significantly over-subscribed by approximately 17.83 times. The Offer Shares initially offered under the Hong Kong Public Offering have been very substantially over-subscribed. A total of 153,275 valid applications were received for a total of 1,948 million Shares, representing approximately 113.97 times the total number of Hong Kong Offer Shares initially available under the Hong Kong Public Offering.</p><p>Based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, pursuant to the Cornerstone Investment Agreement, the Cornerstone Investors have subscribed for a total of 74,674,500 Offer Shares, representing in aggregate approximately 10.86% of the issued share capital of the Company immediately following the completion of the Global Offering; and approximately 43.69% of the number of Offer Shares under the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised).</p><p>Based on the latest estimates, based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, the net proceeds received by the Company from the Global Offering are estimated to be approximately HK$1,357.1 million (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised). Among them, the company intends to use approximately 35.8% of the net proceeds for the establishment of new hospitals and the relocation, upgrading and decoration of existing hospitals; Approximately 44.8% will be used to acquire hospitals in new markets with large populations and relatively high demand for ophthalmic medical services when appropriate opportunities arise; About 9.4% will be used to upgrade the company's information technology systems; And approximately 10.0% will be used for working capital and other general corporate purposes.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"02219":"朝聚眼科"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165762531","content_text":"7月6日，朝聚眼科发布公告，公司全球发售1.7093亿股股份，其中香港发售股份8546.5万股，国际发售股份8546.5万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份10.60港元，每手买卖单位500股；海通国际及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月7日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率5.67%，认购18手稳中一手。\n乙组头为50万股（1000手），获配23000股（46手）。\n根据国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购约17.83倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的发售股份已获非常大幅超额认购。合共接获153,275份有效申请，认购合共19.48亿股，相当于根据香港公开发售初步可供认购的香港发售股份总数约113.97倍。\n基于发售价每股发售股份10.60港元计算，根据基石投资协议，基石投资者已认购合共7467.45万股发售股份，合共占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.86%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约43.69%(假设超额配股权未获行使)。\n基于发售价每股发售股份10.60港元计算，根据最新估计，公司自全球发售收取的所得款项净额估计约为13.571亿港元(假设超额配股权未获行使)。其中，公司拟将所得款项净额约35.8%将用于建立新医院以及搬迁、升级及装修现有医院；约44.8%将在出现合适机遇时，用于在人口庞大且对眼科医疗服务需求相对较高的新市场中收购医院；约9.4%将用于升级公司的信息技术系统；及约10.0%将用于营运资金及其他一般企业用途。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02219":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":154410083,"gmtCreate":1625538148942,"gmtModify":1703743280219,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/154410083","repostId":"1165762531","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1165762531","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1625527248,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1165762531?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-06 07:20","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Chaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1165762531","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"7月6日，朝聚眼科发布公告，公司全球发售1.7093亿股股份，其中香港发售股份8546.5万股，国际发售股份8546.5万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份10.60港元，每手买卖单","content":"<p>On July 6,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02219\">Chaoju Ophthalmology</a>Announced that the company offered 170.93 million shares globally, including 85.465 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 85.465 million shares offered internationally, and 15% over-allotment option; The Offer Price has been determined at HK$10.60 per Offer Share for board lot of 500 Shares;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>and Huatai International as a joint sponsor, it is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 7 July 2021.</p><p><b>The relevant data of Tiger Information are as follows:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6441c511f91e6e84af7887855b0edc92\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 5.67%, and 18 subscriptions are stable.</p><p>Group B had 500,000 shares (1,000 lots) and was allocated 23,000 shares (46 lots).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d46a2302cf5f5cd13d74bd999ba571\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d1f538f9c2dfe684d9be93e828fe18\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b32d1999086d04329dfb7fa00773ce\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The Offer Shares initially offered under the International Offering have been significantly over-subscribed by approximately 17.83 times. The Offer Shares initially offered under the Hong Kong Public Offering have been very substantially over-subscribed. A total of 153,275 valid applications were received for a total of 1,948 million Shares, representing approximately 113.97 times the total number of Hong Kong Offer Shares initially available under the Hong Kong Public Offering.</p><p>Based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, pursuant to the Cornerstone Investment Agreement, the Cornerstone Investors have subscribed for a total of 74,674,500 Offer Shares, representing in aggregate approximately 10.86% of the issued share capital of the Company immediately following the completion of the Global Offering; and approximately 43.69% of the number of Offer Shares under the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised).</p><p>Based on the latest estimates, based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, the net proceeds received by the Company from the Global Offering are estimated to be approximately HK$1,357.1 million (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised). Among them, the company intends to use approximately 35.8% of the net proceeds for the establishment of new hospitals and the relocation, upgrading and decoration of existing hospitals; Approximately 44.8% will be used to acquire hospitals in new markets with large populations and relatively high demand for ophthalmic medical services when appropriate opportunities arise; About 9.4% will be used to upgrade the company's information technology systems; And approximately 10.0% will be used for working capital and other general corporate purposes.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChaoju Ophthalmology's first-hand winning rate was 5.67%, and the subscription of 18 lots was stable\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-06 07:20</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On July 6,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02219\">Chaoju Ophthalmology</a>Announced that the company offered 170.93 million shares globally, including 85.465 million shares offered in Hong Kong, 85.465 million shares offered internationally, and 15% over-allotment option; The Offer Price has been determined at HK$10.60 per Offer Share for board lot of 500 Shares;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00665\">Haitong International</a>and Huatai International as a joint sponsor, it is expected that the Shares will be listed on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange on 7 July 2021.</p><p><b>The relevant data of Tiger Information are as follows:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6441c511f91e6e84af7887855b0edc92\" tg-width=\"1059\" tg-height=\"824\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><b>Assignment Results:</b></p><p>Group A has 500 shares per lot, with a successful rate of 5.67%, and 18 subscriptions are stable.</p><p>Group B had 500,000 shares (1,000 lots) and was allocated 23,000 shares (46 lots).<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6d46a2302cf5f5cd13d74bd999ba571\" tg-width=\"551\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22d1f538f9c2dfe684d9be93e828fe18\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"762\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48b32d1999086d04329dfb7fa00773ce\" tg-width=\"553\" tg-height=\"520\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The Offer Shares initially offered under the International Offering have been significantly over-subscribed by approximately 17.83 times. The Offer Shares initially offered under the Hong Kong Public Offering have been very substantially over-subscribed. A total of 153,275 valid applications were received for a total of 1,948 million Shares, representing approximately 113.97 times the total number of Hong Kong Offer Shares initially available under the Hong Kong Public Offering.</p><p>Based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, pursuant to the Cornerstone Investment Agreement, the Cornerstone Investors have subscribed for a total of 74,674,500 Offer Shares, representing in aggregate approximately 10.86% of the issued share capital of the Company immediately following the completion of the Global Offering; and approximately 43.69% of the number of Offer Shares under the Global Offering (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised).</p><p>Based on the latest estimates, based on the Offer Price of HK$10.60 per Offer Share, the net proceeds received by the Company from the Global Offering are estimated to be approximately HK$1,357.1 million (assuming the Over-allotment Option is not exercised). Among them, the company intends to use approximately 35.8% of the net proceeds for the establishment of new hospitals and the relocation, upgrading and decoration of existing hospitals; Approximately 44.8% will be used to acquire hospitals in new markets with large populations and relatively high demand for ophthalmic medical services when appropriate opportunities arise; About 9.4% will be used to upgrade the company's information technology systems; And approximately 10.0% will be used for working capital and other general corporate purposes.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b69e234a63c2c0a69ccede7b0faaa18","relate_stocks":{"02219":"朝聚眼科"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1165762531","content_text":"7月6日，朝聚眼科发布公告，公司全球发售1.7093亿股股份，其中香港发售股份8546.5万股，国际发售股份8546.5万股，另有15%超额配股权；发售价已厘定为每股发售股份10.60港元，每手买卖单位500股；海通国际及华泰国际为联席保荐人，预期股份将于2021年7月7日于联交所主板挂牌上市。\n老虎资讯整理相关数据如下：\n\n分配结果：\n甲组每手500股，一手中签率5.67%，认购18手稳中一手。\n乙组头为50万股（1000手），获配23000股（46手）。\n根据国际发售初步提呈发售的发售股份已获大幅超额认购约17.83倍。根据香港公开发售初步提呈发售的发售股份已获非常大幅超额认购。合共接获153,275份有效申请，认购合共19.48亿股，相当于根据香港公开发售初步可供认购的香港发售股份总数约113.97倍。\n基于发售价每股发售股份10.60港元计算，根据基石投资协议，基石投资者已认购合共7467.45万股发售股份，合共占紧随全球发售完成后公司已发行股本约10.86%；及全球发售项下发售股份数目约43.69%(假设超额配股权未获行使)。\n基于发售价每股发售股份10.60港元计算，根据最新估计，公司自全球发售收取的所得款项净额估计约为13.571亿港元(假设超额配股权未获行使)。其中，公司拟将所得款项净额约35.8%将用于建立新医院以及搬迁、升级及装修现有医院；约44.8%将在出现合适机遇时，用于在人口庞大且对眼科医疗服务需求相对较高的新市场中收购医院；约9.4%将用于升级公司的信息技术系统；及约10.0%将用于营运资金及其他一般企业用途。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"02219":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2094,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805814340,"gmtCreate":1627869703080,"gmtModify":1703496855201,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805814340","repostId":"1171357110","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2912,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140414095,"gmtCreate":1625668609817,"gmtModify":1703746118238,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/140414095","repostId":"1151513622","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1151513622","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625663183,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1151513622?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-07 21:06","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1151513622","media":"金十数据","summary":"苦难指数是通货膨胀率和失业率的总和，一直跟美国股票与黄金价格的比率高度相关。","content":"<p>Stuart Allsopp Follow, a former head of financial markets at Fitch Solutions with 15 years of global market analysis experience, said:</p><p>\"According to the suffering index, inflation levels are rising right now, as well as the unemployment rate, but the S&P 500 is still at a multi-year high relative to gold. This is very similar to the precursors of previous recessions in the United States, so I expect the Great Depression history to repeat itself.\" What is the suffering index?</p><p>The suffering index is the sum of inflation and unemployment, and has historically been highly correlated with the ratio of U.S. stocks to the price of gold. The suffering index is calculated by adding the inflation rate to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to produce a measure of how stagflating the economy is.</p><p>Relative to the S&P 500,<b>High inflation and high unemployment are good for gold prices.</b></p><p>The chart below shows the correlation between the suffering index and the S&P 500/gold ratio, with data dating back to the 1950s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1104d2bb96784e45c39ad4557045384a\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The current S&P 500/gold ratio is nearly double what people expected. Stuart Allsopp Follow Represents:</p><p>\"We also saw such a big difference between the two indexes in the data of 1971, 1975 and 2000, far above the 'reasonable' level of the suffering index.\" The chart below shows the extent to which the S&P 500/Gold ratio is overvalued relative to the Suffering Index, compared to the subsequent 10-year annual return ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9258bfad74b1199cac2e171b3dccfa9d\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Stuart Allsopp Follow said that the relationship between stock and gold ratio is a tool often used to make investment decisions. He found a conclusion by studying trends:</p><p>\"There is a lot of evidence that U.S. stocks will be long-term losses relative to the future trend of precious metals, especially with the suffering index likely to continue to rise. The only good news is that I expect gold to perform very well.\" Separately, analysts expect the United States to continue to pursue loose policy. A previous assumption of the policy was that there was an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. That is, if unemployment is high, it reflects economic weakness, and loose monetary policy can reduce this weakness, but at the cost of enduring rising inflation.</p><p>Analysts believe that based on the current performance of the U.S. government, it can be expected that increasingly aggressive monetary and fiscal policies seem highly likely to continue before more bad news arrives, such as further worsening inflation.<b>But it could be a ticking time bomb that can be detonated at any time.</b></p><p>It is worth mentioning that recently, Wells Fargo Securities also issued a warning that the day of liquidation of technology stocks is expected to come soon, and U.S. stocks are expected to plummet by 12%, urging investors to take profits.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n\"Suffering Index\" Harbinger Gold and US Stocks Trend: One Up, One Down\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-07 21:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stuart Allsopp Follow, a former head of financial markets at Fitch Solutions with 15 years of global market analysis experience, said:</p><p>\"According to the suffering index, inflation levels are rising right now, as well as the unemployment rate, but the S&P 500 is still at a multi-year high relative to gold. This is very similar to the precursors of previous recessions in the United States, so I expect the Great Depression history to repeat itself.\" What is the suffering index?</p><p>The suffering index is the sum of inflation and unemployment, and has historically been highly correlated with the ratio of U.S. stocks to the price of gold. The suffering index is calculated by adding the inflation rate to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate to produce a measure of how stagflating the economy is.</p><p>Relative to the S&P 500,<b>High inflation and high unemployment are good for gold prices.</b></p><p>The chart below shows the correlation between the suffering index and the S&P 500/gold ratio, with data dating back to the 1950s.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1104d2bb96784e45c39ad4557045384a\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>The current S&P 500/gold ratio is nearly double what people expected. Stuart Allsopp Follow Represents:</p><p>\"We also saw such a big difference between the two indexes in the data of 1971, 1975 and 2000, far above the 'reasonable' level of the suffering index.\" The chart below shows the extent to which the S&P 500/Gold ratio is overvalued relative to the Suffering Index, compared to the subsequent 10-year annual return ratio.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9258bfad74b1199cac2e171b3dccfa9d\" tg-width=\"623\" tg-height=\"430\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Stuart Allsopp Follow said that the relationship between stock and gold ratio is a tool often used to make investment decisions. He found a conclusion by studying trends:</p><p>\"There is a lot of evidence that U.S. stocks will be long-term losses relative to the future trend of precious metals, especially with the suffering index likely to continue to rise. The only good news is that I expect gold to perform very well.\" Separately, analysts expect the United States to continue to pursue loose policy. A previous assumption of the policy was that there was an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment. That is, if unemployment is high, it reflects economic weakness, and loose monetary policy can reduce this weakness, but at the cost of enduring rising inflation.</p><p>Analysts believe that based on the current performance of the U.S. government, it can be expected that increasingly aggressive monetary and fiscal policies seem highly likely to continue before more bad news arrives, such as further worsening inflation.<b>But it could be a ticking time bomb that can be detonated at any time.</b></p><p>It is worth mentioning that recently, Wells Fargo Securities also issued a warning that the day of liquidation of technology stocks is expected to come soon, and U.S. stocks are expected to plummet by 12%, urging investors to take profits.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/77333\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf9ac23bac84c629134c18540a11264a","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://xnews.jin10.com/details/77333","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151513622","content_text":"曾担任Fitch Solutions金融市场主管，拥有15年的全球市场分析经验的Stuart Allsopp Follow表示：\n\n “根据苦难指数来看，目前通胀水平以及失业率都在上升，但标准普尔500指数相对于黄金仍处于多年高位。这与美国前几次经济衰退的前兆非常相似，因此我预计经济大萧条历史会重演。”\n\n什么是苦难指数？\n苦难指数是通货膨胀率和失业率的总和，历史上一直跟美国股票与黄金价格的比率高度相关。苦难指数的计算方法是将通胀率与季节性调整的失业率相加，得出一个衡量经济滞胀程度的指标。\n相对于标准普尔500指数而言，高通胀和高失业率有利于黄金价格。\n下图显示了苦难指数与标准普尔500指数/黄金比率之间的相关性，数据可追溯到1950年代。\n\n目前的标准普尔500指数/黄金比率，已经接近人们所预期的两倍。Stuart Allsopp Follow表示：\n\n “我们在1971、1975和2000年的数据里，也曾看到两个指数之间存在如此大的差异，远高于苦难指数‘合理’的水平。”\n\n下图显示了标准普尔500指数/黄金比率相对于苦难指数的高估程度，与随后的10年年度回报比率。\n\nStuart Allsopp Follow表示，股票与黄金比率之间的关系是经常用来作投资决策的工具，他通过研究趋势发现一个结论：\n\n “有很多证据表明美国股票相对于贵金属的未来走势来说，将是长期亏损的，特别是在苦难指数可能会继续上升的情况下。唯一的好消息是，我预计黄金的表现将十分出色。”\n\n另外，分析师预计美国将继续推行宽松的政策。此前该政策的一个假设是，通货膨胀与失业率之间存在反比关系。即如果失业率很高，反映了经济的疲软，而宽松的货币政策可以降低这种疲软，但代价是得忍受持续上升的通胀率。\n分析师认为，根据美国政府目前的表现，可以预计在更多的坏消息到来前（例如通胀进一步恶化），越来越激进的货币和财政政策似乎极有可能继续下去。但这可能是一颗随时被引爆的定时炸弹。\n值得一提的是，近日富国证券也发出警告，称科技股清算的日子预计很快将到来，预计美股将大跌12%，敦促投资者获利了结。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GCmain":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805815627,"gmtCreate":1627869690769,"gmtModify":1703496854035,"author":{"id":"3584243309772452","authorId":"3584243309772452","name":"旋舞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ac3b3bfee0d8a9e48fb5d7fb51a3a0a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3584243309772452","authorIdStr":"3584243309772452"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805815627","repostId":"1171357110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171357110","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627869360,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1171357110?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 09:56","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171357110","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"中国7月财新制造业PMI 50.3，前值51.3。\n8月2日公布的2021年7月财新中国制造业PMI（采购经理指数）下降1百分点至50.3，为2020年5月以来最低。\n这一走势与国家统计局制造业PMI","content":"<p>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in July was 50.3, compared with the previous value of 51.3.</p><p>The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for July 2021, released on August 2, fell 1 percentage point to 50.3, the lowest since May 2020.</p><p>This trend is in line with the NBS Manufacturing PMI. The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>","source":"highlight_wallstreetcn","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChina's Caixin Manufacturing PMI was 50.3 in July, compared to 51.3 previously\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-02 09:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI in July was 50.3, compared with the previous value of 51.3.</p><p>The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for July 2021, released on August 2, fell 1 percentage point to 50.3, the lowest since May 2020.</p><p>This trend is in line with the NBS Manufacturing PMI. The July manufacturing PMI released by the Bureau of Statistics recorded 50.4, down 0.5 percentage points from June and the lowest since March 2020.</p><p>In July, manufacturing supply continued to expand, but the expansion rate was only weak, and demand contracted for the first time in more than a year. In July, the manufacturing production index and the new order index recorded new lows in 16 months and 15 months, respectively. Some enterprises surveyed reported that customer demand was relatively weak; Other enterprises reported that the rise in ex-factory prices of products had curbed sales. The sub-category data showed strong growth in new orders in the investment category, but fewer new orders in the consumer and intermediate categories.</p><p>The overall external demand remained stable. In July, the index of new export orders of manufacturing industry was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and the epidemic situation in different overseas regions differentiated, which affected exports.</p><p>The job market has changed little. In July, the manufacturing employment index was slightly higher than the boom-bust line, and it was in the expansion range for the fourth consecutive month. Some companies increase labor use to expand production capacity, while others are relatively cautious. The backlog has increased slightly along with the stabilisation of the job market.</p><p>Both the manufacturing purchase price index and the ex-factory price index declined, indicating that inflationary pressures eased slightly in July. However, the purchase price index has been above the boom-bust line by more than 5 percentage points for eight consecutive months. The interviewed companies said that the prices of raw materials remain high, especially the prices of industrial metals. In contrast, the ex-factory price index is only slightly above the boom-bust line, recording a new low since October 2020, indicating that market demand is more sensitive to product prices, limiting the pricing power of enterprises.</p><p>Affected by local floods, epidemics and the shortage of products such as chips, the logistics delivery time continued to be extended, and the supplier supply time index continued to be in the contraction range in July. As raw material prices remain at a high level, the purchase volume of manufacturing enterprises only increases slightly, and the raw material inventory index decreases in the contraction range. Enterprises continue to use the inventory of finished goods to deliver orders, and the inventory index of finished goods continues to contract, but the range narrows slightly.</p><p>China's manufacturing industry is generally optimistic about growth prospects in the year ahead, but optimism slipped to a 15-month low. Enterprises are worried about the unknown time when the global epidemic will be controlled, and that the supply chain will continue to be disrupted.</p><p>Wang Zhe, a senior economist at Caixin Think Tank, said that in July, the expansion momentum of manufacturing slowed down marginally, market supply continued to expand, demand began to come under pressure, and enterprises were cautious in increasing employees and raw material procurement. Inflationary pressures have partly eased, and manufacturing entrepreneurs remain optimistic about the future, but it is below the long-term average. According to the relevant data of Caixin China's manufacturing PMI in July, the current foundation for national economic recovery is not stable, the downward pressure on the economy is still high, and the confidence of entrepreneurs also needs to be protected.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/135fb5b6f21d9ee05edcb64a0736f62f","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3636875","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/cc96873d3d23ee6ac10685520df9c100","article_id":"1171357110","content_text":"中国7月财新制造业PMI 50.3，前值51.3。\n8月2日公布的2021年7月财新中国制造业PMI（采购经理指数）下降1百分点至50.3，为2020年5月以来最低。\n这一走势与国家统计局制造业PMI一致。统计局公布的7月制造业PMI录得50.4，较6月下降0.5个百分点，为2020年3月以来最低。\n7月制造业供给继续扩张，但扩长速度仅为微弱，需求则出现一年多来首次收缩。7月制造业生产指数和新订单指数分别录得16个月和15个月以来新低。部分受访企业反映，客户需求相对疲弱；另有企业反映，产品出厂价格上扬抑制了销售。分类别数据显示，投资品类新订单增长强劲，但消费品和中间品类新订单减少。\n外需总体维持稳定，7月制造业新出口订单指数略高于荣枯线，海外不同地区疫情形势分化，对出口影响此消彼长。\n就业市场变化不大，7月制造业就业指数略高于荣枯线，连续第四个月位于扩张区间。部分企业增加劳动力使用以扩大产能，另一部分企业则相对谨慎。伴随着就业市场的稳定，积压工作数量略有增加。\n制造业购进价格指数和出厂价格指数双双下降，显示通胀压力在7月略有缓解。不过，购进价格指数已连续八个月高于荣枯线5个百分点以上，受访企业表示原材料价格居高不下，尤其是工业金属价格高企。相比之下，出厂价格指数仅略高于荣枯线，录得2020年10月以来新低，表明市场需求对产品价格较为敏感，限制了企业定价能力。\n受局部区域洪涝、疫情以及芯片等产品短缺影响，物流交付时间继续延长，7月供应商供应时间指数继续位于收缩区间。由于原材料价格依然处于高位，制造业企业采购量仅略有增加，原材料库存指数在收缩区间下降。企业继续动用产成品库存交付订单，产成品库存指数继续处于收缩区间，但幅度略有收窄。\n中国制造业界对未来一年的增长前景普遍感到乐观，但乐观度下滑至15个月低点。企业忧虑全球疫情未知何时才能受控，担心供应链继续受阻扰。\n财新智库高级经济学家王喆表示，7月制造业扩张势头边际放缓，市场供给继续扩张，需求开始承压，企业在增加雇员和原材料采购方面态度谨慎。通胀压力部分得到缓解，制造业企业家对未来依旧保持乐观，但已低于长期均值。7月财新中国制造业PMI相关数据显示，目前国民经济恢复基础并不稳固，经济下行压力依然较大，企业家信心亦需呵护。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2441,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}