Ivan84 personal page - To The Moon

Ivan84

Ivan84

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2024-01-14

Gogogogogoggogogogogogogogogog

2024-01-13

ggogogogogogoggogogogogo

2024-01-12

Gogogogog Huat ah gogogogogogog

2024-01-10

Gogogoggogogogogogogoggogogi

2024-01-09

Gogogogogogogogoogoggoogogogogoggo

2024-01-08

Gogogogogogogogogogogoggogogoggo

2024-01-07

Get money get money

2024-01-06

Ggogogogogogogoggogogofofofofofo

2024-01-03

Huat ah gogogogogogog

2023-12-31

Happy new year 2024 Huat ah

2023-12-29

gogogogogogogHuatahgogogogo

2023-11-08

[财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷] [财迷]

2023-11-07

Gogogo good games Huat ah

2023-11-06

Happy games gogogoogo

2023-11-04

Gogogogogogogogo Huat ah

2023-10-30

Gogoggo

@TigerEvents:Join Tiger's Halloween Fun! Win Big!

2023-03-17

K

@YapCo:銀行危機對股市是短空長多

2023-01-10

Read

Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?

2022-12-12

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ gogogo

2022-12-12

Gogogogog

Go to Tiger App to see more news

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Win Big!","htmlText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","listText":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","text":"Hey there, spooky squad! 🎃Halloween is coming, and it's time for some fang-tastic fun with our new game - Trick Or Trade! Get ready for some fun, and earn points to win a USD 100 stock voucher and AAPL stock!*In this thrilling game, you'll have just 60 seconds to fend off a gang of mischievous Halloween spirits. It's your job to give them a fright and chase them away with a tap – the more, the merrier!Now, here's the twist: each ghostly friend will require different taps and will reward you with various points.Airy the Apparition - Just one tap, and poof, they vanish. Spooktacularly easy!Bubbles the Water Pixie - Disappears with zero taps - A true magic trick!Rocky the Earth Spirit - You'll need to tap twice to send it packing. He's grounded, you see.Flicker the Embergeist - Another one-ta","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ad478b709732d53302c395a52fa1c8e1","width":"1200","height":"630"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/234641357262864","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":714,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943916749,"gmtCreate":1679034766482,"gmtModify":1679034769094,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943916749","repostId":"9943918510","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":9943918510,"gmtCreate":1679033751231,"gmtModify":1679033756513,"author":{"id":"3579824067079527","authorId":"3579824067079527","name":"YapCo","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbcd31d99629b295afcf4813c7296c9e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3579824067079527","authorIdStr":"3579824067079527"},"themes":[],"title":"銀行危機對股市是短空長多","htmlText":"銀行危機就像做心臟搭橋手術。 短期你要承受手術的痛苦，但痛苦過後你就有全新的血管幫你工作，生命可以延續下去。 如果不做手術，血管塞着着你就game over了。 這就是短空長多的邏輯。 ＃銀行危機對股市是短空長多 ＃不能直接講銀行危機對股市是利好 ＃要有邏輯層層推進的腦袋","listText":"銀行危機就像做心臟搭橋手術。 短期你要承受手術的痛苦，但痛苦過後你就有全新的血管幫你工作，生命可以延續下去。 如果不做手術，血管塞着着你就game over了。 這就是短空長多的邏輯。 ＃銀行危機對股市是短空長多 ＃不能直接講銀行危機對股市是利好 ＃要有邏輯層層推進的腦袋","text":"銀行危機就像做心臟搭橋手術。 短期你要承受手術的痛苦，但痛苦過後你就有全新的血管幫你工作，生命可以延續下去。 如果不做手術，血管塞着着你就game over了。 這就是短空長多的邏輯。 ＃銀行危機對股市是短空長多 ＃不能直接講銀行危機對股市是利好 ＃要有邏輯層層推進的腦袋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943918510","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9951049400,"gmtCreate":1673364240601,"gmtModify":1676538824925,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9951049400","repostId":"1185461473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185461473","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"提供来自华尔街的观点，观察市场，提供独道的解读视角。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎锐评","id":"1005414032","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1673358951,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1185461473?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-01-10 21:55","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185461473","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"周四的数字不会难看。","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimates</b></p><p>Since last Friday, the market has been trading with obvious macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI data > Powell on an occasion > Other Fed members on an occasion > FOMC meeting</b>”。 The least interesting thing to watch is the FOMC meeting. Of course, I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Fed will thunder.</p><p>The CPI data of the United States in December has not yet come out, but the CPI data of the European Union has come out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from high levels. The figure below shows the CPI of the United States (blue line) and the European Union (white line), which are closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to rise and fall later than that of the United States. The core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the US CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of the EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference is also consistent with common sense. The United States has stronger energy independence and the EU has stronger energy dependence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the CPI of 12 in the United States? I'll estimate it today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, which means that the price of gasoline in December 2022 is higher than that in December 2021. Gasoline prices are still cheap, with a year-on-year increase of about-1%. Considering that there are some service parts in the energy part, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the picture below shows the index of food), which belongs to the relatively stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation has begun to slow down month-on-month. Let's deal with it mathematically here. Using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of the food part in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of 10.6% in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For Part III (Goods) and Part IV (Services), the treatment is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of goods will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; The year-on-year growth of services will be 7%, slightly higher than the 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the rent contributes the most. Judging from the actual experience now, the rent has indeed not fallen.</p><p><b>Finally, the four parts of the forecast are put on their respective weight coefficients, and the inflation forecast in December is 6.0%. At present, the average expectation of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% lower than their expectation.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has become smaller and smaller in the past four months, and I apply the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The figure below shows the index and month-on-month growth of these three parts in the past four months, and the trend of weakening month-on-month is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: It is not a research report, for informational purposes only, and does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTiger Sharp Commentary | US CPI estimate for December, how much will the increase fall?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1005414032\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎锐评 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2023-01-10 21:55</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><b>December CPI Estimates</b></p><p>Since last Friday, the market has been trading with obvious macro signs. What is called market trading has obvious macro signs, that is to say, there is no logic in the rise and fall of the stock market, but the trading logic of other assets is very strong, and when the stock market suddenly rises or falls, it happens to be when the prices of other macro assets change drastically.</p><p>In order of importance, the decisive factor for the U.S. rate hike resolution is now \"<b>CPI data > Powell on an occasion > Other Fed members on an occasion > FOMC meeting</b>”。 The least interesting thing to watch is the FOMC meeting. Of course, I have to watch it because I am afraid that the Fed will thunder.</p><p>The CPI data of the United States in December has not yet come out, but the CPI data of the European Union has come out. According to Bloomberg data, the EU's CPI data in December fell further from high levels. The figure below shows the CPI of the United States (blue line) and the European Union (white line), which are closely related. Careful people will find that the EU CPI seems to rise and fall later than that of the United States. The core reason for this lies in the energy part.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1da9c1b458f4ae27c6343845d3c362a0\" tg-width=\"1599\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The chart below shows the growth rate of the energy component of the US CPI, which peaked in June last year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4178d5d5316c92b4cc480c2901621104\" tg-width=\"947\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>However, the energy part of the EU CPI only began to fall in October last year. This difference is also consistent with common sense. The United States has stronger energy independence and the EU has stronger energy dependence.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0c7e4429e60cbcb22e9dd75ddad726c\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The further decline of the EU's CPI in December implies that the United States will also fall. What is the CPI of 12 in the United States? I'll estimate it today.</p><p>The first part is energy. The year-on-year growth in November is still 13%, but according to the average price of gasoline, the year-on-year growth in December will be negative, which means that the price of gasoline in December 2022 is higher than that in December 2021. Gasoline prices are still cheap, with a year-on-year increase of about-1%. Considering that there are some service parts in the energy part, the price is sticky to a certain extent, and the year-on-year growth of energy is only about 3%. The chart below shows gasoline prices in the United States, and the red box is December.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02408072b8cc9d2d908fb63026ce78fe\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"815\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>The second part is food (the picture below shows the index of food), which belongs to the relatively stubborn part of inflation. At present, inflation has begun to slow down month-on-month. Let's deal with it mathematically here. Using the month-on-month increase in November to estimate the food index in December, then the year-on-year growth of the food part in December is 10%, which is similar to the year-on-year growth of 10.6% in November.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89390ae120d8aad75d80c8a7084b1f26\" tg-width=\"926\" tg-height=\"560\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>For Part III (Goods) and Part IV (Services), the treatment is similar to that of food. The year-on-year growth of goods will be 2%, down from 3.7% in November; The year-on-year growth of services will be 7%, slightly higher than the 6.8% in November. The decline in commodity prices is obvious to all, so it may actually be lower than 2%. The year-on-year growth of services is still sticky, and the rent contributes the most. Judging from the actual experience now, the rent has indeed not fallen.</p><p><b>Finally, the four parts of the forecast are put on their respective weight coefficients, and the inflation forecast in December is 6.0%. At present, the average expectation of Wall Street analysts is 6.5%, and mine is 0.5% lower than their expectation.</b>Note that my estimates are actually conservative, because the month-on-month growth of food, goods and services has become smaller and smaller in the past four months, and I apply the month-on-month growth in November to estimate the number in December, which is very conservative. The figure below shows the index and month-on-month growth of these three parts in the past four months, and the trend of weakening month-on-month is obvious.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241911f59afe4f641417c5dd98836505\" tg-width=\"321\" tg-height=\"181\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Thursday's numbers won't be ugly.</p><p><i>Disclaimer: It is not a research report, for informational purposes only, and does not constitute any investment advice.</i></p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df74a3173019df9d7cecb61fc0d78eea","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185461473","content_text":"12月CPI预估从上周五开始，市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象。什么叫做市场的交易有着很明显的宏观迹象，就是说股市的上涨下跌没有逻辑可言，但是其它资产的交易逻辑性非常强，而股市突然上涨或者下跌的时候，恰好是其它宏观资产价格剧烈变化的时候。按照重要性排序，现在对于美国加息决议的决定因素是“CPI数据 >鲍威尔在某个场合的讲话 >其他美联储成员在某个场合的讲话 > FOMC会议”。最没有看头的反而是FOMC会议，当然也不得不看，因为害怕美联储会放雷。12月美国的CPI数据还没出来，但是欧盟的CPI数据出来了。根据彭博的数据，欧盟12月的CPI数据进一步高位下降。下图是美国（蓝线）和欧盟（白线）的CPI，两者关系非常紧密。细心的人会发现欧盟CPI冲高回落似乎比美国晚，这里面的核心原因在于能源部分。下图是美国CPI中能源部分的增长率，是去年6月见顶。但是欧盟CPI的能源部分，是去年10月才开始回落。这个差异和常识也相互吻合，美国的能源独立性更强，欧盟的能源依赖性更强。欧盟12月的CPI进一步回落暗示了美国也会回落，那美国12的CPI具体是多少呢？我今天来估算一下。第一个部分是能源，11月的同比增长还是13%，但是根据汽油的平均价格来看，12月的同比增长会是负数，也就是说2022年12月的汽油价格比2021年12月的汽油价格还便宜，大概同比增长是-1%。考虑到能源部分中还有一些服务部分，价格具有一定的粘滞性，能源的同比增长大概只有3%。下图是美国的汽油价格，红框是12月。第二部分是食物（下图是食物的指数），是属于通胀比较顽固的部分，目前通胀的环比开始放缓。这里数学处理一下，沿用11月的环比增幅来估计12月的食物指数，那么12月的食物部分的同比增长是10%，这个和11月的食物同比增长10.6%相近。对于第三部分（商品）和第四部分（服务），均采用和食物类似的处理方式。商品的同比增长将会是2%，低于11月的3.7%；服务的同比增长将会是7%，略微高于11月的6.8%。商品价格的回落有目共睹，所以实际可能比2%更低。服务的同比增长依然具有粘性，这里面房租的贡献最大，从现在的实际感受来看，房租确实没有回落。最后把预估的4部分套上各自的权重系数，那么12月的通胀预估是6.0%。目前华尔街分析师的预期均值是6.5%，我的比他们的预期要低0.5%。注意，我的预估其实都是偏保守，因为食物、商品和服务的环比增长在过去4个月都是越来越小，而我套用的是11月的环比增长来预估12月的数，很保守。下图是这3部分过去4个月的指数以及环比增长，环比变弱的趋势明显。周四的数字不会难看。免责声明：非研究报告，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":934,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923660397,"gmtCreate":1670849980220,"gmtModify":1676538445479,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>gogogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>gogogo","text":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ gogogo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923660397","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9923685149,"gmtCreate":1670849413581,"gmtModify":1676538445358,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gogogogog","listText":"Gogogogog","text":"Gogogogog","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9923685149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9044736691,"gmtCreate":1656814755113,"gmtModify":1676535898479,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>gogo","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/CLOV\">$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$</a>gogo","text":"$Clover Health Corp(CLOV)$gogo","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b2ea0fb95d90ae7ddd98296457cd238d","width":"1080","height":"3138"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9044736691","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9097106979,"gmtCreate":1645364127656,"gmtModify":1676534021636,"author":{"id":"4101990798498780","authorId":"4101990798498780","name":"Ivan84","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22a70f3b53565de1c2fbff55696f52b4","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4101990798498780","authorIdStr":"4101990798498780"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Read","listText":"Read","text":"Read","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9097106979","repostId":"1157712278","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157712278","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1645065627,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157712278?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-02-17 10:40","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Reminder: U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on February 21 for Washington's birthday","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157712278","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"2月21日（周一）是美国的华盛顿诞辰纪念日，美国包括股市和债市在内的金融市场将休市一天。2月22日（周二）美股恢复正常交易。港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡照常开市。背景简介：华盛顿诞辰纪念日俗称总统日","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>February 21st (Monday) is the anniversary of Washington's birth in the United States, and financial markets in the United States, including the stock market and bond market, will be closed for one day. U.S. stocks resumed normal trading on February 22 (Tuesday).</p><p>Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, British stocks, Australian stocks, and Singapore opened as usual.</p><p><b>Background brief:</b></p><p>Washington's birthday is commonly known as President's Day</p><p>In 1879, a bill passed by the United States Congress decided to make Washington's birthday a federal holiday for the first time. The Monday Holiday Act, which came into effect in 1968, moved the anniversary of Washington's birth from February 22nd every year to the third Monday in February. However, including this bill, there is no legal provision in the United States so far to officially change the name \"Washington's Birthday Anniversary\" to what is now better known as \"President's Day\". The situation among the people is different. More and more Americans have called the third Monday in February \"President's Day\".</p><p>George Washington profile:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65cb9e79983f7b49037bed99be2c34a2\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>One of the most common portraits of George Washington</p><p>Washington's full name is George Washington (February 22, 1732-December 14, 1799). He served as the commander-in-chief of the Continental Army during the American Revolutionary War from 1775 to 1783. In 1789, he became the first president of the United States (and also became the first head of state in the world with the title of \"President\"). In two successive presidential elections, he won the unanimous support of all electoral colleges, and served as president of the United States until 1797.</p><p>In 1787, he presided over the Constitutional Convention of the United States, which formulated the basic framework of the present American Constitution. During his two terms, he established many policies and traditions of the United States that continue to this day. After the end of two terms, he voluntarily gave up his power and did not renew his term, establishing the tradition that the president of the United States serves no more than two terms.</p><p>After that, Washington returned to civilian life and lived in seclusion at Mount Vernon Manor. Because he played the most important role in the American Revolution and the founding process, Washington is often called the founding father of the United States. Most American scholars generally rank him along with Abraham Lincoln as one of the greatest presidents in American history.</p><p></body></html></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on February 21 for Washington's birthday</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: U.S. stocks will be closed for one day on February 21 for Washington's birthday\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2022-02-17 10:40</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>February 21st (Monday) is the anniversary of Washington's birth in the United States, and financial markets in the United States, including the stock market and bond market, will be closed for one day. U.S. stocks resumed normal trading on February 22 (Tuesday).</p><p>Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, British stocks, Australian stocks, and Singapore opened as usual.</p><p><b>Background brief:</b></p><p>Washington's birthday is commonly known as President's Day</p><p>In 1879, a bill passed by the United States Congress decided to make Washington's birthday a federal holiday for the first time. The Monday Holiday Act, which came into effect in 1968, moved the anniversary of Washington's birth from February 22nd every year to the third Monday in February. However, including this bill, there is no legal provision in the United States so far to officially change the name \"Washington's Birthday Anniversary\" to what is now better known as \"President's Day\". The situation among the people is different. More and more Americans have called the third Monday in February \"President's Day\".</p><p>George Washington profile:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65cb9e79983f7b49037bed99be2c34a2\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"547\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>One of the most common portraits of George Washington</p><p>Washington's full name is George Washington (February 22, 1732-December 14, 1799). He served as the commander-in-chief of the Continental Army during the American Revolutionary War from 1775 to 1783. In 1789, he became the first president of the United States (and also became the first head of state in the world with the title of \"President\"). In two successive presidential elections, he won the unanimous support of all electoral colleges, and served as president of the United States until 1797.</p><p>In 1787, he presided over the Constitutional Convention of the United States, which formulated the basic framework of the present American Constitution. During his two terms, he established many policies and traditions of the United States that continue to this day. After the end of two terms, he voluntarily gave up his power and did not renew his term, establishing the tradition that the president of the United States serves no more than two terms.</p><p>After that, Washington returned to civilian life and lived in seclusion at Mount Vernon Manor. Because he played the most important role in the American Revolution and the founding process, Washington is often called the founding father of the United States. Most American scholars generally rank him along with Abraham Lincoln as one of the greatest presidents in American history.</p><p></body></html></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65cb9e79983f7b49037bed99be2c34a2","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157712278","content_text":"2月21日（周一）是美国的华盛顿诞辰纪念日，美国包括股市和债市在内的金融市场将休市一天。2月22日（周二）美股恢复正常交易。港股、A股、英股、澳股、新加坡照常开市。背景简介：华盛顿诞辰纪念日俗称总统日1879年美国国会通过的一项法案首次决定将华盛顿诞辰列为联邦节日。1968年生效的《周一节假日法》则将华盛顿诞辰纪念日从每年的2月22日移到2月的第3个周一。但是，包括这一法案在内，美国迄今没有任何法律规定将“华盛顿诞辰纪念日”这一名称正式改为现在更为人所知的“总统日”。民间情况则有所不同，越来越多的美国人已将2月的第3个周一称为“总统日”。乔治-华盛顿简介：乔治-华盛顿最为常见的画像之一华盛顿全名乔治-华盛顿（英文George 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