saket personal page - To The Moon

saket

saket

No personal profile

22Follow

3Followers

0Topic

0Badge

2022-10-05

Okay

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-01-14

Thanks

Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?

2022-01-14

Okay

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2023-08-25

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$

2023-06-08

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$

2023-06-08

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$

2023-04-26

Crazy

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-05

Okau

QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)

2022-10-05

Ok

QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)

2022-10-05

Thanks

3 Stocks to Avoid This Week

2023-09-13

$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$

2023-03-24

Ok

Sorry, the original content has been removed

2022-10-21

Ok

Faraday Future Sheds Jobs, Cuts Salaries to Conserve Cash; Interim CFO Quits

Go to Tiger App to see more news

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"4102558411634440","uuid":"4102558411634440","gmtCreate":1639455689865,"gmtModify":1692958657710,"name":"saket","pinyin":"saket","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":3,"headSize":22,"tweetSize":19,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.09","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03-2","templateUuid":"44212b71d0be4ec88898348dbe882e03","name":"Executive Tiger","description":"The transaction amount of the securities account reaches $300,000","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.12.13","exceedPercentage":"80.30%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 300","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.07.10","exceedPercentage":"93.08%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.30","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"hot","tweets":[{"id":219462407127240,"gmtCreate":1694598928885,"gmtModify":1694598930783,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/219462407127240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":212650213564568,"gmtCreate":1692956490437,"gmtModify":1692956493334,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/212650213564568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185079182135424,"gmtCreate":1686224629727,"gmtModify":1686224631346,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185079182135424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185079075782784,"gmtCreate":1686224603761,"gmtModify":1686224607368,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185079075782784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947946508,"gmtCreate":1682509942705,"gmtModify":1682509946756,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crazy","listText":"Crazy","text":"Crazy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947946508","repostId":"1158855261","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1158855261","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1682508440,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1158855261?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-04-26 19:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"First Republic Bank to Weigh Up to $100 Billion in Asset Sales","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1158855261","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Shares of the bank tumble 17.78% premarket on proposed sales, deposit slumpBuyers might be offered i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li><p>Shares of the bank tumble 17.78% premarket on proposed sales, deposit slump</p></li><li><p>Buyers might be offered incentives to pay above-market rates</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/00a03681d73476bc9ea7c827174f4215\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"774\" tg-height=\"640\"/></p><p>First Republic Bank is exploring divesting $50 billion to $100 billion of assets as the beleaguered lender attempts to rescue itself from the turmoil that engulfed the industry last month.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The sales, which include long-dated mortgages and securities, are aimed at reducing the mismatch between the bank’s assets and liabilities — one of the factors that has left First Republic teetering after a run on deposits in March, according to people familiar with the matter. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">Potential buyers, including large US banks, could receive warrants or preferred equity as an incentive to buy assets above their market value, one of the people said. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">A day after First Republic reported earnings that fell far short of analysts’ estimates, the full extent of the challenges facing the bank are dawning on investors. A key component of its prior success — the wealth-management business for ultra-rich clients — may have its wings clipped. And now it’s also facing the prospect of having to unload a large portion of its assets. Shares plummeted 49% to a record low on Tuesday. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The lender is trying to shore up its balance sheet to avoid being seized by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and clear the path for a possible capital raise, the person said. It may need the US government to facilitate negotiations with some of the country’s largest banks to stabilize the lender as it executes its turnaround, the person added. That would be a much cheaper alternative than a failure of the company. </p><p>In addition to selling assets, the bank also plans to focus on loans that can be sold on the secondary market, it said Monday. That’s a sharp departure from its old strategy of providing interest-only jumbo mortgages, a service that attracted legions of rich borrowers and helped build the company into a wealth-management giant.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">That business is now under pressure after dozens of advisers jumped to top rivals, including Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG and Royal Bank of Canada. It has also left analysts concerned for the future of a once-prized business that attracted clients from wealthy enclaves across the US. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">First Republic had total assets of $233 billion as of March 31, including $173 billion of loans and $35 billion of investment securities, according to its first-quarter earnings report.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">An asset-liability mismatch can happen when interest rates rise, forcing banks to pay depositors a higher interest rate than what they charge borrowers. At First Republic, that problem is particularly significant because a large portion of its assets are single-family mortgages made when interest rates were at historic lows. Unloading those would help alleviate the mismatch.</p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The problem: Loans made when rates were low are worth less now, which means First Republic would have to book a loss when it sells them unless it entices buyers to scoop them up at near face value. For that, buyers may demand some kind of sweetener such as warrants.</p><p>Adding to the pressure is First Republic’s willingness over the years to entice rich homebuyers and property investors with rock-bottom rates for several years. Some of the mortgages even allowed borrowers to avoid repaying principal for a decade.</p><p>First Republic reported a bigger-than-expected drop in deposits in the first quarter. The figure declined to $104.5 billion, well below the $137 billion average of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The total included a $30 billion infusion from 11 of the largest US lenders. </p><p style=\"text-align: start;\">The bank on Monday confirmed it’s exploring strategic options. “We are working to restructure our balance sheet,” Chief Financial Officer Neal Holland said in a statement. </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>First Republic Bank to Weigh Up to $100 Billion in Asset Sales</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFirst Republic Bank to Weigh Up to $100 Billion in Asset Sales\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-04-26 19:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-25/first-republic-said-to-weigh-up-to-100-billion-in-asset-sales><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of the bank tumble 17.78% premarket on proposed sales, deposit slumpBuyers might be offered incentives to pay above-market ratesFirst Republic Bank is exploring divesting $50 billion to $100 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-25/first-republic-said-to-weigh-up-to-100-billion-in-asset-sales\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FRCB":"第一共和银行"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-25/first-republic-said-to-weigh-up-to-100-billion-in-asset-sales","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1158855261","content_text":"Shares of the bank tumble 17.78% premarket on proposed sales, deposit slumpBuyers might be offered incentives to pay above-market ratesFirst Republic Bank is exploring divesting $50 billion to $100 billion of assets as the beleaguered lender attempts to rescue itself from the turmoil that engulfed the industry last month.The sales, which include long-dated mortgages and securities, are aimed at reducing the mismatch between the bank’s assets and liabilities — one of the factors that has left First Republic teetering after a run on deposits in March, according to people familiar with the matter. Potential buyers, including large US banks, could receive warrants or preferred equity as an incentive to buy assets above their market value, one of the people said. A day after First Republic reported earnings that fell far short of analysts’ estimates, the full extent of the challenges facing the bank are dawning on investors. A key component of its prior success — the wealth-management business for ultra-rich clients — may have its wings clipped. And now it’s also facing the prospect of having to unload a large portion of its assets. Shares plummeted 49% to a record low on Tuesday. The lender is trying to shore up its balance sheet to avoid being seized by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and clear the path for a possible capital raise, the person said. It may need the US government to facilitate negotiations with some of the country’s largest banks to stabilize the lender as it executes its turnaround, the person added. That would be a much cheaper alternative than a failure of the company. In addition to selling assets, the bank also plans to focus on loans that can be sold on the secondary market, it said Monday. That’s a sharp departure from its old strategy of providing interest-only jumbo mortgages, a service that attracted legions of rich borrowers and helped build the company into a wealth-management giant.That business is now under pressure after dozens of advisers jumped to top rivals, including Morgan Stanley, UBS Group AG and Royal Bank of Canada. It has also left analysts concerned for the future of a once-prized business that attracted clients from wealthy enclaves across the US. First Republic had total assets of $233 billion as of March 31, including $173 billion of loans and $35 billion of investment securities, according to its first-quarter earnings report.An asset-liability mismatch can happen when interest rates rise, forcing banks to pay depositors a higher interest rate than what they charge borrowers. At First Republic, that problem is particularly significant because a large portion of its assets are single-family mortgages made when interest rates were at historic lows. Unloading those would help alleviate the mismatch.The problem: Loans made when rates were low are worth less now, which means First Republic would have to book a loss when it sells them unless it entices buyers to scoop them up at near face value. For that, buyers may demand some kind of sweetener such as warrants.Adding to the pressure is First Republic’s willingness over the years to entice rich homebuyers and property investors with rock-bottom rates for several years. Some of the mortgages even allowed borrowers to avoid repaying principal for a decade.First Republic reported a bigger-than-expected drop in deposits in the first quarter. The figure declined to $104.5 billion, well below the $137 billion average of analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The total included a $30 billion infusion from 11 of the largest US lenders. The bank on Monday confirmed it’s exploring strategic options. “We are working to restructure our balance sheet,” Chief Financial Officer Neal Holland said in a statement.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943445476,"gmtCreate":1679662024596,"gmtModify":1679662027936,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943445476","repostId":"2321935181","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2321935181","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1679648820,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2321935181?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-24 17:07","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Regional Bank Stocks Start to Rebound After Yellen Says Tools Could Be Used Again -- Barrons.com","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2321935181","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"By Brian Swint \n\n\n  Regional bank stocks were slightly higher early on Friday after Treasury Secreta","content":"<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Brian Swint \n</p>\n<p>\n  Regional bank stocks were slightly higher early on Friday after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the emergency actions used to contain the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank could be used again if needed. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking exchange-traded fund (ticker: KRE) was up 0.3% in premarket trading Friday. Shares of $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">$(FRC)$</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACW\">PacWest Bancorp</a> (PACW), which have been in focus, climbed 1.2% and 2%, respectively. Western Alliance Bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">$(WAL)$</a> also advanced 2%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Fed reported that banks continue to take advantage of emergency lending. Borrowing from its discount window was $110.2 billion as of Wednesday, lower than the record $152.9 billion a week ago but still higher than usual. Banks also increased borrowing from the new Bank Term Funding Program to more than $50 billion. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Yellen said in testimony to Congress Thursday: \"We have used important tools to act quickly to prevent contagion, and they are tools we could use again. The strong actions we have taken ensure that Americans' deposits are safe. Certainly, we would be prepared to take additional actions if warranted.\" \n</p>\n<p>\n     Yellen and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have repeatedly asserted that consumer deposits in banks are safe, though in the week Yellen said she's not considering extending deposit insurance. Shares of regional banks, which are smaller than the biggest ones and not subject to the same regulations on capitalization, have been on a bumpy ride since the collapse of SVB and a few other midsize lenders. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Separately, Citizens Financial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">$(CFG)$</a>, one of the biggest regional banks, is working on a bid for the private banking business of SVB, Reuters reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the situation. Regulators are said to want to get a deal for SVB by Monday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Citizens Financial didn't immediately respond to a request for comment early Friday morning. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Brian Swint at brian.swint@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 24, 2023 05:07 ET (09:07 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Regional Bank Stocks Start to Rebound After Yellen Says Tools Could Be Used Again -- Barrons.com</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRegional Bank Stocks Start to Rebound After Yellen Says Tools Could Be Used Again -- Barrons.com\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-03-24 17:07</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n  By Brian Swint \n</p>\n<p>\n  Regional bank stocks were slightly higher early on Friday after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the emergency actions used to contain the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank could be used again if needed. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking exchange-traded fund (ticker: KRE) was up 0.3% in premarket trading Friday. Shares of $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FRC\">$(FRC)$</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PACW\">PacWest Bancorp</a> (PACW), which have been in focus, climbed 1.2% and 2%, respectively. Western Alliance Bank <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WAL\">$(WAL)$</a> also advanced 2%. \n</p>\n<p>\n     The Fed reported that banks continue to take advantage of emergency lending. Borrowing from its discount window was $110.2 billion as of Wednesday, lower than the record $152.9 billion a week ago but still higher than usual. Banks also increased borrowing from the new Bank Term Funding Program to more than $50 billion. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Yellen said in testimony to Congress Thursday: \"We have used important tools to act quickly to prevent contagion, and they are tools we could use again. The strong actions we have taken ensure that Americans' deposits are safe. Certainly, we would be prepared to take additional actions if warranted.\" \n</p>\n<p>\n     Yellen and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have repeatedly asserted that consumer deposits in banks are safe, though in the week Yellen said she's not considering extending deposit insurance. Shares of regional banks, which are smaller than the biggest ones and not subject to the same regulations on capitalization, have been on a bumpy ride since the collapse of SVB and a few other midsize lenders. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Separately, Citizens Financial <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CFG\">$(CFG)$</a>, one of the biggest regional banks, is working on a bid for the private banking business of SVB, Reuters reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the situation. Regulators are said to want to get a deal for SVB by Monday. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Citizens Financial didn't immediately respond to a request for comment early Friday morning. \n</p>\n<p>\n     Write to Brian Swint at brian.swint@barrons.com \n</p>\n<p>\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n</p>\n<pre>\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  March 24, 2023 05:07 ET (09:07 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0661504455.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A5 SGD-H","BK4588":"碎股","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU0266013472.USD":"AXA WF - Framlington Longevity Economy A Cap USD","BK4211":"区域性银行","LU0738911758.USD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 USD","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4589":"SVB概念","CFG":"Citizens Financial Group","LU0949170772.SGD":"Blackrock Global Equity Income A6 SGD-H","LU2237438978.USD":"Amundi Funds US Pioneer A2 (C) USD","WAL":"阿莱恩斯西部银行","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PACW":"西太平洋合众银行"},"source_url":"http://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2321935181","content_text":"By Brian Swint \n\n\n  Regional bank stocks were slightly higher early on Friday after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the emergency actions used to contain the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank could be used again if needed. \n\n\n     The SPDR S&P Regional Banking exchange-traded fund (ticker: KRE) was up 0.3% in premarket trading Friday. Shares of $First Republic Bank(FRC-N)$ $(FRC)$ and PacWest Bancorp (PACW), which have been in focus, climbed 1.2% and 2%, respectively. Western Alliance Bank $(WAL)$ also advanced 2%. \n\n\n     The Fed reported that banks continue to take advantage of emergency lending. Borrowing from its discount window was $110.2 billion as of Wednesday, lower than the record $152.9 billion a week ago but still higher than usual. Banks also increased borrowing from the new Bank Term Funding Program to more than $50 billion. \n\n\n     Yellen said in testimony to Congress Thursday: \"We have used important tools to act quickly to prevent contagion, and they are tools we could use again. The strong actions we have taken ensure that Americans' deposits are safe. Certainly, we would be prepared to take additional actions if warranted.\" \n\n\n     Yellen and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell have repeatedly asserted that consumer deposits in banks are safe, though in the week Yellen said she's not considering extending deposit insurance. Shares of regional banks, which are smaller than the biggest ones and not subject to the same regulations on capitalization, have been on a bumpy ride since the collapse of SVB and a few other midsize lenders. \n\n\n     Separately, Citizens Financial $(CFG)$, one of the biggest regional banks, is working on a bid for the private banking business of SVB, Reuters reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the situation. Regulators are said to want to get a deal for SVB by Monday. \n\n\n     Citizens Financial didn't immediately respond to a request for comment early Friday morning. \n\n\n     Write to Brian Swint at brian.swint@barrons.com \n\n\n     This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  March 24, 2023 05:07 ET (09:07 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2023 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981069409,"gmtCreate":1666347612401,"gmtModify":1676537744938,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981069409","repostId":"2276008122","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912769092,"gmtCreate":1664904657417,"gmtModify":1676537526391,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okau","listText":"Okau","text":"Okau","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912769092","repostId":"1177537827","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177537827","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664896501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177537827?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:15","market":"other","language":"en","title":"QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177537827","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.</li><li>The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.</li><li>These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).</li></ul><p><b>QQQ down by over 33% YTD</b></p><p>The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn&#39;t feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b013f0ead59c064e8bd932a9591e9af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I mainly covered the S&amp;P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.</p><p>My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed&#39;s objective of a &#34;growth recession,&#34; it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.</p><p>So, what&#39;s next for QQQ?</p><p>Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081e6b7c2bf46e620a8d13393b092a29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Barchart</p><p>Thus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?</p><p>There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:</p><ol><li>The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.</li><li>The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.</li><li>We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.</li></ol><p>Let&#39;s evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?</b></p><p>First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.</p><p>Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was &#34;just 34,&#34; which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?</b></p><p>Second, let&#39;s evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the &#34;toxic waste&#34; assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.</p><p>The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f2f6e8ed3e4d34e404b3902c81b744\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>Yes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don&#39;t have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don&#39;t anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.</p><p><b>What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?</b></p><p>Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.</p><p>The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that &#34;the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,&#34; and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.</p><p>As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.</p><p>In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.</p><p>Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis &#34;somewhere.&#34;</p><p>However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed&#39;s dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.</p><p><b>So, where is the bottom?</b></p><p>Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.</p><p>The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.</p><p>Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.</p><p>For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.</p><p>In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177537827","content_text":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).QQQ down by over 33% YTDThe tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn't feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:Seeking AlphaI mainly covered the S&P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed's objective of a \"growth recession,\" it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.So, what's next for QQQ?Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.BarchartThus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.Let's evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was \"just 34,\" which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?Second, let's evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the \"toxic waste\" assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.FREDYes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don't have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don't anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that \"the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,\" and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis \"somewhere.\"However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed's dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.So, where is the bottom?Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912760475,"gmtCreate":1664904623797,"gmtModify":1676537526384,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760475","repostId":"1177537827","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177537827","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664896501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177537827?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:15","market":"other","language":"en","title":"QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177537827","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.</li><li>The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.</li><li>These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).</li></ul><p><b>QQQ down by over 33% YTD</b></p><p>The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn&#39;t feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b013f0ead59c064e8bd932a9591e9af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I mainly covered the S&amp;P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.</p><p>My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed&#39;s objective of a &#34;growth recession,&#34; it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.</p><p>So, what&#39;s next for QQQ?</p><p>Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081e6b7c2bf46e620a8d13393b092a29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Barchart</p><p>Thus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?</p><p>There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:</p><ol><li>The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.</li><li>The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.</li><li>We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.</li></ol><p>Let&#39;s evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?</b></p><p>First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.</p><p>Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was &#34;just 34,&#34; which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?</b></p><p>Second, let&#39;s evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the &#34;toxic waste&#34; assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.</p><p>The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f2f6e8ed3e4d34e404b3902c81b744\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>Yes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don&#39;t have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don&#39;t anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.</p><p><b>What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?</b></p><p>Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.</p><p>The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that &#34;the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,&#34; and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.</p><p>As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.</p><p>In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.</p><p>Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis &#34;somewhere.&#34;</p><p>However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed&#39;s dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.</p><p><b>So, where is the bottom?</b></p><p>Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.</p><p>The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.</p><p>Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.</p><p>For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.</p><p>In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177537827","content_text":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).QQQ down by over 33% YTDThe tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn't feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:Seeking AlphaI mainly covered the S&P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed's objective of a \"growth recession,\" it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.So, what's next for QQQ?Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.BarchartThus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.Let's evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was \"just 34,\" which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?Second, let's evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the \"toxic waste\" assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.FREDYes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don't have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don't anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that \"the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,\" and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis \"somewhere.\"However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed's dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.So, where is the bottom?Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912760265,"gmtCreate":1664904604057,"gmtModify":1676537526375,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760265","repostId":"2272199820","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272199820","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664896561,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272199820?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272199820","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors can&#39;t seem to catch a break these days. The &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- <b>Cracker Barrel Old Country Store</b>, <b>Rite Aid</b>, and <b>Lennar</b> -- fell 6%, 29%, and 3%, respectively, averaging out to a 12.7% decline.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 2.9% move lower, so I was correct. I have been right in 32 of the past 50 weeks, or 64% of the time.</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at the week ahead. I see <b>Apple</b>, <b>Conagra Brands</b>, and <b>Gold Fields</b> as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>1. Apple</b></h2><p>The country&#39;s most valuable company by market cap -- the only one currently perched above $2 trillion in value -- proved mortal last week. The consumer tech giant tumbled 8%, a big drop for a titan that was previously holding up well against the correcting market. Apple is finally trading closer to its 52-week low than its high.</p><p>The new iPhone 14 may have generated some buzz when it was unveiled a few weeks ago, but consumers have tired of annual upgrade cycles for smartphones. The incremental improvements are nice, but they may not be enough to woo shoppers who are already clutching their savings harder than they have in a long time.</p><p>There was a notable analyst downgrade last week. Wamsi Mohan at <b>Bank of America</b> thinks the global climate of inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflict will weigh on the previously waterproof Apple stock. As a company with heavy volume outside the U.S. market, it&#39;s worth noting that the strong dollar will eat into reported revenue from those overseas transactions. There was also a Bloomberg story reporting that Apple is asking suppliers to pare back iPhone 14 production in light of uninspiring global demand.</p><p>Is Apple overvalued at 23 times trailing earnings? Apple is a company that seems to have one good fiscal year followed by two years of single-digit and sometimes even negative revenue growth. It could bounce back after last week&#39;s setback, but when I see all those wireless company ads pitching iPhones for practically nothing, I see a behemoth behind an aspirational brand that could be in trouble.</p><h2><b>2. Conagra Brands</b></h2><p>Instinctively, you don&#39;t want to bet against Conagra Brands. It&#39;s the company that stocks supermarket shelves with Duncan Hines cake mix, Slim Jim jerky, and Hunt&#39;s ketchup. Even in a recession, we have to eat. The problem for a king of brands is that rising food prices are probably sending shoppers to lower-margin house brands. Why buy Conagra&#39;s Pam or Reddi-Wip when the store-brand version of the cooking spray or whipped cream is easier on the pocket?</p><p>Conagra reports financial results for its fiscal first quarter on Thursday morning. Analysts aren&#39;t holding out for much, and it&#39;s not as if Conagra is an upbeat earnings surprise machine after beating Wall Street profit targets just once over the past three reports. The market sees Conagra growing its revenue by less than 5% this fiscal year, with earnings per share rising even less than that. Sales are expected to slow to just 1% growth next fiscal year. The 3.8% yield should provide some support, but it&#39;s not exactly the safe haven it plays itself out to be.</p><h2><b>3. Gold Fields</b></h2><p>September was brutal. It was the market&#39;s worst month since March 2020. It was also the worst September -- a month that has historically been challenging -- in 20 years. The bear market may not be over, but it wouldn&#39;t surprise me if there was at least a small bounce early in October. This call finds me eyeing Gold Fields.</p><p>I&#39;m not an expert on South African gold mining stocks, but I saw what happened last week. As most stocks tumbled, precious metals proved shiny. Half of the 10 largest stocks to gain at least 10% last week were gold miners, and Gold Fields commands the largest market of the five stocks on that list. The fundamentals for Gold Fields are fine, and it&#39;s in the process of gobbling up a smaller player to expand its global footprint. However, I needed to find a sector that could slide at the expense of a market rally, and tag, you&#39;re it, Gold Fields.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Apple, Conagra, and Gold Fields this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors can't seem to catch a break these days. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Rite Aid, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272199820","content_text":"Investors can't seem to catch a break these days. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Rite Aid, and Lennar -- fell 6%, 29%, and 3%, respectively, averaging out to a 12.7% decline.The S&P 500 experienced a 2.9% move lower, so I was correct. I have been right in 32 of the past 50 weeks, or 64% of the time.Now let's look at the week ahead. I see Apple, Conagra Brands, and Gold Fields as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.1. AppleThe country's most valuable company by market cap -- the only one currently perched above $2 trillion in value -- proved mortal last week. The consumer tech giant tumbled 8%, a big drop for a titan that was previously holding up well against the correcting market. Apple is finally trading closer to its 52-week low than its high.The new iPhone 14 may have generated some buzz when it was unveiled a few weeks ago, but consumers have tired of annual upgrade cycles for smartphones. The incremental improvements are nice, but they may not be enough to woo shoppers who are already clutching their savings harder than they have in a long time.There was a notable analyst downgrade last week. Wamsi Mohan at Bank of America thinks the global climate of inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflict will weigh on the previously waterproof Apple stock. As a company with heavy volume outside the U.S. market, it's worth noting that the strong dollar will eat into reported revenue from those overseas transactions. There was also a Bloomberg story reporting that Apple is asking suppliers to pare back iPhone 14 production in light of uninspiring global demand.Is Apple overvalued at 23 times trailing earnings? Apple is a company that seems to have one good fiscal year followed by two years of single-digit and sometimes even negative revenue growth. It could bounce back after last week's setback, but when I see all those wireless company ads pitching iPhones for practically nothing, I see a behemoth behind an aspirational brand that could be in trouble.2. Conagra BrandsInstinctively, you don't want to bet against Conagra Brands. It's the company that stocks supermarket shelves with Duncan Hines cake mix, Slim Jim jerky, and Hunt's ketchup. Even in a recession, we have to eat. The problem for a king of brands is that rising food prices are probably sending shoppers to lower-margin house brands. Why buy Conagra's Pam or Reddi-Wip when the store-brand version of the cooking spray or whipped cream is easier on the pocket?Conagra reports financial results for its fiscal first quarter on Thursday morning. Analysts aren't holding out for much, and it's not as if Conagra is an upbeat earnings surprise machine after beating Wall Street profit targets just once over the past three reports. The market sees Conagra growing its revenue by less than 5% this fiscal year, with earnings per share rising even less than that. Sales are expected to slow to just 1% growth next fiscal year. The 3.8% yield should provide some support, but it's not exactly the safe haven it plays itself out to be.3. Gold FieldsSeptember was brutal. It was the market's worst month since March 2020. It was also the worst September -- a month that has historically been challenging -- in 20 years. The bear market may not be over, but it wouldn't surprise me if there was at least a small bounce early in October. This call finds me eyeing Gold Fields.I'm not an expert on South African gold mining stocks, but I saw what happened last week. As most stocks tumbled, precious metals proved shiny. Half of the 10 largest stocks to gain at least 10% last week were gold miners, and Gold Fields commands the largest market of the five stocks on that list. The fundamentals for Gold Fields are fine, and it's in the process of gobbling up a smaller player to expand its global footprint. However, I needed to find a sector that could slide at the expense of a market rally, and tag, you're it, Gold Fields.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Apple, Conagra, and Gold Fields this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912760884,"gmtCreate":1664904587448,"gmtModify":1676537526375,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760884","repostId":"2272078402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272078402","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664896628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272078402?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:17","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks That Could Jump 64.1% to 86.1% Higher, According to Wall Street","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272078402","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Investment bank analysts think both of these stocks have what they need to deliver big gains in the foreseeable future.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Look out below. For months on end, bears have been running loose through the streets of lower Manhattan. They&#39;re swinging great big bloody paws down on the price of any stock that tries to rise, and there isn&#39;t much that anyone can do about it.</p><p>A bear market may be pushing down all your favorite stocks right now but that doesn&#39;t mean they&#39;ll never recover. In fact, analysts who follow these two stocks think their prices could soar 64.1% to 86.1% higher once the rest of the stock market considers the opportunities in front of their underlying businesses.</p><h2>1. Moderna</h2><p>Shares of <b>Moderna</b> got way ahead of themselves when the biopharmaceutical company&#39;s COVID-19 vaccine was relatively new. Unfortunately, the stock has collapsed by around 75% from the peak it reached in 2021.</p><p>Moderna briefly had one of the highest market values in the entire biopharmaceutical industry. Now that its market cap has receded to around $48 billion, Wall Street analysts think it can outperform. The average price target on this stock represents an 86.1% premium at the moment.</p><p>Sales of Spikevax, Moderna&#39;s COVID-19 vaccine slid from $5.9 billion in the first quarter of 2022 to $4.5 billion during the second. We could see coronavirus vaccine sales stabilize in the last half of the year. In August, the FDA authorized Moderna&#39;s omicron-targeting booster shot for emergency use.</p><p>In addition to COVID-vaccine revenue, Moderna has a chance to launch additional products over the next couple of years. For example, the company has a cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine in late clinical-stage testing that could be a very big deal. CMV is a widely prevalent form of herpesvirus that causes severe problems for immunocompromised people everywhere. There aren&#39;t any available vaccines to protect against CMV infections. If Moderna&#39;s becomes the first it could generate billions in annual revenue.</p><h2>2. Pubmatic</h2><p><b>Pubmatic</b> operates a sell-side platform for publishers and application developers that want to maximize the monetization of their online content. The stock soared in 2021, but it&#39;s since fallen around 58% from its all-time high.</p><p>Shares of Pubmatic have been under pressure lately because investors are worried that a global economic slowdown will limit demand for advertising across the board. Analysts on Wall Street aren&#39;t nearly as concerned. The consensus price target on Pubmatic right now suggests a 64.1% gain could be around the corner.</p><p>Analysts aren&#39;t too worried about a global economic slowdown pinching Pubmatic&#39;s ability to grow because the company&#39;s share of the digital advertising business is currently small and rising rapidly. At the end of 2021, the company thinks it had just 3% to 4% of the market for programmatic advertising.</p><p>Pubmatic owns a cloud-based platform that is built from the ground up to handle every imaginable digital ad format, including connected television (CTV). This June, the company&#39;s platform processed 409 billion ad impressions per day and video-related ads are driving growth. CVT revenue in the second quarter soared 150% year over year.</p><p>Investors worried a potential recession will lower overall demand for advertising will be glad to know that Pubmatic&#39;s clients keep coming back for more. The company posted a 130% net-dollar retention rate for the 12 months that ended June 30, 2022.</p><p>It&#39;s easy to see why Pubmatic is pulling market share away from the digital advertising industry&#39;s largest players. Google and Facebook are losing ground to companies like Pubmatic because they operate what industry experts refer to as walled gardens. Instead of partnering with either publishers or advertisers, Facebook and Google are active on both sides of the advertising equation. With a better operating model than its enormous competitors, Pubmatic&#39;s business, and its stock price could rise dramatically once the present fear of recession gives way to enthusiasm for a subsequent recovery period.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks That Could Jump 64.1% to 86.1% Higher, According to Wall Street</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks That Could Jump 64.1% to 86.1% Higher, According to Wall Street\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:17 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/03/2-growth-stocks-that-could-jump-641-to-861-higher/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Look out below. For months on end, bears have been running loose through the streets of lower Manhattan. They're swinging great big bloody paws down on the price of any stock that tries to rise, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/03/2-growth-stocks-that-could-jump-641-to-861-higher/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","PUBM":"PubMatic, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/03/2-growth-stocks-that-could-jump-641-to-861-higher/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272078402","content_text":"Look out below. For months on end, bears have been running loose through the streets of lower Manhattan. They're swinging great big bloody paws down on the price of any stock that tries to rise, and there isn't much that anyone can do about it.A bear market may be pushing down all your favorite stocks right now but that doesn't mean they'll never recover. In fact, analysts who follow these two stocks think their prices could soar 64.1% to 86.1% higher once the rest of the stock market considers the opportunities in front of their underlying businesses.1. ModernaShares of Moderna got way ahead of themselves when the biopharmaceutical company's COVID-19 vaccine was relatively new. Unfortunately, the stock has collapsed by around 75% from the peak it reached in 2021.Moderna briefly had one of the highest market values in the entire biopharmaceutical industry. Now that its market cap has receded to around $48 billion, Wall Street analysts think it can outperform. The average price target on this stock represents an 86.1% premium at the moment.Sales of Spikevax, Moderna's COVID-19 vaccine slid from $5.9 billion in the first quarter of 2022 to $4.5 billion during the second. We could see coronavirus vaccine sales stabilize in the last half of the year. In August, the FDA authorized Moderna's omicron-targeting booster shot for emergency use.In addition to COVID-vaccine revenue, Moderna has a chance to launch additional products over the next couple of years. For example, the company has a cytomegalovirus (CMV) vaccine in late clinical-stage testing that could be a very big deal. CMV is a widely prevalent form of herpesvirus that causes severe problems for immunocompromised people everywhere. There aren't any available vaccines to protect against CMV infections. If Moderna's becomes the first it could generate billions in annual revenue.2. PubmaticPubmatic operates a sell-side platform for publishers and application developers that want to maximize the monetization of their online content. The stock soared in 2021, but it's since fallen around 58% from its all-time high.Shares of Pubmatic have been under pressure lately because investors are worried that a global economic slowdown will limit demand for advertising across the board. Analysts on Wall Street aren't nearly as concerned. The consensus price target on Pubmatic right now suggests a 64.1% gain could be around the corner.Analysts aren't too worried about a global economic slowdown pinching Pubmatic's ability to grow because the company's share of the digital advertising business is currently small and rising rapidly. At the end of 2021, the company thinks it had just 3% to 4% of the market for programmatic advertising.Pubmatic owns a cloud-based platform that is built from the ground up to handle every imaginable digital ad format, including connected television (CTV). This June, the company's platform processed 409 billion ad impressions per day and video-related ads are driving growth. CVT revenue in the second quarter soared 150% year over year.Investors worried a potential recession will lower overall demand for advertising will be glad to know that Pubmatic's clients keep coming back for more. The company posted a 130% net-dollar retention rate for the 12 months that ended June 30, 2022.It's easy to see why Pubmatic is pulling market share away from the digital advertising industry's largest players. Google and Facebook are losing ground to companies like Pubmatic because they operate what industry experts refer to as walled gardens. Instead of partnering with either publishers or advertisers, Facebook and Google are active on both sides of the advertising equation. With a better operating model than its enormous competitors, Pubmatic's business, and its stock price could rise dramatically once the present fear of recession gives way to enthusiasm for a subsequent recovery period.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002783139,"gmtCreate":1642095599180,"gmtModify":1676533680506,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002783139","repostId":"1166458445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002783383,"gmtCreate":1642095533067,"gmtModify":1676533680458,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002783383","repostId":"1194290313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194290313","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642087803,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194290313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-13 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194290313","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While 2021 was very good to <b>Roblox</b>(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.</p><p>Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox&#39;s rich valuation. Let&#39;s look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39c7699742042e6778c9a2fe3f20c4be\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX &#34;METAVERSE.&#34; IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.</span></p><p><b>Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentum</b></p><p>The Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That&#39;s 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That&#39;s impressive.</p><p>If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.</p><p>Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.</p><p>The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That&#39;s remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.</p><p>The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.</p><p>Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. &#34;Metaverse&#34; means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox&#39;s attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.</p><p><b>An excellent company that appears overpriced</b></p><p>The fall in Roblox&#39;s stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox&#39;s long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-13 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194290313","content_text":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox's rich valuation. Let's look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX \"METAVERSE.\" IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentumThe Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That's 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That's impressive.If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That's remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. \"Metaverse\" means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox's attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.An excellent company that appears overpricedThe fall in Roblox's stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox's long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":9912760884,"gmtCreate":1664904587448,"gmtModify":1676537526375,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760884","repostId":"2272078402","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":309,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002783383,"gmtCreate":1642095533067,"gmtModify":1676533680458,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002783383","repostId":"1194290313","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194290313","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1642087803,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1194290313?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-01-13 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194290313","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. Th","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>While 2021 was very good to <b>Roblox</b>(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.</p><p>Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox&#39;s rich valuation. Let&#39;s look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39c7699742042e6778c9a2fe3f20c4be\" tg-width=\"1126\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX &#34;METAVERSE.&#34; IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.</span></p><p><b>Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentum</b></p><p>The Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That&#39;s 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That&#39;s impressive.</p><p>If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.</p><p>Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.</p><p>The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That&#39;s remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.</p><p>The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.</p><p>Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. &#34;Metaverse&#34; means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox&#39;s attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.</p><p><b>An excellent company that appears overpriced</b></p><p>The fall in Roblox&#39;s stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox&#39;s long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Down 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDown 15% Already in 2022, Is This Metaverse Stock a Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-01-13 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RBLX":"Roblox Corporation"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/01/13/is-this-metaverse-stock-buy-2022-roblox/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194290313","content_text":"While 2021 was very good to Roblox(NYSE:RBLX)shareholders, 2022 is off to an arguably poor start. This gaming platform company with metaverse potential has been caught up in the broader growth stock sell-off and is trading down about 15% year to date.Part of the drop can be attributed to some investor concern heading into 2022 about Roblox's rich valuation. Let's look closer at this metaverse company and determine if the concern is justified, or if perhaps the stock is worth buying at its lower (but still elevated) price.VARIOUS CHARACTERS FROM THE ROBLOX UNIVERSE STAND TOGETHER ON A SIMULATED STREET IN THE ROBLOX \"METAVERSE.\" IMAGE SOURCE: ROBLOX.Roblox is maintaining its user growth momentumThe Roblox app is free to join and use. The company earns revenue through in-app purchases voluntarily made by its users. This freemium model has helped the company attract 49.4 million daily active users (as of November). That's 35% higher than in the same month in 2020. User engagement and new signups surged for Roblox at the pandemic onset when millions of kids were sent home for remote learning, and extracurricular activities were paused. Despite economies reopening and schools bringing kids back to campus, Roblox has sustained its user growth rates. That's impressive.If users wish to access certain items and activities on the platform, they do so by spending Robux, an in-game currency that is purchased with real money. The company records revenue when users spend Robux in the game. In its most recently reported quarter, ended Sept. 30, Roblox earned $509 million in revenue. That total was up by 102% from the same quarter in 2020. In fact, Roblox has doubled revenue year over year in each of the previous four quarters.Roblox in-house developers do not create most of the games and items that players spend Robux on. Instead, Roblox has a community of third-party developers who spend their time and resources using the platform to create unique experiences, gameplay, and objects they think players will enjoy. This business model lowers the development costs for Roblox and it also lowers one of the biggest risks involved with game development -- the cost of developing an unpopular game. The user-developers take on the risk and only get their share of the compensation if the game attracts user engagement and Robux spending. Only proven hits that generate engagement make money.The model is proving to be effective at generating cash flow for Roblox. While Roblox isnot profitable on the bottom line, it is earning a growing stream of free cash flow. It has put together a streak of five consecutive quarters where its free cash flow surpassed $100 million. That's remarkably higher than in all of 2019, when it earned less than $15 million in free cash flow.The one metric for Roblox that shows anysigns of slowing downdue to economic reopening is the average booking per daily active user. Booking is the equivalent of a cash deposit. This is money that players are putting onto Roblox to buy Robux, but they have not used it just yet. In its most recent update, Roblox said the average booking per daily active user declined between 8% to 9% from the same month the prior year. A decrease in deposits could foreshadow decreasing year-over-year revenue.Interestingly, the metaverse is a place where individuals can virtually interact with each other and their environment. Roblox platform is an early-stage version of this. \"Metaverse\" means different things to different people, and the way users of Roblox interact with each other through the program already fits at least one of these definitions. But there is more it can do, and Roblox management is working with in-house and outside developers to see where it can go with this trend. Of course, the quality of this experience is improved the more immersive it feels. In that regard, Roblox's attractiveness to users will increase as virtual reality hardware becomes more readily available at more affordable prices.An excellent company that appears overpricedThe fall in Roblox's stock price has it trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 25.4, down from 40 just a few months ago. It also dropped its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio to 70, down from over 105 a few months earlier. Both metrics suggest the stock is still trading at a premium. Some of that may be related to Roblox's long-term potential to be a metaverse player. If you agree with this assessment, now might be as good a time as any to buy-in. For others, the fall has made Roblox stock a little more attractive, but investors might want towait a bit longer and see if there is a further pullbackbefore adding shares of this excellent metaversestock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":368,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9002783139,"gmtCreate":1642095599180,"gmtModify":1676533680506,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9002783139","repostId":"1166458445","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":212650213564568,"gmtCreate":1692956490437,"gmtModify":1692956493334,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/212650213564568","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":456,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185079182135424,"gmtCreate":1686224629727,"gmtModify":1686224631346,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185079182135424","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":749,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185079075782784,"gmtCreate":1686224603761,"gmtModify":1686224607368,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/185079075782784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9947946508,"gmtCreate":1682509942705,"gmtModify":1682509946756,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Crazy","listText":"Crazy","text":"Crazy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9947946508","repostId":"1158855261","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":704,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912769092,"gmtCreate":1664904657417,"gmtModify":1676537526391,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Okau","listText":"Okau","text":"Okau","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912769092","repostId":"1177537827","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177537827","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664896501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177537827?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:15","market":"other","language":"en","title":"QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177537827","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.</li><li>The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.</li><li>These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).</li></ul><p><b>QQQ down by over 33% YTD</b></p><p>The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn&#39;t feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b013f0ead59c064e8bd932a9591e9af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I mainly covered the S&amp;P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.</p><p>My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed&#39;s objective of a &#34;growth recession,&#34; it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.</p><p>So, what&#39;s next for QQQ?</p><p>Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081e6b7c2bf46e620a8d13393b092a29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Barchart</p><p>Thus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?</p><p>There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:</p><ol><li>The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.</li><li>The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.</li><li>We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.</li></ol><p>Let&#39;s evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?</b></p><p>First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.</p><p>Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was &#34;just 34,&#34; which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?</b></p><p>Second, let&#39;s evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the &#34;toxic waste&#34; assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.</p><p>The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f2f6e8ed3e4d34e404b3902c81b744\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>Yes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don&#39;t have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don&#39;t anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.</p><p><b>What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?</b></p><p>Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.</p><p>The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that &#34;the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,&#34; and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.</p><p>As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.</p><p>In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.</p><p>Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis &#34;somewhere.&#34;</p><p>However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed&#39;s dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.</p><p><b>So, where is the bottom?</b></p><p>Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.</p><p>The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.</p><p>Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.</p><p>For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.</p><p>In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177537827","content_text":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).QQQ down by over 33% YTDThe tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn't feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:Seeking AlphaI mainly covered the S&P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed's objective of a \"growth recession,\" it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.So, what's next for QQQ?Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.BarchartThus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.Let's evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was \"just 34,\" which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?Second, let's evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the \"toxic waste\" assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.FREDYes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don't have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don't anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that \"the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,\" and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis \"somewhere.\"However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed's dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.So, where is the bottom?Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912760475,"gmtCreate":1664904623797,"gmtModify":1676537526384,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760475","repostId":"1177537827","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177537827","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1664896501,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1177537827?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:15","market":"other","language":"en","title":"QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177537827","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.</li><li>The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.</li><li>These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).</li></ul><p><b>QQQ down by over 33% YTD</b></p><p>The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn&#39;t feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b013f0ead59c064e8bd932a9591e9af8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"455\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>I mainly covered the S&amp;P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.</p><p>My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed&#39;s objective of a &#34;growth recession,&#34; it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.</p><p>So, what&#39;s next for QQQ?</p><p>Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/081e6b7c2bf46e620a8d13393b092a29\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"344\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Barchart</p><p>Thus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?</p><p>There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:</p><ol><li>The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.</li><li>The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.</li><li>We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.</li></ol><p>Let&#39;s evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?</b></p><p>First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.</p><p>Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was &#34;just 34,&#34; which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.</p><p><b>How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?</b></p><p>Second, let&#39;s evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the &#34;toxic waste&#34; assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.</p><p>The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66f2f6e8ed3e4d34e404b3902c81b744\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"214\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>FRED</p><p>Yes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don&#39;t have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don&#39;t anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.</p><p><b>What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?</b></p><p>Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.</p><p>The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that &#34;the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,&#34; and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.</p><p>As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.</p><p>In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.</p><p>Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis &#34;somewhere.&#34;</p><p>However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed&#39;s dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.</p><p><b>So, where is the bottom?</b></p><p>Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.</p><p>The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.</p><p>Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.</p><p>For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.</p><p>In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>QQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQQQ: The Tech Crash, Where Is The Bottom (Technical Analysis)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:15 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544450-qqq-the-tech-crash-where-is-the-bottom-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177537827","content_text":"SummaryThe tech heavy NASDAQ 100 is down by over 33% YTD.The continuation of the tech crash to a 50-75% drawdown is unlikely.These are not indications of a credit crunch (like in 2008) nor an irrational bubble burst (like in 2000).QQQ down by over 33% YTDThe tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 (the tech sector is nearly 48% of the Index), as proxied by the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ), is down by over 33% during the first 9 months of 2022. This would qualify as a tech crash, even though it doesn't feel like it sometimes. Here is the QQQ screenshot from Seeking Alpha:Seeking AlphaI mainly covered the S&P500 (SPY) this year, but I did issue a sell recommendation on QQQ on September 6th. Even since then, QQQ is down by 9% - September was a difficult month, as I expected.My sell recommendation on Sep 9th was based on the observation that tech stocks were still overvalued. Given the Fed's objective of a \"growth recession,\" it was very likely that we would get earnings downgrades and further valuation multiple contractions. I even recommended a sell on Apple (AAPL), the most heavily weighted stock in QQQ (almost 14% of the index), which decreased by over 12% since.So, what's next for QQQ?Surprisingly, even after the 33% crash, the longer-term bull market in Nasdaq 100 is technically still in place, based on the long-term trend. However, we are at the key support, the 200-week moving average, which held even during the March 2020 crash, (the black line in the graph below). In fact, we closed on Friday just below it.BarchartThus, NASDAQ 100 is currently at the crucial level. So, what happens next for QQQ?There are 3 possible scenarios as I see it:The tech crash continues with the 200wma breakdown, towards the 2008-like or the 2000-like 50%-75% crash.The QQQ find the short-term support and rallies towards the 100wma (red line) in a bear market rally.We are currently at a longer-term bottom for QQQ, and the new bull market is about to commence. Note, allow for additional drawdown up to 5% in this scenario as the bottom is processed.Let's evaluate the probability of scenario 1 or the crash continuation to over 50% total drawdown. Obviously, by ruling out the scenario 1, the implication would be that QQQ would rally from here, at least for a short period.How likely is a 2000-like tech crash?First, let look at the 2000-crash similarities. The 2000-crash was the dot-com bubble crash, where investors irrationally priced the dot-coms and related companies, many of which had no earnings. As a result, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ 100 was over 100 in 1999.Today, the forward P/E ratio for NASDAQ is only 20. Also, last year the P/E ratio was \"just 34,\" which was expensive, but not at the point where we can say an irrational bubble. Furthermore, NASDAQ 100 is currently fairly priced. Thus, it is unlikely that we have the valuation based 2000-like bubble burst on our hands. Thus, I rule out the 2000-like continuation of the tech crash.How likely is a 2008-like tech crash?Second, let's evaluate to 2008-like similarities. The 2008 crash was essentially the credit crunch, primarily caused by the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy. In 2008, the housing bubble was at the heart of the problem, and financial institutions held the \"toxic waste\" assets on and off their balance sheets, and nobody could tell which financial institution would go bankrupt next.The credit risk spreads today are low/moderate, which indicates little fear of the credit crunch. Here is the spread between the BBB rated corporate bonds yield and the 10Y Treasury Bond yield. The current value is 2.27%, which is only moderate based on the historical values, and it would have to spike to above 3% to become worrisome.FREDYes, the housing market is currently correcting, but we don't have the similar problem with the ARM mortgages and the subprime mortgages like in 2008. Thus, I don't anticipate the credit crunch like in 2008, and thus rule out the 2008-like tech crash continuation.What else can cause a NASDAQ crash continuation?Every crisis is different. Yet, all stock market selloffs always happen due to: 1) a liquidity shock, 2) a deep recession, or 3) a credit crunch. In addition to these variables, there is always the risk of an extraordinary geopolitical event, or other internationally related crisis.The QQQ selloff YTD was due to the Fed-induced liquidity shock, as I warned during the first half of the year. Specifically, I warned that \"the Fed will talk the talk and walk the walk,\" and that the stock market was40-50% overvalued. Those were the reasons to sell stocks earlier this year, but most of them are priced in now.As previously stated, we are likely at the peak Fed hawkishness. Additionally, the mild-to-modest upcoming recession, with the unemployment rate climbing to up to 4.4% is likely priced in, given the forward P/E ratio of 20. Yes, there could be some additional selling, but nothing like in 2000 or 2008.In addition, as previously mentioned, it is unlikely that the Fed would allow additional domestic Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, and the current macro environment is nothing like in 2008.Yet, the geopolitical situation is currently very tense with the war between Ukraine and Russia, and the probability of a nuclear war is definitely above 0%. Furthermore, the relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is increasing the probability of the 1997-like crisis \"somewhere.\"However, any severe geopolitical escalation or a serious international financial crisis is likely to cause the Fed's dovish pivot, which could, in fact, cause a rally in stocks.So, where is the bottom?Thus, based on the current situation, it seems appropriate to shift from a bearish view on QQQ to neutral. Recommending to sell QQQ at this point after the 33% correction requires a high probability of an additional adverse event. At this point, there are no indications of: 1) a severe deep recession, 2) the 2008-like credit crunch, or 3) the 2000-like bubble burst.The long-term technical support for QQQ seems to be at the current level (200wma), but I would stop short from calling it a definitive bottom. The technical breakdown below the support could cause further short selling by the trend-followers and stop-loss selling by the bottom pickers, which could push the QQQ price even lower over the short term.Plus, while we anticipate the peak in Fed hawkishness, but we still do not have any indications of the Fed pivot from the Fed itself, neither the verified peak in the CPI inflation.For these reasons, I would still not recommend buying QQQ. However, I do see the higher probability of next 15%+ move to the upside than to the downside (scenario 2). Thus, if the 200wma support decisively holds, I would be inclined to initiate a speculative QQQ long and reevaluate whether the definite bottom has been reached afterwards.In fact, the bear market bottoms become obvious only sometime after they have been reached.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9912760265,"gmtCreate":1664904604057,"gmtModify":1676537526375,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks","listText":"Thanks","text":"Thanks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9912760265","repostId":"2272199820","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2272199820","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1664896561,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2272199820?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-04 23:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2272199820","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Investors can&#39;t seem to catch a break these days. The &#34;three stocks to avoid&#34; in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- <b>Cracker Barrel Old Country Store</b>, <b>Rite Aid</b>, and <b>Lennar</b> -- fell 6%, 29%, and 3%, respectively, averaging out to a 12.7% decline.</p><p>The <b>S&amp;P 500</b> experienced a 2.9% move lower, so I was correct. I have been right in 32 of the past 50 weeks, or 64% of the time.</p><p>Now let&#39;s look at the week ahead. I see <b>Apple</b>, <b>Conagra Brands</b>, and <b>Gold Fields</b> as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let&#39;s go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.</p><h2><b>1. Apple</b></h2><p>The country&#39;s most valuable company by market cap -- the only one currently perched above $2 trillion in value -- proved mortal last week. The consumer tech giant tumbled 8%, a big drop for a titan that was previously holding up well against the correcting market. Apple is finally trading closer to its 52-week low than its high.</p><p>The new iPhone 14 may have generated some buzz when it was unveiled a few weeks ago, but consumers have tired of annual upgrade cycles for smartphones. The incremental improvements are nice, but they may not be enough to woo shoppers who are already clutching their savings harder than they have in a long time.</p><p>There was a notable analyst downgrade last week. Wamsi Mohan at <b>Bank of America</b> thinks the global climate of inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflict will weigh on the previously waterproof Apple stock. As a company with heavy volume outside the U.S. market, it&#39;s worth noting that the strong dollar will eat into reported revenue from those overseas transactions. There was also a Bloomberg story reporting that Apple is asking suppliers to pare back iPhone 14 production in light of uninspiring global demand.</p><p>Is Apple overvalued at 23 times trailing earnings? Apple is a company that seems to have one good fiscal year followed by two years of single-digit and sometimes even negative revenue growth. It could bounce back after last week&#39;s setback, but when I see all those wireless company ads pitching iPhones for practically nothing, I see a behemoth behind an aspirational brand that could be in trouble.</p><h2><b>2. Conagra Brands</b></h2><p>Instinctively, you don&#39;t want to bet against Conagra Brands. It&#39;s the company that stocks supermarket shelves with Duncan Hines cake mix, Slim Jim jerky, and Hunt&#39;s ketchup. Even in a recession, we have to eat. The problem for a king of brands is that rising food prices are probably sending shoppers to lower-margin house brands. Why buy Conagra&#39;s Pam or Reddi-Wip when the store-brand version of the cooking spray or whipped cream is easier on the pocket?</p><p>Conagra reports financial results for its fiscal first quarter on Thursday morning. Analysts aren&#39;t holding out for much, and it&#39;s not as if Conagra is an upbeat earnings surprise machine after beating Wall Street profit targets just once over the past three reports. The market sees Conagra growing its revenue by less than 5% this fiscal year, with earnings per share rising even less than that. Sales are expected to slow to just 1% growth next fiscal year. The 3.8% yield should provide some support, but it&#39;s not exactly the safe haven it plays itself out to be.</p><h2><b>3. Gold Fields</b></h2><p>September was brutal. It was the market&#39;s worst month since March 2020. It was also the worst September -- a month that has historically been challenging -- in 20 years. The bear market may not be over, but it wouldn&#39;t surprise me if there was at least a small bounce early in October. This call finds me eyeing Gold Fields.</p><p>I&#39;m not an expert on South African gold mining stocks, but I saw what happened last week. As most stocks tumbled, precious metals proved shiny. Half of the 10 largest stocks to gain at least 10% last week were gold miners, and Gold Fields commands the largest market of the five stocks on that list. The fundamentals for Gold Fields are fine, and it&#39;s in the process of gobbling up a smaller player to expand its global footprint. However, I needed to find a sector that could slide at the expense of a market rally, and tag, you&#39;re it, Gold Fields.</p><p>It&#39;s going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you&#39;re looking for safe stocks, you aren&#39;t likely to find them in Apple, Conagra, and Gold Fields this week.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-04 23:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Investors can't seem to catch a break these days. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Rite Aid, and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/02/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2272199820","content_text":"Investors can't seem to catch a break these days. The \"three stocks to avoid\" in my column last week that I thought were going to lose to the market -- Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Rite Aid, and Lennar -- fell 6%, 29%, and 3%, respectively, averaging out to a 12.7% decline.The S&P 500 experienced a 2.9% move lower, so I was correct. I have been right in 32 of the past 50 weeks, or 64% of the time.Now let's look at the week ahead. I see Apple, Conagra Brands, and Gold Fields as stocks you might want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.1. AppleThe country's most valuable company by market cap -- the only one currently perched above $2 trillion in value -- proved mortal last week. The consumer tech giant tumbled 8%, a big drop for a titan that was previously holding up well against the correcting market. Apple is finally trading closer to its 52-week low than its high.The new iPhone 14 may have generated some buzz when it was unveiled a few weeks ago, but consumers have tired of annual upgrade cycles for smartphones. The incremental improvements are nice, but they may not be enough to woo shoppers who are already clutching their savings harder than they have in a long time.There was a notable analyst downgrade last week. Wamsi Mohan at Bank of America thinks the global climate of inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical conflict will weigh on the previously waterproof Apple stock. As a company with heavy volume outside the U.S. market, it's worth noting that the strong dollar will eat into reported revenue from those overseas transactions. There was also a Bloomberg story reporting that Apple is asking suppliers to pare back iPhone 14 production in light of uninspiring global demand.Is Apple overvalued at 23 times trailing earnings? Apple is a company that seems to have one good fiscal year followed by two years of single-digit and sometimes even negative revenue growth. It could bounce back after last week's setback, but when I see all those wireless company ads pitching iPhones for practically nothing, I see a behemoth behind an aspirational brand that could be in trouble.2. Conagra BrandsInstinctively, you don't want to bet against Conagra Brands. It's the company that stocks supermarket shelves with Duncan Hines cake mix, Slim Jim jerky, and Hunt's ketchup. Even in a recession, we have to eat. The problem for a king of brands is that rising food prices are probably sending shoppers to lower-margin house brands. Why buy Conagra's Pam or Reddi-Wip when the store-brand version of the cooking spray or whipped cream is easier on the pocket?Conagra reports financial results for its fiscal first quarter on Thursday morning. Analysts aren't holding out for much, and it's not as if Conagra is an upbeat earnings surprise machine after beating Wall Street profit targets just once over the past three reports. The market sees Conagra growing its revenue by less than 5% this fiscal year, with earnings per share rising even less than that. Sales are expected to slow to just 1% growth next fiscal year. The 3.8% yield should provide some support, but it's not exactly the safe haven it plays itself out to be.3. Gold FieldsSeptember was brutal. It was the market's worst month since March 2020. It was also the worst September -- a month that has historically been challenging -- in 20 years. The bear market may not be over, but it wouldn't surprise me if there was at least a small bounce early in October. This call finds me eyeing Gold Fields.I'm not an expert on South African gold mining stocks, but I saw what happened last week. As most stocks tumbled, precious metals proved shiny. Half of the 10 largest stocks to gain at least 10% last week were gold miners, and Gold Fields commands the largest market of the five stocks on that list. The fundamentals for Gold Fields are fine, and it's in the process of gobbling up a smaller player to expand its global footprint. However, I needed to find a sector that could slide at the expense of a market rally, and tag, you're it, Gold Fields.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in Apple, Conagra, and Gold Fields this week.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":566,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":219462407127240,"gmtCreate":1694598928885,"gmtModify":1694598930783,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/FFIE\">$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>","text":"$Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/219462407127240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943445476,"gmtCreate":1679662024596,"gmtModify":1679662027936,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943445476","repostId":"2321935181","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":553,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9981069409,"gmtCreate":1666347612401,"gmtModify":1676537744938,"author":{"id":"4102558411634440","authorId":"4102558411634440","name":"saket","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/310d87e21becc392b55d1fb064bc5628","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4102558411634440","authorIdStr":"4102558411634440"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9981069409","repostId":"2276008122","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2276008122","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1666143852,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2276008122?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-19 09:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Faraday Future Sheds Jobs, Cuts Salaries to Conserve Cash; Interim CFO Quits","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2276008122","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (NASDAQ:FFIE) said Tuesday it eliminated jobs and cut salaries i","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FFIE\">Faraday Future</a> Intelligent Electric (NASDAQ:FFIE) said Tuesday it eliminated jobs and cut salaries in exchange for equity, among other cost cuts to conserve cash.</p><p>The EV maker&#39;s interim CFO Becky Roof also resigned, effective immediately.</p><p>Faraday Future (FFIE) clarified that the resignation was not a result of any disagreement with its independent auditors or management.</p><p>The firm said its total expected cash burn from Sept. 1 to Dec. 31 is ~$100M-$150M and ~$515M-$565M for FY22.</p><p>As of Sept. 21, Faraday Future (FFIE) had ~$38.7M of cash on hand.</p><p>Financings announced so far can fund the estimated cash burn only partially. The firm is in talks to raise additional capital to fund 2022 and beyond.</p><p>Faraday Future (FFIE) is continuing its search for a permanent CFO and expects to announce a new accounting chief, who will serve as interim CFO, in the near future.</p><p>Shares of Faraday Future (FFIE) edged 1.3% higher after hours on Tuesday.</p><p>Earlier this month, the company disclosed that three board members resigned after receiving death threats tied to mismanagement allegations.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Faraday Future Sheds Jobs, Cuts Salaries to Conserve Cash; Interim CFO Quits</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFaraday Future Sheds Jobs, Cuts Salaries to Conserve Cash; Interim CFO Quits\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-19 09:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3892471-faraday-future-sheds-jobs-cuts-salaries-to-conserve-cash-interim-cfo-quits><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (NASDAQ:FFIE) said Tuesday it eliminated jobs and cut salaries in exchange for equity, among other cost cuts to conserve cash.The EV maker's interim CFO Becky Roof ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3892471-faraday-future-sheds-jobs-cuts-salaries-to-conserve-cash-interim-cfo-quits\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FFIE":"Faraday Future"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3892471-faraday-future-sheds-jobs-cuts-salaries-to-conserve-cash-interim-cfo-quits","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2276008122","content_text":"Faraday Future Intelligent Electric (NASDAQ:FFIE) said Tuesday it eliminated jobs and cut salaries in exchange for equity, among other cost cuts to conserve cash.The EV maker's interim CFO Becky Roof also resigned, effective immediately.Faraday Future (FFIE) clarified that the resignation was not a result of any disagreement with its independent auditors or management.The firm said its total expected cash burn from Sept. 1 to Dec. 31 is ~$100M-$150M and ~$515M-$565M for FY22.As of Sept. 21, Faraday Future (FFIE) had ~$38.7M of cash on hand.Financings announced so far can fund the estimated cash burn only partially. The firm is in talks to raise additional capital to fund 2022 and beyond.Faraday Future (FFIE) is continuing its search for a permanent CFO and expects to announce a new accounting chief, who will serve as interim CFO, in the near future.Shares of Faraday Future (FFIE) edged 1.3% higher after hours on Tuesday.Earlier this month, the company disclosed that three board members resigned after receiving death threats tied to mismanagement allegations.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":824,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}