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2022-12-20

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@期权小班长:PUT佔比創新高意味着什麼，學習一下機構的這種操作

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GPU的美國客戶提供必要的出口支持。我勸大家不要因爲這件事對於政策走向產生過度恐慌。對股市走勢的影響，類比的話，可以參考6月底那些財報預警披露的影響，如果這兩晚止跌就說明沒事。2、期權市場情況：昨晚震盪讓人產生恐慌的另一個原因是大家查看期權大單會發現多了很多千億級別的put訂單。很多股票的call&nbsp;put都創了新低，說明週三期權交易中put成交量遠大於call，比如亞馬遜，SHOP，AMZN，TSLA，以及風口浪尖的NVDA如果對大單一知半解確實會恐慌，我不是說了大單金額越大代表了確定性越高嗎？put行權價越價內，代表看空越明確？但問題是： 到底是什麼方向的確定性越高？ 什麼策略中，put越價內看空越明確？ 這是要搞懂的兩個問題，這兩個問題明白了你的期權大單也就入門了。昨天的大單跟之前蘋果大單有一個明確的不同是，這些put都是成對出現的，同一時間下單的put可以找到兩對或者兩對以上。那麼這種情況下我們默認交易者做了一組put價差策略。而這些組put價差策略，put全部都在價內。我們知道價差策略有牛市策略和熊市策略，牛市看不跌，熊市看不漲，所以從put下單金額上，我們並不能直接判斷這些大單就是看空方","listText":"1、昨天寫完文章後看了一眼，市場行情還行，還感慨這次大單很及時，跟之前不一樣買完第二天反彈了，結果今天早上一看，嗯，還是跟前兩週見頂時一樣，市場還要再震盪兩天。昨天大跌主要受到英偉達芯片事件的影響，公司稱收到美國官方通知，若對中國（含中國香港）和俄羅斯的客戶出口兩款高端GPU芯片——A100和H100，需要新的出口許可。英偉達表示，其季度銷售額可能會因限制銷售損失多達4億美元。AMD同樣也收到了限制高端芯片出口的通知。不過今天盤前又有了最新消息，英偉達表示，美國政府已授權出口、再出口和國內轉讓，以繼續開發H100集成電路。該授權還允許公司在2023年3月1日前爲A100 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