TheEquityBluprint
TheEquityBluprint
20years US China Economist/Analyst. Pro Insights Available On Substack.
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S&P500 Surges 21%--The Rally Nobody Belived In. The S&P 500's powerful 21% surge from its April lows has pushed the index above 5,900 meeting our targets that was shared daily yet investor conviction remains surprisingly muted. This disconnect between price action and sentiment may present opportunities for disciplined investors. The Rally in Perspective - 21% gain in 25 trading days (nearly 1% daily) - Break above 5,900 marks year-to-date positive territory - Weekly MACD gaining momentum 1. Improving Market Breadth - 50% of SPX components now above 200-day MA - Equal-weight participation strengthening 2. Persistent Skepticism - Hedge fund positioning remains cautious - CTA exposure still below historical norms 3. Technical Strength - No significant divergence signals yet - Momentu
Global markets surged Sunday night after signs of easing tensions between major economies. S&P 500 futures jumped over 1.34% (5754) to surpass our initial target of 5700 and now 5750, which we have discussed all week, while the market was calling for a consolidation. Over the weekends, investors welcome good news:- - Progress in US-China trade talks (though tariff details remain unclear) - Potential de-escalation in Ukraine (Zelensky agrees to Putin meeting) - Ceasefire between India and Pakistan (mediated by the U.S.) Early Market Reactions: Safe Havens Crumbling: Gold, Treasuries Drop - Risk-On Sentiment: Safe havens like gold and Treasuries dipped - Cyclicals Outperform: Oil and industrial commodities rose - Currency Moves: The yen weakened as investors shifted to riskier assets Key

(9th May) Members Only

Taking a short pause here. It’s a period where things could get explosive and i’m getting subscribers onto the front rows of market with vital, important datas and signals to get them ahead of retail investors first. Will be back soon. ❤️
(9th May) Members Only

(8th May) The Silent Rally 90% Investors Missed

The S&P 500’s late-day rebound yesterday wasn’t random—it could be traced to Trump’s comments about easing global chip restrictions, giving semiconductor stocks (and the broader tech sector) a much-needed boost. NVIDIA ($NVDA), a key AI bellwether, jumped to its highest level since late March on the news and i’m hopeful $NVDA to move up to $120-$122 though ARM’s (-6.8%) post-close warning reminded us that not all tech names are out of the woods yet. Key Takeaways from Wednesday’s Session - Tech’s Policy-Driven Rebound: The chip-curbs discussion provided a catalyst for beaten-down semis, though selectivity remains critical (as ARM’s drop shows). - FOMC Non-Event: The Fed’s unanimous vote and steady messaging reinforced the "wait and see" stance—but policy is in good place without new ha
(8th May) The Silent Rally 90% Investors Missed
(8th May) The Silent Rally 90% Missed The S&P 500’s late-day rebound yesterday wasn’t random—it could be traced to Trump’s comments about easing global chip restrictions, giving semiconductor stocks (and the broader tech sector) a much-needed boost. NVIDIA ($NVDA), a key AI bellwether, jumped to its highest level since late March on the news and i’m hopeful $NVDA to move up to $120-$122 though ARM’s (-6.8%) post-close warning reminded us that not all tech names are out of the woods yet. Key Takeaways from Wednesday’s Session - Tech’s Policy-Driven Rebound: The chip-curbs discussion provided a catalyst for beaten-down semis, though selectivity remains critical (as ARM’s drop shows). - FOMC Non-Event: The Fed’s unanimous vote and steady messaging reinforced the "wait and see" stance—but
China Announces Comprehensive Policy Package to Stabilize Economy and Engage in Talks China has introduced a series of targeted economic support policies aimed at mitigating trade pressures and stimulating growth: - Support for Tariff-Affected Firms: New policies will assist businesses impacted by trade restrictions. - SME & Private Sector Financing: A dedicated financing framework will improve credit access for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and private companies. - Capital Market Stabilization: Insurance companies’ equity investment risk thresholds will be lowered to bolster market confidence. - Property Market Financing Reforms: A revised credit system will better align with the real estate sector's needs. Monetary Policy Easing The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has
Intraday Market Update: The S&P 500 is showing only minor consolidation after paring earlier losses (-0.7% at lows) on stronger-than-expected economic data. With no confirmed sell signals and resilient price action, the path of least resistance remains higher. While a deeper pullback could still happen, sustained weakness looks unlikely this week. I’m looking at a retest of last friday’s highs, then 5,700 (breaking open could lead path to 5,750-5,800 resistance). Immediate Support at 5,566.

5th May- Earnings Fuel Rally? Read Now.

This week, the S&P 500 surged 2.92% to 5,686, completely erasing its post-"Liberation Day" slump, while the Nasdaq jumped 3.42% to 17,977– another decisive move higher. What’s Driving the Rally? 1. Earnings Are Beating – By a Lot - 77% of S&P 500 companies have topped estimates so far, with an average beat of 9%– better than the 5-year (8.8%) and 10-year (7%) averages which means corporate America is delivering, justifying the market’s run-up. 2. Small Caps Are Waking Up - After lagging for months, small-caps have broken out vs. the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 to their highest levels since March. - This suggests broader market participation, not just mega-cap tech carrying the load. The Big Question: How Much Higher? The S&P 500 is now eyeing 5,740– a key psychological level. Bu
5th May- Earnings Fuel Rally? Read Now.

What They Won't Tell You About This Rally

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq continue their impressive climb, with SPX eyeing the psychologically important 5,740 level. But here’s what you need to know: this rally is getting tired. Key Market Observations 1. The Exhaustion Signals Are Flashing - SPY and QQQ are showing their first meaningful upside exhaustion signals since this rally began - The VIX, which we correctly shared on our updates, had another 7-10% downside, has now reached our target in the low 20s and looks to consolidate and bounce - These converging signals suggest we’re due for at least a short-term consolidation 2. Why This Isn’t Bearish – Just Normal - After such a powerful rally, markets rarely collapse – they typically digest gains through time - The overall trend remains positive, but the easy money has been made for
What They Won't Tell You About This Rally
Only fentanyl related items lah. 
White House: China Now Faces up to a 245% Tariff on Imports to the United States as a Result of Its Retaliatory Actions
Oil at 9mth Low, dollar is peaking, CPI highly likely to come in favourably. Let's have a couple more toast before reality checks in.
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Oil at 9mth low, USD is peaking, CPI should come in 7.9-8.2, feels good going into the week, Let's have a couple rounds of toast short-term
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Bring it down 7.8% and let's go on with a couple of burst...before reality check.
U.S. Stock Futures Inch Higher Ahead of Inflation Report
Chinese internet companies are now better investments. $CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$$Alibaba(BABA)$$Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$
If You Think Tech Has Bottomed, Consider These Stocks
People forgets we're in QT. Rate hikes takes several quarters before it reflects and we're notdone yet. Earnings will take some beating.
4 Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever
This will hurt. Go with China ADRs, their first in but surely first out too from all these global headwinds. $kweb $baba $tcehy $nio $jd $pdd
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We're in for a brief upside. Let's go! 
Dow Climbs 100 Points to Start the Week as Market’s Relief Rally Pushes Higher
Valuation is indeed expensive. Consumer staples and energy sector could be a better proposition in such times. Chinese ADRs Is the way to go....
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Market is up ahead of CPI report tomorrow which makes alot of sense.
U.S. Stocks Took off in Morning Trading; Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Jumped over 1%

$baba 92.1 $kweb 28.4

PCAOB to HK for inspection of CN ADR audits mid sep. State Council to back Internet platform compnies with Special Loans. Zero Covid easing likely on 4Q It's all in the pipeline, China will Be first in firstout. Long term accumulation.  $baba 92.1 $kweb 28.4  
$baba 92.1 $kweb 28.4

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