TRIGGER TRADES
TRIGGER TRADES
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04-05 08:46

$NDX Tests 200DMA Rejection Zone as W5 Downside Targets 22,400

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ W5 is LOADING. W4 bounce is coiling into the Daily FVG at 24,267–24,721. 200-DMA sitting right there too. That's the rejection zone. Above 24,510 and I reassess. Below it — W5 decline is on NEXT. Downside target: Monthly FVG at 22,400 Bearish SMT w/ $DJI still active at the March 23 high. That divergence holds — this bounce gets sold HARD. You've been warned. This will change how you use Elliott Wave. EW 2.0 is now MECHANICAL: ↳ Detects 3rd waves ↳ Locks in the W4 high-probability zone ↳ Projects W5 targets automatically No reinterpretation. No moving the goalposts. No manual counting. The cornerstone of Elliott Wave 2.0 — and the best Elliott Wave indicator ever built. It's not close. Just a repeatable framework you can actually
$NDX Tests 200DMA Rejection Zone as W5 Downside Targets 22,400
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04-04 11:21

NFP Fades, $SPX Still Faces 200-DMA Rejection Risk Ahead of CPI

NFP was a dud. Monday still could give us the 200-DMA rejection — that door isn't closed. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ But a quiet day on Monday puts CPI Friday on deck as the catalyst for the next wave down. Corrections don't always fall clean. The largest ones make you wait — building energy for the next move. My projection reflects that. As I wrote yesterday: SPX pulled back to the bullish Daily FVG at 6554–6427 and bounced sharply — as warned. Price is set for a push into the 200-DMA near 6650 to complete the correction. Then the next wave down begins. NFP drops tomorrow with markets closed. Monday re-open could be the catalyst if we pop. If $ES closes below its Dai
NFP Fades, $SPX Still Faces 200-DMA Rejection Risk Ahead of CPI
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
04-03 16:46

Relief Rally or Bull Trap? $SPX Eyes 200-DMA as $ESmain Breakdown Looms

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ pulled back to the bullish Daily FVG at 6554–6427 and bounced sharply — as warned. Price is set for a push into the 200-DMA near 6650 to complete the correction. Then the next wave down begins. NFP drops tomorrow with markets closed. Monday re-open could be the catalyst if we pop. If $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ closes below its Daily FVG (6481), the wave down triggers early. Either way — this rally gets SOLD. 6178 is still the destination. Projection provided. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ delivered. Members caught the move in real time. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a tradin
Relief Rally or Bull Trap? $SPX Eyes 200-DMA as $ESmain Breakdown Looms

$SPY 5 Wave Decline Signals Another Leg Lower Ahead

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ produced a bearish 5-wave decline from the highs. That structure DEMANDS another leg lower. We've now retraced ~30% of the overall decline and are inside Daily FVG resistance at 6454–6568. Expect price to cross the 2/4 trendline near 6550 — then the next wave down toward 6178 sets up. This rally will get sold HARD. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ should not close above 6568. Warnings were sent. We were leaning for a rally back to the PDH. 5-wave down with bullish SMT (YM). $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ delivered. $ES +230 handles since. Bull trap. As warned. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a t
$SPY 5 Wave Decline Signals Another Leg Lower Ahead

$SPX Roadmap: 2026 Correction, AI-Fueled Melt-Up, Post-2030 Crash

This is the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ official roadmap for the next 5 years. Read this carefully. Stage 1: 20% Correction. (2026) Stage 2: Blow-off top to 10,000. (2026–2030) Stage 3: Worst crash in stock market history. (2030+) This correction is the last great buying opportunity of the DECADE. The blow-off top hasn't happened yet. AI mania will fuel the last leg to 10,000. Then the bubble POPS. Here's what you do: Stack cash on this correction. Ride the blow-off top. Get out before 2030. When I call the bottom — YOU BUY. When I call the top — YOU SELL. By the time people realize I was right all along, it will be too late. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG
$SPX Roadmap: 2026 Correction, AI-Fueled Melt-Up, Post-2030 Crash

$SPX Rally Trap Incoming? 6454–6568 Is the Ceiling

W5 targets have been met ✅ While the 5-waves down calls for an upside retracement, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has formed Daily FVG resistance at 6454–6568. That FVG is expected to CAP any rally. Mondays have been bullish — but I expect any bounce to stay shallow and get rejected at 6454–6568 to produce another leg down. ALT: If we see more downside Monday/fail to rally, this would be favored as a W3 — not a W5 — meaning price continues declining directly to the Monthly FVG at 6178. There is also no longer a bullish SMT divergence with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ , which would have warned of a larger bounce. We don't have that now. Sometimes I amaze myself. Last night's plan called for the
$SPX Rally Trap Incoming? 6454–6568 Is the Ceiling

$SPX $META Bearish Divergence Points to W5 Downside

I'm most known for my $S&P 500(.SPX)$ analysis. But you have NO IDEA what I can do when I branch out. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ — I warned members this was heading to 550–530 when it was still above 600. Now it's at 547 and the targets are being delivered. Imagine what you're missing on the other tickers. SPX, META, it doesn't matter. The EW 2.0 framework works on everything. Despite today's rally, the bear case actually got STRONGER. Bearish SMT divergence with $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ at today's high. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has resolved its sideways chop into a potential W4 triangle — complete A-B-C-D-E structure. Lean: W
$SPX $META Bearish Divergence Points to W5 Downside

$SPX Dead Cat Bounce? Rejection Signals Next Leg Lower

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rallied straight into Daily FVG resistance (6594–6622) + the 200-DMA and rejected BOTH. Looks like a dead cat. Lean: W4 completed at today's 6651 high. W5 down next -> targeting 6465–6420. Invalidation: close above 6622 and/or cross of today's high. Bears still in control. ALT scenario worth respecting — Above today's 6651 high invalidates the immediate W5 decline. Invalidation sits just above current price — tight margins. That opens the door to a larger 2nd/B-Wave rally targeting the next Daily FVG at 6636–6710. Two scenarios, but levels are defined. Chat had a day today. Caught the afternoon fade. Called the bearish ABC at the top. Flagged the H1 FVG target before the drop. Members were ready. For SG users only, Welcome t
$SPX Dead Cat Bounce? Rejection Signals Next Leg Lower

S&P 500 Correction on Track, Targets 5100–5600 Remain

6 weeks ago I told you $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was entering a 20-25% correction. SPX is now down 380+ points from the top and tracking the weekly projection EXACTLY. The target hasn't changed. 5600-5100. We're not done. "Bookmark this. You'll want the receipts later." Here they are. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ -11.51% since $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ -10.18% since $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ -9.25% since $S&P 500(.SPX)$ -7.55% since Halfway to the 20-25% targets. And we're not done. A lot of people are going to wish they paid attention sooner. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and e
S&P 500 Correction on Track, Targets 5100–5600 Remain

$SPX $NDX $DJI Breakdown + $SMCI Short +27% Win

For a bounce, I needed to see at least one index hold the November lows while the others broke them. That's an SMT divergence — it warns that momentum is fading and a reversal is setting up. Instead, $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ all broke those lows together. No divergence. No warning sign. FULL SYNC. When correlated assets move together like this, it confirms the trend — not a reversal. Bearish until a divergence develops. 🎯 $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Short — CLOSED +27.1% Entered $30.53 on 3/18. Target hit in 2 DAYS. W5 did the rest. Straight into the 100% extension at $22.15. 📍 Entry: $
$SPX $NDX $DJI Breakdown + $SMCI Short +27% Win

$SPX Playbook Works: 6,500 Hit, Trend Continues

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ hit our 6,500 mid-term target ✅ But momentum says the wave count is EVOLVING. Leaning toward a bit more downside in the 3rd wave. Then a 4th wave BOUNCE. Then a 5th wave LOWER. The playbook hasn't missed. No reason to stop following it now. Sheesh, my indicator that I developed LAST WEEK is getting better and BETTER. In beta testing, but it helped frame a short today. Nice +25 GAIN 🔥 ALL members of EWC will be able to test it out once I am done refining. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ 🚨 TARGET HIT. I told you MONTHS ago — Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. I never moved the target. Not ONCE. The sell signal triggered. Wave 3 confirmed. $SPX delivered. This is what trusting the S
$SPX Playbook Works: 6,500 Hit, Trend Continues

$SPX Wave 4 Rejection in Play: $TSLA Short Hits +12.83%, Wave 5 Down Next

AS WARNED, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ resolved lower and hit the equal lows in the 3rd wave — EXACTLY as projected. Now in the 4th wave. If its not already complete, expect a rejection at the new bearish Daily FVG at 6,636–6,710 That sets up the 5th wave drop to sweep the November lows at 6,508. If you've been following, you already knew this was coming. Every level. Every wave. MAPPED. Bias remains lower against 6,700. One more leg down to go. Then we'll talk about a bounce. Meanwhile — just closed our $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ short from $438.50. Covered at $382.25. +12.83% on commons. No options. No leverage. Just structure and patience. 3 for 3 in Q1. 100% win rate. 5 more trades open — all green. This isn't luck
$SPX Wave 4 Rejection in Play: $TSLA Short Hits +12.83%, Wave 5 Down Next

$SPX 3rd Wave Down Confirmed, Path Lower Clear

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the Daily FVG resistance exactly as expected and the 3rd wave down is back underway. Path of least resistance: equal lows at $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ 6635 | SPX 6585. This leg resolves into the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Bias remains lower against today's high. No reason to fight this. Pre-FOMC Analysis: "My lean is that we ultimately resolve lower and break last week's lows, targeting the equal lows on the Daily / Weekly at ES 6635" Now -77 points and counting... Projected the rejection. Projected the path. Projected the target. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ delivered. I crush every market I touch. For SG users
$SPX 3rd Wave Down Confirmed, Path Lower Clear

$SPX Bearish Bias Holds, 6500 Target Unless 6760 Break Confirms Rally

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ has now retraced over 50% of Wave 3 — the first warning that a larger Wave 2 / B-Wave correction may be developing. That said, price rejected the nearest Daily FVG resistance, while the fractal count off the lows continues to look corrective. Primary lean: We resolve lower following FOMC targeting the 6550-6500 Monthly FVG As long as today’s high holds, the bearish bias remains valid. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 -
$SPX Bearish Bias Holds, 6500 Target Unless 6760 Break Confirms Rally

Bull Trap? $SPX Rejects 50%, Downtrend Intact Below 6,760

🚨 BULL TRAP Today's bounce was a corrective 3-wave move within the bearish 3rd wave. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the 50% retrace with a bearish SMT vs $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ . $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ equal lows at roughly ~6,580 remain the path of least resistance. Daily close above 6,760 needed to shift the picture. Until then, this rally gets SOLD. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$
Bull Trap? $SPX Rejects 50%, Downtrend Intact Below 6,760

Major Indexes Signal Tops with Multi-Month Correction Expected

I'm leaning the tops are now all in for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ SPX, DJI, and IWM all sent SELL SIGNALS this week while NDX rejected at resistance. SPX topped Jan 28 NDX topped Oct 29 DJI topped Feb 10 IWM topped Jan 21 Expecting a multi-month correction in 2026 with 20–25% drawdown across the board. The path of least resistance is DOWN. SPX has no support until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. The 3rd wave is confirmed and I'm firmly bearish until NDX, SPX, or DJI crosses their November lows. No reason to be bullish right now. SPX Forecast: 2026–2030 Market Cy
Major Indexes Signal Tops with Multi-Month Correction Expected

SPX Next Down Leg Underway, Shallow Bounces Only

3rd wave CONFIRMED. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rejected the bearish Daily FVG and made a lower low. The next leg down is underway. There is NO SUPPORT until the Monthly FVG at 6,550–6,500. Bearish below 6,735. Only shallow bounces expected. The drop I've been warning about? You're watching it. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
SPX Next Down Leg Underway, Shallow Bounces Only

$SPX Turns Bearish After Losing FVG Support

Bulls dropped the ball. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ inverted its H4 FVG support and formed a new bearish Daily FVG at 6,740–6,760. The 3rd wave decline is now PRIMARY. A bounce into the Daily FVG that rejects? That's the trigger. Targets: 6,550-6500 Only a Daily close above 6,760 changes the picture. The window is closing. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
$SPX Turns Bearish After Losing FVG Support

$SPX Eyes 6883 to 6915 Daily FVG if Bulls Push One More Leg Higher

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ produced a corrective decline into the H4 FVG support. Ideal short setup: another leg higher to sweep the weekly high — with potential to extend into the Daily FVG at 6883–6915. But an H4 close below 6734 validates the 3rd wave is already underway — targeting 6550. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2603(NQmain)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$
$SPX Eyes 6883 to 6915 Daily FVG if Bulls Push One More Leg Higher

Optimal Short Zone at 6883–6915 as SPX Approaches Key Daily FVG

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ kissed the 61.8% retrace and respected ~6811 FVG resistance. The 2nd wave is either complete or one leg away from terminating. Leaning toward one more push higher, but CPI can change that fast. An H4 iFVG favors it — and CPI tomorrow becomes the catalyst for the 3rd wave decline into the Monthly FVG at 6550. But the cleaner setup is a push into 6883–6915 — the Daily FVG that already rejected price twice. ▸ That's the optimal short zone. H4 FVG at 6760–6734 is the decision zone. ▸ Holds — another leg higher. ▸ Inverts — 3rd wave is underway. CPI decides. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2603(ESmain)$
Optimal Short Zone at 6883–6915 as SPX Approaches Key Daily FVG

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