The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ just made a new all-time high. But $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ didn’t. 👀 We saw the same divergence in February 2025. What followed? A 20% selloff in just seven weeks. Could history repeat itself? Maybe not. There’s no guarantee we’ll see another 20% drop this time. But this divergence is a warning sign worth watching. 🚨 📉 New highs without confirmation from futures deserve attention. Don't assume the market will crash. But don't ignore the signal, either. Stay alert. Protect your capital. Let price action confirm the next move. 🛡️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expec

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The bearish setup we flagged on Wednesday is now playing out. The ending diagonal has been confirmed, strengthening the case that October’s high could hold for weeks, not just days. 🎯 Downside targets: 7,600 — First target 7,500 — Next downside level Bulls had their chance to defend the structure, but the breakdown has shifted the near-term outlook. ⚠️ Watch how price reacts at 7,600. Until the market shows a convincing reversal, the risk of further downside remains. The top may be in. Now the levels matter. 📊 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully

The bearish $S&P 500(.SPX)$ setup is now taking shape. The ABC-up within the final 5th wave is confirmed, and the daily iFVG has triggered. The weekly signal could be next. My read: the ending diagonal is complete, and the all-time high may hold as the market turns lower. 🎯 First downside target: 7,600 — where the B-wave low aligns with the 2/4 channel. The key now is whether the weekly signal confirms the daily bearish setup. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s no one-size-fits-all choice in investing — and the same goes f

I’m looking for early strength this week, followed by a pullback toward last week’s low, then one final extension higher. 🎯 Final upside targets $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : 7,865–7,900 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : 783.50–787 That’s the zone where I expect the final 5th wave to terminate and the ending diagonal to complete. But the reversal signal matters more than the target. 🚨 The trigger to watch $SPX daily close below 7,754 Equivalent $SPY level: 772.65 A daily close below that threshold would trigger my sell signal and point to the start of a sharp move lower. The plan: Watch for early strength, let the final extension develop, and stay alert for confirmation of the reversal. The upside targets are co

🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ FAKE BULLISH REVERSAL The sell signal TRIGGERED. $SPX pushed lower, then recovered sharply into the close. That rebound looks more like a setup for a short than a confirmed reversal. 👀 I’m watching for the short setup tomorrow. If sellers step back in, the rally could get SOLD. 🎯 Key downside levels: → 7,600 | $SPY 758 next → 7,500 | $SPY 747 if it flushes The key question now: does tomorrow’s bounce attract buyers, or does it become another opportunity for sellers? ⚠️ Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully about where to position next. There’s n

🚨 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ SELL SIGNAL TRIGGERED. The setup just shifted decisively lower. 🔻 Bearish SMT with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ at the August high 🔻 Closed below 7,657 🔻 Daily FVG support has now inverted 🔻 Bearish W3 decline is officially in play The levels I’m watching next: 🎯 $SPX 7,600 If that breaks: ⚠️ $SPX 7,500 And if the selling really accelerates: 💥 $SPY 747 The key change here is the loss of 7,657. That level was holding the structure together. Now it has been lost, and the former support zone has flipped into resistance. 📉 Momentum has shifted. Now we watch whether $SPX can stabilize around 7,600 — or whether the W3 move starts accelerating. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Price has rallied straight back into Daily FVG resistance and is now showing rejection. 📉 I’m leaning toward the 2/B-wave rally topping here. Key levels matter: 🔻 Below 762 on a daily close → SELL SIGNAL → Daily FVG could invert → Opens the door to the next larger wave DOWN 🚀 Above 772.57 → Bearish setup invalidated → Bias flips bullish → ATHs back in play For now, the market is sitting right at the decision zone. 762 = breakdown trigger772.57 = bullish reclaim 👀 Let price confirm the next move. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate expectations keeping markets on edge this week, investors are once again thinking carefully a

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ sold straight into the target. 🎯 The 5-3-5 model was calling for the bounce to get sold, and that’s exactly how it played out. 📐 Price tagged the .618 extension almost to the point — then reversed sharply. That’s the key part of the setup. C-waves commonly terminate around the 50%–61.8% extension of the A-wave, with the 90%–100% range also among the levels I watch. The model projects those potential termination zones before price reaches them. So when price hits the projected level and reverses, the setup is playing out according to the structure rather than simply reacting after the fact. 🔥 This is Elliott Wave 2.0. Map the structure. Project the levels. Wait for price to confirm. Then trade the reaction. Markets are always mo

📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is pushing into ATH territory, but I’m still not chasing this rally. The C-wave extended further than expected, and price has now reached the last Daily FVG resistance zone. That puts the market at an important inflection point. ⚠️ 🔍 The structure matters We now have: 5-wave decline → 3-wave rally → Daily FVG resistance That sequence is keeping me cautious. The rebound has been strong, but from a wave-structure perspective, I still view it as corrective rather than the beginning of a fresh impulsive advance. 🎯 What I’m watching next There are two main scenarios: 🟢 Shallow pullback If buyers keep control and the pullback stays shallow, $SPX could print new highs first before the larger decline develops. 🔴 Sharp selloff If we

$Colgate-Palmolive(CL)$ W4 may be almost done. 👀 The W4/W5 model is still suggesting HIGHER. This is a Grade A setup on the Daily. We already have equal highs sitting above, which gives us a clear W5 objective. 🎯 But before that happens, I want to see one thing: A TAP into the FVG below to complete W4. If we get that reaction, I’ll be watching for the next W5 push HIGHER — ideally with a CISD or iFVG trigger. That would give me the confirmation I want before looking for the next leg up. And there’s another reason I’m watching $CL closely: If crude starts expanding again, it becomes another headwind for equities. ⚠️ That’s exactly why I made the model public. Go test it. Don’t just take my word for it. 👇 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bounce still has room to run. Price hasn’t reached the bearish Daily FVG resistance yet, so I’m not looking to short too early. 👀 That resistance zone lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement — exactly the kind of area where I’d expect sellers to step back in. 📉 Until $SPX gets there, I’m giving this rally some room. But once price reaches that zone? That’s where I’ll be watching closely for rejection. 🎯 The bigger picture remains the same: ➡️ Let the bounce extend ➡️ Wait for the resistance zone ➡️ Look for the rally to get sold ➡️ Then target the higher-degree move LOWER 📉 Patience here. The trap isn’t confirmed until the resistance does its job. 🐻 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing w

The short-term count has changed. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ W4 setup is now invalid, which makes yesterday’s flush look more like W5.e than the start of a sustained rebound. From here, I’m watching for the 2nd/B-wave rally to keep pushing higher into the next bearish FVG resistance. 👀 That’s the area where I want to see bearish SMT divergence with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ start showing up. If that signal develops, the plan is simple: 🚨 Let the bounce extend 🎯 Watch the FVG resistance ⚠️ Look for bearish SMT 📉 Then sell the rally The larger structure hasn’t changed. The bounce may have more room to run first, but the bigger path still points LOWER. 🔻 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowi

The post FOMC pop didn’t have much follow through. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ managed only a shallow rebound before sellers stepped back in and pushed price sharply lower. That keeps the short term structure leaning toward another leg down rather than a clean bullish reversal. For now, I’m treating the current rebound as W4. If that count holds, the bounce should remain below today’s high before W5 brings another move lower. 🔻 The key levels are pretty clear: ⚠️ Above 7632: the immediate W4/W5 setup is invalidated. 🚦 Daily close above 7637: that would shift the setup into a more bullish posture. Until either level is reclaimed, I’m treating rallies as opportunities to sell rather than chasing strength. The next move matters more than the noise around the

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The selloff has delivered the W5 leg lower, and now the setup is starting to look a little different. 👀 Bullish SMT against $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is giving the S&P 500 room for a corrective bounce into the FOMC. I’d expect the first move to stay fairly modest, with 7650–7700 as the initial zone to watch. But I’m not treating that bounce as a trend change. ⚠️ The bigger picture still looks vulnerable. If $SPX reaches that 7650–7700 area, I’d be watching closely for the relief move to run out of steam and sellers to step back in. So for now: 📈 W5 downside leg appears in place 🔄 Bullish SMT supports a corrective rebound 🎯 First bounce zone: 7650–7700 ⚠️ FOMC could provide the catalyst 📉 An

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Friday’s high is the line in the sand. 🔴 Stay below Friday’s high The bearish count remains valid, and I’m looking for W5 lower into FOMC. 🟢 Break above Friday’s high The decline starts looking more like a 3-wave move, which would favor a deeper retracement toward the 61.8% level. There’s another warning for bulls 👀 The bearish SMT at Friday’s high increases the odds of an early pullback Monday. My lean remains simple: W5 lower first. I’ll let price action decide what comes next. 🎯 The Fed meeting is coming, so I’m watching the level, not chasing the noise. When markets keep you watching, knowing when to switch off matters too. A strong U.S. jobs report has put rates back in focus, with this week’s CPI data set to be another ke