TRIGGER TRADES
TRIGGER TRADES
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SPX - How deep will the decline go?

The next major wave down fro $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is starting to unfold – but just how deep will the decline go? Are we just going to hit 5400, or will we plunge all the way to 5120?I’m breaking it all down, diving into key indexes and stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ to give you a clear picture of what's coming next. Don’t miss the next move! $SPDR S&am
SPX - How deep will the decline go?

SPX got CRUSHED beginning the next major wave down

As warned with CONVICTION, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ got CRUSHED beginning the next major wave down.Everything is going exactly as projected, and lean remains we see further downside to 5400 w/ potential to extend all the way down to the 5120.As long as we remain below 5650, we should trace out 5-waves down on the fractal timeframe. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ ImageImageBig opportunity for SPX shorts! 🚨I break down
SPX got CRUSHED beginning the next major wave down

SPX Primed for Ultra Bearish 3rd Wave Flush

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ terminated the 2nd wave and is primed for the ULTRA BEARISH 3RD WAVE FLUSH ! Price holds a bearish WXY model with an impulse down from the 5786 2nd wave extreme that should not be crossed targeting 5390-5210-5120 for the 3rd.Even if the 2nd wave tries to exaggerate, we're still targeting a sharp pullback to 5603 – nothing changes.The multi-year bear market has officially begun, and it's about to make its presence known in a BIG way. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX Primed for Ultra Bearish 3rd Wave Flush

SPX 3rd wave should be unfolding soon

As perfectly projected the past two weeks, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is now in the 2nd wave TERMINATION ZONE holding confluence of the 38.2-50% retraces, Weekly FVG, and 90-100% exts.No indication that the 2nd wave is complete yet, but I am watching a H4 close below 5780 on $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ as the first indication with the loss of the 50% retrace, currently 5695, to favor the ultra bearish 3/4/5 wave sequence beginning.Primarily expecting the 5790-5838 zone to terminate the 2nd wave, just need to make sure we close below 5838 on the Weekly to avoid a bullish inversion.The 3rd wave should be unfolding soon. Brace yourselves! $SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPX 3rd wave should be unfolding soon

SPX WARNING: A MULTI-YEAR BEAR MARKET IS HERE!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ WARNING: A MULTI-YEAR BEAR MARKET IS HERE!The 16-year rally ended at the 6147 high with a bearish ending diagonal formation. We're now in the early stages of a CATASTROPHIC DECLINE, and price is expected to break this 6-month range escalating MUCH LOWER.Although I mirrored the path of the 2007-09 crash, this week's rally could easily be the LAST CHANCE to sell before a 40-60% decline. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 -
SPX WARNING: A MULTI-YEAR BEAR MARKET IS HERE!

SPX is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up! With price confirming a bullish WXY model at Friday's 5603 low, I am expecting one more leg up under the 2nd wave targeting 5750-5825 to set up for the ultra bearish 3/4/5 wave sequence.Get ready ! $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ Here's my analysis yesterday:Despite the SPX struggles, I am still expecting further rally to 5750-5825 for the 2nd wave befor
SPX is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up!

SPX - I am still expecting further rally to 5750-5825

Despite the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ struggles, I am still expecting further rally to 5750-5825 for the 2nd wave before the ultra bearish 3rd.We could see downside manipulation to 5631-5597 before reversing higher, but leaning we continue to close above 5597.Simply put - one more wave up to the blue box is favored before the next big leg(s) down. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ Image
SPX - I am still expecting further rally to 5750-5825

SPX saw a new internal high, but looks like a failed breakout

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ saw a new internal high, but looks like a failed breakout.Now I am leaning we revisit the green Daily FVG potentially crossing 5597 before making the move higher. Probably this bounce could successfully break out SPX 5697-5702 gate then head to 5771.Overall, still leaning we extend the 2nd wave correction to 5750-5825, but likely experience downside before extending up. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmai
SPX saw a new internal high, but looks like a failed breakout

SPX - A new bullish Daily FVG has formed

As expected, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has confirmed the 2nd wave with the close above 5667 - inverting the Daily FVG.A new bullish Daily FVG has formed at 5631-5597 that should now act as support to extend the 2nd wave targeting 5750-5825.However, that 5750-5825 zone is expected to terminate the 2nd to set off the ultra bearish 3/4/5 wave sequence targeting 5120. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ Image
SPX - A new bullish Daily FVG has formed
Bottom in? Just for now - as the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2nd wave is favorably progressing to retrace 38.2-50% of the overall decline. However, this rally is just going to set up the next major plunge escalating the multi-year bear market. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$

SPX is now in prime position to reverse higher for the corrective 2nd wave

With the modest lower low, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is now in prime position to reverse higher for the corrective 2nd wave.A break above 5560 would increase odds as that would cross the trendline from Friday's high, though a Daily above 5667 is needed to confirm leading to the blue retrace zone.Tricky fractal count, but I am leaning the 1st is done & short squeeze is next. Just want that cross above the trendline. Way too risky to short now for sure. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX is now in prime position to reverse higher for the corrective 2nd wave

SPX is exaggerating the 1st fractal wave of the multi-year bear market

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is exaggerating the 1st fractal wave of the multi-year bear market, but is potentially complete to begin a 2nd wave corrective rally.The key is the 50% of Friday's decline, currently 5565. If SPX crosses that, the 2nd wave is confirmed in progression to retrace 38.2-50% of the 1st (5765-5840).There is risk for choppy downside while below 5565, though I lean we likely already completed the 1st wave at today's low. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX is exaggerating the 1st fractal wave of the multi-year bear market

SPX saw more downside as expected before reversing to the upside

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ saw more downside as expected before reversing to the upside.With the bullish reversal, it is favored that price is beginning its 2nd/B-Wave rally targeting 5865.Therefore, look higher against Friday's 5666 low, and anticipate an upside move. However, expect that rally to be sold.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$ImageWatch me catch a 50 point $E-mini S&a
SPX saw more downside as expected before reversing to the upside

SPX holds a very rare, hyper bullish nested 1/2 pattern

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ holds a very rare, hyper bullish nested 1/2 pattern favoring a monster breakout tomorrow!We should at least cross 5865, but there is strong upside potential to reach 5940-5986 during the next wave up.With this super bullish set up, confidence is high that [W4] terminated at yesterday's 5732 low (invalidation) and we are beginning the [W5] rally targeting 6200-6250. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$</
SPX holds a very rare, hyper bullish nested 1/2 pattern

SPX confirmed a bullish WXY model

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ confirmed a bullish WXY model at today's 5732 low - favoring [W4] termination to begin the final [W5] rally.If so, 5732 should not be crossed to escalate [W5] ultimately targeting 6200-6250 before topping.However, if 5732 is crossed, the next wave down may be a bearish 5th wave targeting 5708 - flipping from a bullish to bearish bias suggesting the top is already in. That is invalidated above 5865, which would support the bullish outlook (lean). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX confirmed a bullish WXY model

SPX bulls have a strong opportunity to turn this decline into a bullish WXY model

MAJOR PIVOT ALERT: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bulls have a strong opportunity to turn this decline into a bullish WXY model, leading to a final high for [W5] of Wave 5.A break above 5900 would confirm the WXY model favoring such. If so, today’s 5810 low should not be crossed for [W4] until a new high is made for [W5].However, if price consolidates under 5900, it may be a bearish 3rd wave to decline to 5773-5675 signaling the beginning of the multi-year bear market (Invalid 5900+).I would give the edge to the bulls here, as I prefer the count suggesting [W4] terminating today and there is still a bullish SMT w/ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ at the 2025 low. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SP
SPX bulls have a strong opportunity to turn this decline into a bullish WXY model

TSLA Outlook: Corrective Rally Before Major Downturn

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has topped, as warned to members on 02/09, but it holds a 5-wave diagonal structure at Weekly FVG support suggesting a corrective rally before escalating lower.Lean is Tesla rallies from here to at least cross 325, with upside potential to 362-384. However, that zone should be the termination point to produce the next major wave down.Ultimately, expecting this upcoming rally being the last chance $TSLA holders have to exit before crashing to 138-100 over the next 1-3 years. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$
TSLA Outlook: Corrective Rally Before Major Downturn

SPX Outlook: Bullish Bounce or Bearish Trend Ahead?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ resolved higher as expected after completing its ABC down from its peak.The decline from the high is either a bearish 1st wave to begin the multi-year bear market, or the completion of [W4] to produce one last final high for [W5] before topping.Both scenarios suggest the Daily FVG at 6043-6084 being reached 🎯If a bearish WXY model is formed there, the 3rd wave is the next move targeting the 5773 yearly low w/ downside for more However, a Daily close above 6084 would suggest one last high above 6147 to terminate [W5] to then top and crash. This is invalidated below 5837.66.Currently, just looking higher against Friday’s 5837 low to which a bullish SMT divergence formed against $NASDAQ 100(ND
SPX Outlook: Bullish Bounce or Bearish Trend Ahead?

SPX declined for another leg lower as anticipated

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ declined for another leg lower as anticipated, though a b-wave triangle formed, suggesting this flush will terminate the 1st wave.Price hit the downside targets, so ideally we begin a 2nd wave rally that would currently project to 6009-6043, with 5910+ increasing odds.That said, a bounce followed by new lows could push us toward 5845-5815, possibly even the main downside target of 5773 before the 2nd wave.Either way, keep an eye out for a solid 2nd wave rally before the next big drop escalating the new bear market. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(N
SPX declined for another leg lower as anticipated

SPX was rejected at the resistance zone, forming a bearish structure

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ was rejected at the resistance zone between 5993 -6009, forming a bearish structure. This opens the door for a direct decline to the 5860-5890 area.However, a break above 5987 should lead to 6024-6043, which would be a high probability short zone.Primarily, I expect any rally to be sold, leading to another leg down. A daily close below 5903 would favor 5773 as the easy downside target. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 -
SPX was rejected at the resistance zone, forming a bearish structure

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