IF International
IF International
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avatarIF International
05-05 01:13
$Apple(AAPL)$  On rare occasions do we see bulk opportunities to buy big dips.... But at the same time, there is good  reason to pay attention to Berkshire and their current cash position. Trumps next moves are anybody's guess... If the first 100 days are any guide, the bottom is not close yet. Apple (like it's peers) may appear cheap now, but this may not be the case in the near future.....
Stay liquid.... Stay safe. Remember, we are in a cycle of big ups, and  corresponding downs. The excitement of the surges shouldn't affect a defensive stance based on the uncertainty that is (at this time) unchanged. Trumps backtrack on China tariffs should be viewed as another unpredictable action that offers opportunities, and also leaves us open to the next erratic economic move. Cash and diversification are king in swinging markets, staying the course in these times is the hardest part.
No. Stay liquid. Stay watchful. Be patient. The '90 day tarrif reprieve' is just a distraction to existing uncertainty and only increases risks for those who jump in. Trumps mess is far from over, regardless of final decisions on tariffs... Buying opportunities are there,but only if part a wider defensive strategy.
A quick look back at valuations (and stock prices) suggest that rather than being 'dragged down' the market is correcting to reflect the reality of Trumps recent actions. A surge in prices / valuations December 2024 was based on over exuberance and hopes that the newly elected Trump would open markets and promote opportunities for companies. Now the reality is settling in.... Rather than being dragged down... The market is reacting to uncertainty and fear created from what appears chaotic and amateurish economic, foreign and domestic policies.
$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Balance. The 'stock market' is best used as a component part of a larger machine. Any portfolio should have the ability for potential upside regardless of stock market movements. Offsetting risk in sectors, regions, markets and asset classes (i.e. stocks & fixed income, Gold & foreign Ccy etc.) creates upside / protection from market hits. No portfolio should ever place 100% risk in a single bucket. Hedging, Risk Management and diversification strategies should be a fundamental cornerstone of everyone's investment program.
In more than 30 years working in risk management, there is one rule I adhere to before all others. 'If you are not prepared to flush the money you intend to invest down the toilet, don't invest it'. I have never faltered from this rule, in doing so, have never put anything truly material at risk (like my family, sanity or financial health). Perhaps a little crude, but to the point, and highly effective.

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