Adz5150
Adz5150
Small retail investor, big curiosity. Sharing simple thoughts on stocks, AI, semis, and market psych
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08-08 09:54

💰 Everyone Says “Buy the Dip.” I’m Still Holding Cash. Here’s Why.

#[🎁Reward: Tech Stocks: Buy the Dip or Run for the Exit?] There is a strange assumption in markets that being bullish means you need to be fully invested. I don’t agree. I remain bullish on the long-term AI opportunity. I already have exposure through names including $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, alongside broader positions such as $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$. But I am deliberately not fully invested yet. That is not because I think AI is dead. It is because I think keeping cash available is an investment decision too. 📉 A falling stock is not automatically a cheap stock This is the part I think gets lost during big corrections. When a stock drops 20%, 30% or even 40%, our brains immediately compare the new price with the old high. It looks cheap because it used t
💰 Everyone Says “Buy the Dip.” I’m Still Holding Cash. Here’s Why.
avatarAdz5150
07-17

IBM’s 25% Collapse: A Broken AI Story…or the Start of a Major Market Rotation?

A 25% fall in a company like IBM is not an ordinary earnings reaction. It is the market suddenly questioning an entire investment story. IBM’s preliminary second-quarter revenue came in at approximately $17.2 billion, up only 1% year over year and below expectations of around $17.86 billion. Adjusted earnings of $2.93 per share also fell slightly short of forecasts. But the numbers alone do not fully explain such a violent sell-off. The greater concern was the message behind them. IBM said customers had prioritised spending on servers, storage and memory amid supply constraints and anticipated price increases. That redirected technology budgets away from some software and infrastructure purchases. Management also acknowledged execution failures. Several significant deals did not close as e
IBM’s 25% Collapse: A Broken AI Story…or the Start of a Major Market Rotation?
avatarAdz5150
05-05
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$   $PLTR after earnings still feels like one of the most crowded “obvious” longs in the market. Business might be strong, but when everyone already expects strong, the bar gets stupidly high. That’s why these setups can still drop even on decent numbers. I’m not saying Palantir is bad though. I’m saying price and expectations are two different things. Do people here reckon: bullish long term but shaky short term, or does PLTR just keep squeezing no matter what? 👀 $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Smart US Small Cap ETF Units(USS.NZ)$  
avatarAdz5150
08-04

🚀 Palantir Surges After “Otherworldly” Earnings — Can 93% Growth Finally Justify the Valuation?

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$  Palantir has just delivered one of the strongest earnings reports I have seen "from a major software company! Wow. The company did not merely beat expectations. It nearly doubled revenue, accelerated both sides of its business, generated enormous free cash flow and raised its full year outlook by  roughly half a billion dollars. Shares jumped approximately 12–14% after hours, but one major question remains: Has Palantir finally grown into its premium valuation, or is the market once again getting carried away? 📊 The headline numbers Palantir reported: - Revenue: $1.94 billion, up 93% year over year - Adjusted earnings: $0.41 per share -  U.S. commercial revenue: $764 million, up 149% - U.S. g
🚀 Palantir Surges After “Otherworldly” Earnings — Can 93% Growth Finally Justify the Valuation?
avatarAdz5150
07-13
🚖 Tesla Reclaims $400: Is the Robotaxi Era Finally Here? Tesla has once again captured Wall Street’s attention, climbing back above the psychologically important $400 level following the launch of its Robotaxi service in Miami. For years, Elon Musk has promised that autonomous driving would become Tesla’s biggest value driver. Investors have heard the story before—but this time feels different because there is finally a real-world rollout. ⸻ 📈 What Happened? Tesla shares rallied after news that its Robotaxi service officially began operating in Miami. Rather than another software update or ambitious announcement, this represents one of Tesla’s first large-scale commercial deployments of autonomous ride-hailing technology. Markets reacted positively because investors see Robotaxi as a poten
avatarAdz5150
05-11
WOAH what a weekend.  Hope you all had a good one. A few names I’m watching today are $NVDA, $TSM, $QCOM and $COIN. $NVDA / $TSM still look like the core AI leadership names to me, but after such a strong run I’m more focused on whether momentum can stay supported by demand rather than just multiple expansion. $QCOM is one I still think the market may be underestimating. If edge AI, auto and on-device inference keep building, it feels like there could still be room for a rerating. $COIN is more volatile, but if crypto stays strong and stablecoin economics keep improving, I think it stays an important high-beta name to watch. Main question for today: do leaders keep leading, or do we finally get rotation into laggards?
avatarAdz5150
07-01
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   Most people are asking: "Can AMD keep going?" I think the better question is: Has the AI trade become so crowded that great companies now have to be perfect just to justify their valuation? 💡 My View...? Uh oh!  Today's rally wasn't just about AMD. It was another reminder that the market is willing to aggressively reward any company with a credible AI growth story. The opportunity is enormous... ...but so are expectations. Here he goes 🙄  That's why I think investors should spend less time asking whether AMD is a great business (I think it is) and more time asking what level of future success is already priced into the stock. 📊 Why I Think This - Nobody asked you ADZ • AI infrastructure spending c
avatarAdz5150
07-05
Technology stocks have dominated market conversations for years. Artificial intelligence, semiconductors, cloud computing and the largest technology companies have attracted enormous attention and capital. 🤖💻 But markets rarely move in one direction forever. When leadership begins to broaden and money starts flowing into other parts of the market, it raises an interesting question: is this simply a temporary rotation, or are new opportunities beginning to emerge beyond tech? 👀 Looking Beyond the Biggest Winners 🔎 The strength of the technology sector has been difficult to ignore. AI enthusiasm and strong earnings growth have helped push some technology companies to remarkable valuations. That does not necessarily mean the technology story is over. However, I think there is a difference bet
avatarAdz5150
08-06

📉 AMD Beat the Numbers but Lost the Narrative - What Must Happen Before I Add?

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ As a small AMD shareholder, I am not panicking, not only for my small margin.. or after the post-earnings sell-off but I am also not treating every red candle as an automatic buying opportunity. AMD’s second quarter results were objectively strong. Revenue reached a record $11.54 billion, rising 50% year over year and 13% sequentially. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.66 per share, non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 27%, and Data Center revenue surged 107% to approximately $6.7 billion. Data Center alone represented 58% of AMD’s total quarterly revenue. AMD also guided for third-quarter revenue of approximately $13 billion, plus or minus $300 million, representing roughly 41% annual growth and another 13% sequential increase at the midpoint. Its expecte
📉 AMD Beat the Numbers but Lost the Narrative - What Must Happen Before I Add?
avatarAdz5150
07-18

Nvidia at $203: AI Bargain or Are Expectations Still Too High?

Nvidia has pulled back to around $203 after trading above $206 during the session. For most companies, a drop would immediately raise questions about whether the business is weakening. With Nvidia, the question is different. The company is still producing enormous growth, dominating AI infrastructure and reporting numbers that most businesses could only dream of. The real question is whether even outstanding performance is enough when investors already expect near perfection. Nvidia’s latest quarterly revenue reached a record $81.6 billion, up 85% from a year earlier. Data Centre revenue climbed to $75.2 billion, an increase of 92%. The company also maintained a gross margin of roughly 75%, showing that its growth is still highly profitable. Those numbers suggest the AI investment boom is
Nvidia at $203: AI Bargain or Are Expectations Still Too High?

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