U.S. stock and bond markets are closed on Monday for Independence Day. The highlights next week will be on the economic and policy fronts, with little corporate news. Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings on Thursday, when Stellantis also hosts an investor event to discuss the carmaker’s electrification strategy.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s policy committee publishes minutes from its eventful mid-June meeting, when officials signaled sooner interest-rate increases and tapering of the Fed’s bond-buying program, sending markets falling. The back and forth amongst the members will be closely parsed for more details about the committee’s thinking. G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will convene in Venice starting Friday for a summit, after 130 countries backed a minimum global corporate tax rate last week.
Economic data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June on Tuesday. The Services PMI hit a record high in May. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the May Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists expect job openings to match the April figure, which was the highest reading in the history of the survey.
Monday 7/5
Stock and bond marketsare closed in observance of Independence Day.
Tuesday 7/6
The Institute for SupplyManagement releases its Services Purchasing Managers’ Index for June. Consensus estimate is for a 63 reading, slightly lower than the May data, which was a record. The Services PMI has also had 12 consecutive monthly readings higher than the expansionary level of 50.
The Reserve Bankof Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its cash target rate unchanged at 0.1%, as parts of the country have entered lockdown again to fight the Delta variant of the virus that causes Covid-19.
Wednesday 7/7
The BLS releasesthe Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May. Economists forecast 9.3 million job openings, matching the April figure, the highest since the data were first collected in December 2000.
The Federal Open MarketCommittee releases minutes from its mid-June monetary-policy meeting. Fed officials signaled that interest rates would rise sooner and faster than Wall Street had expected prior to the meeting, as inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 2008. Seven officials now expect rates to be lifted next year, compared with four in March.
The Mortgage BankersAssociation reports mortgage applications for the week ending on July 2. Mortgage applications declined 6.9% this past week and have fallen in four of the past six weekly surveys, as supply constraints have pushed home-price growth to record levels.
Thursday 7/8
Levi Straussreports fiscal second-quarter earnings.
Costco Wholesalereports sales data for June.
Stellantis,the automobile manufacturer formed earlier this year via the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Peugeot, hosts EV Day 2021. The company’s chief executive officer, Carlos Tavares, will discuss Stellantis’ electrification strategy going forward.
The Federal Reservereports consumer credit data for May. Total outstanding consumer credit was a record $4.24 trillion in April, as the continued reopening of the economy and hot housing market spurred shoppers to take on more debt.
The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on July 3. Claims averaged 392,750 a week in June, the lowest since February of last year.
Friday 7/9
Italy hostsa G20 summit of finance ministers and central bank governors. The confab runs from July 9 to July 10 in Venice. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will attend, as the Biden administration pushes for a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15%. This past week, 130 countries, representing more than 90% of global GDP, backed the minimum tax rate after two days of negotiations in Paris.