Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?

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Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?

Motley Fool2024-12-30

Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...

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Reglloyd
·2024-12-30
Always good to read an article on Tesla. Thank you .
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CaseyLKC
·2024-12-30
Okay
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UTOtrader
·2024-12-30
Buy again
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zelia
·2024-12-30
Why keep repeating the same article???? Nothing else better to do than to be a sour grape?
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zelia
·2024-12-28
Sour grape
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As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[{"id":387188423286832,"gmtCreate":1735558956402,"gmtModify":1735558960104,"author":{"id":"4189136748353782","authorId":"4189136748353782","name":"Reglloyd","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/71917acef5ce8717b38e7f29252bca57","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4189136748353782","authorIdStr":"4189136748353782"},"htmlText":"Always good to read an article on Tesla. Thank you .","listText":"Always good to read an article on Tesla. Thank you .","text":"Always good to read an article on Tesla. Thank you .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/387188423286832","repostId":2494483318,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2494483318","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1735524000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2494483318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-30 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2494483318","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.</p></li><li><p>Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.</p></li><li><p>Investors are excited about the company&#39;s future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.</p></li></ul><p>Shares of <strong>Tesla</strong> declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it&#39;s now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.</p><p>Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump&#39;s election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration&#39;s policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.</p><p>With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla&#39;s stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?</p><h2 id=\"id_2721806520\">Tesla&#39;s EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024</h2><p>The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn&#39;t. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% <em>drop</em> from the same period last year. That puts Tesla&#39;s deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.</p><p>That&#39;s a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company&#39;s total revenue. If this part of its business isn&#39;t performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).</p><p>As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can&#39;t happen if sales aren&#39;t keeping up.</p><p>The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like <strong>Ford </strong>and <strong>General Motors </strong>slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.</p><p>Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. <strong>BYD</strong>, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can&#39;t compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3e1eccd0d9264e1c4caf8f2deb2b939\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3123686335\">Deliveries aren&#39;t the main thing driving Tesla stock</h2><p>You might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla&#39;s new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.</p><p>It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won&#39;t come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla&#39;s FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.</p><p>Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.</p><p>FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla&#39;s passenger EVs, but it isn&#39;t actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.</p><p>Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That&#39;s why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.</p><h2 id=\"id_3272353205\">Tesla stock is extremely expensive right now</h2><p>Before investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company&#39;s trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it&#39;s more than twice as expensive as <strong>Nvidia</strong>!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2599b164d8622f793c8d0e6ec76774f4\" alt=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" title=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.</span></p><p>The <strong>Nasdaq-100</strong> technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it&#39;s home to most of Tesla&#39;s big-tech peers, it really puts the company&#39;s sky-high valuation into perspective.</p><p>As I highlighted earlier, Tesla&#39;s deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.</p><p>Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it&#39;s unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won&#39;t enter mass production until 2026.</p><p>As a result, it&#39;s extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don&#39;t own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-30 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2494483318","content_text":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":387178187800768,"gmtCreate":1735556476601,"gmtModify":1735556478471,"author":{"id":"4091363089250230","authorId":"4091363089250230","name":"CaseyLKC","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4091363089250230","authorIdStr":"4091363089250230"},"htmlText":"Okay","listText":"Okay","text":"Okay","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/387178187800768","repostId":2494483318,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2494483318","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1735524000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2494483318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-30 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2494483318","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.</p></li><li><p>Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.</p></li><li><p>Investors are excited about the company&#39;s future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.</p></li></ul><p>Shares of <strong>Tesla</strong> declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it&#39;s now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.</p><p>Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump&#39;s election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration&#39;s policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.</p><p>With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla&#39;s stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?</p><h2 id=\"id_2721806520\">Tesla&#39;s EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024</h2><p>The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn&#39;t. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% <em>drop</em> from the same period last year. That puts Tesla&#39;s deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.</p><p>That&#39;s a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company&#39;s total revenue. If this part of its business isn&#39;t performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).</p><p>As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can&#39;t happen if sales aren&#39;t keeping up.</p><p>The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like <strong>Ford </strong>and <strong>General Motors </strong>slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.</p><p>Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. <strong>BYD</strong>, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can&#39;t compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3e1eccd0d9264e1c4caf8f2deb2b939\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3123686335\">Deliveries aren&#39;t the main thing driving Tesla stock</h2><p>You might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla&#39;s new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.</p><p>It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won&#39;t come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla&#39;s FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.</p><p>Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.</p><p>FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla&#39;s passenger EVs, but it isn&#39;t actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.</p><p>Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That&#39;s why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.</p><h2 id=\"id_3272353205\">Tesla stock is extremely expensive right now</h2><p>Before investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company&#39;s trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it&#39;s more than twice as expensive as <strong>Nvidia</strong>!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2599b164d8622f793c8d0e6ec76774f4\" alt=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" title=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.</span></p><p>The <strong>Nasdaq-100</strong> technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it&#39;s home to most of Tesla&#39;s big-tech peers, it really puts the company&#39;s sky-high valuation into perspective.</p><p>As I highlighted earlier, Tesla&#39;s deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.</p><p>Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it&#39;s unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won&#39;t enter mass production until 2026.</p><p>As a result, it&#39;s extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don&#39;t own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-30 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2494483318","content_text":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":387171751342248,"gmtCreate":1735535494625,"gmtModify":1735535498150,"author":{"id":"3574547619690492","authorId":"3574547619690492","name":"UTOtrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82be6befb29ac8516e463638d3f659d5","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574547619690492","authorIdStr":"3574547619690492"},"htmlText":"Buy again","listText":"Buy again","text":"Buy again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/387171751342248","repostId":2494483318,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2494483318","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1735524000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2494483318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-30 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2494483318","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.</p></li><li><p>Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.</p></li><li><p>Investors are excited about the company&#39;s future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.</p></li></ul><p>Shares of <strong>Tesla</strong> declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it&#39;s now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.</p><p>Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump&#39;s election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration&#39;s policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.</p><p>With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla&#39;s stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?</p><h2 id=\"id_2721806520\">Tesla&#39;s EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024</h2><p>The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn&#39;t. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% <em>drop</em> from the same period last year. That puts Tesla&#39;s deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.</p><p>That&#39;s a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company&#39;s total revenue. If this part of its business isn&#39;t performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).</p><p>As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can&#39;t happen if sales aren&#39;t keeping up.</p><p>The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like <strong>Ford </strong>and <strong>General Motors </strong>slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.</p><p>Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. <strong>BYD</strong>, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can&#39;t compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3e1eccd0d9264e1c4caf8f2deb2b939\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3123686335\">Deliveries aren&#39;t the main thing driving Tesla stock</h2><p>You might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla&#39;s new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.</p><p>It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won&#39;t come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla&#39;s FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.</p><p>Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.</p><p>FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla&#39;s passenger EVs, but it isn&#39;t actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.</p><p>Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That&#39;s why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.</p><h2 id=\"id_3272353205\">Tesla stock is extremely expensive right now</h2><p>Before investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company&#39;s trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it&#39;s more than twice as expensive as <strong>Nvidia</strong>!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2599b164d8622f793c8d0e6ec76774f4\" alt=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" title=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.</span></p><p>The <strong>Nasdaq-100</strong> technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it&#39;s home to most of Tesla&#39;s big-tech peers, it really puts the company&#39;s sky-high valuation into perspective.</p><p>As I highlighted earlier, Tesla&#39;s deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.</p><p>Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it&#39;s unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won&#39;t enter mass production until 2026.</p><p>As a result, it&#39;s extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don&#39;t own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-30 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2494483318","content_text":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":387129327841408,"gmtCreate":1735525057893,"gmtModify":1735525061571,"author":{"id":"4151941377592162","authorId":"4151941377592162","name":"zelia","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4151941377592162","authorIdStr":"4151941377592162"},"htmlText":"Why keep repeating the same article???? Nothing else better to do than to be a sour grape?","listText":"Why keep repeating the same article???? Nothing else better to do than to be a sour grape?","text":"Why keep repeating the same article???? Nothing else better to do than to be a sour grape?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/387129327841408","repostId":2494483318,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2494483318","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1735524000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2494483318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-30 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2494483318","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.</p></li><li><p>Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.</p></li><li><p>Investors are excited about the company&#39;s future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.</p></li></ul><p>Shares of <strong>Tesla</strong> declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it&#39;s now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.</p><p>Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump&#39;s election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration&#39;s policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.</p><p>With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla&#39;s stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?</p><h2 id=\"id_2721806520\">Tesla&#39;s EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024</h2><p>The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn&#39;t. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% <em>drop</em> from the same period last year. That puts Tesla&#39;s deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.</p><p>That&#39;s a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company&#39;s total revenue. If this part of its business isn&#39;t performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).</p><p>As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can&#39;t happen if sales aren&#39;t keeping up.</p><p>The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like <strong>Ford </strong>and <strong>General Motors </strong>slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.</p><p>Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. <strong>BYD</strong>, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can&#39;t compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3e1eccd0d9264e1c4caf8f2deb2b939\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3123686335\">Deliveries aren&#39;t the main thing driving Tesla stock</h2><p>You might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla&#39;s new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.</p><p>It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won&#39;t come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla&#39;s FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.</p><p>Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.</p><p>FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla&#39;s passenger EVs, but it isn&#39;t actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.</p><p>Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That&#39;s why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.</p><h2 id=\"id_3272353205\">Tesla stock is extremely expensive right now</h2><p>Before investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company&#39;s trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it&#39;s more than twice as expensive as <strong>Nvidia</strong>!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2599b164d8622f793c8d0e6ec76774f4\" alt=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" title=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.</span></p><p>The <strong>Nasdaq-100</strong> technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it&#39;s home to most of Tesla&#39;s big-tech peers, it really puts the company&#39;s sky-high valuation into perspective.</p><p>As I highlighted earlier, Tesla&#39;s deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.</p><p>Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it&#39;s unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won&#39;t enter mass production until 2026.</p><p>As a result, it&#39;s extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don&#39;t own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-30 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2494483318","content_text":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":386546176880832,"gmtCreate":1735382687589,"gmtModify":1735382691562,"author":{"id":"4151941377592162","authorId":"4151941377592162","name":"zelia","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4151941377592162","authorIdStr":"4151941377592162"},"htmlText":"Sour grape","listText":"Sour grape","text":"Sour grape","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/386546176880832","repostId":2494483318,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2494483318","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1735524000,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2494483318?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-12-30 10:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2494483318","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed i","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.</p></li><li><p>Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.</p></li><li><p>Investors are excited about the company&#39;s future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.</p></li></ul><p>Shares of <strong>Tesla</strong> declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it&#39;s now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.</p><p>Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump&#39;s election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration&#39;s policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.</p><p>With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla&#39;s stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?</p><h2 id=\"id_2721806520\">Tesla&#39;s EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024</h2><p>The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn&#39;t. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% <em>drop</em> from the same period last year. That puts Tesla&#39;s deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.</p><p>That&#39;s a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company&#39;s total revenue. If this part of its business isn&#39;t performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).</p><p>As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can&#39;t happen if sales aren&#39;t keeping up.</p><p>The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like <strong>Ford </strong>and <strong>General Motors </strong>slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.</p><p>Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. <strong>BYD</strong>, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can&#39;t compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/a3e1eccd0d9264e1c4caf8f2deb2b939\" alt=\"Image source: Tesla.\" title=\"Image source: Tesla.\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\"/><span>Image source: Tesla.</span></p><h2 id=\"id_3123686335\">Deliveries aren&#39;t the main thing driving Tesla stock</h2><p>You might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company&#39;s full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla&#39;s new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.</p><p>It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won&#39;t come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla&#39;s FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.</p><p>Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.</p><p>FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla&#39;s passenger EVs, but it isn&#39;t actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.</p><p>Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood&#39;s Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That&#39;s why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.</p><h2 id=\"id_3272353205\">Tesla stock is extremely expensive right now</h2><p>Before investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company&#39;s trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it&#39;s more than twice as expensive as <strong>Nvidia</strong>!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2599b164d8622f793c8d0e6ec76774f4\" alt=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" title=\"TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"456\"/><span>TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.</span></p><p>The <strong>Nasdaq-100</strong> technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it&#39;s home to most of Tesla&#39;s big-tech peers, it really puts the company&#39;s sky-high valuation into perspective.</p><p>As I highlighted earlier, Tesla&#39;s deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.</p><p>Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it&#39;s unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won&#39;t enter mass production until 2026.</p><p>As a result, it&#39;s extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don&#39;t own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nShould You Buy Tesla Stock Before Jan. 2?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-12-30 10:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","LU1861215975.USD":"贝莱德新一代科技基金 A2","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4555":"新能源车","LU1861220033.SGD":"Blackrock Next Generation Technology A2 SGD-H","LU1551013425.SGD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS H2-SGD","LU0348723411.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL HI-TECH GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU1629891620.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG2\" (H2-HKD) INC","TSLL":"Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU2250418816.HKD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","SG9999015952.SGD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (SGD) ACC","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK4592":"伊斯兰概念","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0823411888.USD":"法巴消费创新基金 Cap","LU0053666078.USD":"摩根大通基金-美国股票A（离岸）美元","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU2213496289.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","IE00B1XK9C88.USD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP RESEARCH ENHANCED \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00BJLML261.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX \"HCH\" (HKD) ACC","BK4099":"汽车制造商","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2249611893.SGD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"CRH\" (SGD) ACC","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0820561909.HKD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AM\" (HKD) INC","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2063271972.USD":"富兰克林创新领域基金","LU2756315664.SGD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMI\" (SGDHDG) INC","SG9999015978.USD":"利安颠覆性创新基金A","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU0823414478.USD":"法巴经典能源转换基金","IE00BK4W5M84.HKD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (HKD) ACC","LU0689472784.USD":"安联收益及增长基金Cl AM AT Acc","LU2023250330.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/12/28/should-you-buy-tesla-stock-before-jan-2/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2494483318","content_text":"Tesla is due to report its electric vehicle delivery numbers for the final quarter of 2024 on Jan. 2.Deliveries are on track to decline on an annual basis for the first time since the company launched the Model S in 2011.Investors are excited about the company's future in autonomous driving, but its stock is extremely expensive at the moment.Shares of Tesla declined by 42% in the first few months of 2024. As of this writing, it's now up by a whopping 86% year to date, and it recently surpassed its all-time high from 2021.Why the stunning turnaround? CEO Elon Musk put his cash and influence behind Donald Trump's election campaign, which may have helped him bring the victory home. As a result, investors are speculating that Tesla will benefit from the incoming administration's policies, which is why most of the gain in its stock for 2024 occurred after Election Day on Nov. 5.With the year drawing to a close, the company is almost due to report its fourth-quarter production and delivery numbers for its electric vehicles (EVs). Those figures should be announced on Jan. 2, and they have the potential to move Tesla's stock. So, should investors buy it beforehand?Tesla's EV deliveries are on track to decline in 2024The stock might be having a great year, but its core business isn't. The company delivered 1.29 million EVs during the first three quarters of 2024, which was a 2.3% drop from the same period last year. That puts Tesla's deliveries on track for their first annual decline since the company launched its flagship Model S in 2011.That's a problem, because EV sales still account for 79% of the company's total revenue. If this part of its business isn't performing, it becomes very hard to justify further upside in its stock (more on this later).As recently as last year, Musk forecast a 50% annual increase in EV production as far as the eye can see, but that production push can't happen if sales aren't keeping up.The company faces a number of challenges. EV demand appears to be softening in general, with legacy automakers like Ford and General Motors slashing billions of dollars from their planned investments into this segment over the last couple of years. Just four months ago, Ford scrapped its new electric sport utility vehicle entirely, after investing $1.9 billion in developing it. It will focus on hybrids instead, which are more familiar to drivers of old-school gas cars and also sell at a cheaper price point.Competition from low-cost EV manufacturers in countries like China have also hurt Tesla. BYD, for example, sells a $10,000 model in China, and it plans to launch it in Europe in 2025. Tesla has a large presence in both of those markets, and it simply can't compete at that price point. That is unlikely to change, because Musk recently canceled his plans to produce a low-cost EV.Image source: Tesla.Deliveries aren't the main thing driving Tesla stockYou might be wondering why Tesla stock is soaring in light of all of the issues I highlighted above. Investors are more focused on the company's full self-driving (FSD) software, which could transform its economics. In fact, the reason Musk scrapped the low-cost EV is because he wants to focus on Tesla's new autonomous robotaxi, which is called the Cybercab.It should enter mass production in 2026, and it won't come with pedals or even a steering wheel because it will run entirely on Tesla's FSD software. The company plans to operate an autonomous ride-hailing network where Cybercabs can earn revenue around the clock by hauling passengers.Consumers will be able to buy them for personal use, or they can use them to operate their own autonomous ride-hailing fleet.FSD is already available in beta mode for owners of Tesla's passenger EVs, but it isn't actually approved for unsupervised use anywhere in the U.S. just yet. Investors are betting the incoming Trump administration will operate a much more easygoing regulatory regime, which could potentially fast-track FSD approval.Top Wall Street technology analyst Dan Ives predicts FSD represents a $1 trillion opportunity for Tesla. Similarly, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest believes the company will generate $1.2 trillion in annual revenue by 2029, with 63% coming from FSD and the Cybercab. That's why Tesla stock rocketed higher after the election -- the sooner FSD is approved, the quicker the company can unlock that value.Tesla stock is extremely expensive right nowBefore investors jump in to buy the stock before Jan. 2, they need to consider its valuation. Based on the company's trailing-12-month earnings per share of $3.65, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 125.That makes it one of the priciest large-cap tech stocks in the U.S. -- it's more than twice as expensive as Nvidia!TSLA PE ratio; data by YCharts.The Nasdaq-100 technology index trades at a P/E of just 33.9, and considering it's home to most of Tesla's big-tech peers, it really puts the company's sky-high valuation into perspective.As I highlighted earlier, Tesla's deliveries are on track to shrink in 2024 once the final numbers for the year are officially reported on Jan. 2. Without growth, its stock has no justifiable reason to trade at such a lofty level.Musk believes deliveries could increase by as much as 30% in 2025. However, it's unclear where that growth will come from, since there is no low-cost EV on the way, and the Cybercab won't enter mass production until 2026.As a result, it's extremely unlikely the Jan. 2 report will contain anything that will make Tesla seem attractive at the current price, so investors who don't own it already might want to sit on the sidelines until we see a meaningful correction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":9,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":5,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}