History Says Now Is the Time to Buy Nvidia Stock

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History Says Now Is the Time to Buy Nvidia Stock

Motley Fool2025-05-13

After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023....

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MIe
·2025-05-14
Nvidia upside
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WealthBuilder
·2025-05-14
Above 100 MA price now, going to the Moon
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ACC"},"translate_title":"历史表明现在是购买英伟达股票的时候了","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"3NVD.UK":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDA":1,"NVDX":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6},"content_text":"After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023.Nvidia's largest customers have indicated that their AI infrastructure spending plans are still on track.History doesn't normally repeat itself, but it often rhymes. So investors can take what has happened in the past as an indicator of what might happen in the future.With that in mind, a pattern seems to be developing with Nvidia stock: It has made large price gains in May in each of the past two years, and the way the stock is set up right now is reminiscent of how it looked before both of those jumps. That could be a sign for investors to buy it now.New year, same valuationNvidia makes graphics processing units (GPUs), which are fantastic tools for anyone looking to perform the types of computing tasks that can benefit from a lot of parallel processing power -- applications like displaying high-resolution video game graphics (the task they were originally designed for) and artificial intelligence (AI) model training.Demand for GPUs exploded in early 2023 as the race to build out data centers to support AI software kicked off. This led to a big jump in Nvidia's stock price in late May of that year after it reported solid first-quarter fiscal 2024 results and offered impressive guidance for fiscal Q2.Fast-forward to May 2024. After Nvidia had already posted incredible results for an entire year, the market wasn't sure whether it could keep its growth rates up. However, it turned in another impressive fiscal Q1 report that sent the stock higher.In May 2025, we're seeing a similar setup. Investors are worried that Nvidia won't be able to deliver the pace of growth they've become accustomed to -- though this time, their concerns are driven by factors such as President Donald Trump's tariffs and fears that a U.S. economic slowdown is imminent. As a result, it's heading toward that quarterly report well off its all-time high and trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio in the neighborhood of 26.That's almost exactly the forward PE that Nvidia was trading at during the past two Mays. However, after reporting solid Q1 growth and giving an upbeat outlook for the rest of the year, the stock often starts to trade in the mid-30s to mid-40s range.NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts. PE Ratio = price-to-earnings ratio.Because the current setup is nearly identical to the last two years, I'm fairly confident that Nvidia will experience a big share price jump following its fiscal Q1 report on May 28, as long as there are no unexpected announcements or revelations regarding new challenges.Q1 will feature a $5.5 billion write-offOne headwind for Nvidia that appeared during this year's Q1 was the U.S. government's decision to limit which high-end chips can be exported to China. Because the export rules changed, Nvidia had to take a $5.5 billion writedown this quarter, which will affect its Q1 earnings. Those export restrictions could also drag on future demand.However, the statements by AI hyperscalers in their own recent Q1 reports indicated that they haven't changed their massive capital expenditure plans for data centers, mostly geared toward AI, despite the increasing macroeconomic headwinds generated by Trump's tariffs. The tens of billions of dollars they plan to spend on cloud infrastructure build-outs should give Nvidia the growth necessary to justify its current valuation and then some.Nvidia believes data center capital expenditures will reach $1 trillion annually by 2028, up from around $400 billion in 2024. If that turns out to be true, then there should still be a ton of long-term upside left in Nvidia's stock.But in the near term, Nvidia's stock may be primed for a big move after it reports earnings on May 28. With that in mind, picking up shares at their current fairly cheap valuation looks like it would be a lucrative move.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":434838510895656,"gmtCreate":1747166203096,"gmtModify":1747166206793,"author":{"id":"3577182936341023","authorId":"3577182936341023","name":"MIe","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3577182936341023","idStr":"3577182936341023"},"htmlText":"Nvidia upside&nbsp;","listText":"Nvidia upside&nbsp;","text":"Nvidia upside","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/434838510895656","repostId":2534949226,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2534949226","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1747136372,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2534949226?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2025-05-13 19:39","market":"fut","language":"en","title":"History Says Now Is the Time to Buy Nvidia Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2534949226","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023.Nvidia's largest customers have indicated that their AI infrastructure spending plans are still on track.","content":"<div>\n<p>After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/05/12/history-says-now-is-the-time-to-buy-nvidia-stock/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHistory Says Now Is the Time to Buy Nvidia Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-05-13 19:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/05/12/history-says-now-is-the-time-to-buy-nvidia-stock/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/05/12/history-says-now-is-the-time-to-buy-nvidia-stock/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr","IE00BK4W5L77.USD":"HSBC GLOBAL FUNDS ICAV US EQUITY INDEX \"HC\" (USD) ACC","LU2168564495.EUR":"AZ ALLOCATION - TREND \"AI\" (EUR) ACC","BK4529":"IDC概念","GB00BDT5M118.USD":"天利环球扩展Alpha基金A Acc","LU2294711713.HKD":"BNP PARIBAS ENERGY TRANSITION \"C\" (HKD) ACC","NVDU":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-Direxion","LU2552382132.HKD":"WELLINGTON US BRAND POWER \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU1815333072.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL FOCUS \"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","LU0964807845.USD":"ALLIANZ INCOME & GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0048584097.USD":"FIDELITY FUNDS  GLOBAL THEMATIC OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0097036916.USD":"贝莱德美国增长A2 USD","NVIW.SI":"NVDA 3xLongSG261006","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","NVD2.UK":"2X NVIDIA ETP","LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","NVDX":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-T-Rex","IE00BQXX3C00.GBP":"GUINNESS GLOBAL INNOVATORS \"C\" (GBP) ACC","NVD":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-GraniteShares","LU1935042991.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME  \"AA\" (SGDHDG) INC","NVD3.UK":"LS 3X NVIDIA","NVDY":"NVDA期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","2NVD.UK":"2X NVIDIA ETP","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","LU2430703095.HKD":"WELLINGTON MULTI-ASSET HIGH INCOME \"AM4\" (HKD) INC","LU2092937148.SGD":"Blackrock ESG Multi-Asset A8 SGD-H","NVDS.UK":"LS -1X NVIDIA","SNVD.UK":"LS -1X NVIDIA","BK4605":"半导体精选","IE00BJJMRX11.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD","LU2092627202.USD":"Blackrock ESG Multi-Asset A8 USD-H","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","NVDD":"1倍做空NVDA ETF-Direxion","3NVD.UK":"LS 3X NVIDIA","LU1935043536.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME \"AA\" (SGDHDG) INC A","LU1642822529.SGD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU1983260115.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Sustainable Equity A2 SGD-H","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","NVDA":"英伟达","SG9999015986.USD":"LIONGLOBAL DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0124676726.USD":"AB SICAV I - SUSTAINABLE US THEMATIC PORTFOLIO \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1815336760.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4141":"半导体产品","LU1084165304.USD":"FIDELITY WORLD \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2420271590.USD":"ALLIANZ SELECT INCOME AND GROWTH \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU2552382215.SGD":"WELLINGTON US BRAND POWER \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/05/12/history-says-now-is-the-time-to-buy-nvidia-stock/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2534949226","content_text":"After each of its first-quarter earnings reports of the past few years, Nvidia's stock has popped.The stock is valued now at almost the exact forward P/E levels as it was in May 2024 and May 2023.Nvidia's largest customers have indicated that their AI infrastructure spending plans are still on track.History doesn't normally repeat itself, but it often rhymes. So investors can take what has happened in the past as an indicator of what might happen in the future.With that in mind, a pattern seems to be developing with Nvidia stock: It has made large price gains in May in each of the past two years, and the way the stock is set up right now is reminiscent of how it looked before both of those jumps. That could be a sign for investors to buy it now.New year, same valuationNvidia makes graphics processing units (GPUs), which are fantastic tools for anyone looking to perform the types of computing tasks that can benefit from a lot of parallel processing power -- applications like displaying high-resolution video game graphics (the task they were originally designed for) and artificial intelligence (AI) model training.Demand for GPUs exploded in early 2023 as the race to build out data centers to support AI software kicked off. This led to a big jump in Nvidia's stock price in late May of that year after it reported solid first-quarter fiscal 2024 results and offered impressive guidance for fiscal Q2.Fast-forward to May 2024. After Nvidia had already posted incredible results for an entire year, the market wasn't sure whether it could keep its growth rates up. However, it turned in another impressive fiscal Q1 report that sent the stock higher.In May 2025, we're seeing a similar setup. Investors are worried that Nvidia won't be able to deliver the pace of growth they've become accustomed to -- though this time, their concerns are driven by factors such as President Donald Trump's tariffs and fears that a U.S. economic slowdown is imminent. As a result, it's heading toward that quarterly report well off its all-time high and trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio in the neighborhood of 26.That's almost exactly the forward PE that Nvidia was trading at during the past two Mays. However, after reporting solid Q1 growth and giving an upbeat outlook for the rest of the year, the stock often starts to trade in the mid-30s to mid-40s range.NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts. PE Ratio = price-to-earnings ratio.Because the current setup is nearly identical to the last two years, I'm fairly confident that Nvidia will experience a big share price jump following its fiscal Q1 report on May 28, as long as there are no unexpected announcements or revelations regarding new challenges.Q1 will feature a $5.5 billion write-offOne headwind for Nvidia that appeared during this year's Q1 was the U.S. government's decision to limit which high-end chips can be exported to China. Because the export rules changed, Nvidia had to take a $5.5 billion writedown this quarter, which will affect its Q1 earnings. Those export restrictions could also drag on future demand.However, the statements by AI hyperscalers in their own recent Q1 reports indicated that they haven't changed their massive capital expenditure plans for data centers, mostly geared toward AI, despite the increasing macroeconomic headwinds generated by Trump's tariffs. The tens of billions of dollars they plan to spend on cloud infrastructure build-outs should give Nvidia the growth necessary to justify its current valuation and then some.Nvidia believes data center capital expenditures will reach $1 trillion annually by 2028, up from around $400 billion in 2024. If that turns out to be true, then there should still be a ton of long-term upside left in Nvidia's stock.But in the near term, Nvidia's stock may be primed for a big move after it reports earnings on May 28. With that in mind, picking up shares at their current fairly cheap valuation looks like it would be a lucrative move.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"3NVD.UK":0.6,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDA":1,"NVDX":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":434844429615336,"gmtCreate":1747154114464,"gmtModify":1747154118072,"author":{"id":"4171803256903022","authorId":"4171803256903022","name":"WealthBuilder","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/c38f4668f8134a2f2f17efffb35d19b4","vip":1,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"4171803256903022","idStr":"4171803256903022"},"htmlText":"Above 100 MA price now, going to the Moon","listText":"Above 100 MA price now, going to the Moon","text":"Above 100 MA price now, going to the Moon","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/434844429615336","repostId":2534949226,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":14,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"isCrawlerRequest":true}