瑞士隆奥:美联储年内或有机会加息 AI股短期超买或需整固
智通财经06-01
智通财经APP获悉,环球科技股向好,纳指5月升8%,升幅远多于标指的5%及道指的3%; 港股亦有相同情况,科指升0.3%,有别于恒指累跌2%。瑞士隆奥全权委托投资组合管理亚洲主管邵志铭长线看好科技股前景,但短线累积一定升幅后,短期或需要有整固。
他分析,科技股今浪跑赢大市主要受惠基本面支撑,企业盈利增长上调,成为牛市的市场基石,但短线已出现超买情况,美伊开战至今相对强弱指标(RSI)已升穿70,虽然仍看好行业前景,但估值上升后已存在一定风险,短期现技术性整固不足为奇。
他强调该行维持超配股票,即使有调整也只是反映超买,建议投资者不应急于离开市场。
邵志铭坦言,AI供应链有结构性支持,当中包含多个高增长板块,会继续成为投资主题,科企业务如涉及出口到海外的话会有望受惠,又指虽然近期新兴市场股市的资金流并非一面倒流入,甚至有轻流净流出迹象,但整体资金池尚算稳定,市场大方向料仍会追逐AI概念。
利率期货显示,美联储今年内或有机会加息,他认为,加息因素对科技股盈利影响相对较少,反而对防守股的影响更大。
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