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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-13
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-10
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Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It
SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al.Howev
Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-07
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Play Defense With The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
SummaryIt's now clear that the July/August rise in equity markets was a bear-market rally that quick
Play Defense With The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-07
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3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.
3 Stocks to Avoid This Week
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-06
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6 Reasons to Buy Apple Stock Now and Never Sell
There's a reason the iPhone maker is the market-cap king.
6 Reasons to Buy Apple Stock Now and Never Sell
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-05
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Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT
Dear Valued Client,US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 Se
Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-01
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-09-01
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Powell Abandons Soft Landing Goal as He Seeks Growth Recession
Fed chief wants weak growth, soft jobs market to cut inflation‘It’s a bit like dripping water tortur
Powell Abandons Soft Landing Goal as He Seeks Growth Recession
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-08-30
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Gabrielle_20
Gabrielle_20
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2022-08-28
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cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree.</li></ul><p><b>Thesis and Background</b></p><p>Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) essentially took a stress test in the past two quarters. And to investors’ relief, it passed the test. Although we look more closely (which we will in the next section), there are still some lingering issues in its scorecard. But overall, its June-quarter results topped expectations despite the multitude of challenges it faced in the first half of the year, including limited production and shutdowns at its factory in Shanghai for most of the quarter, ongoing supply-chain disruptions, and rising labor and raw materials cost. Despite all these challenges, revenues for the June quarter went up 42% YoY and the total deliveries reached almost 255K (a 27% increase YoY). Looking forward, management is targeting record production in the second half of the year.</p><p>At the same time, TSLA has also demonstrated its pricing muscle amid soaring inflation. Later in the article, you will see that the average unit sale price went up by almost 10% compared to the previous quarter and by more than 16% compared to the 4thquarter of 2021. Yet, customers are still flocking to buy its cars as quickly as it can make them.</p><p>Such pricing and the resilience of its integrated production system form a powerful combination. Moreover, its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale. As the Gigafactories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree as elaborated on next immediately.</p><p><b>TSLA’s stress test</b></p><p>The following chart illustrates the nature of the stress test that Tesla just took in the past two quarters. This chart shows the average CFO (cash from operations) per vehicle and also the average unit price per vehicle since 2015. To set the background, you can see very clearly that Tesla has passed the pivot point of critical scale around 2018. Since 2015, it was able to make an improving profit per vehicle while the unit price (i.e., the price tag on each vehicle) has actually been DECLINING. The average price tag for a TSLA vehicle was around $80.9K back in 2015 (when one of my friends joked that it was like driving a piece of jewelry with limited range). The average price declined to $57.5K in 2021, while the net profits soared during the same period, as you can see. And the net profit turned positive in 2018, a clear indicator of passing the breakeven point.</p><p>Then came the stress test in 2022. Due to all of the above-mentioned challenges, the business had to increase the unit price from an average of $57.5K per vehicle in 2021 to $66.5K in Q2 of 2022, a price increase of 15.6%. It is undoubtedly good news that the business has the pricing power to increase the price at such a substantial magnitude. However, the bad news is that the price increase itself is not sufficient to overcome the inflation cost, raw materials, et al. As a result, the net profit per vehicle actually decreased as seen. The average CFO per vehicle reached a peak of $12.2K in 2021 and declined to $9.23K in Q2 2022, a decline of more than 25%.</p><p>So overall, it turned in a good scorecard with some lingering issues, and we will examine these issues more next.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8e7881b443d2c420626b971f109ca311\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"317\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author based on Seeking Alpha data</p><p><b>TSLA’s fixed cost and variable cost</b></p><p>For a production business like TSLA, the basic economics are well-understood and shown in the following chart taken from <i>A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing</i> by Thomas P. Au. As also explained in the book,</p><blockquote><i>Profit is a function of volume, price, and cost, as shown in the next figure. Costs come in two varieties, fixed costs and the variable cost (shown as F and M * V in the figure, where M is the marginal cost of producing an additional unit and V is the production volume). Fix costs include things like plant and equipment (especially the depreciation thereon) and also most capital costs (such as interest expenses). Fixed costs were incurred upfront and do not vary with the level of output. A production business has to first pass the breakeven point to make a profit. After it breaks the critical volume of sales, the fixed costs are spread out on more and more units and profit margins will improve.</i></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5c669923352cb292c185f41f4ea4fd9\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. Au</p><p>The next chart shows how these dynamics are playing out at TSLA. The chart shows my estimates of TSLA’s fixed cost and variable costs. The plot is made in double-logarithmic scales. The blue line shows its total revenue and the orange line shows my best fit to the model above based on its actual data.</p><p>You can see again that the break-even point occurred somewhere close to 100K vehicles (where the blue line and orange intersect). And in reality, its total vehicle deliveries exceeded 100K for the first time in 2017, corroborating the validity of the fit. By calculating the slope of the orange line, we can also determine the variable cost to be about $42,000 per vehicle for TSLA. By extrapolating the orange line to the left, you could see that the fixed cost is about $2 billion. Moreover, by extrapolating the orange line all the way to 1M vehicle delivery (which it aims to reach this year), we can project the fixed cost, the variable cost, and also the profit (i.e., the difference between the blue and orange lines).</p><p>Under a double-log scale, the difference is hard to see. So, in the next section, I will tabulate these numbers and project them into the next few years also.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5520e0e03cd80a27fd4c847f92439068\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p><b>TSLA Stock’s profit and return projections</b></p><p>This next table repeats the same information that I obtained from the fitting (especially, the average fixed cost, variable cost, and net profit per vehicle) shown in the chart above. Except it is presented in a tabular form this time.</p><p>Based on these parameters, we can also make projections about the TSLA’s revenues and profits going forward. To summarize, the key parameters are: A) the variable cost per vehicle is $42,000; and B) a fixed cost of $2B. Finally, I also made the assumption that: A) the operating expenses are 13% of total sales, which is consistent with its current levels; B) it can maintain the current average vehicle price tag of $66,000; and C) its annual production would grow at 30% CAGR.</p><p>As can be seen, based on these projections. Its total revenues are projected to reach about $188B. The projection is quite close to the consensus estimate of $191B in 2026 as shown below. Assuming the consensus estimates are reached by other independent methods, such agreement serves as another good sign of the validity of the above model and fitting. And a fundamental understanding of its variable cost and fixed cost can provide us with powerful insights into its profit drivers and understand future returns.</p><p>For example, right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued. However, with the above fixed cost and variable cost, the table shows that it can benefit from the scale of production to a further degree going forward. Total revenues are projected to reach $188B in 2026 and EBITDA earnings are projected to reach $45B by 2026. Under the current price, price to sales ratio would be about 5.1x in 2026, the EV/sales ratio about 5.2x, and the EV/EBITDA ratio about 21x. The P/S and EV/S ratios would not be that different from the overall market by then.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98d10ac6399c754be5f519058eac954f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"303\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author: TSLA’s profit and return projections</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcc4fe07e1d74f5be8ebf212d915aeb0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"236\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p><b>Final thoughts and risks</b></p><p>To recap, I see the past two quarters as a stress test on Tesla and I further see it passed the test. There should no longer be any doubt about its profitability, production resilience, and pricing power after this test. Going forward, a few catalysts could further boost its profitability in the near future. As the Shanghai Gigafactory resumes operation and factories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree. Its recent advancements in full self-driving software add further optionality and upward potential for shareholders.</p><p>However, there are a few lingering issues on its scorecard. The price increase itself was not sufficient to overcome the rising costs. Profit per vehicle actually decreased by more than 25% despite an almost 16% increase in the average sales price tag per vehicle. Going forward, I see such cost control (raw materials, labor, and general inflation) challenges to persist. And finally, it is just in general difficult to predict things that grow at fast rates, which is an inherent risk with nonlinear stocks like TSLA. TSLA management repeatedly mentioned its goal and confidence of growing deliveries at 50% annual rates, while other sources’ estimates are all over the place. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target. While Cathie Wood believes (or believed) that Tesla can sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. You can see such variance (and hence risks) by the huge difference in the low and high ends of the consensus estimates below. The variance is more than 2x by 2024, more than 3x by 2025, and almost 4x by 2026.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3880cc09103624085d81075fe424881e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"131\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Just Took A Stress Test And Passed It\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-09 23:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al....</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539874-tesla-stock-stress-test-passed?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121193410","content_text":"SummaryThe past two quarters represented a stress test for Tesla.It had to deal with a number of challenges, including limited production, shutdowns at its Shanghai factory, soaring costs, et al.However, its June-quarter results topped expectations largely driven by a healthy ramp-up of total deliveries despite all the challenges.It also demonstrated its pricing muscle and showed that its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale.Going forward, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree.Thesis and BackgroundTesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) essentially took a stress test in the past two quarters. And to investors’ relief, it passed the test. Although we look more closely (which we will in the next section), there are still some lingering issues in its scorecard. But overall, its June-quarter results topped expectations despite the multitude of challenges it faced in the first half of the year, including limited production and shutdowns at its factory in Shanghai for most of the quarter, ongoing supply-chain disruptions, and rising labor and raw materials cost. Despite all these challenges, revenues for the June quarter went up 42% YoY and the total deliveries reached almost 255K (a 27% increase YoY). Looking forward, management is targeting record production in the second half of the year.At the same time, TSLA has also demonstrated its pricing muscle amid soaring inflation. Later in the article, you will see that the average unit sale price went up by almost 10% compared to the previous quarter and by more than 16% compared to the 4thquarter of 2021. Yet, customers are still flocking to buy its cars as quickly as it can make them.Such pricing and the resilience of its integrated production system form a powerful combination. Moreover, its production has clearly passed the pivot point of the critical scale. As the Gigafactories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree as elaborated on next immediately.TSLA’s stress testThe following chart illustrates the nature of the stress test that Tesla just took in the past two quarters. This chart shows the average CFO (cash from operations) per vehicle and also the average unit price per vehicle since 2015. To set the background, you can see very clearly that Tesla has passed the pivot point of critical scale around 2018. Since 2015, it was able to make an improving profit per vehicle while the unit price (i.e., the price tag on each vehicle) has actually been DECLINING. The average price tag for a TSLA vehicle was around $80.9K back in 2015 (when one of my friends joked that it was like driving a piece of jewelry with limited range). The average price declined to $57.5K in 2021, while the net profits soared during the same period, as you can see. And the net profit turned positive in 2018, a clear indicator of passing the breakeven point.Then came the stress test in 2022. Due to all of the above-mentioned challenges, the business had to increase the unit price from an average of $57.5K per vehicle in 2021 to $66.5K in Q2 of 2022, a price increase of 15.6%. It is undoubtedly good news that the business has the pricing power to increase the price at such a substantial magnitude. However, the bad news is that the price increase itself is not sufficient to overcome the inflation cost, raw materials, et al. As a result, the net profit per vehicle actually decreased as seen. The average CFO per vehicle reached a peak of $12.2K in 2021 and declined to $9.23K in Q2 2022, a decline of more than 25%.So overall, it turned in a good scorecard with some lingering issues, and we will examine these issues more next.Author based on Seeking Alpha dataTSLA’s fixed cost and variable costFor a production business like TSLA, the basic economics are well-understood and shown in the following chart taken from A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. Au. As also explained in the book,Profit is a function of volume, price, and cost, as shown in the next figure. Costs come in two varieties, fixed costs and the variable cost (shown as F and M * V in the figure, where M is the marginal cost of producing an additional unit and V is the production volume). Fix costs include things like plant and equipment (especially the depreciation thereon) and also most capital costs (such as interest expenses). Fixed costs were incurred upfront and do not vary with the level of output. A production business has to first pass the breakeven point to make a profit. After it breaks the critical volume of sales, the fixed costs are spread out on more and more units and profit margins will improve.A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing by Thomas P. AuThe next chart shows how these dynamics are playing out at TSLA. The chart shows my estimates of TSLA’s fixed cost and variable costs. The plot is made in double-logarithmic scales. The blue line shows its total revenue and the orange line shows my best fit to the model above based on its actual data.You can see again that the break-even point occurred somewhere close to 100K vehicles (where the blue line and orange intersect). And in reality, its total vehicle deliveries exceeded 100K for the first time in 2017, corroborating the validity of the fit. By calculating the slope of the orange line, we can also determine the variable cost to be about $42,000 per vehicle for TSLA. By extrapolating the orange line to the left, you could see that the fixed cost is about $2 billion. Moreover, by extrapolating the orange line all the way to 1M vehicle delivery (which it aims to reach this year), we can project the fixed cost, the variable cost, and also the profit (i.e., the difference between the blue and orange lines).Under a double-log scale, the difference is hard to see. So, in the next section, I will tabulate these numbers and project them into the next few years also.AuthorTSLA Stock’s profit and return projectionsThis next table repeats the same information that I obtained from the fitting (especially, the average fixed cost, variable cost, and net profit per vehicle) shown in the chart above. Except it is presented in a tabular form this time.Based on these parameters, we can also make projections about the TSLA’s revenues and profits going forward. To summarize, the key parameters are: A) the variable cost per vehicle is $42,000; and B) a fixed cost of $2B. Finally, I also made the assumption that: A) the operating expenses are 13% of total sales, which is consistent with its current levels; B) it can maintain the current average vehicle price tag of $66,000; and C) its annual production would grow at 30% CAGR.As can be seen, based on these projections. Its total revenues are projected to reach about $188B. The projection is quite close to the consensus estimate of $191B in 2026 as shown below. Assuming the consensus estimates are reached by other independent methods, such agreement serves as another good sign of the validity of the above model and fitting. And a fundamental understanding of its variable cost and fixed cost can provide us with powerful insights into its profit drivers and understand future returns.For example, right now, there is no doubt that the business is expensively valued. However, with the above fixed cost and variable cost, the table shows that it can benefit from the scale of production to a further degree going forward. Total revenues are projected to reach $188B in 2026 and EBITDA earnings are projected to reach $45B by 2026. Under the current price, price to sales ratio would be about 5.1x in 2026, the EV/sales ratio about 5.2x, and the EV/EBITDA ratio about 21x. The P/S and EV/S ratios would not be that different from the overall market by then.Author: TSLA’s profit and return projectionsSeeking AlphaFinal thoughts and risksTo recap, I see the past two quarters as a stress test on Tesla and I further see it passed the test. There should no longer be any doubt about its profitability, production resilience, and pricing power after this test. Going forward, a few catalysts could further boost its profitability in the near future. As the Shanghai Gigafactory resumes operation and factories in Austin and Berlin continue to ramp up, I expect it to recoup its fixed cost at an even faster pace and benefit from the scale of production to a further degree. Its recent advancements in full self-driving software add further optionality and upward potential for shareholders.However, there are a few lingering issues on its scorecard. The price increase itself was not sufficient to overcome the rising costs. Profit per vehicle actually decreased by more than 25% despite an almost 16% increase in the average sales price tag per vehicle. Going forward, I see such cost control (raw materials, labor, and general inflation) challenges to persist. And finally, it is just in general difficult to predict things that grow at fast rates, which is an inherent risk with nonlinear stocks like TSLA. TSLA management repeatedly mentioned its goal and confidence of growing deliveries at 50% annual rates, while other sources’ estimates are all over the place. For example, Morning Star analysis assumes Tesla only delivers around 5.7 million vehicles by 2030, well below management’s target. While Cathie Wood believes (or believed) that Tesla can sell 20m vehicles a year by 2025. You can see such variance (and hence risks) by the huge difference in the low and high ends of the consensus estimates below. The variance is more than 2x by 2024, more than 3x by 2025, and almost 4x by 2026.Seeking Alpha","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9938361760,"gmtCreate":1662561358850,"gmtModify":1676537088588,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9938361760","repostId":"1162808848","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162808848","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662564152,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1162808848?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-07 23:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Play Defense With The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162808848","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryIt's now clear that the July/August rise in equity markets was a bear-market rally that quick","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>It's now clear that the July/August rise in equity markets was a bear-market rally that quickly fizzled out.</li><li>There are just too many headwinds to get overly bullish here: high inflation, rising interest rates, Putin's war on Ukraine that has broken global energy & food supply chains, etc.</li><li>That being the case, investors who haven't already positioned their portfolio in a more defensive posture should consider the "value" sector of the market.</li><li>The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF has a portfolio that is trading at a significant discount to the S&P 500 and has outperformed the S&P 500 by 6% over the past year.</li></ul><p>We all now know the stock market's quick jump upward from mid-June to mid-August was simply a bear-market rally that quickly fizzled out and has already given back almost all the gains. And, as mentioned in the bullets above, the macro-environment appears to just keep getting worse, with Putin now weaponizing energy supplies to the EU and China's continuing covid-19 lockdowns. As a result, it's very hard to get bullish on the markets despite the 13.7% pullback in theS&P 500 so far this year. As a result, investors that are over-weight growth and/or the broad market averages should consider allocating some capital to the <b>Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF</b>(NYSEARCA:VOOV). VOOV is a relatively cost-efficient fund (0.10% fee), yields 2.1%, and has an attractive 10.8% average annual total return over the past 10-years.</p><p><b>Investment Thesis</b></p><p>The Value sector has significantly outperformed most others during the 2022 bear-market:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23aad53d1e08bff73a0ee04eb04c4879\" tg-width=\"615\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha Homepage</p><p>As shown in the graphic above, the Value Sector has outperformed all other sectors with the exception of the high dividend yield segment. While still down 7.45% over the past year - as measured by the <b>iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF</b>(IUSV) - that is still 6% better than the S&P 500.</p><p>The fact is, in times of turbulent, volatile, and weak equity markets, the value sector can add ballast to a portfolio in the same way that the <b>consumer staples</b>(XLP) or <b>utilities</b>(XLU) sectors can (those two are up 0.3% and 9.1% over the past year, respectively).</p><p>So, today let's take a closer look at the Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF to see how it has positioned investors for success going forward.</p><p><b>Top-10 Holdings</b></p><p>The top-10 holdings in the Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETFare shown below and equate to only 18.4% of the entire portfolio and is therefore what I consider to be a very well diversified fund:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/668386196af182720e4e27043ac0c821\" tg-width=\"459\" tg-height=\"489\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Vanguard</p><p>The #1 holding is <b>Berkshire Hathaway Class B</b>(BRK.B) with a 3.1% weight. Berkshire is a conservative and well-diversified company whose largest current holding is <b>Apple</b>(AAPL) with a 40.8% weight (a $122.3 billion position). The top-5 holdings in Berkshire are shown below and the entire BRK portfolio can be found here, and is generally defensive in nature.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca7eaa7f4d3521485451c2e6b2caeb0c\" tg-width=\"564\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>hedgefollow.com</p><p>Berkshire Hathaway currently has$146.7 billion in cash and short-term investments and is therefore ideally positioned to play offense once the markets turnaround (or tanks).</p><p>In aggregate, typically defensive healthcare stocks like <b>Johnson & Johnson</b>(JNJ), <b>UnitedHealth Group</b>(UNH), and <b>Merck</b>(MRK) equate to 5.6% of the VOOV portfolio. These three stocks yield 2.78%, 1.28%, and 3.2%, respectively. The following chart shows these three stocks' performance versus the S&P 500 over the past year:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac5aa9fb56240b0eddbc47dc964767ce\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"877\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>JNJdata by YCharts</p><p>As can be seen, all three have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, with UNH being the star performer: +22.5%.</p><p>The #3 and #5 holdings are integrated international major energy companies <b>Exxon</b>(XOM) and <b>Chevron</b>(CVX), with a combined weight of 3.2%. Exxon and Chevron both had monster Q2 earnings reports and generated free-cash-flow of $16.9 billion and $10.6 billion, respectively. Both these companies have global production portfolios that are ideally positioned to benefit from strong oil, natural gas, and LNG pricing.</p><p>Exxon shareholders have arguably benefited from the fact that activist hedge-fund Engine #1 won three seats on Exxon board-of-directors and has, as a result, totally changed Exxon's structure and strategy going forward. Exxon currently yields 3.68% after raising the quarterly dividend by only a penny last year, while Chevron yields 3.60% after a 6% dividend increase ($0.08/share). Both companies are using the current up-cycle to put in place significant share buyback plans (Exxon's is $30 billion by the end of 2023, Chevron's is $15 billion per year).</p><p><b>Verizon</b>(VZ) rounds out the top-10 holdings with a 1.1% weight. The good news here is that VZ yields 6.2%. The bad news is that <b>T-Mobile</b>(TMUS) is eating Verizon's lunch with a newer and arguably better performing network:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/79f26e57bca7fb4f47b2eec073813dc9\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>VZdata by YCharts</p><p>From an overall portfolio perspective, the largest allocation of capital are to the HealthCare (16.9%), Financials (14.6%), and Industrials (12.3%) sectors. Financials, in particular, typically do well in a rising rate environment because they can profit of the interest rate spread (i.e. the difference between the rate they can borrow at versus the higher rate they can lend at).</p><p><b>Performance</b></p><p>VOOV's long-term performance versus the S&P 500 is shown below:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/402388e3e886bf4ddbe7428c7d9c5f97\" tg-width=\"475\" tg-height=\"221\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Vanguard</p><p>Source: Vanguard Fund Comparison Tool</p><p>VOOV's long-term 10.54% average annual return is quite attractive in a weak market considering its lower risk profile (see below in "Risks" section). However, the long-term returns of the <b>Vanguard S&P 500 ETF</b>(VOO) are 2.3% higher and, for that reason alone, I advise investors to always own a significantly higher allocation to the VOO fund as compared to a value oriented fund like VOOV.</p><p>The graphic below compares the VOOV to some direct competitors: the <b>Vanguard Value ETF</b>(VTV), the <b>iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF</b>(IWD), and the <b>iShares Core S&P Value ETF</b> over the past year:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/90a466dfcd7514e0687d3c20e5ca0982\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"877\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>VOOVdata by YCharts</p><p>Clearly the VTV ETF is the star of the show in that it is down the least amount. The VTV ETF has a significantly lower expense fee (0.04%) than does the VOOV ETF, a very similar portfolio, and a better 10-year performance track record (11.73%).</p><p><b>Risks</b></p><p>Obviously the VOOV fund is not immune to the negative headwinds from the macro-investment environment discussed earlier - after all, the ETF is still down 6.7% YTD. However, in a challenging market where rising interest rates threaten valuation levels, note that the VOOV ETF's portfolio trades at a significant discount to the overall S&P 500:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/856d4a543454bb3b4b155948be92bcc1\" tg-width=\"474\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Vanguard</p><p>Clearly, VOOV's P/E and price-to-book ratios are significantly lower as compared to the broadS&P 500 as measured by the <b>VanguardS&P 500 ETF</b>. However, also note how - as expected - VOOV's ROE and EPS growth rates are also significantly lower as compared to the VOO ETF. And this is the trade-off investors make when investing in value versus the overall market and/or growth stocks.</p><p><b>Summary & Conclusion</b></p><p>The VanguardS&P 500 Value ETF is a sleep-well-at-night ("SWAN") fund that can add ballast to a portfolio in times of weak market performance. However, as shown above, the Vanguard VTV Value ETF appears to be a superior choice with lower fees, better performance, and a similarly defensive portfolio. While VOOV is an attractive ETF (I rate it a HOLD) at the present time, the VTV ETF is the BUY.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Play Defense With The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPlay Defense With The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-07 23:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539295-vanguard-s-and-p500-value-etf-play-defense?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryIt's now clear that the July/August rise in equity markets was a bear-market rally that quickly fizzled out.There are just too many headwinds to get overly bullish here: high inflation, rising ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539295-vanguard-s-and-p500-value-etf-play-defense?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","VOOV":"Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4539295-vanguard-s-and-p500-value-etf-play-defense?source=content_type%3Areact%7Cfirst_level_url%3Ahome%7Csection%3Aportfolio%7Csection_asset%3Aheadlines%7Cline%3A1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162808848","content_text":"SummaryIt's now clear that the July/August rise in equity markets was a bear-market rally that quickly fizzled out.There are just too many headwinds to get overly bullish here: high inflation, rising interest rates, Putin's war on Ukraine that has broken global energy & food supply chains, etc.That being the case, investors who haven't already positioned their portfolio in a more defensive posture should consider the \"value\" sector of the market.The Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF has a portfolio that is trading at a significant discount to the S&P 500 and has outperformed the S&P 500 by 6% over the past year.We all now know the stock market's quick jump upward from mid-June to mid-August was simply a bear-market rally that quickly fizzled out and has already given back almost all the gains. And, as mentioned in the bullets above, the macro-environment appears to just keep getting worse, with Putin now weaponizing energy supplies to the EU and China's continuing covid-19 lockdowns. As a result, it's very hard to get bullish on the markets despite the 13.7% pullback in theS&P 500 so far this year. As a result, investors that are over-weight growth and/or the broad market averages should consider allocating some capital to the Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF(NYSEARCA:VOOV). VOOV is a relatively cost-efficient fund (0.10% fee), yields 2.1%, and has an attractive 10.8% average annual total return over the past 10-years.Investment ThesisThe Value sector has significantly outperformed most others during the 2022 bear-market:Seeking Alpha HomepageAs shown in the graphic above, the Value Sector has outperformed all other sectors with the exception of the high dividend yield segment. While still down 7.45% over the past year - as measured by the iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF(IUSV) - that is still 6% better than the S&P 500.The fact is, in times of turbulent, volatile, and weak equity markets, the value sector can add ballast to a portfolio in the same way that the consumer staples(XLP) or utilities(XLU) sectors can (those two are up 0.3% and 9.1% over the past year, respectively).So, today let's take a closer look at the Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF to see how it has positioned investors for success going forward.Top-10 HoldingsThe top-10 holdings in the Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETFare shown below and equate to only 18.4% of the entire portfolio and is therefore what I consider to be a very well diversified fund:VanguardThe #1 holding is Berkshire Hathaway Class B(BRK.B) with a 3.1% weight. Berkshire is a conservative and well-diversified company whose largest current holding is Apple(AAPL) with a 40.8% weight (a $122.3 billion position). The top-5 holdings in Berkshire are shown below and the entire BRK portfolio can be found here, and is generally defensive in nature.hedgefollow.comBerkshire Hathaway currently has$146.7 billion in cash and short-term investments and is therefore ideally positioned to play offense once the markets turnaround (or tanks).In aggregate, typically defensive healthcare stocks like Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), UnitedHealth Group(UNH), and Merck(MRK) equate to 5.6% of the VOOV portfolio. These three stocks yield 2.78%, 1.28%, and 3.2%, respectively. The following chart shows these three stocks' performance versus the S&P 500 over the past year:JNJdata by YChartsAs can be seen, all three have significantly outperformed the S&P 500, with UNH being the star performer: +22.5%.The #3 and #5 holdings are integrated international major energy companies Exxon(XOM) and Chevron(CVX), with a combined weight of 3.2%. Exxon and Chevron both had monster Q2 earnings reports and generated free-cash-flow of $16.9 billion and $10.6 billion, respectively. Both these companies have global production portfolios that are ideally positioned to benefit from strong oil, natural gas, and LNG pricing.Exxon shareholders have arguably benefited from the fact that activist hedge-fund Engine #1 won three seats on Exxon board-of-directors and has, as a result, totally changed Exxon's structure and strategy going forward. Exxon currently yields 3.68% after raising the quarterly dividend by only a penny last year, while Chevron yields 3.60% after a 6% dividend increase ($0.08/share). Both companies are using the current up-cycle to put in place significant share buyback plans (Exxon's is $30 billion by the end of 2023, Chevron's is $15 billion per year).Verizon(VZ) rounds out the top-10 holdings with a 1.1% weight. The good news here is that VZ yields 6.2%. The bad news is that T-Mobile(TMUS) is eating Verizon's lunch with a newer and arguably better performing network:VZdata by YChartsFrom an overall portfolio perspective, the largest allocation of capital are to the HealthCare (16.9%), Financials (14.6%), and Industrials (12.3%) sectors. Financials, in particular, typically do well in a rising rate environment because they can profit of the interest rate spread (i.e. the difference between the rate they can borrow at versus the higher rate they can lend at).PerformanceVOOV's long-term performance versus the S&P 500 is shown below:VanguardSource: Vanguard Fund Comparison ToolVOOV's long-term 10.54% average annual return is quite attractive in a weak market considering its lower risk profile (see below in \"Risks\" section). However, the long-term returns of the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO) are 2.3% higher and, for that reason alone, I advise investors to always own a significantly higher allocation to the VOO fund as compared to a value oriented fund like VOOV.The graphic below compares the VOOV to some direct competitors: the Vanguard Value ETF(VTV), the iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF(IWD), and the iShares Core S&P Value ETF over the past year:VOOVdata by YChartsClearly the VTV ETF is the star of the show in that it is down the least amount. The VTV ETF has a significantly lower expense fee (0.04%) than does the VOOV ETF, a very similar portfolio, and a better 10-year performance track record (11.73%).RisksObviously the VOOV fund is not immune to the negative headwinds from the macro-investment environment discussed earlier - after all, the ETF is still down 6.7% YTD. However, in a challenging market where rising interest rates threaten valuation levels, note that the VOOV ETF's portfolio trades at a significant discount to the overall S&P 500:VanguardClearly, VOOV's P/E and price-to-book ratios are significantly lower as compared to the broadS&P 500 as measured by the VanguardS&P 500 ETF. However, also note how - as expected - VOOV's ROE and EPS growth rates are also significantly lower as compared to the VOO ETF. And this is the trade-off investors make when investing in value versus the overall market and/or growth stocks.Summary & ConclusionThe VanguardS&P 500 Value ETF is a sleep-well-at-night (\"SWAN\") fund that can add ballast to a portfolio in times of weak market performance. However, as shown above, the Vanguard VTV Value ETF appears to be a superior choice with lower fees, better performance, and a similarly defensive portfolio. While VOOV is an attractive ETF (I rate it a HOLD) at the present time, the VTV ETF is the BUY.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,"VOOV":0.9,"VTV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931585596,"gmtCreate":1662480425415,"gmtModify":1676537070316,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931585596","repostId":"2265953702","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265953702","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662478322,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265953702?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks to Avoid This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265953702","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"These investments seem pretty vulnerable right now.","content":"<div>\n<p>It was another rough week to be the long the market, so let's see how my \"three stocks to avoid\" column fared last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market -- Tesla Motors, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks to Avoid This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks to Avoid This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 23:32 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>It was another rough week to be the long the market, so let's see how my \"three stocks to avoid\" column fared last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market -- Tesla Motors, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RH":"RH","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","FIZZ":"National Beverage Corp"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/3-stocks-to-avoid-this-week/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265953702","content_text":"It was another rough week to be the long the market, so let's see how my \"three stocks to avoid\" column fared last week. The three stocks I thought were going to lose to the market -- Tesla Motors, Kirkland's, and Vera Bradley -- sank 6%, 3%, and 23%, respectively, averaging out to a 10.7% decline.The S&P 500 experienced a 3.3% move lower. I was right. I have been correct in 30 of the past 46 weeks.Now let's look at the week ahead. I see RH, National Beverage, and Coinbase as stocks you may want to consider steering clear of this week. Let's go over my near-term concerns with all three investments.1. RHHousewares specialists and furniture retailers have been feeling mortal lately. We'll see how the company formerly known as Restoration Hardware is holding up when it reports fresh quarterly results shortly after Thursday's market close. RH has carved a potent niche as a luxury lifestyles retailer, but even upscale players aren't immune to the inflationary pressures that find folks spending more on essentials like food, gas, and shelter.June was brutal for the chain, as it hosed down its full-year guidance not once -- but twice. With market sentiment souring since June it's hard to fathom since getting better with this week's financial update.RH was a big winner early in the pandemic, as hunkering down meant sprucing up digs and Zoom. After seven consecutive quarters of double-digit sales growth, we've hit a wall. Investors are bracing for a year-over-year decline for the current quarter as well as for the entire fiscal year.2. National BeverageThe company behind La Croix hasn't been as fizzy as its signature sparkling water. Revenue growth has slowed dramatically lately, clocking in at a 4% compounded annual growth rate over the past three years. Analysts see single-digit top-line growth continuing in the near future. La Croix had its moment in the sun, but it's canned laughter these days with several companies diving into the flavored sparkling beverage niche.National Beverage is expected to post quarterly results on Wednesday. The report may be more flat than fizz. It's not just the slowdown in revenue over the past few years. National Beverage has also fallen short of Wall Street's profit targets in each of the past four quarters.3. CoinbaseA lot of slumping growth stocks have been bouncing back this summer, and Coinbase has made the most of the recovery. The stock is up 60% since bottoming out in May. The same can't be said about the cryptocurrency market.Most crypto denominations are lower -- often a lot lower -- than they were in May. A few high-profile platforms buckled, rattling the faith of investors in digital currencies. Revenue has suffered big sequential declines in back-to-back quarters, and the market's banking on seeing that streak of quarter-over-quarter slides stretch to three periods soon.It's going to be a bumpy road for some of these investments. If you're looking for safe stocks, you aren't likely to find them in RH, National Beverage, and Coinbase this week.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9,"FIZZ":0.9,"RH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931398163,"gmtCreate":1662394467653,"gmtModify":1676537051420,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931398163","repostId":"2265703480","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265703480","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662390641,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265703480?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"6 Reasons to Buy Apple Stock Now and Never Sell","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265703480","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"There's a reason the iPhone maker is the market-cap king.","content":"<div>\n<p>Even as the bear market lingers, investors might be surprised to learn that Apple still holds the title of most valuable publicly traded company, with its market cap recently clocking in at $2.55 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/6-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-now-and-never-sell/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6 Reasons to Buy Apple Stock Now and Never Sell</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6 Reasons to Buy Apple Stock Now and Never Sell\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 23:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/6-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-now-and-never-sell/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Even as the bear market lingers, investors might be surprised to learn that Apple still holds the title of most valuable publicly traded company, with its market cap recently clocking in at $2.55 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/6-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-now-and-never-sell/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/05/6-reasons-to-buy-apple-stock-now-and-never-sell/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265703480","content_text":"Even as the bear market lingers, investors might be surprised to learn that Apple still holds the title of most valuable publicly traded company, with its market cap recently clocking in at $2.55 trillion. Perhaps even more impressive is the fact that even in the midst of the ongoing meltdown in technology stocks, the iPhone maker has outperformed the broader indexes and many of its peers.From their peaks several months ago, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite indexes have declined 17% and 26%, respectively, while Apple stock has shed just 13%.That performance notwithstanding, there are plenty of reasons for investors to buy Apple stock and hold forever.1. It's Warren Buffett's largest holdingGiven his extraordinary track record, investors could do far worse than following in the footsteps of legendary money manager Warren Buffett. Since taking the helm of Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, the \"Oracle of Omaha\" has delivered mind-boggling returns, generating a compound annual growth rate of more than 20%. In fact, by the end of 2021, the company's overall returns clocked in at a staggering 3,641,613%.Lest there be any doubt, Apple is far and away Berkshire's largest holding. Buffett ended the second quarter with nearly 895 million shares of Apple stock, worth roughly $122 billion as of June, 30, accounting for about 41% of Berkshire's portfolio. That's quite a vote of confidence from one of the world's most successful investors.2. One billion iPhones strong -- and growingThere's no question that the release of the iconic iPhone in 2007 ushered in the modern smartphone and forever changed the way we communicate. The device's sleek design and integrated computing power took the world by storm. Now, as we await the release of the upcoming iPhone 14, Apple dominates the market, with more than 1 billion active iPhones in the wild.Rumors are swirling that the next-generation device -- which is due to be unveiled next week -- could sport some major upgrades and four new models. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives estimates that roughly 24% of iPhone owners worldwide haven't upgraded their device over the past 3.5 years. Even in the midst of the prevailing macroeconomic headwinds, this could mark the beginning of the next big product cycle for the iPhone.3. Apple is the new blackWhile the iPhone gets all the press, Apple's wearables, home products, and accessories segment -- which includes such products as Apple Watch, AirPods, AirTags, and Beats headphones -- continue to steadily attract converts. Earlier this year, noted tech analyst Horace Dediu announced that \"Apple Wearables is now [the size of] a Fortune 100 business.\" In fact, the segment has generated more revenue so far in fiscal 2022 than either the Mac or the iPad.Supply constraints and foreign exchange headwinds have weighed on the segment, which grew just 6% year over year through the first three quarters of fiscal 2022. That said, the resulting pent-up demand will eventually give way to a surge in sales. Furthermore, the company is expected to release the latest versions of its Apple Watch next week. These could include a Pro model, which could serve to supercharge sales of the popular device.4. Services: Apple's second-biggest breadwinnerLong before anyone else, CEO Tim Cook saw the potential for Apple's services segment, announcing plans in early 2017 to double its revenue over the coming four years. Fast forward to mid-2022, and services has come into its own.The segment, which includes Apple Music, the App Store, Apple Pay, and Apple TV+ (among others), just set a June quarter record, generating 19% of Apple's total revenue. Services also saw revenue records in each major category, including all-time records for Music, Cloud Services, Apple Care, and Payment Services.Apple TV+ began as something of an industry joke, with just eight programs and a documentary. But nobody's laughing now. Apple has netted more than 250 awards and over 1,100 nominations for its programming, including 52 Emmy Award nominations in 2022.5. Dividends: The gift that keeps on givingApple began paying a dividend again in 2012 and has amassed quite an impressive track record. The quarterly payout began at a split-adjusted $0.095 and has soared 143% in just ten years.This includes Apple's announcement earlier this year, which boosted the quarterly payout to $0.23 per share, an increase of 5% for 2022. That likely won't be the last increase as Apple is using less than 15% of its profits to fund the payout, giving the company plenty of opportunity for future increases.6. Fewer shares = a bigger slice of the Apple pieAnother highlight of Apple's shareholder-friendly policies is the company's strong share-repurchase plan. Apple began buying back shares in earnest in early 2013 and has never taken its foot off the gas. As a result, with each passing quarter, Apple shareholders own a larger share of the company. In fact, over the past 10 years, Apple's share count has declined by nearly 39%.Data by YCharts.As an example, the company retired roughly 1% of its shares in its fiscal third quarter and has no plans of slowing down. Earlier this year, Apple announced that it added another $90 billion to its existing share-repurchase program.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2543,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933509374,"gmtCreate":1662307578398,"gmtModify":1676537034198,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933509374","repostId":"1114052367","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114052367","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1662260377,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1114052367?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-04 10:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114052367","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Dear Valued Client,US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 Se","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Dear Valued Client,</p><p>US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/617f2a63df7eacd3e0db4c21d33077ea\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Happy investing!</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Reminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nReminder: US Market Will be Closed for Labor Day on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-04 10:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>Dear Valued Client,</p><p>US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/617f2a63df7eacd3e0db4c21d33077ea\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1080\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Happy investing!</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114052367","content_text":"Dear Valued Client,US Labor Day is around the corner. The U.S. market will be closed on Monday, 5 September 2022 EDT. Please take note of the trading arrangements during the holiday period and make the necessary preparations in advance.Happy investing!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939974971,"gmtCreate":1662047773197,"gmtModify":1676536796084,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939974971","repostId":"1117024163","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2723,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930238419,"gmtCreate":1661961697534,"gmtModify":1676536613091,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍","listText":"👍","text":"👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930238419","repostId":"1164311011","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1164311011","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661959824,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1164311011?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-31 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Powell Abandons Soft Landing Goal as He Seeks Growth Recession","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1164311011","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Fed chief wants weak growth, soft jobs market to cut inflation‘It’s a bit like dripping water tortur","content":"<div>\n<p>Fed chief wants weak growth, soft jobs market to cut inflation‘It’s a bit like dripping water torture,’ economist Swonk saysForget about a soft landing. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is now ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/powell-abandons-soft-landing-goal-as-he-seeks-growth-recession?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Powell Abandons Soft Landing Goal as He Seeks Growth Recession</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPowell Abandons Soft Landing Goal as He Seeks Growth Recession\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-31 23:30 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/powell-abandons-soft-landing-goal-as-he-seeks-growth-recession?srnd=premium><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Fed chief wants weak growth, soft jobs market to cut inflation‘It’s a bit like dripping water torture,’ economist Swonk saysForget about a soft landing. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is now ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/powell-abandons-soft-landing-goal-as-he-seeks-growth-recession?srnd=premium\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/powell-abandons-soft-landing-goal-as-he-seeks-growth-recession?srnd=premium","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1164311011","content_text":"Fed chief wants weak growth, soft jobs market to cut inflation‘It’s a bit like dripping water torture,’ economist Swonk saysForget about a soft landing. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is now aiming for something much more painful for the economy to put an end to elevated inflation. The trouble is, even that may not be enough.It’s known to economists by the paradoxical name of a “growth recession.” Unlike a soft landing, it’s a protracted period of meager growth and rising unemployment. But it stops short of an outright contraction of the economy.Powell “buried the concept of a soft landing” with his Aug. 26 speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG LLP. Now, “the Fed’s goal is to grind inflation down by slowing growth below its potential,” which officials peg at 1.8%.“It’s a bit like dripping water torture,” added Swonk, who attended the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium last week. “It is a torturous process but less torturous and less painful than an abrupt recession.”The shift in Powell’s message got the attention of Wall Street. Stock prices have swooned since the Fed chair vowed to do what it takes to rid the economy of too-high inflation.Politicians in Washington took note too. Massachusetts Senator and former Democratic Party presidential hopeful Elizabeth Warren voiced concern that the Fed could tip the economy into a recession, while Senate Republican Party leader Mitch McConnell said a downturn was likely as the central bank raises rates to combat inflation.In the archetypal soft landing in 1994-95, the Fed slowed the economy briefly and contained inflation through a doubling of interest rates. But unemployment never really rose. It just stopped falling for a while.The late New York University economist Solomon Fabricant coined the term “growth recession” in research published in 1972. While such a scenario may not be as costly as an actual contraction, it poses dangers for the economy nonetheless, he suggested at the time.A tiger contained “is not the same as a tiger loose in the streets, but neither is it a paper tiger,” he wrote.Powell has seemingly concluded that it will take a tiger -- and not just a soft landing -- to attack America’s pernicious inflation. In his Jackson Hole speech, he said the labor market was “clearly out of balance,” with the demand for workers substantially exceeding the supply. That’s led to rapid wage rises that are incompatible with the Fed’s 2% inflation target.“Reducing inflation is likely to require a sustained period of below-trend growth,” Powell said. “Moreover, there will very likely be some softening of labor market conditions” -- widely seen as a euphemism for higher unemployment.Joblessness probably held steady in August at a five-decade low of 3.5% as payroll growth slowed to 300,000 from 528,000 in July, according to the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The monthly data are scheduled to be released by the Labor Department on Friday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9997639960,"gmtCreate":1661790301553,"gmtModify":1676536579328,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9997639960","repostId":"2262167645","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9994631463,"gmtCreate":1661618674457,"gmtModify":1676536550262,"author":{"id":"3569531614182731","authorId":"3569531614182731","name":"Gabrielle_20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3687c03e4fcd937f9b3fa40fa7705b14","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3569531614182731","authorIdStr":"3569531614182731"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👌🏻","listText":"👌🏻","text":"👌🏻","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9994631463","repostId":"2262838921","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2911,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}